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ODU

Old Dominion 20 at App State 28

APP
2024 · Week 10 · Nov 2, 2024 · Kidd Brewer Stadium
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Win probability · APP
modelAPP aheadODU aheadconfidence bandkey playAPP scoreODU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 10:58 · Colton Joseph run for no gain to the ODU 44
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialGarbage-time factorTimeout advantageBlowout margin
+29.0+14.50−14.5−29.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 102Home team on offense−5.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.0Score differential−2.6Garbage-time factor−0.4Timeout advantage+0.0Blowout margin+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:21: Colton Joseph pass complete to Diante Vines for 14 yds for a TD (Ethan Sanchez KICK) — ODU win probability +4.8 pts (now 53%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 4:28: Colton Joseph pass complete to Isiah Paige for 28 yds for a TD (Ethan Sanchez KICK) — ODU win probability +2.4 pts (now 59%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 3:09: Joey Aguilar pass complete to Dalton Stroman for 46 yds for a TD (Jackson Moore KICK) — APP win probability +8.0 pts (now 50%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 8:05: Joey Aguilar pass complete to Kanen Hamlett for 4 yds for a TD (Jackson Moore KICK) — APP win probability +18.3 pts (now 70%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:29: Joey Aguilar pass complete to Max Drag for 11 yds for a TD (Jackson Moore KICK) — APP win probability +22.7 pts (now 98%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
APP made the numbers' call on 3 of 4ODU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 4:50ODU 4th & 5 at APP 8, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 49.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.5%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    49.5%
    90% to make
    Punt
    47.9%−1.6
    average punt
  2. Q1 2:35APP 4th & 6 at ODU 33, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 49.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    49.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    49.1%−0.2
    49% to make
    Punt
    48.8%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q2 10:11APP 4th & 7 at APP 45, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.6%−0.4
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.0%
    average punt
  4. Q2 1:51ODU 4th & 1 at ODU 34, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsPunted · 55.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.1%−1.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 1:00APP 4th & 7 at APP 23, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.9%−2.0
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.9%
    average punt
  6. Q3 10:58ODU 4th & 1 at ODU 44, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 56.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    56.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    54.5%−2.4
    average punt
  7. Q3 0:55ODU 4th & 8 at APP 8, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 38.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.9%−1.2
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    37.1%
    90% to make
    Punt
    25.5%−11.6
    average punt
  8. Q4 9:11APP 4th & 14 at ODU 37, up 1
    Close callPunted · 59.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.6%−2.0
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    59.6%
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    59.3%−0.4
    average punt
  9. Q4 0:43ODU 4th & 11 at APP 43, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.2%
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    4.8%−1.4
    28% to make
    Punt
    4.3%−1.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
APP made the numbers' call on 4 of 4ODU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 10:04APP Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:21ODU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 4:28ODU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:09APP Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 8:05APP Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 2:29APP Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.1%−1.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ODUDrive 1FUMBLE
5 plays · 68 yds · 1:2350% → 50%
Q1 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+61
50.0%
Colton Joseph pass complete to Isiah Paige for 61 yds to the APP 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:11
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
49.9%
Colton Joseph pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:02
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+8
50.0%
Colton Joseph pass complete to Isiah Paige for 8 yds to the APP 6Similar
Q1 13:24
3RD & 2
OPP 6
+1
50.0%
