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BOIS

Boise State 28 at Hawai'i 7

HAW
2024 · Week 7 · Oct 12, 2024 · Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex
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Win probability · HAW
modelHAW aheadBOIS aheadconfidence bandkey playHAW scoreBOIS score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 2:10 · Brayden Schager sacked by Seyi Oladipo for a loss of 3 yards to the HAW 30
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+54.0+27.00−27.0−54.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 154Pregame prior−1.8Home team on offense−51.4Score differential−28.3Garbage-time factor−17.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−9.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−14.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 5:48: Ashton Jeanty run for 54 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK) — BOIS win probability +1.8 pts (now 87%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 3:24: Brayden Schager pass complete to Tylan Hines for 27 yds for a TD (Kansei Matsuzawa KICK) — HAW win probability +5.9 pts (now 21%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 4:11: Brayden Schager pass complete to Nick Cenacle for 11 yds to the BOIS 40 for a 1ST down — HAW win probability +3.8 pts (now 28%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
  4. TD · Q4 12:00: Maddux Madsen pass complete to Ashton Jeanty for 5 yds for a TD (Maddux Madsen pass to Austin Bolt for Two-Point Conversion) — BOIS win probability +11.4 pts (now 95%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 12:00: (12:00) SCHAGER, Brayden pass up the middle incomplete intended for NISHIGAYA, Koali thrown to the HAWAII34, clock 11:55. PENALTY BSU Holding on ROBINSON, Rodney enforced 10 yards from the HAWAII25 to the HAWAII35 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down). — HAW win probability +4.0 pts (now 9%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
HAW made the numbers' call on 5 of 8BOIS made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 14:37HAW 4th & 10 at HAW 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.4%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:14BOIS 4th & 3 at HAW 7, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 87.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.8%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    87.7%−0.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    87.3%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:15HAW 4th & 2 at HAW 38, down 3
    Close callPunted · 12.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.9%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:59HAW 4th & 16 at BOIS 22, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 13.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.7%−0.4
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    13.1%
    72% to make
    Punt
    12.0%−1.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:05BOIS 4th & 3 at HAW 15, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 84.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    84.9%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    84.7%−0.2
    83% to make
    Punt
    83.0%−1.9
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:06BOIS 4th & 4 at HAW 5, up 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 85.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    85.4%−0.2
    92% to make
    Punt
    83.9%−1.7
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:59BOIS 4th & 6 at BOIS 48, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.6%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.6%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:21HAW 4th & 19 at HAW 4, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.2%−4.0
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.2%
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:08BOIS 4th & 1 at BOIS 35, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 80.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    81.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    80.1%−1.5
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:06BOIS 4th & 11 at HAW 48, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.7%−1.3
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.0%
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:08HAW 4th & 1 at HAW 33, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 22.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    23.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    21.9%−1.5
