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JMU

James Madison 35 at Old Dominion 32

ODU
2024 · Week 12 · Nov 16, 2024 · S.B. Ballard Stadium
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Win probability · ODU
modelODU aheadJMU aheadconfidence bandkey playODU scoreJMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGTDTDFGTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 14:22 · Seamus Hall punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Yamir Knight at the JMU 14
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsPregame prior
+38.0+19.00−19.0−38.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 93Home team on offense+3.4Garbage-time factor+0.6Score differential+0.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.6Pregame prior−0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:21: Alonza Barnett III run for 50 yds for a TD (G. Hollingsworth Run For Two-point Conversion) — JMU win probability +8.5 pts (now 61%) (top driver: JMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 9:22: Aaron Young run for 3 yds for a TD (Ethan Sanchez KICK) — ODU win probability +11.0 pts (now 51%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  3. TD · Q2 2:13: Colton Joseph run for 10 yds for a TD (Ethan Sanchez KICK) — ODU win probability +12.5 pts (now 58%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 2:38: Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Yamir Knight for 68 yds for a TD (Noe Ruelas KICK) — JMU win probability +23.0 pts (now 63%) (top driver: JMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:58: Colton Joseph 3 Yd Run (Colton Joseph Pass to Pat Conroy for Two-Point Conversion) — ODU win probability +33.5 pts (now 38%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ODU made the numbers' call on 6 of 9JMU made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q2 14:19JMU 4th & 3 at ODU 21, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 51.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.7%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    51.4%−0.2
    74% to make
    Punt
    48.7%−2.9
    average punt
  2. Q2 12:31ODU 4th & 10 at ODU 9, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.6%−0.8
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.4%
    average punt
  3. Q2 11:03ODU 4th & 8 at ODU 42, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.3%−0.6
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.8%
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:26JMU 4th & 14 at JMU 16, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.9%−2.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:08JMU 4th & 5 at JMU 35, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.7%−0.6
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:52JMU 4th & 7 at ODU 15, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 55.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.1%−0.5
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    54.6%
    83% to make
    Punt
    49.0%−5.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:42JMU 4th & 22 at JMU 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.0%−4.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.2%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:00ODU 4th & 5 at JMU 6, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 54.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.9%
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    53.8%−0.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    46.7%−7.2
    average punt
  9. Q3 14:22ODU 4th & 10 at JMU 46, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.8%−0.8
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    55.7%−1.9
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    57.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:29JMU 4th & 11 at JMU 40, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.0%−2.0
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.9%
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:48ODU 4th & 8 at midfield, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.0%−0.5
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.5%
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:21JMU 4th & 5 at ODU 48, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.2%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.3%
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:52ODU 4th & 7 at JMU 37, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsPunted · 62.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.7%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    61.8%−0.9
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    61.4%−1.3
    average punt
  14. Q3 0:22ODU 4th & 2 at ODU 37, down 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsPunted · 38.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.1%−1.5
