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FLA

Florida 7 at Kentucky 38

UK
2025 · Week 11 · Nov 8, 2025 · Kroger Field
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Win probability · UK
modelUK aheadFLA aheadconfidence bandkey playUK scoreFLA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 2:22 · (02:31) #19 T.Doman punt 27 yards to the UK14 muffed by #9 J.Maclin at UK14 recovered by UF #42 R.Underwood at UK13, End Of Play
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 32Home team on offense+0.0Pregame prior−15.3Score differential+0.1Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.4Blowout margin+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:39: (12:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Boley pass complete deep right to #4 J.Hester caught at UF03, for 29 yards to the UF00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:39, 1ST DOWN #91 J.Kauwe kick attempt good (H: #93 W.Berry, LS: #42 A.McLaughlin) — UK win probability +4.3 pts (now 42%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 3:32: (03:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Boley pass complete short right to #26 J.Patterson caught at UF01, for 15 yards to the UF00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:32, 1ST DOWN #91 J.Kauwe kick attempt good (H: #93 W.Berry, LS: #42 A.McLaughlin) — UK win probability +13.0 pts (now 62%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:26: (01:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 S.McGowan rush right for 2 yards gain to the UF00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:26 #91 J.Kauwe kick attempt good (H: #93 W.Berry, LS: #42 A.McLaughlin) — UK win probability +13.8 pts (now 78%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:30: (00:33) Shotgun #8 C.Boley pass incomplete short right thrown to UF15 QB hurried by #2 L.Hayward — UK win probability +6.6 pts (now 79%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 7:34: (07:36) Shotgun #3 S.McGowan rush middle for 5 yards gain to the UF00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:34 #91 J.Kauwe kick attempt good (H: #93 W.Berry, LS: #42 A.McLaughlin) — UK win probability +5.7 pts (now 93%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UK made the numbers' call on 4 of 4FLA made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
  1. Q1 6:42UK 4th & 8 at FLA 21, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 42.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.5%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    42.8%
    74% to make
    Punt
    41.1%−1.6
    average punt
  2. Q1 2:22FLA 4th & 5 at UK 41, down 3
    Close callPunted · 56.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.3%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    55.8%−0.5
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    56.0%−0.3
    average punt
  3. Q2 7:45UK 4th & 1 at midfield, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 49.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    50.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    48.0%−2.0
    average punt
  4. Q2 4:05UK 4th & 1 at FLA 18, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 51.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    52.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    50.4%−2.0
    79% to make
    Punt
    44.9%−7.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 2:38FLA 4th & 4 at FLA 31, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.4%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.5%
    average punt
  6. Q3 4:13FLA 4th & 3 at UK 38, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.7%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    3.8%−0.9
    38% to make
    Punt
    3.8%−0.9
    average punt
  7. Q3 2:16FLA 4th & 1 at UK 37, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    2.2%−1.2
    40% to make
    Punt
    2.1%−1.4
    average punt
  8. Q3 0:31FLA 4th & 20 at UK 44, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.1%−0.6
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    2.4%−0.3
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    2.7%
    average punt
  9. Q4 9:29FLA 4th & 6 at UK 49, down 31
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.2%
    average punt
  10. Q4 6:09UK 4th & 5 at FLA 34, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−<0.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 2:21FLA 4th & 9 at UK 24, down 31
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%
    68% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UK made the numbers' call on 4 of 4FLA made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 1:12FLA Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:39UK Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:26UK Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 7:34UK Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 12:16UK Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FLADrive 1INT
10 plays · 31 yds · 4:1169% → 67%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
31.3%
(14:59) Shotgun #13 J.Baugh rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UF26 (#7 D.Rayner; #3 A.Afari Jr.)Similar
Q1 14:16
