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TULN

Tulane 8 at Florida 33

FLA
2024 · Union Home Mortgage Gasparilla Bowl · Dec 20, 2024 · Raymond James Stadium
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Win probability · FLA
modelFLA aheadTULN aheadconfidence bandkey playFLA scoreTULN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGFGTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:16 · Anthony Rubio run for 2 yds to the FLA 27
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 9:12: Trey Smack 44 yd FG GOOD — FLA win probability +3.1 pts (now 78%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 9:11: Trey Smack 24 yd FG GOOD — FLA win probability +3.1 pts (now 83%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 4:03: DJ Lagway pass complete to Tony Livingston for 7 yds for a TD (Trey Smack KICK) — FLA win probability +8.2 pts (now 95%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 13:03: Trey Smack 30 yd FG GOOD — FLA win probability +1.9 pts (now 98%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:29: KD Daniels 25 Yd Run (Trey Smack Kick) — FLA win probability +1.2 pts (now 100%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FLA made the numbers' call on 7 of 8TULN made the numbers' call on 5 of 10
  1. Q1 12:51FLA 4th & 5 at FLA 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.8%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:48FLA 4th & 6 at TULN 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 74.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.8%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    73.9%
    83% to make
    Punt
    73.0%−0.9
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:01TULN 4th & 1 at FLA 47, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 26.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    26.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    25.9%−0.6
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:03TULN 4th & 8 at FLA 43, down 3
    Close callPunted · 26.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.4%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    26.1%−0.3
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    26.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:53TULN 4th & 3 at FLA 17, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 27.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.6%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    27.5%−0.2
    80% to make
    Punt
    25.0%−2.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:12FLA 4th & 7 at TULN 26, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 72.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.8%−0.2
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    72.0%
    64% to make
    Punt
    69.2%−2.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:03TULN 4th & 12 at TULN 22, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.6%−1.6
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.2%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:54TULN 4th & 1 at TULN 29, down 6
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsPunted · 24.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.0%−1.5
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:26FLA 4th & 9 at FLA 31, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.1%−1.3
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.4%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:06TULN 4th & 6 at FLA 42, down 6
    Close callWent for it · 26.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    26.5%−0.5
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    27.0%
    30% to make
    Punt
    26.6%−0.5
    average punt
  11. Q3 13:09TULN 4th & 1 at TULN 30, down 6
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.1 ptsPunted · 24.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.9%−2.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 9:11FLA 4th & 6 at TULN 6, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 77.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.3%−0.3
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    76.6%
    91% to make
    Punt
    68.8%−7.8
    average punt
  13. Q3 1:05TULN 4th & 2 at TULN 49, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.4%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    7.6%−0.9
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:03FLA 4th & 7 at TULN 12, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 94.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.5%−0.3
