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NIU

Northern Illinois 17 at NC State 24

NCSU
2024 · Week 5 · Sep 28, 2024 · Carter-Finley Stadium
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Win probability · NCSU
modelNCSU aheadNIU aheadconfidence bandkey playNCSU scoreNIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 13:28 · Caden Noonkester punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Cam Thompson at the NIU 22
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+20.5+10.30−10.3−20.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 83Pregame prior+8.0Home team on offense+2.6Garbage-time factor+0.7Score differential+0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.6Blowout margin−0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 2:23: Brock Lampe 0 Yd Run (Kanon Woodill Kick) — NIU win probability +4.1 pts (now 36%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 14:09: DK Kaufman 2 Yd Fumble Return (Kanoah Vinesett Kick) — NCSU win probability +6.0 pts (now 71%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:45: Cam Thompson 6 Yd pass from Ethan Hampton (Kanon Woodill Kick) — NIU win probability +10.3 pts (now 38%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 11:46: Kevin Concepcion 3 Yd pass from CJ Bailey (Kanoah Vinesett Kick) — NCSU win probability +9.1 pts (now 80%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 14:46: Kanon Woodill 50 Yd Field Goal — NIU win probability +5.0 pts (now 22%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NCSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 9NIU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 11:17NIU 4th & 17 at NIU 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.6%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:02NCSU 4th & 1 at NCSU 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 68.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    69.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    68.8%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:16NCSU 4th & 17 at NCSU 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.8%−0.8
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.6%
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:34NIU 4th & 2 at NIU 33, down 7
    Close callPunted · 27.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:43NCSU 4th & 10 at NCSU 36, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.2%−0.8
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:38NIU 4th & 4 at NIU 18, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.3%−0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:55NCSU 4th & 1 at NIU 20, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsKicked a field goal · 74.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    73.3%−1.3
    75% to make
    Punt
    69.5%−5.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:50NCSU 4th & 4 at NIU 48, up 3
    Close callPunted · 68.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.6%−0.4
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:28NCSU 4th & 13 at NCSU 30, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.4%−2.3
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.7%
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:44NIU 4th & 7 at midfield, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.1%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:47NCSU 4th & 7 at NCSU 29, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.2%−0.7
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.9%
    average punt
  12. Q3 1:11NIU 4th & 1 at NCSU 49, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 17.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    14.9%−2.8
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:46NIU 4th & 8 at NCSU 33, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 15.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.8%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    14.9%
    49% to make
    Punt
    13.7%−1.2
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:21NCSU 4th & 15 at NCSU 40, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.7%−3.3
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 7:56NIU 4th & 15 at NIU 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.0%−3.0
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.0%
    average punt