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+5
31.6%
(14:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Lagway pass complete short right to #4 T.Abrams caught at UF31, for 5 yards to the UF31 (#6 J.Hardaway)Similar
Q1 13:30
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+5
31.9%
(13:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Lagway rush left for 5 yards gain to the UF36 (#12 Q.Scott), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
32.2%
(13:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Lagway pass complete short right to #4 T.Abrams caught at UF35, for 1 yard to the UF37, End Of PlaySimilar
Q1 12:23
2ND & 9
OWN 37
-1
32.3%
(12:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Baugh rush middle for 1 yard loss to the UF36 (#2 S.Greene)Similar
Q1 11:42
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+22
32.8%
(11:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Lagway pass complete short middle to #8 V.Brown III caught at UK45, for 22 yards to the UK42 (#14 T.Bryant), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 11:25
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
32.5%
(11:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Lagway pass incomplete short right to #8 V.Brown III thrown to UK23Similar
Q1 11:18
2ND & 10
OPP 42
-2
32.5%
(11:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Baugh rush right for 2 yards loss to the UK44 (#34 L.Cowan)Similar
Q1 10:43
3RD & 12
OPP 44
-17
33.4%
(10:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Lagway pass intercepted by #14 T.Bryant at UK32 broken up by #7 D.Rayner #14 T.Bryant return 17 yards to the UK49 (#8 V.Brown III)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 2FG
10 plays · 30 yds · 3:4034% → 36%
Q1 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
34.1%
(10:30) Shotgun #8 C.Boley pass complete short right to #84 J.Kattus caught at UF48, for 4 yards to the UF47 (#28 D.Moore)Similar
Q1 9:54
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+3
34.5%
(10:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 S.McGowan rush left for 3 yards gain to the UF44 (#93 M.Boireau)Similar
Q1 9:19
3RD & 3
OPP 44
+8
34.8%
(09:25) Shotgun #8 C.Boley pass complete short right to #17 H.Gilmore IV caught at UF41, for 8 yards to the UF36 (#0 S.Denson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 8:39
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-1
35.2%
(08:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 J.Patterson rush middle for 1 yard loss to the UF37 (#34 G.Gumbs Jr.)Similar
Q1 8:06
2ND & 11
OPP 37
0
35.6%
(08:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Boley pass incomplete short right to #1 K.Law thrown to UF29Similar
Q1 7:55
3RD & 11
OPP 37
+14
35.4%
(08:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Boley pass complete short right to #7 D.Miller caught at UF30, for 14 yards to the UF23 (#28 D.Moore), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 7:29
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
36.1%
(07:31) Shotgun #8 C.Boley pass incomplete short left to #7 D.Miller thrown to UF20 broken up by #0 S.DensonSimilar
Q1 7:21
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+2
36.2%
(07:28) Shotgun #1 K.Law rush left for 2 yards gain to the UF21 (#14 J.Castell)Similar
Q1 6:48
3RD & 8
OPP 21
0
36.3%
(06:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Boley pass incomplete short left to #2 D.Dowdell thrown to UF22Similar
Q1 6:42
4TH & 8
OPP 21
+39
35.9%
(06:47) #91 J.Kauwe field goal attempt from 39 yards GOOD (H: #93 W.Berry, LS: #42 A.McLaughlin), clock 06:42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 3PUNT
12 plays · 34 yds · 4:1364% → 63%
Q1 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
36.0%
(06:41) Shotgun #13 J.Baugh rush left for 5 yards gain to the UF30 (#22 G.Godfrey)Similar
Q1 6:05
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
36.0%
(06:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Baugh rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UF32 (#7 D.Rayner)Similar
Q1 5:28
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+10
36.6%
(05:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Lagway pass complete short left to #9 J.Sturdivant caught at UF42, for 10 yards to the UF42, out of bounds at UF42, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
36.1%
(05:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Baugh rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UF44 (#7 D.Rayner)Similar
Q1 4:44
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+7
36.3%
(04:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Lagway rush right for 7 yards gain to the UK49 (#18 C.Dooley)Similar
Q1 4:19
3RD & 1
OPP 49
+3
36.3%
(04:22) No Huddle #2 D.Lagway rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UK46 (#92 K.Saunders), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:02
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+8
36.3%
(04:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Baugh rush right for 8 yards gain to the UK38 (#14 T.Bryant)Similar
Q1 3:29
2ND & 2
OPP 38
+5
36.5%
(03:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Lagway pass complete deep left to #9 J.Sturdivant caught at UK18, for 20 yards to the UK18, End Of Play PENALTY UF Illegal Formation 5 yards from UK38 to UK43. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 3:08
