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SYR

Syracuse 24 at NC State 17

NCSU
2024 · Week 7 · Oct 12, 2024 · Carter-Finley Stadium
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Win probability · NCSU
modelNCSU aheadSYR aheadconfidence bandkey playNCSU scoreSYR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of GameFG+9.2NCSU 14.5%Kanoah Vinesett 29 yd FG GOODAWAY 24 - HOME 17 · Q4 1:32
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:32 · Kanoah Vinesett 29 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsPregame prior
+38.0+19.00−19.0−38.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 154Home team on offense−22.6Score differential−2.2Garbage-time factor−13.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−5.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.1Pregame prior−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 2:33: Umari Hatcher 28 Yd pass from Kyle McCord (Jadyn Oh Kick) — SYR win probability +10.7 pts (now 68%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:31: Justin Joly 14 Yd pass from CJ Bailey (Kanoah Vinesett Kick) — NCSU win probability +13.4 pts (now 52%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  3. TD · Q3 6:39: LeQuint Allen 4 Yd Run (Jadyn Oh Kick) — SYR win probability +12.0 pts (now 74%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 10:20: Jackson Meeks 2 Yd pass from Kyle McCord (Jadyn Oh Kick) — SYR win probability +11.8 pts (now 95%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 1:25: LeQuint Allen run for 4 yds to the NCSU 40 — SYR win probability +9.7 pts (now 95%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NCSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 4SYR made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
  1. Q1 8:13SYR 4th & 6 at NCSU 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 50.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.4%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    50.5%
    84% to make
    Punt
    49.4%−1.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:52NCSU 4th & 3 at SYR 24, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 49.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    49.4%−0.2
    68% to make
    Punt
    47.8%−1.8
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:53SYR 4th & 5 at NCSU 19, up 3
    Close callWent for it · 51.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    51.5%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    51.6%
    77% to make
    Punt
    49.0%−2.7
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:53SYR 4th & 5 at NCSU 19, up 3
    Close callWent for it · 51.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    51.5%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    51.6%
    77% to make
    Punt
    49.0%−2.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:08NCSU 4th & 12 at NCSU 17, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.0%−1.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:40SYR 4th & 23 at NCSU 25, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 51.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.0%−2.1
    7% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    52.1%
    66% to make
    Punt
    47.1%−5.0
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:00SYR 4th & 12 at SYR 41, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.9%−2.8
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.6%
    average punt
  8. Q3 2:53NCSU 4th & 12 at SYR 43, down 10
    Close callWent for it · 24.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    24.3%−0.9
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    24.1%−1.1
    28% to make
    Punt
    25.2%
    average punt
  9. Q4 10:20SYR 4th & 2 at NCSU 2, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 83.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    83.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    81.3%−2.5
    94% to make
    Punt
    71.4%−12.4
    average punt
  10. Q4 3:12SYR 4th & 7 at NCSU 12, up 10
    Close callWent for it · 91.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    89.9%−0.4
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    90.3%
    86% to make
    Punt
    84.7%−5.6
    average punt
  11. Q4 1:32NCSU 4th & 12 at SYR 12, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 6.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.2%−1.6
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    8.8%
    86% to make
    Punt
    4.9%−3.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NCSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2SYR made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q2 2:33SYR Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:31NCSU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 6:39SYR Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 10:20SYR Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.2%−0.3
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 9:31NCSU Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SYRDrive 1FG
18 plays · 61 yds · 6:3954% → 53%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
