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WCU

Western Carolina 21 at NC State 38

NCSU
2024 · Week 1 · Aug 29, 2024 · Carter-Finley Stadium
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Win probability · NCSU
modelNCSU aheadWCU aheadconfidence bandkey playNCSU scoreWCU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 6:14 · Stephen Brantley punt for 42 yds , Kevin Concepcion returns for 20 yds to the WCU 45
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+48.0+24.00−24.0−48.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 24Pregame prior+45.1Home team on offense−0.1Garbage-time factor+0.0Score differential−0.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:03: Kevin Concepcion 5 Yd pass from Grayson McCall (Kanoah Vinesett Kick) — NCSU win probability +1.3 pts (now 95%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 4:36: Branson Adams run for 17 yds for a TD (Christian Lowery KICK) — WCU win probability +14.1 pts (now 33%) (top driver: WCU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 14:45: Kevin Concepcion 35 Yd pass from Grayson McCall (Kanoah Vinesett Kick) — NCSU win probability +14.8 pts (now 85%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 6:33: Jordan Waters run for 7 yds for a TD (Kanoah Vinesett KICK) — NCSU win probability +10.6 pts (now 94%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:50: Jordan Waters run for 50 yds for a TD (Kanoah Vinesett KICK) — NCSU win probability +2.8 pts (now 99%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NCSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6WCU made the numbers' call on 4 of 8
  1. Q1 10:46WCU 4th & 1 at NCSU 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    3.4%−0.2
    58% to make
    Punt
    3.0%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:52NCSU 4th & 5 at WCU 45, tied
    Close callPunted · 96.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.0%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    95.9%−0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    96.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:14WCU 4th & 7 at WCU 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.3%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.4%
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:11WCU 4th & 4 at WCU 46, tied
    Close callPunted · 8.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.9%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:11WCU 4th & 4 at WCU 46, tied
    Close callPunted · 8.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.9%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:49NCSU 4th & 1 at WCU 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 91.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    90.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    90.1%−0.8
    34% to make
    Punt
    90.1%−0.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:09WCU 4th & 1 at midfield, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    11.1%−0.8
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:54NCSU 4th & 1 at WCU 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 88.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    88.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    88.3%−0.4
    84% to make
    Punt
    86.0%−2.7
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:36NCSU 4th & 1 at WCU 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 85.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    85.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    82.9%−2.2
    45% to make
    Punt
    82.2%−2.8
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:00NCSU 4th & 14 at WCU 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 81.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.1%−1.7
    18% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    81.8%
    58% to make
    Punt
    76.7%−5.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:52NCSU 4th & 10 at WCU 43, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.5%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    63.5%−1.2
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    64.7%
    average punt
  12. Q3 0:32WCU 4th & 14 at WCU 9, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.1%−4.9
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.0%
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:04WCU 4th & 4 at WCU 44, down 3
    Close callPunted · 20.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.1%−0.6
    average punt
  14. Q4 4:18WCU 4th & 4 at NCSU 19, down 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsKicked a field goal · 7.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.7%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    6.5%−1.1
    77% to make
    Punt
    4.8%−2.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NCSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5WCU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 5:55WCU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:39NCSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:05WCU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 12:03NCSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 4:36WCU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    28.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 14:45NCSU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 6:33NCSU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.5%−0.5