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:07HAW 4th & 12 at BOIS 42, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.7%−1.0
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    23.6%−1.0
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    24.6%
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:26HAW 4th & 19 at BOIS 19, down 14
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.9 ptsWent for it · 5.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.0%−1.9
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    6.9%
    77% to make
    Punt
    3.6%−3.3
    average punt
  14. Q4 3:39BOIS 4th & 1 at HAW 44, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    95.1%−1.6
    27% to make
    Punt
    95.5%−1.2
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:10HAW 4th & 15 at HAW 33, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.7%−<0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.8%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
HAW made the numbers' call on 1 of 1BOIS made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 5:48BOIS Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 3:24HAW Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 12:00BOIS Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    88.8%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    89.0%
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 3:39BOIS Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
HAWDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:2311% → 11%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
11.1%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:49
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
11.2%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:46
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
11.2%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:37
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+10
11.3%
Lucas Borrow punt for 49 yds , Cooper Jones returns for 10 yds to the BOIS 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 2FG
8 plays · 57 yds · 4:0089% → 87%
Q1 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+13
11.4%
Ashton Jeanty run for 13 yds to the BOIS 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
11.5%
Ashton Jeanty run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 13:28
2ND & 9
50
+4
11.7%
Ashton Jeanty run for 4 yds to the HAW 46Similar
Q1 12:53
3RD & 5
OPP 46
+32
11.9%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Cameron Camper for 32 yds to the HAW 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:14
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
12.1%
Ashton Jeanty run for 3 yds to the HAW 11Similar
Q1 11:46
2ND & 7
OPP 11
-2
12.3%
Maddux Madsen sacked by Dion Washington for a loss of 2 yards to the HAW 13Similar
Q1 11:06
3RD & 9
OPP 13
+6
12.6%
Ashton Jeanty run for 6 yds to the HAW 7Similar
Q1 10:14
4TH & 3
OPP 7
+24
13.0%
Jonah Dalmas 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 20 yds · 1:5313% → 14%
Q1 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-10
13.1%
Hawai'i Penalty, Offensive Holding (Alex Perry) to the HAW 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
13.4%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Nick Cenacle for 2 yds to the HAW 32Similar
Q1 9:14
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+6
13.5%
Brayden Schager run for 6 yds to the HAW 38Similar
Q1 8:43
3RD & 2
OWN 38
0
13.8%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:15
4TH & 2
OWN 38
0
13.8%
Lucas Borrow punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Cooper Jones at the BOIS 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 4TD
6 plays · 81 yds · 2:2686% → 87%
Q1 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+9
13.9%
Ashton Jeanty run for 9 yds to the BOIS 28Similar
Q1 7:36
2ND & 1
OWN 28
-10
14.0%
(07:36) JEANTY, Ashton rush up the middle for a gain of 5 yards to the BSU33 (SINCLAIR, Justin), clock 07:04. PENALTY BSU Holding on SCHMIDT, Hall enforced 10 yards from the BSU28 to the BSU18 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 6:42
2ND & 11
OWN 18
+10
14.6%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Cameron Camper for 10 yds to the BOIS 28Similar
Q1 6:42
3RD & 1
OWN 28
+3
14.6%
Ashton Jeanty run for 3 yds to the BOIS 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+15
14.8%
(06:00) MADSEN, Maddux pass to the left incomplete intended for LAUTER, Matt thrown to the BSU43, clock 05:59. PENALTY HAWAII Targeting on EVAIMALO, Ezra enforced 15 yards from the BSU31 to the BSU46 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+54
