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TXST

Texas State 14 at Old Dominion 24

ODU
2024 · Week 8 · Oct 19, 2024 · S.B. Ballard Stadium
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Win probability · ODU
modelODU aheadTXST aheadconfidence bandkey playODU scoreTXST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 3:00 · C.Joseph pass complete. Catch made by D.Roche for 7 yards. Tackled by J.Polk at TXST 4. PENALTY on TXST-J.Eaton, Defensive Holding, 5 yards, declined.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+27.0+13.50−13.5−27.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 31Pregame prior−22.7Home team on offense+0.7Garbage-time factor−0.3Score differential−0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.1Blowout margin−0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 7:43: J.McCloud scrambles for 7 yards. TOUCHDOWN. — TXST win probability +14.8 pts (now 46%) (top driver: TXST has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q3 6:30: I.Mahdi rushed for 4 yards. Tackled by D.Lowry; J.Culbreath at ODU 46. — TXST win probability +10.1 pts (now 47%) (top driver: TXST has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 5:23: J.McCloud pass complete. Catch made by B.Sparks for 24 yards. TOUCHDOWN. — TXST win probability +27.4 pts (now 40%) (top driver: TXST has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 5:16: C.Joseph rushed for 25 yards. C.Joseph ran out of bounds. — ODU win probability +10.7 pts (now 71%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:30: C.Joseph rushed for 28 yards. TOUCHDOWN. — ODU win probability +9.0 pts (now 96%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ODU made the numbers' call on 7 of 9TXST made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 13:45ODU 4th & 2 at ODU 45, tied
    Close callPunted · 26.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.3%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:52TXST 4th & 5 at TXST 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.3%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:05ODU 4th & 3 at ODU 36, tied
    Close callPunted · 28.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:00ODU 4th & 3 at TXST 11, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 32.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    32.0%
    50% to convert
    Field goal
    31.8%−0.2
    87% to make
    Punt
    30.0%−2.0
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00TXST 4th & 6 at TXST 44, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.8%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:13ODU 4th & 9 at ODU 32, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.4%−1.0
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:43TXST 4th & 8 at TXST 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.5%−0.7
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.2%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:47ODU 4th & 10 at ODU 48, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.2%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.5%
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:39TXST 4th & 11 at ODU 38, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.1%−0.2
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    28.2%−0.1
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    28.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:36ODU 4th & 4 at ODU 13, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.0%−0.6
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.6%
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:53TXST 4th & 7 at ODU 17, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 37.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.1%−1.5
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    36.5%
    80% to make
    Punt
    24.3%−12.3
    average punt
  12. Q3 1:09ODU 4th & 8 at ODU 38, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.5%−1.4
