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LIU

Long Island University 0 at Florida 55

FLA
2025 · Week 1 · Aug 30, 2025 · Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
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Win probability · FLA
modelFLA aheadLIU aheadconfidence bandkey playFLA scoreLIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of GameFG+0.1FLA 98.9%Trey Smack 56 yd FG GOODAWAY 0 - HOME 17 · Q2 14:47
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 14:47 · Trey Smack 56 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 39Pregame prior+45.0Home team on offense+7.6Score differential+4.4Blowout margin−0.2Garbage-time factor+2.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 9:29: Jadan Baugh run for 4 yds for a TD (Trey Smack KICK) — FLA win probability +0.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 14:47: Trey Smack 56 yd FG GOOD — FLA win probability +0.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 7:04: DJ Lagway pass complete to Eugene Wilson III for 4 yds for a TD (Trey Smack KICK) — FLA win probability +0.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 3:26: DJ Lagway pass complete to Hayden Hansen for 4 yds for a TD (Trey Smack KICK) — FLA win probability +0.5 pts (now 100%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 0:10: DJ Lagway pass complete to J. Michael Sturdivant for 8 yds for a TD (Trey Smack KICK) — FLA win probability +0.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FLA made the numbers' call on 3 of 6LIU made the numbers' call on 9 of 11
  1. Q1 11:50LIU 4th & 6 at LIU 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:52LIU 4th & 10 at LIU 25, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:02FLA 4th & 14 at LIU 22, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.8%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.9%
    72% to make
    Punt
    98.5%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:50LIU 4th & 14 at LIU 18, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.3%
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:50LIU 4th & 14 at LIU 18, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:47FLA 4th & 10 at LIU 38, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.8%
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.7%−<0.1
    38% to make
    Punt
    98.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:46LIU 4th & 3 at LIU 32, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:21FLA 4th & 6 at LIU 21, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.8%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.8%
    74% to make
    Punt
    98.4%−0.4
    average punt
  9. Q2 5:25LIU 4th & 5 at LIU 30, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:50LIU 4th & 1 at LIU 34, down 31
    Close callPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:53FLA 4th & 7 at LIU 24, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%
    68% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.4
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:47LIU 4th & 10 at LIU 25, down 41
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  13. Q3 7:24FLA 4th & 2 at FLA 42, up 41
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  14. Q3 5:01LIU 4th & 2 at LIU 19, down 41
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  15. Q3 0:00LIU 4th & 12 at LIU 23, down 48
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 10:49FLA 4th & 13 at LIU 39, up 48
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    36% to make
    Punt
    99.9%
    average punt
  17. Q4 6:31LIU 4th & 2 at FLA 22, down 48
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    72% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FLA made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 13:41FLA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 9:29FLA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:04FLA Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:26FLA Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:10FLA Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 2:03FLA Touchdown, up 47 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 0:25FLA Touchdown, up 54 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LIUDrive 1FUMBLE RETURN TD
4 plays · 12 yds · 1:081% → 1%
Q1 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.4%
Kam Ingram run for 6 yds to the LIU 31Similar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+5
99.3%
Cory Nichols run for 5 yds to the LIU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+37
99.3%
Bryce Thornton 37 Yd Fumble Return (Trey Smack Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIUDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 1:381% → 1%
Q1 13:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.3%
Ethan Greenwood run for 4 yds to the LIU 29Similar
Q1 12:50
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
