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FLA

Florida 20 at Georgia 34

UGA
2024 · Week 10 · Nov 2, 2024 · EverBank Stadium
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Win probability · UGA
modelUGA aheadFLA aheadconfidence bandkey playUGA scoreFLA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGFGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:01 · Nate Frazier run for 7 yds to the FLA 26 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+34.0+17.00−17.0−34.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:42: DJ Lagway pass complete to Aidan Mizell for 43 yds for a TD (Trey Smack KICK) — FLA win probability +5.6 pts (now 25%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 7:01: Nate Frazier run for 2 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK) — UGA win probability +16.3 pts (now 74%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 1:20: Carson Beck pass complete to Cash Jones for 22 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK) — UGA win probability +15.7 pts (now 89%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 7:29: Ja'Kobi Jackson run for 15 yds for a TD (Trey Smack KICK) — FLA win probability +30.4 pts (now 49%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 4:01: Carson Beck pass complete to Dominic Lovett for 10 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK) — UGA win probability +25.2 pts (now 95%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UGA made the numbers' call on 6 of 7FLA made the numbers' call on 10 of 13
  1. Q1 11:40UGA 4th & 9 at FLA 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.7%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:25FLA 4th & 3 at FLA 30, tied
    Close callPunted · 18.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.2%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:10UGA 4th & 5 at FLA 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 80.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.9%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    79.9%
    92% to make
    Punt
    78.6%−1.3
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:13FLA 4th & 6 at FLA 29, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.4%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:22FLA 4th & 11 at UGA 14, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 28.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.6%−0.9
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    28.5%
    84% to make
    Punt
    23.8%−4.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:14UGA 4th & 11 at UGA 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.4%−1.7
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:52FLA 4th & 4 at FLA 31, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.1%−0.6
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.6%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:32UGA 4th & 4 at UGA 47, down 7
    Close callPunted · 62.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.3%−0.6
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:13FLA 4th & 12 at FLA 4, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.7%−4.0
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.7%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:43UGA 4th & 10 at FLA 35, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 60.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.2%−0.6
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    60.9%
    45% to make
    Punt
    59.0%−1.9
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:10FLA 4th & 4 at UGA 43, up 4
    Close callWent for it · 35.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    35.7%−0.3
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    36.0%
    28% to make
    Punt
    35.1%−0.9
    average punt
  12. Q3 14:11FLA 4th & 4 at FLA 31, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.6%−0.9
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.4%
    average punt
  13. Q3 11:11FLA 4th & 5 at UGA 45, up 7
    Close callPunted · 47.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.4%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    45.9%−2.4
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    47.9%−0.4
    average punt
  14. Q3 2:50FLA 4th & 3 at UGA 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 37.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    38.2%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    35.7%−2.6
    49% to make
    Punt
    33.9%−4.4
    average punt
  15. Q4 14:44FLA 4th & 14 at FLA 21, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.9%−4.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 12:42UGA 4th & 12 at UGA 23, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.8%−3.7
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.5%
    average punt
