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UNM

New Mexico 30 at Hawai'i 38

HAW
2024 · Week 14 · Nov 30, 2024 · Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex
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Win probability · HAW
modelHAW aheadUNM aheadconfidence bandkey playHAW scoreUNM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 7:10 · Devon Dampier run for 5 yds to the UNM 39 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remainingBlowout margin
+30.5+15.30−15.3−30.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 170Home team on offense+22.5Garbage-time factor+5.4Score differential+8.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+6.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.4Blowout margin+0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 2:29: Micah Alejado pass complete to Tamatoa Mokiao-Atimalala for 15 yds for a TD (Kansei Matsuzawa KICK) — HAW win probability +8.8 pts (now 73%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 11:58: Micah Alejado pass complete to Nick Cenacle for 3 yds for a TD (Kansei Matsuzawa KICK) — HAW win probability +11.5 pts (now 91%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 6:56: Devon Dampier run for 2 yds for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK) — UNM win probability +9.8 pts (now 25%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 13:53: Devon Dampier run for 1 yd for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK) — UNM win probability +11.8 pts (now 25%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:34: NaQuari Rogers run for 1 yd for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK) — UNM win probability +11.0 pts (now 16%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
HAW made the numbers' call on 4 of 6UNM made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 12:49UNM 4th & 8 at UNM 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.3%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:15HAW 4th & 5 at midfield, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 38.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    38.7%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    38.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:47UNM 4th & 9 at HAW 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 55.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.8%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    55.9%
    66% to make
    Punt
    54.5%−1.4
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:37HAW 4th & 1 at HAW 34, up 7
    Close callPunted · 44.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.9%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:09UNM 4th & 2 at HAW 48, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 53.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    53.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    53.0%−0.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:29UNM 4th & 10 at HAW 19, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 45.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.4%−0.9
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.3%
    77% to make
    Punt
    39.5%−5.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:08HAW 4th & 16 at HAW 42, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.9%−2.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.0%
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:08UNM 4th & 4 at UNM 26, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.0%−0.2
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.2%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:22HAW 4th & 10 at UNM 15, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 70.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.7%−2.0
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    70.7%
    83% to make
    Punt
    64.2%−6.5
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:48UNM 4th & 7 at HAW 43, down 19
    Close callPunted · 15.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.4%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    14.8%−1.6
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    16.0%−0.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:22HAW 4th & 1 at HAW 36, up 19
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 90.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    91.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    89.7%−1.9
    average punt
  12. Q3 1:23HAW 4th & 1 at UNM 1, up 12
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.6 ptsKicked a field goal · 84.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.4%
    59% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    79.8%−3.6
    94% to make
    Punt
    70.3%−13.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:10UNM 4th & 1 at UNM 34, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.8%−0.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
HAW made the numbers' call on 5 of 5UNM made the numbers' call on 1 of 4
  1. Q1 7:37HAW Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:06UNM Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    56.1%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    56.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:26HAW Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 2:29HAW Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 11:58HAW Touchdown, up 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 6:56UNM Touchdown, down 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 13:53UNM Touchdown, down 9 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    21.5%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    21.5%
