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GASO

Georgia Southern 38 at Georgia State 21

GAST
2024 · Week 5 · Sep 28, 2024 · Center Parc Stadium
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Win probability · GAST
modelGAST aheadGASO aheadconfidence bandkey playGAST scoreGASO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · [NH] Kneel down by GS at GS12 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+50.5+25.30−25.3−50.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 2:54: OJ Arnold run for 32 yds for a TD (Gavin Stewart KICK) — GASO win probability +5.0 pts (now 50%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 4:39: OJ Arnold run for 1 yd for a TD (Gavin Stewart KICK) — GASO win probability +17.2 pts (now 73%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 11:40: Freddie Brock run for 1 yd for a TD (Liam Rickman KICK) — GAST win probability +11.8 pts (now 39%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 9:22: Christian Veilleux pass complete to Dorian Fleming for 58 yds for a TD (Liam Rickman KICK) — GAST win probability +17.4 pts (now 53%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  5. TD · Q3 5:51: JC French pass incomplete — GASO win probability +15.9 pts (now 73%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
GAST made the numbers' call on 8 of 8GASO made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 13:10GASO 4th & 1 at GASO 34, tied
    Close callPunted · 39.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.2%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:02GAST 4th & 6 at GAST 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.5%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:37GAST 4th & 4 at GAST 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.7%−0.4
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.1%
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:54GASO 4th & 10 at GAST 35, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 46.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.7%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.8%
    45% to make
    Punt
    46.4%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:10GAST 4th & 16 at GASO 46, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.2%−1.0
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    47.3%−0.9
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    48.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:12GAST 4th & 10 at GAST 25, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.6%−1.4
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:54GASO 4th & 2 at GAST 41, up 17
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.1 ptsPunted · 74.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    73.6%−1.3
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    72.8%−2.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:30GAST 4th & 7 at GAST 31, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.7%−1.6
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.2%
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:30GASO 4th & 3 at GASO 32, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.1%−0.5
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:53GASO 4th & 11 at GASO 21, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.6%−4.2
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.8%
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:49GAST 4th & 14 at GAST 28, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.8%−4.0
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.9%
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:51GAST 4th & 5 at GASO 24, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 52.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.4%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    51.7%
    68% to make
    Punt
    41.3%−10.4
    average punt
  13. Q3 0:12GAST 4th & 4 at GASO 45, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 15.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    13.1%−3.0
    25% to make
    Punt
    14.9%−1.3
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:42GASO 4th & 9 at GASO 46, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.4%−0.9
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.3%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
GAST made the numbers' call on 3 of 3GASO made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 6:21GASO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:34GAST Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 2:54GASO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 4:39GASO Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 11:40GAST Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 9:22GAST Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
GASODrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:5043% → 43%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
56.8%
Jalen White run for 6 yds to the GASO 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
56.8%
JC French run for 3 yds to the GASO 34Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
56.8%
JC French run for no gain to the GASO 34Similar
Q1 13:10
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+2
56.9%
Alex Smith punt for 51 yds , Tailique Williams returns for 2 yds to the GAST 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:0857% → 57%
Q1 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-1
56.9%
Freddie Brock run for a loss of 1 yard to the GAST 16Similar
Q1 13:10
2ND & 11