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+2
36.8%
(03:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Lagway pass complete short left to #13 J.Baugh caught at UK49, for 2 yards to the UK41 (#14 T.Bryant)Similar
Q1 2:32
3RD & 5
OPP 41
0
36.8%
(02:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Lagway pass incomplete deep right to #11 A.Mizell thrown to UK12 broken up by #6 J.HardawaySimilar
Q1 2:22
4TH & 5
OPP 41
+27
37.5%
(02:31) #19 T.Doman punt 27 yards to the UK14 muffed by #9 J.Maclin at UK14 recovered by UF #42 R.Underwood at UK13, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 4TD
3 plays · 13 yds · 1:0464% → 66%
Q1 2:16
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-1
36.2%
(02:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Baugh rush middle for 1 yard loss to the UK14 (#15 C.Works; #18 C.Dooley)Similar
Q1 1:51
2ND & 11
OPP 14
+4
36.6%
(01:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Lagway rush right for 4 yards gain to the UK10 (#15 C.Works), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 1:12
3RD & 7
OPP 10
+10
33.8%
(01:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Lagway pass complete short middle to #13 J.Baugh caught at UK05, for 10 yards to the UK00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:12, 1ST DOWN #29 T.Smack kick attempt good (H: #19 T.Doman, LS: #42 R.Underwood)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 5TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:1735% → 42%
Q1 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-7
34.9%
(01:11) Shotgun #8 C.Boley pass complete short right to #1 K.Law caught at UK19, for 7 yards loss to the UK18 (#8 A.Chiles)Similar
Q1 0:30
2ND & 17
OWN 18
+11
34.8%
(00:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 S.McGowan rush middle for 11 yards gain to the UK29 (#8 A.Chiles)Similar
Q2 14:50
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+8
34.8%
(14:59) Shotgun #8 C.Boley pass complete short middle to #81 W.Rodriguez caught at UK34, for 8 yards to the UK37 (#14 J.Castell), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 14:24
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+11
35.8%
(14:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Boley pass complete short right to #1 K.Law caught at UK48, for 11 yards to the UK48 (#0 S.Denson), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
36.8%
(14:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Dowdell rush middle for 7 yards gain to the UF45 (#93 M.Boireau)Similar
Q2 13:53
2ND & 3
OPP 45
+6
37.3%
(13:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Boley pass complete short left to #7 D.Miller caught at UF48, for 6 yards to the UF39 (#6 J.Flowers), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 13:31
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
37.4%
(13:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Dowdell rush middle for 5 yards gain to the UF34 (#24 K.James)Similar
Q2 13:11
2ND & 5
OPP 34
+5
38.2%
(13:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Dowdell rush middle for 5 yards gain to the UF29 (#0 S.Denson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:39
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+29
42.4%
(12:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Boley pass complete deep right to #4 J.Hester caught at UF03, for 29 yards to the UF00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:39, 1ST DOWN #91 J.Kauwe kick attempt good (H: #93 W.Berry, LS: #42 A.McLaughlin)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 6FUMBLE
8 plays · 34 yds · 2:5059% → 59%
Q2 12:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
40.7%
(12:38) Shotgun #13 J.Baugh rush middle for 8 yards gain to the UF33 (#18 C.Dooley)Similar
Q2 12:10
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+6
39.9%
(12:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Lagway pass complete short right to #11 A.Mizell caught at UF30, for 6 yards to the UF39 (#12 Q.Scott; #14 T.Bryant), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-2
40.2%
(11:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Baugh rush middle for 2 yards loss to the UF37 (#22 G.Godfrey)Similar
Q2 10:58
2ND & 12
OWN 37
+12
41.6%
(11:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Lagway pass complete short right to #9 J.Sturdivant caught at UF42, for 12 yards to the UF49 (#22 G.Godfrey), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
40.7%
(10:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Lagway pass complete short left to #4 T.Abrams caught at UF46, for 5 yards to the UK46 (#34 L.Cowan; #18 C.Dooley)Similar
Q2 9:43
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+6
40.6%
(09:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 K.Daniels rush middle for 6 yards gain to the UK40 fumbled by #21 K.Daniels at UK41 forced by #34 L.Cowan recovered by UK #18 C.Dooley at UK40 #18 C.Dooley return 1 yard to the UK41, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 7TD
12 plays · 59 yds · 6:0344% → 62%
Q2 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
44.2%
(09:43) Shotgun #3 S.McGowan rush right for 5 yards gain to the UK46 (#18 B.Thornton)Similar
