Try the model
MRSH

Marshall 42 at Old Dominion 35

ODU
2024 · Week 13 · Nov 23, 2024 · S.B. Ballard Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · ODU
modelODU aheadMRSH aheadconfidence bandkey playODU scoreMRSH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 9:53 · Seamus Hall punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Chuck Montgomery at the MRSH 15
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 19Home team on offense−0.3Pregame prior+7.9Garbage-time factor−0.2Score differential−0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 4:17: Braylon Braxton pass complete to Chuck Montgomery for 22 yds for a TD (Rece Verhoff KICK) — MRSH win probability +32.2 pts (now 67%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 0:52: Colton Joseph run for 8 yds for a TD (Ethan Sanchez KICK) — ODU win probability +20.6 pts (now 69%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 14:52: Carl Chester 37 Yd pass from Braylon Braxton (Braylon Braxton Pass to DeMarcus Harris for Two-Point Conversion) — MRSH win probability +30.2 pts (now 73%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 8:23: Colton Joseph run for 1 yd for a TD (Ethan Sanchez KICK) — ODU win probability +29.4 pts (now 67%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 4:03: Ethan Payne run for 1 yd for a TD (Rece Verhoff KICK) — MRSH win probability +37.3 pts (now 88%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ODU made the numbers' call on 5 of 7MRSH made the numbers' call on 4 of 8
  1. Q1 12:46MRSH 4th & 7 at ODU 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.9%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:55MRSH 4th & 5 at ODU 25, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 41.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.0%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    41.0%−<0.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    40.6%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:53ODU 4th & 9 at ODU 38, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.4%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.5%
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:06MRSH 4th & 3 at MRSH 39, up 3
    Close callPunted · 41.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.4%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:53ODU 4th & 10 at MRSH 46, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.6%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    57.4%−0.4
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    57.8%
    average punt
  6. Q1 4:06MRSH 4th & 3 at MRSH 31, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.8%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.9%
    average punt
  7. Q1 3:05ODU 4th & 5 at ODU 40, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.2%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 14:47ODU 4th & 3 at MRSH 45, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 50.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    51.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    50.2%−1.0
    25% to make
    Punt
    50.7%−0.5
    average punt
  9. Q2 7:24MRSH 4th & 1 at MRSH 47, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.8 ptsPunted · 46.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.9%−1.8
    average punt
  10. Q2 3:44ODU 4th & 15 at ODU 36, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.8%−2.4
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.2%
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:09ODU 4th & 1 at ODU 44, down 10
    Close callPunted · 38.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.5%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:27MRSH 4th & 4 at ODU 13, up 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 50.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.1%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    49.8%−0.4
    85% to make
    Punt
    40.4%−9.8
    average punt
  13. Q3 4:22MRSH 4th & 20 at MRSH 30, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.1%−5.4
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.5%
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:39ODU 4th & 5 at ODU 30, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.7 ptsPunted · 17.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.5%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.8%−2.7
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:22MRSH 4th & 9 at midfield, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.4%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.5%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ODU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5MRSH made the numbers' call on 3 of 5