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 8:48HAW Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.7%−0.4
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 2:34UNM Touchdown, down 9 before the try
    Numbers favored go for two by 1.3 ptsKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.7%−1.3
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNMDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 2:0750% → 50%
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-5
49.6%
New Mexico Penalty, False Start (Ryan Davis) to the UNM 13Similar
Q1 14:53
1ST & 15
OWN 13
+13
49.6%
Eli Sanders run for 13 yds to the UNM 26Similar
Q1 14:42
2ND & 2
OWN 26
+1
49.6%
Eli Sanders run for 1 yd to the UNM 27Similar
Q1 14:21
3RD & 1
OWN 27
+8
49.7%
Devon Dampier run for 8 yds to the UNM 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
49.7%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Luke Wysong for no gain to the UNM 35Similar
Q1 13:32
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+2
49.8%
Eli Sanders run for 2 yds to the UNM 37Similar
Q1 13:00
3RD & 8
OWN 37
0
50.0%
Devon Dampier pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:49
4TH & 8
OWN 37
+2
50.1%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 53 yds , Nick Cenacle returns for 2 yds to the HAW 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 2TD
12 plays · 94 yds · 4:4650% → 55%
Q1 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+22
50.1%
Micah Alejado pass complete to Spencer Curtis for 22 yds to the HAW 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+8
50.2%
Landon Sims run for 8 yds to the HAW 36Similar
Q1 11:35
2ND & 2
OWN 36
+9
50.5%
Micah Alejado run for 9 yds to the HAW 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
50.6%
Landon Sims run for 3 yds to the HAW 48Similar
Q1 10:52
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+2
50.8%
Micah Alejado pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 10:16
3RD & 5
50
0
50.9%
Micah Alejado pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:15
4TH & 5
50
+18
50.5%
Micah Alejado pass complete to Jonah Panoke for 18 yds to the UNM 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:28
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+9
51.5%
Micah Alejado pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 9 yds to the UNM 23Similar
Q1 9:09
2ND & 1
OPP 23
0
51.6%
Micah Alejado pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:07
3RD & 1
OPP 23
+7
51.4%
Cam Barfield run for 7 yds to the UNM 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:23
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+13
51.6%
Micah Alejado pass complete to Spencer Curtis for 13 yds to the UNM 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
54.6%
Micah Alejado pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 3 yds for a TD (Kansei Matsuzawa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 3MISSED FG
8 plays · 33 yds · 2:4447% → 45%
Q1 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+8
53.3%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Luke Wysong for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 7:06
2ND & 2
50
+2
53.0%
NaQuari Rogers run for 2 yds to the HAW 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:31
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
53.4%
NaQuari Rogers run for 7 yds to the HAW 41Similar
Q1 6:07
2ND & 3
OPP 41
+15
53.4%
Devon Dampier run for 15 yds to the HAW 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:58
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-15
53.1%
New Mexico Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the HAW 36Similar
Q1 5:33
2ND & 20
OPP 36
0
54.2%
Devon Dampier pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:29
3RD & 20
OPP 36
+11
54.7%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Luke Wysong for 11 yds to the HAW 25Similar
Q1 4:47
4TH & 9
OPP 25
+42
55.0%
Luke Drzewiecki 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:1055% → 56%
Q1 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
55.4%
Micah Alejado pass complete to Jonah Panoke for 8 yds to the HAW 33Similar
Q1 4:21
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+1
56.1%
Landon Sims run for 1 yd to the HAW 34Similar
Q1 3:42
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
56.1%
Micah Alejado pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:37
4TH & 1
OWN 34
-2
55.5%
Lucas Borrow punt for 52 yds , Luke Wysong returns for a loss of 2 yards to the UNM 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 5TD
15 plays · 88 yds · 5:2444% → 49%
Q1 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+18
55.9%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Eli Sanders for 18 yds to the UNM 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
55.9%
Devon Dampier pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:56
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+7
56.2%
Eli Sanders run for 7 yds to the UNM 37Similar
Q1 2:26
3RD & 3
OWN 37
+7
55.6%
