ARDLINETry the model
NM

New Mexico 30 at Hawai'i 38

H
2024 · Week 14 · Dec 1, 2024 · Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex
Win probability · H
modelH aheadNM aheadconfidence bandkey play
Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDKEY PLAYTDTDTDTDTD
What moved it - hover a play below
Q4 0:38 · (00:38) [NHSG] Kneel down by ALEJADO, Micah at UNM9 (team loss of 2), clock 00:35.
No driver breakdown computed for this play yet.
Play by play - hover to pin the curve
Q1 14:56
New Mexico Penalty, False Start (Ryan Davis) to the UNM 13
0.0
Q1 14:53
Eli Sanders run for 13 yds to the UNM 26
0.0
Q1 14:42
Eli Sanders run for 1 yd to the UNM 27
-0.6
Q1 14:21
Devon Dampier run for 8 yds to the UNM 35 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q1 13:57
Devon Dampier pass complete to Luke Wysong for no gain to the UNM 35
0.0
Q1 13:32
Eli Sanders run for 2 yds to the UNM 37
0.0
Q1 13:00
Devon Dampier pass incomplete
-0.2
Q1 12:49
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 53 yds , Nick Cenacle returns for 2 yds to the HAW 6
0.0
Q1 12:23
Micah Alejado pass complete to Spencer Curtis for 22 yds to the HAW 28 for a 1ST down
+3.9
Q1 12:03
Landon Sims run for 8 yds to the HAW 36
0.0
Q1 11:35
Micah Alejado run for 9 yds to the HAW 45 for a 1ST down
+0.2
Q1 11:27
Landon Sims run for 3 yds to the HAW 48
+0.9
Q1 10:52
Micah Alejado pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 2 yds to the 50 yard line
0.0
Q1 10:16
Micah Alejado pass incomplete
-0.2
Q1 10:15
Micah Alejado pass complete to Jonah Panoke for 18 yds to the UNM 32 for a 1ST down
-0.3
Q1 9:28
Micah Alejado pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 9 yds to the UNM 23
+2.0
Q1 9:09
Micah Alejado pass incomplete
0.0
Q1 9:07
Cam Barfield run for 7 yds to the UNM 16 for a 1ST down
-0.2
Q1 8:23
Micah Alejado pass complete to Spencer Curtis for 13 yds to the UNM 3 for a 1ST down
+0.2
Q1 7:37
Micah Alejado pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 3 yds for a TD (Kansei Matsuzawa KICK)
+14.0
Q1 7:31
Devon Dampier pass complete to Luke Wysong for 8 yds to the 50 yard line
-6.6
Q1 7:06
NaQuari Rogers run for 2 yds to the HAW 48 for a 1ST down
-0.8
Q1 6:31
NaQuari Rogers run for 7 yds to the HAW 41
+0.1
Q1 6:07
Devon Dampier run for 15 yds to the HAW 26 for a 1ST down
-0.7
Q1 5:58
New Mexico Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the HAW 36
-0.3
Q1 5:33
Devon Dampier pass incomplete
0.0
Q1 5:29
Devon Dampier pass complete to Luke Wysong for 11 yds to the HAW 25
+0.3
Q1 4:47
Luke Drzewiecki 42 yd FG MISSED
+0.8
Q1 4:47
Micah Alejado pass complete to Jonah Panoke for 8 yds to the HAW 33
+6.5
Q1 4:21
Landon Sims run for 1 yd to the HAW 34
0.0
Q1 3:42
Micah Alejado pass incomplete
+0.1
Q1 3:37
Lucas Borrow punt for 52 yds , Luke Wysong returns for a loss of 2 yards to the UNM 12
-0.7
Q1 3:30
Devon Dampier pass complete to Eli Sanders for 18 yds to the UNM 30 for a 1ST down
-4.0
Q1 3:03
Devon Dampier pass incomplete
0.0
Q1 2:56
Eli Sanders run for 7 yds to the UNM 37
0.0
Q1 2:26
Devon Dampier run for 7 yds to the UNM 44 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q1 1:53
Eli Sanders run for no gain to the UNM 44
-1.4
Q1 1:22
Devon Dampier pass complete to Luke Wysong for 7 yds to the HAW 49
+0.1
Q1 0:55
Eli Sanders run for 1 yd to the HAW 48
-0.3
Q1 0:09
Devon Dampier run for 2 yds to the HAW 46 for a 1ST down
+0.5
Q1 0:08
(00:08) DAMPIER, Devon pass to the left incomplete intended for WYSONG, Luke thrown to the HAWAII35, clock 00:04. PENALTY HAWAII Pass Interference on BROWN, Caleb enforced at the spot of the foul for 12 yards to the HAWAII34 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).
