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HAW

Hawai'i 24 at San Diego State 27

SDSU
2024 · Week 6 · Oct 5, 2024 · Snapdragon Stadium
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Win probability · SDSU
modelSDSU aheadHAW aheadconfidence bandkey playSDSU scoreHAW score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 8:44 · Tyler Pastula punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the HAW 23 Hawai'i Penalty, (10 Yards) to the HAW 13
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+23.5+11.80−11.8−23.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 66Home team on offense+1.1Garbage-time factor−0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.3Score differential−0.4Blowout margin−0.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 1:53: Brayden Schager pass complete to Tylan Hines for 23 yds for a TD (Kansei Matsuzawa KICK) — HAW win probability +18.3 pts (now 54%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:06: Danny O'Neil pass complete to Louis Brown IV for 16 yds for a TD (Gabriel Plascencia KICK) — SDSU win probability +11.9 pts (now 69%) (top driver: SDSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 2:06: Brayden Schager pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 6 yds for a TD (Kansei Matsuzawa KICK) — HAW win probability +16.3 pts (now 43%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  4. TD · Q4 9:39: Brayden Schager pass complete to Nick Cenacle for 23 yds for a TD (Kansei Matsuzawa KICK) — HAW win probability +31.2 pts (now 74%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 7:05: Marquez Cooper run for 2 yds for a TD (Gabriel Plascencia KICK) — SDSU win probability +33.1 pts (now 77%) (top driver: SDSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SDSU made the numbers' call on 10 of 11HAW made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 12:57SDSU 4th & 20 at SDSU 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.5%−0.2
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:13HAW 4th & 8 at HAW 9, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.9%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:45SDSU 4th & 4 at HAW 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 56.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    56.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    56.2%−0.1
    54% to make
    Punt
    56.0%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:35SDSU 4th & 5 at HAW 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 56.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.5%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    56.5%
    92% to make
    Punt
    54.8%−1.7
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:43HAW 4th & 13 at SDSU 13, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 41.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.9%−0.9
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    41.7%
    85% to make
    Punt
    38.6%−3.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:14SDSU 4th & 9 at SDSU 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.5%−0.5
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:13HAW 4th & 10 at HAW 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.1%−0.5
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.6%
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:44SDSU 4th & 11 at SDSU 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.7%−0.9
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.6%
    average punt
  9. Q2 8:44SDSU 4th & 11 at SDSU 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.7%−0.9
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.6%
    average punt
  10. Q2 6:55SDSU 4th & 1 at HAW 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 58.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    58.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    56.2%−1.8
    83% to make
    Punt
    51.2%−6.8
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:46SDSU 4th & 4 at HAW 31, tied
    Close callWent for it · 58.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    58.3%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    58.3%
    54% to make
    Punt
    56.3%−2.0
    average punt
  12. Q3 13:19HAW 4th & 7 at HAW 18, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.1%−1.5
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.6%
    average punt
  13. Q3 8:33SDSU 4th & 15 at HAW 25, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 72.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.6%−2.0
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    72.5%
    66% to make
    Punt
    65.4%−7.1
    average punt
  14. Q3 0:27SDSU 4th & 11 at SDSU 49, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.4%−1.9
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.4%
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:45HAW 4th & 18 at HAW 42, down 3
