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SCST

South Carolina State 10 at South Carolina 38

SC
2025 · Week 2 · Sep 6, 2025 · Williams-Brice Stadium
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Win probability · SC
modelSC aheadSCST aheadconfidence bandkey playSC scoreSCST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 10:18 · Mason Love punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Jalen Johnson at the SCST 37
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorBlowout margin
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 13Pregame prior+47.7Home team on offense+0.0Score differential−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0Garbage-time factor−0.1Blowout margin−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 0:00: William Joyce 49 yd FG GOOD — SC win probability +0.9 pts (now 97%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 11:23: Oscar Adaway III run for 5 yds for a TD (William Joyce KICK) — SC win probability +2.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 11:23: Timeout South Carolina, clock 11:23 — SCST win probability +0.2 pts (now 1%) (top driver: SCST has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 6:02: Jaron Willis 46 Yd Fumble Return (William Joyce Kick) — SC win probability +0.6 pts (now 100%) (top driver: SCST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SC made the numbers' call on 8 of 10SCST made the numbers' call on 6 of 10
  1. Q1 11:37SCST 4th & 9 at SC 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:18SC 4th & 2 at SC 14, tied
    Close callPunted · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:25SCST 4th & 13 at SCST 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.7%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.8%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:34SC 4th & 12 at SC 8, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.0%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.1%
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:32SCST 4th & 3 at SC 3, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.6%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    2.5%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    2.1%−0.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:06SC 4th & 18 at SC 2, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.4%−0.3
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:42SCST 4th & 2 at SC 46, up 3
    Close callPunted · 3.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    3.7%−0.3
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    3.8%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:16SC 4th & 12 at SCST 27, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 94.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.0%−0.3
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.3%
    62% to make
    Punt
    93.2%−1.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 5:01SCST 4th & 16 at SCST 21, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.7%−0.7
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.4%
    average punt
  10. Q2 3:07SCST 4th & 12 at SCST 23, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.6%−0.3
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.9%
    average punt
  11. Q2 1:44SCST 4th & 2 at SCST 33, down 11
    Close callPunted · 3.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  12. Q2 0:38SC 4th & 1 at SCST 39, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    96.6%−0.1
    36% to make
    Punt
    96.4%−0.3
    average punt
  13. Q2 0:00SC 4th & 4 at SCST 31, up 11
    Close callKicked a field goal · 96.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.5%−0.1
    54% to make
    Punt
    96.4%−0.2
    average punt
  14. Q3 7:41SCST 4th & 7 at SC 47, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.3%
    average punt
  15. Q3 6:07SC 4th & 13 at SC 11, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.6%−0.4
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.0%
    average punt
  16. Q3 4:30SCST 4th & 15 at SCST 20, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  17. Q3 2:52SC 4th & 2 at SCST 44, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.2
    27% to make
    Punt
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 9:16SC 4th & 13 at SCST 42, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  19. Q4 9:16SC 4th & 13 at SCST 42, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  20. Q4 4:03SCST 4th & 3 at SC 18, down 28
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−0.1
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%
    79% to make
    Punt
    -0.0%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SC made the numbers' call on 3 of 3SCST made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q3 11:23SC Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 6:02SC Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 2:25SC Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 12:32SCST Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SCSTDrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 28 yds · 3:081% → 1%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.0%
