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UNLV

UNLV 29 at Hawai'i 27

HAW
2024 · Week 11 · Nov 9, 2024 · Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex
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Win probability · HAW
modelHAW aheadUNLV aheadconfidence bandkey playHAW scoreUNLV score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGFGTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 9:02 · Brayden Schager sacked by Jackson Woodard and Fisher Camac for a loss of 9 yards to the HAW 40
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+31.0+15.50−15.5−31.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 57Pregame prior−17.4Home team on offense−4.0Score differential−1.1Garbage-time factor−1.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 8:38: Jonah Panoke 49 Yd pass from Brayden Schager (Kansei Matsuzawa Kick) — HAW win probability +19.2 pts (now 53%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 6:53: Ricky White III 37 Yd pass from Hajj-Malik Williams (Caden Chittenden Kick) — UNLV win probability +17.4 pts (now 73%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 0:57: Kansei Matsuzawa 33 Yd Field Goal — HAW win probability +7.7 pts (now 42%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  4. TD · Q4 6:03: Jai'Den Thomas 32 Yd Run (Caden Chittenden Kick) — UNLV win probability +21.1 pts (now 91%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 4:15: Jonah Panoke 5 Yd pass from Brayden Schager (Kansei Matsuzawa Kick) — HAW win probability +33.6 pts (now 44%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
HAW made the numbers' call on 8 of 10UNLV made the numbers' call on 8 of 12
  1. Q1 13:02UNLV 4th & 8 at HAW 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 77.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.5%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    77.5%
    70% to make
    Punt
    77.1%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:58HAW 4th & 26 at HAW 21, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.3%−0.3
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:07UNLV 4th & 5 at UNLV 30, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.2%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.3%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:42HAW 4th & 10 at HAW 34, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.7%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.0%
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:03UNLV 4th & 3 at UNLV 35, up 3
    Close callPunted · 73.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q1 1:02UNLV 4th & 5 at UNLV 46, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.2%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 14:02HAW 4th & 10 at HAW 20, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.4%−0.6
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.9%
    average punt
  8. Q2 12:30UNLV 4th & 14 at HAW 49, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.7%−0.8
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.5%
    average punt
  9. Q2 9:02HAW 4th & 1 at HAW 49, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 26.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    26.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    24.5%−1.7
    average punt
  10. Q2 6:08UNLV 4th & 4 at HAW 11, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 76.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.0%
    45% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.7%−0.3
    87% to make
    Punt
    71.3%−4.7
    average punt
  11. Q2 3:25HAW 4th & 1 at UNLV 23, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsKicked a field goal · 27.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    25.5%−1.6
    70% to make
    Punt
    20.8%−6.3
    average punt
  12. Q2 2:13UNLV 4th & 1 at UNLV 47, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsPunted · 76.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.7%−1.5
    average punt
  13. Q2 1:36HAW 4th & 10 at HAW 16, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.4%−1.9
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.3%
    average punt
  14. Q2 0:05UNLV 4th & 5 at HAW 15, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 77.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.6%−0.4
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    77.0%
    83% to make
    Punt
    71.4%−5.6
    average punt
  15. Q3 13:40UNLV 4th & 1 at HAW 43, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 76.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    76.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    73.4%−3.4
    28% to make
    Punt
    74.3%−2.4
    average punt
  16. Q3 10:26UNLV 4th & 6 at HAW 15, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 76.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.0%−0.6
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.6%
    83% to make
    Punt
    68.4%−7.2
    average punt