-0.7
Q1 0:00
Devon Dampier run for 8 yds to the HAW 26
-0.7
Q2 15:00
NaQuari Rogers run for 3 yds to the HAW 23 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 14:32
NaQuari Rogers run for 4 yds to the HAW 19
+0.1
Q2 14:08
Devon Dampier pass complete to Luke Wysong for 12 yds to the HAW 7 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 13:37
NaQuari Rogers run for 4 yds to the HAW 3
0.0
Q2 13:06
Devon Dampier run for 3 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)
-10.5
Q2 13:06
Hawai'i Penalty, False Start (Pofele Ashlock) to the HAW 20
+8.8
Q2 13:03
Micah Alejado pass complete to Nick Cenacle for 28 yds to the HAW 48 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 12:35
Micah Alejado pass incomplete
+1.1
Q2 12:26
Micah Alejado pass complete to Dekel Crowdus for 52 yds for a TD (Kansei Matsuzawa KICK)
+10.3
Q2 12:19
Devon Dampier pass incomplete
-3.2
Q2 12:14
Devon Dampier pass incomplete
0.0
Q2 12:11
(12:11) DAMPIER, Devon pass deep to the left incomplete intended for MEDFORD, Caleb thrown to the HAWAII30, clock 11:54. PENALTY HAWAII Holding on PEI, Meki enforced 10 yards from the UNM17 to the UNM27 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).
0.0
Q2 11:53
NaQuari Rogers run for 3 yds to the UNM 30
0.0
Q2 11:25
NaQuari Rogers run for 25 yds to the HAW 45 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 11:03
NaQuari Rogers run for 4 yds to the HAW 41
-1.3
Q2 10:12
Eli Sanders run for 8 yds to the HAW 33 for a 1ST down
+0.9
Q2 9:47
Devon Dampier run for 9 yds to the HAW 24
-0.2
Q2 9:23
(09:23) SANDERS, Eli rush up the middle for a gain of 3 yards to the HAWAII21 (MANUMA, Peter;JONES, Tariq), clock 09:19. PENALTY Before the snap, HAWAII Illegal Substitution enforced 5 yards from the HAWAII24 to the HAWAII19 and results in a 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).
0.0
Q2 9:11
New Mexico Penalty, False Start (McKenzie Agnello) to the HAW 24
0.0
Q2 8:58
Devon Dampier pass incomplete
0.0
Q2 8:51
Devon Dampier pass incomplete
0.0
Q2 8:48
Devon Dampier pass complete to Eli Sanders for 5 yds to the HAW 19
0.0
Q2 8:29
Luke Drzewiecki 36 yd FG GOOD
-7.5
Q2 8:25
Micah Alejado pass complete to Cam Barfield for 7 yds to the HAW 32
+7.3
Q2 8:10
Micah Alejado pass complete to Nick Cenacle for 3 yds to the HAW 35 for a 1ST down
+1.1
Q2 7:42
Cam Barfield run for 7 yds to the HAW 42
0.0
Q2 7:14
Micah Alejado pass incomplete
+0.6
Q2 7:05
Micah Alejado pass complete to Alex Perry for 6 yds to the HAW 48 for a 1ST down
-0.2
Q2 6:07
Timeout Hawai'i, clock 06:07
-0.4
Q2 4:25
Hawai'i Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (James Milovale) to the HAW 35
+2.5
Q2 4:23
Micah Alejado run for 7 yds to the HAW 42
-1.2
Q2 4:08
Micah Alejado pass incomplete
+0.4
Q2 4:08
Lucas Borrow punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Ryan Davis at the UNM 20
-0.6
Q2 4:08
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 54 yds , Nick Cenacle returns for 35 yds to the UNM 40
-3.4
Q2 4:08
Micah Alejado pass incomplete
+5.3
Q2 4:08
Micah Alejado run for 1 yd to the UNM 39
0.0
Q2 4:08
Micah Alejado pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 24 yds to the UNM 15 for a 1ST down
-0.2
Q2 4:08
Micah Alejado pass incomplete
+0.2
Q2 4:08
Micah Alejado pass incomplete
0.0
Q2 3:53
Devon Dampier pass incomplete
-5.3
Q2 3:38