13.0%
Ashton Jeanty run for 54 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 5MISSED FG
12 plays · 53 yds · 5:4913% → 14%
Q1 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
13.4%
Cam Barfield run for a loss of 3 yards to the HAW 22Similar
Q1 5:20
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+6
13.5%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Alex Perry for 6 yds to the HAW 28Similar
Q1 4:39
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-5
13.5%
Hawai'i Penalty, False Start (James Milovale) to the HAW 23Similar
Q1 4:04
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+19
13.6%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Nick Cenacle for 19 yds to the HAW 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-1
13.8%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for a loss of 1 yard to the HAW 41Similar
Q1 3:05
2ND & 11
OWN 41
+30
13.8%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 30 yds to the BOIS 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
14.4%
Tylan Hines run for 2 yds to the BOIS 27Similar
Q1 1:34
2ND & 8
OPP 27
+11
14.6%
Brayden Schager run for 11 yds to the BOIS 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:19
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+1
14.7%
Landon Sims run for 1 yd to the BOIS 15Similar
Q1 0:40
2ND & 9
OPP 15
+2
14.9%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Nick Cenacle for 2 yds to the BOIS 13Similar
Q1 0:14
3RD & 7
OPP 13
-9
14.6%
Brayden Schager sacked by Jayden Virgin-Morgan and Braxton Fely for a loss of 9 yards to the BOIS 22Similar
Q2 14:59
4TH & 16
OPP 22
+39
13.9%
Kansei Matsuzawa 39 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 6FG
17 plays · 73 yds · 7:4285% → 86%
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+14
14.6%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Cameron Camper for 14 yds to the BOIS 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:26
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
14.4%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Prince Strachan for 7 yds to the BOIS 43Similar
Q2 13:49
2ND & 3
OWN 43
-5
14.3%
Ashton Jeanty run for a loss of 5 yards to the BOIS 38Similar
Q2 13:21
3RD & 8
OWN 38
+18
14.6%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Cameron Camper for 18 yds to the HAW 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
14.5%
Ashton Jeanty run for 3 yds to the HAW 41Similar
Q2 12:19
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+7
14.6%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Matt Lauter for 7 yds to the HAW 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:48
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
14.7%
Maddux Madsen pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:43
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+8
14.7%
Ashton Jeanty run for 8 yds to the HAW 26Similar
Q2 11:05
3RD & 2
OPP 26
+4
14.8%
Ashton Jeanty run for 4 yds to the HAW 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:26
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+1
14.7%
Dylan Riley run for 1 yd to the HAW 21Similar
Q2 9:55
2ND & 9
OPP 21
0
14.9%
Maddux Madsen pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:40
3RD & 9
OPP 21
+6
15.3%
Maddux Madsen run for 6 yds to the HAW 15Similar
Q2 9:05
4TH & 3
OPP 15
+4
15.8%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Matt Lauter for 4 yds to the HAW 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:26
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
15.2%
Ashton Jeanty run for 3 yds to the HAW 8Similar
Q2 7:56
2ND & 7
OPP 8
0
14.2%
Maddux Madsen pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:43
3RD & 7
OPP 8
+3
14.5%
Ashton Jeanty run for 3 yds to the HAW 5Similar
Q2 7:06
4TH & 4
OPP 5
+23
13.9%
Jonah Dalmas 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 7TD
9 plays · 91 yds · 3:2514% → 21%
Q2 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+9
14.0%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Nick Cenacle for 9 yds to the HAW 18Similar
Q2 6:29
2ND & 1
OWN 18
0
14.3%
Cam Barfield run for no gain to the HAW 18Similar
Q2 5:45
3RD & 1
OWN 18
+15
13.4%
(05:45) SCHAGER, Brayden pass short up the middle incomplete intended for ASHLOCK, Pofele broken up by TEUBNER, Alexander at the HAWAII22, clock 05:40. PENALTY BSU Targeting on TEUBNER, Alexander enforced 15 yards from the HAWAII18 to the HAWAII33 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-3
14.0%
