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GAST

Georgia State 7 at James Madison 38

JMU
2024 · Week 11 · Nov 9, 2024 · Bridgeforth Stadium
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Win probability · JMU
modelJMU aheadGAST aheadconfidence bandkey playJMU scoreGAST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 9:27 · Noe Ruelas 53 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorBlowout margin
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 141Home team on offense+35.5Pregame prior+5.9Score differential+26.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+13.8Garbage-time factor+11.6Blowout margin+11.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 3:19: Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Omarion Dollison for 52 yds for a TD (Noe Ruelas KICK) — JMU win probability +3.6 pts (now 86%) (top driver: JMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 14:55: Zach Gibson pass complete to Ted Hurst for 9 yds for a TD (Liam Rickman KICK) — GAST win probability +3.8 pts (now 20%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 9:18: Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Taylor Thompson for 12 yds for a TD (Noe Ruelas KICK) — JMU win probability +3.8 pts (now 87%) (top driver: JMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:49: Wayne Knight run for 7 yds for a TD (Noe Ruelas KICK) — JMU win probability +4.6 pts (now 95%) (top driver: JMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 6:21: Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Wayne Knight for 18 yds for a TD (Noe Ruelas KICK) — JMU win probability +3.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: JMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
JMU made the numbers' call on 5 of 8GAST made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 12:48GAST 4th & 15 at GAST 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.5%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:28GAST 4th & 10 at JMU 37, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 17.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.0%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    17.0%−<0.1
    40% to make
    Punt
    16.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 6:13GAST 4th & 3 at midfield, down 14
    Close callPunted · 13.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.2%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q2 4:06JMU 4th & 8 at JMU 36, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.4%−0.6
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 1:40GAST 4th & 15 at JMU 46, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.6%−0.4
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    11.7%−0.4
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    12.1%
    average punt
  6. Q3 13:38JMU 4th & 10 at JMU 41, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.0%−0.5
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.5%
    average punt
  7. Q3 8:54GAST 4th & 9 at JMU 46, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 3.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.8%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    3.4%−0.6
    23% to make
    Punt
    4.1%
    average punt
  8. Q3 8:54JMU 4th & 2 at GAST 22, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    96.3%−0.2
    72% to make
    Punt
    95.1%−1.4
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:16GAST 4th & 4 at GAST 31, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:40JMU 4th & 1 at JMU 43, up 28
    Close callPunted · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.6%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:24JMU 4th & 7 at GAST 20, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−<0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.7%
    75% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.4
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:54GAST 4th & 15 at GAST 20, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:43JMU 4th & 7 at JMU 48, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:49GAST 4th & 14 at GAST 10, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:27JMU 4th & 5 at GAST 35, up 31
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    42% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 6:52GAST 4th & 1 at JMU 42, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    -0.0%−0.1
    30% to make
    Punt
    -0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:17JMU 4th & 12 at GAST 15, up 31
    Close callWent for it · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    100.0%
    83% to make
    Punt
    99.7%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
JMU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5GAST made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 8:21JMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:19JMU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:55GAST Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 9:18JMU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:49JMU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 6:21JMU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
GASTDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 5 yds · 2:1217% → 17%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
83.2%
