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FLA

Florida 31 at Florida State 11

FSU
2024 · Week 14 · Nov 30, 2024 · Doak Campbell Stadium
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Win probability · FSU
modelFSU aheadFLA aheadconfidence bandkey playFSU scoreFLA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 10:00 · Alex Mastromanno punt for 47 yds , Chimere Dike returns for 35 yds to the FLA 15
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+46.5+23.30−23.3−46.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 11Pregame prior−37.1Home team on offense+0.0Score differential−0.1Garbage-time factor−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:25: DJ Lagway pass complete to Marcus Burke for 4 yds for a TD (Trey Smack KICK) — FLA win probability +6.2 pts (now 91%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 6:27: Trey Smack 30 yd FG GOOD — FLA win probability +3.8 pts (now 90%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 12:38: Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 65 yds for a TD (Trey Smack KICK) — FLA win probability +5.1 pts (now 98%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 3:18: Timeout Florida, clock 03:18 — FSU win probability +9.0 pts (now 11%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 1:36: KD Daniels run for 3 yds to the FSU 40 — FLA win probability +19.7 pts (now 96%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8FLA made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 10:00FSU 4th & 11 at FSU 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.7%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:00FSU 4th & 11 at FSU 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.7%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:35FLA 4th & 1 at FLA 24, tied
    Close callPunted · 82.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.2%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:43FSU 4th & 1 at FSU 34, tied
    Close callPunted · 18.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.4%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:17FLA 4th & 10 at FLA 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.4%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.6%
    average punt
  6. Q1 2:04FSU 4th & 10 at FSU 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.2%−0.6
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 14:45FLA 4th & 13 at FLA 43, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.1%−0.7
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:56FSU 4th & 21 at FSU 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.0%−2.0
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.0%
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:48FLA 4th & 18 at FLA 17, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.8%−2.4
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.1%
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:47FSU 4th & 13 at FLA 21, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 13.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.1%−1.1
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    13.1%
    74% to make
    Punt
    9.7%−3.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:49FLA 4th & 2 at FLA 45, up 11
    Close callPunted · 83.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.4%−0.7
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:27FLA 4th & 10 at FSU 12, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 83.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.2%−1.0
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    83.2%
    86% to make
    Punt
    77.3%−6.0
    average punt
  13. Q3 1:06FSU 4th & 2 at FLA 25, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    12.0%−0.8
    66% to make
    Punt
    8.2%−4.6
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:24FSU 4th & 24 at FSU 38, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%−0.5
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.8%
    average punt
  15. Q4 7:19FLA 4th & 7 at FLA 23, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.5%−0.2
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.6%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FLA made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 2:28FLA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:25FLA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 12:38FLA Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FSUDrive 1PUNT
11 plays · 19 yds · 4:4212% → 14%
Q1 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+10
11.7%
Luke Kromenhoek run for 10 yds to the FSU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
11.9%
Luke Kromenhoek pass complete to Ja'Khi Douglas for 2 yds to the FSU 28Similar
Q1 13:43
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+5
12.2%
Luke Kromenhoek pass complete to Kyle Morlock for 5 yds to the FSU 33Similar
Q1 13:15
3RD & 3
OWN 33
+3
12.3%
Lawrance Toafili run for 3 yds to the FSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
12.8%