William Atkins IV run for 2 yds to the SCST 27Similar
Q1 14:15
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
99.0%
KZ Adams run for no gain to the SCST 27Similar
Q1 13:31
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+25
98.9%
William Atkins IV pass complete to Jalen Johnson for 25 yds to the SC 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:12
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-5
98.9%
PENALTY SCS False Start (Umoren,Moses) 5 yards from USC48 to SCS47. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:39
1ST & 15
OWN 47
0
98.9%
William Atkins IV pass incomplete to Jalen JohnsonSimilar
Q1 12:32
2ND & 15
OWN 47
+6
98.9%
KZ Adams run for 6 yds to the SC 47Similar
Q1 11:50
3RD & 9
OPP 47
0
98.8%
William Atkins IV pass incomplete to Jalen JohnsonSimilar
Q1 11:37
4TH & 9
OPP 47
0
98.8%
Elliott Janish punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SC 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:1899% → 99%
Q1 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 6
0
98.8%
LaNorris Sellers pass incomplete to Oscar Adaway IIISimilar
Q1 11:24
2ND & 10
OWN 6
+8
98.8%
Oscar Adaway III run for 8 yds to the SC 14Similar
Q1 10:51
3RD & 2
OWN 14
0
98.7%
Oscar Adaway III run for no gain to the SC 14Similar
Q1 10:18
4TH & 2
OWN 14
0
98.6%
Mason Love punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Jalen Johnson at the SCST 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCSTDrive 3PUNT
9 plays · 12 yds · 3:411% → 2%
Q1 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
98.6%
William Atkins IV run for no gain to the SCST 37Similar
Q1 9:35
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+2
98.6%
KZ Adams run for 2 yds to the SCST 39Similar
Q1 8:58
3RD & 8
OWN 39
+13
98.5%
William Atkins IV pass complete to Deyandre Ruffin for 13 yds to the SC 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:31
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
98.4%
William Atkins IV pass complete to Jordan Smith for 6 yds to the SC 42Similar
Q1 7:54
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+2
98.4%
KZ Adams run for 2 yds to the SC 40Similar
Q1 7:15
3RD & 2
OPP 40
-6
98.3%
William Atkins IV sacked by Dylan Stewart for a loss of 6 yards to the SC 46Similar
Q1 6:37
4TH & 8
OPP 46
-5
98.3%
PENALTY SCS Delay Of Game 5 yards from USC46 to SCS49. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:25
4TH & 13
OWN 49
0
98.3%
Elliott Janish punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Vicari Swain at the SC 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 0:5198% → 98%
Q1 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-5
98.2%
PENALTY USC False Start (Bennett Jr.,Mazeo) 5 yards from USC10 to USC05. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:14
1ST & 15
OWN 5
+3
98.2%
Rahsul Faison run for 3 yds to the SC 8Similar
Q1 5:53
2ND & 12
OWN 8
0
98.1%
LaNorris Sellers pass incomplete to Rahsul FaisonSimilar
Q1 5:41
3RD & 12
OWN 8
0
98.1%
LaNorris Sellers pass incomplete to Nyck HarborSimilar
Q1 5:34
4TH & 12
OWN 8
+7
98.1%
Mason Love punt for 56 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SCST 43 , Jalen Johnson returns for 7 yds to the SCST 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCSTDrive 5FG
11 plays · 54 yds · 3:542% → 3%
Q1 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
98.0%
William Atkins IV pass complete to Jalen Johnson for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 4:44
2ND & 3
50
-5
97.9%
William Atkins IV run for a loss of 5 yards to the SCST 45Similar
Q1 4:09
3RD & 8
OWN 45
+38
97.9%
William Atkins IV pass complete to Jalen Johnson for 23 yds to the SC 32 for a 1ST down South Carolina Penalty, UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (Demon Clowney) to the SC 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:44
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+7
97.7%
Mason Pickett-Hicks run for 7 yds to the SC 10Similar
Q1 3:24
2ND & 3
OPP 10
+4
97.6%
Mason Pickett-Hicks run for 4 yds to the SC 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
97.5%
Mason Pickett-Hicks run for 1 yd to the SC 5Similar
Q1 2:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
97.3%
Mason Pickett-Hicks run for 2 yds to the SC 3Similar
Q1 1:33
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
97.3%
William Atkins IV pass incomplete to Dylan BooneSimilar
Q1 1:32
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+21
97.2%
Nico Cavanillas Alti 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · -8 yds · 1:5597% → 96%
Q1 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
97.0%
Jared Brown run for 2 yds to the SC 12Similar
Q1 0:25
2ND & 8
OWN 12
-5
96.8%
PENALTY USC Illegal Snap (Stanley,Boaz) 5 yards from USC12 to USC07. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 13
OWN 7
-1
96.7%
Oscar Adaway III run for a loss of 1 yard to the SC 6Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 14
OWN 6
-3
96.6%
PENALTY USC False Start (Harbor,Nyck) 3 yards from USC06 to USC03. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:37