  17. Q3 0:57HAW 4th & 11 at UNLV 16, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 31.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.4%−3.1
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    30.5%
    81% to make
    Punt
    16.4%−14.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 12:04UNLV 4th & 17 at HAW 48, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.2%−5.7
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.9%
    average punt
  19. Q4 11:02HAW 4th & 10 at HAW 38, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.7%−1.8
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.5%
    average punt
  20. Q4 9:07UNLV 4th & 3 at UNLV 37, up 2
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsPunted · 62.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.1%−1.6
    average punt
  21. Q4 7:25HAW 4th & 20 at HAW 12, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.3%−6.7
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.0%
    average punt
  22. Q4 5:26HAW 4th & 6 at HAW 29, down 9
    Close callWent for it · 11.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.6%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    10.7%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
HAW made the numbers' call on 2 of 3UNLV made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 8:39UNLV Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:47HAW Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    24.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 8:38HAW Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 6:53UNLV Touchdown, up 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 6:03UNLV Touchdown, up 8 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.7%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.7%
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 4:15HAW Touchdown, down 3 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.6%−0.6
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.2%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
HAWDrive 1INT
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:1725% → 25%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
25.2%
Tylan Hines run for 1 yd to the HAW 26Similar
Q1 14:43
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-15
25.3%
Brayden Schager pass intercepted Johnathan Baldwin return for 15 yds to the HAW 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 2FG
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:3275% → 74%
Q1 14:34
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+6
25.4%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 6 yds to the HAW 19Similar
Q1 14:10
2ND & 4
OPP 19
0
25.5%
Hajj-Malik Williams run for no gain to the HAW 19Similar
Q1 13:42
3RD & 4
OPP 19
-4
25.7%
Hajj-Malik Williams sacked by Elijah Robinson and Dion Washington for a loss of 4 yards to the HAW 23Similar
Q1 13:02
4TH & 8
OPP 23
+41
26.0%
Caden Chittenden 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 2 yds · 2:5626% → 27%
Q1 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
26.0%
Landon Sims run for no gain to the HAW 19Similar
Q1 12:06
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+18
26.3%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Alex Perry for 18 yds to the HAW 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-3
26.5%
Landon Sims run for a loss of 3 yards to the HAW 34Similar
Q1 11:06
2ND & 13
OWN 34
-5
26.6%
Hawai'i Penalty, False Start (James Milovale) to the HAW 29Similar
Q1 10:47
2ND & 18
OWN 29
0
26.7%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:42
3RD & 18
OWN 29
-8
26.6%
Brayden Schager sacked by Johnathan Baldwin for a loss of 8 yards to the HAW 21Similar
Q1 9:58
4TH & 26
OWN 21
0
26.8%
Lucas Borrow punt for 37 yds, downed at the UNLV 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 4TD
3 plays · 58 yds · 1:0773% → 75%
Q1 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+8
27.0%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 9:20
2ND & 2
50
+27
27.0%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Christian Moore for 27 yds to the HAW 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:39
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
25.1%
Hajj-Malik Williams run for 23 yds for a TD (Caden Chittenden KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 5TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:4925% → 28%
Q1 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
25.4%
Tylan Hines run for 1 yd to the HAW 26Similar
Q1 7:47
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+74
27.7%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Dekel Crowdus for 74 yds for a TD (Kansei Matsuzawa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:3372% → 71%
Q1 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
28.0%
Kylin James run for 2 yds to the UNLV 27Similar
Q1 7:08
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
28.2%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Ricky White III for no gain to the UNLV 27Similar
Q1 6:39
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+3
