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2024 · Week 3 · Sep 14, 2024 · S.B. Ballard Stadium
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Win probability · ODU
modelODU aheadVT aheadconfidence bandkey playODU scoreVT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGFGFGTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · Jeremiah Coney run for no gain to the VT 43
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+55.0+27.50−27.5−55.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:13: Quinn Henicle run for 65 yds for a TD (Ethan Sanchez KICK) — ODU win probability +3.5 pts (now 17%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 5:14: Ethan Sanchez 28 yd FG GOOD — ODU win probability +3.5 pts (now 23%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 10:43: John Love 21 yd FG GOOD — VT win probability +3.5 pts (now 82%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 14:55: Bhayshul Tuten run for 16 yds for a TD (John Love KICK) — VT win probability +8.5 pts (now 95%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 10:10: Bhayshul Tuten run for 22 yds for a TD (John Love KICK) — VT win probability +3.7 pts (now 99%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ODU made the numbers' call on 7 of 9VT made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 9:19ODU 4th & 4 at ODU 45, down 7
    Close callPunted · 18.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:50VT 4th & 1 at ODU 1, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 81.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    80.8%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    80.3%−0.5
    94% to make
    Punt
    79.0%−1.8
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:58ODU 4th & 10 at ODU 25, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.3%−0.6
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:25VT 4th & 4 at ODU 27, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 83.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    83.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    82.8%−0.3
    62% to make
    Punt
    80.4%−2.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:19ODU 4th & 13 at ODU 24, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.7%−0.9
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:23VT 4th & 11 at VT 25, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.6%−0.9
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:04VT 4th & 10 at ODU 16, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 79.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.3%−0.6
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    78.9%
    81% to make
    Punt
    75.5%−3.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:04VT 4th & 10 at ODU 16, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 79.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.3%−0.6
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    78.9%
    81% to make
    Punt
    75.5%−3.4
    average punt
  9. Q2 5:14ODU 4th & 3 at VT 11, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 23.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.0%
    50% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    22.3%−0.7
    87% to make
    Punt
    17.4%−5.6
    average punt
  10. Q2 3:59VT 4th & 10 at VT 25, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.7%−1.2
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.0%
    average punt
  11. Q2 2:43ODU 4th & 6 at ODU 32, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.7%−0.4
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.2%
    average punt
  12. Q2 1:50VT 4th & 1 at VT 29, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.7 ptsPunted · 72.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.8%−1.7
    average punt
  13. Q3 13:38ODU 4th & 9 at ODU 26, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.8%−1.6
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.4%
    average punt
  14. Q3 10:43VT 4th & 3 at ODU 3, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsKicked a field goal · 71.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.5%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    70.9%−1.6
    93% to make
    Punt
    62.5%−10.0
    average punt
  15. Q3 8:07VT 4th & 7 at ODU 15, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 78.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.3%−0.8
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    78.1%
    83% to make
    Punt
    70.8%−7.4
    average punt
  16. Q3 5:22ODU 4th & 17 at ODU 23, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.4%−2.6
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.0%
    average punt
  17. Q3 4:11ODU 4th & 7 at ODU 23, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.2%−1.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.2%
    average punt
  18. Q4 9:01ODU 4th & 23 at ODU 12, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%−0.4
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.6%
    average punt
  19. Q4 5:08VT 4th & 6 at ODU 24, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.0%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.0%
    68% to make
    Punt
    98.5%−0.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ODU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2VT made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 12:05VT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:50VT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:13ODU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 14:55VT Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 10:10VT Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.3%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.5%