  1. Q2 14:52MRSH Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 9:25ODU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 2:21MRSH Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 13:03ODU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 6:47ODU Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 4:17MRSH Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 0:52ODU Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.4%−0.3
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 14:52MRSH Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    64.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    63.8%−0.3
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 8:23ODU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.4%−0.8
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 4:03MRSH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.3%−0.7
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.1%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MRSHDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 28 yds · 2:1441% → 41%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
58.7%
Braylon Braxton run for 3 yds to the MRSH 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+22
58.7%
A.J. Turner run for 22 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+6
58.7%
Braylon Braxton run for 6 yds to the ODU 44Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 44
-3
58.7%
A.J. Turner run for a loss of 3 yards to the ODU 47Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 47
0
58.7%
Braylon Braxton pass incomplete to Christian FitzpatrickSimilar
Q1 12:46
4TH & 7
OPP 47
0
58.7%
Alec Clark punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 2INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0059% → 59%
Q1 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
58.8%
Colton Joseph pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 3FG
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:4742% → 42%
Q1 12:42
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
58.5%
Braylon Braxton pass incomplete to Carl ChesterSimilar
Q1 12:42
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+5
58.5%
Braylon Braxton run for 5 yds to the ODU 25Similar
Q1 12:42
3RD & 5
OPP 25
0
58.5%
Braylon Braxton pass incomplete to Chuck MontgomerySimilar
Q1 11:55
4TH & 5
OPP 25
+43
58.5%
Rece Verhoff 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 1:5759% → 58%
Q1 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+8
58.5%
Colton Joseph run for 8 yds to the ODU 30Similar
Q1 11:50
2ND & 2
OWN 30
+7
58.7%
Colton Joseph pass complete to Diante Vines for 7 yds to the ODU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
58.6%
Aaron Young run for 5 yds to the ODU 42Similar
Q1 11:50
2ND & 5
OWN 42
-4
58.8%
Colton Joseph run for a loss of 4 yards to the ODU 38Similar
Q1 11:50
3RD & 9
OWN 38
0
58.5%
Colton Joseph pass incomplete to Diante VinesSimilar
Q1 9:53
4TH & 9
OWN 38
0
58.1%
Seamus Hall punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Chuck Montgomery at the MRSH 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 24 yds · 1:4742% → 42%
Q1 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+8
58.5%
A.J. Turner run for 8 yds to the MRSH 23Similar
Q1 9:53
2ND & 2
OWN 23
+9
58.3%
Braylon Braxton run for 9 yds to the MRSH 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
58.3%
Jordan Houston run for 2 yds to the MRSH 34Similar
Q1 9:53
2ND & 8
OWN 34
0
58.3%
Braylon Braxton pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:44
3RD & 8
OWN 34
+5
58.4%
Braylon Braxton pass complete to Toby Payne for 5 yds to the MRSH 39Similar
Q1 8:06
4TH & 3
OWN 39
+8
58.4%
Alec Clark punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ODU 26 , Isiah Paige returns for 8 yds to the ODU 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 28 yds · 2:1358% → 58%
Q1 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+14
58.3%
Colton Joseph pass complete to Pat Conroy for 14 yds to the ODU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
58.8%
Colton Joseph run for 7 yds to the ODU 47Similar
Q1 8:06
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+1
59.0%
Colton Joseph run for 1 yd to the ODU 48Similar
Q1 8:06
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+6
58.8%
Devin Roche run for 6 yds to the MRSH 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:06
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
59.1%
Colton Joseph pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:06