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 1:50NCSU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.9%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WCUDrive 1DOWNS
11 plays · 46 yds · 4:102% → 3%
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.0%
Cole Gonzales pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:52
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
98.0%
Cole Gonzales pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:41
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+13
98.0%
Cole Gonzales pass complete to AJ Colombo for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:59
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
97.9%
Cole Gonzales pass complete to Calvin JonesSimilar
Q1 13:13
2ND & 1
OWN 47
-5
97.8%
PENALTY WCU False Start (Simmons,Derek) 5 yards from WCU47 to WCU42. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:44
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+5
97.8%
Cole Gonzales run for 5 yds to the WCU 47Similar
Q1 12:24
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
97.7%
Cole Gonzales pass complete to Calvin JonesSimilar
Q1 11:44
2ND & 5
OPP 33
+4
97.6%
Cole Gonzales pass complete to Branson AdamsSimilar
Q1 11:27
3RD & 1
OPP 29
0
97.6%
Marlin Cochran run for no gain to the NCSU 29Similar
Q1 10:46
4TH & 1
OPP 29
0
97.5%
Cole Gonzales pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 25 yds · 2:4998% → 97%
Q1 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
97.5%
Jordan Waters run for 4 yds to the NCSU 34Similar
Q1 10:04
2ND & 6
OWN 34
0
97.4%
Grayson McCall pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:57
3RD & 6
OWN 34
+16
97.4%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Noah Rogers to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:19
1ST & 10
50
+7
97.4%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Kevin Concepcion Kevin Concepcion fumbled, recovered by WCU Juice VereenSimilar
Q1 8:37
2ND & 3
OPP 43
0
97.3%
Grayson McCall pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:28
3RD & 3
OPP 43
+2
97.2%
Jordan Waters run for 2 yds to the WCU 45Similar
Q1 7:52
4TH & 5
OPP 45
0
97.1%
Caden Noonkester punt for 45 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WCUDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 1:343% → 3%
Q1 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
97.0%
Cole Gonzales pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:33
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+3
97.0%
run for 3 yds to the WCU 17Similar
Q1 7:00
3RD & 13
OWN 17
+11
96.9%
Branson Adams run for 11 yds to the WCU 28Similar
Q1 6:25
4TH & 2
OWN 28
-5
96.9%
PENALTY WCU Delay Of Game 5 yards from WCU28 to WCU23. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:14
4TH & 7
OWN 23
+20
96.8%
Stephen Brantley punt for 42 yds , Kevin Concepcion returns for 20 yds to the WCU 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 4INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q1 6:03
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
96.9%
Grayson McCall pass intercepted Ken Moore Jr. return for 51 yds to the NCSU 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WCUDrive 5TD
1 play · 8 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q1 5:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
96.1%
Jake Young 8 Yd pass from Cole Gonzales (Christian Lowery Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 6TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:5596% → 96%
Q1 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
96.2%
Jordan Waters run for 5 yds to the NCSU 30 Jordan Waters fumbled, recovered by WCU Justin JolySimilar
Q1 5:13
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+23
96.1%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Wesley Grimes for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:46
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+10
96.1%
Kendrick Raphael run for 10 yds to the WCU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:11
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
96.0%
Grayson McCall pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:04
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+2
95.9%
Jordan Waters run for 2 yds to the WCU 35Similar
Q1 3:15
3RD & 8
OPP 35
+18
95.7%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Noah Rogers for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:39
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
96.4%
Kevin Concepcion 17 Yd pass from Grayson McCall (Kanoah Vinesett Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WCUDrive 7TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:284% → 6%
Q1 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
96.0%
Corey Reddick Jr. run for 2 yds to the WCU 27Similar
Q1 2:02
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
95.8%
Cole Gonzales pass complete to AJ ColomboSimilar
Q1 1:20
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+50
95.6%
