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NCSU

NC State 35 at Clemson 59

CLEM
2024 · Week 4 · Sep 21, 2024 · Memorial Stadium (Clemson, SC)
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Win probability · CLEM
modelCLEM aheadNCSU aheadconfidence bandkey playCLEM scoreNCSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:47 · Caden Noonkester punt for 40 yds , Antonio Williams returns for 21 yds to the NCSU 27
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+40.5+20.30−20.3−40.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 81Home team on offense+27.7Pregame prior+24.3Score differential+21.8Blowout margin+10.5Garbage-time factor+6.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 7:56: Cade Klubnik pass complete to Antonio Williams for 31 yds for a TD (Nolan Hauser KICK) — CLEM win probability +1.1 pts (now 91%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 5:07: Cade Klubnik pass complete to Antonio Williams for 2 yds for a TD (Nolan Hauser KICK) — CLEM win probability +1.3 pts (now 93%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  3. TD · Q1 2:08: Phil Mafah run for 38 yds for a TD (Nolan Hauser KICK) — CLEM win probability +2.0 pts (now 95%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 7:25: Jordan Waters 5 Yd pass from CJ Bailey (Kanoah Vinesett Kick) — NCSU win probability +3.9 pts (now 6%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 5:53: Cole Turner 18 Yd Run (Nolan Hauser Kick) — CLEM win probability +2.4 pts (now 98%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CLEM made the numbers' call on 5 of 6NCSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
  1. Q1 9:30NCSU 4th & 7 at CLEM 42, down 7
    Close callPunted · 12.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.9%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    12.9%−0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    12.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q2 13:25NCSU 4th & 8 at CLEM 31, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 4.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.0%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    4.1%
    54% to make
    Punt
    3.7%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q2 12:02CLEM 4th & 7 at CLEM 34, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.1%−0.4
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.5%
    average punt
  4. Q2 4:27NCSU 4th & 4 at NCSU 47, down 28
    Close callPunted · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.7%−0.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:47NCSU 4th & 27 at NCSU 8, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.3
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:00CLEM 4th & 3 at NCSU 3, up 35
    Close callKicked a field goal · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.0%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.9%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    98.4%−0.6
    average punt
  7. Q3 12:12NCSU 4th & 2 at CLEM 45, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    0.6%−0.2
    25% to make
    Punt
    0.7%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 3:52CLEM 4th & 13 at NCSU 48, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  9. Q3 2:47NCSU 4th & 12 at NCSU 4, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.2
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  10. Q3 0:45CLEM 4th & 11 at CLEM 46, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  11. Q4 10:00CLEM 4th & 9 at CLEM 26, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  12. Q4 3:47CLEM 4th & 9 at midfield, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  13. Q4 0:58NCSU 4th & 4 at NCSU 37, down 31
    Close callWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CLEM made the numbers' call on 7 of 7NCSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 7:56CLEM Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:07CLEM Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 2:08CLEM Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 7:25NCSU Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 5:53CLEM Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 1:15CLEM Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 9:07CLEM Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 6:38NCSU Touchdown, down 39 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 0:32CLEM Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 12:07NCSU Touchdown, down 39 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 8:21NCSU Touchdown, down 32 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 0:05NCSU Touchdown, down 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CLEMDrive 1TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:5491% → 90%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
90.5%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Antonio Williams for 6 yds to the CLEM 31Similar
Q1 14:32
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
90.4%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Phil Mafah for 3 yds to the CLEM 34Similar
Q1 13:58
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+11
90.4%
Phil Mafah run for 11 yds to the CLEM 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 33 yds · 3:5910% → 10%
Q1 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
