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NEV

Nevada 13 at Hawai'i 34

HAW
2024 · Week 9 · Oct 26, 2024 · Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex
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Win probability · HAW
modelHAW aheadNEV aheadconfidence bandkey playHAW scoreNEV score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 9:01 · Guy Gillespie punt for 43 yds, downed at the HAW 25
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+34.0+17.00−17.0−34.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 97Home team on offense+10.1Score differential+3.4Pregame prior+4.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.7Garbage-time factor+1.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:28: Brayden Schager run for 1 yd for a TD (Kansei Matsuzawa KICK) — HAW win probability +5.0 pts (now 73%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 14:29: Chubba Purdy pass complete to Marcus Bellon for 63 yds for a TD (Matthew Killam KICK) — NEV win probability +9.8 pts (now 26%) (top driver: NEV has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 1:57: Brayden Schager run for 3 yds for a TD (Kansei Matsuzawa KICK) — HAW win probability +10.8 pts (now 94%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 14:07: Brayden Schager run for 6 yds for a TD (Kansei Matsuzawa KICK) — HAW win probability +3.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 8:43: AJ Bianco pass complete to Marcus Bellon for 10 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed) — NEV win probability +2.9 pts (now 5%) (top driver: NEV has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
HAW made the numbers' call on 3 of 3NEV made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 5:24NEV 4th & 4 at HAW 33, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 39.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    39.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    38.9%−0.2
    49% to make
    Punt
    38.7%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q2 8:51NEV 4th & 5 at HAW 28, down 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 28.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.8%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    27.8%−0.1
    60% to make
    Punt
    23.3%−4.5
    average punt
  3. Q2 1:25NEV 4th & 6 at HAW 37, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 23.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    23.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    22.8%−0.3
    40% to make
    Punt
    22.2%−0.8
    average punt
  4. Q2 0:09HAW 4th & 10 at NEV 10, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 80.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.0%−0.7
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    79.7%
    88% to make
    Punt
    76.5%−3.2
    average punt
  5. Q3 10:58HAW 4th & 6 at NEV 48, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.5%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.7%
    average punt
  6. Q3 9:01NEV 4th & 5 at NEV 32, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.9%−1.4
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.3%
    average punt
  7. Q3 0:13NEV 4th & 1 at NEV 28, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.2%−1.7
    average punt
  8. Q4 10:03NEV 4th & 1 at HAW 16, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    1.2%−0.2
    81% to make
    Punt
    0.5%−0.9
    average punt
  9. Q4 2:53HAW 4th & 10 at NEV 13, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.3%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.4%
    85% to make
    Punt
    97.4%−1.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 1:59NEV 4th & 2 at NEV 43, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.5%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
HAW made the numbers' call on 4 of 4NEV made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 10:10HAW Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:28HAW Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 14:29NEV Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    24.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 1:57HAW Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 14:07HAW Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 8:43NEV Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    3.3%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    3.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
HAWDrive 1TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:5062% → 64%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