99.3%
Ethan Greenwood pass incomplete to Cory NicholsSimilar
Q1 12:40
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+5
99.3%
Ethan Greenwood run for 5 yds to the LIU 34Similar
Q1 11:57
4TH & 1
OWN 34
-5
99.2%
PENALTY LIU Delay Of Game 5 yards from LIU34 to LIU29. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:50
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
99.2%
Will Lynch punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 3TD
6 plays · 66 yds · 2:0099% → 99%
Q1 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-5
99.2%
DJ Lagway sacked by Elijah Casey for a loss of 5 yards to the FLA 29Similar
Q1 11:04
2ND & 15
OWN 29
+16
99.2%
Jadan Baugh run for 16 yds to the FLA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+32
99.2%
Jadan Baugh run for 17 yds to the LIU 38 for a 1ST down Long Island University Penalty, Personal Foul (Trey Watkins) to the LIU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:02
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+12
99.2%
DJ Lagway pass complete to Tony Livingston for 12 yds to the LIU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:46
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+7
99.2%
Jadan Baugh run for 7 yds to the LIU 4Similar
Q1 9:29
2ND & 3
OPP 4
+4
99.2%
Jadan Baugh run for 4 yds for a TD (Trey Smack KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIUDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 2:281% → 1%
Q1 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.2%
Ethan Greenwood run for 2 yds to the LIU 27Similar
Q1 8:35
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
99.1%
Kam Ingram run for 4 yds to the LIU 31Similar
Q1 8:02
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-5
99.1%
PENALTY LIU False Start (Meredith-Smith,Aqil) 5 yards from LIU31 to LIU26. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:36
3RD & 9
OWN 26
-1
99.1%
O'Shawn Ross Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the LIU 25Similar
Q1 6:52
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+21
99.1%
Will Lynch punt for 40 yds , Vernell Brown III returns for 21 yds to the LIU 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 5MISSED FG
8 plays · 22 yds · 3:3799% → 99%
Q1 6:39
1ST & 12
OPP 44
-1
99.1%
DJ Lagway pass complete to J. Michael Sturdivant for a loss of 1 yard to the LIU 45Similar
Q1 6:06
2ND & 13
OPP 45
+13
99.1%
Ja'Kobi Jackson run for 13 yds to the LIU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
99.1%
DJ Lagway pass incomplete to J. Michael SturdivantSimilar
Q1 5:24
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+14
99.1%
DJ Lagway pass complete to Vernell Brown III for 14 yds to the LIU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:06
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
99.0%
Ja'Kobi Jackson run for no gain to the LIU 18 Ja'Kobi Jackson fumbled, recovered by FLA Damieon George Jr.Similar
Q1 3:46
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+3
99.0%
DJ Lagway pass complete to Eugene Wilson III for 3 yds to the LIU 21Similar
Q1 3:19
3RD & 13
OPP 21
-1
99.0%
DJ Lagway run for a loss of 1 yard to the LIU 22Similar
Q1 3:02
4TH & 14
OPP 22
+40
98.9%
Trey Smack 40 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 2:041% → 1%
Q1 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-1
98.9%
Luca Stanzani run for a loss of 1 yard to the LIU 21Similar
Q1 2:08
2ND & 11
OWN 21
0
98.8%
Ethan Greenwood run for no gain to the LIU 21Similar
Q1 1:19
3RD & 11
OWN 21
-3
98.8%
Ethan Greenwood run for a loss of 3 yards to the LIU 18Similar
Q1 0:50
4TH & 14
OWN 18
0
98.8%
Will Lynch punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Vernell Brown III at the FLA 47Similar
Q1 0:50
4TH & 14
OWN 18
0
98.8%
Will Lynch punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Vernell Brown III at the LIU 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 7FG
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:4399% → 99%
Q1 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
98.9%
DJ Lagway pass complete to Eugene Wilson III for 4 yds to the LIU 42Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 14
OPP 42
+4
98.8%
Jadan Baugh run for 4 yds to the LIU 38Similar
Q2 14:53
3RD & 10
OPP 38
0
98.8%
DJ Lagway pass incomplete to Vernell Brown IIISimilar
Q2 14:47
4TH & 10
OPP 38
+56
98.9%
Trey Smack 56 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:521% → 1%
Q2 14:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
98.9%
O'Shawn Ross Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the LIU 22Similar
Q2 13:52
2ND & 13
OWN 22
-1
98.9%
Kam Ingram run for a loss of 1 yard to the LIU 21Similar
Q2 13:15
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+11
98.9%
Ethan Greenwood pass complete to Cory Nichols for 11 yds to the LIU 32Similar
Q2 12:46
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+20
98.9%