  17. Q4 11:20FLA 4th & 7 at FLA 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.3%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.4%
    average punt
  18. Q4 9:58UGA 4th & 5 at UGA 17, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.0%−0.9
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.0%
    average punt
  19. Q4 1:48FLA 4th & 6 at FLA 29, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.8%
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.1%−0.6
    average punt
  20. Q4 1:18FLA 4th & 17 at FLA 38, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.2%
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.1%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UGA made the numbers' call on 3 of 4FLA made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q2 13:42FLA Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    23.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    23.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 7:01UGA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 1:20UGA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 7:29FLA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.3%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.4%
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 4:01UGA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.2%−1.6
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 3:03UGA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.1%−0.4
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.6%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UGADrive 1PUNT
12 plays · 27 yds · 3:1584% → 83%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
83.9%
Carson Beck pass complete to Dominic Lovett for 5 yds to the UGA 30Similar
Q1 14:40
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
83.9%
Carson Beck pass complete to Dominic Lovett for 3 yds to the UGA 33Similar
Q1 14:10
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+2
83.7%
Trevor Etienne run for 2 yds to the UGA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
83.6%
Nate Frazier run for 3 yds to the UGA 38Similar
Q1 13:10
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+13
83.5%
Carson Beck pass complete to Dillon Bell for 13 yds to the FLA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
83.5%
Carson Beck pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:14
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+6
83.4%
Trevor Etienne run for 6 yds to the FLA 43Similar
Q1 11:48
3RD & 4
OPP 43
0
83.3%
Carson Beck pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:48
4TH & 4
OPP 43
-5
83.1%
Georgia Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the FLA 48Similar
Q1 11:40
4TH & 9
OPP 48
0
83.0%
Brett Thorson punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FLA 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 2:4617% → 18%
Q1 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+1
82.9%
Ja'Kobi Jackson run for 1 yd to the FLA 14Similar
Q1 11:00
2ND & 9
OWN 14
+5
82.8%
Ja'Kobi Jackson run for 5 yds to the FLA 19Similar
Q1 10:30
3RD & 4
OWN 19
+4
82.7%
DJ Lagway pass complete to Aidan Mizell for 4 yds to the FLA 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
82.4%
DJ Lagway pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:30
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+2
82.3%
Jadan Baugh run for 2 yds to the FLA 25Similar
Q1 9:05
3RD & 8
OWN 25
+5
82.3%
DJ Lagway run for 5 yds to the FLA 30Similar
Q1 8:25
4TH & 3
OWN 30
+1
82.1%
Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 59 yds , Malaki Starks returns for 1 yd to the UGA 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 3FG
15 plays · 83 yds · 6:0082% → 81%
Q1 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+8
81.8%
Carson Beck pass complete to Dillon Bell for 8 yds to the UGA 20Similar
Q1 7:30
2ND & 2
OWN 20
+5
81.6%
Trevor Etienne run for 5 yds to the UGA 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+25
81.4%
Carson Beck pass complete to Arian Smith for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:26
1ST & 10
50
0
81.9%
Carson Beck pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:19
2ND & 10
50
+1
81.7%
Trevor Etienne run for 1 yd to the FLA 49Similar
Q1 5:35
3RD & 9
OPP 49
+10
81.2%
Carson Beck pass complete to Dominic Lovett for 10 yds to the FLA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:06
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-10
81.6%
Georgia Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the FLA 49Similar
Q1 4:44
1ST & 20
OPP 49
+11
81.1%
Trevor Etienne run for 11 yds to the FLA 38Similar
Q1 4:00
2ND & 9
OPP 38
+18
81.3%
Carson Beck pass complete to Dillon Bell for 18 yds to the FLA 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:44
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
81.4%
Florida Penalty, Substitution Infraction (5 Yards) to the FLA 15Similar
Q1 3:10
1ST & 5
OPP 15
+9
