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UGA

Georgia 24 at Florida 20

FLA
2025 · Week 10 · Nov 1, 2025 · EverBank Stadium
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Win probability · FLA
modelFLA aheadUGA aheadconfidence bandkey playFLA scoreUGA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 4:38 · (04:46) #19 T.Doman punt 65 yards to the UGA00, Touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 73Pregame prior−10.0Home team on offense+1.9Garbage-time factor+0.1Score differential+0.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.5
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 0:12: (00:16) #91 P.Woodring field goal attempt from 39 yards GOOD (H: #14 G.Stockton, LS: #60 B.Gardner), clock 00:12 — UGA win probability +7.8 pts (now 59%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 10:46: (10:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass complete deep left to #5 N.Thomas caught at FLA00, for 22 yards to the FLA00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:46, 1ST DOWN #91 P.Woodring kick attempt good (H: #14 G.Stockton, LS: #60 B.Gardner) — UGA win probability +13.0 pts (now 74%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 3:37: (03:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Baugh rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UGA00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:37 #29 T.Smack kick attempt good (H: #19 T.Doman, LS: #42 R.Underwood) — FLA win probability +21.8 pts (now 56%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 14:52: (14:55) #29 T.Smack field goal attempt from 54 yards GOOD (H: #19 T.Doman, LS: #42 R.Underwood), clock 14:52 — FLA win probability +4.6 pts (now 61%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 4:36: (04:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #33 C.Bowens rush middle for 36 yards gain to the FLA00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:36, 1ST DOWN #91 P.Woodring kick attempt good (H: #14 G.Stockton, LS: #60 B.Gardner) — UGA win probability +40.8 pts (now 81%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FLA made the numbers' call on 6 of 9UGA made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q2 13:29UGA 4th & 8 at FLA 44, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.6%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    66.0%−0.7
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    66.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:51FLA 4th & 1 at FLA 42, down 7
    Close callPunted · 34.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.1%−0.3
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:39UGA 4th & 9 at UGA 16, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.1%−0.5
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.5%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:02FLA 4th & 4 at UGA 4, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 39.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.0%−0.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    37.0%−2.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 1:06FLA 4th & 23 at FLA 22, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.1%−3.7
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:33FLA 4th & 5 at FLA 16, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.0%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:10UGA 4th & 13 at FLA 41, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.3%−0.6
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    52.5%−0.3
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    52.9%
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:38FLA 4th & 8 at FLA 35, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.3%−1.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.4%
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:34UGA 4th & 5 at UGA 25, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.0%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.4%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:12UGA 4th & 9 at FLA 21, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 52.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.0%−2.8
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    52.8%
    74% to make
    Punt
    47.3%−5.5
    average punt
  11. Q3 13:29FLA 4th & 5 at FLA 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.3%−0.7
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.1%
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:07UGA 4th & 22 at UGA 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.0%−8.4
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.5%
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:52FLA 4th & 4 at UGA 36, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.5 ptsKicked a field goal · 54.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    52.0%−2.5
    42% to make
    Punt