Cole Gonzales run for 50 yds to the NCSU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:44
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+6
95.1%
Cole Gonzales pass complete to Malik KnightSimilar
Q1 0:11
2ND & 4
OPP 12
0
95.0%
Cole Gonzales pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:05
3RD & 4
OPP 12
+12
93.9%
AJ Colombo 12 Yd pass from Cole Gonzales (Christian Lowery Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 8TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:5794% → 95%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
94.3%
Jordan Waters run for 10 yds to the NCSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
94.3%
Jordan Waters run for 1 yd to the NCSU 36Similar
Q2 14:15
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+21
94.1%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Justin Joly for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:33
1ST & 15
OPP 48
0
94.0%
Grayson McCall pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:26
2ND & 15
OPP 48
+18
93.9%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Kevin Concepcion for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+25
94.1%
Hollywood Smothers run for 25 yds to the WCU 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
95.3%
Kevin Concepcion 5 Yd pass from Grayson McCall (Kanoah Vinesett Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WCUDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 21 yds · 1:426% → 6%
Q2 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
94.5%
Cole Gonzales pass complete to Calvin JonesSimilar
Q2 11:25
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+10
94.3%
Cole Gonzales pass complete to AJ Colombo for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
93.8%
Cole Gonzales pass complete to Calvin JonesSimilar
Q2 10:24
2ND & 4
OWN 46
0
93.6%
Cole Gonzales pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:20
3RD & 4
OWN 46
0
93.6%
Cole Gonzales pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:11
4TH & 4
OWN 46
0
93.9%
Stephen Brantley punt for 32 ydsSimilar
Q2 10:11
4TH & 4
OWN 46
0
93.9%
Stephen Brantley punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Jalen Coit at the NCSU 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 10DOWNS
8 plays · 23 yds · 4:1194% → 93%
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
94.4%
Jordan Waters run for 2 yds to the NCSU 38Similar
Q2 9:28
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+1
94.3%
Jordan Waters run for 1 yd to the NCSU 37Similar
Q2 8:43
3RD & 9
OWN 37
+14
93.9%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Kevin Concepcion for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-3
94.1%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Kendrick RaphaelSimilar
Q2 7:18
2ND & 13
OWN 48
+7
93.6%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Terrell AndersonSimilar
Q2 6:51
3RD & 6
OPP 45
+5
93.7%
PENALTY WCU Offside (Simpson-Nealy,Bo) 5 yards from WCU45 to WCU40. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:26
3RD & 1
OPP 40
0
93.6%
Hollywood Smothers run for no gain to the WCU 40Similar
Q2 5:49
4TH & 1
OPP 40
+1
93.1%
Jordan Waters run for 1 yd to the WCU 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WCUDrive 11DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:359% → 10%
Q2 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
91.2%
Cole Gonzales pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:44
2ND & 10
OWN 41
-5
91.4%
PENALTY WCU False Start (Carter,Caleb) 5 yards from WCU41 to WCU36. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:28
2ND & 15
OWN 36
+10
91.7%
Cole Gonzales pass complete to Jake YoungSimilar
Q2 4:52
3RD & 5
OWN 46
+4
90.7%
Cole Gonzales pass complete to Malik Knight to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 4:09
4TH & 1
50
0
90.5%
Branson Adams run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 12DOWNS
10 plays · 32 yds · 3:0493% → 91%
Q2 3:58
1ST & 10
50
+8
92.8%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Justin JolySimilar
Q2 3:15
2ND & 2
OPP 42
0
92.6%
Grayson McCall run for no gain to the WCU 42Similar
Q2 2:33
3RD & 2
OPP 42
+5
92.2%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Kevin Concepcion for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:04
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+14
92.1%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Kevin Concepcion for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
92.3%
Grayson McCall pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:48
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+6
92.2%
Jordan Waters run for 6 yds to the WCU 17Similar
Q2 0:59
3RD & 4
OPP 17
+3
91.4%
Grayson McCall run for 3 yds to the WCU 14Similar
Q2 0:54
4TH & 1
OPP 14
+4
90.5%
Jordan Waters run for 4 yds to the WCU 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WCUDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · -5 yds · 0:4611% → 11%
Q2 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-9
88.8%
(00:52) No Huddle-Shotgun Gonzales,Cole rush middle for 5 yards gain to the WCU23 (Brown,Sean) PENALTY WCU Holding (Graham,Xavier) 9 yards from WCU18 to WCU09. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 19
OWN 9
+4
88.6%
Branson Adams run for 4 yds to the WCU 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 14FG
