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SCST

South Carolina State 14 at Georgia Southern 42

GASO
2024 · Week 3 · Sep 14, 2024 · Allen E. Paulson Stadium
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Win probability · GASO
modelGASO aheadSCST aheadconfidence bandkey playGASO scoreSCST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 3:54 · Alex Smith punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Einaj Carter at the SCST 27
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorBlowout margin
+45.5+22.80−22.8−45.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 30Pregame prior+40.8Home team on offense+2.1Score differential+0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.5Garbage-time factor+0.9Blowout margin−0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:39: Deondra Duehart run for 4 yds for a TD (Kyle Gallegos KICK) — SCST win probability +1.9 pts (now 9%) (top driver: SCST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 7:07: JC French pass complete to OJ Arnold for 14 yds for a TD (Gavin Stewart KICK) — GASO win probability +1.8 pts (now 95%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 13:27: OJ Arnold run for 15 yds for a TD (Gavin Stewart KICK) — GASO win probability +3.2 pts (now 98%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 10:48: Eric Phoenix pass intercepted Tracy Hill Jr. return for 60 yds for a TD (Gavin Stewart KICK) — GASO win probability +2.0 pts (now 100%) (top driver: SCST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 5:11: Deondra Duehart run for 1 yd for a TD (Gavyn Zimmerman KICK) — SCST win probability +2.1 pts (now 3%) (top driver: SCST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
GASO made the numbers' call on 4 of 5SCST made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 11:48SCST 4th & 11 at SCST 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.3%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:40SCST 4th & 4 at GASO 24, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 6.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.3%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    6.3%−<0.1
    68% to make
    Punt
    5.9%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:54GASO 4th & 8 at GASO 26, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.5%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.6%
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:39SCST 4th & 2 at GASO 4, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.7%
    50% to convert
    Field goal
    7.5%−0.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    6.2%−1.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:38SCST 4th & 5 at SCST 13, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.6%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:41SCST 4th & 4 at SCST 31, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.3%−0.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:06GASO 4th & 10 at GASO 38, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.1%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:16SCST 4th & 8 at GASO 25, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 6.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.3%−0.4
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    6.7%
    66% to make
    Punt
    5.6%−1.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:58SCST 4th & 4 at GASO 29, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    0.5%−<0.1
    58% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:24GASO 4th & 3 at SCST 12, up 21
    Close callKicked a field goal · 98.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.4%
    50% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.3%−0.1
    86% to make
    Punt
    97.0%−1.4
    average punt
  11. Q4 13:33SCST 4th & 8 at GASO 44, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    0.8%−0.2
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:03GASO 4th & 12 at GASO 15, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.7%−0.4
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.0%
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:06SCST 4th & 4 at SCST 28, down 21
    Close callPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:47GASO 4th & 1 at SCST 2, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.4%
    60% to convert
    Field goal
    99.2%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    98.7%−0.7
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:53SCST 4th & 6 at SCST 29, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
GASO made the numbers' call on 6 of 6SCST made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 8:36GASO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:39SCST Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:07GASO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 7:07GASO Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 13:27GASO Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 10:48GASO Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 5:11SCST Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 2:47GASO Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SCSTDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 2:555% → 5%
Q1 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+5
95.5%
Deondra Duehart run for 5 yds to the SCST 14Similar
Q1 14:23
2ND & 5