    51.1%−3.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:14UGA 4th & 13 at UGA 16, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.1%−4.3
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.4%
    average punt
  15. Q4 7:54FLA 4th & 1 at UGA 18, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 70.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    70.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    64.5%−6.3
    79% to make
    Punt
    46.8%−24.0
    average punt
  16. Q4 3:13FLA 4th & 4 at FLA 31, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 28.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    23.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    19.9%−3.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FLA made the numbers' call on 1 of 1UGA made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 10:53UGA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 10:46UGA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 3:37FLA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 4:36UGA Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.0%−0.5
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UGADrive 1TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:0167% → 67%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
33.4%
(14:59) Shotgun #3 N.Frazier rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UGA27 (#33 B.Taylor Jr.; #14 J.Castell)Similar
Q1 14:19
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+1
33.6%
(14:26) Shotgun #20 D.Phillips Jr. rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UGA28 (#94 T.Sapp)Similar
Q1 13:38
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+12
34.0%
(13:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass complete short left to #86 D.Bell caught at UGA40, for 12 yards to the UGA40, out of bounds at UGA40, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
34.0%
(13:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton rush middle for 0 yards to the UGA40 (#34 G.Gumbs Jr.)Similar
Q1 12:48
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+15
34.2%
(12:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass incomplete deep right to #32 C.Jones thrown to FLA30 PENALTY FLA Pass Interference (#5 M.Graham) 15 yards from UGA40 to FLA45, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+14
34.1%
(12:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass complete short left to #10 E.Williams caught at FLA44, for 14 yards to the FLA31 (#14 J.Castell), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 11:56
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+20
34.2%
(12:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass complete short right to #4 O.Delp caught at FLA26, for 20 yards to the FLA11 (#0 S.Denson), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 11:26
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
34.4%
(11:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 N.Frazier rush middle for 3 yards gain to the FLA08 (#34 G.Gumbs Jr.)Similar
Q1 10:53
2ND & 7
OPP 8
+8
33.2%
(10:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass complete short middle to #86 D.Bell caught at FLA00, for 8 yards to the FLA00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:53, 1ST DOWN #91 P.Woodring kick attempt good (H: #14 G.Stockton, LS: #60 B.Gardner)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 2PUNT
14 plays · 36 yds · 16:3167% → 67%
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
50
0
33.3%
(15:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton rush right for 0 yards to the UGA50 (#0 S.Denson)Similar
Q1 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
33.6%
(02:56) Shotgun #3 N.Frazier rush right for 5 yards gain to the UGA25 (#6 J.Flowers; #97 J.Mbatchou)Similar
Q1 2:18
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+6
33.1%
(02:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 D.Phillips Jr. rush middle for 6 yards gain to the UGA31 (#22 K.Asare), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
33.0%
(01:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 N.Frazier rush right for 6 yards gain to the UGA37 (#6 J.Flowers; #5 M.Graham)Similar
Q1 1:03
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+7
32.6%
(01:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 L.Humphreys rush left for 7 yards gain to the UGA44 (#14 J.Castell; #29 J.Robinson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
32.3%
(00:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass complete short right to #86 D.Bell caught at UGA41, for 6 yards to the UGA50 (#14 J.Castell)Similar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 4
50
+4
32.3%
(15:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton rush middle for 4 yards gain to the FLA46 (#28 D.Moore; #33 B.Taylor Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 14:19
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
32.0%