(12:31) No Huddle-Shotgun Toafili,Lawrance rush right for 4 yards gain to the FSU40 (James,Shemar), out of bounds PENALTY UF Offside (Pyburn,Jack) 5 yards from FSU36 to FSU41. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:12
1ST & 5
OWN 41
0
13.0%
Kam Davis run for no gain to the FSU 41Similar
Q1 11:35
2ND & 5
OWN 41
-3
13.3%
Luke Kromenhoek sacked by Tyreak Sapp for a loss of 3 yards to the FSU 38 Luke Kromenhoek fumbled, recovered by FSU Kam Davis , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q1 11:06
3RD & 8
OWN 38
-3
13.3%
Luke Kromenhoek sacked by Jaden Robinson for a loss of 3 yards to the FSU 35Similar
Q1 10:00
4TH & 11
OWN 35
+35
13.7%
Alex Mastromanno punt for 47 yds , Chimere Dike returns for 35 yds to the FSU 47Similar
Q1 10:00
4TH & 11
OWN 35
+35
13.7%
Alex Mastromanno punt for 47 yds , Chimere Dike returns for 35 yds to the FLA 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:5586% → 85%
Q1 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
14.1%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 3 yds to the FLA 18Similar
Q1 9:30
2ND & 7
OWN 18
0
14.1%
DJ Lagway pass incomplete to Marcus BurkeSimilar
Q1 9:19
3RD & 7
OWN 18
+6
14.3%
DJ Lagway run for 6 yds to the FLA 24Similar
Q1 8:35
4TH & 1
OWN 24
0
14.6%
Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 51 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FSU 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:4015% → 15%
Q1 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
14.6%
Luke Kromenhoek pass complete to Hykeem Williams for a loss of 1 yard to the FSU 24Similar
Q1 7:54
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+8
14.8%
Roydell Williams run for 8 yds to the FSU 32Similar
Q1 7:20
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+3
15.1%
Luke Kromenhoek run for 3 yds to the FSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:43
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
15.3%
Alex Mastromanno punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 21 yds · 1:1685% → 84%
Q1 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+21
15.5%
Jadan Baugh run for 21 yds to the FLA 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
15.4%
Jadan Baugh run for no gain to the FLA 44Similar
Q1 5:31
2ND & 10
OWN 44
0
15.7%
DJ Lagway pass incomplete to Chimere DikeSimilar
Q1 5:24
3RD & 10
OWN 44
0
16.0%
DJ Lagway pass incomplete to Tony LivingstonSimilar
Q1 5:17
4TH & 10
OWN 44
0
16.4%
Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Lawayne McCoy at the FSU 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 5FUMBLE
5 plays · -1 yds · 2:1416% → 18%
Q1 5:08
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+6
16.2%
Lawrance Toafili run for 6 yds to the FSU 21Similar
Q1 4:35
2ND & 4
OWN 21
-1
16.6%
Lawrance Toafili run for a loss of 1 yard to the FSU 20Similar
Q1 3:51
3RD & 5
OWN 20
+6
16.7%
Luke Kromenhoek pass complete to Ja'Khi Douglas for 6 yds to the FSU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
17.2%
Kam Davis run for no gain to the FSU 26Similar
Q1 2:54
2ND & 10
OWN 26
-12
17.5%
Luke Kromenhoek sacked by Jack Pyburn for a loss of 12 yards to the FSU 14 Luke Kromenhoek fumbled, recovered by FLA D'Antre Robinson , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 6TD
2 plays · 14 yds · 0:1884% → 86%
Q1 2:46
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+13
16.5%
Ja'Kobi Jackson run for 13 yds to the FSU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
14.2%
Ja'Kobi Jackson run for 1 yd for a TD (Trey Smack KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:1915% → 15%
Q1 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
15.0%
Luke Kromenhoek pass incomplete to Ja'Khi DouglasSimilar
Q1 2:17
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
15.0%
Luke Kromenhoek pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:13
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
14.7%
Luke Kromenhoek pass incomplete to Hykeem WilliamsSimilar
Q1 2:04
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+4
14.6%
Alex Mastromanno punt for 49 yds , Chimere Dike returns for 4 yds to the FLA 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 2:0885% → 84%
Q1 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
14.8%
DJ Lagway pass complete to Aidan Mizell for 1 yd to the FLA 31Similar
Q1 1:22
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+8
14.9%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 8 yds to the FLA 39Similar
Q1 0:57
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+7
14.7%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 7 yds to the FLA 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
14.7%
DJ Lagway pass incomplete to Montrell Johnson Jr.Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 46
-3
14.9%
Jadan Baugh run for a loss of 3 yards to the FLA 43Similar
Q2 14:54
3RD & 13
OWN 43
0
15.4%
DJ Lagway pass incomplete to Tony LivingstonSimilar
Q2 14:45
4TH & 13
OWN 43
0
15.8%
Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 9FUMBLE
7 plays · 50 yds · 3:3116% → 18%