81.2%
Carson Beck pass complete to Oscar Delp for 9 yds to the FLA 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
81.2%
Nate Frazier run for 1 yd to the FLA 5Similar
Q1 2:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
81.1%
Carson Beck pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
80.8%
Carson Beck pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:10
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
80.8%
Peyton Woodring 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 1:4619% → 19%
Q1 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
80.6%
Jadan Baugh run for 8 yds to the FLA 33Similar
Q1 1:34
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+1
79.9%
Jadan Baugh run for 1 yd to the FLA 34Similar
Q1 0:49
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-5
79.9%
Florida Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the FLA 29Similar
Q1 0:28
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
80.3%
DJ Lagway pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:13
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+9
80.8%
Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 53 yds , Malaki Starks returns for 9 yds to the UGA 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 5INT
4 plays · 29 yds · 1:1780% → 81%
Q1 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
79.9%
Nate Frazier run for 7 yds to the UGA 34Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 3
OWN 34
+4
80.3%
Trevor Etienne run for 4 yds to the UGA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:34
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+18
80.2%
Carson Beck pass complete to London Humphreys for 18 yds to the FLA 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:48
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-32
80.7%
Carson Beck pass intercepted Devin Moore return for 32 yds to the UGA 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 6TD
1 play · 43 yds · 0:0025% → 25%
Q2 13:42
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+43
75.0%
DJ Lagway pass complete to Aidan Mizell for 43 yds for a TD (Trey Smack KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 7INT
5 plays · 44 yds · 1:2676% → 78%
Q2 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+31
76.0%
Carson Beck pass complete to Ben Yurosek for 31 yds to the FLA 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-2
77.5%
Nate Frazier run for a loss of 2 yards to the FLA 46Similar
Q2 12:21
2ND & 12
OPP 46
+15
76.5%
Beck, Carson pass complete to Lovett, Dominic for no gain to the FLA46, PENALTY FLA face mask 15 yards to the FLA31, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UGA.Similar
Q2 11:47
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-30
77.5%
Carson Beck pass intercepted Aaron Gates return for 30 yds to the FLA 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 8FG
10 plays · 37 yds · 4:1227% → 35%
Q2 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
73.5%
Jadan Baugh run for 6 yds to the UGA 45Similar
Q2 11:11
2ND & 4
OPP 45
+4
72.9%
Jadan Baugh run for 4 yds to the UGA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:43
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+8
72.7%
DJ Lagway run for 8 yds to the UGA 33Similar
Q2 9:45
2ND & 2
OPP 33
+2
71.0%
DJ Lagway run for 2 yds to the UGA 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:22
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+7
70.9%
Jadan Baugh run for 7 yds to the UGA 24Similar
Q2 8:38
2ND & 3
OPP 24
+11
70.1%
Jadan Baugh run for 11 yds to the UGA 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:59
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-1
68.7%
Jadan Baugh run for a loss of 1 yard to the UGA 14Similar
Q2 7:30
2ND & 11
OPP 14
0
68.6%
DJ Lagway pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:26
3RD & 11
OPP 14
0
69.4%
DJ Lagway pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:22
4TH & 11
OPP 14
+32
65.3%
Trey Smack 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 9PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:4666% → 63%
Q2 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
66.3%
Carson Beck pass complete to Nate Frazier for 2 yds to the UGA 27Similar
Q2 6:35
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
66.1%
Nate Frazier run for 3 yds to the UGA 30Similar
Q2 5:55
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-6
65.0%
Carson Beck sacked by Derek Wingo for a loss of 6 yards to the UGA 24Similar
Q2 5:14
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
63.0%
Brett Thorson punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Chimere Dike at the FLA 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:0936% → 37%
Q2 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
63.6%
DJ Lagway run for 3 yds to the FLA 28Similar
Q2 4:21
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
62.5%