Brayden Schager sacked by Jayden Virgin-Morgan and Ahmed Hassanein for a loss of 3 yards to the HAW 30Similar
Q2 5:02
2ND & 13
OWN 30
+52
13.8%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Landon Sims for 52 yds to the BOIS 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:18
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-10
15.5%
(04:18) SCHAGER, Brayden pass up the middle incomplete intended for PANOKE, Jonah thrown to the BSU4, clock 04:11. PENALTY HAWAII Holding on PEIHOPA, Kuao enforced 10 yards from the BSU18 to the BSU28 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 4:09
1ST & 20
OPP 28
+1
15.2%
Brayden Schager run for 1 yd to the BOIS 27Similar
Q2 3:24
2ND & 19
OPP 27
+27
20.5%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Tylan Hines for 27 yds for a TD (Kansei Matsuzawa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 8PUNT
9 plays · 31 yds · 2:1982% → 82%
Q2 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+1
18.0%
Ashton Jeanty run for 1 yd to the BOIS 18Similar
Q2 2:44
2ND & 9
OWN 18
+13
18.2%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Matt Wagner for 13 yds to the BOIS 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+13
17.4%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Cameron Camper for 13 yds to the BOIS 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-10
16.6%
(01:57) JEANTY, Ashton rush to the right for a gain of 15 yards to the HAWAII41 (OTIS, Jamih), clock 01:50. PENALTY BSU Holding on LAUTER, Matt enforced 10 yards from the BSU44 to the BSU34 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 1:50
1ST & 20
OWN 34
+5
18.3%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Matt Lauter for 5 yds to the BOIS 39Similar
Q2 1:45
2ND & 15
OWN 39
+9
18.0%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Ashton Jeanty for 9 yds to the BOIS 48Similar
Q2 1:07
3RD & 6
OWN 48
0
17.1%
Maddux Madsen pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:59
4TH & 6
OWN 48
0
18.0%
Taren Schive punt for 39 yds, downed at the HAW 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · -9 yds · 0:2419% → 19%
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-7
18.8%
Brayden Schager sacked by Jayden Virgin-Morgan for a loss of 7 yards to the HAW 6Similar
Q2 0:39
2ND & 17
OWN 6
-2
17.9%
Brayden Schager sacked by Braxton Fely for a loss of 2 yards to the HAW 4Similar
Q2 0:32
3RD & 19
OWN 4
0
19.4%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:21
4TH & 19
OWN 4
0
19.2%
Lucas Borrow punt for 70 yds, downed at the BOIS 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 10END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0082% → 82%
Q2 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-1
18.2%
(00:13) [NHSG] Kneel down by MADSEN, Maddux at BSU25 (team loss of 1), clock 00:07.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 11PUNT
14 plays · 45 yds · 5:3480% → 79%
Q3 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+4
19.8%
Ashton Jeanty run for 4 yds to the BOIS 11Similar
Q3 14:19
2ND & 6
OWN 11
0
19.9%
Ashton Jeanty run for no gain to the BOIS 11Similar
Q3 13:47
3RD & 6
OWN 11
0
20.7%
Maddux Madsen pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:42
4TH & 6
OWN 11
+15
21.3%
(13:42) SCHIVE, Taren punt 61 yards to the HAWAII28 out of bounds, clock 13:34. PENALTY HAWAII Roughing the Kicker on SOLOMON, Isreal enforced 15 yards from the BSU11 to the BSU26 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [FAKE PUNT]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
19.5%
Maddux Madsen run for 3 yds to the BOIS 29Similar
Q3 13:03
2ND & 7
OWN 29
0
19.0%
Maddux Madsen pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:01
3RD & 7
OWN 29
+6
19.9%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Ashton Jeanty for 6 yds to the BOIS 35Similar
Q3 12:08
4TH & 1
OWN 35
+6
20.2%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Prince Strachan for 6 yds to the BOIS 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
18.8%
Ashton Jeanty run for 6 yds to the BOIS 47Similar
Q3 11:09
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+6
18.8%
Ashton Jeanty run for 6 yds to the HAW 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:33
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
18.6%
Maddux Madsen pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:21
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+2
18.7%
Dylan Riley run for 2 yds to the HAW 45Similar
Q3 9:41
3RD & 8
OPP 45
-3
19.3%
Maddux Madsen sacked by Elijah Robinson for a loss of 3 yards to the HAW 48Similar
Q3 9:06
4TH & 11