(14:24) Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass incomplete deep right to #84 L.Roldan thrown to FLA05 QB hurried by #29 J.RobinsonSimilar
Q2 13:50
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+2
31.9%
(13:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton rush right for 2 yards gain to the FLA44 (#29 J.Robinson), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 13:36
3RD & 8
OPP 44
0
32.2%
(13:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass incomplete short middle to #16 L.Humphreys thrown to FLA30Similar
Q2 13:29
4TH & 8
OPP 44
0
33.0%
(13:32) #92 B.Thorson punt 33 yards to the FLA11 fair catch by #3 E.Wilson III at FLA11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 22 yds · 1:5034% → 34%
Q1 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+13
33.7%
(10:49) Shotgun #2 D.Lagway pass complete short middle to #3 E.Wilson III caught at FLA28, for 13 yards to the FLA33 (#4 K.Bolden; #8 J.Aguero), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
33.8%
(10:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Baugh rush right for 3 yards gain to the FLA36 (#5 R.Wilson; #44 J.Hall)Similar
Q1 9:39
2ND & 7
OWN 36
-1
34.1%
(09:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Lagway pass complete short middle to #3 E.Wilson III caught at FLA34, for 1 yard loss to the FLA35 (#5 R.Wilson; #44 J.Hall)Similar
Q1 9:22
3RD & 8
OWN 35
+7
33.7%
(09:28) Shotgun #2 D.Lagway pass complete short right to #13 J.Baugh caught at FLA35, for 7 yards to the FLA42 (#6 D.Everette; #20 J.Thomas)Similar
Q1 8:51
4TH & 1
OWN 42
0
33.8%
(08:56) #19 T.Doman punt 43 yards to the UGA15 fair catch by #1 Z.Branch at UGA15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 2:0267% → 66%
Q1 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+1
33.5%
(08:48) Shotgun #14 G.Stockton rush right for 1 yard gain to the UGA16 (#94 T.Sapp; #14 J.Castell)Similar
Q1 8:06
2ND & 9
OWN 16
+1
33.6%
(08:15) Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass complete short right to #32 C.Jones caught at UGA14, for 1 yard to the UGA17 (#28 D.Moore), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 7:44
3RD & 8
OWN 17
+5
33.8%
PENALTY UGA False Start (#63 D.Glover) 5 yards from UGA17 to UGA12. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 7:17
3RD & 13
OWN 12
+4
33.8%
(07:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass complete short left to #1 Z.Branch caught at UGA09, for 4 yards to the UGA16 (#34 G.Gumbs Jr.; #94 T.Sapp)Similar
Q1 6:39
4TH & 9
OWN 16
0
34.1%
(06:45) #92 B.Thorson punt 24 yards to the UGA40, out of bounds at UGA40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 5TD
1 play · 40 yds · 0:0038% → 38%
Q1 6:32
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+40
37.7%
(06:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Lagway pass complete deep right to #3 E.Wilson III caught at UGA03, for 40 yards to the UGA00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:32, 1ST DOWN #29 T.Smack kick attempt good (H: #19 T.Doman, LS: #42 R.Underwood)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 6INT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:4663% → 63%
Q1 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
36.7%
(06:31) Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass incomplete short right to #5 N.Thomas thrown to UGA31 broken up by #24 K.JamesSimilar
Q1 6:19
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
36.8%
(06:26) Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass complete short right to #1 Z.Branch caught at UGA21, for 4 yards to the UGA29 (#6 J.Flowers)Similar
Q1 5:42
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-7
37.2%
(05:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass intercepted by #28 D.Moore at UGA45 #28 D.Moore return 7 yards to the UGA38 (#73 J.Gaston Jr.), out of boundsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 7FG
5 plays · 34 yds · 2:3038% → 40%
Q1 5:32
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+28
38.2%
(05:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Lagway pass complete deep middle to #3 E.Wilson III caught at UGA18, for 28 yards to the UGA10 (#20 J.Thomas), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
38.7%
(05:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Baugh rush middle for 4 yards gain to the UGA06 (#3 C.Allen; #52 C.Miller)Similar
Q1 4:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
39.1%
(04:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Lagway rush left for 1 yard gain to the UGA05 (#3 C.Allen)Similar
Q1 3:38
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
39.1%
(03:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Lagway rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UGA04 (#5 R.Wilson)Similar
Q1 3:02
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
39.8%
(03:02) #29 T.Smack field goal attempt from 22 yards GOOD (H: #19 T.Doman, LS: #42 R.Underwood), clock 03:02Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 13:1841% → 47%