Q2 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+8
15.8%
Luke Kromenhoek run for 8 yds to the FSU 29Similar
Q2 14:06
2ND & 2
OWN 29
+7
16.4%
Luke Kromenhoek pass complete to Kyle Morlock for 7 yds to the FSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
16.4%
Luke Kromenhoek run for 2 yds to the FSU 38Similar
Q2 12:54
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+6
16.7%
Micahi Danzy run for 6 yds to the FSU 44Similar
Q2 12:18
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+15
17.3%
Luke Kromenhoek run for 15 yds to the FLA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:44
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
18.0%
Luke Kromenhoek run for 3 yds to the FLA 38Similar
Q2 11:04
2ND & 7
OPP 38
+9
18.3%
Lawrance Toafili run for 9 yds to the FLA 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 10INT
10 plays · 50 yds · 5:0683% → 84%
Q2 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
16.6%
Ja'Kobi Jackson run for 2 yds to the FLA 31Similar
Q2 9:59
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+17
16.5%
DJ Lagway pass complete to Chimere Dike for 17 yds to the FLA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
16.1%
Ja'Kobi Jackson run for no gain to the FLA 48Similar
Q2 8:37
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+7
16.3%
DJ Lagway pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 7 yds to the FSU 45Similar
Q2 7:58
3RD & 3
OPP 45
+7
15.8%
Ja'Kobi Jackson run for 7 yds to the FSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+11
15.7%
DJ Lagway pass complete to Hayden Hansen for 11 yds to the FSU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:58
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-5
15.6%
PENALTY UF False Start (Barber,Austin) 5 yards from FSU27 to FSU32. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:40
1ST & 15
OPP 32
+4
15.7%
DJ Lagway pass complete to Hayden Hansen for 4 yds to the FSU 28Similar
Q2 6:07
2ND & 11
OPP 28
+7
15.8%
Ja'Kobi Jackson run for 7 yds to the FSU 21Similar
Q2 5:28
3RD & 4
OPP 21
0
16.1%
DJ Lagway pass intercepted, touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 2:2418% → 18%
Q2 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
17.9%
Kam Davis run for 5 yds to the FSU 25Similar
Q2 4:43
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+17
18.3%
Luke Kromenhoek pass complete to Lawrance Toafili for 17 yds to the FSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
19.3%
Luke Kromenhoek pass incomplete to Ja'Khi DouglasSimilar
Q2 4:27
2ND & 10
OWN 42
-4
18.8%
Roydell Williams run for a loss of 4 yards to the FSU 38Similar
Q2 3:44
3RD & 14
OWN 38
-7
18.1%
Luke Kromenhoek sacked by Jaden Robinson for a loss of 7 yards to the FSU 31Similar
Q2 2:56
4TH & 21
OWN 31
+7
17.6%
Alex Mastromanno punt for 56 yds , Chimere Dike returns for 7 yds to the FLA 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 12TD
12 plays · 80 yds · 2:2483% → 91%
Q2 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+21
17.2%
DJ Lagway pass complete to Chimere Dike for 21 yds to the FLA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
16.1%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 2 yds to the FLA 43Similar
Q2 1:50
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+13
15.5%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 13 yds to the FSU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:36
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
15.0%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 4 yds to the FSU 40Similar
Q2 1:10
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+10
14.9%
DJ Lagway pass complete to Hayden Hansen for 10 yds to the FSU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
15.4%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 3 yds to the FSU 27Similar
Q2 0:49
2ND & 7
OPP 27
+25
15.2%
DJ Lagway pass complete to Chimere Dike for 25 yds to the FSU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-2
15.3%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the FSU 4Similar
Q2 0:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
8.8%
DJ Lagway pass complete to Marcus Burke for 4 yds for a TD (Trey Smack KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 13END OF HALF
3 plays · -4 yds · 0:2013% → 12%
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
12.6%
Luke Kromenhoek pass incomplete to Lawrance ToafiliSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-4
12.4%
Luke Kromenhoek sacked by Cam Jackson for a loss of 4 yards to the FSU 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 14PUNT
6 plays · -8 yds · 2:1288% → 88%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
11.9%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for a loss of 4 yards to the FLA 21Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 21
-5
12.1%
PENALTY UF False Start (Crenshaw-Dickson,Brandon) 5 yards from UF21 to UF16. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 19
OWN 16
+10
12.1%
DJ Lagway pass complete to Marcus Burke for 10 yds to the FLA 26Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