Eli Sanders run for 6 yds to the UNM 26
0.0
Q2 3:38
Devon Dampier pass incomplete
0.0
Q2 2:29
Micah Alejado pass complete to Tamatoa Mokiao-Atimalala for 15 yds for a TD (Kansei Matsuzawa KICK)
+16.9
Q2 2:29
Devon Dampier pass complete to Ryan Davis for 16 yds to the UNM 41 for a 1ST down
-2.9
Q2 1:57
Timeout Hawai'i, clock 01:57
+0.8
Q2 1:57
Eli Sanders run for 9 yds to the 50 yard line
+0.4
Q2 1:55
Eli Sanders run for 5 yds to the HAW 45 for a 1ST down
-0.4
Q2 1:44
Devon Dampier pass complete to Ryan Davis for 11 yds to the HAW 34 for a 1ST down
-0.3
Q2 1:40
Devon Dampier pass incomplete
-0.9
Q2 1:35
Devon Dampier run for 10 yds to the HAW 24 Devon Dampier fumbled, recovered by HAW Jalen Smith J. Smith return for 0 yds
0.0
Q2 1:24
Micah Alejado pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 9 yds to the HAW 33
+3.6
Q2 1:19
Micah Alejado pass complete to Nick Cenacle for 5 yds to the HAW 38 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 1:07
Micah Alejado pass complete to Nick Cenacle for 24 yds to the UNM 38 for a 1ST down
+0.5
Q2 1:04
Micah Alejado pass incomplete
+0.2
Q2 0:59
Micah Alejado pass incomplete
0.0
Q2 0:50
Micah Alejado pass complete to Spencer Curtis for 23 yds to the UNM 15 for a 1ST down
-0.2
Q2 0:45
Micah Alejado pass incomplete
+0.2
Q2 0:36
Micah Alejado pass incomplete
0.0
Q2 0:31
Timeout Hawai'i, clock 00:31
-0.1
Q2 0:27
Micah Alejado pass incomplete
-0.4
Q2 0:22
Kansei Matsuzawa 33 yd FG MISSED
-0.3
Q2 0:20
Devon Dampier run for 7 yds to the UNM 27
-2.1
Q2 0:05
Devon Dampier pass incomplete
0.0
Q2 0:04
Eli Sanders run for 8 yds to the UNM 35 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 15:00
Micah Alejado pass complete to Cam Barfield for 4 yds to the HAW 29
+2.2
Q3 14:26
Micah Alejado pass incomplete
+0.7
Q3 14:20
Micah Alejado pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 25 yds to the UNM 46 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 14:06
Micah Alejado run for 3 yds to the UNM 43
+0.1
Q3 13:27
Micah Alejado pass complete to Spencer Curtis for 15 yds to the UNM 28 for a 1ST down
+1.7
Q3 13:18
Christian Vaughn run for 1 yd to the UNM 27
0.0
Q3 12:51
Micah Alejado pass complete to Nick Cenacle for 21 yds to the UNM 6 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 12:30
Micah Alejado pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 3 yds to the UNM 3
0.0
Q3 11:58
Micah Alejado pass complete to Nick Cenacle for 3 yds for a TD (Kansei Matsuzawa KICK)
+14.6
Q3 11:49
Devon Dampier pass complete to Ryan Davis for 8 yds to the UNM 34
-6.0
Q3 11:35
Eli Sanders run for 10 yds to the UNM 44 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 11:14
Devon Dampier pass complete to Caleb Medford for 10 yds to the HAW 46 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 10:52
Eli Sanders run for 3 yds to the HAW 43
+0.6
Q3 10:38
Devon Dampier run for no gain to the HAW 43
+0.2
Q3 9:53
Devon Dampier pass incomplete
+0.6
Q3 9:48
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Nick Cenacle at the HAW 12
0.0
Q3 9:39
Micah Alejado pass incomplete
+4.8
Q3 9:34
(09:34) ALEJADO, Micah pass deep to the right incomplete intended for CENACLE, Nick thrown to the UNM48, clock 09:27. PENALTY UNM Pass Interference on WATTS, Cameron enforced 15 yards to the HAWAII27 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).