3RD & 17
OWN 3
-1
96.5%
LaNorris Sellers sacked by Shon Brown for a loss of 1 yard to the SC 2Similar
Q2 14:06
4TH & 18
OWN 2
0
96.3%
Mason Love punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Jalen Johnson at the SCST 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCSTDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 2:144% → 4%
Q2 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-5
96.5%
Mason Pickett-Hicks run for a loss of 5 yards to the SCST 41Similar
Q2 13:17
2ND & 15
OWN 41
+6
96.5%
William Atkins IV run for 6 yds to the SCST 47Similar
Q2 12:25
3RD & 9
OWN 47
+7
96.1%
William Atkins IV pass complete to Jalen Johnson for 7 yds to the SC 46Similar
Q2 11:42
4TH & 2
OPP 46
0
95.9%
Elliott Janish punt for 46 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 8MISSED FG
12 plays · 53 yds · 4:1496% → 94%
Q2 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
95.7%
Rahsul Faison run for 5 yds to the SC 25Similar
Q2 10:48
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+12
95.5%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Donovan Murph for 12 yds to the SC 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+12
95.5%
Nyck Harbor run for 12 yds to the SC 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
95.5%
LaNorris Sellers pass incomplete to Nyck HarborSimilar
Q2 9:35
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+11
95.3%
LaNorris Sellers run for 11 yds to the SCST 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:59
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+9
95.2%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Vandrevius Jacobs for 9 yds to the SCST 31Similar
Q2 8:36
2ND & 1
OPP 31
+6
95.2%
Rahsul Faison run for 6 yds to the SCST 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:12
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
94.9%
LaNorris Sellers pass incomplete to Jordan DingleSimilar
Q2 8:05
2ND & 10
OPP 25
0
94.8%
LaNorris Sellers pass incomplete to Donovan MurphSimilar
Q2 7:48
3RD & 10
OPP 25
-2
94.5%
LaNorris Sellers run for a loss of 2 yards to the SCST 27Similar
Q2 7:16
4TH & 12
OPP 27
+45
93.6%
William Joyce 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCSTDrive 9PUNT RETURN TD
6 plays · -6 yds · 2:026% → 4%
Q2 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
93.9%
Tyler Smith run for no gain to the SCST 27Similar
Q2 6:31
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+5
93.7%
Tyler Smith run for 5 yds to the SCST 32Similar
Q2 5:54
3RD & 5
OWN 32
-11
93.4%
William Atkins IV sacked by Bryan Thomas Jr. for a loss of 11 yards to the SCST 21Similar
Q2 5:01
4TH & 16
OWN 21
+65
96.1%
Elliott Janish punt for 44 yds , Vicari Swain returns for 65 yds for a TD (William Joyce KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCSTDrive 10PUNT TD
6 plays · -2 yds · 1:414% → 3%
Q2 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
95.7%
(04:50) No Huddle-Shotgun Atkins IV,William pass incomplete short middle to Ruffin,Deyandre thrown to SCS40 broken up by Johnson,Fred "JayR" PENALTY SCS Holding (Marsh,Kiande) 10 yards from SCS25 to SCS15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:40
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+2
95.7%
Tyler Smith run for 2 yds to the SCST 17Similar
Q2 4:03
2ND & 18
OWN 17
0
95.6%
William Atkins IV pass incomplete to Deyandre RuffinSimilar
Q2 3:51
3RD & 18
OWN 17
+6
95.7%
William Atkins IV pass complete to Tyler Smith for 6 yds to the SCST 23Similar
Q2 3:07
4TH & 12
OWN 23
+42
97.4%
Elliott Janish punt blocked by Maurice Brown II blocked by Maurice Brown II for a TD , Vicari Swain returns for 42 yds for a TD (William Joyce KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCSTDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 1:083% → 3%
Q2 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
97.2%
KZ Adams run for 3 yds to the SCST 28Similar
Q2 2:26
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+5
97.1%
William Atkins IV pass complete to Jalen Johnson for 5 yds to the SCST 33Similar
Q2 1:54
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
97.5%
Kacy Fields run for no gain to the SCST 33Similar
Q2 1:44
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
97.5%
Elliott Janish punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SC 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 12FG
11 plays · 44 yds · 1:3798% → 97%
Q2 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+27
97.7%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Donovan Murph for 27 yds to the SCST 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:29
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
97.8%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Mazeo Bennett Jr. for 9 yds to the SCST 39Similar
Q2 1:21
2ND & 1
OPP 39
0
97.8%
LaNorris Sellers run for no gain to the SCST 39Similar
Q2 1:07
3RD & 1
OPP 39
0
97.6%
Oscar Adaway III run for no gain to the SCST 39Similar
Q2 0:38
4TH & 1
OPP 39
+2
97.5%
LaNorris Sellers run for 2 yds to the SCST 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:21