OWN 14
0
95.4%
Eric Phoenix pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:19
3RD & 5
OWN 14
+11
95.4%
Eric Phoenix pass complete to Caden High for 11 yds to the SCST 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
95.4%
Deondra Duehart run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCST 24Similar
Q1 13:12
2ND & 11
OWN 24
-6
95.2%
Eric Phoenix sacked by Marc Stampley II for a loss of 6 yards to the SCST 18Similar
Q1 12:27
3RD & 17
OWN 18
+6
95.1%
Eric Phoenix pass complete to Caden High for 6 yds to the SCST 24Similar
Q1 11:48
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
95.0%
Dyson Roberts punt for 25 yds, fair catch by LV Bunkley-Shelton at the SCST 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 2TD
9 plays · 49 yds · 3:0495% → 95%
Q1 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
95.0%
Jalen White run for 5 yds to the SCST 44Similar
Q1 11:19
2ND & 5
OPP 44
0
94.9%
Jalen White run for no gain to the SCST 44Similar
Q1 10:46
3RD & 5
OPP 44
+9
94.8%
(10:46) FRENCH, JC pass to the left incomplete intended for BUNKLEY-SHELTON, LV thrown to the SCS35, clock 10:42. PENALTY SCS Pass Interference on BENJAMIN, Jamare enforced at the spot of the foul for 9 yards to the SCS35 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 10:42
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
94.8%
Dalen Cobb pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:35
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+8
94.8%
Jalen White run for 8 yds to the SCST 27Similar
Q1 10:02
3RD & 2
OPP 27
+4
94.6%
JC French run for 4 yds to the SCST 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:27
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
94.6%
JC French pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:22
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+10
94.6%
JC French pass complete to Tyler Fromm for 10 yds to the SCST 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:36
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
94.8%
JC French pass complete to Tyler Fromm for 13 yds for a TD (Gavin Stewart KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCSTDrive 3MISSED FG
10 plays · 51 yds · 3:555% → 6%
Q1 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
94.7%
Eric Phoenix run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCST 24Similar
Q1 8:03
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+6
94.6%
Eric Phoenix pass complete to Kazarius Adams for 6 yds to the SCST 30Similar
Q1 7:21
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+8
94.5%
Eric Phoenix pass complete to Caden High for 8 yds to the SCST 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
94.3%
Deondra Duehart run for no gain to the SCST 38Similar
Q1 6:08
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+5
94.2%
(06:08) PHOENIX, Eric pass deep to the right incomplete intended for SMITH-BROWN, Justin thrown to the GS25, clock 06:03. PENALTY GS Offsides on BULLARD, Latrell enforced 5 yards from the SCS38 to the SCS43 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 6:03
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+27
94.1%
Eric Phoenix pass complete to Keshawn Toney for 27 yds to the GASO 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:37
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
93.9%
Eric Phoenix pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:33
2ND & 10
OPP 30
0
93.9%
Eric Phoenix pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:29
3RD & 10
OPP 30
+6
94.0%
Eric Phoenix pass complete to Caden High for 6 yds to the GASO 24Similar
Q1 4:40
4TH & 4
OPP 24
+34
94.0%
Kyle Gallegos 34 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:4294% → 94%
Q1 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
94.1%
JC French run for 2 yds to the GASO 26Similar
Q1 4:10
2ND & 8
OWN 26
0
94.1%
JC French pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:03
3RD & 8
OWN 26
0
93.9%
JC French pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:54
4TH & 8
OWN 26
0
93.8%
Alex Smith punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Einaj Carter at the SCST 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCSTDrive 5TD
12 plays · 73 yds · 5:126% → 9%
Q1 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+9
93.9%
Eric Phoenix pass complete to Caden High for 9 yds to the SCST 36Similar
Q1 3:24
2ND & 1
OWN 36
+4
93.6%
Deondra Duehart run for 4 yds to the SCST 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
93.6%
Eric Phoenix pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:48
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+3
93.6%
Deondra Duehart run for 3 yds to the SCST 43Similar
Q1 2:08
3RD & 7
OWN 43
+14
93.4%
Eric Phoenix pass complete to Caden High for 14 yds to the GASO 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:33
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+8
93.1%
Kazarius Adams run for 8 yds to the GASO 35Similar
Q1 1:02
2ND & 2
OPP 35
+5
92.7%
Georgia Southern Penalty, Offsides (Isaac Walker) to the GASO 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:56
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+18
92.7%
Eric Phoenix pass complete to Keshawn Toney for 18 yds to the GASO 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:16
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
92.5%