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
59.1%
Colton Joseph pass incomplete to Myles AlstonSimilar
Q1 8:06
3RD & 10
OPP 46
0
58.6%
Colton Joseph pass incomplete to Myles AlstonSimilar
Q1 5:53
4TH & 10
OPP 46
0
57.8%
Seamus Hall punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Chuck Montgomery at the MRSH 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 1:4742% → 42%
Q1 5:53
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+6
58.3%
Braylon Braxton run for 6 yds to the MRSH 16Similar
Q1 5:53
2ND & 4
OWN 16
+8
58.2%
A.J. Turner run for 8 yds to the MRSH 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:53
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
58.2%
Braylon Braxton pass incomplete to Carl ChesterSimilar
Q1 5:53
2ND & 10
OWN 24
0
58.2%
A.J. Turner run for no gain to the MRSH 24Similar
Q1 5:53
3RD & 10
OWN 24
+7
58.5%
Braylon Braxton pass complete to Ethan Payne for 7 yds to the MRSH 31Similar
Q1 4:06
4TH & 3
OWN 31
0
58.4%
Alec Clark punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Isiah Paige at the ODU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:0158% → 57%
Q1 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
57.8%
Aaron Young run for 5 yds to the ODU 40Similar
Q1 4:06
2ND & 5
OWN 40
0
58.6%
Colton Joseph run for no gain to the ODU 40Similar
Q1 4:06
3RD & 5
OWN 40
0
58.2%
Colton Joseph pass incomplete to Diante VinesSimilar
Q1 3:05
4TH & 5
OWN 40
0
57.4%
Seamus Hall punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Chuck Montgomery at the MRSH 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 9TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 3:1342% → 50%
Q1 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
57.9%
Braylon Braxton run for 4 yds to the MRSH 24Similar
Q1 3:05
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+8
57.8%
A.J. Turner run for 8 yds to the MRSH 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
57.6%
Braylon Braxton pass complete to Carl Chester for 5 yds to the MRSH 37Similar
Q1 3:05
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+2
57.3%
Braylon Braxton run for 2 yds to the MRSH 39Similar
Q1 3:05
3RD & 3
OWN 39
-5
57.1%
PENALTY MUU False Start 5 yards from MUU39 to MUU34. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:05
3RD & 8
OWN 34
+11
58.0%
Braylon Braxton run for 11 yds to the MRSH 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
55.5%
Jordan Houston run for 4 yds to the MRSH 49Similar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+51
49.9%
Braylon Braxton pass complete to Christian Fitzpatrick for 51 yds for a TD (Rece Verhoff KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 10TD
13 plays · 85 yds · 5:2251% → 60%
Q2 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+7
50.6%
Aaron Young run for 7 yds to the ODU 22Similar
Q2 14:47
2ND & 3
OWN 22
+12
51.0%
Colton Joseph pass complete to Isiah Paige for 12 yds to the ODU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
51.0%
Colton Joseph run for 3 yds to the ODU 37Similar
Q2 14:47
2ND & 7
OWN 37
-5
51.2%
Colton Joseph run for a loss of 5 yards to the ODU 32 Colton Joseph fumbled, recovered by ODU Colton JosephSimilar
Q2 14:47
3RD & 12
OWN 32
+16
50.2%
Colton Joseph run for 16 yds to the ODU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
51.8%
Colton Joseph pass incomplete to Myles AlstonSimilar
Q2 14:47
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+4
51.6%
Colton Joseph pass complete to Pat Conroy for 4 yds to the MRSH 48Similar
Q2 14:47
3RD & 6
OPP 48
+3
51.8%
Colton Joseph run for 3 yds to the MRSH 45Similar
Q2 14:47
4TH & 3
OPP 45
+9
51.3%
Colton Joseph pass complete to Isiah Paige for 9 yds to the MRSH 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:47
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+12
52.1%
Colton Joseph pass complete to Isiah Paige for 12 yds to the MRSH 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
60.2%
Aaron Young run for 24 yds for a TD (Ethan Sanchez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:5545% → 46%
Q2 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
54.7%
A.J. Turner run for 3 yds to the MRSH 41Similar
Q2 9:19
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+2
54.5%
A.J. Turner run for 2 yds to the MRSH 43Similar
Q2 9:19
3RD & 5
OWN 43
+4
54.7%
Braylon Braxton pass complete to Tychaun Chapman for 4 yds to the MRSH 47Similar
Q2 7:24
4TH & 1
OWN 47
0
54.1%
Alec Clark punt for 27 yds, fair catch by Isiah Paige at the ODU 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 10 yds · 3:4056% → 54%
Q2 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
55.9%