Colton Joseph run for 1 yd to the APP 7 Colton Joseph fumbled, recovered by APP Brendan HarringtonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 2TD
9 plays · 93 yds · 3:0850% → 53%
Q1 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+46
50.3%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Kaedin Robinson for 46 yds to the ODU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:42
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
50.7%
Ahmani Marshall run for 5 yds to the ODU 42Similar
Q1 12:11
2ND & 5
OPP 42
+5
50.9%
Ahmani Marshall run for 5 yds to the ODU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:21
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+16
51.1%
Joey Aguilar run for 16 yds to the ODU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:50
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
51.3%
Ahmani Marshall run for 3 yds to the ODU 18Similar
Q1 10:13
2ND & 7
OPP 18
0
51.5%
Joey Aguilar pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:13
3RD & 7
OPP 18
-5
51.3%
PENALTY APP False Start (Stroman,Dalton) 5 yards from ODU18 to ODU23. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:04
3RD & 12
OPP 23
+23
53.0%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Kaedin Robinson for 23 yds for a TD (Jackson Moore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 3FG
12 plays · 67 yds · 5:0748% → 48%
Q1 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+25
52.5%
Aaron Young run for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:18
1ST & 10
50
+2
52.4%
Aaron Young run for 2 yds to the APP 48Similar
Q1 8:44
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+19
52.5%
Aaron Young run for 19 yds to the APP 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:09
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+6
52.3%
Aaron Young run for 6 yds to the APP 23Similar
Q1 7:31
2ND & 4
OPP 23
+1
52.6%
Aaron Young run for 1 yd to the APP 22Similar
Q1 6:45
3RD & 3
OPP 22
+9
53.3%
Aaron Young run for 9 yds to the APP 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
53.0%
Aaron Young run for 3 yds to the APP 10Similar
Q1 5:27
2ND & 7
OPP 10
+2
53.2%
Colton Joseph run for 2 yds to the APP 8Similar
Q1 4:55
3RD & 5
OPP 8
0
54.0%
Colton Joseph pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:50
4TH & 5
OPP 8
+25
52.4%
Ethan Sanchez 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 4DOWNS
7 plays · 42 yds · 2:0953% → 54%
Q1 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
53.4%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Dalton Stroman for 9 yds to the APP 34Similar
Q1 4:12
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+29
54.1%
Ahmani Marshall run for 29 yds to the ODU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:33
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
55.1%
Joey Aguilar pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:28
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+4
55.0%
Kanye Roberts run for 4 yds to the ODU 33Similar
Q1 2:44
3RD & 6
OPP 33
0
55.0%
Joey Aguilar pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:35
4TH & 6
OPP 33
0
54.1%
Joey Aguilar pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 5TD
9 plays · 67 yds · 3:0847% → 53%
Q1 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
53.1%
Tariq Sims run for 1 yd to the ODU 32Similar
Q1 1:56
2ND & 11
OWN 32
0
53.8%
Colton Joseph pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:41
3RD & 11
OWN 32
+21
54.3%
Colton Joseph pass complete to Isiah Paige for 21 yds to the APP 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:08
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
52.3%
Tariq Sims run for 1 yd to the APP 46Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 9
OPP 46
+26
52.5%
Colton Joseph pass complete to Bryce Duke for 26 yds to the APP 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+6
51.6%
Colton Joseph run for 6 yds to the APP 14Similar
Q2 14:21
2ND & 4
OPP 14
+14
46.8%
Colton Joseph pass complete to Diante Vines for 14 yds for a TD (Ethan Sanchez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 6PUNT
9 plays · 20 yds · 4:0548% → 47%
Q2 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
47.8%
Ahmani Marshall run for no gain to the APP 25Similar
Q2 13:35
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-2
47.5%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Kaedin Robinson for a loss of 2 yards to the APP 23Similar
Q2 12:55
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+19
46.7%
Joey Aguilar run for 19 yds to the APP 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
49.2%
Ahmani Marshall run for 1 yd to the APP 41Similar
Q2 11:42
2ND & 11
OWN 41
+6
48.2%
Joey Aguilar run for 6 yds to the APP 47Similar
Q2 10:57
3RD & 5
OWN 47
+3
48.7%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Kanye Roberts for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 10:30
4TH & 2
50
-5
48.2%