  16. Q4 4:23NCSU 4th & 18 at NCSU 39, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.6%−2.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NCSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3NIU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 6:15NCSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:23NIU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:09NCSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:45NIU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 11:46NCSU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NIUDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 5 yds · 3:3733% → 33%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
67.0%
Antario Brown run for 4 yds to the NIU 21Similar
Q1 14:08
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+11
66.9%
Ethan Hampton pass complete to Antario Brown for 11 yds to the NIU 32Similar
Q1 13:24
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+5
66.8%
Ethan Hampton pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 5 yds to the NIU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-2
66.7%
Ethan Hampton sacked by Caden Fordham for a loss of 2 yards to the NIU 35Similar
Q1 12:06
2ND & 12
OWN 35
+5
66.7%
Gavin Williams run for 5 yds to the NIU 30Similar
Q1 11:25
3RD & 17
OWN 30
0
66.7%
Ethan Hampton pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:17
4TH & 17
OWN 30
0
66.8%
Tom Foley punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 2TD
9 plays · 64 yds · 4:5167% → 70%
Q1 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-3
66.7%
CJ Bailey pass complete to Kevin Concepcion for a loss of 3 yards to the NCSU 33Similar
Q1 10:32
2ND & 13
OWN 33
+3
66.5%
Jordan Waters run for 3 yds to the NCSU 36Similar
Q1 9:46
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+9
66.3%
CJ Bailey pass complete to Justin Joly for 9 yds to the NCSU 45Similar
Q1 9:02
4TH & 1
OWN 45
+2
66.5%
Sean Brown run for 2 yds to the NCSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
66.8%
CJ Bailey run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line CJ Bailey fumbled, recovered by NIU Timothy Mckay , return to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 7:38
2ND & 7
50
+14
66.8%
CJ Bailey pass complete to Noah Rogers for 14 yds to the NIU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:04
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+34
66.8%
CJ Bailey pass complete to Noah Rogers for 34 yds to the NIU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
67.0%
(06:32) Shotgun Waters,Jordan rush middle for 0 yards to the NIU02 (Hensley,Mark; Fuhrman,Christian) PENALTY NIU Illegal Block in Back (Valcarcel,Nate) 1 yard from NIU02 to NIU01. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
69.8%
CJ Bailey 1 Yd Run (Kanoah Vinesett Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 3TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:4531% → 37%
Q1 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
68.9%
Antario Brown run for 12 yds to the NIU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+21
68.8%
Ethan Hampton pass complete to Brock Lampe for 21 yds to the NCSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:49
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
68.3%
Antario Brown run for 3 yds to the NCSU 45Similar
Q1 4:12
2ND & 13
OPP 45
+34
68.7%
Antario Brown run for 34 yds to the NCSU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:33
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
67.8%
Antario Brown run for 3 yds to the NCSU 8Similar
Q1 2:48
2ND & 7
OPP 8
+5
67.7%
Ethan Hampton pass complete to Jake Appleget for 5 yds to the NCSU 3Similar
Q1 2:23
3RD & 2
OPP 3
+3
63.6%
Brock Lampe 0 Yd Run (Kanon Woodill Kick)Similar
Q1 2:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
63.1%
PENALTY NIU Delay Of Game 5 yards from NCSU03 to NCSU08. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · -7 yds · 1:5366% → 64%
Q1 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
66.0%
Kendrick Raphael run for 3 yds to the NCSU 40Similar
Q1 1:21
2ND & 7
OWN 40
0
66.4%
CJ Bailey pass complete to Kendrick Raphael for no gain to the NCSU 40Similar
Q1 0:48
3RD & 7
OWN 40
-10
65.6%
(00:54) Shotgun Bailey,CJ rush left for 11 yards gain to the NIU49 (Gill-Howard,Skyler), out of bounds PENALTY NCSU Holding (Carter, Jr.,Anthony) 10 yards from NCSU40 to NCSU30. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:27
3RD & 17
OWN 30
0
64.6%
CJ Bailey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:16
4TH & 17
OWN 30
0
64.2%
Caden Noonkester punt for 58 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 5FUMBLE RETURN TD
