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UCLA

UCLA 16 at Hawai'i 13

HAW
2024 · Week 1 · Aug 31, 2024 · Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex
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Win probability · HAW
modelHAW aheadUCLA aheadconfidence bandkey playHAW scoreUCLA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGFGFGFGEnd of GameFG+4HAW 56.1%Kansei Matsuzawa 28 yd FG GOODAWAY 0 - HOME 10 · Q2 0:00
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:00 · Kansei Matsuzawa 28 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorBlowout margin
+29.5+14.80−14.8−29.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 83Pregame prior−15.8Home team on offense+10.9Score differential+1.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+5.4Garbage-time factor+3.4Blowout margin−0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 8:41: Ethan Garbers pass complete to Rico Flores Jr. for 39 yds for a TD (Blake Glessner KICK) — UCLA win probability +18.5 pts (now 57%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. FG · Q3 4:12: Kansei Matsuzawa 28 yd FG GOOD — HAW win probability +5.6 pts (now 62%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  3. FG · Q4 14:05: Mateen Bhaghani 37 yd FG GOOD — UCLA win probability +10.1 pts (now 57%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 0:56: Mateen Bhaghani 32 yd FG GOOD — UCLA win probability +31.4 pts (now 91%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:56: Brayden Schager pass incomplete — HAW win probability +9.9 pts (now 19%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
HAW made the numbers' call on 9 of 10UCLA made the numbers' call on 4 of 8
  1. Q1 13:24UCLA 4th & 5 at HAW 44, tied
    Close callPunted · 79.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.2%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    79.1%−0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    79.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:21HAW 4th & 6 at HAW 31, tied
    Close callWent for it · 21.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    21.8%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    21.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:55HAW 4th & 9 at HAW 48, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.3%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.6%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:52UCLA 4th & 20 at UCLA 10, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.3%−1.1
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:41HAW 4th & 2 at UCLA 38, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 37.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    37.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    36.0%−1.4
    38% to make
    Punt
    36.0%−1.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:46UCLA 4th & 4 at HAW 34, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 60.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    59.6%−1.0
    47% to make
    Punt
    58.9%−1.7
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:03HAW 4th & 14 at HAW 41, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.1%−1.8
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.9%
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:50UCLA 4th & 8 at UCLA 36, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.4%−0.6
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.9%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:00HAW 4th & 10 at UCLA 10, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 50.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.5%−1.1
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    49.5%
    88% to make
    Punt
    41.3%−8.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:19HAW 4th & 14 at HAW 31, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.3%−4.8
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:12HAW 4th & 7 at UCLA 11, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 52.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.0%−0.8
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    51.8%
    87% to make
    Punt
    40.7%−11.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 0:54UCLA 4th & 4 at HAW 4, down 6
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsKicked a field goal · 43.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    41.6%−1.3
    93% to make
    Punt
    25.9%−17.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:05UCLA 4th & 9 at HAW 19, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 44.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.7%−2.4
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.1%
    77% to make
    Punt
    33.1%−11.9
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:36HAW 4th & 18 at midfield, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.0%−6.8
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.8%
    average punt
  15. Q4 5:57UCLA 4th & 11 at HAW 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.1%−0.4
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    50.5%−1.0
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    51.5%
    average punt
  16. Q4 3:15HAW 4th & 9 at HAW 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.9%−4.2
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.1%
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:56UCLA 4th & 1 at HAW 14, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 6.6 ptsKicked a field goal · 55.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    49.2%−6.6
    84% to make
    Punt
    11.4%−44.4
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:00HAW 4th & 6 at HAW 29, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 21.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.8%