    average punt
  15. Q4 12:35JMU 4th & 4 at JMU 27, up 4
    Close callPunted · 62.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.7%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.6%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 10:37ODU 4th & 12 at ODU 35, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.7%−2.7
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.3%
    average punt
  17. Q4 8:45JMU 4th & 10 at JMU 29, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.8%−3.8
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.6%
    average punt
  18. Q4 7:52ODU 4th & 17 at ODU 36, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.2%−3.7
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ODU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4JMU made the numbers' call on 2 of 4
  1. Q1 10:49JMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:10ODU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:21JMU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    59.8%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    59.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 9:22ODU Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 2:13ODU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 2:38JMU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 2:30JMU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.4%−0.3
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.7%
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 0:58ODU Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    12.0%−0.4
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    12.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
JMUDrive 1TD
10 plays · 70 yds · 4:0552% → 53%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
48.1%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Yamir Knight for 9 yds to the JMU 39Similar
Q1 14:54
2ND & 1
OWN 39
+6
48.1%
George Pettaway run for 6 yds to the JMU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
48.1%
George Pettaway run for 1 yd to the JMU 46Similar
Q1 14:54
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+12
48.1%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Yamir Knight for 12 yds to the ODU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+11
48.1%
Wayne Knight run for 11 yds to the ODU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+9
48.1%
Alonza Barnett III run for 9 yds to the ODU 22Similar
Q1 14:54
2ND & 1
OPP 22
+10
48.1%
George Pettaway run for 10 yds to the ODU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+10
48.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun Barnett III,Alonza pass incomplete short middle to Thompson,Taylor thrown to ODU04 PENALTY ODU Pass Interference (Whitner,Ashton) 10 yards from ODU12 to ODU02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
46.8%
Wayne Knight run for 2 yds for a TD (Noe Ruelas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 2TD
8 plays · 72 yds · 3:3347% → 51%
Q1 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+14
47.4%
Aaron Young run for 14 yds to the ODU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
47.7%
Aaron Young run for 3 yds to the ODU 45Similar
Q1 10:43
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+1
47.7%
Aaron Young run for 1 yd to the ODU 46Similar
Q1 10:43
3RD & 6
OWN 46
+10
47.6%
Colton Joseph run for 10 yds to the JMU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:43
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+27
47.9%
Colton Joseph pass complete to Isiah Paige for 27 yds to the JMU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:43
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
48.0%
Aaron Young run for 2 yds to the JMU 15Similar
Q1 7:10
2ND & 8
OPP 15
+15
50.6%
Colton Joseph run for 15 yds for a TD (Ethan Sanchez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 3FG
20 plays · 48 yds · 7:4451% → 52%
Q1 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-15
49.2%
PENALTY JMU UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (Hollingsworth,Gabriel) 15 yards from JMU31 to JMU16. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:03
3RD & 16
OWN 25
+17
49.7%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Wayne Knight for 17 yds to the JMU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
48.8%
Wayne Knight run for 3 yds to the JMU 45Similar
Q1 7:03
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+2
48.7%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to George Pettaway for 2 yds to the JMU 47Similar
Q1 7:03
3RD & 5
OWN 47
+4
48.8%
Alonza Barnett III run for 4 yds to the ODU 49Similar
Q1 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+6
49.4%
George Pettaway run for 6 yds to the JMU 22Similar
Q1 7:03
2ND & 4
OWN 22
+2
49.3%
