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Win probability · MISS
modelMISS aheadFLA aheadconfidence bandkey playMISS scoreFLA score
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 14:05 · (14:12) #19 T.Doman punt 52 yards to the OM20 fair catch by #2 H.Wallace III at OM20
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
This game in five plays
- TD · Q2 9:39: (09:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss pass complete short middle to #1 D.Stribling caught at UF30, for 43 yards to the UF00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:39, 1ST DOWN #17 L.Carneiro kick attempt good (H: #33 O.Bird, LS: #93 C.Short) — MISS win probability +6.4 pts (now 72%) (top driver: MISS has the ball).
- TD · Q2 6:54: (07:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Lagway pass complete deep left to #9 J.Sturdivant caught at OM18, for 57 yards to the OM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:54, 1ST DOWN #29 T.Smack kick attempt good (H: #19 T.Doman, LS: #42 R.Underwood) — FLA win probability +9.1 pts (now 39%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
- FG · Q2 0:03: (00:05) #29 T.Smack field goal attempt from 38 yards GOOD (H: #19 T.Doman, LS: #42 R.Underwood), clock 00:03 — FLA win probability +9.3 pts (now 47%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
- TD · Q4 14:57: (14:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 K.Lacy rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UF00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:57 #17 L.Carneiro kick attempt good (H: #33 O.Bird, LS: #93 C.Short) — MISS win probability +25.8 pts (now 74%) (top driver: MISS has the ball).
- TD · Q4 1:43: (01:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 K.Lacy rush middle for 4 yards gain to the UF00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:43 #17 L.Carneiro kick attempt good (H: #33 O.Bird, LS: #93 C.Short) — MISS win probability +8.9 pts (now 97%) (top driver: MISS has the ball).
Was that the right call?
Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works
Fourth downs
MISS made the numbers' call on 10 of 10FLA made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
- Q1 14:05FLA 4th & 7 at FLA 28, tiedAgrees with the numbersPunted · 22.9% before the snapGo for it22.9%−0.136% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call23.0%average punt
- Q1 11:00MISS 4th & 3 at FLA 37, tiedAgrees with the numbersWent for it · 76.5% before the snapGo for itTheir call76.5%53% to convertField goal76.4%−0.140% to makePunt76.4%−0.1average punt
- Q1 7:07FLA 4th & 3 at FLA 32, down 7Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.3% before the snapGo for it22.4%−0.152% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call22.5%average punt
- Q1 3:58MISS 4th & 9 at FLA 10, up 7Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 77.7% before the snapGo for it77.4%−0.326% to convertField goalTheir call77.6%88% to makePunt75.8%−1.9average punt
- Q2 11:30MISS 4th & 1 at MISS 47, down 4Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 70.1% before the snapGo for itTheir call70.4%70% to convertField goalOut of rangePunt69.0%−1.4average punt
- Q2 1:52MISS 4th & 6 at FLA 6, down 4Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 64.1% before the snapGo for it62.7%−0.331% to convertField goalTheir call63.0%91% to makePunt56.9%−6.1average punt
- Q3 13:08MISS 4th & 7 at FLA 43, down 4Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 61.5% before the snapGo for itTheir call61.9%37% to convertField goal60.3%−1.728% to makePunt61.5%−0.4average punt
- Q3 9:49MISS 4th & 1 at FLA 7, down 4Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 60.4% before the snapGo for itTheir call60.1%70% to convertField goal56.4%−3.691% to makePunt46.3%−13.8average punt
- Q3 7:50MISS 4th & 1 at FLA 1, down 4Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 59.1% before the snapGo for itTheir call58.0%59% to convertField goal53.9%−4.194% to makePunt42.8%−15.2average punt
- Q3 5:15FLA 4th & 2 at FLA 48, up 4Numbers favored go for it by 2.1 ptsPunted · 48.4% before the snapGo for it49.5%57% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call47.4%−2.1average punt
- Q3 2:43MISS 4th & 21 at MISS 24, down 4Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.8% before the snapGo for it43.0%−6.28% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call49.2%average punt
- Q3 1:45FLA 4th & 5 at FLA 27, up 4Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.6% before the snapGo for it52.3%−1.240% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call53.5%average punt
- Q4 4:13MISS 4th & 1 at FLA 31, up 3Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 81.3% before the snapGo for itTheir call83.0%71% to convertField goal76.3%−6.754% to makePunt71.9%−11.1average punt
- Q4 2:40MISS 4th & 3 at FLA 3, up 3Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 85.7% before the snapGo for itTheir call84.4%44% to convertField goal80.4%−4.093% to makePunt60.3%−24.1average punt
