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ARST

Arkansas State 14 at Arkansas 56

ARK
2025 · Week 2 · Sep 6, 2025 · War Memorial Stadium (AR)
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Win probability · ARK
modelARK aheadARST aheadconfidence bandkey playARK scoreARST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · K. Jackson takes a knee
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorBlowout margin
+43.5+21.80−21.8−43.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 5:05: Braylen Russell 7 Yd Run (Scott Starzyk Kick) — ARST win probability +0.4 pts (now 7%) (top driver: ARK has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 3:44: Timeout Arkansas, clock 03:44 — ARK win probability +2.6 pts (now 94%) (top driver: ARK has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 11:20: Timeout Arkansas, clock 11:20 — ARST win probability +1.4 pts (now 8%) (top driver: ARST has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 3:46: O'Mega Blake 14 Yd pass from Taylen Green (Scott Starzyk Kick) — ARK win probability +0.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ARK has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 3:46: Timeout Arkansas, clock 03:46 — ARST win probability +0.7 pts (now 2%) (top driver: ARST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ARK made the numbers' call on 1 of 1ARST made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 12:27ARST 4th & 7 at ARST 38, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.1%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:00ARST 4th & 30 at ARST 5, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.5%−0.3
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:19ARST 4th & 8 at ARK 41, down 14
    Close callPunted · 7.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.5%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    7.3%−0.2
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    7.4%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:00ARK 4th & 5 at ARK 7, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.5%−0.2
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:41ARST 4th & 21 at ARK 36, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 7.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.2%−0.5
    9% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    7.7%
    42% to make
    Punt
    7.6%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q3 8:18ARST 4th & 8 at ARST 38, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.3%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.5%
    average punt
  7. Q4 10:32ARST 4th & 1 at ARK 1, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.3%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    -0.3%−0.6
    average punt
  8. Q4 10:32ARST 4th & 1 at ARK 1, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.3%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    -0.3%−0.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ARK made the numbers' call on 2 of 2ARST made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 14:21ARK Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 10:03ARK Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 9:50ARST Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ARKDrive 1TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:3993% → 93%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+22
93.4%
Taylen Green pass complete to O'Mega Blake for 22 yds to the ARK 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:21
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+53
93.3%
Mike Washington Jr. run for 53 yds for a TD (Scott Starzyk KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 1:547% → 7%
Q1 14:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
93.3%
Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Chauncy Cobb for 10 yds to the ARST 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:21
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
93.3%
Jaylen Raynor pass incomplete to Corey RuckerSimilar
Q1 14:21
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-7
93.3%
Jaylen Raynor sacked by Quincy Rhodes Jr. for a loss of 7 yards to the ARST 28Similar
Q1 14:21
3RD & 17
OWN 28
+10
93.3%
Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Kenyon Clay for 10 yds to the ARST 38Similar
Q1 12:27
4TH & 7
OWN 38
0
93.0%
Jackson Waller punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Kam Shanks at the ARK 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 3TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 2:2493% → 93%
Q1 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+14
93.0%
Mike Washington Jr. run for 14 yds to the ARK 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
93.0%
Taylen Green pass complete to Jalen Brown for 6 yds to the ARK 40Similar
Q1 12:27
2ND & 4
OWN 40
0
93.1%
Taylen Green pass incomplete to Mike Washington Jr.Similar
Q1 12:27
3RD & 4
OWN 40
+18
93.0%
Taylen Green pass complete to CJ Brown for 18 yds to the ARST 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:27
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
93.1%
Mike Washington Jr. run for 5 yds to the ARST 37Similar
Q1 10:03
2ND & 5
OPP 37
+37
93.3%