    Numbers favored punt by 1.1 ptsWent for it · 25.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.4%−1.1
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    17.5%
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:12HAW 4th & 2 at SDSU 31, down 3
    Numbers favored field goal by 3.6 ptsWent for it · 28.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    23.5%−3.6
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    27.1%
    54% to make
    Punt
    11.2%−15.9
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:10SDSU 4th & 12 at SDSU 31, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.1%−6.8
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SDSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3HAW made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q2 4:49SDSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 1:53HAW Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:06SDSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 2:06HAW Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 9:39HAW Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.9%−0.4
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 7:05SDSU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.6%−0.9
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SDSUDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 1:5850% → 50%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
49.8%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Ja'Shaun Poke for 13 yds to the SDSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
49.8%
Marquez Cooper run for 2 yds to the SDSU 40Similar
Q1 14:13
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+4
50.0%
Marquez Cooper run for 4 yds to the SDSU 36Similar
Q1 13:34
3RD & 12
OWN 36
-8
50.0%
Danny O'Neil sacked by Jackie Johnson III for a loss of 8 yards to the SDSU 28Similar
Q1 12:57
4TH & 20
OWN 28
0
50.0%
Tyler Pastula punt for 65 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the HAW 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:4050% → 50%
Q1 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+2
50.2%
Landon Sims run for 2 yds to the HAW 9Similar
Q1 12:28
2ND & 8
OWN 9
0
50.3%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:24
3RD & 8
OWN 9
0
50.4%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:13
4TH & 8
OWN 9
+7
50.5%
Lucas Borrow punt for 56 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SDSU 42 , Mekhi Shaw returns for 7 yds to the SDSU 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 3FG
17 plays · 53 yds · 6:3251% → 53%
Q1 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
50.6%
Marquez Cooper run for 1 yd to the SDSU 41Similar
Q1 11:18
2ND & 11
OWN 41
+6
50.6%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Ja'Shaun Poke for 6 yds to the SDSU 47Similar
Q1 11:01
3RD & 5
OWN 47
+6
50.8%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Marquez Cooper for 6 yds to the HAW 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:27
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+10
51.2%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Louis Brown IV for 10 yds to the HAW 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:24
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-10
51.2%
San Diego State Penalty, (-10 Yards) to the HAW 42Similar
Q1 10:07
1ST & 15
OPP 42
+6
51.0%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Marquez Cooper for 6 yds to the HAW 36Similar
Q1 9:39
2ND & 9
OPP 36
+4
51.5%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Ja'Shaun Poke for 4 yds to the HAW 32Similar
Q1 9:25
3RD & 5
OPP 32
+1
51.5%
Marquez Cooper run for 1 yd to the HAW 31Similar
Q1 8:45
4TH & 4
OPP 31
+6
51.5%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Louis Brown IV for 6 yds to the HAW 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:24
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-2
52.1%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Louis Brown IV for a loss of 2 yards to the HAW 27Similar
Q1 7:52
2ND & 12
OPP 27
+3
52.3%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Nate Bennett for 3 yds to the HAW 24Similar
Q1 7:13
3RD & 9
OPP 24
+15
52.1%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Ja'Shaun Poke for 15 yds to the HAW 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
52.6%
Marquez Cooper run for 1 yd to the HAW 8Similar
Q1 6:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
52.8%
Danny O'Neil run for 3 yds to the HAW 5Similar
Q1 5:37
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
52.7%
Danny O'Neil pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:35
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+24
53.2%
Gabriel Plascencia 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 4FG
17 plays · 77 yds · 4:4047% → 48%
Q1 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+14
53.1%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Dekel Crowdus for 14 yds to the HAW 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