46.1%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Oronde Gadsden II for 6 yds to the SYR 31Similar
Q1 14:29
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
46.2%
Kyle McCord pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:19
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+4
46.3%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Trebor Pena for 4 yds to the SYR 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
46.3%
Kyle McCord pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:42
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+8
46.4%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Trebor Pena for 8 yds to the SYR 43Similar
Q1 12:57
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+3
46.4%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Oronde Gadsden II for 3 yds to the SYR 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
46.4%
LeQuint Allen run for 2 yds to the SYR 48Similar
Q1 11:58
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+2
46.5%
LeQuint Allen run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 11:01
3RD & 6
50
+19
46.7%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Oronde Gadsden II for 19 yds to the NCSU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:27
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
46.6%
LeQuint Allen run for 3 yds to the NCSU 28Similar
Q1 9:47
2ND & 7
OPP 28
0
46.7%
Kyle McCord pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:39
3RD & 7
OPP 28
+10
47.0%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Trebor Pena for 10 yds to the NCSU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:59
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
46.7%
Dan Villari run for 4 yds to the NCSU 14Similar
Q1 8:23
2ND & 6
OPP 14
0
46.7%
Kyle McCord pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:17
3RD & 6
OPP 14
0
47.0%
Kyle McCord pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:13
4TH & 6
OPP 14
+32
47.0%
Jadyn Oh 32 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 2MISSED FG
11 plays · 51 yds · 4:1547% → 48%
Q1 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
47.1%
Jordan Waters run for 5 yds to the NCSU 30Similar
Q1 7:36
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+5
47.3%
(07:41) Shotgun Bailey,CJ pass incomplete deep left to Collins,Dacari thrown to SYR35 PENALTY SYR Offside (Perry,Rashard) 5 yards from NCSU30 to NCSU35, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
47.3%
CJ Bailey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:23
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+5
47.3%
Kendrick Raphael run for 5 yds to the NCSU 40Similar
Q1 6:35
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+16
47.7%
CJ Bailey pass complete to Noah Rogers for 16 yds to the SYR 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:57
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+13
48.2%
CJ Bailey pass complete to Dacari Collins for 13 yds to the SYR 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:17
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
48.9%
CJ Bailey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:12
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+3
48.8%
CJ Bailey run for 3 yds to the SYR 28Similar
Q1 4:29
3RD & 7
OPP 28
+4
48.5%
CJ Bailey pass complete to Kevin Concepcion for 4 yds to the SYR 24Similar
Q1 3:52
4TH & 3
OPP 24
+41
48.1%
Kanoah Vinesett 41 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 3DOWNS
10 plays · 57 yds · 3:5352% → 53%
Q1 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
47.6%
Yasin Willis run for 2 yds to the SYR 26Similar
Q1 3:11
2ND & 8
OWN 26
+9
47.7%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Oronde Gadsden II for 9 yds to the SYR 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+28
47.1%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Trebor Pena for 28 yds to the NCSU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
46.2%
LeQuint Allen run for no gain to the NCSU 37Similar
Q1 1:02
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+13
46.3%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Darrell Gill Jr. for 13 yds to the NCSU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:36
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
45.8%
LeQuint Allen run for 5 yds to the NCSU 19Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 19
0
45.3%
Kyle McCord pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:57
3RD & 5
OPP 19
0
45.8%
Kyle McCord pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:53
4TH & 5
OPP 19
0
46.8%
Kyle McCord pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:53
4TH & 5
OPP 19
0
46.8%
Kyle McCord pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:4048% → 47%
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
47.7%
Kendrick Raphael run for 3 yds to the NCSU 22Similar
Q2 14:05
2ND & 7
OWN 22
-5
47.7%
(14:09) Shotgun Bailey,CJ pass incomplete short middle to Daniels,Dante thrown to NCSU25 QB hurried by McDonald,Derek PENALTY NCSU Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Daniels,Dante) 5 yards from NCSU22 to NCSU17. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:57
2ND & 12