- Q4 1:48FLA 4th & 9 at FLA 4, down 3Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.2% before the snapGo for itTheir call13.6%27% to convertField goalOut of rangePunt12.1%−1.5average punt
- Q4 1:14FLA 4th & 3 at FLA 32, down 10Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.0% before the snapGo for itTheir call4.8%52% to convertField goalOut of rangePunt4.7%−0.1average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MISS made the numbers' call on 4 of 4FLA made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
- Q1 9:09MISS Touchdown, up 6 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call77.1%97% to makeGo for two77.1%−<0.145% to convert
- Q1 1:13FLA Touchdown, down 4 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call25.5%97% to makeGo for two25.5%−<0.145% to convert
- Q2 9:39MISS Touchdown, up 2 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call73.6%97% to makeGo for two73.6%−0.145% to convert
- Q2 6:54FLA Touchdown, up 3 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call34.8%97% to makeGo for two34.7%−0.145% to convert
- Q4 14:57MISS Touchdown, up 2 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call69.6%97% to makeGo for two69.4%−0.245% to convert
- Q4 1:43MISS Touchdown, up 9 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call95.0%97% to makeGo for two94.7%−0.345% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chartFLADrive 1PUNT5 plays · 3 yds · 0:4928% → 28%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
72.3%
(14:58) Shotgun #2 D.Lagway pass incomplete short right to #89 H.Hansen thrown to UF29 QB hurried by #4 S.PerkinsSimilar
Q1 14:49
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
72.3%
(14:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Baugh rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UF28 (#16 W.Williams Jr.; #6 T.Dottery)Similar
Q1 14:13
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
72.2%
(14:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Lagway pass incomplete short left to #4 T.Abrams thrown to UF38Similar
Q1 14:05
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
72.2%
(14:12) #19 T.Doman punt 52 yards to the OM20 fair catch by #2 H.Wallace III at OM20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 2TD13 plays · 80 yds · 4:4372% → 74%
Q1 13:52
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+17
72.1%
(14:03) Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss pass complete short right to #2 H.Wallace III caught at OM33, for 17 yards to the OM37 (#5 M.Graham), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
72.1%
(13:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 K.Lacy rush middle for 3 yards gain to the OM40 (#93 M.Boireau)Similar
Q1 13:05
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+16
72.1%
(13:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss pass complete short middle to #8 D.Wright caught at UF48, for 16 yards to the UF44 (#6 J.Flowers), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 12:51
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
72.2%
(12:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 K.Lacy rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UF43 (#0 S.Denson; #93 M.Boireau)Similar
Q1 12:26
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+26
72.2%
(12:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss pass complete short left to #8 D.Wright caught at UF45, for 16 yards to the UF27 (#29 J.Robinson) PENALTY OM Holding (#2 H.Wallace III) 10 yards from UF27 to UF37Similar
Q1 12:04
2ND & 3
OPP 37
0
72.1%
(12:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 K.Lacy rush middle for 0 yards to the UF37 (#91 J.McCloud; #14 J.Castell)Similar
Q1 11:39
3RD & 3
OPP 37
0
72.1%
(11:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss pass complete short right to #19 C.Lee caught at UF39, for 0 yards to the UF37 (#0 S.Denson)Similar
Q1 11:00
4TH & 3
OPP 37
+4
71.8%
(11:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss pass complete short left to #2 H.Wallace III caught at UF33, for 4 yards to the UF33, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 10:53
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
72.1%
(10:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 K.Lacy rush middle for 6 yards gain to the UF27 (#95 J.Lyons) PENALTY UF Illegal Substitution 5 yards from UF33 to UF28. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 10:28
1ST & 5
OPP 28
+6
72.1%
(10:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 K.Lacy rush middle for 6 yards gain to the UF22 (#24 K.James), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 9:58
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+12
72.0%
(10:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss pass complete short right to #1 D.Stribling caught at UF12, for 12 yards to the UF10 (#14 J.Castell), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 9:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+7
72.0%
(09:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 K.Lacy rush middle for 7 yards gain to the UF03 (#14 J.Castell)Similar