Taylen Green pass complete to Raylen Sharpe for 37 yds for a TD (Scott Starzyk KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 4TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:5192% → 92%
Q1 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
92.1%
Shotgun Green,Taylen pass complete short right to Blake,O'Mega caught at ARK34, for 9 yards to the ARK34 (Dickerson,Avante) PENALTY ARK Illegal Motion (Brown,CJ) 5 yards from ARK25 to ARK20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:50
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+16
92.1%
Taylen Green pass complete to Jalen Brown for 16 yds to the ARK 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+64
91.9%
Taylen Green 64 Yd Run (Scott Starzyk Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · -20 yds · 1:597% → 8%
Q1 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
92.6%
Kenyon Clay run for no gain to the ARST 25Similar
Q1 8:59
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-12
92.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun Raynor,Jaylen pass incomplete short left to Cobb,Chauncy thrown to ASU31 PENALTY ASU Pass Interference (Rucker,Corey) 12 yards from ASU25 to ASU13. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:59
2ND & 22
OWN 13
-12
92.6%
Jaylen Raynor sacked by Phillip Lee for a loss of 12 yards to the ARST 1Similar
Q1 8:59
3RD & 34
OWN 1
+5
92.7%
Arkansas State Penalty, Offensive Holding (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 7:00
4TH & 30
OWN 5
+5
92.5%
Jackson Waller punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the 50 yard line , Kam Shanks returns for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 6TD
5 plays · 50 yds · 1:5593% → 93%
Q1 7:00
1ST & 10
50
+35
93.2%
Taylen Green run for 35 yds to the ARST 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
93.3%
Taylen Green run for 2 yds to the ARST 13Similar
Q1 7:00
2ND & 8
OPP 13
+6
93.3%
Braylen Russell run for 6 yds to the ARST 7Similar
Q1 5:05
3RD & 2
OPP 7
+7
92.9%
Braylen Russell 7 Yd Run (Scott Starzyk Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 7INT
5 plays · 27 yds · 0:577% → 8%
Q1 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
92.9%
Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Devin Spencer for no gain to the ARST 25Similar
Q1 5:05
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
92.9%
Jaylen Raynor pass incomplete to Hunter SummersSimilar
Q1 5:05
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+27
93.0%
Jaylen Raynor run for 12 yds to the ARK 37 for a 1ST down Arkansas Penalty, Illegal Use Of Hands (Phillip Lee) to the ARK 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:08
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-25
92.5%
Jaylen Raynor pass intercepted Xavian Sorey Jr. return for 25 yds to the ARST 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 8INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q1 3:56
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-18
94.4%
Taylen Green pass intercepted Terry Kirksey return for 18 yds to the ARST 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 21 yds · 2:377% → 8%
Q1 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-1
92.7%
Jaylen Raynor run for a loss of 1 yard to the ARST 37Similar
Q1 3:56
2ND & 11
OWN 37
+15
92.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun Raynor,Jaylen pass incomplete deep right to Summers,Hunter thrown to ARK30, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY ARK Pass Interference (Singletary,Jaheim) 15 yards from ASU37 to ARK48, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:56
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-5
92.5%
PENALTY ASU False Start (Bush,Jabari) 5 yards from ARK48 to ASU47. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:56
1ST & 15
OWN 47
+10
92.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun Raynor,Jaylen pass incomplete short right to Spencer,Devin thrown to ASU47 broken up by Collins,Charlie QB hurried by Collins,Charlie PENALTY ARK Holding (Singletary,Jaheim) 10 yards from ASU47 to ARK43, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:56
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-1
92.5%
Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Jabari Bush for a loss of 1 yard to the ARK 44Similar
Q1 3:56
2ND & 11
OPP 44
+2
92.6%
Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Jabari Bush for 2 yds to the ARK 46Similar
Q1 3:56
3RD & 13
OPP 46
+5
92.7%
Devin Spencer run for 5 yds to the ARK 41Similar
Q1 1:19
4TH & 8
OPP 41
0
92.4%
Jackson Waller punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:1993% → 93%
Q1 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+2
92.6%
Mike Washington Jr. run for 2 yds to the ARK 4Similar
Q1 1:19
2ND & 8
OWN 4
+3
93.0%
Mike Washington Jr. run for 3 yds to the ARK 7Similar
Q1 1:19
3RD & 5
OWN 7
0
93.5%
Taylen Green pass incomplete to O'Mega BlakeSimilar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 5
OWN 7
+9
92.7%
Devin Bale punt for 62 yds , Aaron Blancas returns for 9 yds to the ARST 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 11MISSED FG
13 plays · 24 yds · 3:198% → 7%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
92.2%