OWN 17
0
47.6%
CJ Bailey pass complete to Noah Rogers for no gain to the NCSU 17Similar
Q2 13:16
3RD & 12
OWN 17
0
47.0%
CJ Bailey pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:08
4TH & 12
OWN 17
0
46.8%
Caden Noonkester punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SYR 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 5MISSED FG
12 plays · 31 yds · 5:2154% → 53%
Q2 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+13
46.0%
LeQuint Allen run for 13 yds to the NCSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:24
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
45.7%
LeQuint Allen run for 5 yds to the NCSU 38Similar
Q2 11:44
2ND & 5
OPP 38
+4
45.6%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Trebor Pena for 4 yds to the NCSU 34Similar
Q2 10:57
3RD & 1
OPP 34
+2
45.7%
Dan Villari run for 2 yds to the NCSU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+6
45.1%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Dan Villari for 6 yds to the NCSU 26Similar
Q2 9:46
2ND & 4
OPP 26
+14
44.7%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Jackson Meeks for 14 yds to the NCSU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
44.6%
Kyle McCord pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:02
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+4
44.6%
Dan Villari run for 4 yds to the NCSU 8Similar
Q2 8:25
3RD & 6
OPP 8
-5
45.5%
(08:25) PENALTY SYR False Start (Washington,Savion) 5 yards from NCSU08 to NCSU13. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:17
3RD & 11
OPP 13
-12
45.6%
Kyle McCord sacked by Travali Price for a loss of 12 yards to the NCSU 25Similar
Q2 7:40
4TH & 23
OPP 25
+43
46.8%
Jadyn Oh 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 6FUMBLE
5 plays · 58 yds · 2:1248% → 52%
Q2 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
47.7%
CJ Bailey pass complete to Keenan Jackson for 11 yds to the NCSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
48.5%
(07:03) Shotgun Bailey,CJ pass complete short middle to Smothers,Hollywood caught at NCSU40, for 5 yards to the NCSU41 (Diggs,Fadil) PENALTY SYR Offside (Watson,Maraad) 5 yards from NCSU36 to NCSU41. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:28
1ST & 5
OWN 41
+6
50.1%
CJ Bailey pass complete to Keenan Jackson for 6 yds to the NCSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+21
50.2%
CJ Bailey pass complete to Dacari Collins for 21 yds to the SYR 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:18
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+15
52.2%
Kendrick Raphael run for 15 yds to the SYR 17 Kendrick Raphael fumbled, recovered by SYR Justin BarronSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 7TD
8 plays · 83 yds · 2:3953% → 68%
Q2 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+1
47.3%
LeQuint Allen run for 1 yd to the SYR 16Similar
Q2 4:33
2ND & 11
OWN 16
+27
47.7%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Oronde Gadsden II for 27 yds to the SYR 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
45.0%
LeQuint Allen run for 4 yds to the SYR 47Similar
Q2 3:36
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+16
44.7%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Jackson Meeks for 16 yds to the NCSU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:01
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
43.9%
Kyle McCord pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:52
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+9
43.7%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Trebor Pena for 9 yds to the NCSU 28Similar
Q2 2:33
3RD & 1
OPP 28
+28
32.3%
Umari Hatcher 28 Yd pass from Kyle McCord (Jadyn Oh Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 8TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 1:5336% → 52%
Q2 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
35.7%
CJ Bailey run for 9 yds to the NCSU 34Similar
Q2 1:59
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
36.0%
Jordan Waters run for 2 yds to the NCSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+42
35.7%
CJ Bailey pass complete to Kevin Concepcion for 42 yds to the SYR 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:29
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
38.1%
CJ Bailey pass complete to Noah Rogers for 4 yds to the SYR 18Similar
Q2 1:17
2ND & 6
OPP 18
+4
38.0%
Jordan Waters run for 4 yds to the SYR 14Similar
Q2 0:49
3RD & 2
OPP 14
0
36.5%
CJ Bailey pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:45
4TH & 2
OPP 14
+5
35.4%
(00:48) Vinesett,Kanoah field goal attempt from 31 yards nullified by penaltyGOOD (H: Noonkester,Caden, LS: Arias,Aiden), clock 00:45 PENALTY SYR Illegal Formation 5 yards from SYR14 to SYR09, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-5
38.2%
(00:43) Shotgun Waters,Jordan rush middle for 4 yards gain to the SYR05 (McDonald,Derek; Simmons,Chase) PENALTY NCSU Illegal Formation 5 yards from SYR09 to SYR14. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 14
+14
51.7%
Justin Joly 14 Yd pass from CJ Bailey (Kanoah Vinesett Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 0:2455% → 54%