PENALTY APP False Start (Arnholt,Kyle) 5 yards from APP50 to APP45. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:11
4TH & 7
OWN 45
0
47.1%
Conner Maynard punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 7TD
13 plays · 90 yds · 5:3251% → 59%
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+6
49.0%
Colton Joseph pass complete to Isiah Paige for 6 yds to the ODU 16Similar
Q2 9:13
2ND & 4
OWN 16
+10
48.7%
Colton Joseph pass complete to Myles Alston for 10 yds to the ODU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-5
48.2%
PENALTY ODU Delay Of Game (Joseph,Colton) 5 yards from ODU26 to ODU21. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:07
1ST & 15
OWN 21
+8
47.7%
Aaron Young run for 8 yds to the ODU 29Similar
Q2 7:28
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+22
46.8%
Aaron Young run for 22 yds to the APP 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:52
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
45.2%
Colton Joseph pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:37
2ND & 10
OPP 49
-1
45.0%
Colton Joseph pass complete to Isiah Paige for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 5:45
3RD & 11
50
+10
46.0%
(06:05) No Huddle-Shotgun Joseph,Colton pass intercepted by Chambers,Jason at APP37 Chambers,Jason return 63 yards to the ODU00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 05:45 PENALTY APP Holding (Hopper,Santana) 10 yards from APP50 to APP40, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
44.5%
Tariq Sims run for 5 yds to the APP 35Similar
Q2 4:47
2ND & 5
OPP 35
+7
43.1%
Colton Joseph pass complete to Diante Vines for 7 yds to the APP 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:28
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+28
40.8%
Colton Joseph pass complete to Isiah Paige for 28 yds for a TD (Ethan Sanchez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 8TD
5 plays · 65 yds · 1:0641% → 50%
Q2 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
40.8%
Ahmani Marshall run for 9 yds to the APP 44Similar
Q2 3:42
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+5
42.1%
Ahmani Marshall run for 5 yds to the APP 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
42.1%
(03:24) Shotgun Aguilar,Joey pass incomplete deep right to Jackson,Makai thrown to ODU15 PENALTY ODU Offside (Williams Jr.,Ricardo) 5 yards from APP49 to ODU46. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:09
1ST & 5
OPP 46
+46
50.2%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Dalton Stroman for 46 yds for a TD (Jackson Moore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 9 yds · 1:1153% → 50%
Q2 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
46.7%
Colton Joseph run for 5 yds to the ODU 30Similar
Q2 2:21
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-5
45.9%
Colton Joseph sacked by Michael Fletcher for a loss of 5 yards to the ODU 25Similar
Q2 2:11
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+14
48.7%
Colton Joseph run for 14 yds to the ODU 34Similar
Q2 2:11
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-5
48.4%
PENALTY ODU False Start (Dubose-Bourne,Stephon) 5 yards from ODU25 to ODU20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:51
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
49.9%
Seamus Hall punt for 66 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:4546% → 44%
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
45.8%
Ahmani Marshall run for 3 yds to the APP 23Similar
Q2 1:13
2ND & 7
OWN 23
0
45.6%
Joey Aguilar pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:06
3RD & 7
OWN 23
0
44.4%
Joey Aguilar pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:00
4TH & 7
OWN 23
0
44.1%
Conner Maynard punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ODU 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 11FUMBLE
9 plays · 32 yds · 0:4453% → 55%
Q2 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
46.9%
Aaron Young run for 6 yds to the ODU 38Similar
Q2 0:39
2ND & 4
OWN 38
+9
45.6%
Colton Joseph pass complete to Diante Vines for 9 yds to the ODU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+7
45.2%
Colton Joseph run for 7 yds to the APP 46Similar
Q2 0:30
2ND & 3
OPP 46
+2
43.7%
Colton Joseph pass complete to Diante Vines for 2 yds to the APP 44Similar
Q2 0:25
3RD & 1
OPP 44
+10
46.1%
Colton Joseph run for 10 yds to the APP 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
45.3%
Colton Joseph pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:11
2ND & 10
OPP 34
-2
45.4%
Colton Joseph sacked by Joshua Donald for a loss of 2 yards to the APP 36 Colton Joseph fumbled, recovered by APP Michael Fletcher , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · 11 yds · 0:0648% → 47%
Q2 0:06
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
47.7%
Joey Aguilar pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+11
47.2%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Ahmani Marshall for 11 yds to the APP 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 13INT