Devon Dampier run for 7 yds to the UNM 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
55.4%
Eli Sanders run for no gain to the UNM 44Similar
Q1 1:22
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+7
55.9%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Luke Wysong for 7 yds to the HAW 49Similar
Q1 0:55
3RD & 3
OPP 49
+1
55.5%
Eli Sanders run for 1 yd to the HAW 48Similar
Q1 0:09
4TH & 2
OPP 48
+2
56.4%
Devon Dampier run for 2 yds to the HAW 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:08
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+12
55.6%
(00:08) DAMPIER, Devon pass to the left incomplete intended for WYSONG, Luke thrown to the HAWAII35, clock 00:04. PENALTY HAWAII Pass Interference on BROWN, Caleb enforced at the spot of the foul for 12 yards to the HAWAII34 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+8
54.9%
Devon Dampier run for 8 yds to the HAW 26Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 26
+3
54.8%
NaQuari Rogers run for 3 yds to the HAW 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:32
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
54.9%
NaQuari Rogers run for 4 yds to the HAW 19Similar
Q2 14:08
2ND & 6
OPP 19
+12
55.0%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Luke Wysong for 12 yds to the HAW 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
55.2%
NaQuari Rogers run for 4 yds to the HAW 3Similar
Q2 13:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
51.0%
Devon Dampier run for 3 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 6TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:4054% → 61%
Q2 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
53.8%
Hawai'i Penalty, False Start (Pofele Ashlock) to the HAW 20Similar
Q2 13:03
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+28
53.6%
Micah Alejado pass complete to Nick Cenacle for 28 yds to the HAW 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
55.4%
Micah Alejado pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:26
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+52
60.9%
Micah Alejado pass complete to Dekel Crowdus for 52 yds for a TD (Kansei Matsuzawa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 7FG
14 plays · 64 yds · 3:5039% → 44%
Q2 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
60.6%
Devon Dampier pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:14
2ND & 10
OWN 17
0
60.9%
Devon Dampier pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:11
3RD & 10
OWN 17
+10
61.6%
(12:11) DAMPIER, Devon pass deep to the left incomplete intended for MEDFORD, Caleb thrown to the HAWAII30, clock 11:54. PENALTY HAWAII Holding on PEI, Meki enforced 10 yards from the UNM17 to the UNM27 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
60.7%
NaQuari Rogers run for 3 yds to the UNM 30Similar
Q2 11:25
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+25
60.7%
NaQuari Rogers run for 25 yds to the HAW 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:03
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
59.4%
NaQuari Rogers run for 4 yds to the HAW 41Similar
Q2 10:12
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+8
59.8%
Eli Sanders run for 8 yds to the HAW 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:47
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+9
59.3%
Devon Dampier run for 9 yds to the HAW 24Similar
Q2 9:23
2ND & 1
OPP 24
+5
59.2%
(09:23) SANDERS, Eli rush up the middle for a gain of 3 yards to the HAWAII21 (MANUMA, Peter;JONES, Tariq), clock 09:19. PENALTY Before the snap, HAWAII Illegal Substitution enforced 5 yards from the HAWAII24 to the HAWAII19 and results in a 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 9:11
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-5
59.3%
New Mexico Penalty, False Start (McKenzie Agnello) to the HAW 24Similar
Q2 8:58
1ST & 15
OPP 24
0
60.3%
Devon Dampier pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:51
2ND & 15
OPP 24
0
60.6%
Devon Dampier pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:48
3RD & 15
OPP 24
+5
62.1%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Eli Sanders for 5 yds to the HAW 19Similar
Q2 8:29
4TH & 10
OPP 19
+36
56.0%
Luke Drzewiecki 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 8PUNT
10 plays · 17 yds · 4:1758% → 60%
Q2 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
58.2%
Micah Alejado pass complete to Cam Barfield for 7 yds to the HAW 32Similar
Q2 8:10
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+3
60.1%
Micah Alejado pass complete to Nick Cenacle for 3 yds to the HAW 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
59.5%
Cam Barfield run for 7 yds to the HAW 42Similar
Q2 7:14
2ND & 3
OWN 42
0
61.1%
Micah Alejado pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:05
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+6
60.3%
Micah Alejado pass complete to Alex Perry for 6 yds to the HAW 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-15
63.5%
Hawai'i Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (James Milovale) to the HAW 35Similar
Q2 4:23
2ND & 23
OWN 35
+7
61.0%
Micah Alejado run for 7 yds to the HAW 42Similar
Q2 4:08
3RD & 16
OWN 42
0
61.0%
Micah Alejado pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:08
4TH & 16
OWN 42
0
59.7%
Lucas Borrow punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Ryan Davis at the UNM 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 9TD