George Pettaway run for 2 yds to the JMU 24Similar
Q1 7:03
3RD & 2
OWN 24
+7
49.5%
George Pettaway run for 7 yds to the JMU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-2
49.2%
Alonza Barnett III sacked for a loss of 2 yards to the JMU 29Similar
Q1 7:03
2ND & 12
OWN 29
-14
49.4%
James Madison Penalty, Face Mask (14 yards) (Omarion Dollison) to the JMU 15Similar
Q1 7:03
2ND & 26
OWN 15
+10
49.5%
Wayne Knight run for 10 yds to the JMU 25Similar
Q1 1:24
4TH & 1
OPP 49
+5
49.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun Barnett III,Alonza pass incomplete deep right to Ross,Cam thrown to ODU20 PENALTY ODU Offside (Culbreath,Jahleel) 5 yards from ODU49 to ODU44, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:24
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+16
48.4%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Dylan Williams for 16 yds to the ODU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:24
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
47.9%
Jobi Malary run for 3 yds to the ODU 25Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+6
47.9%
Jobi Malary run for 6 yds to the ODU 19Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 19
-5
48.5%
PENALTY JMU False Start (Wright,Kyi) 5 yards from ODU19 to ODU24. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 24
+3
48.5%
Wayne Knight run for 3 yds to the ODU 21Similar
Q2 14:19
4TH & 3
OPP 21
+39
47.8%
Noe Ruelas 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:4449% → 47%
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
48.5%
Devin Roche run for no gain to the ODU 9Similar
Q2 14:15
2ND & 10
OWN 9
+7
48.4%
Colton Joseph pass complete to Isiah Paige for 7 yds to the ODU 16Similar
Q2 14:15
3RD & 3
OWN 16
-7
47.9%
Colton Joseph sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the ODU 9Similar
Q2 12:31
4TH & 10
OWN 9
0
47.4%
Seamus Hall punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Yamir Knight at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 5TD
1 play · 50 yds · 0:0061% → 61%
Q2 12:21
1ST & 10
50
+50
38.9%
Alonza Barnett III run for 50 yds for a TD (G. Hollingsworth Run For Two-point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 1:1841% → 40%
Q2 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
40.5%
Isiah Paige run for 15 yds to the ODU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
41.3%
Aaron Young run for 2 yds to the ODU 42Similar
Q2 12:21
2ND & 8
OWN 42
0
41.3%
Colton Joseph pass incomplete to Myles AlstonSimilar
Q2 12:21
3RD & 8
OWN 42
0
40.6%
Colton Joseph pass incomplete to Diante VinesSimilar
Q2 11:03
4TH & 8
OWN 42
+3
39.5%
Seamus Hall punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the JMU 20 , Yamir Knight returns for 3 yds to the JMU 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 1:3761% → 60%
Q2 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
39.4%
Alonza Barnett III pass incomplete to George PettawaySimilar
Q2 11:03
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-1
39.5%
Wayne Knight run for a loss of 1 yard to the JMU 19Similar
Q2 11:03
3RD & 11
OWN 19
-3
40.0%
Alonza Barnett III sacked by Amorie Morrison for a loss of 3 yards to the JMU 16Similar
Q2 9:26
4TH & 14
OWN 16
0
39.9%
Ryan Hanson punt blocked by Mario Easterly blocked by Mario Easterly Hanson,Ryan punt 0 yards to the JMU16 blocked by Easterly,Mario recovered by JMU Weathersby,Gannon at JMU03, End Of Play.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 8TD
1 play · 3 yds · 0:0051% → 51%
Q2 9:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
50.9%
Aaron Young run for 3 yds for a TD (Ethan Sanchez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 2:0953% → 53%
Q2 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
47.0%
George Pettaway run for no gain to the JMU 30Similar
Q2 9:17
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+4
47.3%
George Pettaway run for 4 yds to the JMU 34Similar
Q2 9:17
3RD & 6
OWN 34
+1
47.3%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Yamir Knight for 1 yd to the JMU 35Similar
Q2 7:08
4TH & 5
OWN 35
0
47.1%
Ryan Hanson punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 10INT
3 plays · 6 yds · 1:3146% → 46%
Q2 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
46.4%
Bryce Duke run for 1 yd to the ODU 21Similar
Q2 7:08
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+5
46.3%
Bryce Duke run for 5 yds to the ODU 26Similar
Q2 5:37
3RD & 4
OWN 26
0
45.7%
Old Dominion Penalty, Defensive Holding (Bryce Duke) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 11FG
6 plays · 15 yds · 1:4557% → 60%
Q2 5:37
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+12
43.2%
Wayne Knight run for 12 yds to the ODU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:52
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
43.7%