3 plays · 11 yds · 0:3648% → 49%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
48.3%
Ahmani Marshall run for 11 yds to the APP 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
48.8%
Joey Aguilar pass intercepted Rasheed Reason return for no gain to the ODU 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 14DOWNS
7 plays · 24 yds · 3:0754% → 54%
Q3 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
46.2%
Colton Joseph pass complete to Isiah Paige for 5 yds to the ODU 25Similar
Q3 13:31
2ND & 5
OWN 25
0
45.4%
Colton Joseph pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:20
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+10
47.0%
Colton Joseph pass complete to Diante Vines for 10 yds to the ODU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
45.3%
Aaron Young run for no gain to the ODU 35Similar
Q3 12:11
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+2
46.2%
Aaron Young run for 2 yds to the ODU 33Similar
Q3 11:22
3RD & 12
OWN 33
+11
47.8%
Colton Joseph pass complete to Myles Alston for 11 yds to the ODU 44Similar
Q3 10:58
4TH & 1
OWN 44
0
46.0%
Colton Joseph run for no gain to the ODU 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 15TD
9 plays · 44 yds · 2:4650% → 70%
Q3 10:51
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
50.0%
Kanye Roberts run for 1 yd to the ODU 43Similar
Q3 10:13
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+16
49.7%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Kanye Roberts for 16 yds to the ODU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:54
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
51.3%
Joey Aguilar pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:48
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+4
51.2%
Kanye Roberts run for 4 yds to the ODU 23Similar
Q3 9:12
3RD & 6
OPP 23
+19
49.5%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Kanen Hamlett for 19 yds to the ODU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
51.3%
Joey Aguilar run for no gain to the ODU 4Similar
Q3 8:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
69.6%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Kanen Hamlett for 4 yds for a TD (Jackson Moore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 16FG
17 plays · 67 yds · 6:5838% → 43%
Q3 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
62.3%
Colton Joseph pass complete to Isiah Paige for 6 yds to the ODU 31Similar
Q3 7:30
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+7
60.7%
Bryce Duke run for 7 yds to the ODU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
60.7%
Colton Joseph pass complete to Isiah Paige for 6 yds to the ODU 44Similar
Q3 6:28
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+2
58.8%
Bryce Duke run for 2 yds to the ODU 46Similar
Q3 5:51
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+3
59.3%
Colton Joseph run for 3 yds to the ODU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+15
59.0%
(05:29) No Huddle-Shotgun Joseph,Colton pass incomplete short middle to Vines,Diante thrown to APP35 QB hurried by Hopper,Santana PENALTY APP Face Mask (Johnson,Ethan) 15 yards from ODU49 to APP36, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:07
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+9
58.3%
Colton Joseph pass complete to Bryce Duke for 9 yds to the APP 27Similar
Q3 4:38
2ND & 1
OPP 27
+5
55.8%
Colton Joseph pass complete to Isiah Paige for 5 yds to the APP 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:53
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+3
55.8%
Colton Joseph pass complete to Pat Conroy for 3 yds to the APP 19Similar
Q3 3:11
2ND & 7
OPP 19
0
55.9%
Colton Joseph pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:53
3RD & 7
OPP 19
+14
57.8%
Colton Joseph pass complete to Isiah Paige for 14 yds to the APP 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
56.1%
Colton Joseph pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
56.1%
Aaron Young run for no gain to the APP 5Similar
Q3 1:38
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
-3
58.0%
Colton Joseph sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the APP 8Similar
Q3 0:55
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+25
56.7%
Ethan Sanchez 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 17PUNT
14 plays · 42 yds · 5:4958% → 54%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
57.6%
Ahmani Marshall run for 4 yds to the APP 25Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 6
OWN 25
0
57.8%
Ahmani Marshall run for no gain to the APP 25Similar
Q4 14:00
3RD & 6
OWN 25
+11
55.9%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Kaedin Robinson for 11 yds to the APP 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
59.7%
Ahmani Marshall run for 4 yds to the APP 40Similar
Q4 12:47
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+15