Colton Joseph run for 2 yds to the ODU 28 Colton Joseph fumbled, recovered by ODU Skyler GrantSimilar
Q2 7:24
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+5
55.9%
Colton Joseph run for 5 yds to the ODU 33Similar
Q2 7:24
3RD & 3
OWN 33
+8
55.4%
Devin Roche run for 8 yds to the ODU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
57.5%
Colton Joseph run for 2 yds to the ODU 43Similar
Q2 7:24
2ND & 8
OWN 43
0
57.4%
Colton Joseph pass incomplete to Isiah PaigeSimilar
Q2 7:24
3RD & 8
OWN 43
-10
55.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun Joseph,Colton rush left for 19 yards gain to the MUU38 fumbled by Joseph,Colton at MUU43 forced by Green-McKnight,Jadarius recovered by ODU Vines,Diante at MUU38, End Of Play PENALTY ODU Holding (Roche,Devin) 10 yards from ODU43 to ODU33. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:24
3RD & 18
OWN 33
+3
54.6%
Devin Roche run for 3 yds to the ODU 36Similar
Q2 3:44
4TH & 15
OWN 36
0
53.9%
Seamus Hall punt for 35 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 13TD
6 plays · 71 yds · 1:2346% → 61%
Q2 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
53.7%
Braylon Braxton pass incomplete to Jordan HoustonSimilar
Q2 3:44
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+22
53.9%
Braylon Braxton pass complete to Bralon Brown for 22 yds to the ODU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:44
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+11
51.2%
Braylon Braxton run for 11 yds to the ODU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:44
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+8
51.1%
Braylon Braxton pass complete to Bralon Brown for 8 yds to the ODU 30Similar
Q2 3:44
2ND & 2
OPP 30
0
50.7%
Braylon Braxton pass incomplete to Bralon BrownSimilar
Q2 2:21
3RD & 2
OPP 30
+30
39.1%
Jordan Houston run for 30 yds for a TD (Rece Verhoff KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 14PUNT
9 plays · 19 yds · 2:1242% → 40%
Q2 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
42.4%
Aaron Young run for 2 yds to the ODU 27Similar
Q2 2:21
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-1
42.8%
Colton Joseph pass complete to Isiah Paige for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 26Similar
Q2 2:21
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+9
41.6%
Colton Joseph run for 9 yds to the ODU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
42.9%
Colton Joseph pass incomplete to Diante VinesSimilar
Q2 2:21
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+7
42.9%
Colton Joseph pass complete to Isiah Paige for 7 yds to the ODU 42Similar
Q2 2:21
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+2
43.6%
Aaron Young run for 2 yds to the ODU 44Similar
Q2 0:09
4TH & 1
OWN 44
0
39.9%
Seamus Hall punt for 56 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 15END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0061% → 61%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
38.6%
B. Braxton takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 16TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:5739% → 57%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
38.6%
Aaron Young run for 11 yds to the ODU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
39.4%
Colton Joseph run for 1 yd to the ODU 37Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+15
39.2%
Colton Joseph pass complete to Diante Vines for 15 yds to the MRSH 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+46
41.2%
Colton Joseph pass complete to Isiah Paige for 46 yds to the MRSH 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
56.8%
Aaron Young run for 2 yds for a TD (Ethan Sanchez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 17FG
8 plays · 32 yds · 2:2753% → 59%
Q3 12:54
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
47.5%
A.J. Turner run for 5 yds to the ODU 40Similar
Q3 12:54
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+2
47.2%
Braylon Braxton run for 2 yds to the ODU 38Similar
Q3 12:54
3RD & 3
OPP 38
+19
47.6%
Braylon Braxton run for 19 yds to the ODU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:54
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+6
46.3%
Braylon Braxton run for 6 yds to the ODU 13Similar
Q3 12:54
2ND & 4
OPP 13
0
46.3%
A.J. Turner run for no gain to the ODU 13Similar
Q3 12:54
3RD & 4
OPP 13
0
47.6%
Braylon Braxton pass incomplete to Chuck MontgomerySimilar
Q3 10:27
4TH & 4
OPP 13
+31
41.3%
Rece Verhoff 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 18TD
8 plays · 84 yds · 3:3545% → 66%
Q3 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+26
44.8%
