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ODU

Old Dominion 30 at Bowling Green 27

BGSU
2024 · Week 5 · Sep 28, 2024 · Doyt L. Perry Stadium
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Win probability · BGSU
modelBGSU aheadODU aheadconfidence bandkey playBGSU scoreODU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 6:59 · John Henderson punt for 49 yds , Diante Vines returns for 2 yds to the ODU 33
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+35.0+17.50−17.5−35.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 111Pregame prior+11.8Home team on offense+4.5Garbage-time factor+2.5Score differential+0.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:22: Jaison Patterson run for 17 yds for a TD (Jackson Kleather KICK) — BGSU win probability +6.8 pts (now 76%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 11:34: Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 59 yds for a TD (Jackson Kleather KICK) — BGSU win probability +9.7 pts (now 75%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 11:57: Colton Joseph run for 14 yds for a TD (Ethan Sanchez PAT MISSED) — ODU win probability +23.3 pts (now 58%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 3:01: Terion Stewart run for 13 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed) — BGSU win probability +36.4 pts (now 89%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:24: Aaron Young run for 4 yds for a TD (Ethan Sanchez KICK) — ODU win probability +64.8 pts (now 95%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BGSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7ODU made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 7:37BGSU 4th & 4 at ODU 43, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 74.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    74.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    73.9%−0.4
    28% to make
    Punt
    74.0%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:37BGSU 4th & 4 at ODU 43, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 74.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    74.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    73.9%−0.4
    28% to make
    Punt
    74.0%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:50ODU 4th & 8 at ODU 45, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.4%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.6%
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:39BGSU 4th & 1 at ODU 48, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 67.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    67.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    65.7%−1.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:33ODU 4th & 6 at BGSU 36, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 29.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    29.7%−0.3
    42% to make
    Punt
    29.5%−0.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:00ODU 4th & 8 at BGSU 41, up 3
    Numbers favored punt by 1.1 ptsKicked a field goal · 38.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.2%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    37.2%−1.1
    32% to make
    Punt
    38.2%
    average punt
  7. Q3 13:47BGSU 4th & 8 at BGSU 27, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.1%−1.6
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.7%
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:30ODU 4th & 11 at ODU 28, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.4%−2.4
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.8%
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:33ODU 4th & 18 at ODU 17, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.3%−2.5
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.8%
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:59BGSU 4th & 16 at BGSU 20, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.7%−3.1
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.9%
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:12ODU 4th & 13 at BGSU 33, down 4
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.1 ptsPunted · 26.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.6%−1.4
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    26.0%
    49% to make
    PuntTheir call
    24.8%−1.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:48BGSU 4th & 5 at BGSU 45, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.2%−0.5
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.7%
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:05ODU 4th & 10 at ODU 7, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.2%−2.3
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.6%
    average punt
  14. Q4 8:59BGSU 4th & 5 at ODU 40, down 2
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.1 ptsPunted · 56.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.7%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    51.5%−2.2
