Try the model
ODU

Old Dominion 14 at Indiana 27

IU
2025 · Week 1 · Aug 30, 2025 · Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN)
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · IU
modelIU aheadODU aheadconfidence bandkey playIU scoreODU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDFGFGTDTDEnd of GameFG+1.6IU 87.6%Nico Radicic 22 yd FG GOODAWAY 7 - HOME 10 · Q2 10:03
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 10:03 · Nico Radicic 22 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+43.0+21.50−21.5−43.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 55Pregame prior+32.4Home team on offense+2.4Score differential+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.9Garbage-time factor+0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 10:03: Nico Radicic 22 yd FG GOOD — IU win probability +1.6 pts (now 88%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 3:36: Fernando Mendoza run for 5 yds for a TD (Nico Radicic KICK) — IU win probability +3.9 pts (now 92%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 11:09: Kaelon Black run for 2 yds for a TD (Nico Radicic KICK) — IU win probability +5.0 pts (now 95%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 6:53: Colton Joseph run for 78 yds for a TD (Riley Callaghan KICK) — ODU win probability +4.4 pts (now 5%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:53: Timeout Indiana, clock 06:53 — IU win probability +4.0 pts (now 99%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
IU made the numbers' call on 3 of 6ODU made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 9:44IU 4th & 1 at ODU 1, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 90.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    90.9%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    90.7%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    90.2%−0.7
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:48ODU 4th & 2 at ODU 35, up 7
    Close callPunted · 11.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.2%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:09ODU 4th & 9 at ODU 35, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.4%−0.3
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.7%
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:03IU 4th & 4 at ODU 4, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 86.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    86.5%−0.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    85.0%−1.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:46ODU 4th & 8 at ODU 48, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.6%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:19IU 4th & 3 at IU 45, up 3
    Close callPunted · 85.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.2%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:15ODU 4th & 2 at ODU 33, down 10
    Close callPunted · 10.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.1%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:00ODU 4th & 14 at ODU 39, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.6%−1.0
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.6%
    average punt
  9. Q3 3:02IU 4th & 7 at ODU 7, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.6%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.8%
    91% to make
    Punt
    93.0%−2.8
    average punt
  10. Q3 1:06ODU 4th & 6 at ODU 29, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.6%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.7%
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:06ODU 4th & 6 at ODU 29, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.6%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.7%
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:52IU 4th & 2 at ODU 8, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.9%
    54% to convert
    Field goal
    98.6%−0.3
    90% to make
    Punt
    97.2%−1.6
    average punt
  13. Q4 8:14IU 4th & 7 at ODU 41, up 20
    Close callPunted · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.0%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    98.8%−0.2
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    98.8%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
IU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2ODU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 14:49ODU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 3:36IU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 11:09IU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 6:53ODU Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.9%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.9%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ODUDrive 1TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q1 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
92.6%
Colton Joseph run for 75 yds for a TD (Riley Callaghan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 2DOWNS
13 plays · 69 yds · 4:4893% → 91%
Q1 14:32
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+11
92.5%
Roman Hemby run for 11 yds to the IU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
92.3%
Fernando Mendoza pass complete to E.J. Williams Jr. for 6 yds to the IU 47Similar
Q1 13:23