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.9%
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:56TXST 4th & 5 at ODU 36, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsKicked a field goal · 28.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.1%
    42% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    27.6%−1.5
    42% to make
    Punt
    26.3%−2.7
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:52ODU 4th & 6 at TXST 15, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 82.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.3%−0.6
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    82.0%
    83% to make
    Punt
    70.5%−11.5
    average punt
  15. Q4 5:23TXST 4th & 2 at ODU 24, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    10.1%−1.1
    68% to make
    Punt
    6.7%−4.5
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:00ODU 4th & 2 at TXST 31, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 86.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    87.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    82.8%−4.2
    54% to make
    Punt
    77.2%−9.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ODU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3TXST made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 2:55ODU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 5:14ODU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 7:43TXST Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 5:23TXST Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.2%−2.5
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 1:30ODU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ODUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 20 yds · 1:0623% → 24%
Q1 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
23.2%
C.Joseph pass complete. Catch made by D.Roche for 12 yards. Tackled by D.Jackson at ODU 37.Similar
Q1 14:21
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
23.5%
D.Roche rushed for 2 yards. Tackled by T.Coleman at ODU 39.Similar
Q1 13:45
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+6
23.8%
C.Joseph pass complete. Catch made by P.Conroy for 6 yards. Tackled by M.Harris; D.Jackson at ODU 45.Similar
Q1 13:45
3RD & 2
OWN 45
0
23.8%
C.Joseph steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for D.Roche.Similar
Q1 13:45
4TH & 2
OWN 45
+43
23.8%
S.Hall punts 43 yards to TXST 12, Center-ODU. Fair catch by K.Wilson.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 33 yds · 2:4676% → 75%
Q1 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+5
23.8%
J.McCloud pass complete. Catch made by C.Dawn for 5 yards. Tackled by J.Culbreath; K.Naotala at TXST 17.Similar
Q1 13:12
2ND & 5
OWN 17
+9
24.0%
I.Mahdi rushed for 9 yards. Tackled by J.Culbreath at TXST 26.Similar
Q1 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
24.2%
J.McCloud steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for C.Dawn.Similar
Q1 12:49
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+14
24.2%
I.Mahdi rushed for 14 yards. Tackled by M.Easterly at TXST 40.Similar
Q1 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
24.3%
I.Mahdi rushed for 0 yards. Tackled by J.Culbreath at TXST 40.Similar
Q1 11:47
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+5
24.6%
J.McCloud pass complete. Catch made by C.Dawn for 5 yards. Tackled by W.Jones at TXST 45.Similar
Q1 11:14
3RD & 5
OWN 45
0
24.7%
J.McCloud steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for C.Dawn.Similar
Q1 10:52
4TH & 5
OWN 45
+41
25.2%
D.Nunez punts 41 yards to ODU 14, Center-TXST. I.Paige returned punt from the ODU 14. Tackled by M.Boudoin; C.Coleman at ODU 19.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 2:4725% → 26%
Q1 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
25.2%
T.Sims rushed for 1 yards. Tackled by J.Polk; T.Coleman at ODU 20.Similar
Q1 10:34
2ND & 9
OWN 20
0
25.3%