Q2 9:05
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+3
45.1%
(09:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 S.McGowan rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UK49 (#8 A.Chiles)Similar
Q2 8:21
3RD & 2
OWN 49
+1
45.0%
(08:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Boley pass complete short right to #17 H.Gilmore IV caught at UK50, for 1 yard to the UK50 (#18 B.Thornton)Similar
Q2 7:45
4TH & 1
50
+4
45.7%
(07:51) Shotgun #3 S.McGowan rush middle for 4 yards gain to the UF46 (#34 G.Gumbs Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 7:13
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+7
47.6%
(07:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 S.McGowan rush left for 7 yards gain to the UF39 (#0 S.Denson; #14 J.Castell)Similar
Q2 6:45
2ND & 3
OPP 39
0
48.0%
(06:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 S.McGowan rush middle for 0 yards to the UF39 (#34 G.Gumbs Jr.; #90 B.Bett)Similar
Q2 6:06
3RD & 3
OPP 39
+12
48.1%
(06:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Boley pass complete short right to #1 K.Law caught at UF31, for 12 yards to the UF27 (#0 S.Denson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 5:49
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+6
49.4%
(05:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 S.McGowan rush middle for 6 yards gain to the UF21 (#24 K.James; #21 K.Daniels)Similar
Q2 5:21
2ND & 4
OPP 21
+1
49.7%
(05:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 S.McGowan rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UF20 (#24 K.James)Similar
Q2 4:47
3RD & 3
OPP 20
+2
49.1%
(04:54) Shotgun #3 S.McGowan rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UF18 (#90 B.Bett)Similar
Q2 4:05
4TH & 1
OPP 18
+3
48.5%
(04:12) #1 K.Law rush right for 3 yards gain to the UF15 (#18 B.Thornton), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 3:32
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
61.5%
(03:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Boley pass complete short right to #26 J.Patterson caught at UF01, for 15 yards to the UF00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:32, 1ST DOWN #91 J.Kauwe kick attempt good (H: #93 W.Berry, LS: #42 A.McLaughlin)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:4942% → 39%
Q2 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
58.5%
(03:32) Shotgun #2 D.Lagway pass incomplete short middle to #8 V.Brown III thrown to UF39Similar
Q2 3:16
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
58.9%
(03:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Lagway pass complete short left to #13 J.Baugh caught at UF26, for 6 yards to the UF31, End Of PlaySimilar
Q2 2:47
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
59.5%
(02:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Lagway pass incomplete short middle to #13 J.Baugh thrown to UF32Similar
Q2 2:38
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
60.6%
(02:45) #19 T.Doman punt 23 yards to the UK46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 9TD
6 plays · 54 yds · 1:0562% → 78%
Q2 2:31
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
62.2%
(02:37) Shotgun #3 S.McGowan rush left for 3 yards gain to the UK49 (#28 D.Moore)Similar
Q2 1:56
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+7
62.8%
(01:59) Shotgun #8 C.Boley pass complete short left to #3 S.McGowan caught at UK50, for 7 yards to the UF44 (#5 M.Graham), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:47
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+25
63.3%
(01:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Boley pass complete short right to #1 K.Law caught at UF31, for 25 yards to the UF19 (#5 M.Graham), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:29
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+17
64.4%
(01:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Boley pass complete short right to #9 J.Maclin caught at UF02, for 17 yards to the UF02 (#18 B.Thornton), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
78.2%
(01:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 S.McGowan rush right for 2 yards gain to the UF00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:26 #91 J.Kauwe kick attempt good (H: #93 W.Berry, LS: #42 A.McLaughlin)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 10INT
5 plays · 12 yds · 0:4228% → 27%
Q2 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
72.3%
(01:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Lagway rush middle for 8 yards gain to the UF33 (#7 D.Rayner; #10 J.Dunn)Similar
Q2 0:56
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+4
71.1%
(00:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Lagway pass complete short right to #11 A.Mizell caught at UF36, for 4 yards to the UF37 (#21 N.Addison), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
72.0%
(00:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Lagway pass incomplete deep right to #89 H.Hansen thrown to UK37 QB hurried by #35 S.Soles Jr.Similar
Q2 0:35
2ND & 10
OWN 37
-55
72.7%
(00:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Lagway pass intercepted by #12 Q.Scott at UK26 #12 Q.Scott return 55 yards to the UF19 (#2 D.Lagway)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 11FUMBLE
