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GASO

Georgia Southern 19 at Old Dominion 47

ODU
2024 · Week 9 · Oct 24, 2024 · S.B. Ballard Stadium
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Win probability · ODU
modelODU aheadGASO aheadconfidence bandkey playODU scoreGASO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:53 · Seamus Hall punt for 45 yds , DeAndre Buchannon returns for no gain to the GASO 14
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsPregame prior
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 158Home team on offense+35.8Score differential+28.8Garbage-time factor+14.4Blowout margin+14.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+10.7Pregame prior−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:17: Colton Joseph pass complete to Demariyon Houston for 23 yds for a TD (Ethan Sanchez PAT BLOCKED) — ODU win probability +9.5 pts (now 62%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 13:49: Colton Joseph pass complete to Pat Conroy for 56 yds for a TD (Ethan Sanchez KICK) — ODU win probability +12.6 pts (now 73%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 7:51: JC French pass complete to Josh Dallas for 59 yds for a TD (Gavin Stewart KICK) — GASO win probability +13.6 pts (now 33%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:46: Colton Joseph pass complete to Demariyon Houston for 7 yds for a TD (Ethan Sanchez KICK) — ODU win probability +11.1 pts (now 90%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 11:24: Aaron Young run for 9 yds for a TD (Ethan Sanchez KICK) — ODU win probability +7.9 pts (now 98%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ODU made the numbers' call on 1 of 6GASO made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
  1. Q1 12:54ODU 4th & 2 at ODU 45, tied
    Close callPunted · 49.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.8%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:06GASO 4th & 10 at GASO 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.9%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 12:06GASO 4th & 10 at GASO 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.9%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:53GASO 4th & 4 at GASO 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.7%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:58GASO 4th & 13 at ODU 33, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 19.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.2%−1.0
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    19.3%
    49% to make
    Punt
    18.6%−0.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:31ODU 4th & 1 at ODU 42, up 20
    Close callPunted · 80.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.2%−0.9
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:40ODU 4th & 12 at GASO 12, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 73.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.1%−1.9
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    72.9%
    86% to make
    Punt
    65.1%−7.9
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:34GASO 4th & 1 at GASO 34, down 16
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 24.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.2%−1.2
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:14GASO 4th & 1 at GASO 34, down 30
    Close callPunted · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.3%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:07ODU 4th & 2 at ODU 45, up 30
    Close callPunted · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.1%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:26GASO 4th & 3 at GASO 16, down 30
    Close callPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:37ODU 4th & 3 at GASO 21, up 31
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.7%−<0.1
    74% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.5
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:53ODU 4th & 5 at ODU 41, up 28
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ODU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6GASO made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 8:07ODU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:17ODU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    62.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:49ODU Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 7:51GASO Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:46ODU Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 11:24ODU Touchdown, up 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 3:24ODU Touchdown, up 36 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 0:24GASO Touchdown, down 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    0.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 5:34GASO Touchdown, down 28 before the try
    Close callKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ODUDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 2:0647% → 47%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
46.5%