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
97.5%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Mazeo Bennett Jr. for 4 yds to the SCST 33Similar
Q2 0:04
2ND & 6
OPP 33
0
97.2%
LaNorris Sellers pass incomplete to Oscar Adaway IIISimilar
Q2 0:03
3RD & 6
OPP 33
+2
97.1%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Oscar Adaway III for 2 yds to the SCST 31Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 4
OPP 31
+49
97.3%
William Joyce 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 13TD
12 plays · 65 yds · 3:2597% → 99%
Q3 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
97.4%
Rahsul Faison run for 1 yd to the SC 36Similar
Q3 14:29
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+6
97.4%
Rahsul Faison run for 6 yds to the SC 42Similar
Q3 13:55
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+13
97.3%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Michael Smith for 13 yds to the SCST 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+15
97.0%
(13:33) Shotgun Sellers,LaNorris pass incomplete deep middle to Harbor,Nyck thrown to SCS00 PENALTY SCS Pass Interference (Bookhart,Demario) 15 yards from SCS45 to SCS30, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:20
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
97.0%
Oscar Adaway III run for 5 yds to the SCST 25Similar
Q3 12:52
2ND & 5
OPP 25
+3
97.0%
Oscar Adaway III run for 3 yds to the SCST 22Similar
Q3 12:15
3RD & 2
OPP 22
+16
96.8%
LaNorris Sellers run for 16 yds to the SCST 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
96.9%
LaNorris Sellers run for 1 yd to the SCST 5Similar
Q3 11:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
98.9%
Oscar Adaway III run for 5 yds for a TD (William Joyce KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCSTDrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 28 yds · 3:271% → 1%
Q3 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
98.7%
KZ Adams run for 3 yds to the SCST 28Similar
Q3 10:30
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+22
98.6%
William Atkins IV pass complete to Jordan Smith for 22 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:58
1ST & 10
50
+5
98.5%
William Atkins IV run for 5 yds to the SC 45Similar
Q3 8:58
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+4
98.5%
William Atkins IV pass complete to Cyrus Eillison for 4 yds to the SC 41Similar
Q3 8:30
3RD & 1
OPP 41
-1
98.6%
KZ Adams run for a loss of 1 yard to the SC 42Similar
Q3 7:50
4TH & 2
OPP 42
-5
98.6%
PENALTY SCS Delay Of Game 5 yards from USC42 to USC47. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:41
4TH & 7
OPP 47
0
98.7%
Elliott Janish punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Brian Rowe Jr. at the SC 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:2299% → 99%
Q3 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
99.2%
Isaiah Augustave run for no gain to the SC 14Similar
Q3 6:54
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+1
99.3%
Isaiah Augustave run for 1 yd to the SC 15Similar
Q3 6:21
3RD & 9
OWN 15
-4
99.3%
LaNorris Sellers sacked by Mike Lunz for a loss of 4 yards to the SC 11Similar
Q3 6:07
4TH & 13
OWN 11
0
99.2%
Mason Love punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Jalen Johnson at the SCST 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCSTDrive 16FUMBLE RETURN TD
1 play · 3 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+46
99.8%
Jaron Willis 46 Yd Fumble Return (William Joyce Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCSTDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 1:150% → 0%
Q3 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-12
99.8%
Ryan Stubblefield sacked by Desmond Umeozulu for a loss of 12 yards to the SCST 13Similar
Q3 5:09
2ND & 22
OWN 13
+7
99.8%
South Carolina State Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 4:36
3RD & 15
OWN 20
0
99.8%
Ryan Stubblefield pass incomplete to Jalen JohnsonSimilar
Q3 4:30
4TH & 15
OWN 20
+9
99.8%
Elliott Janish punt for 41 yds , Brian Rowe Jr. returns for 9 yds to the SC 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 18TD
5 plays · 52 yds · 1:52100% → 100%
Q3 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
99.9%
LaNorris Sellers pass incomplete to Nyck HarborSimilar
Q3 4:08
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+4
99.9%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Vandrevius Jacobs for 4 yds to the SCST 48Similar
Q3 3:29
3RD & 6
OPP 48
+4
99.9%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Brian Rowe Jr. for 4 yds to the SCST 44Similar
Q3 2:52
4TH & 2
OPP 44
+9
99.9%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Vandrevius Jacobs for 9 yds to the SCST 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+35
99.9%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Vandrevius Jacobs for 35 yds for a TD (William Joyce KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCSTDrive 19TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:350% → 0%
Q3 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.9%
Kacy Fields run for 1 yd to the SCST 26Similar
Q3 1:26