62.4%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Jonah Panoke for 8 yds to the HAW 33Similar
Q1 14:48
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+7
62.4%
Brayden Schager run for 7 yds to the HAW 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+20
62.4%
Landon Sims run for 20 yds to the NEV 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:36
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+11
62.6%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Tylan Hines for 11 yds to the NEV 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:14
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+9
62.6%
Brayden Schager run for 9 yds to the NEV 20Similar
Q1 12:30
2ND & 1
OPP 20
+19
62.7%
Landon Sims run for 19 yds to the NEV 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-10
62.8%
(11:56) QB Keeper SCHAGER, Brayden rush to the left for a gain of 1 yard to the NEVADA0, TOUCHDOWN HAWAII, score nullified by penalty, clock 11:45 (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY HAWAII Holding on BRISKI, Dean enforced 10 yards from the NEVADA1 to the NEVADA11 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 11:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 11
+7
62.8%
Landon Sims run for 7 yds to the NEV 4Similar
Q1 10:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
62.9%
David Cordero run for 3 yds to the NEV 1Similar
Q1 10:18
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
62.8%
Nevada Penalty, Offsides (Thomas Witte) to the NEV 0Similar
Q1 10:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
64.3%
Brayden Schager run for 1 yd for a TD (Kansei Matsuzawa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 2DOWNS
11 plays · 24 yds · 4:3336% → 35%
Q1 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
63.6%
Chubba Purdy pass complete to Jaden Smith for 6 yds to the NEV 43Similar
Q1 9:27
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+6
63.6%
Ky Woods run for 6 yds to the NEV 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
63.6%
Marcus Bellon run for 2 yds to the HAW 49Similar
Q1 8:26
2ND & 8
OPP 49
-10
63.7%
(08:26) QB Keeper PURDY, Chubba rush to the right for a gain of 2 yards to the HAWAII47 (PALMER, Elijah), clock 08:20. PENALTY NEVADA Holding on WORLD, Isaiah enforced 10 yards from the HAWAII49 to the NEVADA41 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 8:02
2ND & 18
OWN 41
+16
64.5%
Chubba Purdy pass complete to Marcus Bellon for 16 yds to the HAW 43Similar
Q1 7:24
3RD & 2
OPP 43
+4
63.8%
Patrick Garwo III run for 4 yds to the HAW 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:51
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
64.0%
Chubba Purdy run for 1 yd to the HAW 38Similar
Q1 6:10
2ND & 9
OPP 38
+5
64.1%
Chubba Purdy pass complete to Cortez Braham Jr. for 5 yds to the HAW 33Similar
Q1 5:27
3RD & 4
OPP 33
0
64.1%
Chubba Purdy pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:24
4TH & 4
OPP 33
-6
64.8%
Chubba Purdy sacked by Nalu Emerson for a loss of 6 yards to the HAW 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 3TD
12 plays · 61 yds · 4:4766% → 73%
Q1 5:15
1ST & 12
OWN 39
0
66.2%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:02
2ND & 12
OWN 39
+6
66.2%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Alex Perry for 6 yds to the HAW 45Similar
Q1 4:35
3RD & 6
OWN 45
+9
66.4%
Brayden Schager run for 9 yds to the NEV 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:02
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
67.1%
David Cordero run for 2 yds to the NEV 44Similar
Q1 3:24
2ND & 8
OPP 44
-2
66.9%
Brayden Schager sacked by Jonathan Maldonado for a loss of 2 yards to the NEV 46Similar
Q1 2:26
3RD & 10
OPP 46
+17
66.1%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Jonah Panoke for 17 yds to the NEV 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:07
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+8
67.2%
Landon Sims run for 8 yds to the NEV 21Similar
Q1 1:41
2ND & 2
OPP 21
+10
67.3%
(01:41) SCHAGER, Brayden pass deep to the left incomplete intended for ASHLOCK, Pofele broken up by COBB, Keyshawn at the NEVADA0, clock 01:29. PENALTY NEVADA Illegal use of the hands on BROWN, Chad enforced 10 yards from the NEVADA21 to the NEVADA11 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 1:29
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+10
67.4%
Brayden Schager run for 10 yds to the NEV 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
67.6%