Q1 9:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
73.7%
(09:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 K.Lacy rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UF00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:09, 1ST DOWN #17 L.Carneiro kick attempt good (H: #33 O.Bird, LS: #93 C.Short)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 3PUNT5 plays · 7 yds · 1:5527% → 27%
Q1 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
73.0%
(09:09) Shotgun #13 J.Baugh rush middle for 0 yards to the UF25 (#4 S.Perkins)Similar
Q1 8:28
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
73.1%
(08:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Lagway pass complete short right to #9 J.Sturdivant caught at UF20, for 5 yards to the UF30 (#16 W.Williams Jr.)Similar
Q1 7:45
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+2
73.2%
(07:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Lagway rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UF32 (#5 K.Franklin)Similar
Q1 7:07
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
73.5%
(07:13) #19 T.Doman punt 40 yards to the OM28 fair catch by #2 H.Wallace III at OM28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 4FG7 plays · 62 yds · 3:0373% → 74%
Q1 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+8
73.4%
(07:06) Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss pass complete short left to #17 W.Watkins caught at OM35, for 8 yards to the OM36 (#25 C.McClain), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 6:48
2ND & 2
OWN 36
+12
73.8%
(06:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 K.Lacy rush middle for 12 yards gain to the OM48 (#18 B.Thornton), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+41
74.1%
(06:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 K.Lacy rush middle for 41 yards gain to the UF11 (#14 J.Castell), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 5:43
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
74.3%
(05:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss rush right for 4 yards gain to the UF07 (#28 D.Moore), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 5:12
2ND & 6
OPP 7
+1
74.4%
(05:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UF06 (#90 B.Bett)Similar
Q1 4:36
3RD & 5
OPP 6
-4
74.2%
(04:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss sacked for loss of 4 yards to the UF10 (#5 M.Graham)Similar
Q1 3:58
4TH & 9
OPP 10
+27
74.4%
(03:58) #17 L.Carneiro field goal attempt from 27 yards GOOD (H: #33 O.Bird, LS: #93 C.Short), clock 03:58Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 5TD8 plays · 75 yds · 2:3627% → 31%
Q1 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
73.4%
(03:56) Shotgun #13 J.Baugh rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UF27 (#52 W.Echoles)Similar
Q1 3:08
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-1
73.9%
(03:19) Shotgun #2 D.Lagway pass complete short right to #13 J.Baugh caught at UF21, for 1 yard loss to the UF26 (#30 J.Yates; #52 W.Echoles). #52 W.Echoles injured on the playSimilar
Q1 2:54
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+10
74.3%
(02:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Lagway rush middle for 10 yards gain to the UF36 (#16 W.Williams Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+47
73.9%
(02:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Lagway pass complete deep middle to #4 T.Abrams caught at OM30, for 47 yards to the OM17 (#14 K.Gushiken), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 1:47
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+12
72.8%
(01:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Lagway rush left for 12 yards gain to the OM05 (#8 A.Kite), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 1:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
72.8%
(01:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Lagway pass incomplete short right to #4 T.Abrams thrown to OM00 broken up by #51 Z.Harris QB hurried by #51 Z.HarrisSimilar
Q1 1:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
69.0%
(01:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Lagway rush middle for 5 yards gain to the OM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:13 #29 T.Smack kick attempt good (H: #19 T.Doman, LS: #42 R.Underwood)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 6INT2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0071% → 71%
Q1 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-25
70.5%
(01:10) Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss pass intercepted by #15 J.Woods at OM30 #15 J.Woods return 25 yards to the OM05 (#6 T.Chambliss)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 7TD4 plays · 5 yds · 0:5631% → 35%
Q1 0:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
68.9%
(00:56) Shotgun #13 J.Baugh rush right for 1 yard gain to the OM04 (#44 A.Jones)Similar
Q1 0:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
68.8%