Q2 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
45.2%
Kyle McCord pass complete to LeQuint Allen for 18 yds to the SYR 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
42.8%
Kyle McCord pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:12
2ND & 10
OWN 43
-6
43.2%
Kyle McCord sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the SYR 37Similar
Q2 0:07
3RD & 16
OWN 37
+9
45.8%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Trebor Pena for 9 yds to the SYR 46Similar
Q2 0:07
4TH & 7
OWN 46
-5
44.6%
PENALTY SYR Delay Of Game 5 yards from SYR46 to SYR41. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 12
OWN 41
0
46.1%
Jack Stonehouse punt for 59 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 10FUMBLE
9 plays · 48 yds · 4:4046% → 51%
Q3 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
46.4%
CJ Bailey pass complete to Hollywood Smothers for 2 yds to the NCSU 27Similar
Q3 14:08
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+8
46.0%
Hollywood Smothers run for 8 yds to the NCSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
46.1%
CJ Bailey run for 3 yds to the NCSU 38Similar
Q3 12:44
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+28
48.1%
CJ Bailey run for 28 yds to the SYR 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:08
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
50.7%
Hollywood Smothers run for no gain to the SYR 34Similar
Q3 11:30
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+10
50.7%
Hollywood Smothers run for 10 yds to the SYR 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:47
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
50.9%
Jordan Waters run for 3 yds to the SYR 21Similar
Q3 10:06
2ND & 7
OPP 21
-6
51.1%
CJ Bailey sacked by Devin Grant for a loss of 6 yards to the SYR 27 CJ Bailey fumbled, recovered by SYR David Omopariola , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 11TD
8 plays · 73 yds · 3:1457% → 74%
Q3 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+8
43.0%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Jackson Meeks for 8 yds to the SYR 35Similar
Q3 9:39
2ND & 2
OWN 35
+2
41.8%
LeQuint Allen run for 2 yds to the SYR 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+20
42.1%
LeQuint Allen run for 20 yds to the NCSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:34
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
40.1%
LeQuint Allen run for 2 yds to the NCSU 45Similar
Q3 7:50
2ND & 12
OPP 45
+15
40.6%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Jackson Meeks for 15 yds to the NCSU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:33
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+24
38.7%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Jackson Meeks for 24 yds to the NCSU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
38.3%
Yasin Willis run for 2 yds to the NCSU 4Similar
Q3 6:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
26.3%
LeQuint Allen 4 Yd Run (Jadyn Oh Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 12INT
13 plays · 40 yds · 5:0028% → 28%
Q3 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
27.5%
Kendrick Raphael run for 2 yds to the NCSU 34Similar
Q3 5:45
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+9
27.3%
CJ Bailey pass complete to Dante Daniels for 9 yds to the NCSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
28.3%
Kendrick Raphael run for 1 yd to the NCSU 44Similar
Q3 4:38
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+15
27.7%
(04:42) Shotgun Bailey,CJ pass incomplete deep right to Concepcion,Kevin "KC" thrown to SYR23 PENALTY SYR Pass Interference (Chestnut,Duce) 15 yards from NCSU44 to SYR41, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:25
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
28.9%
Kevin Concepcion run for 4 yds to the SYR 45Similar
Q3 3:56
2ND & 14
OPP 45
0
27.6%
(03:58) Shotgun Bailey,CJ pass incomplete short middle to Concepcion,Kevin "KC" thrown to SYR45 PENALTY NCSU Holding offsetting SYR Roughing The Passer offsetting. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:51
2ND & 14
OPP 45
0
27.6%
CJ Bailey pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:36
3RD & 14
OPP 45
+2
26.2%
CJ Bailey pass complete to Kendrick Raphael for 2 yds to the SYR 43Similar
Q3 2:53
4TH & 12
OPP 43
+25
24.0%
CJ Bailey pass complete to Justin Joly for 25 yds to the SYR 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:09
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-5
29.3%
(02:19) Shotgun Bailey,CJ rush middle for 5 yards gain to the SYR13 (Grant,Devin) PENALTY NCSU Illegal Shift 5 yards from SYR18 to SYR23. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:50
1ST & 15
OPP 23
-5
28.8%
(01:53) Shotgun Bailey,CJ rush right for 3 yards gain to the SYR20 (McDonald,Derek) PENALTY NCSU Illegal Shift 5 yards from SYR23 to SYR28. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:24
1ST & 20
OPP 28
+41
27.9%
Syracuse Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (41 Yards) to the NCSU 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 13TD
12 plays · 38 yds · 5:5378% → 95%
Q3 1:13
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+10
21.7%