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    13.8%−3.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
HAW made the numbers' call on 1 of 1UCLA made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 7:43HAW Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    25.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 8:41UCLA Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UCLADrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 16 yds · 1:3378% → 78%
Q1 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+11
21.8%
Ethan Garbers run for 11 yds to the HAW 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
22.0%
Ethan Garbers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:12
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+5
22.1%
T.J. Harden run for 5 yds to the HAW 44Similar
Q1 13:30
3RD & 5
OPP 44
0
22.4%
Ethan Garbers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:24
4TH & 5
OPP 44
0
22.5%
Chase Barry punt for 17 yds, downed at the HAW 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 2TD
9 plays · 73 yds · 5:2523% → 28%
Q1 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
22.7%
Brayden Schager run for 3 yds to the HAW 30Similar
Q1 12:43
2ND & 7
OWN 30
0
22.9%
Landon Sims run for no gain to the HAW 30Similar
Q1 12:00
3RD & 7
OWN 30
+1
23.2%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Landon Sims for 1 yd to the HAW 31Similar
Q1 11:21
4TH & 6
OWN 31
+19
23.4%
Lucas Borrow run for 19 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:31
1ST & 10
50
+8
24.4%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Nick Cenacle for 8 yds to the UCLA 42Similar
Q1 9:54
2ND & 2
OPP 42
+3
24.8%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Tylan Hines for 3 yds to the UCLA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+9
25.3%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 9 yds to the UCLA 30Similar
Q1 8:29
2ND & 1
OPP 30
+11
25.7%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Tylan Hines for 11 yds to the UCLA 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:43
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
28.3%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 19 yds for a TD (Kansei Matsuzawa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 3INT
10 plays · 68 yds · 4:1672% → 70%
Q1 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
27.6%
T.J. Harden run for 1 yd to the UCLA 26Similar
Q1 7:04
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+15
28.2%
Hawai'i Penalty, Personal Foul (Nalu Emerson) to the UCLA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+8
28.0%
(06:33) GARBERS, Ethan pass up the middle incomplete intended for JONES, Keegan thrown to the HAW44, clock 06:29. PENALTY HAW Pass Interference on MANUMA, Peter enforced at the spot of the foul for 8 yards to the HAW44 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 4:44
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-2
29.3%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to T.J. Harden for a loss of 2 yards to the HAW 47Similar
Q1 4:04
2ND & 12
OPP 47
+8
30.2%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Titus Mokiao-Atimalala for 8 yds to the HAW 39Similar
Q1 4:04
3RD & 4
OPP 39
+27
29.9%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Carter Shaw for 27 yds to the HAW 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:04
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
29.2%
Ethan Garbers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:28
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+5
29.7%
Hawai'i Penalty, Offsides (Dion Washington) to the HAW 7Similar
Q1 3:28
2ND & 5
OPP 7
0
29.7%
Ethan Garbers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:27
3RD & 5
OPP 7
0
30.2%
Ethan Garbers pass intercepted, touchback. Jalen Smith return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 4PUNT
9 plays · 28 yds · 2:2232% → 33%
Q1 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
31.8%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:10
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+12
31.8%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 12 yds to the HAW 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+15
32.4%
(02:28) SCHAGER, Brayden pass deep to the right incomplete intended for PANOKE, Jonah thrown to the HAW50, clock 02:22. PENALTY CLA Pass Interference on HENDERSON, Ramon enforced 15 yards to the HAW47 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-1
33.3%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Spencer Curtis for a loss of 1 yard to the HAW 46Similar
Q1 1:41
2ND & 11
OWN 46
+7
33.5%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Tylan Hines for 7 yds Tylan Hines fumbled, recovered by HAWSimilar
Q1 1:01
3RD & 4
OPP 47
-5
34.3%
(01:01) SCHAGER, Brayden pass short up the middle incomplete intended for ASHLOCK, Pofele thrown to the CLA45, clock 00:59. PENALTY Before the snap, HAW Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the CLA47 to the HAW48. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 0:58
3RD & 9
OWN 48
0
33.5%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:55
4TH & 9
OWN 48
0
32.9%
Lucas Borrow punt for 52 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 5PUNT
5 plays · -10 yds · 0:5567% → 65%
Q1 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
33.2%
Ethan Garbers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:40
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
33.5%
Ethan Garbers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:31
3RD & 10
OWN 20
-17
34.1%