OWN 16
+5
56.9%
Freddie Brock run for 5 yds to the GAST 21Similar
Q1 13:10
3RD & 6
OWN 21
0
56.8%
Christian Veilleux pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:02
4TH & 6
OWN 21
+41
56.8%
James Allen punt for 41 yds , LV Bunkley-Shelton returns for no gain to the GASO 39 , returns for 1 yd to the GASO 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 3TD
12 plays · 61 yds · 5:4143% → 48%
Q1 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
56.8%
Jalen White run for 2 yds to the GASO 41Similar
Q1 12:02
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+4
56.7%
Jalen White run for 4 yds to the GASO 45Similar
Q1 12:02
3RD & 4
OWN 45
+5
56.7%
JC French pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:02
1ST & 10
50
0
56.6%
JC French pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:02
2ND & 10
50
+7
56.7%
OJ Arnold run for 7 yds to the GAST 43Similar
Q1 12:02
3RD & 3
OPP 43
+7
56.7%
JC French pass complete to Josh Dallas for 7 yds to the GAST 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:02
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+19
56.6%
JC French pass complete to Tyler Fromm for 19 yds to the GAST 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
56.1%
Jalen White run for 1 yd to the GAST 1Similar
Q1 7:51
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+15
56.0%
JC French pass complete to LV Bunkley-Shelton for 15 yds to the GAST 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
55.9%
Jalen White run for no gain to the GAST 1Similar
Q1 6:21
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
52.4%
Josh Dallas 1 Yd pass from JC French (Gavin Stewart Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 4TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:4753% → 57%
Q1 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
53.3%
Jordan Ford run for a loss of 1 yard to the GAST 24 Jordan Ford fumbled, recovered by GAST Ben Chukwuma B. Chukwuma return for 0 ydsSimilar
Q1 5:34
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+76
56.9%
Christian Veilleux pass complete to Ted Hurst for 76 yds for a TD (Liam Rickman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 5TD
7 plays · 82 yds · 2:4043% → 50%
Q1 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-2
56.9%
JC French pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for a loss of 2 yards to the GASO 16Similar
Q1 5:34
2ND & 12
OWN 16
+18
57.1%
JC French run for 18 yds to the GASO 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+15
56.6%
Georgia State Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Dorian Royal) to the GAST 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:34
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
55.9%
JC French pass complete to Joshua Thompson for 3 yds to the GAST 41Similar
Q1 5:34
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+9
55.9%
JC French pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 9 yds to the GAST 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:34
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
55.5%
JC French pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:54
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+32
50.5%
OJ Arnold run for 32 yds for a TD (Gavin Stewart KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:1752% → 51%
Q1 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
52.0%
Michel Dukes run for 2 yds to the GAST 27Similar
Q1 2:54
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
52.1%
Christian Veilleux pass complete to Michel Dukes for 4 yds to the GAST 31Similar
Q1 2:54
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
51.9%
Christian Veilleux pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:37
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
50.7%
James Allen punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Josh Dallas at the GASO 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 7FG
10 plays · 45 yds · 2:4349% → 51%
Q1 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
51.1%
Jalen White run for 12 yds to the GASO 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
50.4%
Jalen White run for 5 yds to the GASO 37Similar
Q1 1:37
2ND & 5
OWN 37
0
50.1%
JC French pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:37
3RD & 5
OWN 37
+8
50.4%
JC French pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 8 yds to the GASO 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
49.8%
JC French pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+20
49.2%
JC French pass complete to Josh Dallas for 20 yds to the GAST 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
48.5%
JC French pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 35
0
48.6%
JC French pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 35
0
48.9%
JC French pass complete to LV Bunkley-Shelton for no gain to the GAST 35Similar
Q2 13:54
4TH & 10
OPP 35
+53
48.6%
Gavin Stewart 53 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 8PUNT
10 plays · 29 yds · 3:4447% → 45%
Q2 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
47.4%
Christian Veilleux pass complete to Tailique Williams for 14 yds to the GAST 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
48.2%
Freddie Brock run for 2 yds to the GAST 41Similar
Q2 12:36
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+9
46.8%
Christian Veilleux pass complete to Ted Hurst for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:36
1ST & 10
50
0
47.4%
Christian Veilleux pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:36