Kenyon Clay run for 1 yd to the ARST 41Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+5
92.3%
Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Chauncy Cobb for 5 yds to the ARST 46Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 46
+5
92.1%
Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Hunter Summers for 5 yds to the ARK 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
92.0%
Jaylen Raynor run for 7 yds to the ARK 42Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 42
0
91.9%
Jaylen Raynor pass incomplete to Tyler FortenberrySimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 42
+17
92.0%
Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Chauncy Cobb for 17 yds to the ARK 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
91.7%
Jaylen Raynor pass incomplete to Corey RuckerSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+4
91.9%
Devin Spencer run for 4 yds to the ARK 21Similar
Q2 11:54
3RD & 6
OPP 21
-15
91.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun Raynor,Jaylen pass complete short middle to Summers,Hunter caught at ARK02, for 21 yards to the ARK00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 11:54 PENALTY ASU Personal Foul (Watson,Aleric) 15 yards from ARK21 to ARK36. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:54
3RD & 21
OPP 36
0
92.1%
Jaylen Raynor pass incomplete to Corey RuckerSimilar
Q2 11:41
4TH & 21
OPP 36
+53
92.8%
Clune Van Andel 53 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 12INT
3 plays · 11 yds · 1:1195% → 95%
Q2 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
94.6%
Mike Washington Jr. run for 7 yds to the ARK 43Similar
Q2 11:41
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+4
94.7%
Taylen Green run for 4 yds to the ARK 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
94.8%
Taylen Green pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 13TD
17 plays · 62 yds · 6:467% → 8%
Q2 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
92.6%
Kenyon Clay run for 2 yds to the ARST 40 Kenyon Clay fumbled, recovered by ARST Kenyon ClaySimilar
Q2 10:30
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+9
92.6%
Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Devin Spencer for 9 yds to the ARST 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+9
92.4%
Devin Spencer run for 9 yds to the ARK 42Similar
Q2 10:30
2ND & 1
OPP 42
-1
92.2%
Jaylen Bonelli run for a loss of 1 yard to the ARK 43Similar
Q2 10:30
3RD & 2
OPP 43
+18
92.3%
Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Chauncy Cobb for 18 yds to the ARK 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+6
92.0%
Kenyon Clay run for 6 yds to the ARK 19Similar
Q2 10:30
2ND & 4
OPP 19
+4
92.0%
Jaylen Raynor run for 4 yds to the ARK 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-4
92.0%
Jaylen Raynor sacked by Quincy Rhodes Jr. for a loss of 4 yards to the ARK 19Similar
Q2 10:30
2ND & 14
OPP 19
+14
92.3%
Jaylen Raynor run for 14 yds to the ARK 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
92.0%
Jaylen Raynor run for no gain to the ARK 5Similar
Q2 10:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-2
92.0%
Kenyon Clay run for a loss of 2 yards to the ARK 7Similar
Q2 10:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
-5
92.2%
PENALTY ASU False Start (Myers,Mason) 5 yards from ARK07 to ARK12. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
+3
92.3%
Arkansas Penalty, Defensive Holding (Stephen Dix Jr.) to the ARK 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
91.9%
Jaylen Raynor pass incomplete to Corey RuckerSimilar
Q2 3:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
91.7%
Cameron Ambrose 2 Yd pass from Jaylen Raynor (Clune Van Andel Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 14TD
15 plays · 83 yds · 2:5191% → 92%
Q2 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+6
91.4%
Taylen Green pass complete to Raylen Sharpe for 6 yds to the ARK 23Similar
Q2 3:44
2ND & 4
OWN 23
+11
91.4%
Taylen Green pass complete to O'Mega Blake for 11 yds to the ARK 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+13
91.5%
Taylen Green pass complete to CJ Brown for 13 yds to the ARK 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+7
92.0%
Taylen Green pass complete to O'Mega Blake for 7 yds to the ARST 46Similar
Q2 3:44
2ND & 3
OPP 46
+8
92.1%
Taylen Green run for 8 yds to the ARST 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
91.8%
Taylen Green pass incomplete to CJ BrownSimilar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 10
OPP 38
0
91.7%
Taylen Green pass incomplete to Mike Washington Jr.Similar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 10
OPP 38
+9
91.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun Green,Taylen pass incomplete short left to Brown,CJ thrown to ASU29 QB hurried by Whitehead,Bryan PENALTY ASU Pass Interference (McGhee,AG) 9 yards from ASU38 to ASU29, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
91.7%
Taylen Green pass incomplete to Jaden PlattSimilar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+10
91.7%
Taylen Green run for 10 yds to the ARST 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
91.6%
Taylen Green pass incomplete to CJ BrownSimilar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+11