OPP 48
0
20.7%
Taren Schive punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Tylan Hines at the HAW 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 12PUNT
21 plays · 48 yds · 6:5623% → 23%
Q3 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+5
23.0%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Alex Perry for 5 yds to the HAW 15Similar
Q3 8:31
2ND & 5
OWN 15
0
23.2%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:28
3RD & 5
OWN 15
-5
22.3%
Hawai'i Penalty, False Start (Kuao Peihopa) to the HAW 10Similar
Q3 8:27
3RD & 10
OWN 10
+14
22.1%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Alex Perry for 14 yds to the HAW 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
23.7%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:48
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+4
23.5%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Nick Cenacle for 4 yds to the HAW 28Similar
Q3 7:11
3RD & 6
OWN 28
0
23.2%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:08
4TH & 1
OWN 33
+1
22.7%
Brayden Schager run for 1 yd to the HAW 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:05
4TH & 6
OWN 28
+5
21.7%
Boise State Penalty, Offsides (Rodney Robinson) to the HAW 33Similar
Q3 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-10
24.0%
(06:43) QB Keeper SCHAGER, Brayden rush up the middle for a gain of 7 yards to the HAWAII41, End of Play, clock 06:34. PENALTY HAWAII Holding on SOTELO, Zhen enforced 10 yards from the HAWAII34 to the HAWAII24 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 6:15
1ST & 20
OWN 24
-1
23.6%
Tylan Hines run for a loss of 1 yard to the HAW 23Similar
Q3 5:39
2ND & 21
OWN 23
+13
23.7%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Alex Perry for 13 yds to the HAW 36Similar
Q3 4:46
3RD & 8
OWN 36
+13
23.9%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 13 yds to the HAW 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+11
27.7%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Nick Cenacle for 11 yds to the BOIS 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:38
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+7
28.6%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Jonah Panoke for 7 yds to the BOIS 33Similar
Q3 3:05
2ND & 3
OPP 33
-4
30.5%
Brayden Schager run for a loss of 4 yards to the BOIS 37Similar
Q3 2:11
3RD & 7
OPP 37
0
29.0%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:11
4TH & 7
OPP 37
-5
26.4%
Hawai'i Penalty, False Start (Alex Perry) to the BOIS 42Similar
Q3 2:07
4TH & 12
OPP 42
0
22.7%
Lucas Borrow punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Cooper Jones at the BOIS 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 13TD
11 plays · 91 yds · 5:0378% → 95%
Q3 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+8
21.8%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Cameron Camper for 8 yds to the BOIS 17Similar
Q3 1:29
2ND & 2
OWN 17
+13
19.9%
Ashton Jeanty run for 13 yds to the BOIS 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
19.5%
Ashton Jeanty run for 7 yds to the BOIS 37Similar
Q3 0:46
2ND & 3
OWN 37
+27
18.9%
Ashton Jeanty run for 27 yds to the HAW 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:08
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
17.5%
Maddux Madsen pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+5
17.6%
Ashton Jeanty run for 5 yds to the HAW 31Similar
Q4 14:24
3RD & 5
OPP 31
+16
17.5%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Cameron Camper for 16 yds to the HAW 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:56
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
17.0%
Ashton Jeanty run for 5 yds to the HAW 10Similar
Q4 13:15
2ND & 5
OPP 10
+3
16.7%
Ashton Jeanty run for 3 yds to the HAW 7Similar
Q4 12:20
3RD & 2
OPP 7
+2
16.6%
Ashton Jeanty run for 2 yds to the HAW 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
5.2%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Ashton Jeanty for 5 yds for a TD (Maddux Madsen pass to Austin Bolt for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 14DOWNS
18 plays · 56 yds · 6:349% → 5%
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
9.2%
(12:00) SCHAGER, Brayden pass up the middle incomplete intended for NISHIGAYA, Koali thrown to the HAWAII34, clock 11:55. PENALTY BSU Holding on ROBINSON, Rodney enforced 10 yards from the HAWAII25 to the HAWAII35 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
9.4%
Landon Sims run for 4 yds to the HAW 39Similar
Q4 11:11
2ND & 6
OWN 39
-1
9.8%
Brayden Schager sacked by Jayden Virgin-Morgan and Michael Callahan for a loss of 1 yard to the HAW 38Similar