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    50.7%−3.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 8:07ODU 4th & 6 at ODU 5, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.3%−4.7
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 8:07ODU 4th & 6 at ODU 5, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.3%−4.7
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.1%
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:42ODU 4th & 6 at ODU 40, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 21.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    10.8%−5.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BGSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4ODU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 11:57ODU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    23.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    23.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:31BGSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:20ODU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 10:22BGSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 11:34BGSU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 11:57ODU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    50.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.6%−0.3
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 3:01BGSU Touchdown, up 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    78.5%−0.3
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    78.8%
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 0:24ODU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.4%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.6%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ODUDrive 1TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:4820% → 22%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
80.0%
Bryce Duke run for 2 yds to the ODU 27Similar
Q1 14:24
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
79.9%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Demariyon Houston for 4 yds to the ODU 31Similar
Q1 13:54
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+30
79.8%
Grant Wilson run for 30 yds to the BGSU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:31
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
79.6%
Grant Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:22
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+17
79.5%
Aaron Young run for 17 yds to the BGSU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:41
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+3
79.3%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Aaron Young for 3 yds to the BGSU 19Similar
Q1 12:18
2ND & 7
OPP 19
+10
79.1%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Isiah Paige for 10 yds to the BGSU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
78.3%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Pat Conroy for 9 yds for a TD (Ethan Sanchez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 2DOWNS
11 plays · 21 yds · 4:0879% → 76%
Q1 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
78.5%
Terion Stewart run for 4 yds to the BGSU 40Similar
Q1 11:14
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+3
78.4%
Terion Stewart run for 3 yds to the BGSU 43Similar
Q1 10:24
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+8
77.9%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Jamal Johnson for 8 yds to the ODU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:41
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-1
77.8%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 9:18
2ND & 11
50
-5
77.4%
PENALTY BGSU Illegal Snap (Padgett,Alex) 5 yards from BGSU50 to BGSU45. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:02
2ND & 16
OWN 45
+5
77.0%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Jamal Johnson for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 8:12
3RD & 11
50
+7
76.5%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Malcolm Johnson Jr. for 7 yds to the ODU 43Similar
Q1 7:37
4TH & 4
OPP 43
0
76.1%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:37
4TH & 4
OPP 43
0
76.1%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:4125% → 26%
Q1 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
75.1%
Bryce Duke run for 3 yds to the ODU 46Similar
Q1 7:05
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+3
74.8%
Bryce Duke run for 3 yds to the ODU 49Similar
Q1 6:30
3RD & 4
OWN 49
-4
74.4%
Grant Wilson sacked for a loss of 4 yards to the ODU 45Similar
Q1 5:50
4TH & 8
OWN 45
0
74.5%
Seamus Hall punt for 31 yds , Justin Pegues returns for no gain to the BGSU 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 4TD
13 plays · 76 yds · 5:1274% → 77%
Q1 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
74.4%