(00:31) GARBERS, Ethan pass deep up the middle complete for 17 yards to STURDIVANT, J.Michael caught at the CLA37 and advanced to the CLA37 (MENDIOLA-JENSEN, Kilinahe), clock 00:00. PENALTY CLA Personal Foul on CARLIN, Josh enforced half the distance from the goal, 10 yards from the CLA20 to the CLA10 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 14:59
3RD & 20
OWN 10
0
34.7%
Ethan Garbers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:52
4TH & 20
OWN 10
0
35.1%
Chase Barry punt for 62 yds, downed at the HAW 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 6DOWNS
9 plays · 33 yds · 3:5835% → 39%
Q2 14:39
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
34.7%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Dekel Crowdus for 6 yds to the HAW 34Similar
Q2 14:07
2ND & 4
OWN 34
+9
35.7%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Alex Perry for 9 yds to the HAW 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
36.9%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Nick Cenacle for 6 yds to the HAW 49Similar
Q2 12:44
2ND & 4
OWN 49
0
37.9%
Brayden Schager run for no gain to the HAW 49Similar
Q2 12:03
3RD & 4
OWN 49
+5
38.0%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 5 yds to the UCLA 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:19
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
39.7%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:17
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+8
39.6%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Tylan Hines for 8 yds to the UCLA 38Similar
Q2 10:51
3RD & 2
OPP 38
0
39.5%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:41
4TH & 2
OPP 38
-1
38.8%
Brayden Schager run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 7MISSED FG
7 plays · 27 yds · 2:4563% → 58%
Q2 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
36.9%
T.J. Harden run for no gain to the UCLA 39Similar
Q2 9:47
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+21
38.2%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Titus Mokiao-Atimalala for 21 yds to the HAW 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:16
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-1
37.3%
T.J. Harden run for a loss of 1 yard to the HAW 41Similar
Q2 8:33
2ND & 11
OPP 41
+7
38.5%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Moliki Matavao for 7 yds to the HAW 34Similar
Q2 7:57
3RD & 4
OPP 34
0
38.7%
Ethan Garbers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:46
4TH & 4
OPP 34
+52
41.9%
Blake Glessner 52 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 7 yds · 2:4143% → 44%
Q2 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
43.2%
Landon Sims run for 3 yds to the HAW 37Similar
Q2 7:07
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+8
44.9%
Christian Vaughn run for 8 yds to the HAW 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
46.2%
Christian Vaughn run for 4 yds to the HAW 49Similar
Q2 5:45
2ND & 6
OWN 49
-5
47.2%
Hawai'i Penalty, Delay Of Game (-5 Yards) to the HAW 44Similar
Q2 5:20
2ND & 11
OWN 44
0
46.7%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:17
3RD & 11
OWN 44
-3
45.7%
Brayden Schager sacked by Keanu Williams for a loss of 3 yards to the HAW 41Similar
Q2 5:03
4TH & 14
OWN 41
0
44.3%
Lucas Borrow punt for 48 yds, downed at the UCLA 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 25 yds · 2:0354% → 51%
Q2 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
46.1%
Ethan Garbers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:46
2ND & 10
OWN 11
+8
46.6%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to J.Michael Sturdivant for 8 yds to the UCLA 19Similar
Q2 3:59
3RD & 2
OWN 19
+15
47.9%
(03:59) GARBERS, Ethan pass deep to the right incomplete intended for PEDERSEN, Jack thrown to the CLA35, clock 03:56. PENALTY HAW Roughing the Passer on WASHINGTON, Dion enforced 15 yards from the CLA19 to the CLA34 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
46.2%
Ethan Garbers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:46
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+2
46.8%
Anthony Frias II run for 2 yds to the UCLA 36Similar
Q2 3:00
3RD & 8
OWN 36
0
48.1%
Ethan Garbers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:50
4TH & 8
OWN 36
0
49.4%
Brody Richter punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Tylan Hines at the HAW 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 10INT
8 plays · 47 yds · 2:1348% → 54%
Q2 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
48.1%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Nick Cenacle for 5 yds to the HAW 24Similar
Q2 2:10
2ND & 5
OWN 24
+10
48.9%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 10 yds to the HAW 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+10
49.2%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Landon Sims for 10 yds to the HAW 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
51.4%
Cam Barfield run for 2 yds to the HAW 46Similar
Q2 1:10
2ND & 8
OWN 46
0
52.0%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:03
3RD & 8
OWN 46
+12
50.2%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Alex Perry for 12 yds to the UCLA 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:51
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+8
53.0%
Cam Barfield run for 8 yds to the UCLA 34Similar
Q2 0:36
2ND & 2
OPP 34
0
53.8%
Brayden Schager pass intercepted Ramon Henderson return for no gain to the UCLA 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 11INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0049% → 49%
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 6
-7
51.2%
Ethan Garbers pass intercepted Logan Taylor return for 7 yds to the UCLA 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 12FG
6 plays · -5 yds · 0:1954% → 56%
Q2 0:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-1
54.1%