Aidan Warner pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:13
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+3
63.4%
Aidan Warner run for 3 yds to the FLA 31Similar
Q2 3:52
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
63.2%
Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 56 yds, fair catch by Malaki Starks at the UGA 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 34 yds · 2:0163% → 61%
Q2 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+2
62.8%
Trevor Etienne run for 2 yds to the UGA 15Similar
Q2 3:14
2ND & 8
OWN 15
+10
62.5%
Carson Beck run for 10 yds to the UGA 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
61.3%
Nate Frazier run for 4 yds to the UGA 29Similar
Q2 1:57
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+12
61.4%
Carson Beck pass complete to Oscar Delp for 12 yds to the UGA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
63.1%
Carson Beck pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:47
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+6
62.0%
Nate Frazier run for 6 yds to the UGA 47Similar
Q2 1:43
3RD & 4
OWN 47
0
62.8%
Carson Beck pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:32
4TH & 4
OWN 47
0
61.3%
Brett Thorson punt for 47 yds, downed at the FLA 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 12PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 0:2341% → 39%
Q2 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+1
59.3%
Jadan Baugh run for 1 yd to the FLA 7Similar
Q2 1:21
2ND & 9
OWN 7
0
59.5%
Aidan Warner pass complete to Chimere Dike for no gain to the FLA 7Similar
Q2 1:17
3RD & 9
OWN 7
-3
60.1%
Jadan Baugh run for a loss of 3 yards to the FLA 4Similar
Q2 1:13
4TH & 12
OWN 4
0
60.7%
Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Malaki Starks at the FLA 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 13FG
6 plays · 13 yds · 0:2262% → 64%
Q2 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+13
62.4%
Carson Beck pass complete to Cash Jones for 13 yds to the FLA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:02
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
63.8%
Carson Beck pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:55
2ND & 10
OPP 35
0
63.6%
Carson Beck pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:48
3RD & 10
OPP 35
0
61.4%
Carson Beck pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:43
4TH & 10
OPP 35
+53
64.0%
Peyton Woodring 53 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 14FG
11 plays · 40 yds · 0:3135% → 45%
Q2 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
64.7%
Ja'Kobi Jackson run for 8 yds to the FLA 33Similar
Q2 0:28
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+18
63.4%
Ja'Kobi Jackson run for 18 yds to the UGA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
61.7%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:19
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+6
61.9%
Ja'Kobi Jackson run for 6 yds to the UGA 43Similar
Q2 0:15
3RD & 4
OPP 43
0
61.4%
Aidan Warner pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:10
4TH & 4
OPP 43
+8
62.9%
Aidan Warner pass complete to Chimere Dike for 8 yds to the UGA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:09
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
60.2%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:03
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+53
55.4%
Trey Smack 53 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 15END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0060% → 60%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-2
59.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the UGA 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:4542% → 42%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
57.6%
Aidan Warner pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:45
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
58.0%
Jadan Baugh run for 6 yds to the FLA 31Similar
Q3 14:21
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
56.9%
Aidan Warner pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:11
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+11
58.0%
Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 51 yds , Malaki Starks returns for 11 yds to the UGA 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 17INT
3 plays · 12 yds · 0:4559% → 59%
Q3 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+11
59.1%
Nate Frazier run for 11 yds to the UGA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
60.4%
Nate Frazier run for 1 yd to the UGA 41Similar
Q3 13:05
2ND & 9
OWN 41
0
59.2%
Carson Beck pass intercepted Jack Pyburn return for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:3447% → 47%
Q3 12:45
1ST & 10
50
+7
52.6%
Ja'Kobi Jackson run for 7 yds to the UGA 43Similar
Q3 12:12
2ND & 3
OPP 43
+1
51.7%
Ja'Kobi Jackson run for 1 yd to the UGA 42Similar
