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GAST

Georgia State 26 at App State 33

APP
2024 · Week 9 · Oct 26, 2024 · Kidd Brewer Stadium
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Win probability · APP
modelAPP aheadGAST aheadconfidence bandkey playAPP scoreGAST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 9:46 · Jackson Moore 34 yd FG MISSED
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore differentialTimeout advantage
+28.0+14.00−14.0−28.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 13Pregame prior+24.1Home team on offense+0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.1Score differential+0.0Timeout advantage+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 1:15: Michel Dukes run for 9 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed) — GAST win probability +13.5 pts (now 42%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 8:12: Joey Aguilar pass complete to Dalton Stroman for 23 yds for a TD (Jackson Moore KICK) — APP win probability +11.7 pts (now 84%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 5:05: Kyle Lowe run for 5 yds for a TD (Liam Rickman KICK) — GAST win probability +17.5 pts (now 40%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 6:39: Liam Rickman 38 yd FG GOOD — GAST win probability +14.4 pts (now 56%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:51: Joey Aguilar pass complete to Kanen Hamlett for 4 yds for a TD (J. Aguilar Run For Two-point Conversion) — APP win probability +41.9 pts (now 97%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
APP made the numbers' call on 3 of 4GAST made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 13:27GAST 4th & 10 at GAST 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.6%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:46APP 4th & 7 at GAST 16, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 70.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.1%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    70.2%
    81% to make
    Punt
    69.5%−0.7
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:02GAST 4th & 11 at APP 46, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.0%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    29.9%−0.2
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    30.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:36APP 4th & 11 at GAST 44, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.4%−0.2
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    69.2%−0.3
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    69.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:56GAST 4th & 6 at APP 9, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 31.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.5%−0.2
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    31.6%
    89% to make
    Punt
    29.2%−2.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:06APP 4th & 4 at GAST 15, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 62.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.6%−1.9
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    62.4%
    83% to make
    Punt
    58.0%−4.4
    average punt
  7. Q3 13:07APP 4th & 1 at APP 34, up 2
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsPunted · 66.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.5%−1.6
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:14GAST 4th & 17 at GAST 38, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.6%−3.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.9%
    average punt
  9. Q4 6:39GAST 4th & 19 at APP 20, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 33.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.0%−10.1
    10% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.2%
    75% to make
    Punt
    23.0%−17.2
    average punt
  10. Q4 0:53GAST 4th & 12 at GAST 10, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.3%
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.4%−1.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
APP made the numbers' call on 3 of 4GAST made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q2 10:28APP Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    71.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    70.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 6:24GAST Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:57APP Touchdown, up 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:15GAST Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    40.1%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    39.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 8:12APP Touchdown, up 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 5:05GAST Touchdown, down 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 1:51APP Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    82.4%−0.5
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    83.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
GASTDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:1824% → 24%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
76.2%
Zach Gibson pass incomplete to Freddie BrockSimilar
Q1 14:35
2ND & 10
OWN 15
0
76.2%
Freddie Brock run for no gain to the GAST 15Similar
Q1 13:55
3RD & 10
OWN 15
0
76.1%
Zach Gibson run for no gain to the GAST 15Similar
Q1 13:27
4TH & 10
OWN 15
0
76.1%
James Allen punt blocked by Ahmani Marshall for a SAFETY blocked by Ahmani Marshall for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 2MISSED FG
9 plays · 47 yds · 3:2576% → 76%
Q1 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
76.0%
Joey Aguilar run for 2 yds to the APP 39Similar
Q1 12:45
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+5
76.0%
Kanye Roberts run for 5 yds to the APP 44Similar
Q1 12:01
3RD & 3
OWN 44
+22
75.9%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Christan Horn for 22 yds to the GAST 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:31
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+15
76.1%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Christan Horn for 15 yds to the GAST 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:57
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
76.1%
Joey Aguilar pass incomplete to Eli WilsonSimilar
Q1 10:52