6 plays · 40 yds · 1:3964% → 73%
Q2 4:08
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
64.0%
Micah Alejado pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:08
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+1
63.7%
Micah Alejado run for 1 yd to the UNM 39Similar
Q2 4:08
3RD & 9
OPP 39
+24
62.8%
Micah Alejado pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 24 yds to the UNM 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:08
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
64.1%
Micah Alejado pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:08
2ND & 10
OPP 15
0
64.1%
Micah Alejado pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:29
3RD & 10
OPP 15
+15
72.9%
Micah Alejado pass complete to Tamatoa Mokiao-Atimalala for 15 yds for a TD (Kansei Matsuzawa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:3030% → 30%
Q2 4:08
4TH & 4
OWN 26
+35
70.3%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 54 yds , Nick Cenacle returns for 35 yds to the UNM 40Similar
Q2 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
69.7%
Devon Dampier pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:38
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+6
70.1%
Eli Sanders run for 6 yds to the UNM 26Similar
Q2 3:38
3RD & 4
OWN 26
0
69.7%
Devon Dampier pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 11FUMBLE
7 plays · 51 yds · 0:5429% → 32%
Q2 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
71.0%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Ryan Davis for 16 yds to the UNM 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
70.2%
Eli Sanders run for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 1:55
2ND & 1
50
+5
68.5%
Eli Sanders run for 5 yds to the HAW 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:44
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+11
68.4%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Ryan Davis for 11 yds to the HAW 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
67.4%
Devon Dampier pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:35
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+10
67.6%
Devon Dampier run for 10 yds to the HAW 24 Devon Dampier fumbled, recovered by HAW Jalen Smith J. Smith return for 0 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 12MISSED FG
11 plays · 61 yds · 1:0272% → 75%
Q2 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+9
72.2%
Micah Alejado pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 9 yds to the HAW 33Similar
Q2 1:19
2ND & 1
OWN 33
+5
72.6%
Micah Alejado pass complete to Nick Cenacle for 5 yds to the HAW 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+24
73.5%
Micah Alejado pass complete to Nick Cenacle for 24 yds to the UNM 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:04
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
74.2%
Micah Alejado pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:59
2ND & 10
OPP 38
0
74.1%
Micah Alejado pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:50
3RD & 10
OPP 38
+23
73.3%
Micah Alejado pass complete to Spencer Curtis for 23 yds to the UNM 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
74.6%
Micah Alejado pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:36
2ND & 10
OPP 15
0
74.7%
Micah Alejado pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:27
3RD & 10
OPP 15
0
75.3%
Micah Alejado pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:22
4TH & 10
OPP 15
+33
74.8%
Kansei Matsuzawa 33 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 13END OF HALF
3 plays · 15 yds · 0:1628% → 29%
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
71.6%
Devon Dampier run for 7 yds to the UNM 27Similar
Q2 0:05
2ND & 3
OWN 27
0
70.9%
Devon Dampier pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:04
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+8
71.2%
Eli Sanders run for 8 yds to the UNM 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 14TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:0276% → 91%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
76.1%
Micah Alejado pass complete to Cam Barfield for 4 yds to the HAW 29Similar
Q3 14:26
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
76.5%
Micah Alejado pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:20
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+25
75.8%
Micah Alejado pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 25 yds to the UNM 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:06
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
78.0%
Micah Alejado run for 3 yds to the UNM 43Similar
Q3 13:27
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+15
78.4%
Micah Alejado pass complete to Spencer Curtis for 15 yds to the UNM 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:18
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+1
78.6%
Christian Vaughn run for 1 yd to the UNM 27Similar
Q3 12:51
2ND & 9
OPP 27
+21
79.0%
Micah Alejado pass complete to Nick Cenacle for 21 yds to the UNM 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
79.1%
Micah Alejado pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 3 yds to the UNM 3Similar
Q3 11:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
90.6%
Micah Alejado pass complete to Nick Cenacle for 3 yds for a TD (Kansei Matsuzawa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 31 yds · 2:0114% → 13%