Terion Stewart run for 2 yds to the BGSU 26Similar
Q1 5:10
2ND & 8
OWN 26
+6
74.2%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Jamal Johnson for 6 yds to the BGSU 32Similar
Q1 4:40
3RD & 2
OWN 32
+4
73.9%
Terion Stewart run for 4 yds to the BGSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
73.6%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:52
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+1
73.4%
Terion Stewart run for 1 yd to the BGSU 37Similar
Q1 2:56
3RD & 9
OWN 37
+17
72.5%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Levi Gazarek for 17 yds to the ODU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:27
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+10
73.3%
(02:31) PENALTY ODU Holding (Rankin Jr.,Angelo) 10 yards from ODU46 to ODU36, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:22
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-10
73.3%
(02:25) No Huddle Stewart,Terion rush right for 1 yard gain to the ODU35 (Culbreath,Jahleel) PENALTY BGSU Holding (Fatukasi,Tunde) 10 yards from ODU36 to ODU46. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:55
1ST & 20
OPP 46
+30
72.5%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 30 yds to the ODU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:23
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
73.2%
Terion Stewart run for 2 yds to the ODU 18Similar
Q1 0:36
2ND & 12
OPP 18
0
72.7%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:31
3RD & 12
OPP 18
+18
76.8%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 18 yds for a TD (Jackson Kleather KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 5TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0030% → 30%
Q1 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
70.1%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Pat Conroy for 75 yds for a TD (Ethan Sanchez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 6TD
11 plays · 81 yds · 4:3870% → 76%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
70.4%
Terion Stewart run for 3 yds to the BGSU 16Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 13
OWN 16
+10
70.1%
(14:59) No Huddle-Shotgun Bazelak,Connor pass incomplete short middle to Hawkins,Anthony thrown to BGSU19 broken up by Reason,Rasheed PENALTY ODU Holding (Naotala,Koa) 10 yards from BGSU16 to BGSU26, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
70.4%
Jaison Patterson run for 4 yds to the BGSU 30Similar
Q2 14:09
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+13
69.9%
Jaison Patterson run for 13 yds to the BGSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
70.4%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 6 yds to the BGSU 49Similar
Q2 12:52
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+3
70.4%
Terion Stewart run for 3 yds to the ODU 48Similar
Q2 12:06
3RD & 1
OPP 48
0
69.9%
Terion Stewart run for no gain to the ODU 48Similar
Q2 11:39
4TH & 1
OPP 48
+3
68.9%
Jaison Patterson run for 3 yds to the ODU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:58
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+28
69.4%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Rahkeem Smith for 28 yds to the ODU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:22
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
76.2%
Jaison Patterson run for 17 yds for a TD (Jackson Kleather KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 7FG
10 plays · 39 yds · 1:3627% → 31%
Q2 10:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
72.9%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Isiah Paige for 17 yds to the ODU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
71.3%
Devin Roche run for 3 yds to the ODU 45Similar
Q2 9:36
2ND & 7
OWN 45
0
70.9%
Grant Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:32
3RD & 7
OWN 45
+15
71.4%
(09:34) No Huddle-Shotgun Wilson,Grant pass incomplete short left to Paige,Isiah thrown to BGSU40 PENALTY BGSU Pass Interference (Oladokun,Jordan) 15 yards from ODU45 to BGSU40, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
70.4%
Grant Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:16
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+4
70.4%
Demariyon Houston run for 4 yds to the BGSU 36Similar
Q2 8:38
3RD & 6
OPP 36
0
70.3%
Grant Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:33
4TH & 6
OPP 36
+53
69.2%
Ethan Sanchez 53 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 8MISSED FG
16 plays · 46 yds · 6:2770% → 64%
Q2 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
70.0%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:16
2ND & 10
OWN 21
0
69.8%
Terion Stewart run for no gain to the BGSU 21Similar
Q2 7:19
3RD & 10
OWN 21
+13
67.4%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Jaison Patterson for 13 yds to the BGSU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