Freddie Brock run for 9 yds to the GAST 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+1
83.2%
Freddie Brock run for 1 yd to the GAST 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
83.2%
Freddie Brock run for 2 yds to the GAST 37Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 37
0
83.2%
Zach Gibson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 37
-10
83.2%
Georgia State Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the GAST 30Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 15
OWN 30
0
83.2%
Zach Gibson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:48
4TH & 15
OWN 30
0
82.7%
James Allen punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 2TD
9 plays · 68 yds · 4:2783% → 83%
Q1 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-3
82.6%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to George Pettaway for a loss of 3 yards to the JMU 29Similar
Q1 12:48
2ND & 13
OWN 29
+7
82.6%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to George Pettaway for 7 yds to the JMU 36Similar
Q1 12:48
3RD & 6
OWN 36
+20
82.6%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Cam Ross for 20 yds to the GAST 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:48
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
82.8%
Wayne Knight run for 6 yds to the GAST 38Similar
Q1 12:48
2ND & 4
OPP 38
0
82.8%
Alonza Barnett III pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:48
3RD & 4
OPP 38
+29
82.7%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Yamir Knight for 29 yds to the GAST 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
82.8%
George Pettaway run for 5 yds to the GAST 4Similar
Q1 12:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
82.8%
Alonza Barnett III run for 3 yds to the GAST 1Similar
Q1 8:21
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
83.1%
George Pettaway run for 1 yd for a TD (Noe Ruelas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 3DOWNS
10 plays · 27 yds · 4:5317% → 18%
Q1 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
82.7%
Freddie Brock run for 6 yds to the GAST 31Similar
Q1 8:21
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
82.6%
Zach Gibson run for 3 yds to the GAST 34Similar
Q1 8:21
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
82.6%
Zach Gibson run for 2 yds to the GAST 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
82.6%
Michel Dukes run for 8 yds to the GAST 44Similar
Q1 8:21
2ND & 2
OWN 44
0
82.4%
Michel Dukes run for no gain to the GAST 44Similar
Q1 8:21
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+19
82.4%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Ja'Cyais Credle for 19 yds to the JMU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:21
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
82.3%
Zach Gibson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:21
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+2
82.3%
Zach Gibson run for 2 yds to the JMU 35Similar
Q1 8:21
3RD & 8
OPP 35
-2
82.4%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Michel Dukes for a loss of 2 yards to the JMU 37Similar
Q1 3:28
4TH & 10
OPP 37
-11
82.4%
Zach Gibson sacked by Eric O'Neill for a loss of 11 yards to the JMU 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 4TD
1 play · 52 yds · 0:0086% → 86%
Q1 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+52
85.9%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Omarion Dollison for 52 yds for a TD (Noe Ruelas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 5TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 3:2415% → 20%
Q1 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
84.9%
Freddie Brock run for a loss of 1 yard to the GAST 24Similar
Q1 3:19
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+36
85.0%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Dorian Fleming for 36 yds to the JMU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:19
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
84.5%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Freddie Brock for 2 yds to the JMU 38Similar
Q1 3:19
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+9
84.5%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Dorian Fleming for 9 yds to the JMU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:19
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
84.1%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Michel Dukes for 2 yds to the JMU 27Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 27
+18
84.0%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Freddie Brock for 18 yds to the JMU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
80.2%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Ted Hurst for 9 yds for a TD (Liam Rickman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 6TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 5:3782% → 87%
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
82.1%
George Pettaway run for 2 yds to the JMU 27Similar
Q2 14:35
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
82.1%
Alonza Barnett III pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:35
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+10
81.6%
Alonza Barnett III run for 10 yds to the JMU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+20
82.4%