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+5
92.1%
Fernando Mendoza pass complete to E.J. Williams Jr. for 5 yds to the ODU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:46
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+36
91.9%
Kaelon Black run for 36 yds to the ODU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:26
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
91.8%
Fernando Mendoza pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:21
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+8
91.8%
Fernando Mendoza run for 8 yds to the ODU 4Similar
Q1 11:47
3RD & 2
OPP 4
+3
91.6%
Roman Hemby run for 3 yds to the ODU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
91.4%
Roman Hemby run for no gain to the ODU 1Similar
Q1 10:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
91.2%
Kaelon Black run for no gain to the ODU 1Similar
Q1 10:05
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
90.9%
Roman Hemby run for no gain to the ODU 1Similar
Q1 9:44
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
90.7%
Fernando Mendoza pass incomplete to Riley NowakowskiSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 3PUNT
9 plays · 34 yds · 3:509% → 12%
Q1 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+3
90.6%
Maurki James run for 3 yds to the ODU 4Similar
Q1 9:04
2ND & 7
OWN 4
+9
90.4%
Colton Joseph pass complete to Ja'Cory Thomas for 9 yds to the ODU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+2
89.9%
Maurki James run for 2 yds to the ODU 15Similar
Q1 8:01
2ND & 8
OWN 15
+12
89.7%
Colton Joseph run for 12 yds to the ODU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
89.4%
Maurki James run for 6 yds to the ODU 33Similar
Q1 7:02
2ND & 4
OWN 33
0
89.1%
Maurki James run for no gain to the ODU 33Similar
Q1 6:39
3RD & 4
OWN 33
+2
88.9%
Colton Joseph run for 2 yds to the ODU 35Similar
Q1 5:48
4TH & 2
OWN 35
0
88.4%
Ian Brandt punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Jonathan Brady at the IU 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 4FUMBLE
8 plays · 66 yds · 3:3488% → 87%
Q1 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+6
87.9%
Kaelon Black run for 6 yds to the IU 20Similar
Q1 5:08
2ND & 4
OWN 20
+4
87.5%
Kaelon Black run for 4 yds to the IU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+9
87.1%
Fernando Mendoza pass complete to E.J. Williams Jr. for 9 yds to the IU 33Similar
Q1 3:53
2ND & 1
OWN 33
+4
87.0%
Roman Hemby run for 4 yds to the IU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
86.4%
Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Jonathan Brady for 4 yds to the IU 41Similar
Q1 2:44
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+30
86.5%
Roman Hemby run for 30 yds to the ODU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:09
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+9
86.7%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 9 yds to the ODU 20 Lee Beebe Jr. fumbled, recovered by ODU Zion FrinkSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 5PUNT RETURN TD
8 plays · 15 yds · 1:4914% → 12%
Q1 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+14
85.9%
Colton Joseph pass complete to Tre' Brown III for 14 yds to the ODU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
85.4%
Colton Joseph pass complete to Tre' Brown III for 3 yds to the ODU 37Similar
Q1 1:10
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+3
84.9%
Colton Joseph run for 3 yds to the ODU 40Similar
Q1 0:41
3RD & 4
OWN 40
-5
84.5%
(00:41) PENALTY ODU False Start (Thomas,Ja'Cory) 5 yards from ODU40 to ODU35. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:30
3RD & 9
OWN 35
0
84.9%
Colton Joseph pass incomplete to Trequan JonesSimilar
Q1 0:09
4TH & 9
OWN 35
+91
87.9%
Ian Brandt punt for 56 yds , Jonathan Brady returns for 91 yds for a TD (Nico Radicic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 6INT
6 plays · 12 yds · 1:2214% → 14%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
86.5%
Colton Joseph run for 9 yds to the ODU 34Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
86.1%
Colton Joseph pass incomplete to Tre' Brown IIISimilar
Q2 14:48
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
86.1%
Colton Joseph run for 3 yds to the ODU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
86.0%
Maurki James run for no gain to the ODU 37Similar
Q2 13:38
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+15
85.6%
Indiana Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the IU 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 7FG
9 plays · 51 yds · 3:2888% → 88%
Q2 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+14
88.3%
Roman Hemby run for 14 yds to the ODU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:48
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+22
88.3%
Fernando Mendoza pass complete to E.J. Williams Jr. for 22 yds to the ODU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:16
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+7
87.9%
Roman Hemby run for 7 yds to the ODU 12Similar
Q2 11:56
2ND & 3
OPP 12
+3
87.7%
Roman Hemby run for 3 yds to the ODU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+7
87.5%
Roman Hemby run for 7 yds to the ODU 2Similar