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.8%
    86% to make
    Punt
    91.6%−3.2
    average punt
  15. Q4 11:33TULN 4th & 10 at TULN 49, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.0%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 9:53FLA 4th & 2 at FLA 37, up 19
    Close callPunted · 98.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.9%−0.2
    average punt
  17. Q4 7:59TULN 4th & 3 at TULN 39, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.4%−0.4
    average punt
  18. Q4 6:29FLA 4th & 1 at TULN 25, up 19
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    97.9%−0.6
    66% to make
    Punt
    96.5%−2.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FLA made the numbers' call on 3 of 3TULN made the numbers' call on 0 of 1
  1. Q3 4:03FLA Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 6:29FLA Touchdown, up 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 1:11FLA Touchdown, up 32 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 0:29TULN Touchdown, down 27 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FLADrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 2:0479% → 79%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
79.3%
Marcus Burke run for 5 yds to the FLA 30Similar
Q1 14:22
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
79.1%
Jadan Baugh run for 6 yds to the FLA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
79.1%
DJ Lagway pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:39
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+5
79.0%
DJ Lagway pass complete to Aidan Mizell for 5 yds to the FLA 41Similar
Q1 13:00
3RD & 5
OWN 41
0
78.8%
DJ Lagway pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:51
4TH & 5
OWN 41
+23
78.7%
Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 42 yds , Dontae Fleming returns for 23 yds to the TULN 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 2INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0021% → 21%
Q1 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-4
78.6%
Ty Thompson pass intercepted Trikweze Bridges return for 4 yds to the FLA 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 3FG
9 plays · 61 yds · 4:4179% → 78%
Q1 12:29
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+7
78.7%
DJ Lagway pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 7 yds to the FLA 31Similar
Q1 11:58
2ND & 3
OWN 31
+4
78.6%
Ja'Kobi Jackson run for 4 yds to the FLA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
78.4%
DJ Lagway pass complete to Ja'Kobi Jackson for 8 yds to the FLA 43Similar
Q1 10:52
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+9
78.5%
Ja'Kobi Jackson run for 9 yds to the TULN 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:10
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+29
78.4%
DJ Lagway pass complete to Aidan Mizell for 29 yds to the TULN 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:55
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
78.5%
DJ Lagway pass complete to Aidan Mizell for 3 yds to the TULN 16Similar
Q1 9:11
2ND & 7
OPP 16
-9
78.4%
DJ Lagway sacked by Adin Huntington for a loss of 9 yards to the TULN 25Similar
Q1 8:21
3RD & 16
OPP 25
+10
77.7%
DJ Lagway pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 10 yds to the TULN 15Similar
Q1 7:48
4TH & 6
OPP 15
+34
78.0%
Trey Smack 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 4PUNT
14 plays · 32 yds · 4:2422% → 23%
Q1 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
77.9%
Makhi Hughes run for 2 yds to the TULN 27Similar
Q1 7:04
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
77.8%
Makhi Hughes run for 4 yds to the TULN 31Similar
Q1 6:19
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+13
77.7%
Ty Thompson pass complete to Dontae Fleming for 13 yds to the TULN 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+8
77.1%
Ty Thompson pass complete to Alex Bauman for 8 yds to the FLA 48Similar
Q1 5:24
2ND & 2
OPP 48
0
76.6%
Arnold Barnes III run for no gain to the FLA 48Similar
Q1 5:09
3RD & 2
OPP 48
-5
76.8%
Tulane Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TULN 47Similar
Q1 4:59
3RD & 7
OWN 47
+5
76.9%
Florida Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the FLA 48Similar
Q1 4:32
3RD & 2
OPP 48
+1
76.6%
Ty Thompson run for 1 yd to the FLA 47Similar
Q1 4:01
4TH & 1
OPP 47
+2
76.8%