68.5%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 2 yds to the BGSU 36Similar
Q2 6:29
2ND & 8
OWN 36
0
68.8%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:15
3RD & 8
OWN 36
+43
67.7%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 43 yds to the ODU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:41
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
71.2%
Jaison Patterson run for 1 yd to the ODU 22Similar
Q2 5:07
2ND & 11
OPP 22
+5
70.8%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Finn Hogan for 5 yds to the ODU 17Similar
Q2 4:22
3RD & 6
OPP 17
+7
69.5%
Connor Bazelak run for 7 yds to the ODU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
70.2%
Terion Stewart run for no gain to the ODU 10 Terion Stewart fumbled, recovered by ODU Terion StewartSimilar
Q2 3:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
-15
70.1%
(03:08) No Huddle-Shotgun Bazelak,Connor pass complete short left to Fannin Jr.,Harold caught at ODU00, for 10 yards to the ODU00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 03:07 PENALTY BGSU Pass Interference (Johnson,Jamal) 15 yards from ODU10 to ODU25. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 25
-5
68.6%
PENALTY BGSU False Start (Fatukasi,Tunde) 5 yards from ODU25 to ODU30. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 30
0
68.3%
Jamal Johnson run for no gain to the ODU 30Similar
Q2 2:16
3RD & GOAL
OPP 30
-3
66.2%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for a loss of 3 yards to the ODU 33Similar
Q2 1:55
4TH & GOAL
OPP 33
+51
63.9%
Jackson Kleather 51 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 9MISSED FG
12 plays · 26 yds · 1:4837% → 39%
Q2 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+8
63.1%
Aaron Young run for 8 yds to the ODU 41Similar
Q2 1:33
2ND & 2
OWN 41
0
61.4%
Aaron Young run for no gain to the ODU 41Similar
Q2 1:09
3RD & 2
OWN 41
+3
61.4%
Grant Wilson run for 3 yds to the ODU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
60.9%
Grant Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:55
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+1
61.3%
Aaron Young run for 1 yd to the ODU 45Similar
Q2 0:18
3RD & 9
OWN 45
+12
61.3%
Aaron Young run for 12 yds to the BGSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:13
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
59.0%
Grant Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:09
2ND & 10
OPP 43
0
59.4%
Grant Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:02
3RD & 10
OPP 43
+2
59.8%
Bryce Duke run for 2 yds to the BGSU 41Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 8
OPP 41
+58
61.4%
Ethan Sanchez 58 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 1:0665% → 62%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
65.2%
Terion Stewart run for 7 yds to the BGSU 32Similar
Q3 14:21
2ND & 3
OWN 32
-5
66.4%
PENALTY BGSU Illegal Substitution (Tillman,Jaylon) 5 yards from BGSU32 to BGSU27. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:06
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
64.4%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:58
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
62.7%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:47
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+10
62.0%
John Henderson punt for 54 yds , Isiah Paige returns for 10 yds to the ODU 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:0538% → 36%
Q3 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
62.2%
Grant Wilson run for 3 yds to the ODU 32Similar
Q3 13:13
2ND & 7
OWN 32
0
61.5%
Grant Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:03
3RD & 7
OWN 32
-4
62.8%
Grant Wilson sacked by Ali Saad for a loss of 4 yards to the ODU 28Similar
Q3 12:30
4TH & 11
OWN 28
+7
64.4%
Seamus Hall punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BGSU 41 , Justin Pegues returns for 7 yds to the BGSU 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 12TD
3 plays · 59 yds · 0:5066% → 75%
Q3 12:24
1ST & 8
OWN 41
0
65.8%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Levi Gazarek for no gain to the BGSU 41Similar
Q3 12:16
1ST & 8
OWN 41
0
65.7%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Levi Gazarek for no gain to the BGSU 41Similar
Q3 11:34
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+59
75.4%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 59 yds for a TD (Jackson Kleather KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 1:4426% → 23%
Q3 11:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-6
73.7%
Colton Joseph pass complete to Demariyon Houston for a loss of 6 yards to the ODU 19Similar
Q3 10:13
2ND & 16
OWN 19
-3
75.4%
Colton Joseph sacked by Joseph Sipp Jr. for a loss of 3 yards to the ODU 16Similar
Q3 9:33
3RD & 19
OWN 16
+1
76.4%
Colton Joseph pass complete to Demariyon Houston for 1 yd to the ODU 17Similar
Q3 9:33
4TH & 18
OWN 17
0
77.0%