28.8%
Hajj-Malik Williams run for 3 yds to the UNLV 30Similar
Q1 6:07
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
29.2%
Marshall Nichols punt for 36 yds, downed at the HAW 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:2028% → 28%
Q1 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
28.2%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:55
2ND & 10
OWN 34
0
28.2%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:47
3RD & 10
OWN 34
0
27.9%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:42
4TH & 10
OWN 34
0
27.8%
Lucas Borrow punt for 38 yds, downed at the UNLV 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:1371% → 70%
Q1 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+7
28.9%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 7 yds to the UNLV 35Similar
Q1 5:00
2ND & 3
OWN 35
+1
28.7%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 1 yd to the UNLV 36Similar
Q1 4:35
3RD & 2
OWN 36
-1
29.0%
Devin Green run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 35Similar
Q1 4:03
4TH & 3
OWN 35
0
29.6%
Marshall Nichols punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Tylan Hines at the HAW 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:5229% → 29%
Q1 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
28.9%
Brayden Schager run for 1 yd to the HAW 21Similar
Q1 3:12
2ND & 9
OWN 21
0
29.0%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:03
3RD & 9
OWN 21
0
28.8%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 1:4173% → 73%
Q1 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
26.8%
Hawai'i Penalty, Defensive Holding (Devyn King) to the UNLV 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
26.1%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:11
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+2
26.4%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 2 yds to the UNLV 43Similar
Q1 1:39
3RD & 8
OWN 43
+3
26.4%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to DeAngelo Irvin Jr. for 3 yds to the UNLV 46Similar
Q1 1:02
4TH & 5
OWN 46
0
26.9%
Marshall Nichols punt for 49 ydsSimilar
Q1 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+15
26.8%
(00:51) SCHAGER, Brayden pass deep to the right intercepted by DOYLE JR., Antonio at the HAWAII21 intended for ASHLOCK, Pofele. Doyle Jr. return for 21 yards to the HAWAII0, TOUCHDOWN UNLV, score nullified by penalty, clock 00:46 (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY UNLV Roughing the Passer on MARTINSON, Tatuo enforced 15 yards from the HAWAII5 to the HAWAII20 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 15 yds · 1:3827% → 27%
Q1 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
26.9%
Brayden Schager run for no gain to the HAW 20Similar
Q2 14:59
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
27.0%
Tylan Hines run for no gain to the HAW 20Similar
Q2 14:15
3RD & 10
OWN 20
0
26.6%
Brayden Schager run for no gain to the HAW 20Similar
Q2 14:02
4TH & 10
OWN 20
+15
26.5%
Lucas Borrow punt for 40 yds , DeAngelo Irvin Jr. returns for 15 yds to the HAW 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 1:2075% → 73%
Q2 13:50
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
25.5%
Kylin James run for 4 yds to the HAW 41Similar
Q2 13:24
2ND & 6
OPP 41
-8
25.5%
Hajj-Malik Williams sacked by Elijah Robinson for a loss of 8 yards to the HAW 49Similar
Q2 12:39
3RD & 14
OPP 49
0
26.8%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:30
4TH & 14
OPP 49
0
27.4%
Marshall Nichols punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Tylan Hines at the HAW 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 13DOWNS
8 plays · 28 yds · 3:2427% → 29%
Q2 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+11
27.2%
Brayden Schager run for 11 yds to the HAW 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+8
27.4%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 8 yds to the HAW 31Similar
Q2 11:13
2ND & 2
OWN 31
0
28.4%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:07
3RD & 2
OWN 31
+9
27.5%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 9 yds to the HAW 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
28.8%
Brayden Schager run for 1 yd to the HAW 41Similar
Q2 9:44
2ND & 9
OWN 41
0
28.2%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:35
3RD & 9
OWN 41
+8
27.7%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Nick Cenacle for 8 yds to the HAW 49Similar
Q2 9:02
4TH & 1
OWN 49
-9
28.6%
Brayden Schager sacked by Jackson Woodard and Fisher Camac for a loss of 9 yards to the HAW 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 14MISSED FG
9 plays · 29 yds · 2:4675% → 75%
Q2 8:54
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
25.3%
Hajj-Malik Williams run for 2 yds to the HAW 38Similar
Q2 8:24
2ND & 8
OPP 38
0
25.4%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:18
3RD & 8
OPP 38
0
25.6%