53.1%
Landon Sims run for 2 yds to the HAW 26Similar
Q1 4:42
2ND & 8
OWN 26
0
53.3%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:19
3RD & 8
OWN 26
+17
53.7%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Spencer Curtis for 17 yds to the HAW 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:57
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
52.5%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:45
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+19
52.9%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Spencer Curtis for 19 yds to the SDSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:14
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+9
52.4%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Tylan Hines for 9 yds to the SDSU 29Similar
Q1 2:42
2ND & 1
OPP 29
+8
51.9%
Tylan Hines run for 8 yds to the SDSU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:03
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
51.7%
Brayden Schager run for no gain to the SDSU 21Similar
Q1 1:42
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+9
51.9%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Dekel Crowdus for 9 yds to the SDSU 12Similar
Q1 1:22
3RD & 1
OPP 12
+4
52.4%
Landon Sims run for 4 yds to the SDSU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
51.9%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
51.9%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:52
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
-5
52.5%
PENALTY UH False Start 5 yards from SDSU08 to SDSU13. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:47
3RD & GOAL
OPP 13
0
52.9%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:43
4TH & GOAL
OPP 13
+30
51.6%
Kansei Matsuzawa 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 1:1653% → 52%
Q1 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-15
53.2%
(00:36) No Huddle-Shotgun O'Neil,Danny pass complete deep right to Brown IV,Louis caught at UH35, for 30 yards to the UH35 (Brown,Caleb) PENALTY SDSU Pass Interference (Brown IV,Louis) 15 yards from SDSU35 to SDSU20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 25
OWN 20
+10
52.9%
Marquez Cooper run for 10 yds to the SDSU 30Similar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 15
OWN 30
+6
53.0%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Jordan Napier for 6 yds to the SDSU 36Similar
Q2 14:26
3RD & 9
OWN 36
0
53.0%
Danny O'Neil pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:14
4TH & 9
OWN 36
+11
52.3%
Tyler Pastula punt for 55 yds , Tylan Hines returns for 11 yds to the HAW 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 1:5548% → 47%
Q2 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
51.9%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:00
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+20
51.9%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Nick Cenacle for 20 yds to the HAW 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
50.8%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:16
2ND & 10
OWN 40
-1
51.1%
Brayden Schager pass complete to David Cordero for a loss of 1 yard to the HAW 39Similar
Q2 12:48
3RD & 11
OWN 39
+1
52.4%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Tylan Hines for 1 yd to the HAW 40Similar
Q2 12:13
4TH & 10
OWN 40
+15
53.2%
Lucas Borrow punt for 43 yds , Mekhi Shaw returns for 15 yds to the SDSU 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 7PUNT
9 plays · 13 yds · 3:2254% → 54%
Q2 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
54.4%
Marquez Cooper run for 1 yd to the SDSU 31Similar
Q2 11:15
2ND & 11
OWN 31
0
54.2%
Danny O'Neil pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:08
3RD & 11
OWN 31
+15
53.6%
(11:13) Shotgun O'Neil,Danny pass incomplete deep right to Brown IV,Louis thrown to UH25 PENALTY UH Pass Interference (Wilson-Jones,Jaheim) 15 yards from SDSU31 to SDSU46, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-15
56.0%
(11:07) Shotgun O'Neil,Danny pass incomplete deep right to Poke,Ja'Shaun thrown to UH22 PENALTY SDSU Pass Interference (Poke,Ja'Shaun) 15 yards from SDSU46 to SDSU31. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:47
1ST & 25
OWN 31
-2
54.3%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Mekhi Shaw for a loss of 2 yards to the SDSU 29Similar
Q2 10:11
2ND & 27
OWN 29
+4
54.2%
Marquez Cooper run for 4 yds to the SDSU 33Similar
Q2 9:24
3RD & 23
OWN 33
+12
53.9%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Marquez Cooper for 12 yds to the SDSU 45Similar
Q2 8:44
4TH & 11
OWN 45
+32
54.2%
Tyler Pastula punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the HAW 23 Hawai'i Penalty, (Yards) to the HAW 23Similar
Q2 8:44
4TH & 11
OWN 45
+42
54.2%
Tyler Pastula punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the HAW 23 Hawai'i Penalty, (10 Yards) to the HAW 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 8INT