Q3 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+8
86.2%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Ryan Davis for 8 yds to the UNM 34Similar
Q3 11:35
2ND & 2
OWN 34
+10
85.2%
Eli Sanders run for 10 yds to the UNM 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+10
85.7%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Caleb Medford for 10 yds to the HAW 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:52
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
85.7%
Eli Sanders run for 3 yds to the HAW 43Similar
Q3 10:38
2ND & 7
OPP 43
0
85.8%
Devon Dampier run for no gain to the HAW 43Similar
Q3 9:53
3RD & 7
OPP 43
0
86.6%
Devon Dampier pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:48
4TH & 7
OPP 43
0
86.9%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Nick Cenacle at the HAW 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 16DOWNS
7 plays · 23 yds · 1:1792% → 91%
Q3 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
91.6%
Micah Alejado pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:34
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+15
91.6%
(09:34) ALEJADO, Micah pass deep to the right incomplete intended for CENACLE, Nick thrown to the UNM48, clock 09:27. PENALTY UNM Pass Interference on WATTS, Cameron enforced 15 yards to the HAWAII27 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
92.0%
Micah Alejado pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:21
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+5
91.9%
Micah Alejado run for 5 yds to the HAW 32Similar
Q3 9:01
3RD & 5
OWN 32
+4
92.1%
Micah Alejado pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 4 yds to the HAW 36Similar
Q3 8:22
4TH & 1
OWN 36
-1
91.0%
Landon Sims run for a loss of 1 yard to the HAW 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 17TD
4 plays · 35 yds · 1:1815% → 25%
Q3 8:14
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+8
85.3%
Hawai'i Penalty, Personal Foul (Jalen Smith) to the HAW 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:57
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
84.8%
Eli Sanders run for no gain to the HAW 13Similar
Q3 7:29
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+11
85.0%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Ryan Davis for 11 yds to the HAW 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
75.1%
Devon Dampier run for 2 yds for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 18FG
14 plays · 74 yds · 5:3081% → 91%
Q3 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
80.7%
Micah Alejado pass complete to Jonah Panoke for 5 yds to the HAW 30Similar
Q3 6:29
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
81.0%
Micah Alejado pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:23
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+10
80.4%
Micah Alejado pass complete to Spencer Curtis for 10 yds to the HAW 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+15
82.5%
Micah Alejado pass complete to Karsyn Pupunu for 15 yds to the UNM 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:44
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
83.0%
Micah Alejado pass complete to Spencer Curtis for 6 yds to the UNM 39Similar
Q3 5:24
2ND & 4
OPP 39
+6
83.1%
Landon Sims run for 6 yds to the UNM 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
83.7%
Micah Alejado run for no gain to the UNM 33Similar
Q3 4:31
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+13
83.8%
John-Keawe Sagapolutele pass complete to Landon Sims for 13 yds to the UNM 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:49
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
85.3%
Micah Alejado pass complete to Cam Barfield for 1 yd to the UNM 19Similar
Q3 2:59
2ND & 9
OPP 19
+15
86.1%
ALEJADO, Micah pass deep to the right incomplete intended for CENACLE, Nick thrown to the UNM0, clock 02:59. PENALTY UNM Pass Interference on WATTS, Cameron enforced at the spot of the foul for 15 yards to the UNM4 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 2:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-7
86.2%
Tylan Hines run for a loss of 7 yards to the UNM 11Similar
Q3 2:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+10
86.8%
Micah Alejado pass complete to Jonah Panoke for 10 yds to the UNM 1Similar
Q3 1:35
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
86.9%
Micah Alejado pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:23
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+19
90.8%
Kansei Matsuzawa 19 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 19TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:3011% → 25%
Q3 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
88.9%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Luke Wysong for 13 yds to the UNM 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
87.9%
Eli Sanders run for 8 yds to the UNM 46Similar
Q3 0:26
2ND & 2
OWN 46
+10
88.1%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Luke Wysong for 10 yds to the HAW 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+16
88.2%
Eli Sanders run for 16 yds to the HAW 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:58
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+24
86.5%
Eli Sanders run for 24 yds to the HAW 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