Q2 10:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
87.4%
Roman Hemby run for 1 yd to the ODU 1Similar
Q2 10:17
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-3
86.8%
Roman Hemby run for a loss of 3 yards to the ODU 4Similar
Q2 10:03
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
87.6%
Nico Radicic 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 8PUNT
9 plays · 23 yds · 3:1012% → 13%
Q2 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
88.0%
Colton Joseph run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 24Similar
Q2 9:31
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+5
88.0%
Colton Joseph pass complete to Na'eem Abdul-Rahim Gladding for 5 yds to the ODU 29Similar
Q2 8:45
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+17
87.9%
Colton Joseph pass complete to Na'eem Abdul-Rahim Gladding for 17 yds to the ODU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
86.6%
Ke'Travion Hargrove run for 5 yds to the IU 49Similar
Q2 7:50
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+2
86.5%
Ke'Travion Hargrove run for 2 yds to the IU 47Similar
Q2 7:15
3RD & 3
OPP 47
-5
86.6%
PENALTY ODU False Start (Hargrove,Ke'Travion) 5 yards from IND47 to ODU48. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:55
3RD & 8
OWN 48
0
86.6%
Colton Joseph pass incomplete to TJ LottSimilar
Q2 6:46
4TH & 8
OWN 48
0
87.3%
Ian Brandt punt for 52 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 25 yds · 2:2187% → 87%
Q2 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
87.2%
Fernando Mendoza pass incomplete to Riley NowakowskiSimilar
Q2 6:34
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+3
87.0%
Kaelon Black run for 3 yds to the IU 23Similar
Q2 5:57
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+15
86.4%
(06:02) Shotgun Mendoza,Fernando pass incomplete deep right to Williams Jr.,E.J. thrown to ODU40 PENALTY ODU Pass Interference (Frink,Zion) 15 yards from IND23 to IND38, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
87.6%
Kaelon Black run for 4 yds to the IU 42Similar
Q2 5:12
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+3
87.8%
Fernando Mendoza pass complete to E.J. Williams Jr. for 3 yds to the IU 45Similar
Q2 4:28
3RD & 3
OWN 45
0
87.1%
Fernando Mendoza pass incomplete to Omar Cooper Jr.Similar
Q2 4:19
4TH & 3
OWN 45
+3
86.5%
Mitch McCarthy punt for 47 yds , Na'eem Abdul-Rahim Gladding returns for 3 yds to the ODU 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 10INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:2413% → 13%
Q2 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 6
0
87.1%
Ke'Travion Hargrove run for no gain to the ODU 6Similar
Q2 3:51
2ND & 10
OWN 6
-5
87.1%
Old Dominion Penalty, Block Below Waist (TJ Johnson) to the ODU 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 11TD
3 plays · 5 yds · 0:1188% → 92%
Q2 3:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
87.6%
Fernando Mendoza pass incomplete to Omar Cooper Jr.Similar
Q2 3:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
87.5%
Fernando Mendoza pass incomplete to E.J. Williams Jr.Similar
Q2 3:36
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
91.5%
Fernando Mendoza run for 5 yds for a TD (Nico Radicic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 1:149% → 9%
Q2 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
91.0%
Maurki James run for 8 yds to the ODU 33Similar
Q2 2:58
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
90.5%
Maurki James run for no gain to the ODU 33Similar
Q2 2:30
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+5
91.1%
Colton Joseph pass complete to Na'eem Abdul-Rahim Gladding for 5 yds to the ODU 28Similar
Q2 2:25
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+5
91.6%
(02:30) Brandt,Ian punt 22 yards to the ODU50, out of bounds at ODU50 PENALTY IND Running Into The Kicker (Jones,Isaiah) 5 yards from ODU28 to ODU33. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:15
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+8
91.4%
Ian Brandt punt for 59 yds , Jonathan Brady returns for 8 yds to the IU 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 13MISSED FG
14 plays · 50 yds · 2:0693% → 90%
Q2 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+9
92.7%
Roman Hemby run for 9 yds to the IU 25Similar
Q2 1:53
2ND & 1
OWN 25
0
91.5%
Fernando Mendoza pass incomplete to E.J. Williams Jr.Similar
Q2 1:49
3RD & 1
OWN 25
+2
90.8%
Roman Hemby run for 2 yds to the IU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
91.6%
Fernando Mendoza pass incomplete to Holden StaesSimilar
Q2 1:34
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+6
91.5%
Roman Hemby run for 6 yds to the IU 33Similar
Q2 1:34
3RD & 4
OWN 33
+9
91.4%
Fernando Mendoza run for 9 yds to the IU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
92.3%
Fernando Mendoza pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:46
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+12
92.2%
Fernando Mendoza pass complete to LeBron Bond for 12 yds to the ODU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:46
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
92.5%
Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Holden Staes for 4 yds to the ODU 42Similar
Q2 0:46
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+9