(01:01) QB Keeper SCHAGER, Brayden rush up the middle for a loss of 1 yard to the NEVADA2 (ROSS, Kristopher), clock 00:46. PENALTY NEVADA Unnecessary Roughness on ROPATI, Nelson enforced half the distance from the goal, 1 yards from the NEVADA1 to the NEVADA0 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 0:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
67.7%
(00:43) QB Keeper SCHAGER, Brayden rush up the middle for no gain to the NEVADA1 (BROWN, Chad), clock 00:37. PENALTY NEVADA Unsportsmanlike Conduct on BROWN, Chad enforced half the distance from the goal, 1 yards from the NEVADA1 to the NEVADA0 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 0:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
72.7%
Brayden Schager run for 1 yd for a TD (Kansei Matsuzawa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 4MISSED FG
12 plays · 59 yds · 6:3029% → 27%
Q1 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+7
70.6%
Savion Red run for 7 yds to the NEV 20Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 20
+5
70.5%
Patrick Garwo III run for 5 yds to the NEV 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
70.5%
Chubba Purdy pass complete to Patrick Garwo III for 3 yds to the NEV 28Similar
Q2 13:40
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+14
71.0%
(13:40) PURDY, Chubba pass deep to the right incomplete intended for SMITH, Jaden thrown to the HAWAII45; QB hurried by EMERSON, Nalu, clock 13:30. PENALTY HAWAII Pass Interference on BROWN, Caleb enforced at the spot of the foul for 14 yards to the NEVADA42 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
70.9%
Chubba Purdy pass complete to Cortez Braham Jr. for 5 yds to the NEV 47Similar
Q2 12:47
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+2
70.6%
Caleb Ramseur run for 2 yds to the NEV 49Similar
Q2 12:12
3RD & 3
OWN 49
+8
70.6%
Chubba Purdy run for 8 yds to the HAW 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:32
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+10
70.5%
Caleb Ramseur run for 10 yds to the HAW 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:56
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
70.3%
Caleb Ramseur run for 1 yd to the HAW 32Similar
Q2 10:17
2ND & 9
OPP 32
+4
70.6%
Chubba Purdy pass complete to Andrew Savaiinaea for 4 yds to the HAW 28Similar
Q2 9:43
3RD & 5
OPP 28
0
71.4%
Chubba Purdy pass complete to Cortez Braham Jr. for no gain to the HAW 28Similar
Q2 8:51
4TH & 5
OPP 28
+46
72.8%
Matthew Killam 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 5INT
12 plays · 50 yds · 4:4476% → 80%
Q2 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+12
76.0%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Jonah Panoke for 12 yds to the HAW 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
77.2%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:17
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+8
77.0%
Landon Sims run for 8 yds to the HAW 48Similar
Q2 7:40
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+5
76.0%
Brayden Schager run for 5 yds to the NEV 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:57
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
77.5%
Tylan Hines run for 6 yds to the NEV 41Similar
Q2 6:10
2ND & 4
OPP 41
+1
77.7%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 1 yd to the NEV 40Similar
Q2 5:32
3RD & 3
OPP 40
0
77.4%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:25
4TH & 3
OPP 40
+15
79.8%
(05:25) SCHAGER, Brayden pass short to the left incomplete intended for ASHLOCK, Pofele thrown to the NEVADA35, clock 05:21. PENALTY NEVADA Face mask on MEIER, KK enforced 15 yards from the NEVADA40 to the NEVADA25 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 5:17
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
81.4%
Christian Vaughn run for 3 yds to the NEV 22Similar
Q2 4:41
2ND & 7
OPP 22
0
80.0%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Tylan Hines for no gain to the NEV 22Similar
Q2 4:02
3RD & 7
OPP 22
0
80.2%
Brayden Schager pass intercepted Michael Coats Jr. return for no gain to the NEV 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 6DOWNS
12 plays · 49 yds · 2:2524% → 21%
Q2 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+5
76.3%
AJ Bianco pass complete to Andrew Savaiinaea for 5 yds to the NEV 19Similar
Q2 3:22
2ND & 5
OWN 19
+3
76.5%
Caleb Ramseur run for 3 yds to the NEV 22Similar
Q2 3:00
3RD & 2
OWN 22
+3
76.6%
Caleb Ramseur run for 3 yds to the NEV 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
77.6%