Q2 14:24
2ND & 6
OWN 13
+7
40.9%
(14:24) Shotgun #2 D.Lagway pass complete short left to #6 D.Wilson caught at FLA17, for 7 yards to the FLA20 (#3 C.Allen), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY UGA Targeting (#3 C.Allen) 15 yards from FLA20 to FLA35, 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automatic review - "Targeting". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: (14:24) Shotgun #2 D.Lagway pass complete short left to #6 D.Wilson caught at FLA17, for 7 yards to the FLA20 (#4 K.Bolden), 1ST DOWN)Similar
Q2 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+4
47.8%
(02:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Baugh rush right for 4 yards gain to the FLA13 (#3 C.Allen; #8 J.Aguero)Similar
Q2 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
49.0%
(01:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Lagway pass incomplete short right to #89 H.Hansen thrown to FLA35 QB hurried by #52 C.Miller and #33 Q.JohnsonSimilar
Q2 1:21
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
48.8%
(01:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Lagway pass incomplete deep right to #10 T.Hawkins thrown to UGA45Similar
Q2 1:13
3RD & 10
OWN 35
-13
47.6%
(01:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Lagway rush middle for 13 yards loss to the FLA22 fumbled by #2 D.Lagway at FLA25 recovered by FLA #2 D.Lagway at FLA22, End Of PlaySimilar
Q2 1:06
4TH & 23
OWN 22
0
46.5%
(01:11) #19 T.Doman punt 41 yards to the UGA37, out of bounds at UGA37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:4741% → 41%
Q2 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+4
41.4%
(13:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Baugh rush right for 4 yards gain to the FLA15 (#4 K.Bolden; #6 D.Everette)Similar
Q2 12:50
2ND & 6
OWN 15
+4
41.7%
(12:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Baugh rush middle for 4 yards gain to the FLA19 (#3 C.Allen; #28 K.Jones)Similar
Q2 12:11
3RD & 2
OWN 19
-3
41.4%
(12:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Lagway rush right for 3 yards loss to the FLA16 (#4 K.Bolden)Similar
Q2 11:33
4TH & 5
OWN 16
0
41.0%
(11:38) #19 T.Doman punt 44 yards to the UGA40 fair catch by #1 Z.Branch at UGA40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 10PUNT
11 plays · 19 yds · 5:1858% → 54%
Q2 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
41.8%
(11:33) Shotgun #3 N.Frazier rush right for 5 yards gain to the UGA45 (#5 M.Graham; #8 A.Chiles)Similar
Q2 10:57
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+6
41.6%
(11:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 N.Frazier rush left for 6 yards gain to the FLA49 (#8 A.Chiles), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 10:37
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
41.4%
(10:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 N.Frazier rush right for 2 yards gain to the FLA47 (#14 J.Castell)Similar
Q2 10:03
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+4
41.7%
(10:07) Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass complete short right to #1 Z.Branch caught at UGA49, for 4 yards to the FLA43 (#18 B.Thornton), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 9:27
3RD & 4
OPP 43
+5
41.9%
(09:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #33 C.Bowens rush middle for 5 yards gain to the FLA38 (#14 J.Castell; #0 S.Denson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 8:54
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
41.8%
(09:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #33 C.Bowens rush right for 3 yards gain to the FLA35 (#34 G.Gumbs Jr.; #90 B.Bett)Similar
Q2 8:18
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+2
40.9%
(08:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass complete short left to #1 Z.Branch caught at FLA37, for 2 yards to the FLA33 (#8 A.Chiles; #14 J.Castell)Similar
Q2 7:43
3RD & 5
OPP 33
+10
42.8%
(07:43) Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass complete short right to #32 C.Jones caught at FLA39, for 15 yards to the FLA18 (#0 S.Denson), out of bounds PENALTY UGA Holding (#86 D.Bell) 10 yards from FLA33 to FLA43. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 7:08
3RD & 15
OPP 43
+7
44.8%
(07:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #33 C.Bowens rush left for 7 yards gain to the FLA36 (#5 M.Graham; #34 G.Gumbs Jr.)Similar
Q2 6:14
4TH & 8
OPP 36
+5
45.2%
PENALTY UGA False Start (#14 G.Stockton) 5 yards from FLA36 to FLA41. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 6:10
4TH & 13
OPP 41
0
46.5%
(06:08) #92 B.Thorson punt 30 yards to the FLA11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 24 yds · 1:2546% → 46%
Q2 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+22
46.2%
(06:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Baugh rush middle for 22 yards gain to the FLA33 (#20 J.Thomas), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