Arnold Barnes III run for 2 yds to the FLA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:51
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
76.3%
Ty Thompson pass incomplete to Alex BaumanSimilar
Q1 3:45
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+2
76.3%
Shaadie Clayton-Johnson run for 2 yds to the FLA 43Similar
Q1 3:09
3RD & 8
OPP 43
0
76.2%
Ty Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:03
4TH & 8
OPP 43
0
76.9%
Will Karoll punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FLA 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 5INT
6 plays · 15 yds · 2:0977% → 76%
Q1 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+1
76.6%
Jadan Baugh run for 1 yd to the FLA 11Similar
Q1 2:13
2ND & 9
OWN 11
+10
76.2%
DJ Lagway pass complete to Chimere Dike for 10 yds to the FLA 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+9
76.2%
Jadan Baugh run for 9 yds to the FLA 30Similar
Q1 1:17
2ND & 1
OWN 30
0
76.6%
DJ Lagway pass incomplete to Chimere DikeSimilar
Q1 1:13
3RD & 1
OWN 30
-5
76.1%
Baugh, Jadan rush for 2 yards to the FLA32, PENALTY FLA illegal shift 5 yards to the FLA25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:47
3RD & 6
OWN 25
-11
75.5%
DJ Lagway pass intercepted Kevin Adams III return for 11 yds to the FLA 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 6MISSED FG
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:4626% → 25%
Q1 0:39
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
74.4%
Shaadie Clayton-Johnson run for 5 yds to the FLA 19Similar
Q1 0:01
2ND & 5
OPP 19
+2
74.1%
Ty Thompson run for 2 yds to the FLA 17Similar
Q2 14:56
3RD & 3
OPP 17
0
74.6%
Ty Thompson pass incomplete to Alex BaumanSimilar
Q2 14:53
4TH & 3
OPP 17
+35
75.2%
Patrick Durkin 35 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 7FG
11 plays · 54 yds · 5:3376% → 78%
Q2 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
75.7%
Ja'Kobi Jackson run for 9 yds to the FLA 29Similar
Q2 14:04
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+14
76.2%
Ja'Kobi Jackson run for 14 yds to the FLA 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+17
76.5%
DJ Lagway pass complete to Chimere Dike for 17 yds to the TULN 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:52
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+7
76.7%
Ja'Kobi Jackson run for 7 yds to the TULN 33Similar
Q2 12:12
2ND & 3
OPP 33
+4
76.9%
Jadan Baugh run for 4 yds to the TULN 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:29
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-9
76.8%
DJ Lagway pass complete to Tony Livingston for 6 yds to the TULN 23 Florida Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the TULN 38Similar
Q2 11:14
1ST & 19
OPP 38
-10
75.9%
Lagway, DJ pass complete to Baugh, Jadan for 13 yards to the TULANE25, PENALTY FLA holding 10 yards to the TULANE48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:33
2ND & 29
OPP 48
+4
75.4%
DJ Lagway pass complete to Chimere Dike for 4 yds to the TULN 44Similar
Q2 9:47
3RD & 25
OPP 44
+18
74.7%
DJ Lagway pass complete to Chimere Dike for 18 yds to the TULN 26Similar
Q2 9:12
4TH & 7
OPP 26
+44
78.4%
Trey Smack 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:5624% → 22%
Q2 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
76.3%
Ty Thompson pass incomplete to Yulkeith BrownSimilar
Q2 8:40
2ND & 10
OWN 24
-2
76.9%
Ty Thompson run for a loss of 2 yards to the TULN 22Similar
Q2 8:13
3RD & 12
OWN 22
0
77.9%
Ty Thompson pass incomplete to Mario WilliamsSimilar
Q2 8:03
4TH & 12
OWN 22
0
78.2%
Will Karoll punt for 53 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FLA 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 9INT
11 plays · 71 yds · 4:2879% → 80%
Q2 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
78.7%
Jadan Baugh run for 4 yds to the FLA 29Similar
Q2 7:23
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+4
78.7%
Jadan Baugh run for 4 yds to the FLA 33Similar
Q2 6:52
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+2
78.7%
Jadan Baugh run for 2 yds to the FLA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
78.9%
Jadan Baugh run for 3 yds to the FLA 38Similar
Q2 5:55
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+21
79.8%
DJ Lagway pass complete to Tony Livingston for 21 yds to the TULN 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:13
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
79.3%
DJ Lagway pass incomplete to Elijhah BadgerSimilar
Q2 4:54
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+31