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 3:32ODU Touchdown, down 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
VTDrive 1TD
9 plays · 76 yds · 2:5188% → 87%
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
12.1%
Kyron Drones run for 5 yds to the VT 29Similar
Q1 14:56
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+10
12.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun Drones,Kyron pass incomplete deep left to Felton,Da'Quan thrown to ODU24 PENALTY ODU Holding (Rankin Jr.,Angelo) 10 yards from VTU29 to VTU39, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
12.1%
Kyron Drones pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:56
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+1
12.1%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 1 yd to the VT 38Similar
Q1 14:56
3RD & 11
OWN 38
+14
12.1%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Jaylin Lane for 14 yds to the ODU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
12.1%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 4 yds to the ODU 44Similar
Q1 14:56
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+19
12.1%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 19 yds to the ODU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
12.7%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Jaylin Lane for 25 yds for a TD (John Love KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 2:4613% → 14%
Q1 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
12.9%
Colton Joseph pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:05
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
12.9%
Aaron Young run for 2 yds to the ODU 27Similar
Q1 12:05
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+12
12.8%
Colton Joseph pass complete to Pat Conroy for 12 yds to the ODU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
12.9%
Colton Joseph run for 3 yds to the ODU 42Similar
Q1 12:05
2ND & 7
OWN 42
0
13.0%
Aaron Young run for no gain to the ODU 42Similar
Q1 12:05
3RD & 7
OWN 42
+3
12.9%
Colton Joseph run for 3 yds to the ODU 45Similar
Q1 9:19
4TH & 4
OWN 45
0
13.7%
Seamus Hall punt for 55 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 3TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 3:2986% → 88%
Q1 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+61
13.6%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Jaylin Lane for 46 yds to the ODU 34 for a 1ST down Old Dominion Penalty, Personal Foul (Jahron Manning) to the ODU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:19
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+6
13.3%
Kyron Drones run for 6 yds to the ODU 13Similar
Q1 9:19
2ND & 4
OPP 13
+9
13.3%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Jaylin Lane for 9 yds to the ODU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
13.3%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 3 yds to the ODU 1Similar
Q1 9:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
13.3%
Bhayshul Tuten run for no gain to the ODU 1Similar
Q1 9:19
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
13.4%
Bhayshul Tuten run for no gain to the ODU 1Similar
Q1 5:50
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
12.5%
Kyron Drones run for 1 yd for a TD (John Love KICK)Similar
Q1 5:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
12.3%
Old Dominion Penalty, Defensive Offside (Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:5213% → 13%
Q1 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
12.9%
Aaron Young run for 3 yds to the ODU 28Similar
Q1 5:50
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
12.8%
Aaron Young run for 2 yds to the ODU 30Similar
Q1 5:50
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-5
12.8%
Colton Joseph sacked by Antwaun Powell-Ryland for a loss of 5 yards to the ODU 25 Colton Joseph fumbled, recovered by ODU Aaron Young , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q1 3:58
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+9
13.0%
Seamus Hall punt for 51 yds , Jaylin Lane returns for 9 yds to the VT 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 5DOWNS
9 plays · 40 yds · 3:3387% → 87%
Q1 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
12.6%
Collin Schlee run for 1 yd to the VT 34Similar
Q1 3:58
2ND & 9
OWN 34
+21
12.6%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Stephen Gosnell for 21 yds to the ODU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:58
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
12.4%
Kyron Drones pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:58
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+12
12.4%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Jaylin Lane for 12 yds to the ODU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:58
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
12.4%
Kyron Drones run for 1 yd to the ODU 32Similar
Q1 3:58
2ND & 9
OPP 32
+4
12.4%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 4 yds to the ODU 28Similar
Q1 0:51
3RD & 5
OPP 28
+1
12.4%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 1 yd to the ODU 27Similar
Q1 0:25
4TH & 4
OPP 27
0
12.7%
Kyron Drones pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:4113% → 13%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
12.9%
Quinn Henicle run for 3 yds to the ODU 30Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 30
-6
12.9%