Q4 10:42
3RD & 7
OWN 38
+14
8.6%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Alex Perry for 14 yds to the BOIS 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:09
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
8.4%
Landon Sims run for 7 yds to the BOIS 41Similar
Q4 9:35
2ND & 3
OPP 41
0
9.0%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:22
3RD & 3
OPP 41
+2
7.5%
Brayden Schager run for 2 yds to the BOIS 39Similar
Q4 8:56
4TH & 1
OPP 39
+5
6.7%
QB Keeper SCHAGER, Brayden rush up the middle for no gain to the BSU39 (FELY, Braxton), clock 08:56. PENALTY BSU Offsides on FELY, Braxton enforced 5 yards from the BSU39 to the BSU34 and results in a 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 8:33
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+12
7.0%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Nick Cenacle for 12 yds to the BOIS 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:06
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-8
6.4%
Brayden Schager pass incomplete Hawai'i Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Brayden Schager) to the BOIS 30Similar
Q4 8:02
2ND & 18
OPP 30
+12
5.8%
Brayden Schager run for 12 yds to the BOIS 18Similar
Q4 7:15
3RD & 6
OPP 18
+12
5.6%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Jonah Panoke for 12 yds to the BOIS 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
5.7%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
5.7%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:27
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
-8
5.2%
Brayden Schager sacked by Seyi Oladipo for a loss of 8 yards to the BOIS 14Similar
Q4 6:27
4TH & GOAL
OPP 14
-5
4.5%
Hawai'i Penalty, False Start (Landon Sims) to the BOIS 19Similar
Q4 5:26
4TH & GOAL
OPP 19
0
4.5%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 15TD
7 plays · 81 yds · 1:4196% → 99%
Q4 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+15
4.0%
Hawai'i Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Jalen Smith) to the BOIS 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
3.5%
Ashton Jeanty run for 4 yds to the HAW 49Similar
Q4 4:42
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+2
2.8%
Ashton Jeanty run for 2 yds to the HAW 47Similar
Q4 3:59
3RD & 4
OPP 47
+3
2.7%
Ashton Jeanty run for 3 yds to the HAW 44Similar
Q4 3:39
4TH & 1
OPP 44
+44
0.6%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Austin Bolt for 44 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 16DOWNS
7 plays · 5 yds · 1:340% → 0%
Q4 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
0.3%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Alex Perry for 5 yds to the HAW 30Similar
Q4 3:24
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+8
0.3%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Spencer Curtis for 8 yds to the HAW 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
0.3%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:45
2ND & 10
OWN 38
-5
0.3%
Brayden Schager sacked by Ahmed Hassanein for a loss of 5 yards to the HAW 33Similar
Q4 2:16
3RD & 15
OWN 33
0
0.3%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:10
4TH & 15
OWN 33
-3
0.3%
Brayden Schager sacked by Seyi Oladipo for a loss of 3 yards to the HAW 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 17END OF GAME
5 plays · 17 yds · 1:20100% → 100%
Q4 2:05
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+7
0.4%
Ashton Jeanty run for 7 yds to the HAW 23Similar
Q4 1:58
2ND & 3
OPP 23
+1
0.4%
Dylan Riley run for 1 yd to the HAW 22Similar
Q4 1:15
3RD & 2
OPP 22
+13
0.3%
Tyler Crowe run for 13 yds to the HAW 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-2
0.3%
Kneel down by MADSEN, Maddux at HAWAII11 (team loss of 2), clock 00:53.Similar
Q4 0:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
-2
0.3%
(00:45) Kneel down by MADSEN, Maddux at HAWAII13 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 12:00
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Ashton Jeanty for 5 yds for a TD (Maddux Madsen pass to Austin Bolt for Two-Point Conversion)
-11.4
TD · Q2 3:24
Brayden Schager pass complete to Tylan Hines for 27 yds for a TD (Kansei Matsuzawa KICK)
+5.9
KEY PLAY · Q4 12:00
(12:00) SCHAGER, Brayden pass up the middle incomplete intended for NISHIGAYA, Koali thrown to the HAWAII34, clock 11:55. PENALTY BSU Holding on ROBINSON, Rodney enforced 10 yards from the HAWAII25 to the HAWAII35 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).
+4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com