90.3%
CJ Bailey pass complete to Jordan Waters for 14 yds to the NCSU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
90.2%
CJ Bailey pass complete to Kevin Concepcion for 7 yds to the NCSU 46Similar
Q1 12:17
2ND & 3
OWN 46
+9
90.1%
Jordan Waters run for 9 yds to the CLEM 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:59
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
89.8%
CJ Bailey run for 3 yds to the CLEM 42Similar
Q1 10:47
2ND & 7
OPP 42
0
89.8%
Kendrick Raphael run for no gain to the CLEM 42Similar
Q1 10:12
3RD & 7
OPP 42
0
89.7%
CJ Bailey run for no gain to the CLEM 42Similar
Q1 9:30
4TH & 7
OPP 42
0
89.7%
Caden Noonkester punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Antonio Williams at the CLEM 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 3TD
6 plays · 91 yds · 1:3090% → 91%
Q1 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
89.8%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Bryant Wesco Jr.Similar
Q1 9:15
2ND & 10
OWN 9
+34
89.8%
Phil Mafah run for 34 yds to the CLEM 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
89.9%
Phil Mafah run for 4 yds to the CLEM 47Similar
Q1 8:35
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+18
89.9%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Jake Briningstool for 18 yds to the NCSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:11
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
89.9%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Phil Mafah for 4 yds to the NCSU 31Similar
Q1 7:56
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+31
91.0%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Antonio Williams for 31 yds for a TD (Nolan Hauser KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 4FUMBLE
3 plays · -7 yds · 0:3310% → 10%
Q1 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
90.5%
Jordan Waters run for 5 yds to the NCSU 30Similar
Q1 7:12
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-12
90.5%
CJ Bailey sacked by T.J. Parker for a loss of 12 yards to the NCSU 18 CJ Bailey fumbled, forced by T.J. Parker, recovered by CLEM Cade Denhoff , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 5TD
5 plays · 18 yds · 1:5891% → 93%
Q1 7:05
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
91.1%
Jay Haynes run for 1 yd to the NCSU 17Similar
Q1 6:45
2ND & 9
OPP 17
+13
91.1%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Troy Stellato for 13 yds to the NCSU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
91.2%
Jay Haynes run for 2 yds to the NCSU 2Similar
Q1 5:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
91.2%
Jay Haynes run for no gain to the NCSU 2Similar
Q1 5:07
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
92.5%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Antonio Williams for 2 yds for a TD (Nolan Hauser KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 6FUMBLE
6 plays · 15 yds · 2:418% → 7%
Q1 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
92.4%
Hollywood Smothers run for a loss of 2 yards to the NCSU 23Similar
Q1 4:20
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+15
92.6%
CJ Bailey pass complete to Keenan Jackson for 15 yds to the NCSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
92.7%
Hollywood Smothers run for 2 yds to the NCSU 40Similar
Q1 3:10
2ND & 8
OWN 40
-5
92.9%
CJ Bailey run for a loss of 5 yards to the NCSU 35Similar
Q1 2:15
3RD & 13
OWN 35
+5
93.3%
CJ Bailey pass complete to Kevin Concepcion for 5 yds Kevin Concepcion fumbled, forced by Avieon Terrell, recovered by CLEM Avieon Terrell , return for 2 yds to the NCSU 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 7TD
1 play · 38 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q1 2:08
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+38
95.3%
Phil Mafah run for 38 yds for a TD (Nolan Hauser KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 8MISSED FG
8 plays · 44 yds · 3:354% → 4%
Q1 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-7
95.9%
Jordan Waters run for 3 yds to the NCSU 28 NC State Penalty, Offensive Holding (Val Erickson) to the NCSU 18Similar
Q1 1:10
1ST & 17
OWN 18
+36
96.2%
CJ Bailey pass complete to Justin Joly for 36 yds to the CLEM 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:32
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+13
96.1%
CJ Bailey pass complete to Dacari Collins for 13 yds to the CLEM 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:05
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
96.0%
Jordan Waters run for 1 yd to the CLEM 32Similar
Q2 14:45
2ND & 9
OPP 32
+3
96.1%
Kendrick Raphael run for 3 yds to the CLEM 29Similar
Q2 14:15
3RD & 6
OPP 29
-2
96.2%
Kendrick Raphael run for a loss of 2 yards to the CLEM 31Similar
Q2 13:25
4TH & 8
OPP 31
+48
96.5%
Kanoah Vinesett 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:0097% → 97%
Q2 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-1
96.8%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Bryant Wesco Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the CLEM 30Similar
Q2 12:45
2ND & 11
OWN 30
+4
96.8%
Phil Mafah run for 4 yds to the CLEM 34Similar
Q2 12:10
3RD & 7
OWN 34
0
96.9%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Troy StellatoSimilar
Q2 12:02
4TH & 7
OWN 34
0
96.9%