George Pettaway run for 20 yds to the GAST 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:35
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+13
82.9%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Yamir Knight for 13 yds to the GAST 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:35
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+7
82.9%
Alonza Barnett III run for 7 yds to the GAST 23Similar
Q2 11:45
2ND & 3
OPP 23
-2
82.9%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Wayne Knight for a loss of 2 yards to the GAST 25Similar
Q2 11:45
3RD & 5
OPP 25
+10
82.6%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Wayne Knight for 10 yds to the GAST 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-1
82.9%
Alonza Barnett III sacked by Josiah Robinson for a loss of 1 yard to the GAST 16Similar
Q2 9:33
2ND & 11
OPP 16
+4
82.7%
Alonza Barnett III run for 4 yds to the GAST 12Similar
Q2 9:18
3RD & 7
OPP 12
+12
86.5%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Taylor Thompson for 12 yds for a TD (Noe Ruelas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 25 yds · 3:0515% → 15%
Q2 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
85.2%
Zach Gibson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:18
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
85.3%
Freddie Brock run for 1 yd to the GAST 26Similar
Q2 8:45
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+17
85.5%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Petey Tucker for 17 yds to the GAST 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
84.8%
Michel Dukes run for 5 yds to the GAST 48Similar
Q2 8:45
2ND & 5
OWN 48
+2
84.3%
Michel Dukes run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 8:45
3RD & 3
50
0
84.4%
Zach Gibson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:13
4TH & 3
50
0
85.1%
James Allen punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Yamir Knight at the JMU 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 2:0786% → 85%
Q2 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
85.7%
Alonza Barnett III pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:13
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+5
85.5%
Wayne Knight run for 5 yds to the JMU 22Similar
Q2 6:13
3RD & 5
OWN 22
+12
85.2%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Cam Ross for 12 yds to the JMU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
85.8%
Alonza Barnett III pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:13
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+2
85.7%
George Pettaway run for 2 yds to the JMU 36Similar
Q2 4:30
3RD & 8
OWN 36
0
85.6%
Alonza Barnett III pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:06
4TH & 8
OWN 36
0
85.1%
Ryan Hanson punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 9PUNT
9 plays · 33 yds · 2:2614% → 14%
Q2 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+11
85.9%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Petey Tucker for 11 yds to the GAST 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+7
85.4%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Petey Tucker for 7 yds to the GAST 39Similar
Q2 3:08
2ND & 3
OWN 39
+4
85.0%
Freddie Brock run for 4 yds to the GAST 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+16
85.6%
Zach Gibson run for 16 yds to the JMU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:56
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-5
84.7%
Zach Gibson sacked by Eric O'Neill for a loss of 5 yards to the JMU 46Similar
Q2 1:56
2ND & 15
OPP 46
0
85.6%
Zach Gibson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:56
3RD & 15
OPP 46
0
86.1%
Zach Gibson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:40
4TH & 15
OPP 46
0
86.5%
James Allen punt for 35 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 10TD
9 plays · 89 yds · 0:5189% → 95%
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
88.6%
Alonza Barnett III pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:40
2ND & 10
OWN 11
+25
88.5%
George Pettaway run for 25 yds to the JMU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+10
88.6%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Taylor Thompson for 10 yds to the JMU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+18
89.6%
George Pettaway run for 18 yds to the GAST 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:07
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+20
89.7%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Taylor Thompson for 20 yds to the GAST 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:53
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+9
90.4%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Cam Ross for 9 yds to the GAST 7Similar
Q2 0:49
2ND & 1
OPP 7
+7
95.0%
Wayne Knight run for 7 yds for a TD (Noe Ruelas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 11MISSED FG
10 plays · 52 yds · 0:436% → 6%
Q2 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
93.8%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Michel Dukes for 1 yd to the GAST 31Similar
Q2 0:30
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+14
94.1%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Michel Dukes for 14 yds to the GAST 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
93.9%
Zach Gibson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:30