61.8%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Makai Jackson for 15 yds to the ODU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:16
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
63.8%
Ahmani Marshall run for 2 yds to the ODU 47Similar
Q4 11:37
2ND & 12
OPP 47
+6
61.7%
Ahmani Marshall run for 6 yds to the ODU 41Similar
Q4 10:55
3RD & 6
OPP 41
+8
62.9%
Joey Aguilar run for 8 yds to the ODU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:28
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-5
65.3%
PENALTY APP False Start (Shrader,Thomas) 5 yards from ODU33 to ODU38. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:02
1ST & 15
OPP 38
+1
62.7%
Ahmani Marshall run for 1 yd to the ODU 37Similar
Q4 9:17
2ND & 14
OPP 37
0
59.3%
Joey Aguilar pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:12
3RD & 14
OPP 37
0
57.4%
Joey Aguilar pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:11
4TH & 14
OPP 37
0
53.7%
Conner Maynard punt for 33 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 18FUMBLE
5 plays · 57 yds · 1:2042% → 49%
Q4 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+38
58.5%
Colton Joseph pass complete to Isiah Paige for 38 yds to the ODU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+11
53.6%
Aaron Young run for 11 yds to the APP 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:05
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+11
51.8%
Colton Joseph pass complete to Pat Conroy for 11 yds to the APP 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:35
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-3
51.5%
Colton Joseph sacked by Shawn Collins for a loss of 3 yards to the APP 39 Colton Joseph fumbled, recovered by APP Thomas Davis , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 19TD
13 plays · 61 yds · 5:0459% → 98%
Q4 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
59.0%
Ahmani Marshall run for 4 yds to the APP 43Similar
Q4 6:54
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+3
60.7%
Joey Aguilar run for 3 yds to the APP 46Similar
Q4 6:09
3RD & 3
OWN 46
+6
59.3%
Ahmani Marshall run for 6 yds to the ODU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
62.7%
Ahmani Marshall run for 3 yds to the ODU 45Similar
Q4 4:43
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+9
63.1%
Joey Aguilar run for 9 yds to the ODU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+10
63.7%
Ahmani Marshall run for 10 yds to the ODU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:24
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+11
66.8%
Ahmani Marshall run for 11 yds to the ODU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:39
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
71.3%
Ahmani Marshall run for 2 yds to the ODU 13Similar
Q4 2:35
2ND & 8
OPP 13
+2
76.7%
Ahmani Marshall run for 2 yds to the ODU 11Similar
Q4 2:29
3RD & 6
OPP 11
+11
98.4%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Max Drag for 11 yds for a TD (Jackson Moore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 20INT
14 plays · 32 yds · 1:406% → 5%
Q4 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
94.2%
Colton Joseph pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:15
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
94.5%
Colton Joseph run for 4 yds to the ODU 29Similar
Q4 1:57
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+7
94.3%
Colton Joseph run for 7 yds to the ODU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
93.6%
Colton Joseph pass complete to Myles Alston for 3 yds to the ODU 39Similar
Q4 1:47
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+7
93.5%
Colton Joseph run for 7 yds to the ODU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
93.1%
Colton Joseph pass complete to Aaron Young for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 1:20
2ND & 6
50
+8
92.2%
Colton Joseph pass complete to Isiah Paige for 8 yds to the APP 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:13
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-9
92.0%
Colton Joseph sacked by Joshua Donald for a loss of 9 yards to the ODU 49Similar
Q4 1:05
2ND & 19
OWN 49
+8
95.3%
Colton Joseph pass complete to Pat Conroy for 8 yds to the APP 43Similar
Q4 0:49
3RD & 11
OPP 43
0
95.1%
Colton Joseph pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:43
4TH & 11
OPP 43
0
95.5%
Colton Joseph pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 21END OF GAME
1 play · -6 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-6
98.9%
J. Aguilar takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 2:29
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Max Drag for 11 yds for a TD (Jackson Moore KICK)
+22.7
TD · Q3 8:05
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Kanen Hamlett for 4 yds for a TD (Jackson Moore KICK)
+18.3
TD · Q2 3:09
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Dalton Stroman for 46 yds for a TD (Jackson Moore KICK)
+8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com