C.Joseph steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for T.Sims.Similar
Q1 10:26
3RD & 9
OWN 20
+9
25.2%
C.Joseph pass complete. Catch made by D.Vines for 9 yards. Tackled by T.Payne at ODU 29.Similar
Q1 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+9
25.8%
C.Joseph pass complete. Catch made by I.Paige for 9 yards. Tackled by M.Harris; K.Culp at ODU 38.Similar
Q1 9:16
2ND & 1
OWN 38
-1
26.5%
T.Sims rushed for -1 yards. Tackled by B.Bass at ODU 37.Similar
Q1 8:44
3RD & 2
OWN 37
-1
26.3%
T.Sims rushed for -1 yards. Tackled by J.Polk; A.Merritt at ODU 36.Similar
Q1 8:05
4TH & 3
OWN 36
+32
26.4%
S.Hall punts 32 yards to TXST 32, Center-ODU. Out of bounds.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 4INT
7 plays · 33 yds · 3:2074% → 73%
Q1 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
26.4%
I.Mahdi rushed for 2 yards. Tackled by C.Daniels; S.Naotala at TXST 34.Similar
Q1 7:29
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+12
26.6%
I.Mahdi rushed for 12 yards. Tackled by M.Easterly at TXST 46.Similar
Q1 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
26.4%
J.McCloud pass complete. Catch made by J.Hobert for 7 yards. Tackled by A.Morrison at ODU 47.Similar
Q1 6:13
2ND & 3
OPP 47
+9
26.6%
I.Mahdi rushed for 9 yards. Tackled by J.Manning at ODU 38.Similar
Q1 5:22
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
27.0%
T.Burgess rushed for 3 yards. Tackled by M.Easterly; J.Manning at ODU 35.Similar
Q1 5:04
2ND & 7
OPP 35
0
26.9%
T.Burgess rushed for 0 yards. Tackled by E.Green; J.Manning at ODU 35.Similar
Q1 4:39
3RD & 7
OPP 35
-12
27.5%
J.McCloud pass INTERCEPTED at ODU 30. Intercepted by M.Knight at ODU 30. Tackled by J.Hobert at TXST 18.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 5TD
5 plays · 18 yds · 1:3430% → 35%
Q1 4:29
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-7
29.6%
C.Joseph rushed for -7 yards. C.Joseph FUMBLES, forced by. Fumble RECOVERED by ODU-M.Alston at TXST 25.Similar
Q1 3:44
2ND & 17
OPP 25
0
29.7%
C.Joseph steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for I.Paige.Similar
Q1 3:44
3RD & 17
OPP 25
+14
29.2%
D.Roche rushed for 14 yards. Tackled by R.Nolan at TXST 11.Similar
Q1 3:00
4TH & 3
OPP 11
+7
29.6%
C.Joseph pass complete. Catch made by D.Roche for 7 yards. Tackled by J.Polk at TXST 4. PENALTY on TXST-J.Eaton, Defensive Holding, 5 yards, declined.Similar
Q1 2:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
34.6%
C.Joseph scrambles for 4 yards. TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 28 yds · 2:3767% → 64%
Q1 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+8
33.2%
J.McCloud rushed for 8 yards. Tackled by ODU at TXST 24.Similar
Q1 2:15
2ND & 2
OWN 24
+6
33.2%
I.Mahdi rushed for 6 yards. Tackled by J. Carter at TXST 30.Similar
Q1 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+10
33.8%
J.McCloud pass complete. Catch made by J.Williams for 10 yards. Tackled by M.Easterly; M.Devereaux at TXST 40.Similar
Q1 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
33.6%
J.McCloud scrambles for 4 yards. Tackled by K.Naotala at TXST 44.Similar
Q1 0:42
2ND & 6
OWN 44
-1
33.7%
I.Mahdi rushed for -1 yards. Tackled by D.Lynch at TXST 43.Similar
Q1 0:07
3RD & 7
OWN 43
+1
34.9%
J.McCloud pass complete. Catch made by J.Williams for 1 yards. Tackled by M.Knight at TXST 44.Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 44
+46
35.7%
L.Rau punts 46 yards to ODU 10, Center-TXST. Fair catch by I.Paige.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 7PUNT
9 plays · 22 yds · 2:4136% → 38%
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
36.0%
B.Duke rushed for 0 yards. Tackled by J.Neal at ODU 10.Similar
Q2 14:19
2ND & 10
OWN 10
0
36.4%
C.Joseph steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for D.Houston.Similar
Q2 14:17
3RD & 10
OWN 10
+11
35.9%
C.Joseph pass complete. Catch made by P.Conroy for 11 yards. P.Conroy FUMBLES, forced by J.Landry. Fumble RECOVERED by ODU-C.Drake at ODU 21. Tackled by TXST at ODU 21.Similar