AJ Bianco pass complete to Marcus Bellon for 15 yds to the NEV 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
77.6%
AJ Bianco pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:55
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+19
77.8%
AJ Bianco pass complete to Nathaneal Floyd for 19 yds to the HAW 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:38
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
76.2%
AJ Bianco pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:36
2ND & 10
OPP 41
0
76.5%
AJ Bianco pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:32
3RD & 10
OPP 41
+4
77.5%
Caleb Ramseur run for 4 yds to the HAW 37Similar
Q2 1:25
4TH & 6
OPP 37
0
78.7%
AJ Bianco pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 7FG
9 plays · 53 yds · 1:1186% → 86%
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+30
85.6%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Nick Cenacle for 30 yds to the NEV 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
86.5%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:06
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+6
86.5%
Landon Sims run for 6 yds to the NEV 27Similar
Q2 0:42
3RD & 4
OPP 27
+7
85.9%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 7 yds to the NEV 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+10
86.3%
Brayden Schager run for 10 yds to the NEV 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
85.7%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
84.8%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:16
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
0
84.0%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:09
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+27
85.7%
Kansei Matsuzawa 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 8END OF HALF
1 play · -6 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-6
83.8%
(00:01) [SG] Kneel down by BIANCO, AJ at NEVADA20 (team loss of 6), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 9TD
2 plays · 64 yds · 0:2116% → 26%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
83.8%
Caleb Ramseur run for 1 yd to the NEV 37Similar
Q3 14:29
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+63
74.0%
Chubba Purdy pass complete to Marcus Bellon for 63 yds for a TD (Matthew Killam KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 32 yds · 3:2176% → 78%
Q3 14:19
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
76.0%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Nick Cenacle for 11 yds to the HAW 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+9
76.4%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Jonah Panoke for 9 yds to the HAW 40Similar
Q3 13:25
2ND & 1
OWN 40
+8
77.8%
Landon Sims run for 8 yds to the HAW 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-3
78.7%
Brayden Schager sacked by Kristopher Ross for a loss of 3 yards to the HAW 45Similar
Q3 12:04
2ND & 13
OWN 45
+1
78.1%
Tylan Hines run for 1 yd to the HAW 46Similar
Q3 11:21
3RD & 12
OWN 46
+6
77.6%
Brayden Schager run for 6 yds to the NEV 48Similar
Q3 10:58
4TH & 6
OPP 48
0
77.7%
Lucas Borrow punt for 45 yds, downed at the NEV 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 29 yds · 1:4422% → 20%
Q3 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 3
0
77.9%
Chubba Purdy pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:39
2ND & 10
OWN 3
+5
78.2%
(10:39) RAMSEUR, Caleb rush up the middle for a gain of 2 yards to the NEVADA5 (TAYLOR, Logan), clock 10:38. PENALTY HAWAII Offsides on JOHNSON III, Jackie enforced 5 yards from the NEVADA3 to the NEVADA8 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 10:25
2ND & 5
OWN 8
+19
78.3%
Chubba Purdy run for 19 yds to the NEV 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
77.9%
Chubba Purdy pass complete to Marcus Bellon for 4 yds to the NEV 31Similar
Q3 9:32
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+1
77.8%
Chubba Purdy run for 1 yd to the NEV 32Similar
Q3 9:08
3RD & 5
OWN 32
0
78.7%
Chubba Purdy pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:01
4TH & 5
OWN 32
0
79.7%
Guy Gillespie punt for 43 yds, downed at the HAW 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 12TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 6:5278% → 94%
Q3 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
77.6%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:43
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
77.4%