Seamus Hall punt for 57 yds , Justin Pegues returns for no gain to the BGSU 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 2:0776% → 74%
Q3 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
76.2%
Jaison Patterson run for 2 yds to the BGSU 28Similar
Q3 8:48
2ND & 8
OWN 28
0
76.1%
Rahkeem Smith run for no gain to the BGSU 28Similar
Q3 7:29
3RD & 8
OWN 28
+13
74.8%
Connor Bazelak run for 13 yds to the BGSU 15 Connor Bazelak fumbled, recovered by ODU Alex WollschlaegerSimilar
Q3 7:09
4TH & 21
OWN 15
+5
73.8%
(07:23) Henderson,John punt 45 yards to the ODU40 Paige,Isiah return 12 yards to the BGSU48 (Rosser,Charles; McGary,Avi) PENALTY ODU Running Into The Kicker (Reason,Rasheed) 5 yards from BGSU15 to BGSU20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:59
4TH & 16
OWN 20
+2
73.8%
John Henderson punt for 49 yds , Diante Vines returns for 2 yds to the ODU 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 15PUNT
10 plays · 34 yds · 3:4026% → 25%
Q3 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
73.7%
Devin Roche run for no gain to the ODU 33Similar
Q3 6:18
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+1
74.0%
Devin Roche run for 1 yd to the ODU 34Similar
Q3 5:48
3RD & 9
OWN 34
+11
75.1%
Colton Joseph pass complete to Isiah Paige for 11 yds to the ODU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
71.8%
Colton Joseph pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:13
2ND & 10
OWN 45
-1
72.7%
Colton Joseph pass complete to Diante Vines for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 44Similar
Q3 4:32
3RD & 11
OWN 44
+26
73.5%
Colton Joseph run for 26 yds to the BGSU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:13
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
68.5%
Aaron Young run for no gain to the BGSU 30Similar
Q3 3:46
2ND & 10
OPP 30
-3
68.5%
Colton Joseph sacked by Anthony Hawkins for a loss of 3 yards to the BGSU 33Similar
Q3 3:21
3RD & 13
OPP 33
0
72.0%
Colton Joseph pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:12
4TH & 13
OPP 33
0
74.8%
Seamus Hall punt for 17 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BGSU 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 29 yds · 3:1276% → 75%
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+13
75.7%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Malcolm Johnson Jr. for 13 yds to the BGSU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+11
76.0%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 11 yds to the BGSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
77.6%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 7 yds to the BGSU 47Similar
Q3 1:12
2ND & 3
OWN 47
-8
78.2%
Connor Bazelak sacked by Koa Naotala for a loss of 8 yards to the BGSU 39Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 11
OWN 39
+6
74.8%
Jaison Patterson run for 6 yds to the BGSU 45Similar
Q4 14:48
4TH & 5
OWN 45
0
74.7%
John Henderson punt for 48 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:3326% → 24%
Q4 14:38
1ST & 10
OWN 7
0
73.8%
Bryce Duke run for no gain to the ODU 7Similar
Q4 14:05
2ND & 10
OWN 7
-3
74.0%
(14:06) No Huddle-Shotgun Joseph,Colton rush right for 5 yards gain to the ODU12 (McGary,Avi), out of bounds PENALTY ODU Holding (Flores,Michael) 3 yards from ODU07 to ODU04. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:37
2ND & 13
OWN 4
+3
74.0%
Colton Joseph run for 3 yds to the ODU 7Similar
Q4 13:13
3RD & 10
OWN 7
0
75.2%
Colton Joseph pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:05
4TH & 10
OWN 7
0
76.1%
Seamus Hall punt for 39 yds , Justin Pegues returns for no gain to the ODU 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 18INT
2 plays · -10 yds · 0:1979% → 76%
Q4 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-10
78.6%
(13:01) No Huddle-Shotgun Bazelak,Connor rush middle for 1 yard gain to the ODU45 (Culbreath,Jahleel), out of bounds PENALTY BGSU Holding (Pabst,Nate) 10 yards from ODU46 to BGSU44. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:39
1ST & 20
OWN 44
0
76.2%
Connor Bazelak pass intercepted Jahron Manning return for no gain to the BGSU 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 19TD
2 plays · 20 yds · 0:3534% → 58%
Q4 12:32
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+6
65.8%
Aaron Young run for 6 yds to the BGSU 14Similar
Q4 11:57
2ND & 4
OPP 14
+14
42.4%
Colton Joseph run for 14 yds for a TD (Ethan Sanchez PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 20PUNT
9 plays · 35 yds · 2:5055% → 56%
Q4 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
54.8%
Terion Stewart run for 9 yds to the BGSU 34Similar
Q4 11:10
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+4
58.2%
Terion Stewart run for 4 yds to the BGSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+17
56.4%
Terion Stewart run for 17 yds to the ODU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:23
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