Q2 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+10
37.2%
C.Joseph pass complete. Catch made by I.Paige for 10 yards. Tackled by J.Neal at ODU 31.Similar
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
38.1%
C.Joseph scrambles for 1 yards. Tackled by A.Merritt; J.Neal at ODU 32.Similar
Q2 12:18
2ND & 9
OWN 32
0
38.7%
C.Joseph steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for I.Paige.Similar
Q2 12:17
3RD & 9
OWN 32
0
38.1%
C.Joseph steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for B.Duke.Similar
Q2 12:13
4TH & 9
OWN 32
+43
37.5%
S.Hall punts 43 yards to TXST 25, Center-ODU. Fair catch by K.Wilson.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:2362% → 59%
Q2 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
38.2%
T.Burgess rushed for 1 yards. Tackled by J.Manning; S.Naotala at TXST 26.Similar
Q2 11:33
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+1
38.8%
J.McCloud pass complete. Catch made by J.Williams for 1 yards. Tackled by E.Green; R.Reason at TXST 27.Similar
Q2 10:53
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
40.1%
J.McCloud steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for J.Hobert.Similar
Q2 10:43
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+32
40.8%
L.Rau punts 32 yards to ODU 41, Center-TXST. Fair catch by I.Paige.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 9TD
13 plays · 64 yds · 5:2341% → 58%
Q2 10:37
1ST & 15
OWN 36
0
40.6%
C.Joseph steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for I.Paige.Similar
Q2 10:33
2ND & 15
OWN 36
+11
40.5%
C.Joseph scrambles for 11 yards. Tackled by T.Payne; D.Jackson at ODU 47.Similar
Q2 10:06
3RD & 4
OWN 47
+7
41.6%
C.Joseph scrambles for 7 yards. Tackled by T.Payne at TXST 46.Similar
Q2 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
43.5%
C.Joseph pass complete. Catch made by I.Paige for 3 yards. Tackled by T.Payne; K.Alexander at TXST 43.Similar
Q2 8:52
2ND & 7
OPP 43
0
44.0%
C.Joseph scrambles for yards. Tackled by D.Jackson at TXST 25. PENALTY on ODU-C.Drake, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q2 8:46
2ND & 17
OWN 47
+20
42.9%
A.Young rushed for 20 yards. Tackled by T.Webb at TXST 33.Similar
Q2 8:12
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
45.8%
C.Joseph scrambles for 4 yards. Tackled by T.Payne; K.Culp at TXST 29.Similar
Q2 7:41
2ND & 6
OPP 29
+8
46.4%
C.Joseph scrambles for 8 yards. Tackled by K.Culp at TXST 21.Similar
Q2 7:02
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+5
47.2%
C.Joseph pass complete. Catch made by P.Conroy for 5 yards. Tackled by T.Webb; B.Bass at TXST 16.Similar
Q2 6:28
2ND & 5
OPP 16
+1
47.9%
A.Young rushed for 1 yards. Tackled by T.Webb at TXST 15.Similar
Q2 6:11
3RD & 4
OPP 15
+4
47.4%
C.Joseph scrambles for 4 yards. Tackled by B.Bass at TXST 11.Similar
Q2 5:14
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
58.1%
C.Joseph rushed for 11 yards. TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:1564% → 62%
Q2 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
63.8%
C.Joseph steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for D.Roche.Similar
Q2 1:58
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
64.3%
C.Joseph pass complete. Catch made by I.Paige for 0 yards. Pushed out of bounds by B.Bass at ODU 48.Similar
Q2 1:54
3RD & 10
OWN 48
0
63.2%
C.Joseph steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for I.Paige.Similar
Q2 1:47
4TH & 10
OWN 48
+36
61.8%
S.Hall punts 36 yards to TXST 16, Center-ODU. Fair catch by K.Wilson.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 11END OF HALF
8 plays · 26 yds · 1:3839% → 35%
Q2 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
61.2%
J.McCloud steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for C.Dawn.Similar
Q2 1:38
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+6
61.7%
J.McCloud pass complete. Catch made by J.Hobert for 6 yards. Tackled by S.Naotala; W.Jones at TXST 22.Similar