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+2
76.0%
Kanye Roberts run for 2 yds to the GAST 17Similar
Q1 10:19
3RD & 8
OPP 17
+1
75.9%
Kanye Roberts run for 1 yd to the GAST 16Similar
Q1 9:46
4TH & 7
OPP 16
+34
75.7%
Jackson Moore 34 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 34 yds · 2:3725% → 25%
Q1 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
75.4%
(09:44) No Huddle-Shotgun Gibson,Zach pass incomplete deep middle to Fleming,Dorian thrown to GSU42 broken up by Burks,DJ PENALTY APP Targeting (Burks,DJ) 15 yards from GSU20 to GSU35, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
75.3%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Petey Tucker for 9 yds to the GAST 44Similar
Q1 8:59
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+11
74.8%
Freddie Brock run for 11 yds to the APP 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:24
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
74.7%
Zach Gibson pass incomplete to Ja'Cyais CredleSimilar
Q1 8:20
2ND & 10
OPP 45
-15
74.7%
PENALTY GSU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Tucker,Petey) 15 yards from APP45 to GSU40. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:01
2ND & 25
OWN 40
+7
75.1%
Zach Gibson pass complete to CJ Beasley for 7 yds to the GAST 47Similar
Q1 7:31
3RD & 18
OWN 47
+7
75.0%
Zach Gibson pass complete to CJ Beasley for 7 yds to the APP 46Similar
Q1 7:02
4TH & 11
OPP 46
0
75.2%
James Allen punt for 46 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 36 yds · 1:2675% → 74%
Q1 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
74.8%
PENALTY APP False Start (Robinson,Kaedin) 5 yards from APP20 to APP15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:39
1ST & 15
OWN 15
+42
74.7%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Makai Jackson for 42 yds to the GAST 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:23
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
75.5%
Kanye Roberts run for 1 yd to the GAST 44Similar
Q1 5:48
2ND & 11
OPP 44
0
75.3%
Joey Aguilar pass incomplete to Makai JacksonSimilar
Q1 5:43
3RD & 11
OPP 44
0
74.8%
Joey Aguilar pass incomplete to Dalton StromanSimilar
Q1 5:36
4TH & 11
OPP 44
0
74.4%
Conner Maynard punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Cadarrius Thompson at the GAST 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 5FG
13 plays · 77 yds · 5:3325% → 30%
Q1 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+15
74.6%
Freddie Brock run for 15 yds to the GAST 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+12
74.4%
Freddie Brock run for 12 yds to the GAST 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+11
73.6%
Zach Gibson run for 11 yds to the APP 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:37
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
73.1%
Freddie Brock run for 3 yds to the GAST 49Similar
Q1 2:48
2ND & 13
OWN 49
+11
73.3%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Petey Tucker for 11 yds to the APP 40Similar
Q1 2:13
3RD & 2
OPP 40
+27
72.2%
Michel Dukes run for 27 yds to the APP 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:44
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+1
71.6%
Michel Dukes run for 1 yd to the APP 14Similar
Q1 0:56
2ND & 11
OPP 14
+5
71.5%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Petey Tucker for 5 yds to the APP 9Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 6
OPP 9
+5
71.5%
Zach Gibson run for 5 yds to the APP 4Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 4
-5
72.1%
PENALTY GSU Delay Of Game (Gibson,Zach) 5 yards from APP04 to APP09. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:56
4TH & 6
OPP 9
+26
70.1%
Liam Rickman 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 6TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:2270% → 70%
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
69.6%
Ahmani Marshall run for 12 yds to the APP 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
69.8%
Ahmani Marshall run for 6 yds to the APP 43Similar
Q2 13:37
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+6
70.5%
Ahmani Marshall run for 6 yds to the APP 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+20
70.2%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Kaedin Robinson for 20 yds to the GAST 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:09
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+14
70.8%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Kaedin Robinson for 14 yds to the GAST 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:39
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
70.7%
Ahmani Marshall run for 3 yds to the GAST 14Similar
Q2 10:57
2ND & 7
OPP 14
+13
70.4%
Ahmani Marshall run for 13 yds to the GAST 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
71.6%
Ahmani Marshall run for 1 yd for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
Q2 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-15
70.1%
PENALTY APP UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct 15 yards from APP35 to APP20. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 7TD
8 plays · 63 yds · 3:4225% → 38%
Q2 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+21
75.3%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Ja'Cyais Credle for 21 yds to the APP 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:35
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
73.7%
CJ Beasley run for no gain to the APP 42Similar
Q2 8:48
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+24
73.7%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Ted Hurst for 24 yds to the APP 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:19
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+5
72.3%
Zach Gibson run for 5 yds to the APP 13Similar
Q2 7:42
2ND & 5
OPP 13
+5
72.5%
Freddie Brock run for 5 yds to the APP 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
72.4%
Zach Gibson run for 4 yds to the APP 4Similar
Q2 6:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
62.2%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Ted Hurst for 4 yds for a TD (Liam Rickman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 8TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:2762% → 72%
Q2 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