Will Lynch punt for 46 yds , Vernell Brown III returns for 20 yds to the FLA 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 9MISSED FG
6 plays · 37 yds · 3:1199% → 99%
Q2 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
99.0%
DJ Lagway run for 9 yds to the LIU 49Similar
Q2 11:51
2ND & 1
OPP 49
+24
99.0%
DJ Lagway pass complete to Vernell Brown III for 24 yds to the LIU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:10
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
99.0%
DJ Lagway pass complete to Eugene Wilson III for 4 yds to the LIU 29Similar
Q2 10:31
2ND & 14
OPP 29
+5
98.9%
Ja'Kobi Jackson run for 5 yds to the LIU 24Similar
Q2 10:00
3RD & 9
OPP 24
+3
98.9%
DJ Lagway pass complete to Eugene Wilson III for 3 yds to the LIU 21Similar
Q2 9:21
4TH & 6
OPP 21
+39
98.8%
Trey Smack 39 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIUDrive 10FUMBLE
2 plays · -11 yds · 0:361% → 1%
Q2 9:04
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
98.7%
Ethan Greenwood run for 2 yds to the LIU 23Similar
Q2 8:28
2ND & 8
OWN 23
-13
98.7%
Ethan Greenwood run for a loss of 13 yards to the LIU 10 Ethan Greenwood fumbled, recovered by FLA Bryce ThorntonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 11TD
3 plays · 10 yds · 1:1399% → 99%
Q2 8:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+7
98.9%
Ja'Kobi Jackson run for 7 yds to the LIU 3Similar
Q2 7:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
98.8%
Ja'Kobi Jackson run for a loss of 1 yard to the LIU 4Similar
Q2 7:04
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.2%
DJ Lagway pass complete to Eugene Wilson III for 4 yds for a TD (Trey Smack KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIUDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 5 yds · 1:391% → 1%
Q2 7:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
99.1%
PENALTY LIU False Start (Krill,Jacoby) 5 yards from LIU25 to LIU20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:59
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
99.1%
Luca Stanzani pass incomplete to Deion RichardsonSimilar
Q2 6:48
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+1
99.1%
Ethan Greenwood run for 1 yd to the LIU 21Similar
Q2 5:53
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+9
99.1%
Ethan Greenwood pass complete to Deion Richardson for 9 yds to the LIU 30Similar
Q2 5:25
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
99.1%
Will Lynch punt for 58 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 13TD
6 plays · 88 yds · 1:4999% → 100%
Q2 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+41
99.2%
Jadan Baugh run for 26 yds to the LIU 38 for a 1ST down Long Island University Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Deuce Cooper) to the LIU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:57
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
99.3%
DJ Lagway pass incomplete to Vernell Brown IIISimilar
Q2 4:45
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+16
99.3%
DJ Lagway pass complete to Hayden Hansen for 16 yds to the LIU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:20
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-1
99.3%
Jadan Baugh run for a loss of 1 yard to the LIU 32Similar
Q2 3:45
2ND & 11
OPP 32
+28
99.3%
Jadan Baugh run for 23 yds to the LIU 9 for a 1ST down Long Island University Penalty, Block Below Waist (Trey Watkins) to the LIU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.7%
DJ Lagway pass complete to Hayden Hansen for 4 yds for a TD (Trey Smack KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:240% → 0%
Q2 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.7%
O'Shawn Ross Jr. run for 4 yds to the LIU 29Similar
Q2 2:36
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
99.7%
Ethan Greenwood run for 5 yds to the LIU 34Similar
Q2 1:59
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
99.8%
Ethan Greenwood pass incomplete to Evan BrooksSimilar
Q2 1:50
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
99.7%
Will Lynch punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Vernell Brown III at the FLA 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 15TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 1:30100% → 100%
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.8%
DJ Lagway pass complete to Hayden Hansen for 7 yds to the FLA 32Similar
Q2 1:28
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+15
99.8%
(01:28) No Huddle-Shotgun Lagway,DJ pass incomplete short left to Sturdivant,J.Michael thrown to UFL45 PENALTY LIU Pass Interference (Bell,Jalen) 15 yards from UFL32 to UFL47, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
99.8%
PENALTY LIU Delay Of Game (Watkins,DQ) 5 yards from UFL47 to LIU48. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:20
1ST & 5
OPP 48
-1
99.8%
DJ Lagway pass complete to Ja'Kobi Jackson for a loss of 1 yard to the LIU 49Similar
Q2 1:02