Q2 1:10
3RD & 4
OWN 22
+5
62.6%
J.McCloud scrambles for 5 yards. Tackled by J.Manning; D.Lowry at TXST 27.Similar
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
62.1%
J.McCloud pass INTERCEPTED at TXST 37. Intercepted by A.Rankin at TXST 37. Tackled by TXST at TXST 37. PENALTY on ODU-A.Rankin, Defensive Holding, 10 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
62.0%
J.McCloud steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for B.Sparks.Similar
Q2 0:47
2ND & 10
OWN 37
-12
62.3%
J.McCloud steps back to pass. Sacked at TXST 25 for -12 yards (M.Thompson).Similar
Q2 0:03
3RD & 22
OWN 25
+17
65.4%
T.Burgess rushed for 17 yards. Tackled by J.Culbreath, J.Manning at TXST 42.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 12PUNT
11 plays · 37 yds · 4:2135% → 29%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
65.2%
J.McCloud pass complete. Catch made by J.Hobert for 7 yards. Pushed out of bounds by D.Lowry, J.White-McClain at TXST 32.Similar
Q3 14:43
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+4
64.0%
I.Mahdi rushed for 4 yards. Tackled by A.Rankin at TXST 36.Similar
Q3 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
65.3%
J.McCloud pass complete. Catch made by K.Fox for 4 yards. Tackled by K.Naotala; M.Thompson at TXST 40.Similar
Q3 13:48
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+6
65.0%
I.Mahdi rushed for 6 yards. Tackled by M.Thompson; D.Lowry at TXST 46.Similar
Q3 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
65.7%
J.McCloud steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for I.Mahdi.Similar
Q3 12:53
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+5
66.5%
I.Mahdi rushed for 5 yards. Tackled by M.Easterly; J.Manning at ODU 49.Similar
Q3 12:13
3RD & 5
OPP 49
+12
66.4%
J.McCloud pass complete. Catch made by I.Mahdi for 12 yards. I.Mahdi ran out of bounds.Similar
Q3 11:51
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-1
66.9%
I.Mahdi rushed for -1 yards. Tackled by ODU at ODU 38.Similar
Q3 11:29
2ND & 11
OPP 38
0
67.8%
J.McCloud pass complete. Catch made by K.Wilson for 0 yards. Tackled by J.Culbreath at ODU 38.Similar
Q3 11:06
3RD & 11
OPP 38
0
68.8%
J.McCloud steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for K.Wilson.Similar
Q3 10:39
4TH & 11
OPP 38
+31
70.7%
D.Nunez punts 31 yards to ODU 7, Center-TXST. Downed by D.Mourning.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:5373% → 73%
Q3 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+6
72.9%
C.Joseph pass complete. Catch made by I.Paige for 6 yards. Pushed out of bounds by C.Mills at ODU 13.Similar
Q3 10:01
2ND & 4
OWN 13
0
74.6%
D.Roche rushed for 0 yards. Tackled by M.Harris at ODU 13.Similar
Q3 9:41
3RD & 4
OWN 13
0
74.0%
C.Joseph steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for D.Roche.Similar
Q3 9:36
4TH & 4
OWN 13
+38
73.1%
S.Hall punts 38 yards to TXST 49, Center-ODU. K.Wilson returned punt from the TXST 49. Tackled by J. Carter at TXST 48.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 14TD
4 plays · 52 yds · 1:4430% → 46%
Q3 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+40
70.4%
J.McCloud pass complete. Catch made by J.Hobert for 40 yards. Tackled by M.Easterly at ODU 12.Similar
Q3 8:50
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
68.7%
I.Mahdi rushed for 2 yards. Tackled by A.Morrison; J.Manning at ODU 10.Similar
Q3 8:22
2ND & 8
OPP 10
+3
69.2%
K.Wilson rushed for 3 yards. Tackled by J.Manning; M.Knight at ODU 7.Similar
Q3 7:43
3RD & 5
OPP 7
+7
54.4%
J.McCloud scrambles for 7 yards. TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 15FUMBLE
3 plays · 28 yds · 0:5564% → 64%
Q3 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
64.0%
C.Joseph steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for I.Paige.Similar
Q3 7:22
2ND & 10
OWN 22
0
63.8%
T.Sims rushed for 0 yards. Tackled by M.Harris at ODU 22.Similar
Q3 6:33
3RD & 10
OWN 22
+28
63.5%
