EC
East Carolina 26 at NC State 21
NCST2024 · Week 1 · Dec 28, 2024 · Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium
Win probability · NCST
modelNCST aheadEC aheadconfidence bandkey play
Play by play - hover to pin the curve
Q1 15:00
Everett Scott kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
0.0
Q1 14:54
Hollywood Smothers run for 12 yds to the NCSU 37 for a 1ST down
+1.8
Q1 14:21
CJ Bailey pass complete to Noah Rogers for 4 yds to the NCSU 41
+0.1
Q1 13:52
NC State Penalty, False Start (Noah Rogers) to the NCSU 36
+0.5
Q1 13:21
CJ Bailey pass complete to Noah Rogers for 17 yds to the ECU 47 for a 1ST down
-0.5
Q1 12:36
CJ Bailey pass complete to Keenan Jackson for 9 yds to the ECU 38
+1.5
Q1 12:10
CJ Bailey sacked by J.D. Lampley for a loss of 2 yards to the ECU 40
+0.3
Q1 11:24
Hollywood Smothers run for 7 yds to the ECU 33 for a 1ST down
-0.2
Q1 10:47
Hollywood Smothers run for a loss of 2 yards to the ECU 35
+0.2
Q1 10:03
CJ Bailey pass complete to Keenan Jackson for 10 yds to the ECU 25
0.0
Q1 9:24
Kendrick Raphael run for 1 yd to the ECU 24
-0.1
Q1 8:38
Hollywood Smothers run for a loss of 1 yard to the ECU 25
-0.7
Q1 8:38
East Carolina Penalty, False Start (Yannick Smith) to the ECU 20
-4.1
Q1 8:32
Katin Houser pass complete to Yannick Smith for 19 yds to the ECU 39 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q1 8:14
Katin Houser pass complete to Yannick Smith for 7 yds to the ECU 46
-0.9
Q1 7:55
Rahjai Harris run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down
-1.0
Q1 7:34
Katin Houser pass complete to Anthony Smith for 16 yds to the NCSU 34 for a 1ST down
-0.3
Q1 7:14
Rahjai Harris run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCSU 35
-0.1
Q1 6:51
Rahjai Harris run for 6 yds to the NCSU 29
0.0
Q1 6:15
Rahjai Harris run for 6 yds to the NCSU 23 for a 1ST down
-0.7
Q1 5:44
Katin Houser run for 3 yds to the NCSU 20
0.0
Q1 5:14
Katin Houser pass complete to Casey Kelly for 1 yd to the NCSU 19
0.0
Q1 4:43
Katin Houser 19 Yd Run (Noah Perez Kick)
-16.0
Q1 4:43
Everett Scott kickoff for 64 yds , DK Kaufman return for 21 yds to the NCSU 22 NC State Penalty, Offensive Holding (Isaiah Crowell) to the NCSU 12
+1.8
Q1 4:29
Jordan Waters run for 18 yds to the NCSU 30 for a 1ST down
+3.3
Q1 3:53
Jordan Waters run for 5 yds to the NCSU 35
-0.1
Q1 3:07
Jordan Waters run for 2 yds to the NCSU 37
0.0
Q1 2:21
CJ Bailey run for 3 yds to the NCSU 40 for a 1ST down
-0.1
Q1 1:33
CJ Bailey pass complete to Wesley Grimes for 8 yds to the NCSU 48
-0.7
Q1 0:58
Bailey, CJ pass incomplete to Raphael, Kendrick, PENALTY NCSU holding (Erickson, Val) 10 yards to the NCSU38, NO PLAY.