47.0%
(05:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Lagway pass incomplete deep middle to #7 A.Jackson thrown to UGA44Similar
Q2 5:28
2ND & 10
OWN 33
0
46.8%
(05:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Lagway pass incomplete short right to #89 H.Hansen thrown to FLA49 QB hurried by #90 E.GriffinSimilar
Q2 5:28
3RD & 10
OWN 33
+5
45.7%
PENALTY FLA False Start (#71 R.Kearney) 5 yards from FLA33 to FLA28. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 5:15
3RD & 15
OWN 28
+7
45.5%
(05:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Lagway pass complete short left to #3 E.Wilson III caught at FLA23, for 7 yards to the FLA35 (#4 K.Bolden; #9 C.Cole)Similar
Q2 4:38
4TH & 8
OWN 35
0
45.6%
(04:46) #19 T.Doman punt 65 yards to the UGA00, TouchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:5553% → 50%
Q2 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
47.0%
(04:38) Shotgun #14 G.Stockton sacked for loss of 1 yard to the UGA19 (#93 M.Boireau)Similar
Q2 3:49
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+3
47.8%
(03:53) Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass complete short left to #1 Z.Branch caught at UGA17, for 3 yards to the UGA22 (#14 J.Castell; #29 J.Robinson) PENALTY UGA Holding (#4 O.Delp) 10 yards from UGA22 to UGA12Similar
Q2 3:20
2ND & 18
OWN 12
0
48.1%
(03:20) Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass incomplete deep middle to #86 D.Bell thrown to FLA40Similar
Q2 3:12
3RD & 18
OWN 12
+13
49.2%
(03:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton rush middle for 13 yards gain to the UGA25 (#29 J.Robinson)Similar
Q2 2:34
4TH & 5
OWN 25
0
49.8%
(02:42) #92 B.Thorson punt 66 yards to the FLA09Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 13FG
10 plays · 42 yds · 0:4451% → 59%
Q2 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
48.9%
(01:04) Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass complete short right to #32 C.Jones caught at UGA35, for 4 yards to the UGA41 (#29 J.Robinson)Similar
Q2 0:41
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+17
47.1%
(00:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass complete short left to #86 D.Bell caught at FLA42, for 17 yards to the FLA42 (#25 C.McClain), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:34
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+20
46.1%
(00:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass complete deep middle to #1 Z.Branch caught at FLA21, for 20 yards to the FLA22 (#29 J.Robinson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:22
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
46.6%
(00:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton rush right for 1 yard gain to the FLA21 (#34 G.Gumbs Jr.)Similar
Q2 0:21
2ND & 9
OPP 21
0
46.6%
(00:21) Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass incomplete short left to #1 Z.Branch thrown to FLA10 broken up by #14 J.Castell QB hurried by #14 J.Castell. The previous play is under automatic review - "Incomplete pass". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: (00:21) Shotgun #14 G.Stockton sacked for loss of 4 yards to the FLA25 (#14 J.Castell), fumble by #14 G.Stockton recovered by FLA #29 J.Robinson at FLA25 #29 J.Robinson return 9 yards to the FLA34 (#71 E.Greene III))Similar
Q2 0:17
3RD & 9
OPP 21
0
48.2%
(00:21) Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass incomplete short right to #32 C.Jones thrown to FLA18 broken up by #5 M.Graham QB hurried by #34 G.Gumbs Jr.Similar
Q2 0:12
4TH & 9
OPP 21
+39
41.3%
(00:16) #91 P.Woodring field goal attempt from 39 yards GOOD (H: #14 G.Stockton, LS: #60 B.Gardner), clock 00:12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0047% → 47%
Q2 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-1
46.7%
(00:07) Kneel down by #2 D.Lagway at FLA21 for loss of 1 yardSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:1248% → 46%
Q3 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
47.7%
(14:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Lagway pass complete short right to #3 E.Wilson III caught at FLA38, for 2 yards to the FLA40 (#2 Z.Branch)Similar
Q3 14:12
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+3
48.5%
(14:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Baugh rush middle for 3 yards gain to the FLA43 (#33 Q.Johnson)Similar
Q3 13:37
3RD & 5
OWN 43
0
48.2%
(13:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Lagway pass incomplete short left to #3 E.Wilson III thrown to FLA47 QB hurried by #3 C.AllenSimilar
Q3 13:29
4TH & 5
OWN 43
0
46.0%
(13:33) #19 T.Doman punt 46 yards to the UGA11 fair catch by #1 Z.Branch at UGA11 PENALTY FLA UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (#9 D.Stubbs) 15 yards from UGA11 to UGA26, 1ST DOWNSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 16TD
5 plays · 74 yds · 2:3657% → 74%
Q3 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
42.9%