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:0179% → 79%
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
79.3%
(00:33) Shotgun #8 C.Boley pass incomplete short right thrown to UF15 QB hurried by #2 L.HaywardSimilar
Q2 0:29
2ND & 10
OPP 19
-3
79.3%
(00:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Boley rush left for 3 yards loss to the UF22 fumbled by #8 C.Boley at UF20 forced by #28 D.Moore recovered by UF #8 A.Chiles at UF22, End Of Play. The previous play is under automatic review - "Fumble". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: (00:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Boley rush left for 2 yards loss to the UF21 (#28 D.Moore))Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 12INT
3 plays · 18 yds · 0:0427% → 27%
Q2 0:16
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+8
73.4%
(00:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Baugh rush left for 8 yards gain to the UF30 (#14 T.Bryant) PENALTY UK Holding (#95 J.Smith II) 10 yards from UF30 to UF40, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:16
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
72.0%
(00:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Lagway pass incomplete, SpikeSimilar
Q2 0:12
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
72.7%
(00:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Lagway pass intercepted by #7 D.Rayner at UF44, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 13INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0077% → 77%
Q2 0:11
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
76.8%
(00:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Boley pass intercepted by #18 B.Thornton at UF21, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0027% → 27%
Q2 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-1
73.5%
(00:07) Kneel down by #2 D.Lagway at UF20 for loss of 1 yardSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 15TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 7:1075% → 93%
Q3 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
75.1%
(15:00) Shotgun #8 C.Boley pass complete short left to #84 J.Kattus caught at UK27, for 2 yards to the UK27 (#5 M.Graham)Similar
Q3 14:24
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
75.4%
(14:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 S.McGowan rush middle for 0 yards to the UK27 (#90 B.Bett; #14 J.Castell)Similar
Q3 13:43
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+14
74.8%
(13:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Boley rush middle for 14 yards gain to the UK41 (#28 D.Moore; #91 J.McCloud), 1ST DOWN. #28 D.Moore injured on the playSimilar
Q3 13:07
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
77.8%
(13:16) Shotgun #8 C.Boley pass complete short right to #1 K.Law caught at UK40, for 0 yards to the UK41 (#0 S.Denson; #94 T.Sapp)Similar
Q3 12:28
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+3
79.3%
(12:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Boley pass complete short middle to #1 K.Law caught at UK44, for 3 yards to the UK44 (#34 G.Gumbs Jr.)Similar
Q3 11:46
3RD & 7
OWN 44
+13
79.6%
(11:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Boley pass complete short left to #13 F.Farrier II caught at UF46, for 13 yards to the UF43 (#14 J.Castell), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 11:11
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
83.5%
(11:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 S.McGowan rush right for 5 yards gain to the UF38 (#0 S.Denson)Similar
Q3 10:37
2ND & 5
OPP 38
+6
84.1%
(10:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 S.McGowan rush right for 6 yards gain to the UF32 (#8 A.Chiles; #25 C.McClain), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 9:57
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+9
84.9%
(10:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 S.McGowan rush middle for 9 yards gain to the UF23 (#90 B.Bett)Similar
Q3 9:26
2ND & 1
OPP 23
+2
85.9%
(09:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 S.McGowan rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UF21 (#24 K.James), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:47
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+5
86.5%
(08:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Dowdell rush right for 5 yards gain to the UF16 (#6 J.Flowers)Similar
Q3 8:09
2ND & 5
OPP 16
+11
87.3%
(08:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Dowdell rush middle for 11 yards gain to the UF05 (#6 J.Flowers), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 7:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
93.0%
(07:36) Shotgun #3 S.McGowan rush middle for 5 yards gain to the UF00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:34 #91 J.Kauwe kick attempt good (H: #93 W.Berry, LS: #42 A.McLaughlin)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 16PUNT
16 plays · 31 yds · 6:587% → 3%
Q3 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
92.7%
(07:34) Shotgun #17 T.Jones Jr. pass incomplete short middle to #8 V.Brown III thrown to UF37Similar
Q3 7:20
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+17