+0.7
Q1 0:49
Hollywood Smothers run for 44 yds to the ECU 18 for a 1ST down
-0.9
Q1 0:05
Hollywood Smothers run for 1 yd to the ECU 17
+2.4
Q2 14:56
CJ Bailey run for a loss of 4 yards to the ECU 21
-0.1
Q2 14:10
CJ Bailey pass complete to Terrell Anderson for 5 yds to the ECU 16
-0.2
Q2 13:34
Kanoah Vinesett 34 yd FG MISSED
-0.4
Q2 13:27
Katin Houser pass complete to Jhari Patterson for no gain to the ECU 20
-6.5
Q2 13:04
Katin Houser pass complete to Anthony Smith for 4 yds to the ECU 24
0.0
Q2 12:33
Katin Houser run for 13 yds to the ECU 37 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 12:13
Rahjai Harris run for 8 yds to the ECU 45
-0.7
Q2 11:50
Rahjai Harris run for 1 yd to the ECU 46
-1.4
Q2 11:16
Katin Houser run for 3 yds to the ECU 49 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 10:45
Katin Houser pass complete to Desirrio Riles for 12 yds to the NCSU 39 for a 1ST down
-0.4
Q2 10:15
Katin Houser pass complete to Kelan Robinson for 15 yds to the NCSU 24 for a 1ST down
-1.6
Q2 9:54
Rahjai Harris run for 8 yds to the NCSU 16
0.0
Q2 9:19
Rahjai Harris run for 4 yds to the NCSU 12 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 8:39
London Montgomery run for no gain to the NCSU 12
0.0
Q2 8:01
Katin Houser pass incomplete to Casey Kelly
-2.1
Q2 7:54
Katin Houser pass complete to Jhari Patterson for 6 yds to the NCSU 6
0.0
Q2 7:17
Noah Perez 24 Yd Field Goal
-2.9
Q2 7:17
Everett Scott kickoff for 60 yds , DK Kaufman return for 17 yds to the NCSU 22
+1.3
Q2 7:04
CJ Bailey pass complete to Noah Rogers for 15 yds to the NCSU 37 for a 1ST down
+0.4
Q2 6:30
CJ Bailey run for 2 yds to the NCSU 39
0.0
Q2 6:05
CJ Bailey pass complete to Wesley Grimes for 10 yds to the NCSU 49 for a 1ST down
+0.1
Q2 5:34
CJ Bailey pass complete to Noah Rogers for 15 yds to the ECU 36 for a 1ST down
+0.6
Q2 4:57
Hollywood Smothers run for 16 yds to the ECU 20 for a 1ST down
+2.2
Q2 4:35
Hollywood Smothers run for 9 yds to the ECU 11
0.0
Q2 4:17
Timeout East Carolina, clock 04:17
-1.6
Q2 4:12
Hollywood Smothers run for no gain to the ECU 11
0.0
Q2 3:28
Hollywood Smothers run for 2 yds to the ECU 9 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 2:50
CJ Bailey pass incomplete to Dante Daniels
-0.3
Q2 2:44
Hollywood Smothers run for 1 yd to the ECU 8
0.0
Q2 2:02
Timeout NC State, clock 02:02
-0.8
Q2 1:58
Dacari Collins 8 Yd pass from CJ Bailey (Kanoah Vinesett Kick)
+18.5
Q2 1:58
Collin Smith kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
-2.3
Q2 1:52
London Montgomery run for 7 yds to the ECU 32
-4.9
Q2 1:26
Katin Houser pass incomplete to Anthony Smith, broken up by Bishop Fitzgerald
-1.2
Q2 1:21
Katin Houser pass complete to Jhari Patterson for 13 yds to the ECU 45 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 1:14
Katin Houser pass incomplete to Anthony Smith
-1.5
Q2 1:14
Timeout NC State, clock 01:14
0.0
Q2 1:10
Katin Houser pass complete to Kelan Robinson for 1 yd to the ECU 46
0.0
Q2 0:33
Katin Houser run for 17 yds to the NCSU 37 for a 1ST down
-0.4
Q2 0:25
London Montgomery run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCSU 38
-1.5
Q2 0:24
Timeout East Carolina, clock 00:24
0.0
Q2 0:17
Katin Houser pass complete to Jhari Patterson for 7 yds to the NCSU 31
0.0
Q2 0:14
Katin Houser pass complete to Jhari Patterson for 7 yds to the NCSU 24 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 0:13