(00:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Lagway sacked for loss of 3 yards to the OM07 (#5 K.Franklin) PENALTY OM Face Mask (#5 K.Franklin) 2 yards from OM04 to OM02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 14:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
65.1%
(14:56) No Huddle #13 J.Baugh rush right for 2 yards gain to the OM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:56 #29 T.Smack kick attempt good (H: #19 T.Doman, LS: #42 R.Underwood)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 8TD13 plays · 75 yds · 5:1067% → 72%
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
66.7%
(14:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 K.Lacy rush middle for 1 yard gain to the OM26 (#8 A.Chiles)Similar
Q2 14:18
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+4
66.4%
(14:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss pass complete short left to #8 D.Wright caught at OM29, for 4 yards to the OM30 (#43 A.Allen Jr.)Similar
Q2 13:36
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+8
65.9%
(13:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss pass complete short right to #2 H.Wallace III caught at OM38, for 8 yards to the OM38 (#0 S.Denson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-1
67.2%
(13:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss sacked for loss of 1 yard to the OM37 (#29 J.Robinson, #8 A.Chiles)Similar
Q2 12:36
2ND & 11
OWN 37
+9
66.7%
(12:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss pass complete short left to #11 D.Alexander caught at OM35, for 9 yards to the OM46 (#14 J.Castell)Similar
Q2 12:11
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+1
67.4%
(12:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 K.Lacy rush middle for 1 yard gain to the OM47 (#24 K.James)Similar
Q2 11:30
4TH & 1
OWN 47
+10
67.0%
(11:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 K.Lacy rush middle for 10 yards gain to the UF43 (#95 J.Lyons; #8 A.Chiles), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 11:02
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
67.9%
(11:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 K.Lacy rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UF41 (#14 J.Castell)Similar
Q2 10:30
2ND & 8
OPP 41
-7
67.7%
(10:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss sacked for loss of 7 yards to the UF48 (#90 B.Bett)Similar
Q2 9:55
3RD & 15
OPP 48
+5
65.1%
(09:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss pass incomplete deep right to #8 D.Wright thrown to UF24 QB hurried by #14 J.Castell and #5 M.Graham PENALTY UF Offside (#94 T.Sapp) 5 yards from UF48 to UF43. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 9:39
3RD & 10
OPP 43
+43
71.5%
(09:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss pass complete short middle to #1 D.Stribling caught at UF30, for 43 yards to the UF00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:39, 1ST DOWN #17 L.Carneiro kick attempt good (H: #33 O.Bird, LS: #93 C.Short)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 9TD6 plays · 75 yds · 2:3930% → 39%
Q2 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
70.3%
(09:39) Shotgun #2 D.Lagway pass complete short right to #89 H.Hansen caught at UF26, for 4 yards to the UF29 (#14 K.Gushiken), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 9:02
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
69.9%
(09:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Baugh rush right for 5 yards gain to the UF34 (#52 W.Echoles)Similar
Q2 8:23
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
69.5%
(08:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Lagway rush right for 3 yards gain to the UF37 (#5 K.Franklin; #44 A.Jones), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
69.8%
(07:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Baugh rush middle for 6 yards gain to the UF43 (#44 A.Jones)Similar
Q2 6:54
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+57
60.7%
(07:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Lagway pass complete deep left to #9 J.Sturdivant caught at OM18, for 57 yards to the OM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:54, 1ST DOWN #29 T.Smack kick attempt good (H: #19 T.Doman, LS: #42 R.Underwood)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 10FG17 plays · 69 yds · 4:5563% → 66%
Q2 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
62.9%
(06:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 K.Lacy rush right for 9 yards gain to the OM34 (#43 A.Allen Jr.; #94 T.Sapp)Similar
Q2 6:23
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+11
64.4%
(06:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 K.Lacy rush middle for 11 yards gain to the OM45 (#33 B.Taylor Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
64.6%
(06:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss pass incomplete short right to #17 W.Watkins thrown to OM41Similar
Q2 5:53
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+2
63.5%
(05:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 K.Lacy rush right for 2 yards gain to the OM47 (#14 J.Castell; #5 M.Graham)Similar
Q2 5:08
3RD & 8
OWN 47
+10
62.6%