(13:28) Shotgun #3 N.Frazier rush right for 0 yards to the UGA26 (#8 A.Chiles; #93 M.Boireau)Similar
Q3 12:48
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+5
43.5%
(12:54) Shotgun #3 N.Frazier rush middle for 5 yards gain to the UGA31 (#94 T.Sapp; #5 M.Graham)Similar
Q3 11:57
3RD & 5
OWN 31
+42
44.0%
(12:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass complete short middle to #1 Z.Branch caught at UGA36, for 42 yards to the FLA27 (#18 B.Thornton), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 11:23
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
39.3%
(11:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 N.Frazier rush middle for 5 yards gain to the FLA22 (#8 A.Chiles; #18 B.Thornton)Similar
Q3 10:46
2ND & 5
OPP 22
+22
26.3%
(10:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass complete deep left to #5 N.Thomas caught at FLA00, for 22 yards to the FLA00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:46, 1ST DOWN #91 P.Woodring kick attempt good (H: #14 G.Stockton, LS: #60 B.Gardner)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 17TD
16 plays · 79 yds · 6:5731% → 56%
Q3 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
30.8%
(10:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Baugh rush middle for 5 yards gain to the FLA26 (#15 D.Jones)Similar
Q3 10:01
2ND & 5
OWN 26
+5
31.4%
(10:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Baugh rush left for 5 yards gain to the FLA31 (#3 C.Allen; #2 Z.Branch), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
31.4%
(09:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Baugh rush middle for 1 yard gain to the FLA32 (#94 X.McLeod; #0 G.Harris Jr.)Similar
Q3 8:53
2ND & 9
OWN 32
+13
31.1%
(09:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Lagway pass complete short right to #9 J.Sturdivant caught at FLA41, for 13 yards to the FLA45 (#20 J.Thomas), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
33.2%
(08:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Lagway pass incomplete short right to #9 J.Sturdivant thrown to UGA45 QB hurried by #81 J.HortonSimilar
Q3 8:20
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+10
32.2%
(08:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Lagway pass complete short right to #13 J.Baugh caught at FLA49, for 11 yards to the UGA44 (#6 D.Everette) PENALTY FLA Holding (#58 A.Barber) 10 yards from FLA45 to FLA35. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 7:38
2ND & 20
OWN 35
+26
30.6%
(07:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Lagway rush middle for 26 yards gain to the UGA39 (#6 D.Everette), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 7:06
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
34.7%
(07:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 K.Daniels rush middle for 4 yards gain to the UGA35 (#3 C.Allen; #0 G.Harris Jr.)Similar
Q3 6:24
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+4
36.3%
(06:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 K.Daniels rush left for 4 yards gain to the UGA31 (#52 C.Miller)Similar
Q3 5:41
3RD & 2
OPP 31
+3
34.8%
(05:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 K.Daniels rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UGA28 (#5 R.Wilson; #6 D.Everette), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 5:05
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+15
36.6%
(05:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Lagway pass incomplete deep left to #13 J.Baugh thrown to UGA02 PENALTY UGA Pass Interference (#5 R.Wilson) 15 yards from UGA28 to UGA13, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 4:51
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
36.2%
(04:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Lagway rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UGA12 (#3 C.Allen)Similar
Q3 4:15
2ND & 9
OPP 12
+5
36.2%
(04:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Lagway pass complete short left to #13 J.Baugh caught at UGA10, for 5 yards to the UGA07 (#19 J.Williams)Similar
Q3 3:43
3RD & 4
OPP 7
+5
34.3%
(03:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Lagway pass incomplete short middle to #4 T.Abrams thrown to UGA00 PENALTY UGA Pass Interference (#2 Z.Branch) 5 yards from UGA07 to UGA02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 3:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
56.1%
(03:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Baugh rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UGA00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:37 #29 T.Smack kick attempt good (H: #19 T.Doman, LS: #42 R.Underwood)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 18PUNT
5 plays · -12 yds · 1:0354% → 50%
Q3 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-11
46.5%
(03:35) Shotgun #14 G.Stockton rush middle for 11 yards loss to the UGA14 (#18 B.Thornton)Similar
Q3 2:51
2ND & 21
OWN 14
-1
47.3%