2 plays · -6 yds · 0:1247% → 46%
Q2 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-6
53.2%
(08:42) No Huddle-Shotgun Schager,Brayden pass complete short left to Panoke,Jonah caught at UH10, for 0 yards to the UH13 (Phillips,Bryce) PENALTY UH Chop Block (Muasau,Sergio) 6 yards from UH13 to UH07. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:26
1ST & 16
OWN 7
0
53.8%
Brayden Schager pass intercepted Jelani Whitmore return for no gain to the SDSU 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 9TD
10 plays · 55 yds · 3:2757% → 68%
Q2 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+31
56.9%
Marquez Cooper run for 31 yds to the HAW 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:59
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
58.2%
Danny O'Neil pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:53
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+3
58.1%
Marquez Cooper run for 3 yds to the HAW 21Similar
Q2 7:18
3RD & 7
OPP 21
+6
57.5%
Marquez Cooper run for 6 yds to the HAW 15Similar
Q2 6:55
4TH & 1
OPP 15
+1
56.6%
Danny O'Neil run for 1 yd to the HAW 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
58.8%
Marquez Cooper run for 1 yd to the HAW 13Similar
Q2 5:28
2ND & 9
OPP 13
+4
59.0%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Marquez Cooper for 4 yds to the HAW 9Similar
Q2 4:49
3RD & 5
OPP 9
+9
67.3%
Marquez Cooper run for 9 yds for a TD (Gabriel Plascencia KICK)Similar
Q2 4:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-10
68.1%
Plascencia,Gabriel kick attempt good (H: Pastula,Tyler, LS: Wintermeyer,Ryan) PENALTY SDSU Holding (Benjamin,Sam) 10 yards from UH03 to UH13. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 10TD
8 plays · 77 yds · 2:3634% → 49%
Q2 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+8
66.2%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 8 yds to the HAW 31Similar
Q2 4:09
2ND & 2
OWN 31
+16
64.7%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 16 yds to the HAW 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
64.4%
Brayden Schager run for 1 yd to the HAW 48Similar
Q2 3:05
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+7
65.2%
Brayden Schager run for 7 yds to the SDSU 45Similar
Q2 2:27
3RD & 2
OPP 45
+22
64.1%
Brayden Schager run for 7 yds to the SDSU 38 for a 1ST down San Diego State Penalty, (15 Yards) to the SDSU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:53
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
45.8%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Tylan Hines for 23 yds for a TD (Kansei Matsuzawa KICK)Similar
Q2 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
51.1%
PENALTY SDSU Personal Foul (White,Trey) 15 yards from UH35 to UH50. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 11TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 1:4155% → 69%
Q2 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
55.1%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Nate Bennett for 19 yds to the SDSU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+19
57.5%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Jordan Napier for 19 yds to the HAW 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:29
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+8
58.4%
Marquez Cooper run for 8 yds to the HAW 29Similar
Q2 1:23
2ND & 2
OPP 29
+2
58.5%
Marquez Cooper run for 2 yds to the HAW 31Similar
Q2 0:52
3RD & 4
OPP 31
0
57.3%
Danny O'Neil pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:46
4TH & 4
OPP 31
+4
55.5%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Nate Bennett for 4 yds to the HAW 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:26
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
58.8%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Jordan Napier for 1 yd to the HAW 26Similar
Q2 0:20
2ND & 9
OPP 26
0
58.8%
Danny O'Neil pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:12
3RD & 9
OPP 26
+10
57.2%
(00:18) Shotgun O'Neil,Danny pass incomplete short right thrown to UH08 PENALTY UH Holding (Freeman,Deliyon) 10 yards from UH26 to UH16, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:06
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
69.0%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Louis Brown IV for 16 yds for a TD (Gabriel Plascencia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 1:3334% → 32%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
65.9%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:38
2ND & 10
OWN 15
-8
66.3%
Brayden Schager sacked by Trey White for a loss of 8 yards to the HAW 7Similar
Q3 13:57
3RD & 18
OWN 7
+11
67.9%
Tylan Hines run for 11 yds to the HAW 18Similar
Q3 13:19
4TH & 7
OWN 18
+12
68.5%
Lucas Borrow punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the HAW 44 , Jordan Napier returns for 12 yds to the HAW 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 13FG
11 plays · 19 yds · 4:4170% → 73%