61.9%
PENALTY APP False Start (Shrader,Thomas) 5 yards from APP25 to APP20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:19
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+5
61.7%
Ahmani Marshall run for 5 yds to the APP 25Similar
Q2 5:37
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
61.2%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Makai Jackson for 4 yds to the APP 29Similar
Q2 5:02
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+50
60.3%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Kaedin Robinson for 50 yds to the GAST 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:32
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
64.8%
Anderson Castle run for 3 yds to the GAST 18Similar
Q2 3:57
2ND & 7
OPP 18
+18
72.0%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Makai Jackson for 18 yds for a TD (Jackson Moore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 9TD
7 plays · 68 yds · 2:2825% → 42%
Q2 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
75.0%
Freddie Brock run for 3 yds to the GAST 35Similar
Q2 3:04
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+15
74.8%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Dorian Fleming for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:13
1ST & 10
50
+31
73.3%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Freddie Brock for 31 yds to the APP 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:49
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+10
71.6%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Dorian Fleming for 10 yds to the APP 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
58.1%
Michel Dukes run for 9 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 10FG
13 plays · 60 yds · 1:0163% → 75%
Q2 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+22
62.8%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Kaedin Robinson for 22 yds to the APP 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
65.5%
Joey Aguilar pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:54
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
65.1%
Joey Aguilar pass incomplete to Kaedin RobinsonSimilar
Q2 0:45
3RD & 10
OWN 47
+20
62.6%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Anderson Castle for 20 yds to the GAST 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:34
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
67.2%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Michael Hetzel for 5 yds to the GAST 28Similar
Q2 0:28
2ND & 5
OPP 28
+7
67.2%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Eli Wilson for 7 yds to the GAST 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+6
67.1%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Eli Wilson for 6 yds to the GAST 15Similar
Q2 0:18
2ND & 4
OPP 15
0
67.1%
Joey Aguilar pass incomplete to Kaedin RobinsonSimilar
Q2 0:10
3RD & 4
OPP 15
0
65.4%
Joey Aguilar pass incomplete to Makai JacksonSimilar
Q2 0:06
4TH & 4
OPP 15
+33
74.7%
Jackson Moore 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 11END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0026% → 26%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-2
74.5%
Z. Gibson takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:4972% → 70%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
71.5%
Kanye Roberts run for 3 yds to the APP 28Similar
Q3 14:20
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
71.4%
Joey Aguilar run for 6 yds to the APP 34Similar
Q3 13:33
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
71.6%
Kanye Roberts run for no gain to the APP 34Similar
Q3 13:07
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
70.0%
Conner Maynard punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the GAST 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 2:4731% → 29%
Q3 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
68.8%
Freddie Brock run for 8 yds to the GAST 38Similar
Q3 12:23
2ND & 2
OWN 38
+7
66.8%
Michel Dukes run for 7 yds to the GAST 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
66.5%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Michel Dukes for no gain to the GAST 45Similar
Q3 11:02
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
67.1%
Zach Gibson pass incomplete to Dorian FlemingSimilar
Q3 10:55
3RD & 10
OWN 45
-7
67.9%
Zach Gibson sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the GAST 38Similar
Q3 10:14
4TH & 17
OWN 38
+30
70.7%
James Allen punt for 52 yds , Kaedin Robinson returns for 30 yds to the APP 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 14TD
8 plays · 60 yds · 1:5272% → 84%
Q3 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+17
71.5%
Anderson Castle run for 17 yds to the GAST 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:41
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
72.5%
Ahmani Marshall run for 3 yds to the GAST 40Similar
Q3 9:06
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+15
72.2%
(09:12) No Huddle-Shotgun Aguilar,Joey pass incomplete deep left to Jackson,Makai thrown to GSU00 PENALTY GSU Pass Interference (Guy,Izaiah) 15 yards from GSU40 to GSU25, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:59
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
72.7%
Joey Aguilar pass incomplete to Eli WilsonSimilar
Q3 8:49
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+2
72.6%
Makai Jackson run for 2 yds to the GAST 23Similar
Q3 8:12
3RD & 8
OPP 23
+23
84.3%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Dalton Stroman for 23 yds for a TD (Jackson Moore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 15TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:5819% → 40%
Q3 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
81.1%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Michel Dukes for 3 yds to the GAST 28Similar
Q3 7:30
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+35
80.8%
Michel Dukes run for 35 yds to the APP 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:44
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+20
78.8%
CJ Beasley run for 20 yds to the APP 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:17
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+8
77.3%
CJ Beasley run for 8 yds to the APP 9Similar
Q3 5:42
2ND & 2
OPP 9
+4
77.4%