79.1%
DJ Lagway pass complete to TJ Abrams for 31 yds to the TULN 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
79.5%
DJ Lagway run for 4 yds to the TULN 6Similar
Q2 4:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
80.9%
Ja'Kobi Jackson run for 2 yds to the TULN 4Similar
Q2 3:25
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
80.4%
DJ Lagway pass intercepted, touchback. Dickson Agu return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:2423% → 23%
Q2 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
76.6%
Ty Thompson pass incomplete to Makhi HughesSimilar
Q2 3:11
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+3
76.8%
Makhi Hughes run for 3 yds to the TULN 23Similar
Q2 2:29
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+6
77.1%
Ty Thompson run for 6 yds to the TULN 29Similar
Q2 1:54
4TH & 1
OWN 29
0
76.9%
Will Karoll punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Chimere Dike at the FLA 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:2276% → 77%
Q2 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
76.4%
DJ Lagway pass incomplete to Jadan BaughSimilar
Q2 1:42
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+1
76.1%
Jadan Baugh run for 1 yd to the FLA 31Similar
Q2 1:38
3RD & 9
OWN 31
0
77.0%
DJ Lagway pass incomplete to Hayden HansenSimilar
Q2 1:26
4TH & 9
OWN 31
+14
76.6%
Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 41 yds , Dontae Fleming returns for 14 yds to the TULN 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 12DOWNS
8 plays · 16 yds · 1:1523% → 21%
Q2 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
76.8%
Ty Thompson pass complete to Mario Williams for 7 yds to the TULN 49Similar
Q2 1:15
2ND & 3
OWN 49
+5
75.5%
Makhi Hughes run for 5 yds to the FLA 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:04
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
75.3%
Makhi Hughes run for 6 yds to the FLA 40Similar
Q2 0:55
2ND & 4
OPP 40
0
74.8%
Ty Thompson pass incomplete to Yulkeith BrownSimilar
Q2 0:44
3RD & 4
OPP 40
-2
75.2%
Bryce Bohanon run for a loss of 2 yards to the FLA 42Similar
Q2 0:06
4TH & 6
OPP 42
0
79.2%
Ty Thompson pass incomplete to Mario WilliamsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · 21 yds · 0:0080% → 80%
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+21
80.1%
DJ Lagway pass complete to Ja'Kobi Jackson for 21 yds to the TULN 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:4423% → 23%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
76.7%
Makhi Hughes run for 6 yds to the TULN 27Similar
Q3 14:21
2ND & 4
OWN 27
-13
76.0%
Hughes, Makhi rush for 9 yards to the TULANE36, PENALTY TULANE face mask 13 yards to the TULANE14, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:56
2ND & 17
OWN 14
+16
77.0%
Ty Thompson pass complete to Mario Williams for 16 yds to the TULN 30Similar
Q3 13:50
3RD & 1
OWN 30
0
76.1%
Arnold Barnes III run for no gain to the TULN 30Similar
Q3 13:09
4TH & 1
OWN 30
0
77.3%
Will Karoll punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Chimere Dike at the FLA 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 15FG
11 plays · 59 yds · 3:5279% → 83%
Q3 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
79.0%
Ja'Kobi Jackson run for 3 yds to the FLA 38Similar
Q3 12:25
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+9
79.9%
DJ Lagway pass complete to Chimere Dike for 9 yds to the FLA 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
80.2%
DJ Lagway pass incomplete to Marcus BurkeSimilar
Q3 11:51
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+4
79.9%
Ja'Kobi Jackson run for 4 yds to the TULN 49Similar
Q3 11:09
3RD & 6
OPP 49
+8
79.5%
DJ Lagway pass complete to Hayden Hansen for 8 yds to the TULN 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+38
80.5%
DJ Lagway pass complete to Chimere Dike for 38 yds to the TULN 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-4
80.7%
Ja'Kobi Jackson run for a loss of 4 yards to the TULN 7Similar
Q3 9:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
80.7%
Ja'Kobi Jackson run for 1 yd to the TULN 6Similar
Q3 9:14
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
79.9%
DJ Lagway pass incomplete to Ja'Kobi JacksonSimilar
Q3 9:11
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
83.0%
Trey Smack 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 16INT
5 plays · 14 yds · 1:3319% → 18%
Q3 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
81.5%