92.8%
(07:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 T.Jones Jr. pass complete short right to #4 T.Abrams caught at UF39, for 17 yards to the UF42 (#21 N.Addison), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+13
92.7%
(07:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Baugh rush right for 13 yards gain to the UK45 (#21 N.Addison), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 6:17
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
93.3%
(06:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 T.Jones Jr. rush right for 4 yards gain to the UK41, out of bounds at UK41Similar
Q3 5:42
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+1
93.6%
(05:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Baugh rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UK40 (#95 J.Smith II; #1 K.Olds)Similar
Q3 4:58
3RD & 5
OPP 40
+2
94.7%
(05:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 T.Jones Jr. rush right for 2 yards gain to the UK38 (#91 J.Williams), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 4:13
4TH & 3
OPP 38
+7
95.1%
(04:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 T.Jones Jr. pass complete short right to #9 J.Sturdivant caught at UK31, for 7 yards to the UK31 (#21 N.Addison), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY UF UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (#53 B.Lovett) 15 yards from UK31 to UK46Similar
Q3 3:50
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
95.1%
(03:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 T.Jones Jr. pass incomplete short right thrown to UK40 QB hurried by #91 J.WilliamsSimilar
Q3 3:26
2ND & 10
OPP 46
-2
95.3%
(03:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 T.Jones Jr. pass complete short left to #13 J.Baugh caught at UF48, for 2 yards loss to the UK48 (#12 Q.Scott)Similar
Q3 2:58
3RD & 12
OPP 48
+11
95.6%
(03:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 T.Jones Jr. pass complete short left to #13 J.Baugh caught at UK46, for 11 yards to the UK37 (#6 J.Hardaway)Similar
Q3 2:16
4TH & 1
OPP 37
+3
96.3%
(02:21) No Huddle #13 J.Baugh rush left for 3 yards gain to the UK34 (#91 J.Williams; #6 J.Hardaway), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 1:34
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-10
96.1%
(01:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 T.Jones Jr. sacked for loss of 10 yards to the UK44 (#7 D.Rayner)Similar
Q3 1:20
2ND & 20
OPP 44
0
96.6%
(01:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 T.Jones Jr. pass incomplete short left to #14 M.Tounkara thrown to UK26 broken up by #6 J.HardawaySimilar
Q3 1:09
3RD & 20
OPP 44
0
96.7%
(01:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 T.Jones Jr. pass complete short left to #89 H.Hansen caught at UK43, for 0 yards to the UK44 (#6 J.Hardaway)Similar
Q3 0:31
4TH & 20
OPP 44
0
97.3%
(00:40) #19 T.Doman punt 33 yards to the UK11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 17TD
7 plays · 89 yds · 3:1697% → 100%
Q3 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+2
97.1%
(00:32) Shotgun #3 S.McGowan rush right for 2 yards gain to the UK13 (#28 D.Moore)Similar
Q4 14:51
2ND & 8
OWN 13
+6
97.2%
(15:00) Shotgun #3 S.McGowan rush left for 6 yards gain to the UK19 (#0 S.Denson), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 14:14
3RD & 2
OWN 19
+6
97.5%
(14:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Dowdell rush middle for 6 yards gain to the UK25 (#29 J.Robinson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
97.8%
(13:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 S.McGowan rush right for 9 yards gain to the UK34 (#14 J.Castell; #91 J.McCloud)Similar
Q4 13:02
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+1
98.0%
(13:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 S.McGowan rush right for 1 yard gain to the UK35 (#94 T.Sapp; #93 M.Boireau), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+65
99.7%
(12:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Dowdell rush middle for 65 yards gain to the UF00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:16, 1ST DOWN #91 J.Kauwe kick attempt good (H: #93 W.Berry, LS: #42 A.McLaughlin)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 18DOWNS
8 plays · 26 yds · 2:390% → 0%
Q4 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.8%
(12:16) Shotgun #13 J.Baugh rush right for 5 yards gain to the UF30 (#91 J.Williams)Similar
Q4 11:29
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+7
99.8%
(11:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Baugh rush right for 7 yards gain to the UF37 (#34 L.Cowan), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+10
99.8%
(11:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 T.Jones Jr. pass complete short middle to #89 H.Hansen caught at UF44, for 10 yards to the UF47 (#91 J.Williams; #9 L.Watson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
99.8%
(10:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 T.Jones Jr. pass incomplete short left to #89 H.Hansen thrown to UK49Similar
Q4 10:18
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+7
99.8%
(10:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Baugh rush right for 7 yards gain to the UK46 (#14 T.Bryant)Similar