(08:18) WILLIAMS, Hajj-Malik pass up the middle intercepted by PALMER, Elijah at the HAWAII29 intended for CAIN, Casey. Palmer return for 0 yards to the HAWAII29, End of Play, clock 08:10. PENALTY HAWAII Holding on KING, Devyn UNLV Unsportsmanlike Conduct on ST. JOHN, Jalen , Offsetting penalties [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 6:08
3RD & 8
OPP 38
+9
24.6%
Hajj-Malik Williams run for 9 yds to the HAW 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:08
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+12
23.9%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Ricky White III for 12 yds to the HAW 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:08
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
23.9%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:08
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+1
23.9%
Hajj-Malik Williams run for 1 yd to the HAW 16Similar
Q2 6:08
3RD & 9
OPP 16
+5
24.5%
Hajj-Malik Williams run for 5 yds to the HAW 11Similar
Q2 6:08
4TH & 4
OPP 11
+29
25.1%
Caden Chittenden 29 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 15FG
9 plays · 57 yds · 2:4227% → 29%
Q2 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
26.9%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Jonah Panoke for 5 yds to the HAW 25Similar
Q2 5:38
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+21
27.3%
Brayden Schager run for 21 yds to the HAW 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
28.8%
Brayden Schager run for 7 yds to the UNLV 47Similar
Q2 4:49
2ND & 3
OPP 47
0
29.6%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:43
3RD & 3
OPP 47
+15
29.3%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Jonah Panoke for 15 yds to the UNLV 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:09
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+9
30.7%
Landon Sims run for 9 yds to the UNLV 23Similar
Q2 3:40
2ND & 1
OPP 23
0
30.9%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:35
3RD & 1
OPP 23
0
29.9%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:25
4TH & 1
OPP 23
+41
29.1%
Kansei Matsuzawa 41 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 25 yds · 1:0375% → 76%
Q2 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
25.5%
DeAngelo Irvin Jr. run for 1 yd to the UNLV 23Similar
Q2 2:54
2ND & 9
OWN 23
+15
25.3%
(02:54) WILLIAMS, Hajj-Malik pass deep to the left incomplete intended for WHITE III, Ricky thrown to the HAWAII40, clock 02:48. PENALTY HAWAII Pass Interference on STONE, Cameron enforced 15 yards to the UNLV38 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+9
23.8%
Hajj-Malik Williams run for 9 yds to the UNLV 47Similar
Q2 2:26
2ND & 1
OWN 47
0
23.2%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:16
3RD & 1
OWN 47
0
23.5%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:13
4TH & 1
OWN 47
0
24.5%
Marshall Nichols punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Tylan Hines at the HAW 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 0:3128% → 27%
Q2 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+8
27.8%
Tylan Hines run for 8 yds to the HAW 24Similar
Q2 1:59
2ND & 2
OWN 24
0
27.7%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:53
3RD & 2
OWN 24
-8
27.1%
Brayden Schager sacked by Antonio Doyle Jr. for a loss of 8 yards to the HAW 16Similar
Q2 1:36
4TH & 10
OWN 16
0
26.9%
Lucas Borrow punt for 63 yds, downed at the UNLV 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 18MISSED FG
12 plays · 64 yds · 1:2472% → 71%
Q2 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
27.7%
Kylin James run for 2 yds to the UNLV 23Similar
Q2 1:23
2ND & 8
OWN 23
+3
27.9%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Jai'Den Thomas for 3 yds to the UNLV 26Similar
Q2 1:13
3RD & 5
OWN 26
+16
31.1%
Hajj-Malik Williams run for 16 yds to the UNLV 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
29.2%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:56
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+4
29.6%
Hajj-Malik Williams run for 4 yds to the UNLV 46Similar
Q2 0:41
3RD & 6
OWN 46
+34
29.6%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Ricky White III for 34 yds to the HAW 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:31
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
27.3%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:30
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+5
27.4%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Jai'Den Thomas for 5 yds to the HAW 15Similar
Q2 0:06
3RD & 5
OPP 15
0
27.3%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:05
4TH & 5
OPP 15
+32
29.2%
Caden Chittenden 32 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 19END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0030% → 30%
Q2 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
30.1%
(00:02) [NH] Kneel down by SCHAGER, Brayden at HAWAII19 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 20FG
11 plays · 37 yds · 4:3376% → 71%
Q3 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
24.1%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+3
24.1%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 3 yds to the HAW 49Similar