C.Joseph pass complete. Catch made by M.Alston for 28 yards. D.Vines FUMBLES, forced by K.Culp. Fumble RECOVERED by TXST-K.Alexander at ODU 50. Tackled by ODU at ODU 50.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 16MISSED FG
8 plays · 33 yds · 2:3747% → 38%
Q3 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 0
+4
53.4%
I.Mahdi rushed for 4 yards. Tackled by D.Lowry; J.Culbreath at ODU 46.Similar
Q3 6:11
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+9
56.3%
J.McCloud pass complete. Catch made by J.Williams for 9 yards. Tackled by R.Ramey at ODU 37.Similar
Q3 5:48
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
56.6%
I.Mahdi rushed for 3 yards. Tackled by J.Culbreath; R.Ramey at ODU 34.Similar
Q3 5:32
2ND & 7
OPP 34
+14
54.4%
J.McCloud pass complete. Catch made by J.Williams for 14 yards. Tackled by R.Reason at ODU 20.Similar
Q3 4:53
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
55.6%
J.McCloud steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for J.Hobert.Similar
Q3 4:31
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+3
56.5%
J.McCloud scrambles for 3 yards. Tackled by D.Lowry; R.Williams at ODU 17.Similar
Q3 4:00
3RD & 7
OPP 17
0
58.6%
J.McCloud steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for TXST.Similar
Q3 3:53
4TH & 7
OPP 17
0
61.7%
M.Shipley 34 yard field goal attempt is no good, Center-TXST, Holder-TXST.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 18 yds · 2:3868% → 72%
Q3 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+16
67.5%
B.Duke rushed for 16 yards. Tackled by J.Polk; T.Spears at ODU 36.Similar
Q3 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
69.3%
B.Duke rushed for 2 yards. Tackled by J.Neal at ODU 38.Similar
Q3 2:23
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+1
72.3%
C.Joseph rushed for 1 yards. Tackled by T.Webb; T.Adeleye at ODU 39.Similar
Q3 1:46
3RD & 7
OWN 39
-1
71.3%
C.Joseph steps back to pass. Sacked at ODU 38 for -1 yards (K.Alexander; B.Bass).Similar
Q3 1:09
4TH & 8
OWN 38
+45
72.3%
S.Hall punts 45 yards to TXST 17, Center-ODU. Fair catch by K.Wilson.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 18MISSED FG
9 plays · 47 yds · 2:0232% → 29%
Q3 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+4
67.8%
T.Burgess rushed for 4 yards. Tackled by C.Daniels; J.Manning at TXST 21.Similar
Q3 0:39
2ND & 6
OWN 21
+19
68.5%
J.McCloud pass complete. Catch made by J.Hobert for 19 yards. Pushed out of bounds by J.Manning; W.Jones at TXST 40.Similar
Q3 0:04
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
66.9%
T.Burgess rushed for 4 yards. Tackled by C.Daniels at TXST 44. PENALTY on ODU-C.Daniels, Face Mask (15 Yards), 15 yards, accepted.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
64.4%
J.McCloud steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for J.Hobert.Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 10
OPP 41
0
64.6%
J.McCloud steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for TXST.Similar
Q4 14:45
3RD & 10
OPP 41
+5
66.8%
J.McCloud scrambles for 5 yards. Tackled by J.Manning at ODU 36.Similar
Q4 13:56
4TH & 5
OPP 36
0
70.6%
M.Shipley 53 yard field goal attempt is no good, Center-TXST, Holder-TXST.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 19FG
10 plays · 49 yds · 3:5879% → 83%
Q4 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
78.8%
C.Joseph rushed for 3 yards. Tackled by R.Nolan at ODU 39.Similar
Q4 13:05
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+2
80.5%
A.Young rushed for 2 yards. Tackled by J.Neal at ODU 41.Similar
Q4 12:43
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+12
80.0%
C.Joseph pass complete. Catch made by D.Vines for 12 yards. Tackled by J.Neal at TXST 47.Similar
Q4 12:26
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+17
82.2%
A.Young rushed for 17 yards. Tackled by R.Nolan; T.Spears at TXST 30.Similar
Q4 11:54
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
83.1%
C.Joseph rushed for 4 yards. Tackled by D.Ratcliff at TXST 26.Similar