0.0
Q3 9:23
Micah Alejado pass incomplete
0.0
Q3 9:21
Micah Alejado run for 5 yds to the HAW 32
0.0
Q3 9:01
Micah Alejado pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 4 yds to the HAW 36
0.0
Q3 8:23
Timeout Hawai'i, clock 08:23
0.0
Q3 8:22
Landon Sims run for a loss of 1 yard to the HAW 35
0.0
Q3 8:14
Hawai'i Penalty, Personal Foul (Jalen Smith) to the HAW 13 for a 1ST down
-5.3
Q3 7:57
Eli Sanders run for no gain to the HAW 13
0.0
Q3 7:29
Devon Dampier pass complete to Ryan Davis for 11 yds to the HAW 2 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 6:56
Devon Dampier run for 2 yds for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK)
-9.0
Q3 6:53
Micah Alejado pass complete to Jonah Panoke for 5 yds to the HAW 30
+2.4
Q3 6:29
Micah Alejado pass incomplete
0.0
Q3 6:23
Micah Alejado pass complete to Spencer Curtis for 10 yds to the HAW 40 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 6:02
Micah Alejado pass complete to Karsyn Pupunu for 15 yds to the UNM 45 for a 1ST down
+0.2
Q3 5:44
Micah Alejado pass complete to Spencer Curtis for 6 yds to the UNM 39
+0.7
Q3 5:24
Landon Sims run for 6 yds to the UNM 33 for a 1ST down
+0.3
Q3 5:00
Micah Alejado run for no gain to the UNM 33
0.0
Q3 4:31
John-Keawe Sagapolutele pass complete to Landon Sims for 13 yds to the UNM 20 for a 1ST down
+0.3
Q3 3:49
Micah Alejado pass complete to Cam Barfield for 1 yd to the UNM 19
+0.4
Q3 2:59
ALEJADO, Micah pass deep to the right incomplete intended for CENACLE, Nick thrown to the UNM0, clock 02:59. PENALTY UNM Pass Interference on WATTS, Cameron enforced at the spot of the foul for 15 yards to the UNM4 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).
0.0
Q3 2:56
Tylan Hines run for a loss of 7 yards to the UNM 11
0.0
Q3 2:12
Micah Alejado pass complete to Jonah Panoke for 10 yds to the UNM 1
+0.7
Q3 1:35
Micah Alejado pass incomplete
0.0
Q3 1:23
Kansei Matsuzawa 19 yd FG GOOD
+4.4
Q3 1:23
Devon Dampier pass complete to Luke Wysong for 13 yds to the UNM 38 for a 1ST down
-1.0
Q3 0:58
Eli Sanders run for 8 yds to the UNM 46
0.0
Q3 0:26
Devon Dampier pass complete to Luke Wysong for 10 yds to the HAW 44 for a 1ST down
+0.5
Q3 0:01
Eli Sanders run for 16 yds to the HAW 28 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 14:58
Eli Sanders run for 24 yds to the HAW 4 for a 1ST down
-0.1
Q4 14:25
Devon Dampier run for 3 yds to the HAW 1
+1.7
Q4 13:53
Devon Dampier run for 1 yd for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK)
-14.8
Q4 13:50
Christian Vaughn run for 5 yds to the HAW 30
+4.9
Q4 13:19
Micah Alejado run for 4 yds to the HAW 34
+0.8
Q4 12:32
Micah Alejado pass complete to Tamatoa Mokiao-Atimalala for 6 yds to the HAW 40 for a 1ST down
+0.4
Q4 11:56
Cam Barfield run for 9 yds to the HAW 49
+0.1
Q4 11:33
Micah Alejado pass complete to Nick Cenacle for 9 yds to the UNM 42 for a 1ST down
+0.4
Q4 11:05
Hawai'i Penalty, False Start (Sergio Muasau) to the UNM 47
+0.4
Q4 10:56
Micah Alejado run for 2 yds to the UNM 45
+0.5
Q4 10:35
John-Keawe Sagapolutele pass complete to Tamatoa Mokiao-Atimalala for 2 yds to the UNM 43
0.0