Kazarius Adams run for 5 yds to the GASO 7Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 7
+3
92.5%
Deondra Duehart run for 3 yds to the GASO 4Similar
Q2 14:19
3RD & 2
OPP 4
0
92.5%
Deondra Duehart run for no gain to the GASO 4Similar
Q2 13:39
4TH & 2
OPP 4
+4
90.6%
Deondra Duehart run for 4 yds for a TD (Kyle Gallegos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 6TD
4 plays · 65 yds · 1:2691% → 93%
Q2 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
91.3%
Dalen Cobb run for 4 yds to the GASO 39Similar
Q2 13:09
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+58
91.5%
JC French pass complete to Josh Dallas for 58 yds to the SCST 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
91.7%
JC French pass complete to Tyler Fromm for 2 yds to the SCST 1Similar
Q2 12:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
93.2%
Jalen White run for 1 yd for a TD (Gavin Stewart KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCSTDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:247% → 7%
Q2 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+5
92.6%
Eric Phoenix pass complete to Caden High for 5 yds to the SCST 13Similar
Q2 11:29
2ND & 5
OWN 13
0
92.4%
Kazarius Adams run for no gain to the SCST 13Similar
Q2 10:44
3RD & 5
OWN 13
0
92.5%
Eric Phoenix pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:38
4TH & 5
OWN 13
0
92.6%
Dyson Roberts punt for 37 yds , LV Bunkley-Shelton returns for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 8TD
8 plays · 50 yds · 3:2693% → 95%
Q2 10:33
1ST & 10
50
+13
92.8%
Marcus Sanders Jr. run for 13 yds to the SCST 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:03
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-10
92.8%
(10:03) FRENCH, JC pass up the middle complete for 11 yards to KENERSON, Sam caught at the SCS30 and advanced to the SCS26 (WASHINGTON, Jarod), out of bounds, clock 09:58. PENALTY GS Holding on BROADWAY, Bryson enforced 10 yards from the SCS37 to the SCS47 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 9:46
1ST & 20
OPP 47
+2
92.5%
JC French pass complete to DeAndre Buchannon for 2 yds to the SCST 45Similar
Q2 9:12
2ND & 18
OPP 45
+10
92.4%
JC French pass complete to Tyler Fromm for 10 yds to the SCST 35Similar
Q2 8:38
3RD & 8
OPP 35
+10
92.4%
(08:38) FRENCH, JC sacked for a loss of 5 yards at the SCS40 (BROUGHTON, Jayden), clock 08:34. PENALTY SCS Holding on JONES, Jadin enforced 10 yards from the SCS35 to the SCS25 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 8:23
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+8
92.6%
JC French run for 8 yds to the SCST 17Similar
Q2 7:50
2ND & 2
OPP 17
+3
92.7%
OJ Arnold run for 3 yds to the SCST 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:07
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
94.5%
JC French pass complete to OJ Arnold for 14 yds for a TD (Gavin Stewart KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCSTDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:396% → 6%
Q2 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
94.0%
Eric Phoenix pass complete to Einaj Carter for 9 yds to the SCST 34Similar
Q2 6:28
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
93.6%
Eric Phoenix pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:22
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-3
93.8%
Deondra Duehart run for a loss of 3 yards to the SCST 31Similar
Q2 5:41
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
93.9%
Dyson Roberts punt for 64 yds, downed at the GASO 5Similar
Q2 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+5
94.0%
(05:28) FRENCH, JC pass to the right incomplete intended for FROMM, Tyler thrown to the GS5, clock 05:23. PENALTY SCS Offsides on DOLLARD, Jordan enforced 5 yards from the GS5 to the GS10 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 33 yds · 2:1794% → 94%
Q2 5:23
1ST & 5
OWN 10
-1
94.1%
Jalen White run for a loss of 1 yard to the GASO 9Similar
Q2 4:55
2ND & 6
OWN 9
+14
94.0%
JC French pass complete to LV Bunkley-Shelton for 14 yds to the GASO 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+15
94.1%
(04:34) FRENCH, JC pass deep to the right incomplete intended for BURGESS JR., Derwin thrown to the SCS40, clock 04:28. PENALTY SCS Pass Interference on WASHINGTON, Jarod enforced 15 yards to the GS38 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
94.3%
JC French pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:22
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+6
94.2%
JC French pass complete to Dalen Cobb for 6 yds to the GASO 44Similar
Q2 3:46
3RD & 4
OWN 44
-6
94.1%
JC French sacked by Malik Richardson for a loss of 6 yards to the GASO 38Similar
Q2 3:06
4TH & 10
OWN 38
0
93.7%
Alex Smith punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Einaj Carter at the SCST 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCSTDrive 11MISSED FG
16 plays · 55 yds · 2:446% → 7%
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
93.6%
Eric Phoenix pass complete to Einaj Carter for 5 yds to the SCST 25Similar
Q2 2:18
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+13
93.6%
Eric Phoenix pass complete to Justin Smith-Brown for 13 yds to the SCST 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+11
93.0%
Eric Phoenix pass complete to Kazarius Adams for 11 yds to the SCST 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
92.7%