2ND & 10
50
+10
47.1%
Christian Veilleux pass complete to Tailique Williams for 10 yds to the GASO 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:36
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-13
47.6%
Christian Veilleux sacked by Kristian Varner for a loss of 13 yards to the GAST 47Similar
Q2 12:36
2ND & 23
OWN 47
0
46.6%
Christian Veilleux pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:36
3RD & 23
OWN 47
+7
46.1%
Christian Veilleux pass complete to Jordan Ford for 7 yds to the GASO 46Similar
Q2 10:10
4TH & 16
OPP 46
0
44.5%
James Allen punt for 44 yds, downed at the GASO 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 9TD
12 plays · 98 yds · 5:3153% → 73%
Q2 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+10
46.7%
OJ Arnold run for 10 yds to the GASO 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+13
46.4%
JC French pass complete to LV Bunkley-Shelton for 13 yds to the GASO 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
46.1%
JC French pass complete to Beau Johnson for 16 yds to the GASO 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
44.9%
JC French pass complete to Beau Johnson for 5 yds to the GASO 46Similar
Q2 10:10
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+7
44.9%
OJ Arnold run for 7 yds to the GAST 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:10
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
44.7%
JC French pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:10
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
44.8%
Jalen White run for no gain to the GAST 47Similar
Q2 10:10
3RD & 10
OPP 47
+21
45.2%
JC French pass complete to Josh Dallas for 21 yds to the GAST 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:10
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
44.3%
JC French pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:10
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+15
44.5%
JC French pass complete to Dalen Cobb for 15 yds to the GAST 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:10
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+10
44.3%
JC French run for 10 yds to the GAST 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
27.1%
OJ Arnold run for 1 yd for a TD (Gavin Stewart KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:2732% → 31%
Q2 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
32.0%
Christian Veilleux pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:39
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
31.8%
Christian Veilleux pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:39
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
31.6%
Christian Veilleux pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:12
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+11
31.1%
James Allen punt for 53 yds , LV Bunkley-Shelton returns for 11 yds to the GASO 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 26 yds · 3:1872% → 77%
Q2 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+8
28.4%
David Mbadinga run for 8 yds to the GASO 41Similar
Q2 4:12
2ND & 2
OWN 41
+1
27.6%
David Mbadinga run for 1 yd to the GASO 42Similar
Q2 4:12
3RD & 1
OWN 42
+9
27.9%
JC French pass complete to Josh Dallas for 9 yds to the GAST 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:12
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+8
27.1%
JC French pass complete to Josh Dallas for 8 yds to the GAST 41Similar
Q2 4:12
2ND & 2
OPP 41
+1
26.8%
JC French pass complete to Beau Johnson for 1 yd to the GAST 40Similar
Q2 4:12
3RD & 1
OPP 40
-10
27.0%
FRENCH, JC pass to the right complete for 5 yards to ARNOLD, OJ caught at the GSU41 and advanced to the GSU35, out of bounds. PENALTY GS Holding on BURGESS JR., Derwin enforced 10 yards from the GSU40 to the GS50 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 4:12
3RD & 11
50
+9
27.6%
JC French run for 9 yds to the GAST 41Similar
Q2 0:54
4TH & 2
OPP 41
0
23.1%
Alex Smith punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Jyron Gilmore at the GAST 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 12INT
6 plays · 45 yds · 0:4527% → 38%
Q2 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+9
27.3%
Freddie Brock run for 9 yds to the GAST 15Similar
Q2 0:54
2ND & 1
OWN 15
+5
28.0%
Christian Veilleux pass complete to DJ Riles for 5 yds to the GAST 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
35.5%
Christian Veilleux pass complete to Michel Dukes for 7 yds to the GAST 27Similar
Q2 0:29
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+24
32.0%
Christian Veilleux pass complete to Petey Tucker for 24 yds to the GASO 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:09
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-6
37.6%
Christian Veilleux pass intercepted Marc Stampley II return for 6 yds to the GASO 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · 2 yds · 0:0077% → 77%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
22.9%
David Mbadinga run for 2 yds to the GASO 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 2:3027% → 24%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
27.1%
Christian Veilleux pass complete to Michel Dukes for 4 yds to the GAST 20Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 20
+5
27.1%
Georgia Southern Penalty, Offsides (Latrell Bullard) to the GAST 25Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 25
0
28.0%
Christian Veilleux pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 25
+3
27.4%