Timeout East Carolina, clock 00:13
-0.2
Q2 0:10
Katin Houser pass incomplete to Jhari Patterson
0.0
Q2 0:10
Timeout NC State, clock 00:10
0.0
Q2 0:06
Noah Perez 42 Yd Field Goal
-7.7
Q2 0:06
Everett Scott kickoff for 48 yds , Coleson Fields return for 14 yds to the NCSU 31
+1.8
Q3 15:00
Collin Smith kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
+8.2
Q3 14:56
Katin Houser pass complete to Jhari Patterson for a loss of 5 yards to the ECU 20
-6.9
Q3 14:26
London Montgomery run for 3 yds to the ECU 23
-1.7
Q3 13:50
Katin Houser pass complete to Yannick Smith for 30 yds to the NCSU 47 for a 1ST down
-0.5
Q3 13:34
Yannick Smith run for 7 yds to the NCSU 40
-1.6
Q3 13:15
Katin Houser run for a loss of 3 yards to the NCSU 43 Katin Houser fumbled, recovered by ECU Katin Houser
-0.4
Q3 12:34
Timeout East Carolina, clock 12:34
-0.5
Q3 12:29
Katin Houser run for 5 yds to the NCSU 38
0.0
Q3 11:55
Rahjai Harris run for 21 yds to the NCSU 17 for a 1ST down
+0.8
Q3 11:16
Katin Houser pass incomplete to Anthony Smith
-0.8
Q3 11:11
Katin Houser run for 1 yd to the NCSU 16
0.0
Q3 10:24
Katin Houser pass complete to Anthony Smith for 12 yds to the NCSU 4 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 9:45
London Montgomery run for no gain to the NCSU 4
-0.2
Q3 9:17
Katin Houser 4 Yd Run (Noah Perez Kick)
-13.4
Q3 9:17
East Carolina Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the NCSU 8
+10.7
Q3 9:17
Everett Scott kickoff for 60 yds , DK Kaufman return for 29 yds to the NCSU 34
-9.7
Q3 9:05
CJ Bailey pass complete to Wesley Grimes for 20 yds to the ECU 46 for a 1ST down
+1.1
Q3 8:33
CJ Bailey pass complete to Noah Rogers for 8 yds to the ECU 38
+2.2
Q3 8:07
Bailey, CJ rush for 13 yards to the EASTCRLINA25, PENALTY NCSU holding (Smith, Kamen) 10 yards to the EASTCRLINA48, NO PLAY.
+0.6
Q3 7:35
CJ Bailey run for 7 yds to the ECU 41
-1.2
Q3 6:52
CJ Bailey run for 8 yds to the ECU 33 for a 1ST down
+0.8
Q3 6:14
CJ Bailey run for a loss of 1 yard to the ECU 34
0.0
Q3 5:29
CJ Bailey pass complete to Justin Joly for 3 yds to the ECU 31
-0.5
Q3 4:49
CJ Bailey sacked by Julien Davis for a loss of 6 yards to the ECU 37
-1.5
Q3 3:58
Caden Noonkester punt for 36 yds, downed at the ECU 1
-0.4
Q3 3:50
Rahjai Harris run for 40 yds to the ECU 41 for a 1ST down
-7.1
Q3 3:15
Katin Houser run for 16 yds to the NCSU 43 for a 1ST down
-0.8
Q3 2:55
Rahjai Harris run for 13 yds to the NCSU 30 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 2:38
Katin Houser run for no gain to the NCSU 30
0.0
Q3 1:59
Katin Houser run for 2 yds to the NCSU 28
0.0
Q3 1:27
Katin Houser pass incomplete to Jhari Patterson
0.0
Q3 1:23
Noah Perez 46 yd FG MISSED
0.0
Q3 1:19
CJ Bailey pass incomplete to Jordan Waters
+3.5
Q3 1:12
CJ Bailey pass complete to Jordan Waters for 7 yds to the NCSU 35
0.0
Q3 0:45
CJ Bailey pass incomplete to Dacari Collins, broken up by Dameon Wilson
0.0
Q3 0:41
Sean Brown run for 4 yds to the NCSU 39 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 14:49
CJ Bailey pass complete to Justin Joly for 23 yds to the ECU 38 for a 1ST down East Carolina Penalty, Roughing Passer (D'Anta Johnson) to the ECU 23 for a 1ST down
-0.9
Q4 14:29
Jordan Waters run for no gain to the ECU 23
+1.2
Q4 13:47
CJ Bailey run for 8 yds to the ECU 15
0.0
Q4 13:11
CJ Bailey pass incomplete to Justin Joly
0.0
Q4 13:04