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+3
99.9%
Ryan Stubblefield pass complete to Shamontae Burgess for 3 yds to the SCST 29Similar
Q3 0:44
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+12
99.9%
Ryan Stubblefield run for 12 yds to the SCST 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
99.9%
Shamontae Burgess run for 5 yds to the SCST 46Similar
Q4 14:42
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+7
99.9%
Ryan Stubblefield pass complete to Shamontae Burgess for 7 yds to the SC 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:12
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
99.9%
Ryan Stubblefield pass incomplete to Tyler SmithSimilar
Q4 14:08
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+13
99.9%
Ryan Stubblefield pass complete to Kacy Fields for 13 yds to the SC 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:36
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+14
99.9%
Ryan Stubblefield pass complete to Nicholas Sowell for 14 yds to the SC 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:07
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+11
99.9%
Kacy Fields run for 11 yds to the SC 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
99.9%
Ryan Stubblefield pass incomplete to Tyler SmithSimilar
Q4 12:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
99.9%
Ryan Stubblefield pass complete to Nicholas Sowell for 9 yds for a TD (Nico Cavanillas Alti KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 20PUNT
12 plays · 18 yds · 3:00100% → 100%
Q4 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
99.9%
Matt Fuller run for 2 yds to the SC 37Similar
Q4 11:53
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+5
99.9%
Matt Fuller run for 5 yds to the SC 42Similar
Q4 11:30
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+6
99.9%
Matt Fuller run for 6 yds to the SC 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-2
99.9%
Matt Fuller run for a loss of 2 yards to the SC 46Similar
Q4 10:44
2ND & 12
OWN 46
+15
99.9%
(10:51) No Huddle-Shotgun Doty,Luke pass incomplete deep middle to Jacobs,Vandrevius thrown to SCS21 broken up by Samuels,Marcus PENALTY SCS Pass Interference (Samuels,Marcus) 15 yards from USC46 to SCS39, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:37
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
99.9%
Jawarn Howell run for no gain to the SCST 39Similar
Q4 10:03
2ND & 10
OPP 39
0
99.9%
Luke Doty pass incomplete to Jordon GidronSimilar
Q4 9:56
3RD & 10
OPP 39
+2
99.9%
Jawarn Howell run for 2 yds to the SCST 37Similar
Q4 9:31
4TH & 8
OPP 37
-5
99.9%
(09:28) PENALTY USC False Start 5 yards from SCS37 to SCS42. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:16
4TH & 13
OPP 42
0
99.9%
Mason Love punt for 42 yds for a touchbackSimilar
Q4 9:16
4TH & 13
OPP 42
0
99.9%
Mason Love punt for 42 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCSTDrive 21DOWNS
12 plays · 57 yds · 5:060% → 0%
Q4 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.9%
Kacy Fields run for 5 yds to the SCST 30Similar
Q4 8:21
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
99.9%
Kacy Fields run for 2 yds to the SCST 32Similar
Q4 7:25
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+32
99.9%
Ryan Stubblefield pass complete to Shamontae Burgess for 32 yds to the SC 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:57
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+6
99.9%
Tyler Smith run for 6 yds to the SC 30Similar
Q4 6:21
2ND & 4
OPP 30
0
99.9%
Ryan Stubblefield pass incomplete to John GrantSimilar
Q4 6:04
3RD & 4
OPP 30
+5
99.9%
Ryan Stubblefield pass complete to John Grant for 5 yds to the SC 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:31
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
99.9%
Ryan Stubblefield pass incomplete to John GrantSimilar
Q4 5:25
2ND & 10
OPP 25
-4
99.9%
Ryan Stubblefield sacked by Jaquavious Dodd for a loss of 4 yards to the SC 29Similar
Q4 4:34
3RD & 14
OPP 29
+11
100.0%
Ryan Stubblefield run for 11 yds to the SC 18Similar
Q4 4:03
4TH & 3
OPP 18
0
99.9%
Ryan Stubblefield pass incomplete to Nigel JohnsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 22END OF GAME
7 plays · 33 yds · 3:57100% → 100%
Q4 3:57
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+8
99.9%
Jawarn Howell run for 8 yds to the SC 26Similar
Q4 3:14
2ND & 2
OWN 26
+4
100.0%
Jawarn Howell run for 4 yds to the SC 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
100.0%
Jawarn Howell run for 6 yds to the SC 36Similar
Q4 1:48
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+5
100.0%
Matt Fuller run for 5 yds to the SC 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
100.0%
Jawarn Howell run for 1 yd to the SC 42Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+9
100.0%
Jawarn Howell run for 9 yds to the SCST 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 11:23
Oscar Adaway III run for 5 yds for a TD (William Joyce KICK)
+2.1
FG · Q2 0:00
William Joyce 49 yd FG GOOD
+0.9
TD · Q3 6:02
Jaron Willis 46 Yd Fumble Return (William Joyce Kick)
+0.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com