(05:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss pass complete short right to #4 C.Odom caught at UF44, for 10 yards to the UF43 (#43 A.Allen Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
64.8%
(04:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UF40 (#29 J.Robinson; #33 B.Taylor Jr.)Similar
Q2 4:22
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+3
64.7%
(04:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 K.Lacy rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UF37 (#94 T.Sapp)Similar
Q2 3:44
3RD & 4
OPP 37
+6
64.3%
(03:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss rush middle for 6 yards gain to the UF31 (#90 B.Bett), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:58
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+22
65.5%
(03:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss pass complete deep right to #2 H.Wallace III caught at UF11, for 22 yards to the UF09 (#18 B.Thornton), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
65.2%
(02:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss pass complete short left to #2 H.Wallace III caught at UF10, for 2 yards to the UF07 (#29 J.Robinson)Similar
Q2 2:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
65.9%
(02:15) Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss pass complete short right to #1 D.Stribling caught at UF00, for 7 yards to the UF00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 02:08 PENALTY OM Ineligible Downfield on Pass (#75 P.Kutas) 5 yards from UF07 to UF12. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 2:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
+6
65.4%
(02:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss pass complete short right to #5 K.Lacy caught at UF15, for 6 yards to the UF06 (#0 S.Denson; #18 B.Thornton)Similar
Q2 1:54
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
63.5%
(02:00) Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss pass incomplete short middle to #8 D.Wright thrown to UF00Similar
Q2 1:52
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
65.8%
(01:52) #17 L.Carneiro field goal attempt from 23 yards GOOD (H: #33 O.Bird, LS: #93 C.Short), clock 01:52Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 11FG16 plays · 55 yds · 1:4438% → 47%
Q2 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
62.2%
(01:49) Shotgun #2 D.Lagway pass incomplete short right to #4 T.Abrams thrown to UF25Similar
Q2 1:38
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+17
62.4%
(01:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Baugh rush left for 17 yards gain to the UF42 (#16 W.Williams Jr.), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
59.8%
(01:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Lagway pass incomplete short left to #89 H.Hansen thrown to UF45Similar
Q2 1:29
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
60.4%
(01:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Lagway pass incomplete short right to #4 T.Abrams thrown to OM45 QB hurried by #52 W.EcholesSimilar
Q2 1:23
3RD & 10
OWN 42
+11
61.4%
(01:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Lagway pass complete short middle to #4 T.Abrams caught at UF48, for 11 yards to the OM47 (#16 W.Williams Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+18
58.1%
(01:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Lagway pass complete short middle to #4 T.Abrams caught at OM43, for 18 yards to the OM29 (#6 T.Dottery), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
56.2%
(00:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Lagway pass complete short right to #13 J.Baugh caught at OM26, for 4 yards to the OM25 (#4 S.Perkins), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 0:34
2ND & 6
OPP 25
0
56.2%
(00:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Lagway pass incomplete short right to #89 H.Hansen thrown to OM20 broken up by #4 S.Perkins. #58 A.Barber injured on the playSimilar
Q2 0:27
3RD & 6
OPP 25
+10
57.3%
(00:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Lagway pass complete short middle to #13 J.Baugh caught at OM19, for 10 yards to the OM15 (#16 W.Williams Jr.), 1ST DOWN. #16 W.Williams Jr. injured on the playSimilar
Q2 0:07
2ND & 15
OPP 20
0
57.0%
(00:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Lagway pass incomplete deep right to #4 T.Abrams thrown to OM00 broken up by #8 A.KiteSimilar
Q2 0:03
3RD & 15
OPP 20
+38
53.4%
(00:05) #29 T.Smack field goal attempt from 38 yards GOOD (H: #19 T.Doman, LS: #42 R.Underwood), clock 00:03Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 13DOWNS18 plays · 73 yds · 7:0259% → 56%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
58.5%
(14:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss pass complete short left to #19 C.Lee caught at OM30, for 15 yards to the OM40 (#28 D.Moore), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+14
60.5%
(14:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss pass complete short left to #1 D.Stribling caught at UF46, for 14 yards to the UF46, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 14:09