91.6%
Taylen Green run for 11 yds to the ARST 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
91.7%
Jalen Brown 8 Yd pass from Taylen Green (Scott Starzyk Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 15END OF HALF
3 plays · 2 yds · 0:537% → 7%
Q2 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+13
93.4%
Kenyon Clay run for 13 yds to the ARST 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-11
93.2%
Jaylen Raynor sacked for a loss of 11 yards to the ARST 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 16INT
6 plays · 11 yds · 1:307% → 8%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
92.8%
Kenyon Clay run for a loss of 1 yard to the ARST 24Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+10
92.8%
Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Corey Rucker for 10 yds to the ARST 34Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
92.4%
Kenyon Clay run for 2 yds to the ARST 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
92.5%
Jaylen Raynor pass incomplete to Kenyon ClaySimilar
Q3 13:30
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+15
92.5%
Arkansas Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the ARK 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 17TD
6 plays · 70 yds · 2:1093% → 94%
Q3 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
93.2%
Mike Washington Jr. run for 3 yds to the ARK 33Similar
Q3 13:30
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+5
93.2%
Taylen Green pass complete to CJ Brown for 5 yds to the ARK 38Similar
Q3 13:30
3RD & 2
OWN 38
+6
93.2%
Mike Washington Jr. run for 6 yds to the ARK 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+23
93.6%
Mike Washington Jr. run for 23 yds to the ARST 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:20
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+33
93.7%
Rohan Jones 33 Yd pass from Taylen Green (Scott Starzyk Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 18PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 3:023% → 3%
Q3 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
97.0%
Jaylen Raynor run for 7 yds to the ARST 32Similar
Q3 11:20
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
96.8%
Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Devin Spencer for 2 yds to the ARST 34Similar
Q3 11:20
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
96.8%
Devin Spencer run for 2 yds to the ARST 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
96.8%
Jaylen Raynor pass incomplete to Chauncy CobbSimilar
Q3 11:20
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+1
96.8%
Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Kenyon Clay for 1 yd to the ARST 37Similar
Q3 11:20
3RD & 9
OWN 37
+1
96.9%
Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Corey Rucker for 1 yd to the ARST 38Similar
Q3 8:18
4TH & 8
OWN 38
0
97.4%
Jackson Waller punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ARK 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 19TD
12 plays · 86 yds · 4:3298% → 99%
Q3 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
97.9%
Taylen Green pass incomplete to Kam ShanksSimilar
Q3 8:18
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+5
97.9%
Braylen Russell run for 5 yds to the ARK 19Similar
Q3 8:18
3RD & 5
OWN 19
+6
97.8%
Taylen Green run for 6 yds to the ARK 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
97.8%
Braylen Russell run for 5 yds to the ARK 30Similar
Q3 8:18
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+16
97.9%
Taylen Green pass complete to Jaden Platt for 16 yds to the ARK 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
98.0%
Taylen Green pass complete to Braylen Russell for 3 yds to the ARK 49Similar
Q3 8:18
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+11
98.0%
Taylen Green run for 11 yds to the ARST 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:18
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+10
98.1%
Taylen Green pass complete to O'Mega Blake for 10 yds to the ARST 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:18
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
98.1%
Braylen Russell run for 2 yds to the ARST 28Similar
Q3 8:18
2ND & 8
OPP 28
+14
98.1%
Taylen Green pass complete to Braylen Russell for 14 yds to the ARST 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:46
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
98.6%
O'Mega Blake 14 Yd pass from Taylen Green (Scott Starzyk Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 20DOWNS
21 plays · 74 yds · 8:140% → 0%
Q3 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
99.7%
Jaylen Raynor run for 16 yds to the ARST 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+11
99.7%
Devin Spencer run for 11 yds to the ARK 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:46
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
99.7%
Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Jaylen Bonelli for 7 yds to the ARK 41Similar
Q3 3:46
2ND & 3
OPP 41
+2
99.7%
Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Kenyon Clay for 2 yds to the ARK 39Similar
Q3 3:46
3RD & 1
OPP 39
+2
99.7%
Kenyon Clay run for 2 yds to the ARK 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:46