Justin Joly 15 Yd pass from CJ Bailey (Kanoah Vinesett Kick)
+22.9
Q4 13:04
Collin Smith kickoff for 62 yds , Jhari Patterson return for 21 yds to the ECU 24
-3.5
Q4 12:53
London Montgomery run for 4 yds to the ECU 28
-6.5
Q4 12:34
London Montgomery run for 3 yds to the ECU 31
0.0
Q4 12:13
Katin Houser pass complete to Jhari Patterson for a loss of 2 yards to the ECU 29
0.0
Q4 11:41
East Carolina Penalty, False Start (Kingston McKinstry) to the ECU 24
-0.9
Q4 11:22
Luke Larsen punt for 36 yds, fair catch by DK Kaufman at the NCSU 40
-0.1
Q4 11:16
Hollywood Smothers run for 4 yds to the NCSU 44
+5.6
Q4 10:35
Hollywood Smothers run for 23 yds to the ECU 33 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 9:49
Hollywood Smothers 33 Yd pass from CJ Bailey (Kanoah Vinesett Kick)
+30.4
Q4 9:49
Collin Smith kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
-1.3
Q4 9:44
Rahjai Harris run for 4 yds to the ECU 29
-5.0
Q4 9:21
Katin Houser run for 4 yds to the ECU 33
0.0
Q4 8:37
Katin Houser pass complete to Jhari Patterson for 4 yds to the ECU 37 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 8:11
Rahjai Harris run for 1 yd to the ECU 38
0.0
Q4 7:34
Katin Houser pass incomplete to Yannick Smith
-1.0
Q4 7:29
Rahjai Harris run for 13 yds to the NCSU 49 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 6:59
Katin Houser pass intercepted Tamarcus Cooley return for no gain to the NCSU 15
-1.3
Q4 6:54
Hollywood Smothers run for 1 yd to the NCSU 16
+6.6
Q4 6:11
Hollywood Smothers run for 22 yds to the NCSU 38 for a 1ST down
-0.2
Q4 5:39
Kendrick Raphael run for 2 yds to the NCSU 40
+0.5
Q4 4:56
CJ Bailey pass incomplete to Wesley Grimes
+0.2
Q4 4:46
CJ Bailey run for 6 yds to the NCSU 46 CJ Bailey fumbled, forced by J.D. Lampley, recovered by NCSU
-0.2
Q4 4:27
Timeout NC State, clock 04:27
-0.9
Q4 4:22
CJ Bailey pass incomplete to Dante Daniels
0.0
Q4 4:17
Rahjai Harris run for no gain to the NCSU 46
-6.6
Q4 3:49
Katin Houser pass intercepted Tamarcus Cooley return for no gain to the NCSU 42
0.0
Q4 3:44
Kendrick Raphael run for no gain to the NCSU 42
+7.4
Q4 2:59
Kendrick Raphael run for 3 yds to the NCSU 45
+1.1
Q4 2:16
CJ Bailey run for 3 yds to the NCSU 48
+2.0
Q4 2:04
Timeout East Carolina, clock 02:04
-0.2
Q4 1:59
Caden Noonkester punt for 38 yds, downed at the ECU 14
+1.4
Q4 1:51
Katin Houser pass incomplete to Anthony Smith
-7.5
Q4 1:47
Katin Houser pass incomplete to Kelan Robinson
0.0
Q4 1:33
Rahjai Harris 86 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)
-47.1
Q4 1:33
Timeout East Carolina, clock 01:33
+46.0
Q4 1:33
Everett Scott kickoff for 45 yds , Coleson Fields return for 22 yds to the NCSU 42
-46.1
Q4 1:22
CJ Bailey pass complete to Dacari Collins for 11 yds to the ECU 47 for a 1ST down
+11.4
Q4 1:08
CJ Bailey pass complete to Hollywood Smothers for 9 yds to the ECU 38
-4.8
Q4 0:44
CJ Bailey pass intercepted Dontavius Nash return for no gain to the ECU 29
+0.6
Q4 0:39
Rahjai Harris run for 6 yds to the ECU 35
-7.7
Q4 0:38
Timeout NC State, clock 00:38
0.0
Q4 0:35
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the ECU 34
0.0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:33
Rahjai Harris 86 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)
-47.1
KEY PLAY · Q4 1:33
Everett Scott kickoff for 45 yds , Coleson Fields return for 22 yds to the NCSU 42
-46.1
KEY PLAY · Q4 1:33
Timeout East Carolina, clock 01:33
+46