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
61.7%
(14:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 K.Lacy rush left for 4 yards gain to the UF42 (#5 M.Graham; #18 B.Thornton)Similar
Q3 13:43
2ND & 6
OPP 42
0
61.6%
(13:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss pass incomplete short left to #5 K.Lacy thrown to UF45Similar
Q3 13:34
3RD & 6
OPP 42
-1
61.1%
(13:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 W.Watkins rush right for 1 yard loss to the UF43 (#5 M.Graham)Similar
Q3 13:08
4TH & 7
OPP 43
+8
58.5%
(13:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss pass complete short middle to #6 T.Chambliss caught at UF49, for 8 yards to the UF35 (#14 J.Castell), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 12:28
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+19
62.3%
(12:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss pass complete short right to #19 C.Lee caught at UF20, for 19 yards to the UF16 (#14 J.Castell), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+15
62.2%
(12:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss pass complete short left to #19 C.Lee caught at UF17, for 1 yard to the UF15 (#14 J.Castell) PENALTY OM Face Mask (#8 D.Wright) 15 yards from UF16 to UF31. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 11:42
1ST & 25
OPP 31
+17
61.4%
(11:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss rush middle for 17 yards gain to the UF14 (#14 J.Castell)Similar
Q3 11:09
2ND & 8
OPP 14
+1
61.8%
(11:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UF13 (#43 A.Allen Jr.; #93 M.Boireau)Similar
Q3 10:23
3RD & 7
OPP 13
+6
59.6%
(10:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 H.Wallace III rush left for 6 yards gain to the UF07 (#0 S.Denson; #5 M.Graham)Similar
Q3 9:49
4TH & 1
OPP 7
+3
57.7%
(09:51) Shotgun #5 K.Lacy rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UF04 (#24 K.James), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 9:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
60.9%
(09:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 K.Lacy rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UF02 (#5 M.Graham)Similar
Q3 8:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
60.7%
(08:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 K.Lacy rush middle for 0 yards to the UF02 (#5 M.Graham)Similar
Q3 7:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
58.2%
(07:55) Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss pass incomplete short right to #1 D.Stribling thrown to UF00 QB hurried by #18 B.ThorntonSimilar
Q3 7:50
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
56.3%
(07:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss pass incomplete short right to #2 H.Wallace III thrown to UF01, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 14PUNT5 plays · 46 yds · 2:2347% → 52%
Q3 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+38
52.8%
(07:49) Shotgun #2 D.Lagway pass complete short right to #86 T.Livingston caught at UF04, for 38 yards to the UF40 (#8 A.Kite), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
46.9%
(07:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Baugh rush right for 1 yard gain to the UF41 (#44 A.Jones; #52 W.Echoles)Similar
Q3 6:27
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+3
47.1%
(06:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Lagway pass complete short right to #13 J.Baugh caught at UF44, for 3 yards to the UF44 (#8 A.Kite), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 5:55
3RD & 6
OWN 44
+4
46.6%
(06:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Baugh rush middle for 4 yards gain to the UF48 (#16 W.Williams Jr.; #44 A.Jones)Similar
Q3 5:15
4TH & 2
OWN 48
0
47.6%
(05:21) #19 T.Doman punt 36 yards to the OM16 fair catch by #2 H.Wallace III at OM16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 15PUNT5 plays · 8 yds · 2:2451% → 44%
Q3 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+19
51.1%
(05:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 K.Lacy rush middle for 19 yards gain to the OM35 (#18 B.Thornton), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
50.5%
(04:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss pass complete short right to #5 K.Lacy caught at OM29, for 1 yard loss to the OM34 (#34 G.Gumbs Jr.)Similar
Q3 4:00
2ND & 11
OWN 34
-4
49.8%
(04:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss sacked for loss of 4 yards to the OM30 (#2 L.Hayward)Similar
Q3 3:27
3RD & 15
OWN 30
-6
45.5%
(03:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss sacked for loss of 6 yards to the OM24 (#29 J.Robinson)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 16PUNT4 plays · 5 yds · 0:5157% → 55%
Q3 2:36
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
43.2%
(02:41) Shotgun #13 J.Baugh rush middle for 5 yards gain to the UF27 (#6 T.Dottery)Similar
Q3 2:06
2ND & 5
OWN 27
0
41.4%
(02:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Lagway pass incomplete deep left to #9 J.Sturdivant thrown to OM49Similar
Q3 1:57