92.5%
Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Roman Hemby for 9 yds to the ODU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:46
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
92.7%
Fernando Mendoza pass incomplete to E.J. Williams Jr.Similar
Q2 0:46
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+1
92.6%
Roman Hemby run for 1 yd to the ODU 34Similar
Q2 0:02
3RD & 11
OPP 34
+52
89.8%
Nico Radicic 52 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 14END OF HALF
1 play · 3 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
90.6%
Maurki James run for 3 yds to the ODU 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 15TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:5190% → 95%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
89.6%
(15:00) PENALTY IND False Start (Benson,Kahlil) 5 yards from IND25 to IND20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+2
89.5%
Roman Hemby run for 2 yds to the IU 22Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+11
89.4%
Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Elijah Sarratt for 11 yds to the IU 33Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+46
89.5%
Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Omar Cooper Jr. for 46 yds to the ODU 21 for a 1ST down Old Dominion Penalty, Defensive Holding (TJ Lott) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+6
90.4%
Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Riley Nowakowski for 6 yds to the ODU 15Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 15
+5
90.4%
Roman Hemby run for 5 yds to the ODU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
90.4%
Kaelon Black run for 5 yds to the ODU 5Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
90.4%
Kaelon Black run for 3 yds to the ODU 2Similar
Q3 11:09
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
95.4%
Kaelon Black run for 2 yds for a TD (Nico Radicic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 1:006% → 5%
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
94.3%
Colton Joseph pass complete to Na'eem Abdul-Rahim Gladding for 18 yds to the ODU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-5
93.9%
(10:47) No Huddle-Shotgun Joseph,Colton pass incomplete short left to Brown,Tre thrown to ODU50 QB hurried by Tucker,Tyrique and Kamara,Mikail PENALTY ODU Illegal Formation 5 yards from ODU43 to ODU38. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:39
1ST & 15
OWN 38
0
94.4%
Colton Joseph pass incomplete to TJ LottSimilar
Q3 10:33
2ND & 15
OWN 38
+1
94.5%
Maurki James run for 1 yd to the ODU 39Similar
Q3 10:08
3RD & 14
OWN 39
0
94.5%
Colton Joseph pass incomplete to Jailen ButlerSimilar
Q3 10:00
4TH & 14
OWN 39
+9
94.7%
Ian Brandt punt for 46 yds , Jonathan Brady returns for 9 yds to the IU 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 17FG
15 plays · 69 yds · 6:5195% → 98%
Q3 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+7
95.2%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 7 yds to the IU 31Similar
Q3 9:19
2ND & 3
OWN 31
+11
95.6%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 11 yds to the IU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
96.0%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 1 yd to the IU 43Similar
Q3 8:05
2ND & 9
OWN 43
+6
96.0%
Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Omar Cooper Jr. for 6 yds to the IU 49Similar
Q3 7:30
3RD & 3
OWN 49
+13
95.9%
Kaelon Black run for 13 yds to the ODU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:51
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
96.1%
Kaelon Black run for no gain to the ODU 38Similar
Q3 6:12
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+9
96.1%
Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Riley Nowakowski for 9 yds to the ODU 29Similar
Q3 5:45
3RD & 1
OPP 29
+5
96.1%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 5 yds to the ODU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:10
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+14
96.2%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 14 yds to the ODU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
96.3%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 5 yds to the ODU 5Similar
Q3 3:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
96.3%
Fernando Mendoza pass incomplete to Elijah SarrattSimilar
Q3 3:41
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
-2
96.3%
Roman Hemby run for a loss of 2 yards to the ODU 7Similar
Q3 3:02
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+25
97.5%
Nico Radicic 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 1:462% → 2%
Q3 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
97.9%
Colton Joseph run for 1 yd to the ODU 26Similar
Q3 2:34
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-3
97.9%
Colton Joseph sacked by Isaiah Jones for a loss of 3 yards to the ODU 23Similar
Q3 1:44
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+6
98.3%
Colton Joseph pass complete to Trequan Jones for 6 yds to the ODU 29Similar
Q3 1:06
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
98.4%
Ian Brandt punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Jonathan Brady at the IU 32Similar
Q3 1:06