60.0%
Terion Stewart run for no gain to the ODU 45Similar
Q4 9:37
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+5
60.4%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Justin Pegues for 5 yds to the ODU 40Similar
Q4 9:10
3RD & 5
OPP 40
0
59.1%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:59
4TH & 5
OPP 40
0
56.0%
John Henderson punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:4754% → 51%
Q4 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
45.9%
Old Dominion Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (Diante Vines) declinedSimilar
Q4 8:48
2ND & 10
OWN 1
+4
46.2%
Bryce Duke run for 4 yds to the ODU 5Similar
Q4 8:17
3RD & 6
OWN 5
0
47.5%
Colton Joseph pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:07
4TH & 6
OWN 5
+6
49.0%
Seamus Hall punt for 45 yds , Justin Pegues returns for 6 yds to the ODU 44Similar
Q4 8:07
4TH & 6
OWN 5
+6
49.0%
Seamus Hall punt for 45 yds , Justin Pegues returns for 6 yds to the ODU 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 22TD
10 plays · 44 yds · 4:5959% → 89%
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
58.9%
Terion Stewart run for no gain to the ODU 44Similar
Q4 7:27
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+5
58.3%
PENALTY ODU Delay Of Game (Smith-Young,Patrick) 5 yards from ODU44 to ODU39. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:53
2ND & 5
OPP 39
0
57.1%
Terion Stewart run for no gain to the ODU 39Similar
Q4 6:12
3RD & 5
OPP 39
+6
55.5%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 6 yds to the ODU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:37
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
57.1%
Jaison Patterson run for 1 yd to the ODU 34Similar
Q4 4:45
2ND & 11
OPP 34
0
55.4%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Justin Pegues for no gain to the ODU 34Similar
Q4 4:20
3RD & 11
OPP 34
+1
48.4%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Rahkeem Smith for 1 yd to the ODU 33Similar
Q4 3:51
4TH & 10
OPP 33
+15
42.8%
(03:50) Kleather,Jackson field goal attempt from 51 yards NO GOOD (H: Kenner,Travis, LS: Carlson,George), clock 03:51 PENALTY ODU Personal Foul (Rankin Jr.,Angelo) 15 yards from ODU33 to ODU18, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:43
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+5
52.5%
Terion Stewart run for 5 yds to the ODU 13Similar
Q4 3:01
2ND & 5
OPP 13
+13
88.9%
Terion Stewart run for 13 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 23TD
16 plays · 79 yds · 2:1925% → 95%
Q4 2:43
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+15
75.5%
Aaron Young run for 15 yds to the ODU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
74.6%
Aaron Young run for 4 yds to the ODU 40Similar
Q4 1:57
2ND & 6
OWN 40
0
71.8%
Colton Joseph run for no gain to the ODU 40Similar
Q4 1:50
3RD & 6
OWN 40
0
73.3%
Colton Joseph pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:42
4TH & 6
OWN 40
+15
76.3%
Colton Joseph pass complete to Pat Conroy for 15 yds to the BGSU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
72.7%
Aaron Young run for 4 yds to the BGSU 41Similar
Q4 1:19
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+3
72.4%
Colton Joseph run for 3 yds to the BGSU 38Similar
Q4 1:02
3RD & 3
OPP 38
+3
73.1%
Aaron Young run for 3 yds to the BGSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
70.2%
Colton Joseph run for 4 yds to the BGSU 31Similar
Q4 0:45
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+6
68.5%
Colton Joseph pass complete to Diante Vines for 6 yds to the BGSU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:41
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
67.4%
Colton Joseph pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:31
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+21
69.8%
Colton Joseph run for 21 yds to the BGSU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
5.0%
Aaron Young run for 4 yds for a TD (Ethan Sanchez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 24END OF GAME
5 plays · 17 yds · 0:1117% → 16%
Q4 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+8
16.8%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Finn Hogan for 8 yds to the BGSU 31Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 2
OWN 31
+9
15.9%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Malcolm Johnson Jr. for 9 yds to the BGSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
16.3%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for no gain to the BGSU 40 Bowling Green Penalty, (Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:24
Aaron Young run for 4 yds for a TD (Ethan Sanchez KICK)
-64.8
TD · Q4 3:01
Terion Stewart run for 13 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)
+36.4
TD · Q4 11:57
Colton Joseph run for 14 yds for a TD (Ethan Sanchez PAT MISSED)
-23.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com