Q3 14:09
3RD & 7
OPP 49
+6
24.1%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Jai'Den Thomas for 6 yds to the HAW 43Similar
Q3 13:40
4TH & 1
OPP 43
+6
25.1%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 6 yds to the HAW 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:08
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
23.7%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:07
2ND & 10
OPP 37
0
23.7%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:59
3RD & 10
OPP 37
+18
24.2%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Ricky White III for 18 yds to the HAW 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:32
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
23.4%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 3 yds to the HAW 16Similar
Q3 11:53
2ND & 7
OPP 16
+1
23.2%
Kylin James run for 1 yd to the HAW 15Similar
Q3 11:11
3RD & 6
OPP 15
0
23.7%
Hajj-Malik Williams run for no gain to the HAW 15Similar
Q3 10:26
4TH & 6
OPP 15
+32
28.8%
Caden Chittenden 32 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 21TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:4731% → 53%
Q3 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
30.9%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Jonah Panoke for 9 yds to the HAW 34Similar
Q3 10:01
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+10
33.0%
Brayden Schager run for 10 yds to the HAW 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+7
33.5%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Jonah Panoke for 7 yds to the UNLV 49Similar
Q3 8:38
2ND & 3
OPP 49
+49
52.7%
Jonah Panoke 49 Yd pass from Brayden Schager (Kansei Matsuzawa Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 22TD
4 plays · 71 yds · 1:4153% → 73%
Q3 8:34
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
47.4%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Greg Burrell for 3 yds to the UNLV 32Similar
Q3 8:01
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+19
47.1%
Greg Burrell run for 19 yds to the HAW 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:35
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+12
44.3%
Greg Burrell run for 12 yds to the HAW 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:53
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+37
26.8%
Ricky White III 37 Yd pass from Hajj-Malik Williams (Caden Chittenden Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 23FG
12 plays · 59 yds · 5:5332% → 42%
Q3 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
31.6%
Cam Barfield run for 5 yds to the HAW 30Similar
Q3 6:13
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-2
32.3%
Brayden Schager sacked by Tatuo Martinson and TEAM for a loss of 2 yards to the HAW 28Similar
Q3 5:33
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+15
28.4%
Brayden Schager run for 15 yds to the HAW 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+10
32.4%
(04:47) SCHAGER, Brayden sacked for a loss of 1 yard at the HAWAII42 (MCDUFFIE, Marsel), clock 04:43. PENALTY UNLV Holding on WOODARD, Jackson enforced 10 yards from the HAWAII43 to the UNLV47 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 4:05
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-1
34.1%
Tylan Hines run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 48Similar
Q3 3:43
2ND & 11
OPP 48
+14
33.3%
Brayden Schager run for 14 yds to the UNLV 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:58
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+19
36.2%
Landon Sims run for 19 yds to the UNLV 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:42
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-1
36.2%
Tylan Hines run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 16Similar
Q3 1:55
2ND & 11
OPP 16
0
36.2%
Brayden Schager run for no gain to the UNLV 16Similar
Q3 1:09
3RD & 11
OPP 16
0
34.1%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:57
4TH & 11
OPP 16
+33
41.8%
Kansei Matsuzawa 33 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 24PUNT
10 plays · 36 yds · 3:4765% → 63%
Q3 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+15
35.5%
Greg Burrell run for 15 yds to the UNLV 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
34.3%
Greg Burrell run for 5 yds to the UNLV 36Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+5
33.3%
Hajj-Malik Williams run for 5 yds to the UNLV 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
32.6%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:52
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
33.5%
Greg Burrell run for no gain to the UNLV 41Similar
Q4 14:11
3RD & 10
OWN 41
+18
34.8%
Hajj-Malik Williams run for 18 yds to the HAW 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-7
31.3%
Hajj-Malik Williams sacked by Malachi Finau for a loss of 7 yards to the HAW 48Similar
Q4 12:54
2ND & 17
OPP 48
0
33.2%
Greg Burrell run for no gain to the HAW 48Similar
Q4 12:12
3RD & 17
OPP 48
0
35.0%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:04
4TH & 17
OPP 48
0
37.3%