Aaron Young run for 8 yds to the ODU 33Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+4
46.5%
Colton Joseph pass complete to Myles Alston for 4 yds to the ODU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
46.5%
Aaron Young run for 2 yds to the ODU 39Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 39
0
46.5%
Colton Joseph pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 39
+6
46.5%
Colton Joseph pass complete to Diante Vines for 6 yds to the ODU 45Similar
Q1 12:54
4TH & 2
OWN 45
0
47.1%
Seamus Hall punt for 25 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the GASO 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 10 yds · 0:4853% → 53%
Q1 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+10
47.0%
JC French pass complete to Dalen Cobb for 10 yds to the GASO 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
46.9%
JC French pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:54
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
46.9%
JC French pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:54
3RD & 10
OWN 40
0
47.0%
JC French pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:06
4TH & 10
OWN 40
0
47.4%
Alex Smith punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Isiah Paige at the ODU 30Similar
Q1 12:06
4TH & 10
OWN 40
0
47.4%
Alex Smith punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Isiah Paige at the ODU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 3TD
9 plays · 70 yds · 3:5947% → 52%
Q1 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-4
47.3%
Colton Joseph sacked by Marc Stampley II for a loss of 4 yards to the ODU 26 Colton Joseph fumbled, recovered by ODU Devin Roche , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q1 12:06
2ND & 14
OWN 26
+12
47.2%
Colton Joseph pass complete to Diante Vines for 12 yds to the ODU 38Similar
Q1 12:06
3RD & 2
OWN 38
+3
47.4%
Colton Joseph run for 3 yds to the ODU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
47.5%
Devin Roche run for 3 yds to the ODU 44Similar
Q1 12:06
2ND & 7
OWN 44
0
47.5%
Colton Joseph pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:06
3RD & 7
OWN 44
+20
47.3%
Colton Joseph pass complete to Isiah Paige for 20 yds to the GASO 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:06
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+18
47.7%
Devin Roche run for 18 yds to the GASO 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:06
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+10
47.7%
Colton Joseph pass complete to Isiah Paige for 10 yds to the GASO 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
51.6%
Colton Joseph pass complete to Devin Roche for 8 yds for a TD (Ethan Sanchez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:1249% → 48%
Q1 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
50.7%
Jalen White run for 4 yds to the GASO 23Similar
Q1 8:05
2ND & 6
OWN 23
+2
50.7%
Jalen White run for 2 yds to the GASO 25Similar
Q1 8:05
3RD & 4
OWN 25
0
50.9%
JC French pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:53
4TH & 4
OWN 25
+3
51.9%
Alex Smith punt for 48 yds , Isiah Paige returns for 3 yds to the ODU 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 5TD
11 plays · 82 yds · 5:3652% → 62%
Q1 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
51.6%
Colton Joseph pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:53
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+17
51.5%
Colton Joseph pass complete to Pat Conroy for 17 yds to the ODU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
51.7%
Aaron Young run for 6 yds to the ODU 41Similar
Q1 6:53
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+4
52.2%
Aaron Young run for 4 yds to the ODU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
52.2%
Aaron Young run for 4 yds to the ODU 49Similar
Q1 6:53
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+3
52.3%
Aaron Young run for 3 yds to the GASO 48Similar
Q1 6:53
3RD & 3
OPP 48
+10
52.0%
Aaron Young run for 10 yds to the GASO 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:53
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+13
52.4%
Colton Joseph pass complete to Myles Alston for 13 yds to the GASO 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:53
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
52.4%
Aaron Young run for 5 yds to the GASO 20Similar
Q1 6:53
2ND & 5
OPP 20
+3
52.4%
Colton Joseph run for 3 yds to the GASO 23Similar
Q1 1:17
3RD & 8
OPP 23
+23
61.9%
Colton Joseph pass complete to Demariyon Houston for 23 yds for a TD (Ethan Sanchez PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 6FUMBLE
6 plays · 38 yds · 2:1441% → 39%
Q1 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+7
59.3%
OJ Arnold run for 7 yds to the GASO 25Similar
Q1 1:13
2ND & 3
OWN 25
+9
59.0%
JC French pass complete to LV Bunkley-Shelton for 9 yds to the GASO 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
60.1%
OJ Arnold run for no gain to the GASO 34Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+13
60.2%
OJ Arnold run for 13 yds to the GASO 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:59