16 plays · 39 yds · 6:4690% → 87%
Q3 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
89.6%
(14:52) Shotgun McCall,Grayson pass incomplete deep right to Concepcion,Kevin "KC" thrown to WCU45 QB hurried by Turner,Antarron PENALTY NCSU Ineligible Downfield on Pass offsetting WCU Pass Interference offsetting NCSU Holding offsetting. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:23
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
89.4%
Jordan Waters run for 3 yds to the NCSU 29Similar
Q3 13:56
2ND & 13
OWN 29
+9
88.9%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Noah RogersSimilar
Q3 13:13
3RD & 4
OWN 38
+7
89.0%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Dacari Collins for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:33
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
89.1%
Kendrick Raphael run for 8 yds to the WCU 47Similar
Q3 11:54
2ND & 2
OPP 47
0
89.1%
Grayson McCall pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:47
3RD & 2
OPP 47
+3
88.7%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Dacari Collins for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:08
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
88.6%
Grayson McCall pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:02
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+6
88.5%
Kendrick Raphael run for 6 yds to the WCU 38Similar
Q3 10:18
3RD & 4
OPP 38
+3
87.9%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Justin JolySimilar
Q3 9:36
4TH & 1
OPP 35
+10
86.8%
Jordan Waters run for 10 yds to the WCU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:56
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
87.8%
Grayson McCall pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:52
2ND & 10
OPP 25
0
87.8%
Grayson McCall pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:40
3RD & 10
OPP 25
-4
86.9%
Grayson McCall sacked by Chris Morgan for a loss of 4 yards to the WCU 29Similar
Q3 8:00
4TH & 14
OPP 29
+46
87.0%
Kanoah Vinesett 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WCUDrive 15TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:1713% → 33%
Q3 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
87.0%
Cole Gonzales run for 15 yds to the WCU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-15
85.5%
(07:25) No Huddle-Shotgun Gonzales,Cole pass incomplete deep right to Young,Jake thrown to NCSU30 PENALTY WCU Pass Interference (Young,Jake) 15 yards from WCU40 to WCU25. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:15
1ST & 25
OWN 25
+10
86.7%
Cole Gonzales pass complete to AJ ColomboSimilar
Q3 6:37
2ND & 15
OWN 35
+1
86.4%
Branson Adams run for 1 yd to the WCU 36Similar
Q3 5:50
3RD & 14
OWN 36
+25
86.4%
Cole Gonzales pass complete to AJ Colombo for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:07
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+7
83.0%
Cole Gonzales pass complete to Calvin JonesSimilar
Q3 4:42
2ND & 3
OPP 32
0
81.3%
Cole Gonzales pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:36
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
67.2%
Branson Adams run for 17 yds for a TD (Christian Lowery KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 40 yds · 2:3473% → 67%
Q3 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+4
72.5%
Jordan Waters run for 4 yds to the NCSU 21Similar
Q3 3:45
2ND & 6
OWN 21
+15
70.4%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Justin Joly for a 1ST down Western Carolina Penalty, Roughing The Passer (Curtis Fann Jr.) to the WCU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:21
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
73.7%
Grayson McCall pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:11
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+2
73.3%
Kevin Concepcion run for 2 yds to the WCU 45Similar
Q3 2:30
3RD & 12
OPP 45
+2
69.8%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Kendrick RaphaelSimilar
Q3 1:52
4TH & 10
OPP 43
0
67.0%
Caden Noonkester punt for 30 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WCUDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 1:1236% → 35%
Q3 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
64.1%
Cole Gonzales run for no gain to the WCU 13Similar
Q3 1:20
2ND & 10
OWN 13
0
63.8%
Cole Gonzales pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:14
3RD & 10
OWN 13
+4
65.0%
Branson Adams run for 4 yds to the WCU 9Similar
Q3 0:32
4TH & 14
OWN 9
0
65.5%
Stephen Brantley punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Kevin Concepcion at the NCSU 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 18TD
5 plays · 51 yds · 0:4369% → 85%
Q3 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
69.0%
Grayson McCall pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:20
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
68.2%
Grayson McCall pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 10
OWN 49
+16
65.0%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Terrell Anderson for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
70.5%
Grayson McCall pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:45
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+35
85.3%