Q3 13:14
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
70.1%
Marquez Cooper run for 4 yds to the HAW 40Similar
Q3 12:34
2ND & 6
OPP 40
0
70.2%
Marquez Cooper run for no gain to the HAW 40Similar
Q3 11:45
3RD & 6
OPP 40
+10
70.2%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Louis Brown IV for 10 yds to the HAW 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:31
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+8
71.6%
Marquez Cooper run for 8 yds to the HAW 22Similar
Q3 11:12
2ND & 2
OPP 22
+1
71.8%
Marquez Cooper run for 1 yd to the HAW 21Similar
Q3 10:31
3RD & 1
OPP 21
+1
71.0%
Marquez Cooper run for 1 yd to the HAW 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:02
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
72.5%
Marquez Cooper run for 1 yd to the HAW 19Similar
Q3 9:24
2ND & 9
OPP 19
0
74.3%
Danny O'Neil pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:15
3RD & 9
OPP 19
-6
73.1%
Danny O'Neil sacked by Malachi Finau for a loss of 6 yards to the HAW 25Similar
Q3 8:33
4TH & 15
OPP 25
+43
73.2%
Gabriel Plascencia 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 14TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 6:1125% → 39%
Q3 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
74.6%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:39
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+18
75.2%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Cam Barfield for 18 yds to the HAW 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:04
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+8
73.9%
Brayden Schager run for 8 yds to the SDSU 49Similar
Q3 6:28
2ND & 2
OPP 49
+14
72.1%
Landon Sims run for 14 yds to the SDSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:59
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
71.5%
Landon Sims run for 1 yd to the SDSU 36Similar
Q3 5:07
2ND & 11
OPP 36
-1
73.8%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Koali Nishigaya for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSU 37Similar
Q3 4:34
3RD & 12
OPP 37
+15
75.9%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Nick Cenacle for 15 yds to the SDSU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:09
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
72.4%
Cam Barfield run for 5 yds to the SDSU 17Similar
Q3 3:34
2ND & 5
OPP 17
+13
72.7%
Brayden Schager run for 9 yds to the SDSU 8 for a 1ST down San Diego State Penalty, (4 Yards) to the SDSU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
72.8%
Brayden Schager run for no gain to the SDSU 4Similar
Q3 2:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
73.1%
Cam Barfield run for 2 yds to the SDSU 6Similar
Q3 2:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
56.7%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 6 yds for a TD (Kansei Matsuzawa KICK)Similar
Q3 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-15
61.1%
PENALTY UH UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Ashlock,Pofele) 15 yards from UH35 to UH20. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 1:3367% → 61%
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
50
0
66.5%
Danny O'Neil pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:51
2ND & 10
50
+5
65.7%
Marquez Cooper run for 5 yds to the SDSU 45Similar
Q3 1:24
3RD & 15
OWN 45
-5
61.6%
PENALTY SDSU False Start (Abdullah,Dean) 5 yards from SDSU45 to SDSU40. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:11
3RD & 20
OWN 40
+9
61.4%
Marquez Cooper run for 9 yds to the SDSU 49Similar
Q3 0:27
4TH & 11
OWN 49
0
61.0%
Tyler Pastula punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 16TD
15 plays · 89 yds · 5:4337% → 74%
Q3 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-5
63.1%
(00:23) No Huddle-Shotgun Cordero,David rush middle for 0 yards to the UH11 (Louis,Marlem) PENALTY UH Holding (Sotelo,Zhen) 5 yards from UH11 to UH06. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 15
OWN 6
+5
63.8%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Alex Perry for 5 yds to the HAW 11Similar
Q4 14:50
2ND & 10
OWN 11
-3
63.8%
Brayden Schager sacked by Marlem Louis for a loss of 3 yards to the HAW 8Similar
Q4 14:08
3RD & 13
OWN 8
+14
67.3%
Brayden Schager run for 14 yds to the HAW 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
64.6%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:24
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+15
65.2%
San Diego State Penalty, (15 Yards) to the HAW 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
60.9%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:07
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+11
62.2%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Jonah Panoke for 11 yds to the SDSU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:49
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
58.9%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Jonah Panoke for 2 yds to the SDSU 44Similar