Q3 11:51
3RD & 2
OPP 42
-3
51.6%
Aidan Warner run for a loss of 3 yards to the UGA 45Similar
Q3 11:11
4TH & 5
OPP 45
0
52.6%
Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 28 yds, downed at the UGA 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 19TD
10 plays · 83 yds · 3:5655% → 70%
Q3 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+4
55.2%
Arian Smith run for 4 yds to the UGA 21Similar
Q3 10:25
2ND & 6
OWN 21
+9
54.6%
Carson Beck pass complete to Dominic Lovett for 9 yds to the UGA 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
54.8%
Carson Beck pass complete to Nate Frazier for 5 yds to the UGA 35Similar
Q3 9:45
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+17
55.9%
Carson Beck pass complete to Dominic Lovett for 17 yds to the FLA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:59
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+33
57.5%
Dillon Bell run for 33 yds to the FLA 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:35
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-5
58.8%
Georgia Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the FLA 20Similar
Q3 7:57
1ST & 15
OPP 20
+7
57.5%
Nate Frazier run for 7 yds to the FLA 13Similar
Q3 7:25
2ND & 8
OPP 13
+11
57.7%
Carson Beck pass complete to Dillon Bell for 11 yds to the FLA 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
74.0%
Nate Frazier run for 2 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK)Similar
Q3 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-15
69.9%
Georgia Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the UGA 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 20FUMBLE
12 plays · 3 yds · 3:5934% → 37%
Q3 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
65.6%
Aidan Warner pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:30
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+9
66.0%
Jadan Baugh run for 9 yds to the FLA 42Similar
Q3 6:21
3RD & 1
OWN 42
+8
63.4%
Jadan Baugh run for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:46
1ST & 10
50
0
62.0%
Aidan Warner pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:40
2ND & 10
50
0
62.6%
Aidan Warner pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:32
3RD & 10
50
+10
64.5%
Aidan Warner pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 10 yds to the UGA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:58
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
61.5%
Jadan Baugh run for 1 yd to the UGA 39Similar
Q3 4:00
2ND & 9
OPP 39
+3
60.8%
Aidan Warner pass complete to Aidan Mizell for 3 yds to the UGA 36Similar
Q3 3:30
3RD & 6
OPP 36
+3
61.0%
Ja'Kobi Jackson run for 3 yds to the UGA 33Similar
Q3 2:50
4TH & 3
OPP 33
-31
62.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 31 yards to the FLA 36 TEAM fumbled, recovered by UGA Jalon WalkerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 21TD
3 plays · 36 yds · 1:1072% → 89%
Q3 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+6
72.3%
Nate Frazier run for 6 yds to the FLA 30Similar
Q3 2:00
2ND & 4
OPP 30
+8
73.6%
Carson Beck pass complete to Ben Yurosek for 8 yds to the FLA 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
89.4%
Carson Beck pass complete to Cash Jones for 22 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 22PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:2717% → 15%
Q3 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
83.1%
Ja'Kobi Jackson run for a loss of 1 yard to the FLA 24Similar
Q3 0:31
2ND & 11
OWN 24
-3
83.6%
Aidan Warner sacked by Chaz Chambliss for a loss of 3 yards to the FLA 21Similar
Q4 14:52
3RD & 14
OWN 21
0
84.6%
Aidan Warner pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:44
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
85.1%
Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 54 yds, fair catch by Malaki Starks at the UGA 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 23FUMBLE
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:5288% → 87%
Q4 14:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
88.1%
Nate Frazier run for 1 yd to the UGA 26Similar
Q4 13:50
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+7
88.1%
Nate Frazier run for 7 yds to the UGA 33Similar
Q4 13:20
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-10
88.3%
Carson Beck sacked by Myles Graham for a loss of 10 yards to the UGA 23Similar
Q4 12:42
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
87.1%
Brett Thorson punt for 40 yds , Chimere Dike returns for no gain to the FLA 37 Chimere Dike fumbled, recovered by FLA Chimere DikeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:1016% → 14%
Q4 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
84.3%
Jadan Baugh run for 3 yds to the FLA 40Similar
Q4 12:02
2ND & 7
OWN 40
0
83.9%
Jadan Baugh run for no gain to the FLA 40Similar
Q4 11:27
3RD & 7
OWN 40
0
84.9%
Aidan Warner pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:20