Zach Gibson run for 4 yds to the APP 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
59.8%
Kyle Lowe run for 5 yds for a TD (Liam Rickman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 16FUMBLE
13 plays · 65 yds · 6:3268% → 68%
Q3 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
68.2%
Ahmani Marshall run for 4 yds to the APP 29Similar
Q3 4:24
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
68.2%
Ahmani Marshall run for 3 yds to the APP 32Similar
Q3 3:37
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+3
65.0%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Makai Jackson for 3 yds to the APP 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+14
66.0%
Ahmani Marshall run for 14 yds to the APP 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
69.5%
Ahmani Marshall run for 7 yds to the GAST 44Similar
Q3 1:48
2ND & 3
OPP 44
+11
69.8%
Ahmani Marshall run for 11 yds to the GAST 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:22
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
70.7%
Ahmani Marshall run for 4 yds to the GAST 29Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 29
0
70.6%
Kanye Roberts run for no gain to the GAST 29Similar
Q4 14:54
3RD & 6
OPP 29
+12
69.2%
Ahmani Marshall run for 12 yds to the GAST 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:14
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
70.4%
Ahmani Marshall run for 2 yds to the GAST 15Similar
Q4 13:34
2ND & 8
OPP 15
0
69.2%
Joey Aguilar pass incomplete to Christan HornSimilar
Q4 13:26
3RD & 8
OPP 15
+5
67.7%
Ahmani Marshall run for 5 yds to the GAST 10 Ahmani Marshall fumbled, recovered by GAST Anthony BlumeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 17FG
14 plays · 70 yds · 6:3934% → 56%
Q4 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+14
66.0%
Freddie Brock run for 14 yds to the GAST 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
66.8%
Zach Gibson run for 2 yds to the GAST 22Similar
Q4 11:55
2ND & 12
OWN 22
+12
67.5%
Zach Gibson run for 12 yds to the GAST 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:17
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
65.6%
Michel Dukes run for 4 yds to the GAST 38Similar
Q4 10:37
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+2
63.4%
Zach Gibson run for 2 yds to the GAST 40Similar
Q4 10:04
3RD & 4
OWN 40
-5
64.5%
PENALTY GSU False Start (Timmons,Trevor) 5 yards from GSU40 to GSU35. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:42
3RD & 9
OWN 35
+15
67.6%
App State Penalty, Roughing The Passer (Ethan Johnson) to the APP 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:17
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
61.0%
CJ Beasley run for 2 yds to the APP 40Similar
Q4 8:34
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+29
61.0%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Ted Hurst for 29 yds to the APP 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:57
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
58.3%
Freddie Brock run for 2 yds to the APP 9Similar
Q4 7:25
2ND & 8
OPP 9
0
57.9%
Zach Gibson pass incomplete to Dorian FlemingSimilar
Q4 7:18
3RD & 8
OPP 9
-11
58.8%
Zach Gibson sacked by Santana Hopper for a loss of 11 yards to the APP 20Similar
Q4 6:39
4TH & 19
OPP 20
+38
44.4%
Liam Rickman 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 18TD
17 plays · 75 yds · 4:4245% → 97%
Q4 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
45.3%
Kanye Roberts run for 4 yds to the APP 29Similar
Q4 5:59
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
45.1%
Joey Aguilar pass interceptedSimilar
Q4 5:59
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+15
45.1%
(06:06) Shotgun Aguilar,Joey pass intercepted by Johnson,Jeremiah at GSU29, End Of Play PENALTY GSU Pass Interference (Guy,Izaiah) 15 yards from APP29 to APP44, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+10
50.0%
Kanye Roberts run for 10 yds to the GAST 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:11
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
51.4%
Kanye Roberts run for no gain to the GAST 46Similar
Q4 4:08
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+9
43.3%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Dalton Stroman for 9 yds to the GAST 37Similar
Q4 3:48
3RD & 1
OPP 37
+4
42.6%
Ahmani Marshall run for 4 yds to the GAST 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:12
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+15
41.9%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Kaedin Robinson for 15 yds to the GAST 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:53
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
40.1%
Kanye Roberts run for 1 yd to the GAST 17Similar
Q4 2:11
2ND & 9
OPP 17
+13
49.3%
Kanye Roberts run for 13 yds to the GAST 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
55.0%
Kanye Roberts run for no gain to the GAST 4Similar
Q4 1:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
96.9%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Kanen Hamlett for 4 yds for a TD (J. Aguilar Run For Two-point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 19DOWNS
6 plays · -2 yds · 0:4211% → 9%
Q4 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
89.2%
Zach Gibson pass incomplete to Michel DukesSimilar
Q4 1:17
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+8
89.5%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Dorian Fleming for 8 yds to the GAST 20Similar
Q4 1:00
3RD & 2
OWN 20
-10
90.2%
Zach Gibson sacked for a loss of 10 yards to the GAST 10Similar
Q4 0:53
4TH & 12
OWN 10
0
90.7%
Zach Gibson pass incomplete to Dorian FlemingSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 20END OF GAME
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:4798% → 97%
Q4 0:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-2
97.5%
J. Aguilar takes a kneeSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
-1
96.8%
J. Aguilar takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:51
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Kanen Hamlett for 4 yds for a TD (J. Aguilar Run For Two-point Conversion)
+41.9
TD · Q3 5:05
Kyle Lowe run for 5 yds for a TD (Liam Rickman KICK)
-17.5
FG · Q4 6:39
Liam Rickman 38 yd FG GOOD
-14.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com