3 plays · -10 yds · 0:5136% → 30%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+1
64.5%
Antario Brown run for 1 yd to the NIU 13Similar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 9
OWN 13
+3
64.5%
Antario Brown run for 3 yds to the NIU 16Similar
Q2 14:09
3RD & 6
OWN 16
+2
70.5%
DK Kaufman 2 Yd Fumble Return (Kanoah Vinesett Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:3030% → 30%
Q2 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
69.9%
Ethan Hampton pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:58
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
70.0%
Antario Brown run for 4 yds to the NIU 29Similar
Q2 13:07
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+4
70.3%
Ethan Hampton run for 4 yds to the NIU 33Similar
Q2 12:34
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
70.4%
Tom Foley punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Jalen Coit at the NCSU 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 2:4471% → 70%
Q2 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-10
70.8%
(12:33) Shotgun Waters,Jordan rush left for 7 yards gain to the NCSU35 (Urwiler,Quinton), out of bounds PENALTY NCSU Holding (Jackson,Keenan) 10 yards from NCSU28 to NCSU18. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:00
1ST & 20
OWN 18
+18
70.7%
CJ Bailey run for 3 yds to the NCSU 21 for a 1ST down Northern Illinois Penalty, UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (Jalonnie Williams) to the NCSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
71.4%
Kendrick Raphael run for 4 yds to the NCSU 40Similar
Q2 11:01
2ND & 6
OWN 40
-10
72.2%
(11:06) Shotgun Raphael,Kendrick rush right for 4 yards gain to the NCSU44 (Byrd,JaVaughn), out of bounds PENALTY NCSU Holding (Peak,Jacarrius) 10 yards from NCSU40 to NCSU30. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:39
2ND & 16
OWN 30
0
70.9%
CJ Bailey pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:29
3RD & 16
OWN 30
+6
70.3%
CJ Bailey pass complete to Wesley Grimes for 6 yds to the NCSU 36Similar
Q2 9:43
4TH & 10
OWN 36
0
70.3%
Caden Noonkester punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Cam Thompson at the NIU 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:5829% → 27%
Q2 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+3
71.0%
Antario Brown run for 3 yds to the NIU 15Similar
Q2 9:00
2ND & 7
OWN 15
+2
71.2%
Antario Brown run for 2 yds to the NIU 13Similar
Q2 8:14
3RD & 9
OWN 13
+5
72.5%
Gavin Williams run for 5 yds to the NIU 18Similar
Q2 7:38
4TH & 4
OWN 18
0
72.9%
Tom Foley punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jalen Coit at the NCSU 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 9FG
6 plays · 36 yds · 2:3674% → 75%
Q2 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+15
73.8%
(07:36) Shotgun Bailey,CJ pass incomplete deep left to Rogers,Noah thrown to NIU15 PENALTY NIU Pass Interference (Knighten,Amariyun) 15 yards from NCSU44 to NIU41, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:23
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+12
74.1%
Jordan Waters run for 12 yds to the NIU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+6
74.5%
CJ Bailey run for 6 yds to the NIU 23Similar
Q2 6:03
2ND & 4
OPP 23
+2
74.7%
Jordan Waters run for 2 yds to the NIU 21Similar
Q2 5:24
3RD & 2
OPP 21
+1
74.1%
Jordan Waters run for 1 yd to the NIU 20Similar
Q2 4:55
4TH & 1
OPP 20
+37
74.8%
Kanoah Vinesett 37 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 10TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 3:0526% → 38%
Q2 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
74.5%
Ethan Hampton pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:39
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+15
74.7%
Ethan Hampton pass complete to Cam Thompson for 15 yds to the NIU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
73.6%
Antario Brown run for 3 yds to the NIU 43Similar
Q2 3:34
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+6
73.9%
Antario Brown run for 6 yds to the NIU 49Similar
Q2 2:48
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+3
74.2%
Brock Lampe run for 3 yds to the NCSU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:08
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+42
74.0%
Ethan Hampton pass complete to Andrew McElroy for 42 yds to the NCSU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
72.2%
Antario Brown run for 1 yd to the NCSU 5Similar