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+9
93.9%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Dorian Fleming for 9 yds to the JMU 46Similar
Q2 0:08
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+13
93.2%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Petey Tucker for 13 yds to the JMU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:03
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+15
93.8%
GIBSON, Zach pass deep to the right incomplete intended for HURST, Ted broken up by LOGAN, Chauncey at the JMU3. PENALTY JMU Roughing the Passer on DENGOHE, Darold enforced 15 yards from the JMU33 to the JMU18 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+35
93.6%
Liam Rickman 35 yd FG BLOCKED blocked bySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 1:2295% → 95%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
95.3%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Yamir Knight for 16 yds to the JMU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
95.5%
Alonza Barnett III run for no gain to the JMU 41Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
95.5%
Alonza Barnett III pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:47
3RD & 10
OWN 41
0
95.4%
Alonza Barnett III pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:38
4TH & 10
OWN 41
0
95.0%
Ryan Hanson punt for 32 yds, downed at the GAST 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 13DOWNS
9 plays · 27 yds · 4:446% → 4%
Q3 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
94.5%
Freddie Brock run for 1 yd to the GAST 28Similar
Q3 13:38
2ND & 9
OWN 28
-5
94.6%
Zach Gibson sacked by Taurus Jones for a loss of 5 yards to the GAST 23Similar
Q3 13:38
3RD & 14
OWN 23
+10
94.7%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Michel Dukes for 10 yds to the GAST 33Similar
Q3 13:38
4TH & 4
OWN 33
+15
94.4%
James Madison Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Brandon Fique) to the JMU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:38
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-7
93.9%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Freddie Brock for a loss of 7 yards to the GAST 46Similar
Q3 13:38
2ND & 17
OWN 46
-10
94.7%
GIBSON, Zach scrambles to the left for a gain of 8 yards to the JMU46 (SCOTT, Raymond). PENALTY GSU Holding on CHUKWUMA, Ben enforced 10 yards from the GSU46 to the GSU36 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 13:38
2ND & 27
OWN 36
+4
94.6%
Zach Gibson run for 4 yds to the GAST 40Similar
Q3 13:38
3RD & 23
OWN 40
+14
94.7%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Michel Dukes for 14 yds to the JMU 46Similar
Q3 8:54
4TH & 9
OPP 46
0
95.7%
Zach Gibson pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 14TD
6 plays · 54 yds · 2:3397% → 100%
Q3 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+15
96.7%
Georgia State Penalty, Personal Foul (Gavin Pringle) to the GAST 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:54
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
96.8%
Cam Ross run for 1 yd to the GAST 29Similar
Q3 8:54
2ND & 9
OPP 29
+6
96.7%
George Pettaway run for 6 yds to the GAST 23Similar
Q3 8:54
3RD & 3
OPP 23
+1
96.6%
George Pettaway run for 1 yd to the GAST 22Similar
Q3 8:54
4TH & 2
OPP 22
+4
96.4%
George Pettaway run for 4 yds to the GAST 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:21
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
99.5%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Wayne Knight for 18 yds for a TD (Noe Ruelas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:051% → 1%
Q3 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.5%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Petey Tucker for 6 yds to the GAST 31Similar
Q3 6:21
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
99.4%
Zach Gibson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:21
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
99.4%
Zach Gibson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:16
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+18
99.5%
James Allen punt for 53 yds , Taurus Jones returns for 18 yds to the JMU 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:36100% → 100%
Q3 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+7
99.5%
George Pettaway run for 7 yds to the JMU 41Similar
Q3 5:16
2ND & 3
OWN 41
0
99.6%
Alonza Barnett III pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:16
3RD & 3
OWN 41
+2
99.6%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Omarion Dollison for 2 yds to the JMU 43Similar
Q3 3:40
4TH & 1
OWN 43
+36
99.6%
Ryan Hanson punt for 36 yds , DJ Riles returns for no gain to the GAST 23 , returns for no gain to the GAST 23Similar
Q3 3:40
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-5
99.6%
James Madison Penalty, False Start (Cole Potts) to the GAST 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 17FG
5 plays · 3 yds · 2:16100% → 100%
Q3 3:40
1ST & 15
OPP 28
+4
99.6%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to George Pettaway for 4 yds to the GAST 24Similar
Q3 2:15
2ND & 11
OPP 24
+5
99.7%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Omarion Dollison for 5 yds to the GAST 19Similar
Q3 2:15
3RD & 6
OPP 19
-1
99.7%
George Pettaway run for a loss of 1 yard to the GAST 20Similar
Q3 1:24
4TH & 7
OPP 20
+38
99.7%