Alonza Barnett III pass incomplete to Taylor ThompsonSimilar
Q2 4:52
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+3
43.8%
Alonza Barnett III run for 3 yds to the ODU 15Similar
Q2 4:52
3RD & 7
OPP 15
0
44.1%
Alonza Barnett III pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:52
4TH & 7
OPP 15
+33
39.6%
Noe Ruelas 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 12TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:3941% → 58%
Q2 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
41.2%
Aaron Young run for 6 yds to the ODU 31Similar
Q2 3:52
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+51
42.4%
Aaron Young run for 51 yds to the JMU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:52
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+8
45.7%
Aaron Young run for 8 yds to the JMU 10Similar
Q2 2:13
2ND & 2
OPP 10
+10
58.2%
Colton Joseph run for 10 yds for a TD (Ethan Sanchez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · -12 yds · 0:2550% → 48%
Q2 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-14
50.3%
Alonza Barnett III run for a loss of 14 yards to the JMU 14 Alonza Barnett III fumbled, recovered by JMU Alonza Barnett IIISimilar
Q2 2:07
2ND & 24
OWN 14
0
50.9%
Alonza Barnett III pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:07
3RD & 24
OWN 14
+2
51.8%
George Pettaway run for 2 yds to the JMU 16Similar
Q2 1:42
4TH & 22
OWN 16
+11
52.1%
Ryan Hanson punt for 44 yds , Isiah Paige returns for 11 yds to the JMU 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 14FG
9 plays · 43 yds · 1:4256% → 60%
Q2 1:42
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
56.3%
Aaron Young run for no gain to the JMU 49Similar
Q2 1:42
2ND & 10
OPP 49
-5
55.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun Joseph,Colton pass incomplete short left to Paige,Isiah thrown to ODU47 PENALTY ODU False Start 5 yards from JMU49 to ODU46. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:42
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
57.4%
Colton Joseph run for 2 yds to the JMU 9Similar
Q2 1:42
2ND & 15
OWN 46
+43
53.9%
Colton Joseph pass complete to Isiah Paige for 43 yds to the JMU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:50
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+5
59.1%
Colton Joseph pass complete to Pat Conroy for 5 yds to the JMU 4Similar
Q2 0:50
3RD & 3
OPP 4
-2
57.6%
Isiah Paige run for a loss of 2 yards to the JMU 6Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 5
OPP 6
+23
59.5%
Ethan Sanchez 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:3760% → 58%
Q3 14:59
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
60.4%
Colton Joseph pass incomplete to Diante VinesSimilar
Q3 14:59
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
60.2%
Aaron Young run for no gain to the JMU 46Similar
Q3 14:59
3RD & 10
OPP 46
0
58.2%
Colton Joseph pass incomplete to Myles AlstonSimilar
Q3 14:22
4TH & 10
OPP 46
0
57.8%
Seamus Hall punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Yamir Knight at the JMU 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 16PUNT
11 plays · 26 yds · 4:5342% → 40%
Q3 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+4
57.7%
George Pettaway run for 4 yds to the JMU 18Similar
Q3 14:22
2ND & 6
OWN 18
+4
57.6%
George Pettaway run for 4 yds to the JMU 22Similar
Q3 14:22
3RD & 2
OWN 22
+6
58.2%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Omarion Dollison for 6 yds to the JMU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
57.1%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Omarion Dollison for 6 yds to the JMU 34Similar
Q3 14:22
2ND & 4
OWN 34
+2
55.6%
Wayne Knight run for 2 yds to the JMU 36Similar
Q3 14:22
3RD & 2
OWN 36
+5
56.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun James Madison rush middle for 10 yards loss to the JMU26 fumbled by James Madison at JMU28 recovered by JMU Barnett III,Alonza at JMU26, End Of Play PENALTY ODU Offside (Iles,Daevon) 5 yards from JMU36 to JMU41, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
55.2%
Alonza Barnett III pass incomplete to Cam RossSimilar
Q3 14:22
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+7
55.8%
Wayne Knight run for 7 yds to the JMU 48Similar
Q3 14:22
3RD & 3
OWN 48
-3
54.9%
Alonza Barnett III sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the JMU 45Similar
Q3 14:22
4TH & 6
OWN 45
-5
57.7%
PENALTY JMU Delay Of Game 5 yards from JMU45 to JMU40. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:29
4TH & 11
OWN 40
+4
60.5%
Ryan Hanson punt for 39 yds , Isiah Paige returns for 4 yds to the ODU 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 25 yds · 1:4160% → 60%
Q3 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
60.4%
Aaron Young run for 1 yd to the ODU 26Similar
Q3 9:29
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+22
60.2%