Landon Sims run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 6Similar
Q2 0:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
53.0%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:09
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
-4
51.8%
Brayden Schager sacked by Ramon Henderson for a loss of 4 yards to the UCLA 10Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+28
56.1%
Kansei Matsuzawa 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 1:3657% → 56%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
56.6%
Cam Barfield run for 2 yds to the HAW 37Similar
Q3 14:24
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+1
57.7%
Cam Barfield run for 1 yd to the HAW 38Similar
Q3 13:47
3RD & 7
OWN 38
-7
57.6%
Brayden Schager sacked by K.J. Wallace for a loss of 7 yards to the HAW 31Similar
Q3 13:19
4TH & 14
OWN 31
0
55.8%
Lucas Borrow punt for 65 yds, downed at the UCLA 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 14TD
9 plays · 96 yds · 4:3541% → 57%
Q3 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+3
59.0%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to T.J. Harden for 3 yds to the UCLA 7Similar
Q3 12:36
2ND & 7
OWN 7
+12
60.1%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to J.Michael Sturdivant for 12 yds to the UCLA 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-2
59.7%
Ethan Garbers sacked by Elijah Robinson and Dion Washington for a loss of 2 yards to the UCLA 17Similar
Q3 11:44
2ND & 12
OWN 17
+9
60.9%
Ethan Garbers run for 9 yds to the UCLA 26Similar
Q3 10:59
3RD & 3
OWN 26
+6
61.7%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to T.J. Harden for 6 yds to the UCLA 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+11
61.5%
Keegan Jones run for 11 yds to the UCLA 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
61.9%
Keegan Jones run for 3 yds to the UCLA 46Similar
Q3 8:55
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+15
62.0%
(08:55) GARBERS, Ethan pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for FLORES JR., Rico thrown to the HAW20, clock 08:49. PENALTY HAW Pass Interference on BROWN, Caleb enforced 15 yards to the HAW39 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 8:41
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+39
43.4%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Rico Flores Jr. for 39 yds for a TD (Blake Glessner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 15FG
11 plays · 64 yds · 4:2949% → 62%
Q3 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
49.0%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:37
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
48.7%
Landon Sims run for 3 yds to the HAW 28Similar
Q3 7:55
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+15
48.1%
(07:55) SCHAGER, Brayden pass deep to the left incomplete intended for PERRY, Alex thrown to the CLA35, clock 07:50. PENALTY CLA Roughing the Passer on AUPIU, Devin enforced 15 yards from the HAW28 to the HAW43 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+9
52.3%
David Cordero run for 9 yds to the UCLA 48Similar
Q3 7:10
2ND & 1
OPP 48
0
54.2%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:08
3RD & 1
OPP 48
+23
53.4%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 23 yds to the UCLA 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:24
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+11
56.0%
Brayden Schager run for 11 yds to the UCLA 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:42
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
56.7%
Christian Vaughn run for 4 yds to the UCLA 10Similar
Q3 4:59
2ND & 6
OPP 10
-1
57.0%
Christian Vaughn run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 11Similar
Q3 4:20
3RD & 7
OPP 11
0
55.9%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:12
4TH & 7
OPP 11
+28
61.5%
Kansei Matsuzawa 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 16FG
8 plays · 71 yds · 3:1843% → 48%
Q3 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
57.1%
Ethan Garbers run for 16 yds to the UCLA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
55.3%
T.J. Harden run for 1 yd to the UCLA 42Similar
Q3 2:59
2ND & 9
OWN 42
-3
56.2%
T.J. Harden run for a loss of 3 yards to the UCLA 39Similar
Q3 2:16
3RD & 12
OWN 39
+53
59.6%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Rico Flores Jr. for 53 yds to the HAW 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
52.0%
Ethan Garbers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
52.1%
Ethan Garbers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:36
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
54.4%
Ethan Garbers run for 4 yds to the HAW 4Similar
Q3 0:54
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
52.3%
Mateen Bhaghani 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 17INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0555% → 55%
Q3 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
54.8%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:46
2ND & 10
OWN 11
0
54.6%
Brayden Schager pass intercepted D.J. Justice return for no gain to the HAW 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 18FG
5 plays · 16 yds · 1:3351% → 57%
Q3 0:38
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+15
48.7%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Moliki Matavao for 15 yds to the HAW 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:02
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-2
48.6%
T.J. Harden run for a loss of 2 yards to the HAW 22Similar
Q4 14:59
2ND & 12
OPP 22
+3
49.2%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Keegan Jones for 3 yds to the HAW 19Similar
Q4 14:14
3RD & 9
OPP 19
0
53.1%
Ethan Garbers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:05