Q2 1:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
71.0%
Antario Brown run for 1 yd to the NCSU 6Similar
Q2 1:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
61.7%
Cam Thompson 6 Yd pass from Ethan Hampton (Kanon Woodill Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 27 yds · 0:4667% → 67%
Q2 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
66.6%
CJ Bailey run for 10 yds to the NCSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
66.9%
CJ Bailey pass complete to Kendrick Raphael for 11 yds to the NCSU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
69.1%
CJ Bailey pass complete to Justin Joly for 6 yds to the NIU 48Similar
Q2 1:02
2ND & 4
OPP 48
0
69.6%
CJ Bailey pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:59
3RD & 4
OPP 48
0
68.5%
CJ Bailey pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:50
4TH & 4
OPP 48
0
67.2%
Caden Noonkester punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 12END OF HALF
3 plays · 10 yds · 0:4434% → 33%
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+4
66.5%
Antario Brown run for 4 yds to the NIU 9Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 9
+6
66.7%
Antario Brown run for 6 yds to the NIU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 1:1868% → 65%
Q3 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
68.0%
Jordan Waters run for 2 yds to the NCSU 35Similar
Q3 13:53
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+5
67.9%
run for 5 yds to the NCSU 30 fumbled, recovered by NIU Jordan WatersSimilar
Q3 13:36
3RD & 13
OWN 30
0
66.1%
CJ Bailey pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:28
4TH & 13
OWN 30
0
65.4%
Caden Noonkester punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Cam Thompson at the NIU 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 14FUMBLE
1 play · -20 yds · 0:0034% → 34%
Q3 13:19
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-20
66.3%
Ethan Hampton sacked by Davin Vann for a loss of 20 yards to the NIU 1 Ethan Hampton fumbled, recovered by NIU Brandon Cleveland , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 15TD
3 plays · 1 yds · 1:1871% → 80%
Q3 13:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
71.1%
Jordan Waters run for no gain to the NIU 1Similar
Q3 12:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-2
70.9%
CJ Bailey pass complete to Kevin Concepcion for a loss of 2 yards to the NIU 3Similar
Q3 11:46
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
80.0%
Kevin Concepcion 3 Yd pass from CJ Bailey (Kanoah Vinesett Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 25 yds · 3:5321% → 20%
Q3 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
78.7%
Antario Brown run for 3 yds to the NIU 22Similar
Q3 10:51
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+14
79.3%
Antario Brown run for 14 yds to the NIU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+11
78.5%
Antario Brown run for 11 yds to the NIU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
78.2%
Ethan Hampton run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 8:34
2ND & 7
50
0
77.9%
Antario Brown run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 7:55
3RD & 7
50
0
78.9%
Ethan Hampton pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:44
4TH & 7
50
0
80.5%
Tom Foley punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 25 yds · 1:4780% → 80%
Q3 7:34
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+7
80.3%
Kendrick Raphael run for 7 yds to the NCSU 11Similar
Q3 7:02
2ND & 3
OWN 11
+15
81.4%
(07:03) Shotgun Bailey,CJ pass incomplete short right to Rogers,Noah thrown to NCSU10 QB hurried by Williams,Roy PENALTY NIU Roughing The Passer (Williams,Roy) 15 yards from NCSU11 to NCSU26, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
81.8%
Kendrick Raphael run for 4 yds to the NCSU 30Similar
Q3 6:26
2ND & 6
OWN 30
-1
82.0%
CJ Bailey sacked by Roy Williams for a loss of 1 yard to the NCSU 29Similar
Q3 5:57
3RD & 7
OWN 29
0
81.3%
CJ Bailey pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:47
4TH & 7
OWN 29
0
80.3%
Caden Noonkester punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Cam Thompson at the NIU 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 18FG
15 plays · 48 yds · 5:5819% → 22%
Q3 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
81.1%
Ethan Hampton pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:35
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+2
81.3%
Antario Brown run for 2 yds to the NIU 21Similar
Q3 4:53
3RD & 8
OWN 21
+11