Colton Joseph pass complete to Pat Conroy for 26 yds to the ODU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
47.6%
Aaron Young run for 9 yds to the MRSH 49Similar
Q3 10:22
2ND & 1
OPP 49
0
49.0%
Aaron Young run for no gain to the MRSH 49Similar
Q3 10:22
3RD & 1
OPP 49
+39
48.3%
Colton Joseph run for 39 yds to the MRSH 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
50.5%
Aaron Young run for no gain to the MRSH 10Similar
Q3 10:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
50.5%
Colton Joseph pass incomplete to Pat ConroySimilar
Q3 6:47
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
66.1%
Colton Joseph pass complete to Na'eem Abdul-Rahim Gladding for 10 yds for a TD (Ethan Sanchez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 0 yds · 2:2538% → 35%
Q3 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
61.6%
Jordan Houston run for 3 yds to the MRSH 33Similar
Q3 6:47
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+7
61.0%
Jordan Houston run for 7 yds to the MRSH 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
59.6%
Braylon Braxton pass incomplete to Jordan HoustonSimilar
Q3 6:47
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+3
60.4%
Braylon Braxton pass complete to Jordan Houston for 3 yds to the MRSH 43Similar
Q3 6:47
3RD & 7
OWN 43
-5
60.1%
PENALTY MUU False Start (Ellis,Elijah) 5 yards from MUU43 to MUU38. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:47
3RD & 12
OWN 38
-8
62.2%
Braylon Braxton sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the MRSH 30Similar
Q3 4:22
4TH & 20
OWN 30
+48
65.0%
Alec Clark punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 20TD
1 play · 22 yds · 0:0067% → 67%
Q3 4:17
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
32.9%
Braylon Braxton pass complete to Chuck Montgomery for 22 yds for a TD (Rece Verhoff KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 21TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:2542% → 69%
Q3 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
41.5%
Colton Joseph pass complete to Devin Roche for 1 yd to the ODU 26Similar
Q3 4:17
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+1
41.3%
Colton Joseph run for 1 yd to the ODU 27Similar
Q3 4:17
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+20
39.6%
Colton Joseph pass complete to Pat Conroy for 20 yds to the ODU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
45.3%
Aaron Young run for 5 yds to the MRSH 48Similar
Q3 4:17
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+21
46.1%
Colton Joseph run for 21 yds to the MRSH 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:17
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+9
48.0%
Aaron Young run for 9 yds to the MRSH 18Similar
Q3 4:17
2ND & 1
OPP 18
+10
48.0%
Aaron Young run for 10 yds to the MRSH 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
68.5%
Colton Joseph run for 8 yds for a TD (Ethan Sanchez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 22TD
3 plays · 50 yds · 0:0843% → 73%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
50
+13
57.3%
Braylon Braxton run for 13 yds to the ODU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+37
27.1%
Carl Chester 37 Yd pass from Braylon Braxton (Braylon Braxton Pass to DeMarcus Harris for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 23TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 6:2933% → 67%
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
33.3%
Colton Joseph pass complete to Pat Conroy for 9 yds to the ODU 34Similar
Q4 14:52
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+1
36.2%
Colton Joseph pass complete to Pat Conroy for 1 yd to the ODU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
34.0%
Colton Joseph run for 4 yds to the ODU 39Similar
Q4 14:52
2ND & 6
OWN 39
-5
36.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun Joseph,Colton pass complete deep left to Abdul-Rahim Gladding,Na'eem caught at MUU27, for 36 yards to the MUU25 (Foster,Ahmere) PENALTY ODU Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Grant,Skyler) 5 yards from ODU39 to ODU34. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:52
2ND & 11
OWN 34
+8
33.6%
Colton Joseph pass complete to Pat Conroy for 8 yds to the ODU 42Similar
Q4 14:52
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+3
35.8%
Aaron Young run for 3 yds to the ODU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
36.5%
Colton Joseph run for 6 yds to the MRSH 49Similar
Q4 14:52
2ND & 4
OPP 49
+13
38.3%
Aaron Young run for 13 yds to the MRSH 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
38.3%
Colton Joseph pass incomplete to Aaron YoungSimilar
Q4 14:52
2ND & 10
OPP 36
0
38.3%