Aidan Swanson punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jalen Coit at the NCSU 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 10TD
9 plays · 71 yds · 4:203% → 6%
Q2 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+9
96.9%
CJ Bailey pass complete to Kevin Concepcion for 9 yds to the NCSU 38Similar
Q2 11:15
2ND & 1
OWN 38
+12
96.8%
CJ Bailey pass complete to Justin Joly for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:52
1ST & 10
50
0
96.9%
CJ Bailey pass incomplete to Kevin ConcepcionSimilar
Q2 10:35
2ND & 10
50
+28
97.0%
CJ Bailey pass complete to Kevin Concepcion for 13 yds to the CLEM 37 for a 1ST down Clemson Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the CLEM 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:56
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
96.8%
Kevin Concepcion run for 2 yds to the CLEM 20Similar
Q2 9:24
2ND & 8
OPP 20
+7
96.9%
CJ Bailey run for 7 yds to the CLEM 13Similar
Q2 8:45
3RD & 1
OPP 13
+3
97.0%
Jordan Waters run for 3 yds to the CLEM 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
97.9%
CJ Bailey run for 5 yds to the CLEM 5Similar
Q2 7:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
94.1%
Jordan Waters 5 Yd pass from CJ Bailey (Kanoah Vinesett Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 11TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:2596% → 98%
Q2 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.5%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Antonio WilliamsSimilar
Q2 7:02
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+40
95.5%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to T.J. Moore for 40 yds to the NCSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:33
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+12
95.7%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Adam Randall for 12 yds to the NCSU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:13
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
95.8%
Keith Adams Jr. run for 5 yds to the NCSU 18Similar
Q2 5:53
2ND & 5
OPP 18
+18
98.2%
Cole Turner 18 Yd Run (Nolan Hauser Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 22 yds · 1:062% → 2%
Q2 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
98.4%
Kendrick Raphael run for 16 yds to the NCSU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
98.4%
CJ Bailey pass complete to Kevin Concepcion for 6 yds to the NCSU 47Similar
Q2 4:38
2ND & 4
OWN 47
0
98.3%
CJ Bailey pass incomplete to Kevin ConcepcionSimilar
Q2 4:33
3RD & 4
OWN 47
0
98.3%
CJ Bailey pass incomplete to Kevin ConcepcionSimilar
Q2 4:27
4TH & 4
OWN 47
0
98.4%
Caden Noonkester punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Antonio Williams at the CLEM 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 13TD
10 plays · 89 yds · 2:4798% → 99%
Q2 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+25
98.3%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Troy Stellato for 25 yds to the CLEM 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
98.4%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Jay Haynes for 8 yds to the CLEM 44Similar
Q2 3:46
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+14
98.3%
Jay Haynes run for 14 yds to the NCSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:12
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+9
98.5%
Cade Klubnik run for 9 yds to the NCSU 33Similar
Q2 2:41
2ND & 1
OPP 33
+3
98.4%
Jay Haynes run for 3 yds to the NCSU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:04
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
98.6%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Cole TurnerSimilar
Q2 1:56
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+5
98.7%
NC State Penalty, Defensive Offside (Davin Vann) to the NCSU 25Similar
Q2 1:45
2ND & 5
OPP 25
+6
98.7%
Keith Adams Jr. run for 6 yds to the NCSU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:22
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
99.0%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Antonio WilliamsSimilar
Q2 1:15
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+19
99.0%
Jay Haynes 19 Yd Run (Nolan Hauser Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · -17 yds · 0:221% → 1%
Q2 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.1%
Hollywood Smothers run for 2 yds to the NCSU 27Similar
Q2 1:05
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
99.1%
CJ Bailey pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:54
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-19
99.1%
CJ Bailey sacked by T.J. Parker for a loss of 11 yards to the NCSU 16 NC State Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Anthony Belton) to the NCSU 8Similar
Q2 0:47
4TH & 27
OWN 8
+21
99.2%
Caden Noonkester punt for 40 yds , Antonio Williams returns for 21 yds to the NCSU 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 15END OF HALF
9 plays · 24 yds · 0:3999% → 99%
Q2 0:39
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+11
99.0%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Jake Briningstool for 11 yds to the NCSU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:18
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+8
99.1%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Phil Mafah for 8 yds to the NCSU 8Similar
Q2 0:14
2ND & 2
OPP 8
+5
99.2%
Phil Mafah run for 5 yds to the NCSU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