(08:43) SCHAGER, Brayden pass short up the middle complete for 15 yards to SIMS, Landon caught at the HAWAII27 and advanced to the HAWAII40 (CRAWFORD, Kitan;DAFFIN, Tori), clock 08:37. PENALTY HAWAII Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on PEIHOPA, Kuao enforced 5 yards from the HAWAII25 to the HAWAII20 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 7:41
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+16
77.5%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Nick Cenacle for 16 yds to the HAW 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
78.9%
Tylan Hines run for 3 yds to the HAW 39Similar
Q3 7:25
2ND & 7
OWN 39
0
80.2%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:18
3RD & 7
OWN 39
+13
79.0%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 13 yds to the NEV 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:55
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
81.2%
Landon Sims run for 1 yd to the NEV 47Similar
Q3 6:05
2ND & 9
OPP 47
+10
81.4%
Tylan Hines run for 10 yds to the NEV 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:28
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-4
81.8%
Brayden Schager sacked by Drue Watts for a loss of 4 yards to the NEV 41Similar
Q3 4:45
2ND & 14
OPP 41
+5
81.7%
Landon Sims run for 5 yds to the NEV 36Similar
Q3 3:59
3RD & 9
OPP 36
-5
81.7%
Hawai'i Penalty, False Start (TEAM) to the NEV 41Similar
Q3 3:46
3RD & 14
OPP 41
+15
80.9%
Nevada Penalty, Targeting on BROWN, Chad enforced (Charles Brown) to the NEV 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:01
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+10
83.1%
Nevada Penalty, Face mask (0 yards) (Kitan Crawford) to the NEV 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+6
83.3%
Brayden Schager run for 6 yds to the NEV 3Similar
Q3 1:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
94.1%
Brayden Schager run for 3 yds for a TD (Kansei Matsuzawa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 13DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:368% → 6%
Q3 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
92.4%
Chubba Purdy pass complete to Caleb Ramseur for 5 yds to the NEV 24Similar
Q3 1:28
2ND & 5
OWN 24
+3
92.0%
Caleb Ramseur run for 3 yds to the NEV 27Similar
Q3 0:57
3RD & 2
OWN 27
+1
92.6%
Caleb Ramseur run for 1 yd to the NEV 28Similar
Q3 0:13
4TH & 1
OWN 28
0
93.6%
Chubba Purdy run for no gain to the NEV 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 14TD
4 plays · 28 yds · 1:0196% → 99%
Q3 0:08
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+10
95.6%
Christian Vaughn run for 10 yds to the NEV 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
95.6%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:52
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+12
95.6%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Jonah Panoke for 12 yds to the NEV 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
99.0%
Brayden Schager run for 6 yds for a TD (Kansei Matsuzawa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 15TD
17 plays · 65 yds · 5:242% → 5%
Q4 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
98.3%
Nevada Penalty, Offensive Holding (Josiah Timoteo) declinedSimilar
Q4 13:50
2ND & 12
OWN 33
+18
98.5%
AJ Bianco pass complete to Jaden Smith for 18 yds to the HAW 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:28
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-15
98.4%
(13:28) BIANCO, AJ pass up the middle complete for 13 yards to SMITH, Jaden caught at the HAWAII43 and advanced to the HAWAII36 (STONE, Cameron), clock 13:20. PENALTY NEVADA Unsportsmanlike Conduct on WORLD, Isaiah enforced 15 yards from the HAWAII49 to the NEVADA36 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 12:57
1ST & 25
OWN 36
+2
98.5%
AJ Bianco run for 2 yds to the NEV 38Similar
Q4 12:14
2ND & 23
OWN 38
+20
98.6%
AJ Bianco pass complete to Caleb Ramseur for 20 yds to the HAW 42Similar
Q4 11:50
3RD & 3
OPP 42
+3
98.4%
AJ Bianco pass complete to Marcus Bellon for 3 yds to the HAW 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+8
98.5%
AJ Bianco pass complete to Oliver Stuart for 8 yds to the HAW 31Similar
Q4 11:06
2ND & 2
OPP 31
+6
98.3%
AJ Bianco pass complete to Jaden Smith for 6 yds to the HAW 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:50
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
98.3%
AJ Bianco pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:45
2ND & 10
OPP 25
0
98.4%
AJ Bianco pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:39
3RD & 10
OPP 25
+9
98.5%
AJ Bianco run for 9 yds to the HAW 16Similar
Q4 10:03
4TH & 1
OPP 16
+3
98.5%