4TH & 7
OWN 40
0
86.2%
Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Malaki Starks at the UGA 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:4789% → 88%
Q4 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+3
89.1%
Nate Frazier run for 3 yds to the UGA 15Similar
Q4 10:15
2ND & 7
OWN 15
+2
89.2%
Carson Beck pass complete to Cash Jones for 2 yds to the UGA 17Similar
Q4 10:06
3RD & 5
OWN 17
0
88.6%
Carson Beck pass incomplete to Lawson LuckieSimilar
Q4 9:58
4TH & 5
OWN 17
0
88.1%
Brett Thorson punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Chimere Dike at the FLA 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 26TD
6 plays · 55 yds · 2:2417% → 49%
Q4 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
83.5%
Aidan Warner pass incomplete to Elijhah BadgerSimilar
Q4 9:10
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+26
84.1%
Aidan Warner pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 26 yds to the UGA 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+16
80.4%
Ja'Kobi Jackson run for 3 yds to the UGA 26 for a 1ST down Georgia Penalty, Personal Foul (Damon Wilson II) to the UGA 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:39
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-10
80.3%
Jackson, Ja'Kobi rush for 4 yards to the UGA9, PENALTY FLA holding (Crenshaw-Dickson, Brandon) 10 yards to the UGA23, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:46
1ST & 20
OPP 23
+8
81.1%
Ja'Kobi Jackson run for 8 yds to the UGA 15Similar
Q4 7:29
2ND & 12
OPP 15
+15
50.7%
Ja'Kobi Jackson run for 15 yds for a TD (Trey Smack KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 27TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:1063% → 95%
Q4 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
63.1%
Carson Beck pass complete to London Humphreys for 5 yds to the UGA 30Similar
Q4 6:17
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-2
64.0%
Carson Beck pass complete to Dominic Lovett for a loss of 2 yards to the UGA 28Similar
Q4 5:28
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+34
60.2%
Carson Beck pass complete to Arian Smith for 34 yds to the FLA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:16
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+21
68.0%
Carson Beck pass complete to Lawson Luckie for 21 yds to the FLA 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+7
69.7%
Nate Frazier run for 7 yds to the FLA 10Similar
Q4 4:07
2ND & 3
OPP 10
0
69.7%
Carson Beck pass incomplete to Dillon BellSimilar
Q4 4:01
3RD & 3
OPP 10
+10
94.8%
Carson Beck pass complete to Dominic Lovett for 10 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 28INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q4 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+4
90.1%
Aidan Warner pass intercepted for a 1ST down CJ Allen return for 6 yds to the FLA 23 for a 1ST down Florida Penalty, Tripping (Aidan Warner) to the FLA 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 29TD
2 plays · 7 yds · 0:3895% → 98%
Q4 3:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
95.2%
Nate Frazier run for 3 yds to the FLA 4Similar
Q4 3:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
98.3%
Dwight Phillips Jr. run for 4 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 30DOWNS
9 plays · 13 yds · 1:323% → 2%
Q4 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
97.5%
Jadan Baugh run for 1 yd to the FLA 26Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+3
97.5%
Aidan Warner pass complete to Arlis Boardingham for 3 yds to the FLA 29Similar
Q4 1:55
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
97.4%
Aidan Warner pass incomplete to Chimere DikeSimilar
Q4 1:48
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+16
97.6%
Aidan Warner pass complete to Aidan Mizell for 16 yds to the FLA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
97.5%
Aidan Warner pass incomplete to Elijhah BadgerSimilar
Q4 1:29
2ND & 10
OWN 45
-7
97.5%
Aidan Warner sacked by Chaz Chambliss for a loss of 7 yards to the FLA 38Similar
Q4 1:25
3RD & 17
OWN 38
0
97.6%
Aidan Warner pass incomplete to Tank HawkinsSimilar
Q4 1:18
4TH & 17
OWN 38
0
97.7%
Aidan Warner pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 31END OF GAME
2 plays · 12 yds · 0:4499% → 99%
Q4 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
98.7%
Nate Frazier run for 5 yds to the FLA 33Similar
Q4 0:01
2ND & 5
OPP 33
+7
98.8%
Nate Frazier run for 7 yds to the FLA 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 7:29
Ja'Kobi Jackson run for 15 yds for a TD (Trey Smack KICK)
-30.4
TD · Q4 4:01
Carson Beck pass complete to Dominic Lovett for 10 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK)
+25.2
TD · Q3 7:01
Nate Frazier run for 2 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK)
+16.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com