Q4 9:45
3RD & 3
OPP 46
-3
99.8%
(09:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 B.Louis rush middle for 3 yards loss to the UK49 (#60 D.Gusta)Similar
Q4 9:29
4TH & 6
OPP 49
0
99.9%
(09:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 T.Jones Jr. pass incomplete short right to #8 V.Brown III thrown to UK32 QB hurried by #35 S.Soles Jr., TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 19FUMBLE
6 plays · 4 yds · 3:12100% → 100%
Q4 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+9
99.8%
(09:25) Shotgun #26 J.Patterson rush left for 9 yards gain to the UF42 (#14 J.Castell; #18 B.Thornton)Similar
Q4 8:48
2ND & 1
OPP 42
+3
99.8%
(08:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 J.Patterson rush left for 3 yards gain to the UF39 (#24 K.James; #34 G.Gumbs Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 8:07
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
99.9%
(08:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 J.Patterson rush middle for 0 yards to the UF39 (#0 S.Denson)Similar
Q4 7:34
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+2
99.9%
(07:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 J.Patterson rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UF37 (#0 S.Denson)Similar
Q4 6:53
3RD & 8
OPP 37
+3
99.9%
(07:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 J.Patterson rush left for 3 yards gain to the UF34 (#0 S.Denson), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 6:09
4TH & 5
OPP 34
+9
99.9%
(06:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 B.Allen sacked for loss of 4 yards to the UF38 (#24 K.James), fumble by #11 B.Allen recovered by UF #34 G.Gumbs Jr. at UF38 #34 G.Gumbs Jr. return 9 yards to the UF47 (#62 J.Burton)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 20DOWNS
10 plays · 32 yds · 3:390% → 0%
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
99.9%
(06:09) Shotgun #21 K.Daniels rush middle for 5 yards gain to the UK48 (#91 J.Williams)Similar
Q4 5:29
2ND & 5
OPP 48
0
99.9%
(05:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 T.Jones Jr. pass incomplete short left thrown to UK40 QB hurried by #91 J.WilliamsSimilar
Q4 5:18
3RD & 5
OPP 48
+11
99.9%
(05:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 T.Jones Jr. pass complete short right to #21 K.Daniels caught at UK46, for 11 yards to the UK37 (#29 J.Schulz; #10 J.Dunn), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 4:54
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
99.9%
(05:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 K.Daniels rush middle for 4 yards gain to the UK33 (#95 J.Smith II)Similar
Q4 4:24
2ND & 6
OPP 33
+5
99.9%
(04:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 K.Daniels rush right for 5 yards gain to the UK28 (#44 A.Smith; #91 J.Williams)Similar
Q4 3:48
3RD & 1
OPP 28
+3
99.9%
(03:53) No Huddle #17 T.Jones Jr. pass complete short right to #86 T.Livingston caught at UK27, for 3 yards to the UK25 (#9 L.Watson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 3:08
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
99.9%
(03:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 B.Louis rush left for 1 yard gain to the UK24 (#9 L.Watson; #93 K.Edwards)Similar
Q4 2:34
2ND & 9
OPP 24
0
99.9%
(02:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 T.Jones Jr. pass incomplete deep left to #89 H.Hansen thrown to UK00Similar
Q4 2:28
3RD & 9
OPP 24
0
99.9%
(02:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 T.Jones Jr. pass incomplete short left to #8 V.Brown III thrown to UK12 broken up by #44 A.SmithSimilar
Q4 2:21
4TH & 9
OPP 24
+3
99.9%
(02:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 T.Jones Jr. pass complete short middle to #21 K.Daniels caught at UK24, for 3 yards to the UK21 (#53 H.Dawahare), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 21END OF GAME
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:33100% → 100%
Q4 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
99.9%
(02:20) Shotgun #26 J.Patterson rush right for 5 yards gain to the UK26 (#96 T.Brown)Similar
Q4 1:48
2ND & 5
OWN 26
+4
99.9%
(01:58) Shotgun #28 T.Mizell rush middle for 4 yards gain to the UK30 (#15 J.Woods)Similar
Q4 1:10
3RD & 1
OWN 30
+2
99.9%
(01:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 T.Mizell rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UK32 (#96 T.Brown), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-2
100.0%
(00:36) Kneel down by #11 B.Allen at UK30 for loss of 2 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:26
(01:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 S.McGowan rush right for 2 yards gain to the UF00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:26 #91 J.Kauwe kick attempt good (H: #93 W.Berry, LS: #42 A.McLaughlin)
+13.8
TD · Q2 3:32
(03:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Boley pass complete short right to #26 J.Patterson caught at UF01, for 15 yards to the UF00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:32, 1ST DOWN #91 J.Kauwe kick attempt good (H: #93 W.Berry, LS: #42 A.McLaughlin)
+13
KEY PLAY · Q2 0:30
(00:33) Shotgun #8 C.Boley pass incomplete short right thrown to UF15 QB hurried by #2 L.Hayward
+6.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com