83.0%
Gavin Williams run for 11 yds to the NIU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
81.4%
Gavin Williams run for 1 yd to the NIU 33Similar
Q3 3:36
2ND & 9
OWN 33
+3
81.7%
Antario Brown run for 3 yds to the NIU 36Similar
Q3 2:56
3RD & 6
OWN 36
+6
82.3%
(02:58) Shotgun Hampton,Ethan pass incomplete short right to Barnes,Grayson thrown to NIU43, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY NCSU Pass Interference (Fitzgerald,Bishop) 6 yards from NIU36 to NIU42, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
81.1%
Ethan Hampton pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:39
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
81.5%
Antario Brown run for no gain to the NIU 42Similar
Q3 1:38
3RD & 10
OWN 42
+9
82.6%
Ethan Hampton pass complete to George Dimopoulos for 9 yds to the NCSU 49Similar
Q3 1:11
4TH & 1
OPP 49
+3
82.2%
Brock Lampe run for 3 yds to the NCSU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:33
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+11
82.0%
Antario Brown run for 11 yds to the NCSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
81.2%
Antario Brown run for 2 yds to the NCSU 33Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 8
OPP 33
0
81.1%
Ethan Hampton pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:51
3RD & 8
OPP 33
0
82.6%
Northern Illinois Penalty, (Yards) to the NCSU 33Similar
Q4 14:46
4TH & 8
OPP 33
+50
77.6%
Kanon Woodill 50 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 3:1484% → 84%
Q4 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
84.3%
CJ Bailey pass complete to Kevin Concepcion for 6 yds to the NCSU 31Similar
Q4 13:48
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+14
85.2%
CJ Bailey pass complete to Jordan Waters for 14 yds to the NCSU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
86.3%
Kendrick Raphael run for 2 yds to the NCSU 47Similar
Q4 12:43
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+4
86.9%
CJ Bailey run for 4 yds to the NIU 49Similar
Q4 12:09
3RD & 4
OPP 49
-11
86.5%
CJ Bailey sacked by Nate Valcarcel for a loss of 11 yards to the NCSU 40Similar
Q4 11:21
4TH & 15
OWN 40
+8
84.2%
Caden Noonkester punt for 53 yds , Cam Thompson returns for 8 yds to the NIU 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 3:1618% → 15%
Q4 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+1
82.0%
Antario Brown run for 1 yd to the NIU 16Similar
Q4 10:27
2ND & 9
OWN 16
+11
82.4%
Ethan Hampton pass complete to Cam Thompson for 11 yds to the NIU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
81.2%
Antario Brown run for no gain to the NIU 27Similar
Q4 9:09
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+3
82.1%
Ethan Hampton pass complete to Grayson Barnes for 3 yds to the NIU 30Similar
Q4 8:34
3RD & 7
OWN 30
-8
82.5%
Ethan Hampton sacked by Sean Brown for a loss of 8 yards to the NIU 22Similar
Q4 7:56
4TH & 15
OWN 22
0
85.2%
Tom Foley punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 21PUNT
8 plays · 3 yds · 3:2888% → 91%
Q4 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
88.3%
Jordan Waters run for 1 yd to the NCSU 37Similar
Q4 7:02
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+10
89.4%
CJ Bailey pass complete to Jordan Waters for 10 yds to the NCSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
90.5%
Jordan Waters run for 2 yds to the NCSU 49Similar
Q4 5:43
2ND & 8
OWN 49
-5
91.4%
PENALTY NCSU False Start (Jackson,Keenan) 5 yards from NCSU49 to NCSU44. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:17
2ND & 13
OWN 44
0
91.2%
CJ Bailey pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:17
3RD & 13
OWN 44
-5
90.3%
PENALTY NCSU Delay Of Game 5 yards from NCSU44 to NCSU39. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:08
3RD & 18
OWN 39
0
90.3%
CJ Bailey run for no gain to the NCSU 39Similar
Q4 4:23
4TH & 18
OWN 39
0
90.7%
Caden Noonkester punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Cam Thompson at the NIU 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 22INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q4 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
87.0%
Ethan Hampton pass intercepted Devon Marshall return for no gain to the NCSU 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+13
TD · Q2 1:45
Cam Thompson 6 Yd pass from Ethan Hampton (Kanon Woodill Kick)
-10.3
TD · Q3 11:46
Kevin Concepcion 3 Yd pass from CJ Bailey (Kanoah Vinesett Kick)
+9.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com