(02:59) Shotgun #33 C.Bowens rush left for 1 yard loss to the UGA13 (#0 S.Denson)Similar
Q3 2:17
3RD & 22
OWN 13
0
49.0%
(02:21) Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass incomplete short left to #7 L.Luckie thrown to UGA29 broken up by #18 B.Thornton QB hurried by #91 J.McCloudSimilar
Q3 2:07
4TH & 22
OWN 13
0
50.4%
(02:15) #92 B.Thorson punt 49 yards to the FLA38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 19FG
6 plays · 26 yds · 1:5753% → 61%
Q3 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+20
52.9%
(02:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Lagway pass complete short left to #3 E.Wilson III caught at UGA47, for 20 yards to the UGA42 (#2 Z.Branch), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
56.2%
(01:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Lagway pass complete short left to #3 E.Wilson III caught at UGA43, for 5 yards to the UGA37 (#3 C.Allen)Similar
Q3 0:45
2ND & 5
OPP 37
+1
56.5%
(00:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 K.Daniels rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UGA36 (#5 R.Wilson; #95 N.Ogboko)Similar
Q4 14:57
3RD & 4
OPP 36
0
56.4%
(15:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Lagway pass incomplete short right to #4 T.Abrams thrown to UGA30Similar
Q4 14:52
4TH & 4
OPP 36
+54
61.0%
(14:55) #29 T.Smack field goal attempt from 54 yards GOOD (H: #19 T.Doman, LS: #42 R.Underwood), clock 14:52Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 20PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:2739% → 35%
Q4 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
61.1%
(14:45) Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass incomplete short right to #4 O.Delp thrown to UGA31 QB hurried by #94 T.SappSimilar
Q4 14:36
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+2
61.6%
(14:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass complete short left to #1 Z.Branch caught at UGA13, for 2 yards to the UGA21 (#18 B.Thornton), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 13:57
3RD & 8
OWN 21
-5
63.6%
(14:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton sacked for loss of 5 yards to the UGA16 (#34 G.Gumbs Jr.)Similar
Q4 13:14
4TH & 13
OWN 16
+6
65.4%
(13:25) #92 B.Thorson punt 56 yards to the FLA28 #13 J.Baugh return 6 yards to the FLA34 (#60 B.Gardner)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 21DOWNS
11 plays · 48 yds · 5:1166% → 71%
Q4 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+7
65.5%
(13:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Lagway pass complete short right to #3 E.Wilson III caught at FLA37, for 7 yards to the FLA41 (#15 D.Jones), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 12:37
2ND & 3
OWN 41
+4
68.4%
(12:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Baugh rush middle for 4 yards gain to the FLA45 (#3 C.Allen; #5 R.Wilson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
68.5%
(12:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Lagway pass complete short right to #9 J.Sturdivant caught at UGA48, for 8 yards to the UGA47 (#20 J.Thomas), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 11:54
2ND & 2
OPP 47
+8
69.8%
(11:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Baugh rush middle for 8 yards gain to the UGA39 (#2 Z.Branch; #15 D.Jones), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 11:32
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
70.1%
(11:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Lagway rush middle for 0 yards to the UGA39 (#95 N.Ogboko)Similar
Q4 10:58
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+9
71.1%
(11:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Lagway rush middle for 9 yards gain to the UGA30 (#3 C.Allen)Similar
Q4 10:32
3RD & 1
OPP 30
+3
71.1%
(10:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Baugh rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UGA27 (#2 Z.Branch; #96 J.Hanne), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 9:53
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+8
73.3%
(09:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 K.Daniels rush middle for 8 yards gain to the UGA19 (#0 G.Harris Jr.)Similar
Q4 9:12
2ND & 2
OPP 19
0
73.8%
(09:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 K.Daniels rush left for 0 yards to the UGA19 (#3 C.Allen)Similar
Q4 8:26
3RD & 2
OPP 19
+1
72.5%
(08:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Lagway rush right for 1 yard gain to the UGA18 (#1 E.Robinson IV; #2 Z.Branch). The previous play is under automatic review - "Runner was down prior to losing the ball". CALL UPHELDSimilar
Q4 7:54
4TH & 1
OPP 18
0
70.8%
(07:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Baugh rush middle for 0 yards to the UGA18 (#5 R.Wilson; #90 E.Griffin), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 22TD
7 plays · 82 yds · 3:1235% → 81%
Q4 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
64.6%
(07:54) Shotgun #3 N.Frazier rush right for 0 yards to the UGA18 (#5 M.Graham; #25 C.McClain)Similar