Noe Ruelas 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 1:300% → 0%
Q3 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.8%
Freddie Brock run for 1 yd to the GAST 26Similar
Q3 1:24
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+6
99.8%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Freddie Brock for 6 yds to the GAST 32Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-12
99.8%
Zach Gibson sacked by Amar Thomas for a loss of 12 yards to the GAST 20Similar
Q4 14:54
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
99.8%
James Allen punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Yamir Knight at the JMU 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 2:11100% → 100%
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
99.8%
Alonza Barnett III run for no gain to the JMU 45Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+1
99.7%
Alonza Barnett III run for 1 yd to the JMU 46Similar
Q4 14:54
3RD & 9
OWN 46
+7
99.7%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Yamir Knight for 7 yds to the GAST 47Similar
Q4 14:54
4TH & 2
OPP 47
-5
99.7%
James Madison Penalty, Delay Of Game (Ryan Hanson) to the JMU 48Similar
Q4 12:43
4TH & 7
OWN 48
0
99.8%
Ryan Hanson punt for 38 yds, downed at the GAST 14Similar
Q4 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-26
99.9%
MURRAY JR., DJ rush to the left for a gain of 26 yards to the GSU40 (BROWN, Tyler). PENALTY GSU Holding on FLEMING, Dorian enforced half the distance from the goal, 7 yards from the GSU14 to the GSU7 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 1:540% → 0%
Q4 12:43
1ST & 17
OWN 7
-1
99.9%
Phoenix Moss run for a loss of 1 yard to the GAST 6Similar
Q4 12:43
2ND & 18
OWN 6
0
99.9%
Zach Gibson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:43
3RD & 18
OWN 6
+4
99.9%
Zach Gibson pass complete to DJ Murray Jr. for 4 yds to the GAST 10Similar
Q4 10:49
4TH & 14
OWN 10
+6
99.9%
James Allen punt for 36 yds , Yamir Knight returns for 6 yds to the GAST 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 21MISSED FG
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:22100% → 100%
Q4 10:49
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
99.9%
George Pettaway run for 5 yds to the GAST 35Similar
Q4 10:49
2ND & 5
OPP 35
0
99.9%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Cam Ross for no gain to the GAST 35Similar
Q4 10:49
3RD & 5
OPP 35
0
99.9%
Alonza Barnett III pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:27
4TH & 5
OPP 35
+53
99.9%
Noe Ruelas 53 yd FG BLOCKED blocked bySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 22DOWNS
6 plays · 20 yds · 2:350% → 0%
Q4 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+11
99.9%
DJ Murray Jr. run for 11 yds to the GAST 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-3
99.9%
Phoenix Moss run for a loss of 3 yards to the GAST 46Similar
Q4 9:27
2ND & 13
OWN 46
+1
99.9%
Zach Gibson pass complete to DJ Murray Jr. for 1 yd to the GAST 47Similar
Q4 6:59
3RD & 12
OWN 47
+11
99.9%
Zach Gibson pass complete to DJ Murray Jr. for 11 yds to the JMU 42Similar
Q4 6:52
4TH & 1
OPP 42
0
99.9%
Zach Gibson pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 23DOWNS
15 plays · 54 yds · 6:35100% → 100%
Q4 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
99.9%
Jobi Malary run for 6 yds to the JMU 48Similar
Q4 6:52
2ND & 4
OWN 48
+7
99.9%
Jobi Malary run for 7 yds to the GAST 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:52
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+8
99.9%
Jobi Malary run for 8 yds to the GAST 37Similar
Q4 6:52
2ND & 2
OPP 37
0
99.9%
Billy Atkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:52
3RD & 2
OPP 37
+12
99.9%
Jobi Malary run for 12 yds to the GAST 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:52
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+6
99.9%
Jobi Malary run for 6 yds to the GAST 19Similar
Q4 6:52
2ND & 4
OPP 19
+3
99.9%
Jobi Malary run for 3 yds to the GAST 16Similar
Q4 6:52
3RD & 1
OPP 16
+3
99.9%
Jobi Malary run for 3 yds to the GAST 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
100.0%
Ke'Marion Baldwin run for 3 yds to the GAST 10Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 7
OPP 10
+1
100.0%
Ke'Marion Baldwin run for 1 yd to the GAST 9Similar
Q4 0:32
3RD & 6
OPP 9
+4
100.0%
Jobi Malary run for 4 yds to the GAST 5Similar
Q4 0:28
4TH & 2
OPP 5
-10
100.0%
QB Keeper ATKINS, Billy rush to the left for a gain of 5 yards to the GSU0, TOUCHDOWN JMU, score nullified by penalty, clock 00:28 (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY JMU Holding on WRIGHT, Kyi enforced 10 yards from the GSU5 to the GSU15 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 0:17
4TH & 12
OPP 15
+11
100.0%
Jobi Malary run for 11 yds to the GAST 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 24END OF GAME
1 play · 1 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+1
100.0%
DJ Murray Jr. run for 1 yd to the GAST 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:49
Wayne Knight run for 7 yds for a TD (Noe Ruelas KICK)
+4.6
TD · Q2 14:55
Zach Gibson pass complete to Ted Hurst for 9 yds for a TD (Liam Rickman KICK)
-3.8
TD · Q2 9:18
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Taylor Thompson for 12 yds for a TD (Noe Ruelas KICK)
+3.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com