Q4 11:36
2ND & 6
OPP 26
+7
83.1%
A.Young rushed for 7 yards. Tackled by M.Nunnery at TXST 19.Similar
Q4 10:59
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
84.1%
C.Joseph steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for I.Paige.Similar
Q4 10:39
2ND & 10
OPP 19
0
84.4%
C.Joseph steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for I.Paige.Similar
Q4 10:32
3RD & 10
OPP 19
+4
83.5%
C.Joseph pass complete. Catch made by M.Alston for 4 yards. Tackled by TXST at TXST 15.Similar
Q4 9:52
4TH & 6
OPP 15
+32
83.4%
E.Sanchez 32 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-ODU, Holder-ODU.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 20TD
11 plays · 71 yds · 4:1515% → 40%
Q4 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+9
85.1%
J.McCloud pass complete. Catch made by J.Hobert for 9 yards. Tackled by M.Easterly at TXST 38.Similar
Q4 9:04
2ND & 1
OWN 38
+4
83.8%
I.Mahdi rushed for 4 yards. Tackled by K.Naotala at TXST 42.Similar
Q4 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
84.1%
J.McCloud steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for J.Williams.Similar
Q4 8:48
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+13
84.9%
I.Mahdi rushed for 13 yards. Tackled by J.Manning, W.Jones at ODU 45.Similar
Q4 8:11
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
83.4%
I.Mahdi rushed for 3 yards. Tackled by J.Culbreath; J.White-McClain at ODU 42.Similar
Q4 7:55
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+8
83.8%
I.Mahdi rushed for 8 yards. Tackled by W.Jones at ODU 34. PENALTY on TXST-J.Williams, Offensive Illegal Block Above the Waist, 10 yards, accepted.Similar
Q4 7:39
2ND & 9
OPP 44
+12
85.2%
I.Mahdi rushed for 12 yards. Tackled by J.Manning at ODU 32.Similar
Q4 7:25
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
84.2%
J.McCloud steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for K.Wilson.Similar
Q4 6:44
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+3
85.9%
I.Mahdi rushed for 3 yards. Tackled by D.Lowry; J.Culbreath at ODU 29.Similar
Q4 6:20
3RD & 7
OPP 29
+5
88.0%
I.Mahdi rushed for 5 yards. Tackled by M.Easterly; R.Reason at ODU 24.Similar
Q4 5:23
4TH & 2
OPP 24
+24
60.5%
J.McCloud pass complete. Catch made by B.Sparks for 24 yards. TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 21TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:4671% → 96%
Q4 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+25
71.2%
C.Joseph rushed for 25 yards. C.Joseph ran out of bounds.Similar
Q4 4:38
1ST & 10
OPP 0
+3
78.5%
A.Young rushed for 3 yards. Tackled by S.Parker; K.Haynes at TXST 47.Similar
Q4 3:55
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+8
81.3%
C.Joseph pass complete. Catch made by I.Paige for 8 yards. Tackled by J.Polk at TXST 39.Similar
Q4 3:12
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-3
83.9%
A.Young rushed for -3 yards. Tackled by J.Neal; T.Webb at TXST 42.Similar
Q4 2:31
2ND & 13
OPP 42
+8
86.0%
C.Joseph scrambles for 8 yards. Tackled by K.Culp; J.Eaton at TXST 34.Similar
Q4 2:18
3RD & 5
OPP 34
+3
86.9%
A.Young rushed for 3 yards. Tackled by R.Nolan; J.Neal at TXST 31.Similar
Q4 2:00
4TH & 2
OPP 31
+3
86.6%
A.Young rushed for 3 yards. Tackled by S.Parker at TXST 28.Similar
Q4 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+28
95.6%
C.Joseph rushed for 28 yards. TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 22INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q4 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
93.8%
J.McCloud pass INTERCEPTED at ODU 26. Intercepted by A.Rankin at ODU 26. Tackled by TXST at ODU 26.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 5:23
J.McCloud pass complete. Catch made by B.Sparks for 24 yards. TOUCHDOWN.
-27.4
TD · Q3 7:43
J.McCloud scrambles for 7 yards. TOUCHDOWN.
-14.8
KEY PLAY · Q4 5:16
C.Joseph rushed for 25 yards. C.Joseph ran out of bounds.
+10.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com