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+41
99.8%
DJ Lagway pass complete to Vernell Brown III for 41 yds to the LIU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
99.8%
Ja'Kobi Jackson run for 4 yds to the LIU 4Similar
Q2 0:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-4
99.8%
Ja'Kobi Jackson run for a loss of 4 yards to the LIU 8Similar
Q2 0:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
99.8%
DJ Lagway pass complete to J. Michael Sturdivant for 8 yds for a TD (Trey Smack KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIUDrive 16END OF HALF
3 plays · -1 yds · 0:040% → 0%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
99.8%
E. Greenwood takes a kneeSimilar
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
99.8%
(15:00) Lynch,Will kickoff 65 yards to the UFL00 Brown III,Vernell return 23 yards to the UFL23 (Massey,Norman) PENALTY LIU Offside 5 yards from LIU35 to LIU30. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 17FG
9 plays · 43 yds · 3:45100% → 100%
Q3 14:38
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+8
99.8%
Jadan Baugh run for 8 yds to the FLA 41Similar
Q3 14:05
2ND & 2
OWN 41
+7
99.8%
Tramell Jones Jr. run for 7 yds to the FLA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
99.8%
KD Daniels run for 4 yds to the LIU 48Similar
Q3 13:00
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+21
99.8%
Tramell Jones Jr. pass complete to TJ Abrams for 21 yds to the LIU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:22
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
99.8%
Tramell Jones Jr. pass complete to Muizz Tounkara for 4 yds to the LIU 23Similar
Q3 11:52
2ND & 6
OPP 23
+3
99.9%
Tramell Jones Jr. pass complete to KD Daniels for 3 yds to the LIU 20Similar
Q3 11:33
3RD & 3
OPP 20
-4
99.9%
KD Daniels run for a loss of 4 yards to the LIU 24Similar
Q3 10:53
4TH & 7
OPP 24
+41
99.9%
Trey Smack 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:570% → 0%
Q3 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.9%
Ethan Greenwood run for 2 yds to the LIU 27Similar
Q3 10:01
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+1
99.9%
Ethan Greenwood pass complete to Jaiden Dozier for 1 yd to the LIU 28Similar
Q3 9:30
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-3
99.9%
Ethan Greenwood run for a loss of 3 yards to the LIU 25Similar
Q3 8:47
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Will Lynch punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:12100% → 100%
Q3 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
99.9%
Duke Clark run for 5 yds to the FLA 39Similar
Q3 7:52
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+3
99.9%
Tramell Jones Jr. pass complete to Duke Clark for 3 yds to the FLA 42Similar
Q3 7:36
3RD & 2
OWN 42
0
99.9%
Tramell Jones Jr. pass incomplete to Muizz TounkaraSimilar
Q3 7:24
4TH & 2
OWN 42
0
99.9%
Tommy Doman punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 2:060% → 0%
Q3 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+5
99.9%
Kam Ingram run for 5 yds to the LIU 16Similar
Q3 6:31
2ND & 5
OWN 16
-1
99.9%
Luca Stanzani run for a loss of 1 yard to the LIU 15Similar
Q3 5:46
3RD & 6
OWN 15
+4
99.9%
Ethan Greenwood run for 4 yds to the LIU 19Similar
Q3 5:01
4TH & 2
OWN 19
+4
99.9%
Will Lynch punt for 49 yds , Vernell Brown III returns for 4 yds to the FLA 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 21TD
6 plays · 64 yds · 2:39100% → 100%
Q3 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+32
99.9%
Tramell Jones Jr. pass complete to TJ Abrams for 32 yds to the LIU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:14
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+12
99.9%
Tramell Jones Jr. pass complete to Naeshaun Montgomery for 12 yds Naeshaun Montgomery fumbled, recovered by FLA Naeshaun Montgomery for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:24
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+7
99.9%
Tramell Jones Jr. pass complete to Naeshaun Montgomery for 7 yds to the LIU 13Similar
Q3 3:06
2ND & 3
OPP 13
+5
99.9%
KD Daniels run for 5 yds to the LIU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
99.9%
KD Daniels run for 4 yds to the LIU 4Similar
Q3 2:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.9%
Tramell Jones Jr. pass complete to Tony Livingston for 4 yds for a TD (Trey Smack KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIUDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 1:570% → 0%
Q3 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Ethan Greenwood pass incomplete to Kam IngramSimilar
Q3 1:47
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.9%
O'Shawn Ross Jr. run for 2 yds to the LIU 27Similar
Q3 1:06
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-5
99.9%
PENALTY LIU Delay Of Game 5 yards from LIU27 to LIU22. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:40
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+1