99.2%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
99.2%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Adam RandallSimilar
Q2 0:02
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
99.2%
Cade Klubnik pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
99.4%
Nolan Hauser 20 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 16DOWNS
7 plays · 30 yds · 2:361% → 1%
Q3 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
99.2%
CJ Bailey pass complete to Dante Daniels for 9 yds to the NCSU 34Similar
Q3 14:10
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+13
99.2%
CJ Bailey pass complete to Noah Rogers for 13 yds to the NCSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+8
99.3%
Jordan Waters run for 8 yds to the CLEM 45Similar
Q3 12:58
2ND & 2
OPP 45
0
99.3%
CJ Bailey pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:28
3RD & 2
OPP 45
0
99.3%
CJ Bailey pass complete to Terrell Anderson for no gain to the CLEM 45Similar
Q3 12:12
4TH & 2
OPP 45
0
99.3%
CJ Bailey pass incomplete to Kevin ConcepcionSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 17TD
8 plays · 55 yds · 3:02100% → 100%
Q3 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
99.5%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Antonio WilliamsSimilar
Q3 11:50
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+11
99.5%
Phil Mafah run for 11 yds to the NCSU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:33
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+25
99.5%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Adam Randall for 25 yds to the NCSU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:56
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
99.5%
Jay Haynes run for 3 yds to the NCSU 16Similar
Q3 10:24
2ND & 7
OPP 16
+6
99.6%
Cade Klubnik run for 6 yds to the NCSU 10Similar
Q3 9:48
3RD & 1
OPP 10
0
99.6%
Cade Klubnik run for no gain to the NCSU 10Similar
Q3 9:23
4TH & 1
OPP 10
+6
99.6%
NC State Penalty, Defensive Offside (6 Yards) to the NCSU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.6%
Adam Randall 4 Yd pass from Cade Klubnik (Nolan Hauser Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 18TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:240% → 0%
Q3 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
99.7%
Clemson Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Jeadyn Lukus) to the NCSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+23
99.7%
CJ Bailey pass complete to Wesley Grimes for 23 yds to the CLEM 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:05
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
99.7%
Kevin Concepcion run for 2 yds to the CLEM 35Similar
Q3 7:13
2ND & 8
OPP 35
-1
99.7%
Kendrick Raphael run for a loss of 1 yard to the CLEM 36Similar
Q3 6:48
3RD & 9
OPP 36
+15
99.7%
Bailey, CJ pass incomplete to Jackson, Keenan, PENALTY CLEMSON pass interference 15 yards to the CLEMSON21, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NCSU.Similar
Q3 6:42
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+15
99.7%
Bailey, CJ pass incomplete to Concepcion, Kevin, PENALTY CLEMSON pass interference (Hampton, Ashton) 15 yards to the CLEMSON6, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NCSU.Similar
Q3 6:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
99.6%
Kendrick Raphael 6 Yd Run (Kanoah Vinesett Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 27 yds · 2:35100% → 100%
Q3 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
99.7%
Christopher Vizzina pass complete to Adam Randall for 19 yds to the CLEM 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+9
99.7%
Christopher Vizzina pass complete to Adam Randall for 9 yds to the NCSU 47Similar
Q3 5:18
2ND & 1
OPP 47
+2
99.7%
Keith Adams Jr. run for 2 yds to the NCSU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:51
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
99.7%
Christopher Vizzina pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:45
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
99.7%
Christopher Vizzina pass incomplete to T.J. MooreSimilar
Q3 4:32
3RD & 10
OPP 45
-3
99.7%
Christopher Vizzina sacked by Sean Brown for a loss of 3 yards to the NCSU 48Similar
Q3 3:52
4TH & 13
OPP 48
+42
99.7%
Aidan Swanson punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Jalen Coit at the NCSU 6 NC State Penalty, Running Into Kicker (Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:510% → 0%
Q3 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 6
-2
99.8%
Hollywood Smothers run for a loss of 2 yards to the NCSU 4Similar
Q3 3:03
2ND & 12
OWN 4
0
99.8%
CJ Bailey pass incomplete to Kevin ConcepcionSimilar
Q3 2:58
3RD & 12
OWN 4
0
99.9%
CJ Bailey pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:47
4TH & 12
OWN 4
0
99.9%
Caden Noonkester punt for 49 yds, downed at the CLEM 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:44100% → 100%
Q3 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
99.8%
Jay Haynes run for no gain to the CLEM 47Similar
Q3 2:07
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
99.8%
Christopher Vizzina pass incomplete to Troy StellatoSimilar
Q3 1:57
3RD & 10
OWN 47
-10
99.8%
Vizzina, Christopher rush for 22 yards to the NCSU31, PENALTY CLEMSON holding (Thurmon, Elyjah) 10 yards to the CLEMSON37, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:19