Ty Thompson pass complete to Shaadie Clayton-Johnson for 4 yds to the TULN 29Similar
Q3 8:33
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
80.8%
Shaadie Clayton-Johnson run for 5 yds to the TULN 34Similar
Q3 8:03
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+5
82.4%
Ty Thompson run for 5 yds to the TULN 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
81.8%
Ty Thompson pass intercepted Alfonzo Allen Jr. return for no gain to the FLA 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 17TD
8 plays · 60 yds · 3:1384% → 95%
Q3 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+13
84.4%
DJ Lagway pass complete to Aidan Mizell for 13 yds to the TULN 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:47
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+11
84.9%
Jadan Baugh run for 11 yds to the TULN 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:07
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
85.3%
Jadan Baugh run for 1 yd to the TULN 35Similar
Q3 5:30
2ND & 9
OPP 35
-1
85.5%
Jadan Baugh run for a loss of 1 yard to the TULN 36Similar
Q3 4:56
3RD & 10
OPP 36
+19
85.5%
Jadan Baugh run for 19 yds to the TULN 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:29
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+10
86.7%
DJ Lagway pass complete to Hayden Hansen for 10 yds to the TULN 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
94.9%
DJ Lagway pass complete to Tony Livingston for 7 yds for a TD (Trey Smack KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 18DOWNS
8 plays · 22 yds · 2:478% → 7%
Q3 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
92.2%
Makhi Hughes run for 1 yd to the TULN 26Similar
Q3 3:20
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
92.6%
Ty Thompson pass complete to Yulkeith Brown for no gain to the TULN 26Similar
Q3 2:45
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+15
93.0%
Thompson, Ty pass incomplete to Bauman, Alex, PENALTY FLA roughing passer 15 yards to the TULANE41, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TULANE.Similar
Q3 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
92.4%
Ty Thompson pass incomplete to Shazz PrestonSimilar
Q3 2:33
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+3
92.5%
Shaadie Clayton-Johnson run for 3 yds to the TULN 44Similar
Q3 1:43
3RD & 7
OWN 44
+5
92.9%
Ty Thompson run for 5 yds to the TULN 49Similar
Q3 1:05
4TH & 2
OWN 49
-2
93.0%
Ty Thompson run for a loss of 2 yards to the TULN 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 19FG
8 plays · 35 yds · 2:5296% → 98%
Q3 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
95.6%
DJ Lagway run for 7 yds to the TULN 40Similar
Q3 0:21
2ND & 3
OPP 40
+1
95.6%
Ja'Kobi Jackson run for 1 yd to the TULN 39Similar
Q4 14:52
3RD & 2
OPP 39
+24
95.6%
DJ Lagway pass complete to Tony Livingston for 24 yds to the TULN 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:33
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
95.6%
DJ Lagway pass incomplete to Chimere DikeSimilar
Q4 14:27
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+7
95.7%
Ja'Kobi Jackson run for 7 yds to the TULN 8Similar
Q4 13:47
3RD & 3
OPP 8
-10
96.0%
Baugh, Jadan rush for 8 yards to the TULANE0, PENALTY FLA holding 10 yards to the TULANE18, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:36
3RD & 13
OPP 18
+6
96.1%
DJ Lagway pass complete to Jadan Baugh for 6 yds to the TULN 12Similar
Q4 13:03
4TH & 7
OPP 12
+30
97.9%
Trey Smack 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 24 yds · 1:244% → 3%
Q4 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
96.4%
Makhi Hughes run for 2 yds to the TULN 27Similar
Q4 12:13
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+22
96.6%
Ty Thompson pass complete to Mario Williams for 22 yds to the TULN 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
96.4%
Ty Thompson pass incomplete to Bryce BohanonSimilar
Q4 11:47
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
96.4%
Ty Thompson pass incomplete to Zycarl Lewis Jr.Similar
Q4 11:39
3RD & 10
OWN 49
0
96.5%
Ty Thompson pass incomplete to Shazz PrestonSimilar
Q4 11:33
4TH & 10
OWN 49
+22
96.7%
Will Karoll punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Chimere Dike at the FLA 14 Tulane Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the FLA 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:3498% → 98%
Q4 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
98.1%
DJ Lagway pass incomplete to Elijhah BadgerSimilar
Q4 11:15