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
99.7%
Jaylen Raynor pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:46
2ND & 10
OPP 37
-10
99.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun Raynor,Jaylen rush middle for 12 yards gain to the ARK25 (Mitchell,Miguel) PENALTY ASU Holding (Saxton,Wil) 10 yards from ARK37 to ARK47. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 20
OPP 47
+3
99.8%
Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Devin Spencer for 3 yds to the ARK 44Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 17
OPP 44
+9
99.8%
Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Corey Rucker for 9 yds to the ARK 35Similar
Q4 14:08
4TH & 8
OPP 35
+10
99.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun Raynor,Jaylen sacked for loss of 7 yards to the ARK42 (Boone,Justus), fumble by Raynor,Jaylen recovered by ASU McGehee,Riley at ARK42, End Of Play PENALTY ARK Holding (Worth III,Larry) 10 yards from ARK35 to ARK25, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:08
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
99.8%
Jaylen Raynor pass incomplete to Corey RuckerSimilar
Q4 14:08
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+2
99.8%
Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Kenyon Clay for 2 yds to the ARK 23Similar
Q4 13:34
3RD & 8
OPP 23
+15
99.8%
Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Nana Burris for 15 yds to the ARK 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
99.8%
Kenyon Clay run for 1 yd to the ARK 7Similar
Q4 13:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
99.8%
Jaylen Raynor run for 4 yds to the ARK 3Similar
Q4 13:34
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
99.8%
Jaylen Raynor run for 2 yds to the ARK 1Similar
Q4 10:32
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.8%
Kenyon Clay run for no gain to the ARK 1Similar
Q4 10:32
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.8%
Kenyon Clay run for no gain to the ARK 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 21TD
11 plays · 99 yds · 4:16100% → 100%
Q4 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+2
99.9%
Rodney Hill run for 2 yds to the ARK 3Similar
Q4 10:32
2ND & 8
OWN 3
-6
99.9%
Shotgun Jackson,KJ pass complete short right to Ferguson,Ja'Kayden caught at ARK09, for 6 yards to the ARK09 (Dickerson,Avante) PENALTY ARK Illegal Formation 1 yard from ARK03 to ARK02. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:32
2ND & 9
OWN 2
+5
99.9%
Rodney Hill run for 5 yds to the ARK 7Similar
Q4 10:32
3RD & 4
OWN 7
+14
99.9%
KJ Jackson pass complete to Andreas Paaske for 14 yds to the ARK 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+41
99.9%
KJ Jackson pass complete to Rohan Jones for 41 yds to the ARST 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:32
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+18
99.9%
Rodney Hill run for 18 yds to the ARST 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:32
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+15
99.9%
KJ Jackson pass complete to Jaden Platt for 15 yds to the ARST 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-1
99.9%
Rodney Hill run for a loss of 1 yard to the ARST 6Similar
Q4 6:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
99.9%
KJ Jackson 6 Yd Run (Scott Starzyk Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 22DOWNS
15 plays · 64 yds · 5:460% → 0%
Q4 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.9%
Cedric Hawkins run for 4 yds to the ARST 29Similar
Q4 6:16
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+1
99.9%
Cedric Hawkins run for 1 yd to the ARST 30Similar
Q4 6:16
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+7
99.9%
Josh Flowers pass complete to Jabari Bush for 7 yds to the ARST 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
99.9%
Josh Flowers run for 5 yds to the ARST 42Similar
Q4 6:16
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+23
99.9%
Kameron Thomas run for 23 yds to the ARK 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:16
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+8
99.9%
Kameron Thomas run for 8 yds to the ARK 27Similar
Q4 6:16
2ND & 2
OPP 27
+1
99.9%
Kameron Thomas run for 1 yd to the ARK 26Similar
Q4 6:16
3RD & 1
OPP 26
+12
99.9%
Josh Flowers run for 12 yds to the ARK 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
100.0%
Kameron Thomas run for 2 yds to the ARK 12Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 8
OPP 12
+1
100.0%
Kameron Thomas run for 1 yd to the ARK 11Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 7
OPP 11
0
100.0%
Josh Flowers pass incomplete to Nana BurrisSimilar
Q4 0:30
4TH & 7
OPP 11
0
100.0%
Arkansas State Penalty, (Yards) to the ARK 11Similar
Q4 0:30
4TH & 7
OPP 11
0
100.0%
Arkansas State Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Nana Burris) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 23END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-1
100.0%
K. Jackson takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 3:44
Timeout Arkansas, clock 03:44
+2.6
TD · Q3 11:20
Timeout Arkansas, clock 11:20
-1.4
TD · Q3 3:46
Timeout Arkansas, clock 03:46
-0.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com