-9
12.2%
DJ Lagway sacked by Joshua Farmer for a loss of 9 yards to the FLA 17Similar
Q3 12:48
4TH & 18
OWN 17
+7
12.4%
Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 53 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FSU 37 , Lawayne McCoy returns for 7 yds to the FSU 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 15FG
9 plays · 42 yds · 2:5413% → 15%
Q3 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
12.6%
Lawrance Toafili run for 2 yds to the FSU 39Similar
Q3 12:09
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+11
12.9%
Lawrance Toafili run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:43
1ST & 10
50
+5
13.5%
Luke Kromenhoek pass complete to Malik Benson for 5 yds to the FLA 45Similar
Q3 11:17
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+15
13.5%
Florida Penalty, UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (Jack Pyburn) to the FLA 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:59
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+10
14.0%
Luke Kromenhoek pass complete to Lawrance Toafili for 10 yds to the FLA 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:40
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
14.0%
Luke Kromenhoek pass incomplete to Landen ThomasSimilar
Q3 10:16
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+1
13.9%
Luke Kromenhoek run for a loss of 3 yards to the FLA 21 Luke Kromenhoek fumbled, recovered by FSU Luke Kromenhoek , return for 1 yd to the FLA 21Similar
Q3 9:51
3RD & 13
OPP 21
0
12.9%
Luke Kromenhoek pass incomplete to Ja'Khi DouglasSimilar
Q3 9:47
4TH & 13
OPP 21
+39
14.7%
Ryan Fitzgerald 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 1:4885% → 85%
Q3 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
14.9%
Jadan Baugh run for 12 yds to the FLA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
14.7%
Jadan Baugh run for 4 yds to the FLA 41Similar
Q3 8:28
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+4
14.1%
DJ Lagway pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 4 yds to the FLA 45Similar
Q3 7:59
3RD & 2
OWN 45
0
14.3%
DJ Lagway pass incomplete to Elijhah BadgerSimilar
Q3 7:49
4TH & 2
OWN 45
+43
15.1%
Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 17FG
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:1587% → 90%
Q3 7:42
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+4
13.4%
Jadan Baugh run for 4 yds to the FSU 8Similar
Q3 7:08
2ND & 6
OPP 8
0
13.3%
DJ Lagway pass incomplete to Elijhah BadgerSimilar
Q3 7:02
3RD & 6
OPP 8
-4
13.6%
DJ Lagway sacked by Marvin Jones Jr. for a loss of 4 yards to the FSU 12Similar
Q3 6:27
4TH & 10
OPP 12
+30
9.8%
Trey Smack 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 18FUMBLE
14 plays · 68 yds · 5:5711% → 13%
Q3 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
11.3%
Luke Kromenhoek pass incomplete to Micahi DanzySimilar
Q3 6:08
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+15
11.1%
Samuel Singleton Jr. run for 15 yds to the FSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
12.1%
Samuel Singleton Jr. run for 1 yd to the FSU 41Similar
Q3 4:58
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+14
11.8%
Luke Kromenhoek pass complete to Kam Davis for 14 yds to the FLA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:40
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
12.3%
Luke Kromenhoek pass incomplete to Kyle MorlockSimilar
Q3 4:31
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
12.1%
Roydell Williams run for no gain to the FLA 45Similar
Q3 3:40
3RD & 10
OPP 45
+12
11.8%
Luke Kromenhoek pass complete to Lawrance Toafili for 12 yds to the FLA 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:09
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-1
12.6%
Roydell Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the FLA 34Similar
Q3 2:17
2ND & 11
OPP 34
+8
12.4%
Luke Kromenhoek run for 8 yds to the FLA 26Similar
Q3 1:43
3RD & 3
OPP 26
+1
12.1%
Roydell Williams run for 1 yd to the FLA 25Similar
Q3 1:06
4TH & 2
OPP 25
+20
11.8%
Luke Kromenhoek pass complete to Amaree Williams for 20 yds Amaree Williams fumbled, recovered by FSU for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
12.4%
Kam Davis run for 2 yds to the FLA 3Similar
Q3 0:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-4
12.5%
Kam Davis run for a loss of 4 yards to the FLA 7 Kam Davis fumbled, recovered by FLA George Gumbs Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 19TD
6 plays · 93 yds · 2:2291% → 98%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+5
8.6%
Ja'Kobi Jackson run for 5 yds to the FLA 12Similar
Q4 14:52
2ND & 5
OWN 12
+2
8.6%
Ja'Kobi Jackson run for 2 yds to the FLA 14Similar
Q4 14:09
3RD & 3
OWN 14
+7
7.9%
DJ Lagway pass complete to Tank Hawkins for 7 yds to the FLA 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+8
7.3%
Ja'Kobi Jackson run for 8 yds to the FLA 29Similar
Q4 13:13
2ND & 2
OWN 29
+6
7.0%
Ja'Kobi Jackson run for 6 yds to the FLA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+65