AJ Bianco run for 3 yds to the HAW 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:27
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
98.4%
AJ Bianco run for 3 yds to the HAW 10Similar
Q4 8:51
2ND & 7
OPP 10
0
98.4%
AJ Bianco pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:43
3RD & 7
OPP 10
+10
95.5%
AJ Bianco pass complete to Marcus Bellon for 10 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 16FUMBLE
9 plays · 45 yds · 2:374% → 3%
Q4 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-8
96.1%
AJ Bianco sacked by Anthony Sagapolutele for a loss of 8 yards to the NEV 37Similar
Q4 8:17
2ND & 18
OWN 37
-10
96.5%
(08:17) PURDY, Chubba pass to the left complete for 8 yards to DOLLARS, Sean caught at the NEVADA34 and advanced to the NEVADA45 (KING, Devyn), clock 08:10. PENALTY NEVADA Holding on WORLD, Isaiah enforced 10 yards from the NEVADA37 to the NEVADA27 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 7:37
2ND & 28
OWN 27
+15
96.6%
Hawai'i Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Nalu Emerson) to the NEV 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
96.3%
AJ Bianco pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:11
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+12
96.4%
AJ Bianco pass complete to Jaden Smith for 12 yds to the HAW 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:51
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
96.2%
AJ Bianco pass complete to Jaden Smith for 5 yds to the HAW 38Similar
Q4 6:37
2ND & 5
OPP 38
+7
96.0%
AJ Bianco pass complete to Jaden Smith for 7 yds to the HAW 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:11
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-10
96.1%
QB Keeper BIANCO, AJ rush up the middle for a gain of 8 yards to the HAWAII23 (TAYLOR, Logan), clock 06:11. PENALTY NEVADA Holding on MADRIGAL, Andrew enforced 10 yards from the HAWAII31 to the HAWAII41 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 5:56
1ST & 20
OPP 41
+31
96.7%
Chubba Purdy pass complete to Cortez Braham Jr. for 31 yds Cortez Braham Jr. fumbled, recovered by HAW Meki Pei M. Pei return for 22 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 17FG
9 plays · 55 yds · 2:41100% → 100%
Q4 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+9
99.5%
Brayden Schager run for 9 yds to the HAW 41Similar
Q4 4:52
2ND & 1
OWN 41
+46
99.5%
Brayden Schager run for 46 yds to the NEV 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:56
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+1
99.7%
Tylan Hines run for 1 yd to the NEV 12Similar
Q4 3:51
2ND & 9
OPP 12
+5
99.9%
Tylan Hines run for 5 yds to the NEV 7Similar
Q4 3:36
3RD & 4
OPP 7
-6
99.8%
Brayden Schager sacked by Stone Combs for a loss of 6 yards to the NEV 13Similar
Q4 2:53
4TH & 10
OPP 13
+30
99.9%
Kansei Matsuzawa 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 18INT
6 plays · 31 yds · 1:080% → 0%
Q4 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
99.8%
Chubba Purdy pass complete to Oliver Stuart for 4 yds to the NEV 39Similar
Q4 2:30
2ND & 6
OWN 39
0
99.8%
Chubba Purdy pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:21
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+4
99.8%
Chubba Purdy run for 4 yds to the NEV 43Similar
Q4 1:59
4TH & 2
OWN 43
+9
99.8%
Chubba Purdy pass complete to Oliver Stuart for 9 yds to the HAW 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:46
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+14
99.8%
Chubba Purdy run for 14 yds to the HAW 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:43
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
99.8%
Chubba Purdy pass intercepted Nalu Emerson return for no gain to the HAW 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 19END OF GAME
3 plays · -4 yds · 1:09100% → 100%
Q4 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-1
99.9%
(01:35) [SG] Kneel down by SAGAPOLUTELE, John-Keawe at HAWAII31 (team loss of 1), clock 01:23.Similar
Q4 1:01
2ND & 11
OWN 31
-2
99.9%
(01:01) [SG] Kneel down by SAGAPOLUTELE, John-Keawe at HAWAII29 (team loss of 2), clock 00:52.Similar
Q4 0:26
3RD & 13
OWN 29
-1
99.9%
(00:26) [SG] Kneel down by SAGAPOLUTELE, John-Keawe at HAWAII28 (team loss of 1), clock 00:20.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 1:57
Brayden Schager run for 3 yds for a TD (Kansei Matsuzawa KICK)
+10.8
TD · Q3 14:29
Chubba Purdy pass complete to Marcus Bellon for 63 yds for a TD (Matthew Killam KICK)
-9.8
TD · Q1 0:28
Brayden Schager run for 1 yd for a TD (Kansei Matsuzawa KICK)
+5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com