Freddie Brock run for 3 yds to the GAST 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
27.4%
Christian Veilleux pass complete to Dorian Fleming for no gain to the GAST 28Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+3
27.1%
Christian Veilleux pass complete to Sy'veon Wilkerson for 3 yds to the GAST 31Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 31
0
27.3%
Christian Veilleux pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:30
4TH & 7
OWN 31
0
24.3%
James Allen punt for 55 yds, fair catch by Josh Dallas at the GASO 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 15FUMBLE
1 play · -8 yds · 0:0076% → 76%
Q3 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-8
23.6%
JC French sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the GASO 6 JC French fumbled, recovered by GAST Henry Bryant , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 16TD
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:4528% → 39%
Q3 12:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
27.5%
Freddie Brock run for 5 yds to the GASO 1Similar
Q3 11:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
39.3%
Freddie Brock run for 1 yd for a TD (Liam Rickman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:1065% → 64%
Q3 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
35.3%
JC French pass complete to Josh Dallas for 2 yds to the GASO 27Similar
Q3 11:40
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
35.1%
JC French pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:40
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+5
36.2%
JC French pass complete to Jalen White for 5 yds to the GASO 32Similar
Q3 10:30
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
36.0%
Alex Smith punt for 41 yds, fair catch by DJ Riles at the GAST 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 18TD
3 plays · 73 yds · 1:0835% → 53%
Q3 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
34.6%
Freddie Brock run for 7 yds to the GAST 34Similar
Q3 10:30
2ND & 3
OWN 34
+8
35.5%
Christian Veilleux pass complete to Freddie Brock for 8 yds to the GAST 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+58
52.9%
Christian Veilleux pass complete to Dorian Fleming for 58 yds for a TD (Liam Rickman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 19PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:2952% → 50%
Q3 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
47.6%
OJ Arnold run for 5 yds to the GASO 27Similar
Q3 9:22
2ND & 5
OWN 27
0
46.8%
JC French pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:22
3RD & 5
OWN 27
-6
48.3%
JC French sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the GASO 21 JC French fumbled, recovered by GASO Pichon Wimbley , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 7:53
4TH & 11
OWN 21
0
50.3%
Alex Smith punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Henry Bryant at the GAST 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:0450% → 46%
Q3 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
49.9%
Christian Veilleux pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:53
2ND & 10
OWN 32
-10
49.6%
VEILLEUX, Christian pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for HURST, Ted thrown to the GS38. PENALTY GSU Holding on JOHNSON, Alec enforced 10 yards from the GSU32 to the GSU22 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 7:53
2ND & 20
OWN 22
0
48.9%
Christian Veilleux pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:53
3RD & 20
OWN 22
+6
47.3%
Christian Veilleux pass complete to Jordan Ford for 6 yds to the GAST 28Similar
Q3 6:49
4TH & 14
OWN 28
+43
46.3%
James Allen punt for 43 yds , LV Bunkley-Shelton returns for no gain to the GASO 29 , returns for no gain to the GASO 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 21MISSED FG
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:5855% → 51%
Q3 6:49
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
55.4%
Christian Veilleux pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:49
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+5
55.3%
Sy'veon Wilkerson run for 5 yds to the GASO 24Similar
Q3 6:49
3RD & 5
OPP 24
0
53.5%
Christian Veilleux pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:51
4TH & 5
OPP 24
+41
51.0%
Liam Rickman 41 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 22TD
7 plays · 76 yds · 0:0053% → 73%
Q3 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
46.7%
Jalen White run for 3 yds to the GASO 27Similar
Q3 5:51
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+14
46.3%
Jalen White run for 14 yds to the GASO 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
44.0%
Jalen White run for 3 yds to the GASO 44Similar
Q3 5:51
2ND & 7
OWN 44
0
44.0%
JC French pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:51
3RD & 7
OWN 44
+12
44.6%
JC French pass complete to Josh Dallas for 12 yds to the GAST 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:51
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+36
43.3%
JC French pass complete to Joshua Thompson for 36 yds to the GAST 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
27.4%
JC French pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 23DOWNS
8 plays · 30 yds · 2:2116% → 15%
Q3 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
16.2%
Christian Veilleux pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:33
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
16.0%
Freddie Brock run for 2 yds to the GAST 27Similar
Q3 2:33
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+22
15.9%