Quinn Henicle sacked by Antwaun Powell-Ryland for a loss of 6 yards to the ODU 24Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 24
0
12.8%
Quinn Henicle pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:19
4TH & 13
OWN 24
0
12.9%
Seamus Hall punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Jaylin Lane at the VT 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:5687% → 87%
Q2 14:19
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
12.7%
Kyron Drones pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:19
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+1
12.8%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 1 yd to the VT 25Similar
Q2 14:19
3RD & 11
OWN 25
0
12.9%
Kyron Drones pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:23
4TH & 11
OWN 25
0
13.1%
Peter Moore punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Isiah Paige at the ODU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 8TD
1 play · 65 yds · 0:0017% → 17%
Q2 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+65
16.6%
Quinn Henicle run for 65 yds for a TD (Ethan Sanchez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 9MISSED FG
15 plays · 58 yds · 5:0484% → 84%
Q2 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
16.4%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 1 yd to the VT 25Similar
Q2 13:08
2ND & 11
OWN 25
+15
16.6%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Ali Jennings for 15 yds to the VT 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
15.7%
Kyron Drones run for 6 yds to the VT 46Similar
Q2 13:08
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+17
15.8%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 17 yds to the ODU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:08
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
15.6%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Jaylin Lane for 2 yds to the ODU 35Similar
Q2 13:08
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+5
15.5%
Kyron Drones run for 5 yds to the ODU 30Similar
Q2 9:40
3RD & 3
OPP 30
+14
16.0%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 14 yds to the ODU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
15.8%
Kyron Drones pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:40
2ND & 10
OPP 16
0
15.8%
Bhayshul Tuten run for no gain to the ODU 16Similar
Q2 8:14
3RD & 10
OPP 16
0
15.4%
Kyron Drones pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:04
4TH & 10
OPP 16
+33
16.2%
John Love 33 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Ricardo Williams Jr.Similar
Q2 8:04
4TH & 10
OPP 16
+33
16.2%
John Love 33 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Ricardo Williams Jr. Love,John field goal attempt from 33 yards NO GOOD blocked by Williams Jr.,Ricardo (H: Moore,Peter, LS: Epling,Christian), clock 08:04 recovered by ODU Williams Jr.,Ricardo at ODU20, End Of Play.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 10FG
6 plays · 69 yds · 2:5018% → 23%
Q2 8:04
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+48
17.7%
Bryce Duke run for 48 yds to the VT 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:04
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+14
20.0%
Quinn Henicle pass complete to Isiah Paige for 14 yds to the VT 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:04
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
20.0%
Bryce Duke run for 2 yds to the VT 16Similar
Q2 8:04
2ND & 8
OPP 16
+2
20.0%
Quinn Henicle run for 2 yds to the VT 18Similar
Q2 8:04
3RD & 10
OPP 18
+7
19.2%
Quinn Henicle pass complete to Bryce Duke for 7 yds to the VT 11Similar
Q2 5:14
4TH & 3
OPP 11
+28
22.7%
Ethan Sanchez 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 1:1578% → 76%
Q2 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
21.7%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Bhayshul Tuten for a loss of 1 yard to the VT 24Similar
Q2 5:14
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+4
22.1%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Benji Gosnell for 4 yds to the VT 28Similar
Q2 5:14
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-14
22.1%
PENALTY VTU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Greene,Ayden) 14 yards from VTU28 to VTU14. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:14
3RD & 21
OWN 14
+11
22.9%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Ali Jennings for 11 yds to the VT 25Similar
Q2 3:59
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
23.9%
Peter Moore punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Isiah Paige at the ODU 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:1623% → 22%
Q2 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-14
22.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun Henicle,Quinn pass complete short left to Conroy,Pat caught at ODU31, for 3 yards to the ODU31 (Woodson,Caleb) PENALTY ODU Pass Interference (Vines,Diante) 14 yards from ODU28 to ODU14. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:59
1ST & 24
OWN 14
+2
22.2%
Quinn Henicle pass complete to Diante Vines for 2 yds to the ODU 16Similar
Q2 3:59
2ND & 22
OWN 16
0
22.1%
Quinn Henicle pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:59
3RD & 22
OWN 16
+16
21.4%
Aaron Young run for 16 yds to the ODU 32Similar
Q2 2:43
4TH & 6
OWN 32
0
21.8%
Seamus Hall punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Jaylin Lane at the VT 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:5378% → 77%
Q2 2:43
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
22.2%
Malachi Thomas run for 3 yds to the VT 23Similar
Q2 2:43
2ND & 7