4TH & 9
OPP 19
+37
43.0%
Mateen Bhaghani 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 19PUNT
10 plays · 25 yds · 4:2949% → 50%
Q4 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
48.6%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Nick Cenacle for 1 yd to the HAW 26Similar
Q4 13:27
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+14
48.8%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Koali Nishigaya for 14 yds to the HAW 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
52.4%
Landon Sims run for 4 yds to the HAW 44Similar
Q4 12:12
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+4
54.2%
Landon Sims run for 4 yds to the HAW 48Similar
Q4 11:38
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+10
53.7%
(11:38) SCHAGER, Brayden pass up the middle incomplete intended for PANOKE, Jonah thrown to the CLA40, clock 11:34. PENALTY CLA Holding on KIRKWOOD, Devin enforced 10 yards from the HAW48 to the CLA42 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 11:34
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-2
55.8%
Cam Barfield run for a loss of 2 yards to the UCLA 44Similar
Q4 10:51
2ND & 12
OPP 44
-1
54.3%
Brayden Schager sacked by Jacob Busic and TEAM for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 45Similar
Q4 9:58
3RD & 13
OPP 45
-5
52.9%
Hawai'i Penalty, Delay Of Game (Brayden Schager) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 9:44
3RD & 18
50
0
51.6%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:36
4TH & 18
50
0
49.6%
Lucas Borrow punt for 22 yds, downed at the UCLA 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 20PUNT
8 plays · 31 yds · 3:3354% → 52%
Q4 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
46.5%
T.J. Harden run for 1 yd to the UCLA 29Similar
Q4 8:55
2ND & 9
OWN 29
+6
47.0%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to T.J. Harden for 6 yds to the UCLA 35Similar
Q4 8:16
3RD & 3
OWN 35
+9
46.6%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to T.J. Harden for 9 yds to the UCLA 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+16
44.0%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to J.Michael Sturdivant for 16 yds to the HAW 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:48
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-1
41.8%
Keegan Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the HAW 41Similar
Q4 6:07
2ND & 11
OPP 41
0
42.3%
Ethan Garbers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:04
3RD & 11
OPP 41
0
44.6%
Ethan Garbers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:57
4TH & 11
OPP 41
0
48.5%
Brody Richter punt for 32 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 21PUNT
9 plays · 21 yds · 2:4553% → 43%
Q4 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+6
52.9%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 6 yds to the HAW 15Similar
Q4 5:16
2ND & 4
OWN 15
-4
54.0%
Landon Sims run for a loss of 4 yards to the HAW 11Similar
Q4 4:34
3RD & 8
OWN 11
+18
50.8%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 18 yds to the HAW 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
55.1%
Christian Vaughn run for 1 yd to the HAW 30Similar
Q4 3:27
2ND & 9
OWN 30
0
55.1%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:17
3RD & 9
OWN 30
0
51.8%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:15
4TH & 9
OWN 30
+11
49.8%
Lucas Borrow punt for 40 yds , Logan Loya returns for 11 yds to the UCLA 41Similar
Q4 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-5
43.2%
(03:06) GARBERS, Ethan pass deep to the right incomplete intended for STURDIVANT, J.Michael thrown to the HAW26, clock 03:02. PENALTY Before the snap, CLA Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the CLA41 to the CLA36. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 22FG
9 plays · 45 yds · 2:0652% → 91%
Q4 3:02
1ST & 15
OWN 36
+20
47.6%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Moliki Matavao for 20 yds to the HAW 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:21
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+11
41.5%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Bryce Pierre for 11 yds to the HAW 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+10
37.7%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Rico Flores Jr. for 10 yds to the HAW 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:21
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
37.2%
Ethan Garbers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:15
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+5
38.3%
Ethan Garbers run for 5 yds to the HAW 18Similar
Q4 1:10
3RD & 5
OPP 18
+4
39.4%
Ethan Garbers run for 4 yds to the HAW 14Similar
Q4 0:56
4TH & 1
OPP 14
+32
9.1%
Mateen Bhaghani 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 23DOWNS
4 plays · 14 yds · 0:5619% → 12%
Q4 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
19.0%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:52
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-11
18.4%
Brayden Schager sacked by Ale Kaho for a loss of 11 yards to the HAW 14Similar
Q4 0:18
3RD & 21
OWN 14
+15
13.4%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Nick Cenacle for 15 yds to the HAW 29Similar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+10
11.8%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 10 yds Pofele Ashlock fumbled, recovered by UCLA Bryan Addison B. Addison return for 0 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 0:56
Mateen Bhaghani 32 yd FG GOOD
-31.4
TD · Q3 8:41
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Rico Flores Jr. for 39 yds for a TD (Blake Glessner KICK)
-18.5
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-11.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com