Aaron Young run for 22 yds to the ODU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
63.2%
Aaron Young run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 9:29
2ND & 8
50
0
63.4%
Colton Joseph pass incomplete to Isiah PaigeSimilar
Q3 9:29
3RD & 8
50
0
62.0%
Colton Joseph pass incomplete to TJ LottSimilar
Q3 7:48
4TH & 8
50
+4
60.4%
Seamus Hall punt for 36 yds , Yamir Knight returns for 4 yds to the JMU 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 34 yds · 2:2741% → 41%
Q3 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+14
59.4%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Taylor Thompson for 14 yds to the JMU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+15
58.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun Barnett III,Alonza pass incomplete deep left to Dollison,Omarion thrown to ODU25 PENALTY ODU Pass Interference (Rankin Jr.,Angelo) 15 yards from JMU32 to JMU47, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
55.7%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Yamir Knight for 2 yds to the JMU 49Similar
Q3 7:48
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+3
55.6%
Alonza Barnett III run for 3 yds to the ODU 48Similar
Q3 7:48
3RD & 5
OPP 48
0
55.8%
Alonza Barnett III pass incomplete to Cam RossSimilar
Q3 5:21
4TH & 5
OPP 48
0
59.0%
Ryan Hanson punt for 48 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 43 yds · 1:2962% → 62%
Q3 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
61.7%
Tariq Sims run for 1 yd to the ODU 21Similar
Q3 5:21
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+39
61.4%
Colton Joseph pass complete to Diante Vines for 39 yds to the JMU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:21
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
65.7%
Tariq Sims run for 3 yds to the JMU 37Similar
Q3 5:21
2ND & 7
OPP 37
0
65.6%
Colton Joseph pass incomplete to Isiah PaigeSimilar
Q3 5:21
3RD & 7
OPP 37
0
64.9%
Colton Joseph pass incomplete to Pat ConroySimilar
Q3 3:52
4TH & 7
OPP 37
0
62.4%
Seamus Hall punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Yamir Knight at the JMU 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 20TD
5 plays · 91 yds · 1:1438% → 63%
Q3 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 9
-4
62.3%
PENALTY JMU False Start (Thompson,Taylor) 4 yards from JMU09 to JMU05. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:52
1ST & 14
OWN 5
+23
62.3%
Wayne Knight run for 23 yds to the JMU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
60.9%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Logan Kyle for 4 yds to the JMU 32Similar
Q3 3:52
2ND & 6
OWN 32
0
60.3%
Alonza Barnett III pass incomplete to Cam RossSimilar
Q3 2:38
3RD & 6
OWN 32
+68
37.3%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Yamir Knight for 68 yds for a TD (Noe Ruelas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 2:1041% → 39%
Q3 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+7
40.9%
Colton Joseph run for 7 yds to the ODU 36Similar
Q3 2:32
2ND & 3
OWN 36
+1
43.4%
Aaron Young run for 1 yd to the ODU 37Similar
Q3 2:32
3RD & 2
OWN 37
0
42.1%
Aaron Young run for no gain to the ODU 37Similar
Q3 0:22
4TH & 2
OWN 37
0
38.9%
Seamus Hall punt for 61 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 22PUNT
9 plays · 25 yds · 2:2564% → 62%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+4
36.5%
Jobi Malary run for 4 yds to the JMU 6Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 2
-3
36.5%
James Madison Penalty, False Start (-3 Yards) to the JMU 3Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 3
0
36.9%
Alonza Barnett III run for no gain to the JMU 3Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 3
+18
38.4%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Yamir Knight for 18 yds to the JMU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
35.9%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Taylor Thompson for 6 yds to the JMU 27Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 27
0
34.7%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Cam Ross for no gain to the JMU 27Similar
Q4 12:49
3RD & 4
OWN 27
0
35.7%
Alonza Barnett III pass incomplete to Omarion DollisonSimilar
Q4 12:35
4TH & 4
OWN 27
0
37.9%
Ryan Hanson punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:5842% → 38%
Q4 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
42.1%
Aaron Young run for no gain to the ODU 37Similar
Q4 12:35
2ND & 10
OWN 37
-3
41.8%
Colton Joseph sacked by Khairi Manns for a loss of 3 yards to the ODU 34Similar
Q4 12:35
3RD & 13
OWN 34
+1
39.1%
Colton Joseph run for 1 yd to the ODU 35Similar
Q4 10:37
4TH & 12
OWN 35
0
38.2%
Seamus Hall punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Yamir Knight at the JMU 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:5268% → 65%