Christian Veilleux pass complete to Ted Hurst for 22 yds to the GAST 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
18.0%
Christian Veilleux pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:03
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+6
16.3%
Christian Veilleux pass complete to Michel Dukes for 6 yds to the GASO 45Similar
Q3 1:03
3RD & 4
OPP 45
0
16.8%
Michel Dukes run for no gain to the GASO 45Similar
Q3 0:12
4TH & 4
OPP 45
0
14.8%
Christian Veilleux pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:1891% → 91%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
8.9%
OJ Arnold run for 1 yd to the GASO 46Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 46
0
8.9%
JC French pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 46
0
9.2%
JC French pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:42
4TH & 9
OWN 46
0
9.3%
Alex Smith punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Jyron Gilmore at the GAST 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 25INT
9 plays · 50 yds · 3:0513% → 9%
Q4 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
12.5%
Christian Veilleux pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:42
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+5
12.4%
Christian Veilleux pass complete to Ted Hurst for 5 yds to the GAST 19Similar
Q4 14:42
3RD & 5
OWN 19
+5
12.5%
Christian Veilleux pass complete to Josiah Robinson for 5 yds to the GAST 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
12.7%
Freddie Brock run for 3 yds to the GAST 27Similar
Q4 14:42
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+22
13.0%
Christian Veilleux pass complete to DJ Riles for 22 yds to the GAST 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
14.2%
Christian Veilleux pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:42
2ND & 10
OWN 49
-5
14.1%
Georgia State Penalty, False Start (Petey Tucker) to the GAST 44Similar
Q4 14:42
2ND & 15
OWN 44
+20
13.1%
Christian Veilleux pass complete to Tailique Williams for 20 yds to the GASO 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:37
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
9.2%
Christian Veilleux pass intercepted Chance Gamble return for no gain to the GASO 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 26TD
18 plays · 96 yds · 7:2793% → 98%
Q4 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+3
7.2%
Jalen White run for 3 yds to the GASO 7Similar
Q4 11:37
2ND & 7
OWN 7
+6
7.3%
Jalen White run for 6 yds to the GASO 13Similar
Q4 11:37
3RD & 1
OWN 13
+5
7.5%
JC French run for 5 yds to the GASO 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+9
7.1%
Jalen White run for 9 yds to the GASO 27Similar
Q4 11:37
2ND & 1
OWN 27
+10
6.9%
OJ Arnold run for 10 yds to the GASO 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
6.8%
JC French pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:37
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+22
6.9%
OJ Arnold run for 22 yds to the GAST 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:12
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+9
4.3%
JC French pass complete to Josh Dallas for 9 yds to the GAST 32Similar
Q4 7:12
2ND & 1
OPP 32
+3
4.2%
Jalen White run for 3 yds to the GAST 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:12
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-1
4.2%
JC French sacked by Kevin Swint for a loss of 1 yard to the GAST 30Similar
Q4 5:11
2ND & 11
OPP 30
+5
3.2%
Jalen White run for 5 yds to the GAST 25Similar
Q4 4:23
3RD & 6
OPP 25
+8
2.0%
OJ Arnold run for 8 yds to the GAST 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:13
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
1.6%
Jalen White run for 1 yd to the GAST 16Similar
Q4 4:10
2ND & 9
OPP 16
+16
1.6%
Jalen White 16 Yd Run (Gavin Stewart Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 27INT
4 plays · 41 yds · 0:511% → 1%
Q4 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
1.2%
Christian Veilleux pass complete to Rykem Laney for 17 yds to the GAST 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
1.2%
Christian Veilleux pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:10
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+24
1.2%
Christian Veilleux pass complete to DJ Riles for 24 yds to the GASO 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:19
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-2
1.4%
Christian Veilleux pass intercepted TJ Smith return for 2 yds to the GASO 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 28END OF GAME
10 plays · 9 yds · 3:1499% → 99%
Q4 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 3
-2
1.4%
Jalen White run for a loss of 2 yards to the GASO 1Similar
Q4 3:14
2ND & 12
OWN 1
+4
1.4%
Jalen White run for 4 yds to the GASO 5Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 8
OWN 5
+11
1.0%
Jalen White run for 11 yds to the GASO 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-1
0.7%
[NH] Kneel down by GS at GS15 (team loss of 1).Similar
Q4 0:31
2ND & 11
OWN 15
-2
0.9%
[NH] Kneel down by GS at GS13 (team loss of 2).Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 13
OWN 13
-1
0.9%
[NH] Kneel down by GS at GS12 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 9:22
Christian Veilleux pass complete to Dorian Fleming for 58 yds for a TD (Liam Rickman KICK)
+17.4
TD · Q2 4:39
OJ Arnold run for 1 yd for a TD (Gavin Stewart KICK)
-17.2
TD · Q3 5:51
JC French pass incomplete
-15.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com