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+9
60.6%
Dexter Williams II run for 9 yds to the ODU 44 Dexter Williams II fumbled, recovered by ODU Will Jones IISimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 7TD
1 play · 56 yds · 0:0073% → 73%
Q2 13:49
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+56
73.2%
Colton Joseph pass complete to Pat Conroy for 56 yds for a TD (Ethan Sanchez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 8MISSED FG
9 plays · 42 yds · 3:5126% → 21%
Q2 13:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+30
73.7%
JC French pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 30 yds to the ODU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:49
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
72.5%
JC French pass complete to Dalen Cobb for 2 yds to the ODU 43Similar
Q2 13:49
2ND & 8
OPP 43
-10
72.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun French,JC pass incomplete short right to Burgess Jr.,Derwin thrown to ODU39 broken up by Thompson,Mario PENALTY GS Holding (Fromm,Tyler) 10 yards from ODU43 to GS47. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:49
2ND & 18
OWN 47
+23
73.8%
JC French pass complete to LV Bunkley-Shelton for 23 yds to the ODU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:49
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
72.0%
JC French run for 4 yds to the ODU 34 JC French fumbled, recovered by GASO JC FrenchSimilar
Q2 13:49
2ND & 24
OPP 44
0
73.5%
JC French pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:49
3RD & 24
OPP 44
+11
73.9%
JC French run for 11 yds to the ODU 33Similar
Q2 9:58
4TH & 13
OPP 33
+51
79.3%
Gavin Stewart 51 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:2779% → 80%
Q2 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
78.8%
Tariq Sims run for 3 yds to the ODU 36Similar
Q2 9:58
2ND & 7
OWN 36
0
78.8%
Colton Joseph pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:58
3RD & 7
OWN 36
+6
78.4%
Colton Joseph pass complete to Isiah Paige for 6 yds to the ODU 42Similar
Q2 8:31
4TH & 1
OWN 42
0
79.8%
Seamus Hall punt for 20 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the GASO 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 10TD
3 plays · 62 yds · 0:4019% → 33%
Q2 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
80.6%
JC French pass complete to Tyler Fromm for 3 yds Tyler Fromm fumbled, recovered by GASOSimilar
Q2 8:31
2ND & 7
OWN 41
0
80.6%
JC French pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:51
3RD & 7
OWN 41
+59
67.0%
JC French pass complete to Josh Dallas for 59 yds for a TD (Gavin Stewart KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 11FG
11 plays · 63 yds · 4:1169% → 77%
Q2 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+48
69.3%
Colton Joseph pass complete to Isiah Paige for 48 yds to the GASO 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:51
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+10
70.4%
Colton Joseph run for 10 yds to the GASO 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:51
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
70.4%
Colton Joseph pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:51
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+6
70.4%
Aaron Young run for 6 yds to the GASO 11Similar
Q2 7:51
3RD & 4
OPP 11
+8
69.8%
Colton Joseph pass complete to Isiah Paige for 8 yds to the GASO 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
70.4%
Isiah Paige run for 3 yds to the GASO 6Similar
Q2 7:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-15
70.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun Joseph,Colton pass complete short right to Paige,Isiah caught at GS00, for 0 yards to the GS06 PENALTY ODU Pass Interference (Paige,Isiah) 15 yards from GS06 to GS21. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 21
+9
70.2%
Colton Joseph run for 9 yds to the GASO 12Similar
Q2 7:51
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
0
69.8%
Colton Joseph pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:40
4TH & GOAL
OPP 12
+29
76.5%
Ethan Sanchez 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:0627% → 26%
Q2 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
73.4%
JC French pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:40
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
73.5%
JC French pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:40
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+9
73.8%
JC French pass complete to Josh Dallas for 9 yds to the GASO 34Similar
Q2 2:34
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
74.3%
Alex Smith punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 13TD
5 plays · 74 yds · 1:4878% → 90%
Q2 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+7
78.4%
Devin Roche run for 7 yds to the ODU 33Similar
Q2 2:34
2ND & 3
OWN 33
+25
78.6%
Colton Joseph run for 25 yds to the GASO 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:34
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+30
79.1%
Colton Joseph pass complete to Demariyon Houston for 30 yds to the GASO 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:34