3RD & 5
OWN 27
0
42.9%
(02:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Lagway pass incomplete short right to #9 J.Sturdivant thrown to UF35 QB hurried by #44 A.JonesSimilar
Q3 1:45
4TH & 5
OWN 27
+3
45.4%
(01:55) #19 T.Doman punt 62 yards to the OM11 #2 H.Wallace III return 3 yards to the OM14 (#6 J.Flowers; #42 R.Underwood)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 17TD7 plays · 86 yds · 1:4346% → 74%
Q3 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+7
46.3%
(01:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss pass complete short left to #11 D.Alexander caught at OM12, for 7 yards to the OM21 (#15 J.Woods; #43 A.Allen Jr.), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 1:14
2ND & 3
OWN 21
+14
46.8%
(01:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss pass complete short right to #19 C.Lee caught at OM27, for 14 yards to the OM35 (#25 C.McClain), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
47.0%
(00:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss pass incomplete deep left to #11 D.Alexander thrown to UF37Similar
Q3 0:42
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+5
46.4%
(00:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 K.Lacy rush right for 5 yards gain to the OM40 (#33 B.Taylor Jr.)Similar
Q3 0:09
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+59
47.8%
(00:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 K.Lacy rush middle for 59 yards gain to the UF01 (#0 S.Denson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 14:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
73.5%
(14:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 K.Lacy rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UF00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:57 #17 L.Carneiro kick attempt good (H: #33 O.Bird, LS: #93 C.Short)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 18INT12 plays · 45 yds · 5:3532% → 38%
Q4 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
68.3%
(14:55) Shotgun #9 J.Sturdivant rush left for 1 yard gain to the UF26 (#4 S.Perkins)Similar
Q4 14:07
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+12
69.6%
(14:12) Shotgun #21 K.Daniels rush middle for 12 yards gain to the UF38 (#4 S.Perkins), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
67.2%
(13:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Lagway rush left for 2 yards gain to the UF40 (#6 T.Dottery), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 12:53
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+1
66.7%
(12:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Lagway pass complete short left to #89 H.Hansen caught at UF41, for 1 yard to the UF41 (#16 W.Williams Jr.)Similar
Q4 12:13
3RD & 7
OWN 41
+13
67.6%
(12:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Lagway pass complete short left to #11 A.Mizell caught at OM46, for 13 yards to the OM46 (#8 A.Kite), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 11:49
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+8
63.6%
(11:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Baugh rush middle for 8 yards gain to the OM38 (#6 T.Dottery)Similar
Q4 11:10
2ND & 2
OPP 38
+1
62.8%
(11:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Baugh rush left for 1 yard gain to the OM37 (#52 W.Echoles)Similar
Q4 10:49
3RD & 1
OPP 37
+2
63.0%
(10:52) No Huddle #2 D.Lagway rush middle for 2 yards gain to the OM35 (#52 W.Echoles), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 10:16
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
61.5%
(10:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Baugh rush right for 3 yards gain to the OM32 (#3 S.Ryan)Similar
Q4 9:47
2ND & 7
OPP 32
+2
60.3%
(09:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Lagway pass complete short right to #11 A.Mizell caught at OM30, for 2 yards to the OM30, End Of Play. #8 A.Kite injured on the playSimilar
Q4 9:11
3RD & 5
OPP 30
-12
62.2%
(09:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Lagway pass intercepted by #16 W.Williams Jr. at OM20 broken up by #4 S.Perkins #16 W.Williams Jr. return 12 yards to the OM32 (#2 D.Lagway)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 19DOWNS16 plays · 65 yds · 6:2274% → 88%
Q4 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
73.8%
(09:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 K.Lacy rush middle for 0 yards to the OM32 (#0 S.Denson)Similar
Q4 8:31
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+15
73.2%
(08:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss pass complete short right to #2 H.Wallace III caught at OM37, for 15 yards to the OM47 (#28 D.Moore), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
76.7%
(08:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 K.Lacy rush right for 3 yards gain to the OM50 (#93 M.Boireau)Similar
Q4 7:38
2ND & 7
50
+3
76.9%
(07:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 K.Lacy rush right for 3 yards gain to the UF47 fumbled by #5 K.Lacy at UF47 forced by #34 G.Gumbs Jr. recovered by OM #5 K.Lacy at UF47, End Of PlaySimilar
Q4 6:34