Q4 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
32.1%
Wayne Knight run for 2 yds to the JMU 31Similar
Q4 10:37
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+2
31.8%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Yamir Knight for 2 yds to the JMU 29Similar
Q4 10:37
3RD & 10
OWN 29
0
34.0%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Wayne Knight for no gain to the JMU 29Similar
Q4 8:45
4TH & 10
OWN 29
+13
34.7%
Ryan Hanson punt for 41 yds , Isiah Paige returns for 13 yds to the ODU 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · -7 yds · 0:5344% → 37%
Q4 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
43.5%
Colton Joseph pass incomplete to Isiah PaigeSimilar
Q4 8:45
2ND & 10
OWN 43
-7
41.8%
Colton Joseph sacked by Khairi Manns for a loss of 7 yards to the ODU 36Similar
Q4 8:45
3RD & 17
OWN 36
0
37.9%
Colton Joseph pass incomplete to Isiah PaigeSimilar
Q4 7:52
4TH & 17
OWN 36
0
36.8%
Seamus Hall punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Yamir Knight at the JMU 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 26TD
15 plays · 77 yds · 5:2269% → 96%
Q4 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+10
31.1%
George Pettaway run for 10 yds to the JMU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+7
29.7%
George Pettaway run for 7 yds to the JMU 40Similar
Q4 7:52
2ND & 3
OWN 40
+2
27.5%
George Pettaway run for 2 yds to the JMU 42Similar
Q4 7:52
3RD & 1
OWN 42
0
27.9%
Alonza Barnett III run for no gain to the JMU 42Similar
Q4 7:52
4TH & 1
OWN 42
+5
30.1%
PENALTY ODU Offside (Daniels,Cole) 5 yards from JMU42 to JMU47, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+13
27.2%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Yamir Knight for 13 yds to the ODU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:52
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+8
26.2%
George Pettaway run for 8 yds to the ODU 32Similar
Q4 7:52
2ND & 2
OPP 32
+13
25.3%
George Pettaway run for 13 yds to the ODU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:52
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
25.2%
George Pettaway run for 1 yd to the ODU 18Similar
Q4 7:52
2ND & 9
OPP 18
+15
25.2%
Alonza Barnett III run for 15 yds to the ODU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
25.3%
George Pettaway run for no gain to the ODU 3Similar
Q4 2:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
13.7%
George Pettaway run for a loss of 5 yards to the ODU 8Similar
Q4 2:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
4.2%
Alonza Barnett III run for 8 yds for a TD (Noe Ruelas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 27TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 1:325% → 38%
Q4 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-7
4.7%
Colton Joseph sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the ODU 18Similar
Q4 2:30
2ND & 17
OWN 18
+23
4.5%
Colton Joseph pass complete to Diante Vines for 23 yds to the ODU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-2
5.2%
Colton Joseph sacked for a loss of 2 yards to the ODU 39Similar
Q4 1:47
2ND & 12
OWN 39
+15
3.0%
Colton Joseph pass complete to Diante Vines for 15 yds to the JMU 46 for a 1ST down James Madison Penalty, Defensive Holding (Taurus Jones) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:47
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+12
3.5%
Colton Joseph pass complete to Diante Vines for 12 yds to the JMU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:47
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
4.3%
Colton Joseph pass incomplete to Myles AlstonSimilar
Q4 1:47
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+18
4.3%
Colton Joseph pass complete to Myles Alston for 18 yds to the JMU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:47
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+13
4.5%
Colton Joseph run for 13 yds to the JMU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
38.0%
Colton Joseph 3 Yd Run (Colton Joseph Pass to Pat Conroy for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
Q4 0:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
37.7%
PENALTY ODU False Start 5 yards from JMU03 to JMU08. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 28END OF GAME
3 plays · -6 yds · 0:5792% → 94%
Q4 0:57
1ST & 10
50
-4
7.7%
A. Barnett III takes a kneeSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 14
OWN 46
-2
6.0%
A. Barnett III takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:58
Colton Joseph 3 Yd Run (Colton Joseph Pass to Pat Conroy for Two-Point Conversion)
+33.5
TD · Q3 2:38
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Yamir Knight for 68 yds for a TD (Noe Ruelas KICK)
-23
TD · Q2 2:13
Colton Joseph run for 10 yds for a TD (Ethan Sanchez KICK)
+12.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com