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
98.4%
Ian Brandt punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Jonathan Brady at the IU 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 19DOWNS
10 plays · 55 yds · 4:0899% → 100%
Q3 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
99.3%
Roman Hemby run for 9 yds to the IU 46Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 1
OWN 46
+3
99.4%
Roman Hemby run for 3 yds to the IU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+11
99.4%
Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Elijah Sarratt for 11 yds to the ODU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:15
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
99.5%
Fernando Mendoza pass incomplete to LeBron BondSimilar
Q4 14:06
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+24
99.6%
Fernando Mendoza run for 9 yds to the ODU 31 for a 1ST down Old Dominion Penalty, UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (DeAndre Lynch) to the ODU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+6
99.6%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 6 yds to the ODU 10Similar
Q4 13:09
2ND & 4
OPP 10
+2
99.6%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 2 yds to the ODU 8Similar
Q4 12:33
3RD & 2
OPP 8
0
99.7%
Roman Hemby run for no gain to the ODU 8Similar
Q4 11:52
4TH & 2
OPP 8
0
99.6%
Fernando Mendoza pass incomplete to Elijah SarrattSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 20INT
6 plays · 19 yds · 1:161% → 1%
Q4 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
99.2%
Colton Joseph pass incomplete to Na'eem Abdul-Rahim GladdingSimilar
Q4 11:34
2ND & 10
OWN 8
+4
99.2%
Colton Joseph pass complete to Jailen Butler for 4 yds to the ODU 12Similar
Q4 10:53
3RD & 6
OWN 12
+15
99.2%
Colton Joseph pass complete to Ja'Cory Thomas for 15 yds to the ODU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
99.1%
Colton Joseph pass incomplete to Ja'Cory ThomasSimilar
Q4 10:32
2ND & 10
OWN 27
0
99.2%
Colton Joseph pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 2:10100% → 100%
Q4 10:24
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
99.8%
Fernando Mendoza run for 6 yds to the ODU 38Similar
Q4 9:49
2ND & 4
OPP 38
+1
99.8%
Roman Hemby run for 1 yd to the ODU 37Similar
Q4 9:04
3RD & 3
OPP 37
-4
99.8%
Fernando Mendoza sacked by Jeremy Mack Jr. for a loss of 4 yards to the ODU 41Similar
Q4 8:14
4TH & 7
OPP 41
0
99.8%
Quinn Warren punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 22TD
5 plays · 97 yds · 1:161% → 5%
Q4 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+10
99.4%
Colton Joseph pass complete to Tre' Brown III for 10 yds to the ODU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
99.3%
Colton Joseph pass incomplete to Maurki JamesSimilar
Q4 7:39
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+9
99.4%
Maurki James run for 9 yds to the ODU 22Similar
Q4 6:53
3RD & 1
OWN 22
+78
95.0%
Colton Joseph run for 78 yds for a TD (Riley Callaghan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 23END OF GAME
15 plays · 64 yds · 6:4699% → 100%
Q4 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.0%
Kaelon Black run for 3 yds to the IU 28Similar
Q4 6:12
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
99.1%
Kaelon Black run for 4 yds to the IU 32Similar
Q4 5:34
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+4
99.1%
Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Jonathan Brady for 4 yds to the IU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
99.2%
Fernando Mendoza pass incomplete to Jonathan BradySimilar
Q4 4:58
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+5
99.2%
(04:58) Shotgun Mendoza,Fernando pass incomplete deep middle to Brady,Jonathan thrown to ODU35 PENALTY ODU Offside (Thomas,Keshawn) 5 yards from IND36 to IND41. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:54
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+4
99.2%
Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Charlie Becker for 4 yds to the IU 45Similar
Q4 4:09
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+1
99.3%
Kaelon Black run for 1 yd to the IU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+10
99.4%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 10 yds to the ODU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:44
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
99.4%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 3 yds to the ODU 41Similar
Q4 1:53
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+22
99.5%
Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Elijah Sarratt for 22 yds to the ODU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:48
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
99.5%
Kaelon Black run for 2 yds to the ODU 17Similar
Q4 1:05
2ND & 8
OPP 17
+3
99.5%
Kaelon Black run for 3 yds to the ODU 14Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 5
OPP 14
+3
99.5%
Kaelon Black run for 3 yds to the ODU 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 11:09
Kaelon Black run for 2 yds for a TD (Nico Radicic KICK)
+5
TD · Q4 6:53
Colton Joseph run for 78 yds for a TD (Riley Callaghan KICK)
-4.4
TD · Q4 6:53
Timeout Indiana, clock 06:53
+4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com