3RD & 4
OPP 47
+7
77.2%
(06:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss pass complete short left to #17 W.Watkins caught at UF40, for 7 yards to the UF40, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 6:01
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
78.5%
(06:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 L.Diggs rush middle for 0 yards to the UF40 (#90 B.Bett; #24 K.James)Similar
Q4 5:26
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+7
78.2%
(05:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss pass complete short right to #1 D.Stribling caught at UF33, for 7 yards to the UF33 (#18 B.Thornton)Similar
Q4 4:53
3RD & 3
OPP 33
+2
78.7%
(05:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 K.Lacy rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UF31 (#5 M.Graham; #24 K.James)Similar
Q4 4:13
4TH & 1
OPP 31
+4
80.8%
(04:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 K.Lacy rush middle for 4 yards gain to the UF27 (#95 J.Lyons; #90 B.Bett), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 3:38
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+19
84.1%
(03:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss pass complete short right to #17 W.Watkins caught at UF20, for 19 yards to the UF08 (#28 D.Moore; #0 S.Denson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
87.6%
(03:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 L.Diggs rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UF06 (#34 G.Gumbs Jr.; #43 A.Allen Jr.)Similar
Q4 2:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
88.0%
(02:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 K.Lacy rush right for 3 yards gain to the UF03 (#43 A.Allen Jr.)Similar
Q4 2:47
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
89.5%
(02:49) No Huddle #6 T.Chambliss pass incomplete short right to #8 D.Wright thrown to UF00 QB hurried by #5 M.GrahamSimilar
Q4 2:40
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
0
88.2%
(02:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss pass incomplete short left to #8 D.Wright thrown to UF00, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 20DOWNS5 plays · 1 yds · 0:4821% → 12%
Q4 2:36
1ST & 10
OWN 3
0
79.4%
(02:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Lagway pass incomplete short right to #13 J.Baugh thrown to UF10Similar
Q4 2:29
2ND & 10
OWN 3
+3
81.2%
(02:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Baugh rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UF06 (#51 Z.Harris)Similar
Q4 1:56
3RD & 7
OWN 6
-2
82.7%
(01:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Lagway sacked for loss of 2 yards to the UF04 (#1 P.Umanmielen) PENALTY UF Holding declinedSimilar
Q4 1:48
4TH & 9
OWN 4
0
88.1%
(01:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Lagway pass incomplete deep left to #9 J.Sturdivant thrown to OM48 broken up by #3 S.Ryan, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 21TD1 play · 4 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 1:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
97.0%
(01:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 K.Lacy rush middle for 4 yards gain to the UF00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:43 #17 L.Carneiro kick attempt good (H: #33 O.Bird, LS: #93 C.Short)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 22DOWNS5 plays · 6 yds · 0:193% → 3%
Q4 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
96.7%
(01:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Lagway pass incomplete short right to #11 A.Mizell thrown to UF29 QB hurried by #1 P.Umanmielen PENALTY UF Ineligible Downfield on Pass declinedSimilar
Q4 1:25
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
96.8%
(01:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Lagway pass incomplete deep middle to #9 J.Sturdivant thrown to OM47Similar
Q4 1:23
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+7
96.9%
(01:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Lagway pass complete short right to #0 N.Montgomery caught at UF31, for 7 yards to the UF32 (#4 S.Perkins), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 1:14
4TH & 3
OWN 32
-1
96.9%
(01:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Lagway pass complete short left to #11 A.Mizell caught at UF31, for 1 yard loss to the UF31 (#13 C.Beavers), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 14:57
(14:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 K.Lacy rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UF00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:57 #17 L.Carneiro kick attempt good (H: #33 O.Bird, LS: #93 C.Short)
+25.8
FG · Q2 0:03
(00:05) #29 T.Smack field goal attempt from 38 yards GOOD (H: #19 T.Doman, LS: #42 R.Underwood), clock 00:03
-9.3
TD · Q2 6:54
(07:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Lagway pass complete deep left to #9 J.Sturdivant caught at OM18, for 57 yards to the OM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:54, 1ST DOWN #29 T.Smack kick attempt good (H: #19 T.Doman, LS: #42 R.Underwood)
-9.1