99.9%
O'Shawn Ross Jr. run for 1 yd to the LIU 23Similar
Q3 0:00
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
99.9%
Will Lynch punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 23MISSED FG
12 plays · 20 yds · 4:05100% → 100%
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
99.9%
Tramell Jones Jr. pass incomplete to Duke ClarkSimilar
Q4 14:50
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+5
99.9%
(14:51) No Huddle-Shotgun Jones Jr.,Tramell pass incomplete short left to Hawkins,Tank thrown to UFL40 PENALTY LIU Offside (Mills,Rodney) 5 yards from UFL41 to UFL46. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:43
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+4
99.9%
Duke Clark run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 14:07
3RD & 1
50
+2
99.9%
Duke Clark run for 2 yds to the LIU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:28
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
99.9%
Tramell Jones Jr. run for 9 yds to the LIU 39Similar
Q4 12:51
2ND & 1
OPP 39
0
99.9%
Tramell Jones Jr. run for no gain to the LIU 39Similar
Q4 12:22
3RD & 1
OPP 39
+3
99.9%
Duke Clark run for 3 yds to the LIU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:42
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
99.9%
Tramell Jones Jr. pass incomplete to Tony LivingstonSimilar
Q4 11:21
2ND & 10
OPP 36
-3
99.9%
Tramell Jones Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the LIU 39Similar
Q4 10:57
3RD & 13
OPP 39
0
99.9%
Tramell Jones Jr. pass incomplete to Duke ClarkSimilar
Q4 10:49
4TH & 13
OPP 39
+57
99.9%
Trey Smack 57 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIUDrive 24DOWNS
8 plays · 39 yds · 4:100% → 0%
Q4 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
99.9%
Deion Richardson run for 2 yds to the LIU 41Similar
Q4 9:49
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+1
100.0%
Tyselle Spencer run for 1 yd to the LIU 42Similar
Q4 9:14
3RD & 7
OWN 42
+28
100.0%
Luca Stanzani pass complete to Deion Richardson for 28 yds to the FLA 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:39
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
99.9%
Luca Stanzani run for 1 yd to the FLA 29Similar
Q4 7:54
2ND & 9
OPP 29
+4
99.9%
Luca Stanzani run for 4 yds to the FLA 25Similar
Q4 7:15
3RD & 5
OPP 25
+3
100.0%
Luca Stanzani run for 3 yds to the FLA 22Similar
Q4 6:31
4TH & 2
OPP 22
0
100.0%
Luca Stanzani pass incomplete to Deion RichardsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 25TD
13 plays · 78 yds · 5:57100% → 100%
Q4 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
100.0%
Duke Clark run for 5 yds to the FLA 27Similar
Q4 5:45
2ND & 5
OWN 27
+1
100.0%
Tramell Jones Jr. run for 1 yd to the FLA 28Similar
Q4 4:55
3RD & 4
OWN 28
+14
100.0%
Tramell Jones Jr. pass complete to Tank Hawkins for 14 yds to the FLA 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:14
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
100.0%
Anthony Rubio run for 6 yds to the FLA 48Similar
Q4 3:29
2ND & 4
OWN 48
+10
100.0%
Tramell Jones Jr. pass complete to Jackson Wade for 10 yds to the LIU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:08
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
100.0%
Tramell Jones Jr. pass incomplete to Jackson WadeSimilar
Q4 2:58
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+1
100.0%
Anthony Rubio run for 1 yd to the LIU 41Similar
Q4 2:16
3RD & 9
OPP 41
+10
100.0%
Tramell Jones Jr. pass complete to Amir Jackson for 10 yds to the LIU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:51
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
100.0%
Anthony Rubio run for 1 yd to the LIU 30Similar
Q4 1:23
2ND & 9
OPP 30
0
100.0%
Tramell Jones Jr. pass incomplete to Muizz TounkaraSimilar
Q4 1:15
3RD & 9
OPP 30
+12
100.0%
Anthony Rubio run for 12 yds to the LIU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+7
100.0%
Anthony Rubio run for 7 yds to the LIU 11Similar
Q4 0:25
2ND & 3
OPP 11
+11
100.0%
Tramell Jones Jr. pass complete to Taylor Spierto for 11 yds for a TD (Trey Smack KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIUDrive 26END OF GAME
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:200% → 0%
Q4 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
100.0%
Chris Howell pass incomplete to Santana YoungSimilar
Q4 0:15
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
100.0%
Chris Howell pass incomplete to Jayden SimpsonSimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
100.0%
Jordan Kinsler run for no gain to the LIU 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 7:04
DJ Lagway pass complete to Eugene Wilson III for 4 yds for a TD (Trey Smack KICK)
+0.5
TD · Q2 3:26
DJ Lagway pass complete to Hayden Hansen for 4 yds for a TD (Trey Smack KICK)
+0.5
TD · Q1 9:29
Jadan Baugh run for 4 yds for a TD (Trey Smack KICK)
+0.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com