OWN 23
0
22.0%
Kyron Drones pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:43
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+6
22.8%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Da'Quan Felton for 6 yds to the VT 29Similar
Q2 1:50
4TH & 1
OWN 29
0
23.0%
Peter Moore punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Isiah Paige at the ODU 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 14END OF HALF
6 plays · 20 yds · 1:5022% → 24%
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
22.1%
Aaron Young run for 7 yds to the ODU 27Similar
Q2 1:50
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+4
22.5%
Aaron Young run for 4 yds to the ODU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
22.4%
Aaron Young run for 5 yds to the ODU 36Similar
Q2 1:50
2ND & 5
OWN 36
-10
23.5%
Old Dominion Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the ODU 28Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 13
OWN 28
+10
22.7%
Quinn Henicle run for 10 yds to the ODU 38Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 3
OWN 38
+2
23.9%
Aaron Young run for 2 yds to the ODU 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:2224% → 24%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
24.4%
Aaron Young run for no gain to the ODU 25Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
24.3%
Aaron Young run for 1 yd to the ODU 26Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
23.4%
Quinn Henicle pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:38
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
23.7%
Seamus Hall punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 16FG
6 plays · 68 yds · 2:5576% → 82%
Q3 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+10
23.7%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Da'Quan Felton for 10 yds to the VT 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+53
22.6%
Kyron Drones run for 53 yds to the ODU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-2
21.2%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Jaylin Lane for a loss of 2 yards to the ODU 10Similar
Q3 13:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
21.2%
Kyron Drones run for 4 yds to the ODU 6Similar
Q3 13:38
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
22.1%
Kyron Drones run for 3 yds to the ODU 3Similar
Q3 10:43
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+21
18.5%
John Love 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 17FUMBLE
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:2620% → 20%
Q3 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
20.4%
PENALTY VTU Delay Of Game 5 yards from ODU21 to ODU26. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:38
1ST & 5
OWN 26
-11
20.9%
Quinn Henicle sacked by Antwaun Powell-Ryland for a loss of 11 yards to the ODU 15Similar
Q3 10:38
2ND & 16
OWN 15
+6
20.2%
Aaron Young run for 6 yds to the ODU 21Similar
Q3 9:12
3RD & 10
OWN 21
-3
19.8%
Quinn Henicle sacked by Antwaun Powell-Ryland for a loss of 3 yards to the ODU 18 Quinn Henicle fumbled, recovered by VT Antwaun Powell-Ryland , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 18FG
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:0583% → 83%
Q3 9:12
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
17.3%
Kyron Drones pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:12
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+3
17.4%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 3 yds to the ODU 15Similar
Q3 9:12
3RD & 7
OPP 15
0
17.8%
Kyron Drones pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:07
4TH & 7
OPP 15
+32
17.4%
John Love 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 4 yds · 2:4017% → 15%
Q3 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+9
16.8%
Aaron Young run for 9 yds to the ODU 28Similar
Q3 8:02
2ND & 1
OWN 28
+2
17.6%
Aaron Young run for 2 yds to the ODU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
17.1%
Aaron Young run for 3 yds to the ODU 33Similar
Q3 8:02
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+1
17.3%
Quinn Henicle run for 1 yd to the ODU 34Similar
Q3 8:02
3RD & 6
OWN 34
-11
16.7%
Quinn Henicle sacked by Kelvin Gilliam Jr. for a loss of 11 yards to the ODU 23Similar
Q3 5:22
4TH & 17
OWN 23
+20
14.9%
Seamus Hall punt for 36 yds , Jaylin Lane returns for 20 yds to the ODU 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 20INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0086% → 86%
Q3 5:14
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
14.4%
Kyron Drones pass intercepted, touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:0316% → 15%
Q3 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
16.3%
Quinn Henicle run for 1 yd to the ODU 19Similar
Q3 5:14
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+4
16.1%
Quinn Henicle run for 4 yds to the ODU 23Similar
Q3 5:14
3RD & 7
OWN 23
0
15.4%
Quinn Henicle pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:11
4TH & 7
OWN 23
0
14.8%
Seamus Hall punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Jaylin Lane at the VT 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 22TD
8 plays · 59 yds · 4:1685% → 95%
Q3 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
14.6%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 6 yds to the VT 47Similar
Q3 4:11
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+4
14.5%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 4 yds to the ODU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:11
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