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
79.1%
Aaron Young run for 5 yds to the GASO 7Similar
Q2 0:46
2ND & 5
OPP 7
+7
90.2%
Colton Joseph pass complete to Demariyon Houston for 7 yds for a TD (Ethan Sanchez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 14END OF HALF
10 plays · 35 yds · 0:4612% → 13%
Q2 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
87.8%
OJ Arnold run for 6 yds to the GASO 31Similar
Q2 0:46
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
87.2%
JC French pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:46
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+10
87.5%
JC French run for 10 yds to the GASO 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
87.5%
JC French pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 0:15
2ND & 1
50
0
86.7%
JC French pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:15
3RD & 1
50
+10
87.0%
JC French pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 10 yds to the ODU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
86.6%
JC French pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 15INT
3 plays · 7 yds · 0:3411% → 12%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+7
88.6%
JC French pass complete to Dalen Cobb for 7 yds to the GASO 25Similar
Q3 14:22
2ND & 3
OWN 25
0
88.5%
JC French pass intercepted Will Jones II return for no gain to the GASO 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 16TD
6 plays · 43 yds · 2:5891% → 98%
Q3 14:22
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+7
90.6%
Aaron Young run for 7 yds to the GASO 36Similar
Q3 14:22
2ND & 3
OPP 36
+14
90.6%
Colton Joseph pass complete to Diante Vines for 14 yds to the GASO 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:22
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+1
90.6%
Aaron Young run for 1 yd to the GASO 21Similar
Q3 14:22
2ND & 9
OPP 21
+7
90.6%
Aaron Young run for 7 yds to the GASO 14Similar
Q3 14:22
3RD & 2
OPP 14
+5
90.4%
Colton Joseph pass complete to Isiah Paige for 5 yds to the GASO 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
98.3%
Aaron Young run for 9 yds for a TD (Ethan Sanchez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 2:102% → 1%
Q3 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
98.3%
JC French run for 6 yds to the GASO 31Similar
Q3 11:24
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+2
98.1%
JC French pass complete to Tyler Fromm for 2 yds to the GASO 33Similar
Q3 11:24
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
98.1%
OJ Arnold run for 1 yd to the GASO 34Similar
Q3 9:14
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+9
98.6%
Alex Smith punt for 38 yds , Isiah Paige returns for 9 yds to the ODU 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 2:0799% → 99%
Q3 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
98.8%
Colton Joseph pass complete to Isiah Paige for 3 yds to the ODU 40Similar
Q3 9:14
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+6
98.8%
Bryce Duke run for 6 yds to the ODU 46Similar
Q3 9:14
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+1
98.7%
Colton Joseph run for -1 yd to the ODU 45Similar
Q3 7:07
4TH & 2
OWN 45
0
99.0%
Seamus Hall punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:411% → 1%
Q3 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+3
99.0%
David Mbadinga run for 3 yds to the GASO 12Similar
Q3 7:07
2ND & 7
OWN 12
+2
99.0%
Georgia Southern Penalty, (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 7:07
3RD & 5
OWN 14
+2
99.1%
JC French pass complete to Dalen Cobb for 2 yds to the GASO 16Similar
Q3 5:26
4TH & 3
OWN 16
0
99.2%
Alex Smith punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Isiah Paige at the ODU 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 20TD
6 plays · 55 yds · 2:0299% → 100%
Q3 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
99.4%
Tariq Sims run for 1 yd to the ODU 46Similar
Q3 5:26
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+4
99.4%
Colton Joseph pass complete to Demariyon Houston for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 5:26
3RD & 5
50
+10
99.4%
Colton Joseph pass complete to Pat Conroy for 10 yds to the GASO 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:26
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+10
99.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun Joseph,Colton pass incomplete deep middle to Conroy,Pat thrown to GS09 PENALTY GS Holding (Williams,Cam) 10 yards from GS40 to GS30, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:24
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
99.5%
Colton Joseph run for 30 yds for a TD (Ethan Sanchez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 21TD
6 plays · 93 yds · 2:540% → 0%
Q3 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+8
99.6%
JC French pass complete to Dalen Cobb for 8 yds to the GASO 15Similar
Q3 3:18
2ND & 2
OWN 15
+6
99.6%
OJ Arnold run for 6 yds to the GASO 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+10
99.6%