Kyle McCord pass complete to LeQuint Allen for 10 yds to the NCSU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+1
20.4%
LeQuint Allen run for 1 yd to the NCSU 29Similar
Q4 14:52
2ND & 11
OPP 29
+15
20.5%
(14:59) No Huddle-Shotgun McCord,Kyle rush right for 1 yard gain to the NCSU28 (Vann,Davin), out of bounds PENALTY NCSU Personal Foul (Vann,Davin) 15 yards from NCSU29 to NCSU14, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:27
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
20.8%
LeQuint Allen run for 3 yds to the NCSU 11Similar
Q4 13:54
2ND & 7
OPP 11
-5
20.5%
PENALTY SYR False Start (Washington,Savion) 5 yards from NCSU11 to NCSU16. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:20
2ND & 12
OPP 16
+3
20.2%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Trebor Pena for 3 yds to the NCSU 13Similar
Q4 12:42
3RD & 9
OPP 13
+7
18.5%
(12:46) Shotgun McCord,Kyle pass incomplete short right to Pena,Trebor thrown to NCSU01 broken up by Cooley,Tamarcus TMac QB hurried by Vann,Davin PENALTY NCSU Targeting (Cooley,Tamarcus TMac) 7 yards from NCSU13 to NCSU06, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
17.7%
Dan Villari run for 1 yd to the NCSU 5Similar
Q4 11:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
17.4%
Yasin Willis run for 3 yds to the NCSU 8Similar
Q4 11:12
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+6
16.2%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Jackson Meeks for 6 yds to the NCSU 2Similar
Q4 10:20
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
5.0%
Jackson Meeks 2 Yd pass from Kyle McCord (Jadyn Oh Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 14TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:396% → 16%
Q4 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
6.0%
CJ Bailey run for no gain to the NCSU 25Similar
Q4 9:31
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+75
15.7%
Noah Rogers 75 Yd pass from CJ Bailey (Kanoah Vinesett Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 15DOWNS
16 plays · 68 yds · 6:1485% → 93%
Q4 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
14.6%
LeQuint Allen run for 2 yds to the SYR 27Similar
Q4 8:48
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+12
14.3%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Jackson Meeks for 12 yds to the SYR 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+21
12.9%
LeQuint Allen run for 21 yds to the NCSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:31
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+7
11.7%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Jackson Meeks for 7 yds to the NCSU 33Similar
Q4 6:59
2ND & 3
OPP 33
+3
10.7%
Yasin Willis run for 3 yds to the NCSU 36Similar
Q4 6:16
3RD & 6
OPP 36
+7
10.3%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Jackson Meeks for 7 yds to the NCSU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
9.4%
LeQuint Allen run for 4 yds to the NCSU 25Similar
Q4 4:58
2ND & 6
OPP 25
0
8.6%
LeQuint Allen run for no gain to the NCSU 25Similar
Q4 4:11
3RD & 6
OPP 25
+10
8.6%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Oronde Gadsden II for 10 yds to the NCSU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:33
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
7.9%
Yasin Willis run for 3 yds to the NCSU 18Similar
Q4 3:27
2ND & 13
OPP 18
0
6.8%
Kyle McCord pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:17
3RD & 13
OPP 18
+6
6.0%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Darrell Gill Jr. for 6 yds to the NCSU 12Similar
Q4 3:12
4TH & 7
OPP 12
+5
6.6%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Jackson Meeks for 5 yds to the NCSU 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 16FG
6 plays · 81 yds · 1:245% → 15%
Q4 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+72
4.8%
CJ Bailey pass complete to Hollywood Smothers for 72 yds to the SYR 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:17
1ST & 5
OPP 16
+13
7.5%
CJ Bailey pass complete to Hollywood Smothers for 13 yds to the SYR 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
7.3%
Hollywood Smothers run for no gain to the SYR 3Similar
Q4 1:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-9
7.1%
CJ Bailey sacked by Justin Barron for a loss of 9 yards to the SYR 12Similar
Q4 1:35
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
0
5.4%
CJ Bailey pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:32
4TH & GOAL
OPP 12
+29
14.5%
Kanoah Vinesett 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 17END OF GAME
6 plays · 4 yds · 1:2595% → 96%
Q4 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
4.8%
LeQuint Allen run for 4 yds to the NCSU 40Similar
Q4 1:18
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+1
4.6%
LeQuint Allen run for 1 yd to the NCSU 39Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 5
OPP 39
-1
4.1%
K. McCord takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:31
Justin Joly 14 Yd pass from CJ Bailey (Kanoah Vinesett Kick)
+13.4
TD · Q3 6:39
LeQuint Allen 4 Yd Run (Jadyn Oh Kick)
-12
TD · Q4 10:20
Jackson Meeks 2 Yd pass from Kyle McCord (Jadyn Oh Kick)
-11.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com