Eric Phoenix pass complete to Caden High for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 1:46
2ND & 9
50
-4
92.8%
Eric Phoenix sacked by Elhadj Fall for a loss of 4 yards to the SCST 46Similar
Q2 1:32
3RD & 13
OWN 46
+17
93.4%
Eric Phoenix pass complete to Caden High for 17 yds to the GASO 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:12
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
92.0%
Eric Phoenix pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:06
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+10
92.0%
(01:06) PHOENIX, Eric pass deep to the right incomplete intended for SMITH-BROWN, Justin thrown to the GS10, clock 01:01. PENALTY GS Holding on HILL JR., Tracy enforced 10 yards from the GS37 to the GS27 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 1:01
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
91.6%
Eric Phoenix pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:55
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+2
91.8%
Eric Phoenix pass complete to Deondra Duehart for 2 yds to the GASO 25Similar
Q2 0:25
3RD & 8
OPP 25
0
92.3%
Eric Phoenix pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:16
4TH & 8
OPP 25
+43
92.8%
Kyle Gallegos 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · 8 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q2 0:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
94.9%
OJ Arnold run for 8 yds to the GASO 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 13TD
5 plays · 59 yds · 1:2695% → 98%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
94.7%
JC French pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:51
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+16
94.6%
JC French pass complete to LV Bunkley-Shelton for 16 yds to the SCST 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:30
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+27
94.7%
JC French pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 27 yds to the SCST 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:04
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+1
94.7%
JC French pass complete to DeAndre Buchannon for 1 yd to the SCST 15Similar
Q3 13:27
2ND & 9
OPP 15
+15
97.9%
OJ Arnold run for 15 yds for a TD (Gavin Stewart KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCSTDrive 14INT TD
5 plays · 14 yds · 2:393% → 1%
Q3 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
97.5%
Deondra Duehart run for 1 yd to the SCST 26Similar
Q3 12:54
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+5
97.5%
Eric Phoenix pass complete to Justin Smith-Brown for 5 yds to the SCST 31Similar
Q3 12:19
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+4
97.4%
Eric Phoenix pass complete to Caden High for 4 yds to the SCST 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
97.5%
Eric Phoenix pass complete to Justin Smith-Brown for 4 yds to the SCST 39Similar
Q3 10:48
2ND & 6
OWN 39
-60
99.5%
Eric Phoenix pass intercepted Tracy Hill Jr. return for 60 yds for a TD (Gavin Stewart KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCSTDrive 15TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 5:370% → 3%
Q3 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+40
99.6%
Eric Phoenix run for 40 yds to the GASO 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:11
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-3
99.5%
Deondra Duehart run for a loss of 3 yards to the GASO 38Similar
Q3 9:29
2ND & 13
OPP 38
+6
99.6%
Eric Phoenix pass complete to Einaj Carter for 6 yds to the GASO 32Similar
Q3 8:46
3RD & 7
OPP 32
+3
99.6%
Eric Phoenix run for 3 yds to the GASO 29Similar
Q3 7:58
4TH & 4
OPP 29
+8
99.4%
Eric Phoenix run for 8 yds to the GASO 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:19
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
99.6%
Demetri Simmons run for 2 yds to the GASO 19Similar
Q3 6:41
2ND & 8
OPP 19
+15
99.6%
Eric Phoenix run for 15 yds to the GASO 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
99.6%
Deondra Duehart run for 1 yd to the GASO 3Similar
Q3 5:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
99.5%
(05:26) DUEHART, Deondra rush up the middle for a loss of 2 yards to the GS5 (BULLARD, Latrell;RHODES, Justin), clock 05:21. PENALTY GS Offsides on ROBINSON, Demarcious enforced half the distance from the goal, 2 yards from the GS3 to the GS1 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 5:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
97.4%
Deondra Duehart run for 1 yd for a TD (Gavyn Zimmerman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 16MISSED FG
6 plays · 27 yds · 2:3499% → 99%
Q3 4:58
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+20
98.6%
JC French pass complete to Dalen Cobb for 20 yds to the SCST 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:33
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-10
98.6%
Georgia Southern Penalty, Offensive Holding (Derwin Burgess Jr.) to the SCST 25Similar
Q3 4:16
1ST & 16
OPP 25
+2
98.3%
Jalen White run for 2 yds to the SCST 23Similar
Q3 3:40
2ND & 14
OPP 23
+7
98.7%
JC French pass complete to Jalen White for 7 yds to the SCST 16Similar
Q3 3:07
3RD & 7
OPP 16
+4
98.8%
JC French pass complete to Dalen Cobb for 4 yds to the SCST 12Similar
Q3 2:24
4TH & 3
OPP 12
+25
98.7%
Gavin Stewart 25 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCSTDrive 17PUNT
10 plays · 36 yds · 3:472% → 1%