Q4 7:05
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+2
63.9%
(07:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton rush right for 2 yards gain to the UGA20, out of bounds at UGA20Similar
Q4 6:37
3RD & 8
OWN 20
+18
67.7%
(06:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass complete short left to #1 Z.Branch caught at UGA31, for 18 yards to the UGA38 (#5 M.Graham), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
63.9%
(06:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass complete short left to #3 N.Frazier caught at UGA36, for 7 yards to the UGA45 (#5 M.Graham; #14 J.Castell)Similar
Q4 5:33
2ND & 3
OWN 45
+6
61.2%
(05:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 N.Frazier rush left for 6 yards gain to the FLA49 (#5 M.Graham; #24 K.James), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 4:56
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+13
60.2%
(04:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass complete short middle to #1 Z.Branch caught at FLA36, for 13 yards to the FLA36 (#14 J.Castell), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 4:36
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+36
19.3%
(04:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #33 C.Bowens rush middle for 36 yards gain to the FLA00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:36, 1ST DOWN #91 P.Woodring kick attempt good (H: #14 G.Stockton, LS: #60 B.Gardner)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 23DOWNS
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:1432% → 28%
Q4 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
31.6%
(04:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Lagway rush right for 1 yard gain to the FLA26 (#3 C.Allen), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 3:50
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+5
31.0%
(04:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Lagway pass complete short middle to #13 J.Baugh caught at FLA30, for 5 yards to the FLA31 (#5 R.Wilson)Similar
Q4 3:16
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
29.5%
(03:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Lagway pass incomplete deep left to #9 J.Sturdivant thrown to UGA21. The previous play is under automatic review - "Incomplete pass". CALL UPHELDSimilar
Q4 3:13
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
28.2%
(03:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Lagway pass incomplete short left to #3 E.Wilson III thrown to FLA36 broken up by #1 E.Robinson IV QB hurried by #8 J.Aguero, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 24END OF GAME
15 plays · 28 yds · 2:3486% → 96%
Q4 3:08
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
13.7%
(03:10) Shotgun #33 C.Bowens rush middle for 2 yards gain to the FLA29 (#33 B.Taylor Jr.)Similar
Q4 3:01
2ND & 8
OPP 29
+1
11.7%
(03:04) Shotgun #14 G.Stockton rush right for 1 yard gain to the FLA28 (#18 B.Thornton; #34 G.Gumbs Jr.)Similar
Q4 2:56
3RD & 7
OPP 28
+14
13.6%
(03:00) #33 C.Bowens rush left for 14 yards gain to the FLA14 (#14 J.Castell), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:17
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
11.0%
(02:21) Shotgun #33 C.Bowens rush middle for 0 yards to the FLA14 (#94 T.Sapp)Similar
Q4 1:54
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+4
8.3%
(01:57) Shotgun #33 C.Bowens rush middle for 4 yards gain to the FLA10 (#93 M.Boireau; #34 G.Gumbs Jr.)Similar
Q4 1:54
3RD & 6
OPP 10
+5
9.2%
PENALTY FLA Offside (#33 B.Taylor Jr.) 5 yards from FLA10 to FLA05. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 1:48
3RD & 1
OPP 5
+4
8.6%
(01:52) Shotgun #14 G.Stockton rush left for 4 yards gain to the FLA01, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
5.6%
(01:13) Kneel down by #14 G.Stockton at FLA02 for loss of 1 yardSimilar
Q4 0:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
4.5%
(00:34) Kneel down by #14 G.Stockton at FLA03 for loss of 1 yardSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 4:36
(04:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #33 C.Bowens rush middle for 36 yards gain to the FLA00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:36, 1ST DOWN #91 P.Woodring kick attempt good (H: #14 G.Stockton, LS: #60 B.Gardner)
-40.8
TD · Q3 3:37
(03:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Baugh rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UGA00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:37 #29 T.Smack kick attempt good (H: #19 T.Doman, LS: #42 R.Underwood)
+21.8
TD · Q3 10:46
(10:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass complete deep left to #5 N.Thomas caught at FLA00, for 22 yards to the FLA00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:46, 1ST DOWN #91 P.Woodring kick attempt good (H: #14 G.Stockton, LS: #60 B.Gardner)
-13
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com