Colton Joseph run for no gain to the MRSH 36Similar
Q4 9:33
3RD & 10
OPP 36
+35
33.6%
Colton Joseph run for 35 yds to the MRSH 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
38.1%
Aaron Young run for no gain to the MRSH 1Similar
Q4 9:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
38.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun Joseph,Colton rush right for 1 yard loss to the MUU02 (Watson,Landyn; Roberts,J.J.) PENALTY MUU Offside. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
67.4%
Colton Joseph run for 1 yd for a TD (Ethan Sanchez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 24TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:2046% → 88%
Q4 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
54.1%
Jordan Houston run for 4 yds to the MRSH 29Similar
Q4 8:23
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-5
53.1%
PENALTY MUU False Start (Meeks,Eric) 5 yards from MUU29 to MUU24. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:23
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+18
54.6%
Braylon Braxton pass complete to Carl Chester for 18 yds to the MRSH 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
50.4%
Jordan Houston run for 4 yds to the MRSH 46Similar
Q4 8:23
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+11
49.5%
Braylon Braxton run for 11 yds to the ODU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:23
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
48.6%
Ethan Payne run for 6 yds to the ODU 37Similar
Q4 8:23
2ND & 4
OPP 37
+5
48.4%
Ethan Payne run for 5 yds to the ODU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:23
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+18
46.9%
Braylon Braxton pass complete to Christian Fitzpatrick for 18 yds to the ODU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:23
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
46.6%
Braylon Braxton pass incomplete to Carl ChesterSimilar
Q4 8:23
2ND & 10
OPP 14
0
46.6%
Braylon Braxton pass incomplete to Chuck MontgomerySimilar
Q4 8:23
3RD & 10
OPP 14
+13
49.1%
Braylon Braxton run for 13 yds to the ODU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
11.8%
Ethan Payne run for 1 yd for a TD (Rece Verhoff KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:2422% → 17%
Q4 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
22.2%
Aaron Young run for 4 yds to the ODU 29Similar
Q4 4:03
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+1
22.8%
Colton Joseph run for 1 yd to the ODU 30Similar
Q4 4:03
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
21.8%
Colton Joseph pass incomplete to Isiah PaigeSimilar
Q4 2:39
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
17.3%
Seamus Hall punt for 59 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 26PUNT
10 plays · 39 yds · 2:1788% → 94%
Q4 2:39
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+1
11.6%
Jordan Houston run for 1 yd to the MRSH 12Similar
Q4 2:35
2ND & 9
OWN 12
+10
12.5%
Braylon Braxton pass complete to Chuck Montgomery for 10 yds to the MRSH 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+27
11.0%
Braylon Braxton run for 27 yds to the MRSH 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
9.3%
Braylon Braxton run for no gain to the MRSH 49Similar
Q4 1:17
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+1
5.1%
Jordan Houston run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 1:13
3RD & 9
50
0
5.1%
Ethan Payne run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 0:22
4TH & 9
50
0
5.7%
Alec Clark punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Isiah Paige at the ODU 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 27END OF GAME
5 plays · 16 yds · 0:229% → 8%
Q4 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+16
8.6%
Colton Joseph pass complete to Isiah Paige for 16 yds to the ODU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-6
9.2%
Colton Joseph sacked by Deeve Harris for a loss of 6 yards to the ODU 22Similar
Q4 0:22
2ND & 16
OWN 22
-5
8.5%
PENALTY ODU Illegal Formation 5 yards from ODU22 to ODU17. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 21
OWN 17
+11
8.4%
Colton Joseph pass complete to Na'eem Abdul-Rahim Gladding for 11 yds to the ODU 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 4:03
Ethan Payne run for 1 yd for a TD (Rece Verhoff KICK)
-37.3
TD · Q3 4:17
Braylon Braxton pass complete to Chuck Montgomery for 22 yds for a TD (Rece Verhoff KICK)
-32.2
TD · Q4 14:52
Carl Chester 37 Yd pass from Braylon Braxton (Braylon Braxton Pass to DeMarcus Harris for Two-Point Conversion)
-30.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com