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+6
98.1%
Jadan Baugh run for 6 yds to the FLA 35Similar
Q4 10:32
3RD & 4
OWN 35
+2
98.2%
DJ Lagway run for 2 yds to the FLA 37Similar
Q4 9:53
4TH & 2
OWN 37
0
98.3%
Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Dontae Fleming at the TULN 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 22DOWNS
6 plays · 14 yds · 1:403% → 3%
Q4 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
96.9%
Ty Thompson pass complete to Alex Bauman for 9 yds to the TULN 29Similar
Q4 9:10
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+3
96.7%
Shaadie Clayton-Johnson run for 3 yds to the TULN 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+7
96.8%
Ty Thompson run for 7 yds to the TULN 39Similar
Q4 8:13
2ND & 3
OWN 39
0
96.9%
Mario Williams pass incomplete to Yulkeith BrownSimilar
Q4 8:07
3RD & 3
OWN 39
0
96.9%
Ty Thompson pass incomplete to Arnold Barnes IIISimilar
Q4 7:59
4TH & 3
OWN 39
-5
97.0%
Ty Thompson sacked by Kamran James for a loss of 5 yards to the TULN 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 23TD
4 plays · 34 yds · 1:2099% → 100%
Q4 7:49
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+9
98.6%
KD Daniels run for 9 yds to the TULN 25Similar
Q4 7:16
2ND & 1
OPP 25
0
98.7%
DJ Lagway pass incomplete to Elijhah BadgerSimilar
Q4 7:07
3RD & 1
OPP 25
0
98.6%
KD Daniels run for no gain to the TULN 25Similar
Q4 6:29
4TH & 1
OPP 25
+25
99.9%
KD Daniels 25 Yd Run (Trey Smack Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 24INT
3 plays · 11 yds · 0:150% → 0%
Q4 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
99.9%
Ty Thompson pass complete to Mario Williams for 11 yds to the TULN 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
99.9%
Ty Thompson pass intercepted Myles Graham return for no gain to the TULN 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 25TD
14 plays · 47 yds · 4:32100% → 100%
Q4 5:43
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+12
99.9%
KD Daniels run for 12 yds to the TULN 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:16
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
99.9%
KD Daniels run for 6 yds to the TULN 29Similar
Q4 4:43
2ND & 4
OPP 29
+3
99.9%
KD Daniels run for 3 yds to the TULN 26Similar
Q4 4:06
3RD & 1
OPP 26
+1
99.9%
Desmond Watson run for 1 yd to the TULN 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-5
99.9%
Florida Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the TULN 30Similar
Q4 3:05
1ST & 15
OPP 30
+8
99.9%
Anthony Rubio run for 8 yds to the TULN 22Similar
Q4 2:55
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+9
99.9%
Anthony Rubio run for 9 yds to the TULN 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:18
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
99.9%
Anthony Rubio run for 4 yds to the TULN 9Similar
Q4 1:52
2ND & 6
OPP 9
0
99.9%
Anthony Rubio run for no gain to the TULN 9Similar
Q4 1:11
3RD & 6
OPP 9
+9
100.0%
Anthony Rubio run for 9 yds for a TD (Trey Smack KICK)Similar
Q4 1:11
3RD & 6
OWN 35
-15
100.0%
Florida Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the FLA 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 26TD
7 plays · 55 yds · 0:290% → 0%
Q4 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+19
100.0%
Ty Thompson pass complete to Mario Williams for 19 yds to the FLA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:53
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
100.0%
Jamauri McClure run for 5 yds to the FLA 31Similar
Q4 0:47
2ND & 5
OPP 31
+15
100.0%
Thompson, Ty pass incomplete to Williams, Mario, PENALTY FLA pass interference 15 yards to the FLA16, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TULANE.Similar
Q4 0:42
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
100.0%
Ty Thompson pass incomplete to Mario WilliamsSimilar
Q4 0:37
2ND & 10
OPP 16
0
100.0%
Ty Thompson pass incomplete to Mario WilliamsSimilar
Q4 0:29
3RD & 10
OPP 16
+16
99.7%
Ty Thompson pass complete to Mario Williams for 16 yds for a TD (Ty Thompson pass to Zycarl Lewis Jr. for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 27END OF GAME
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.9%
Anthony Rubio run for 2 yds to the FLA 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 4:03
DJ Lagway pass complete to Tony Livingston for 7 yds for a TD (Trey Smack KICK)
+8.2
FG · Q2 9:12
Trey Smack 44 yd FG GOOD
+3.1
FG · Q3 9:11
Trey Smack 24 yd FG GOOD
+3.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com