Marshall Nichols punt for 23 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 25PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 0:5942% → 35%
Q4 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
41.9%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:55
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+13
37.1%
Tylan Hines run for 13 yds to the HAW 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:18
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
40.5%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:14
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
39.9%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:06
3RD & 10
OWN 38
0
37.8%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:02
4TH & 10
OWN 38
0
35.4%
Lucas Borrow punt for 49 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · 24 yds · 1:4665% → 64%
Q4 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+17
35.5%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Ricky White III for 17 yds to the UNLV 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
34.2%
Hajj-Malik Williams run for no gain to the UNLV 30Similar
Q4 9:54
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+7
35.5%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 7 yds to the UNLV 37Similar
Q4 9:14
3RD & 3
OWN 37
0
33.9%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:07
4TH & 3
OWN 37
0
36.3%
Marshall Nichols punt for 41 yds, downed at the HAW 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 27PUNT
4 plays · -10 yds · 1:3340% → 35%
Q4 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-12
39.5%
Brayden Schager sacked by Fisher Camac for a loss of 12 yards to the HAW 10Similar
Q4 8:15
2ND & 22
OWN 10
0
39.1%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:08
3RD & 22
OWN 10
+2
37.1%
Brayden Schager run for 2 yds to the HAW 12Similar
Q4 7:25
4TH & 20
OWN 12
+1
34.9%
Lucas Borrow punt for 43 yds , DeAngelo Irvin Jr. returns for 1 yd to the UNLV 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 28TD
3 plays · 54 yds · 1:1469% → 91%
Q4 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+10
31.0%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Ricky White III for 10 yds to the HAW 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:53
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+12
30.0%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 12 yds to the HAW 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:03
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+32
8.9%
Jai'Den Thomas 32 Yd Run (Caden Chittenden Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 29TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:4611% → 44%
Q4 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
11.2%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:57
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
10.9%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:51
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+4
10.6%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Tamatoa Mokiao-Atimalala for 4 yds to the HAW 29Similar
Q4 5:26
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+9
9.5%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Tamatoa Mokiao-Atimalala for 9 yds to the HAW 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-5
11.3%
Hawai'i Penalty, False Start (Ethan Spencer) to the HAW 33Similar
Q4 4:59
1ST & 15
OWN 33
+62
10.3%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Nick Cenacle for 62 yds to the UNLV 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
44.0%
Jonah Panoke 5 Yd pass from Brayden Schager (Kansei Matsuzawa Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 30END OF GAME
8 plays · 61 yds · 3:2773% → 92%
Q4 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
27.4%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 4 yds to the UNLV 27Similar
Q4 3:23
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+4
24.7%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 4 yds to the UNLV 31Similar
Q4 2:40
3RD & 2
OWN 31
+7
23.3%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 7 yds to the UNLV 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
16.7%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 5 yds to the UNLV 43Similar
Q4 1:54
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+2
16.0%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 2 yds to the UNLV 45Similar
Q4 1:09
3RD & 3
OWN 45
+40
12.8%
Hajj-Malik Williams run for 40 yds to the HAW 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:42
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-1
8.0%
(00:42) [SG] Kneel down by WILLIAMS, Hajj-Malik at HAWAII16 (team loss of 1), clock 00:30.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 4:15
Jonah Panoke 5 Yd pass from Brayden Schager (Kansei Matsuzawa Kick)
+33.6
TD · Q4 6:03
Jai'Den Thomas 32 Yd Run (Caden Chittenden Kick)
-21.1
TD · Q3 8:38
Jonah Panoke 49 Yd pass from Brayden Schager (Kansei Matsuzawa Kick)
+19.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com