3RD & 20
OWN 37
+9
99.8%
Christopher Vizzina pass complete to Jay Haynes for 9 yds to the CLEM 46Similar
Q3 0:45
4TH & 11
OWN 46
+16
99.8%
Aidan Swanson punt for 38 yds , Jalen Coit returns for 16 yds to the NCSU 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 22INT TD
1 play · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-53
99.9%
Ashton Hampton 53 Yd Interception Return (Nolan Hauser Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 23TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 3:160% → 0%
Q3 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.9%
Kendrick Raphael run for 4 yds to the NCSU 29Similar
Q4 14:48
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+24
99.9%
CJ Bailey pass complete to Justin Joly for 24 yds to the CLEM 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:08
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+18
99.9%
Kendrick Raphael run for 18 yds to the CLEM 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:26
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+6
99.9%
Kendrick Raphael run for 6 yds to the CLEM 23Similar
Q4 12:37
2ND & 4
OPP 23
+21
99.9%
Hollywood Smothers run for 21 yds to the CLEM 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.9%
Hollywood Smothers 2 Yd Run (Kanoah Vinesett Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:58100% → 100%
Q4 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
99.9%
Christopher Vizzina run for a loss of 1 yard to the CLEM 24Similar
Q4 11:15
2ND & 11
OWN 24
-2
99.9%
David Eziomume run for a loss of 2 yards to the CLEM 22Similar
Q4 10:38
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+4
99.9%
Christopher Vizzina pass complete to Josh Sapp for 4 yds to the CLEM 26Similar
Q4 10:00
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+11
99.9%
Jack Smith punt for 37 yds , Jalen Coit returns for 11 yds to the NCSU 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 25TD
4 plays · 52 yds · 1:310% → 0%
Q4 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
99.9%
Jordan Waters run for 6 yds to the CLEM 46Similar
Q4 9:15
2ND & 4
OPP 46
0
99.9%
Lex Thomas pass incomplete to Justin JolySimilar
Q4 9:06
3RD & 4
OPP 46
+40
99.9%
Kendrick Raphael run for 40 yds to the CLEM 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
99.9%
Demarcus Jones II 6 Yd Run (Kanoah Vinesett Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 26DOWNS
12 plays · 25 yds · 4:27100% → 100%
Q4 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
99.9%
Trent Pearman run for 9 yds to the CLEM 34Similar
Q4 7:38
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+3
99.9%
Jarvis Green run for 3 yds to the CLEM 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:06
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
99.9%
Trent Pearman run for 6 yds to the CLEM 43Similar
Q4 6:29
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+2
99.9%
Jarvis Green run for 2 yds to the CLEM 45Similar
Q4 5:50
3RD & 2
OWN 45
+4
99.9%
David Eziomume run for 4 yds to the CLEM 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
99.9%
Trent Pearman pass incomplete to Charlie JohnsonSimilar
Q4 5:14
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+2
99.9%
Wise Segars Jr. run for 2 yds to the NCSU 49Similar
Q4 4:41
3RD & 8
OPP 49
+4
99.9%
Trent Pearman pass complete to Jackson Crosby for 4 yds to the NCSU 45Similar
Q4 3:55
4TH & 4
OPP 45
-5
99.9%
Clemson Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 3:47
4TH & 9
50
0
99.9%
Jack Smith punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jalen Coit at the NCSU 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 27TD
10 plays · 87 yds · 3:280% → 0%
Q4 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+9
100.0%
Hollywood Smothers run for 9 yds to the NCSU 22Similar
Q4 3:00
2ND & 1
OWN 22
+9
100.0%
Hollywood Smothers run for 9 yds to the NCSU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
100.0%
Demarcus Jones II run for no gain to the NCSU 31Similar
Q4 1:56
2ND & 10
OWN 31
-1
100.0%
Lex Thomas pass complete to Jakolbe Baldwin for a loss of 1 yard to the NCSU 30Similar
Q4 1:37
3RD & 11
OWN 30
+7
100.0%
Demarcus Jones II run for 7 yds to the NCSU 37Similar
Q4 0:58
4TH & 4
OWN 37
+9
100.0%
Lex Thomas run for 9 yds to the NCSU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
100.0%
Lex Thomas pass complete to Terrell Anderson for no gain to the NCSU 46Similar
Q4 0:28
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+14
100.0%
Lex Thomas pass complete to Demarcus Jones II for 14 yds to the CLEM 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:14
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
100.0%
Lex Thomas pass incomplete to Terrell AndersonSimilar
Q4 0:05
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+40
99.6%
Terrell Anderson 40 Yd pass from Lex Thomas (Kanoah Vinesett Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 28END OF GAME
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
99.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the CLEM 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 7:25
Jordan Waters 5 Yd pass from CJ Bailey (Kanoah Vinesett Kick)
-3.9
TD · Q2 5:53
Cole Turner 18 Yd Run (Nolan Hauser Kick)
+2.4
TD · Q1 2:08
Phil Mafah run for 38 yds for a TD (Nolan Hauser KICK)
+2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com