Kevin Concepcion 35 Yd pass from Grayson McCall (Kanoah Vinesett Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WCUDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 2:3217% → 19%
Q4 14:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
82.9%
Cole Gonzales pass complete to Jake Young for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-6
81.4%
Cole Gonzales sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the WCU 32Similar
Q4 13:32
2ND & 16
OWN 32
+1
82.3%
Branson Adams run for 1 yd to the WCU 33Similar
Q4 12:49
3RD & 15
OWN 33
+11
82.9%
Cole Gonzales run for 11 yds to the WCU 44Similar
Q4 12:04
4TH & 4
OWN 44
0
80.7%
Stephen Brantley punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jalen Coit at the NCSU 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 20TD
9 plays · 81 yds · 5:2083% → 94%
Q4 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+6
82.6%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Kevin ConcepcionSimilar
Q4 11:28
2ND & 4
OWN 25
+6
82.6%
Grayson McCall run for 6 yds to the NCSU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+10
82.8%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Jordan Waters for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
83.9%
Jonathan Paylor run for 3 yds to the NCSU 44Similar
Q4 9:21
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+14
83.7%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Wesley Grimes for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:27
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+14
84.0%
Hollywood Smothers run for 14 yds to the WCU 28 Hollywood Smothers fumbled, recovered by NCSU for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+22
84.4%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Justin Joly for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
83.8%
Jordan Waters run for 1 yd to the WCU 7Similar
Q4 6:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
94.4%
Jordan Waters run for 7 yds for a TD (Kanoah Vinesett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WCUDrive 21MISSED FG
10 plays · 56 yds · 2:106% → 7%
Q4 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
94.1%
Cole Gonzales pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:05
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+32
94.1%
Cole Gonzales pass complete to Malik Knight for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:51
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
92.4%
Cole Gonzales pass complete to AJ ColomboSimilar
Q4 5:29
2ND & 4
OPP 37
0
91.9%
Cole Gonzales pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:24
3RD & 4
OPP 37
0
92.3%
Cole Gonzales pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:54
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+9
91.1%
Cole Gonzales pass complete to for 9 yds fumbled, recovered by WCUSimilar
Q4 4:46
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+6
91.5%
Cole Gonzales pass complete to AJ ColomboSimilar
Q4 4:23
3RD & 4
OPP 19
0
92.0%
Cole Gonzales pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:18
4TH & 4
OPP 19
+37
92.8%
Christian Lowery 37 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 22TD
5 plays · 80 yds · 2:2394% → 99%
Q4 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
93.6%
Jordan Waters run for 4 yds to the NCSU 24Similar
Q4 3:25
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+11
94.6%
Grayson McCall run for 11 yds to the NCSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:39
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+10
95.0%
Jordan Waters run for 10 yds to the NCSU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:50
1ST & 10
50
+50
99.0%
Jordan Waters run for 50 yds for a TD (Kanoah Vinesett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WCUDrive 23FUMBLE
11 plays · 66 yds · 1:412% → 2%
Q4 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
98.3%
Cole Gonzales pass complete to AJ Colombo for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+10
98.2%
Cole Gonzales pass complete to Marlin Cochran for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
98.3%
Taron Dickens run for 6 yds to the NCSU 49Similar
Q4 0:43
2ND & 4
OPP 49
+12
98.1%
Taron Dickens run for 12 yds to the NCSU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:28
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+9
98.1%
Taron Dickens pass complete to Marlin CochranSimilar
Q4 0:21
2ND & 1
OPP 28
0
97.6%
Taron Dickens pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:16
3RD & 1
OPP 28
+21
97.9%
Taron Dickens pass complete to James Randle for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
97.6%
Taron Dickens pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
97.6%
Taron Dickens pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
-2
97.9%
Taron Dickens sacked by Isaiah Shirley for a loss of 2 yards to the NCSU 9 Taron Dickens fumbled, recovered by WCU Donovan Kaufman , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 14:45
Kevin Concepcion 35 Yd pass from Grayson McCall (Kanoah Vinesett Kick)
+14.8
TD · Q3 4:36
Branson Adams run for 17 yds for a TD (Christian Lowery KICK)
-14.1
TD · Q4 6:33
Jordan Waters run for 7 yds for a TD (Kanoah Vinesett KICK)
+10.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com