14.3%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 2 yds to the VT 49Similar
Q3 4:11
2ND & 12
OWN 49
+4
14.7%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Da'Quan Felton for 4 yds to the ODU 47Similar
Q3 4:11
3RD & 8
OPP 47
+22
14.6%
Kyron Drones run for 22 yds to the ODU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:11
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+7
13.8%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 7 yds to the ODU 18Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 3
OPP 18
+2
13.9%
Kyron Drones run for 2 yds to the ODU 16Similar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 1
OPP 16
+16
5.4%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 16 yds for a TD (John Love KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 23INT
4 plays · 12 yds · 0:548% → 7%
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
7.9%
Quinn Henicle run for 9 yds to the ODU 34Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+3
8.5%
Bryce Duke run for 3 yds to the ODU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
6.8%
Quinn Henicle pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 24TD
7 plays · 48 yds · 3:5195% → 99%
Q4 14:01
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
5.2%
Bhayshul Tuten run for no gain to the ODU 48Similar
Q4 14:01
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+8
5.2%
Collin Schlee run for 8 yds to the ODU 40Similar
Q4 14:01
3RD & 2
OPP 40
+4
5.1%
Malachi Thomas run for 4 yds to the ODU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:01
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
5.2%
Malachi Thomas run for 4 yds to the ODU 32Similar
Q4 14:01
2ND & 6
OPP 32
+1
4.9%
Malachi Thomas run for 1 yd to the ODU 31Similar
Q4 14:01
3RD & 5
OPP 31
+9
5.0%
Kyron Drones run for 9 yds to the ODU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:10
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
1.3%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 22 yds for a TD (John Love KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 25PUNT
7 plays · -13 yds · 1:092% → 2%
Q4 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
1.7%
Aaron Young run for 3 yds to the ODU 28Similar
Q4 10:10
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+4
1.7%
Quinn Henicle pass complete to Isiah Paige for 4 yds to the ODU 32Similar
Q4 10:10
4TH & 3
OWN 32
-15
1.7%
PENALTY ODU Personal Foul (Flores,Michael) 15 yards from ODU32 to ODU17. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:10
4TH & 18
OWN 17
-5
1.7%
PENALTY ODU False Start (Smith-Young,Patrick) 5 yards from ODU17 to ODU12. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:10
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
1.7%
Quinn Henicle pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:01
4TH & 23
OWN 12
0
1.6%
Seamus Hall punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Jaylin Lane at the ODU 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 26FG
7 plays · 18 yds · 3:5399% → 100%
Q4 9:01
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
1.2%
P.J. Prioleau run for 4 yds to the ODU 38Similar
Q4 9:01
2ND & 6
OPP 38
+2
1.2%
P.J. Prioleau run for 2 yds to the ODU 36Similar
Q4 9:01
3RD & 4
OPP 36
+8
1.2%
Collin Schlee run for 8 yds to the ODU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:01
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
1.2%
Jeremiah Coney run for 2 yds to the ODU 26Similar
Q4 9:01
2ND & 8
OPP 26
+4
1.2%
Jeremiah Coney run for 4 yds to the ODU 22Similar
Q4 9:01
3RD & 4
OPP 22
+2
1.3%
Collin Schlee run for 2 yds to the ODU 24Similar
Q4 5:08
4TH & 6
OPP 24
+41
0.2%
John Love 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 27TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:360% → 1%
Q4 5:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+32
0.2%
Bryce Duke run for 32 yds to the VT 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:08
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+11
0.2%
Quinn Henicle pass complete to Demariyon Houston for 11 yds to the VT 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:08
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+10
0.3%
Tariq Sims run for 10 yds to the VT 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:08
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+6
0.3%
Quinn Henicle run for 6 yds to the VT 16Similar
Q4 5:08
2ND & 4
OPP 16
0
0.2%
Quinn Henicle pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:32
3RD & 4
OPP 16
+16
1.4%
Tariq Sims run for 16 yds for a TD (Ethan Sanchez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 28END OF GAME
7 plays · 18 yds · 3:3299% → 99%
Q4 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
1.0%
William Watson III run for 4 yds to the VT 29Similar
Q4 3:32
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
1.0%
Jeremiah Coney run for 5 yds to the VT 34Similar
Q4 3:32
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
1.0%
William Watson III run for 3 yds to the VT 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
1.0%
William Watson III run for 1 yd to the VT 36Similar
Q4 3:32
2ND & 11
OWN 36
+7
1.0%
Jeremiah Coney run for 7 yds to the VT 43Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 4
OWN 43
0
0.7%
Jeremiah Coney run for no gain to the VT 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 14:55
Bhayshul Tuten run for 16 yds for a TD (John Love KICK)
-8.5
TD · Q4 10:10
Bhayshul Tuten run for 22 yds for a TD (John Love KICK)
-3.7
TD · Q2 13:13
Quinn Henicle run for 65 yds for a TD (Ethan Sanchez KICK)
+3.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com