86.7%
Devon Dampier run for 3 yds to the HAW 1Similar
Q4 13:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
74.9%
Devon Dampier run for 1 yd for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 20TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 5:0283% → 96%
Q4 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
83.2%
Christian Vaughn run for 5 yds to the HAW 30Similar
Q4 13:19
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
83.9%
Micah Alejado run for 4 yds to the HAW 34Similar
Q4 12:32
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+6
83.8%
Micah Alejado pass complete to Tamatoa Mokiao-Atimalala for 6 yds to the HAW 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
86.2%
Cam Barfield run for 9 yds to the HAW 49Similar
Q4 11:33
2ND & 1
OWN 49
+9
86.1%
Micah Alejado pass complete to Nick Cenacle for 9 yds to the UNM 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:05
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-5
87.0%
Hawai'i Penalty, False Start (Sergio Muasau) to the UNM 47Similar
Q4 10:56
1ST & 15
OPP 47
+2
87.0%
Micah Alejado run for 2 yds to the UNM 45Similar
Q4 10:35
2ND & 13
OPP 45
+2
86.9%
John-Keawe Sagapolutele pass complete to Tamatoa Mokiao-Atimalala for 2 yds to the UNM 43Similar
Q4 9:27
3RD & 11
OPP 43
-5
87.1%
Hawai'i Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UNM 48Similar
Q4 9:23
3RD & 16
OPP 48
+45
86.5%
Micah Alejado pass complete to Jonah Panoke for 45 yds to the UNM 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
88.7%
Micah Alejado pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
95.8%
Micah Alejado pass complete to Tamatoa Mokiao-Atimalala for 3 yds for a TD (Kansei Matsuzawa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 21TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 6:146% → 16%
Q4 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
93.6%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Luke Wysong for no gain to the UNM 25Similar
Q4 8:18
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
94.2%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Luke Wysong for 8 yds to the UNM 33Similar
Q4 7:40
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
93.8%
Devon Dampier run for 1 yd to the UNM 34Similar
Q4 7:10
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+5
94.1%
Devon Dampier run for 5 yds to the UNM 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+9
93.9%
Devon Dampier run for 9 yds to the UNM 48Similar
Q4 6:18
2ND & 1
OWN 48
+2
93.8%
NaQuari Rogers run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:48
1ST & 10
50
+17
94.3%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Ryan Davis for 17 yds to the HAW 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:23
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+9
93.6%
NaQuari Rogers run for 9 yds to the HAW 24Similar
Q4 4:51
2ND & 1
OPP 24
-5
94.0%
(04:51) DAMPIER, Devon pass deep to the right incomplete intended for MEDFORD, Caleb thrown to the HAWAII0; QB hurried by SMITH, Jalen, clock 04:42. PENALTY UNM Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on BRUCKLER, Trace enforced 5 yards from the HAWAII24 to the HAWAII29 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 4:24
2ND & 6
OPP 29
+11
95.1%
Devon Dampier run for 11 yds to the HAW 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:58
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+6
95.2%
NaQuari Rogers run for 6 yds to the HAW 12Similar
Q4 3:37
2ND & 4
OPP 12
+3
95.3%
NaQuari Rogers run for 3 yds to the HAW 9Similar
Q4 3:24
3RD & 1
OPP 9
+5
95.5%
NaQuari Rogers run for 5 yds to the HAW 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
95.4%
Devon Dampier pass complete to NaQuari Rogers for 3 yds to the HAW 1Similar
Q4 2:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
84.4%
NaQuari Rogers run for 1 yd for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 22END OF GAME
12 plays · 43 yds · 1:5396% → 99%
Q4 2:31
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
95.5%
Cam Barfield run for 4 yds to the UNM 48Similar
Q4 2:23
2ND & 6
OPP 48
-4
95.9%
Cam Barfield run for a loss of 4 yards to the HAW 48Similar
Q4 1:59
3RD & 10
OWN 48
+11
98.0%
Micah Alejado pass complete to Spencer Curtis for 11 yds to the UNM 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:48
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+13
98.5%
Cam Barfield run for 13 yds to the UNM 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:37
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
98.6%
Micah Alejado run for 4 yds to the UNM 24Similar
Q4 1:30
2ND & 6
OPP 24
+19
98.6%
Micah Alejado run for 19 yds to the UNM 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-2
98.6%
(01:22) [NHSG] Kneel down by ALEJADO, Micah at UNM7 (team loss of 2), clock 01:18.Similar
Q4 0:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
-2
98.6%
(00:38) [NHSG] Kneel down by ALEJADO, Micah at UNM9 (team loss of 2), clock 00:35.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 13:53
Devon Dampier run for 1 yd for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK)
-11.8
TD · Q3 11:58
Micah Alejado pass complete to Nick Cenacle for 3 yds for a TD (Kansei Matsuzawa KICK)
+11.5
TD · Q4 2:34
NaQuari Rogers run for 1 yd for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK)
-11
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com