JC French pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 10 yds to the GASO 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+11
99.5%
JC French pass complete to Dalen Cobb for 11 yds to the GASO 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
99.5%
OJ Arnold run for 3 yds to the GASO 45Similar
Q3 0:24
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+55
99.7%
JC French pass complete to Dalen Cobb for 55 yds for a TD (Gavin Stewart PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 22FG
12 plays · 54 yds · 4:47100% → 100%
Q3 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
99.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun Duke,Bryce rush middle for 8 yards gain to the ODU33 (Williams,Cam) PENALTY ODU Holding (Woudsma,Maarten) 10 yards from ODU25 to ODU15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:24
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+5
99.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun Henicle,Quinn pass incomplete deep right to Miller,Kyle thrown to GS41 PENALTY GS Offside (Locke,Trevon) 5 yards from ODU15 to ODU20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+21
99.6%
Bryce Duke run for 21 yds to the ODU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
99.6%
Bryce Duke run for 4 yds to the ODU 45Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+11
99.6%
Bryce Duke run for 11 yds to the GASO 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
99.7%
Quinn Henicle run for 6 yds to the GASO 38Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 38
+10
99.7%
Bryce Duke run for 10 yds to the GASO 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
99.7%
Bryce Duke run for 2 yds to the GASO 26Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 26
+5
99.7%
Bryce Duke run for 5 yds to the GASO 21Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 21
0
99.6%
Quinn Henicle pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:37
4TH & 3
OPP 21
+38
99.8%
Ethan Sanchez 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 23TD
13 plays · 77 yds · 4:570% → 0%
Q4 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+9
99.9%
Dexter Williams II pass complete to Marcus Sanders Jr. for 9 yds to the GASO 32Similar
Q4 10:31
2ND & 1
OWN 32
0
99.8%
Dexter Williams II pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:31
3RD & 1
OWN 32
+6
99.8%
Dexter Williams II run for 6 yds to the GASO 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
99.8%
Dexter Williams II pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:31
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+9
99.8%
David Mbadinga run for 9 yds to the GASO 47Similar
Q4 10:31
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+2
99.8%
David Mbadinga run for 2 yds to the GASO 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+15
99.8%
Old Dominion Penalty, Personal Foul (Brandon Crutchfield) to the ODU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:31
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
99.8%
Dexter Williams II pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:31
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+9
99.8%
Dexter Williams II pass complete to Marcus Sanders Jr. for 9 yds to the ODU 23Similar
Q4 10:31
3RD & 1
OPP 23
+22
99.8%
Dexter Williams II pass complete to Josh Dallas for 22 yds to the ODU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+3
99.7%
Dexter Williams II run for 3 yds to the ODU 4Similar
Q4 5:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.9%
Dexter Williams II pass complete to OJ Arnold for 4 yds for a TD (Gavin Stewart PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 24PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 3:41100% → 100%
Q4 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
99.9%
Tariq Sims run for 9 yds to the ODU 34Similar
Q4 5:34
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
99.9%
Quinn Henicle run for 2 yds to the ODU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
99.9%
Tariq Sims run for 2 yds to the ODU 38Similar
Q4 5:34
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+2
99.9%
Tariq Sims run for 2 yds to the ODU 40Similar
Q4 5:34
3RD & 6
OWN 40
+1
99.9%
Tariq Sims run for 1 yd to the ODU 41Similar
Q4 1:53
4TH & 5
OWN 41
0
99.9%
Seamus Hall punt for 45 yds , DeAndre Buchannon returns for no gain to the GASO 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 25END OF GAME
3 plays · 16 yds · 1:530% → 0%
Q4 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+9
100.0%
Tyler Budge run for 9 yds to the GASO 23Similar
Q4 1:53
2ND & 1
OWN 23
+3
100.0%
David Mbadinga run for 3 yds to the GASO 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
100.0%
David Mbadinga run for 4 yds to the GASO 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 7:51
JC French pass complete to Josh Dallas for 59 yds for a TD (Gavin Stewart KICK)
-13.6
TD · Q2 13:49
Colton Joseph pass complete to Pat Conroy for 56 yds for a TD (Ethan Sanchez KICK)
+12.6
TD · Q2 0:46
Colton Joseph pass complete to Demariyon Houston for 7 yds for a TD (Ethan Sanchez KICK)
+11.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com