2.0%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 65 yds for a TD (Trey Smack KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 20PUNT
9 plays · 13 yds · 3:102% → 2%
Q4 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
2.2%
(12:35) No Huddle-Shotgun Kromenhoek,Luke pass incomplete short middle to Douglas,Ja'Khi thrown to FSU40 PENALTY UF Roughing The Passer (McCray,LJ) 15 yards from FSU25 to FSU40, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
2.4%
Luke Kromenhoek pass incomplete to Malik BensonSimilar
Q4 12:12
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+2
2.2%
Luke Kromenhoek pass complete to Landen Thomas for 2 yds to the FSU 38Similar
Q4 11:36
3RD & 12
OWN 38
+14
2.1%
Luke Kromenhoek pass complete to Ja'Khi Douglas for 14 yds to the FLA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:09
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-3
2.4%
Luke Kromenhoek sacked by George Gumbs Jr. for a loss of 3 yards to the FSU 49Similar
Q4 10:30
2ND & 13
OWN 49
-5
2.1%
Florida State Penalty, Offensive Holding (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 10:00
3RD & 18
OWN 44
-6
2.0%
Luke Kromenhoek sacked by Sharif Denson for a loss of 6 yards to the FSU 38Similar
Q4 9:24
4TH & 24
OWN 38
0
1.9%
Alex Mastromanno punt for 62 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:5799% → 99%
Q4 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
1.5%
Jadan Baugh run for no gain to the FLA 20Similar
Q4 8:30
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-1
1.4%
DJ Lagway sacked for a loss of 1 yard to the FLA 19Similar
Q4 7:54
3RD & 11
OWN 19
+4
1.5%
DJ Lagway pass complete to Marcus Burke for 4 yds to the FLA 23Similar
Q4 7:19
4TH & 7
OWN 23
0
1.4%
Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 22TD
12 plays · 59 yds · 3:272% → 2%
Q4 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
1.7%
Lawrance Toafili run for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 6:40
2ND & 1
50
0
1.4%
Luke Kromenhoek pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:32
3RD & 1
50
+1
1.4%
Luke Kromenhoek run for 1 yd to the FLA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:52
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-1
1.3%
Luke Kromenhoek sacked by Cam Jackson for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 5:18
2ND & 11
50
+11
1.2%
Luke Kromenhoek pass complete to Ja'Khi Douglas for 11 yds to the FLA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:49
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
1.3%
Luke Kromenhoek pass incomplete to Malik BensonSimilar
Q4 4:48
2ND & 10
OPP 39
0
1.2%
Luke Kromenhoek pass incomplete to BJ GibsonSimilar
Q4 4:41
3RD & 10
OPP 39
+10
1.2%
(04:45) No Huddle-Shotgun Kromenhoek,Luke sacked for loss of 6 yards to the UF45 (Gumbs Jr.,George) PENALTY UF Holding (Bridges,Trikweze) 10 yards from UF39 to UF29, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:31
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
1.5%
Luke Kromenhoek run for 5 yds to the FLA 24Similar
Q4 4:06
2ND & 5
OPP 24
+20
1.4%
Luke Kromenhoek pass complete to Landen Thomas for 20 yds to the FLA 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
2.0%
Lawrance Toafili run for 2 yds to the FLA 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 23TD
9 plays · 51 yds · 1:0588% → 95%
Q4 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+27
12.3%
Jadan Baugh run for 27 yds to the FSU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:21
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+14
10.3%
Jadan Baugh run for 14 yds to the FSU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
10.6%
Jadan Baugh run for 1 yd to the FSU 9Similar
Q4 2:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
5.7%
Jadan Baugh run for 1 yd to the FSU 8Similar
Q4 2:03
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
4.8%
Tony Livingston 8 Yd pass from DJ Lagway (Trey Smack Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 24FUMBLE
4 plays · 18 yds · 0:0923% → 24%
Q4 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
23.4%
Luke Kromenhoek run for 12 yds to the FSU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
24.0%
Luke Kromenhoek run for 6 yds to the FSU 43 Luke Kromenhoek fumbled, recovered by FLA T.J. SearcySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 25END OF GAME
3 plays · 12 yds · 1:3696% → 97%
Q4 1:36
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
4.3%
KD Daniels run for 3 yds to the FSU 40Similar
Q4 1:03
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+5
2.9%
KD Daniels run for 5 yds to the FSU 35Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 2
OPP 35
+4
3.1%
KD Daniels run for 4 yds to the FSU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
KEY PLAY · Q4 1:36
KD Daniels run for 3 yds to the FSU 40
-19.7
TD · Q4 3:18
Timeout Florida, clock 03:18
+9
TD · Q2 0:25
DJ Lagway pass complete to Marcus Burke for 4 yds for a TD (Trey Smack KICK)
-6.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com