Q4 12:21
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+10
59.2%
Landon Sims run for 10 yds to the SDSU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:52
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
57.3%
Landon Sims run for 2 yds to the SDSU 32Similar
Q4 11:11
2ND & 8
OPP 32
+3
57.3%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Cam Barfield for 3 yds to the SDSU 29Similar
Q4 10:31
3RD & 5
OPP 29
+8
58.9%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 8 yds to the SDSU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:10
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
56.8%
Brayden Schager run for 2 yds to the SDSU 23Similar
Q4 9:39
2ND & 12
OPP 23
+23
25.6%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Nick Cenacle for 23 yds for a TD (Kansei Matsuzawa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 17TD
10 plays · 87 yds · 2:2137% → 77%
Q4 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
37.4%
Marquez Cooper run for no gain to the SDSU 13Similar
Q4 8:34
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+48
36.9%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Nate Bennett for 48 yds to the HAW 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:24
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
44.2%
Danny O'Neil pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:17
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+17
43.8%
Marquez Cooper run for 17 yds to the HAW 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:07
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+1
46.8%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Jordan Napier for 1 yd to the HAW 21Similar
Q4 7:37
2ND & 9
OPP 21
+5
46.8%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Jude Wolfe for 5 yds to the HAW 16Similar
Q4 7:13
3RD & 4
OPP 16
+14
43.5%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Jordan Napier for 14 yds to the HAW 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
76.7%
Marquez Cooper run for 2 yds for a TD (Gabriel Plascencia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 18DOWNS
14 plays · 42 yds · 5:4934% → 29%
Q4 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
65.9%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:53
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
67.6%
Cam Barfield run for 5 yds to the HAW 30Similar
Q4 6:20
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+5
68.3%
Brayden Schager run for 5 yds to the HAW 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
66.8%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 5 yds to the HAW 40Similar
Q4 4:59
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+10
64.0%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Landon Sims for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:31
1ST & 10
50
+3
61.9%
Landon Sims run for 3 yds to the SDSU 47Similar
Q4 3:47
2ND & 7
OPP 47
-11
62.3%
Brayden Schager sacked by Trey White for a loss of 11 yards to the HAW 42Similar
Q4 3:10
3RD & 18
OWN 42
0
70.7%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:45
4TH & 18
OWN 42
+19
74.6%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 19 yds to the SDSU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
67.3%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:23
2ND & 10
OPP 39
-7
67.6%
Brayden Schager sacked by Trey White for a loss of 7 yards to the SDSU 46Similar
Q4 1:39
3RD & 17
OPP 46
+15
73.9%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 15 yds to the SDSU 31Similar
Q4 1:12
4TH & 2
OPP 31
+2
71.0%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for a loss of 2 yards Pofele Ashlock fumbled, recovered by HAW Nick Cenacle , return for 2 yds to the SDSU 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · -2 yds · 0:5890% → 95%
Q4 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
89.8%
Marquez Cooper run for 2 yds to the SDSU 35Similar
Q4 1:03
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+4
91.2%
Marquez Cooper run for 4 yds to the SDSU 39Similar
Q4 0:51
3RD & 4
OWN 39
+8
91.7%
Marquez Cooper run for 8 yds to the SDSU 31Similar
Q4 0:10
4TH & 12
OWN 31
0
95.4%
Tyler Pastula punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Tylan Hines at the HAW 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 20END OF GAME
2 plays · -5 yds · 0:0411% → 11%
Q4 0:04
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
89.3%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 23
-5
89.4%
Brayden Schager sacked by Marlem Louis for a loss of 5 yards to the HAW 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 7:05
Marquez Cooper run for 2 yds for a TD (Gabriel Plascencia KICK)
+33.1
TD · Q4 9:39
Brayden Schager pass complete to Nick Cenacle for 23 yds for a TD (Kansei Matsuzawa KICK)
-31.2
TD · Q2 1:53
Brayden Schager pass complete to Tylan Hines for 23 yds for a TD (Kansei Matsuzawa KICK)
-18.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com