Q3 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
98.4%
Eric Phoenix pass complete to Justin Smith-Brown for 12 yds to the SCST 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
98.3%
Kazarius Adams run for 4 yds to the SCST 36Similar
Q3 1:26
2ND & 6
OWN 36
0
98.4%
Kazarius Adams run for no gain to the SCST 36Similar
Q3 0:33
3RD & 6
OWN 36
+8
98.7%
Eric Phoenix run for 8 yds to the SCST 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:06
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+10
98.7%
Deondra Duehart run for 10 yds to the GASO 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
98.8%
Deondra Duehart run for 1 yd to the GASO 45Similar
Q4 14:25
2ND & 9
OPP 45
+1
98.8%
Eric Phoenix pass complete to Justin Smith-Brown for 1 yd to the GASO 44Similar
Q4 13:39
3RD & 8
OPP 44
0
98.9%
Eric Phoenix pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:33
4TH & 8
OPP 44
0
98.9%
Dyson Roberts punt for 27 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 18PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:24100% → 100%
Q4 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
99.5%
JC French pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:22
2ND & 10
OWN 17
-2
99.5%
JC French pass complete to Jalen White for a loss of 2 yards to the GASO 15Similar
Q4 12:38
3RD & 12
OWN 15
0
99.5%
JC French run for no gain to the GASO 15Similar
Q4 12:03
4TH & 12
OWN 15
0
99.5%
Alex Smith punt for 63 yds, downed at the SCST 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCSTDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:461% → 1%
Q4 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
99.1%
Eric Phoenix pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:45
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+6
99.1%
Eric Phoenix pass complete to Justin Smith-Brown for 6 yds to the SCST 28Similar
Q4 11:10
3RD & 4
OWN 28
0
99.1%
Eric Phoenix pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:06
4TH & 4
OWN 28
0
99.1%
Dyson Roberts punt for 72 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 20TD
17 plays · 80 yds · 8:10100% → 100%
Q4 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
99.5%
JC French pass complete to Dalen Cobb for 9 yds to the GASO 29Similar
Q4 10:24
2ND & 1
OWN 29
0
99.5%
Jalen White run for no gain to the GASO 29Similar
Q4 9:43
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+16
99.5%
OJ Arnold run for 16 yds to the GASO 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
99.7%
Jalen White run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 8:19
2ND & 5
50
+4
99.7%
Jalen White run for 4 yds to the SCST 46Similar
Q4 7:33
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+9
99.7%
Jalen White run for 9 yds to the SCST 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+15
99.7%
(06:50) FRENCH, JC pass deep to the right incomplete intended for BURGESS JR., Derwin thrown to the SCS15, clock 06:44. PENALTY SCS Pass Interference on BENJAMIN, Jamare enforced 15 yards to the SCS22 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 6:44
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+6
99.7%
JC French run for 6 yds to the SCST 16Similar
Q4 6:07
2ND & 4
OPP 16
-1
99.7%
JC French run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCST 17Similar
Q4 5:47
3RD & 5
OPP 17
+6
99.7%
JC French run for 6 yds to the SCST 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:03
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
99.7%
Jalen White run for 4 yds to the SCST 7Similar
Q4 4:22
2ND & 6
OPP 7
+2
99.7%
Jalen White run for 2 yds to the SCST 5Similar
Q4 3:35
3RD & 4
OPP 5
+3
99.8%
David Mbadinga run for 3 yds to the SCST 2Similar
Q4 2:47
4TH & 1
OPP 2
+2
100.0%
Jalen White run for 2 yds for a TD (Gavin Stewart KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCSTDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:540% → 0%
Q4 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
100.0%
Demetri Simmons run for 2 yds to the SCST 27Similar
Q4 2:12
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+2
100.0%
Demetri Simmons run for 2 yds to the SCST 29Similar
Q4 1:59
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
100.0%
Ryan Stubblefield pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:53
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
100.0%
Dyson Roberts punt for 32 yds, downed at the GASO 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 22END OF GAME
4 plays · 14 yds · 1:24100% → 100%
Q4 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
100.0%
David Mbadinga run for no gain to the GASO 39Similar
Q4 0:57
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+19
100.0%
David Mbadinga run for 19 yds to the SCST 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:49
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-2
100.0%
(00:49) [NHSG] Kneel down by GS at SCS44 (team loss of 2), clock 00:44.Similar
Q4 0:17
2ND & 12
OPP 44
-3
100.0%
(00:17) [NHSG] Kneel down by GS at SCS47 (team loss of 3), clock 00:13.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 13:27
OJ Arnold run for 15 yds for a TD (Gavin Stewart KICK)
+3.2
TD · Q3 5:11
Deondra Duehart run for 1 yd for a TD (Gavyn Zimmerman KICK)
-2.1
TD · Q3 10:48
Eric Phoenix pass intercepted Tracy Hill Jr. return for 60 yds for a TD (Gavin Stewart KICK)
+2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com