Q4 9:27
Hawai'i Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UNM 48
+1.8
Q4 9:23
Micah Alejado pass complete to Jonah Panoke for 45 yds to the UNM 3 for a 1ST down
-0.3
Q4 8:59
Micah Alejado pass incomplete
+0.3
Q4 8:48
Micah Alejado pass complete to Tamatoa Mokiao-Atimalala for 3 yds for a TD (Kansei Matsuzawa KICK)
+8.4
Q4 8:48
Devon Dampier pass complete to Luke Wysong for no gain to the UNM 25
-0.5
Q4 8:18
Devon Dampier pass complete to Luke Wysong for 8 yds to the UNM 33
+0.1
Q4 7:40
Devon Dampier run for 1 yd to the UNM 34
0.0
Q4 7:10
Devon Dampier run for 5 yds to the UNM 39 for a 1ST down
+1.2
Q4 6:42
Devon Dampier run for 9 yds to the UNM 48
0.0
Q4 6:18
NaQuari Rogers run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 5:48
Devon Dampier pass complete to Ryan Davis for 17 yds to the HAW 33 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 5:23
NaQuari Rogers run for 9 yds to the HAW 24
-0.2
Q4 4:52
Timeout Hawai'i, clock 04:52
+0.9
Q4 4:51
(04:51) DAMPIER, Devon pass deep to the right incomplete intended for MEDFORD, Caleb thrown to the HAWAII0; QB hurried by SMITH, Jalen, clock 04:42. PENALTY UNM Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on BRUCKLER, Trace enforced 5 yards from the HAWAII24 to the HAWAII29 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).
0.0
Q4 4:24
Devon Dampier run for 11 yds to the HAW 18 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 3:58
NaQuari Rogers run for 6 yds to the HAW 12
+0.3
Q4 3:37
NaQuari Rogers run for 3 yds to the HAW 9
0.0
Q4 3:24
NaQuari Rogers run for 5 yds to the HAW 4 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 2:53
Devon Dampier pass complete to NaQuari Rogers for 3 yds to the HAW 1
0.0
Q4 2:34
NaQuari Rogers run for 1 yd for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK)
-4.9
Q4 2:31
Cam Barfield run for 4 yds to the UNM 48
-0.1
Q4 2:24
Timeout New Mexico, clock 02:24
+1.4
Q4 2:23
Cam Barfield run for a loss of 4 yards to the HAW 48
0.0
Q4 2:00
Timeout Hawai'i, clock 02:00
+0.1
Q4 1:59
Micah Alejado pass complete to Spencer Curtis for 11 yds to the UNM 41 for a 1ST down
+0.4
Q4 1:48
Cam Barfield run for 13 yds to the UNM 28 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 1:37
Micah Alejado run for 4 yds to the UNM 24
0.0
Q4 1:34
Timeout New Mexico, clock 01:34
+0.6
Q4 1:31
Timeout New Mexico, clock 01:31
+0.1
Q4 1:30
Micah Alejado run for 19 yds to the UNM 5 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 1:22
(01:22) [NHSG] Kneel down by ALEJADO, Micah at UNM7 (team loss of 2), clock 01:18.
0.0
Q4 0:38
(00:38) [NHSG] Kneel down by ALEJADO, Micah at UNM9 (team loss of 2), clock 00:35.
+0.1
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 2:29
Micah Alejado pass complete to Tamatoa Mokiao-Atimalala for 15 yds for a TD (Kansei Matsuzawa KICK)
+16.9
TD · Q4 13:53
Devon Dampier run for 1 yd for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK)
-14.8
TD · Q3 11:58
Micah Alejado pass complete to Nick Cenacle for 3 yds for a TD (Kansei Matsuzawa KICK)
+14.6
YardLine · model v2Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com