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Kentucky 20 at Florida 48

FLA
2024 · Week 8 · Oct 19, 2024 · Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
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Win probability · FLA
modelFLA aheadUK aheadconfidence bandkey playFLA scoreUK score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 2:51 · Cutter Boley pass incomplete
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remainingBlowout margin
+26.0+13.00−13.0−26.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:15: Jadan Baugh run for 7 yds for a TD (Trey Smack KICK) — FLA win probability +7.9 pts (now 64%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 2:10: Jadan Baugh run for 10 yds for a TD (Trey Smack KICK) — FLA win probability +9.1 pts (now 77%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:44: Jadan Baugh run for 1 yd for a TD (Trey Smack KICK) — FLA win probability +15.5 pts (now 91%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 3:27: Jadan Baugh run for 1 yd for a TD (Trey Smack KICK) — FLA win probability +10.2 pts (now 87%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 5:50: Brock Vandagriff pass incomplete — UK win probability +9.0 pts (now 14%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FLA made the numbers' call on 4 of 6UK made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 10:27FLA 4th & 10 at UK 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 46.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.2%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.3%
    88% to make
    Punt
    45.6%−0.7
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:36UK 4th & 8 at UK 45, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.4%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:07FLA 4th & 2 at FLA 33, up 3
    Close callPunted · 47.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:22UK 4th & 6 at UK 39, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.3%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:13FLA 4th & 3 at UK 15, up 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 50.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.3%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    50.1%−0.2
    83% to make
    Punt
    47.0%−3.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:39FLA 4th & 10 at FLA 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.5%−0.6
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:28UK 4th & 1 at UK 25, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 50.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.7%−1.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:28UK 4th & 1 at FLA 2, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 41.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    40.8%
    60% to convert
    Field goal
    38.0%−2.7
    94% to make
    Punt
    31.4%−9.4
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:06FLA 4th & 10 at FLA 25, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.6%−1.2
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.8%
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:22UK 4th & 2 at UK 44, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 35.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    35.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    34.7%−1.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 10:37UK 4th & 5 at FLA 23, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 9.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.8%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    9.2%
    70% to make
    Punt
    4.4%−4.8
    average punt
  12. Q4 8:19FLA 4th & 7 at FLA 25, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.0%−0.7
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.8%
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:50UK 4th & 11 at FLA 41, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.4%
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    5.4%−<0.1
    32% to make
    Punt
    5.0%−0.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:51UK 4th & 10 at FLA 37, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 13.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.8%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    9.9%−0.8
    40% to make
    Punt
    7.9%−2.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FLA made the numbers' call on 4 of 4UK made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 12:05UK Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    51.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 8:15FLA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 2:10FLA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:44FLA Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 3:27FLA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FLADrive 1FG
10 plays · 63 yds · 4:2450% → 52%
Q1 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+13
50.2%
DJ Lagway run for 13 yds to the FLA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
50.4%
Jadan Baugh run for 5 yds to the FLA 45Similar
Q1 13:39
2ND & 5
OWN 45
0
50.6%
DJ Lagway pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:35
3RD & 5
OWN 45
+40
50.5%
DJ Lagway pass complete to Eugene Wilson III for 40 yds to the UK 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
50.9%
Jadan Baugh run for 3 yds to the UK 12Similar
Q1 12:22
2ND & 7
OPP 12
+8
51.1%
Jadan Baugh run for 8 yds to the UK 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
51.3%
Jadan Baugh run for no gain to the UK 4Similar
Q1 11:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-6
51.4%
DJ Lagway sacked by Alex Afari Jr. for a loss of 6 yards to the UK 10Similar
Q1 10:36
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
0
51.5%
DJ Lagway pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:27
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+29
51.6%
Trey Smack 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 1:5049% → 48%
Q1 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
51.5%
Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 3 yds to the UK 28Similar
Q1 9:54
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+15
51.6%
Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 15 yds to the UK 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
51.5%
Brock Vandagriff pass complete to Khamari Anderson for 2 yds to the UK 45Similar
Q1 8:49
2ND & 8
OWN 45
0
51.5%
Brock Vandagriff pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:45
3RD & 8
OWN 45
0
51.8%
Brock Vandagriff pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:36
4TH & 8
OWN 45
0
52.3%
Aidan Laros punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 24 yds · 2:2652% → 52%
Q1 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+5
51.8%
Ja'Kobi Jackson run for 5 yds to the FLA 14Similar
Q1 8:01
2ND & 5
OWN 14
+11
52.0%
Ja'Kobi Jackson run for 11 yds to the FLA 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
52.1%
Ja'Kobi Jackson run for 4 yds to the FLA 29Similar
Q1 6:50
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
52.4%
DJ Lagway pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:50
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+4
52.1%
DJ Lagway pass complete to Arlis Boardingham for 4 yds to the FLA 33Similar
Q1 6:07
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
52.1%
Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 2:4047% → 46%
Q1 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
52.9%
Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 8 yds to the UK 33Similar
Q1 5:29
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+2
52.5%
Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 2 yds to the UK 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
53.0%
Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 5 yds to the UK 40Similar
Q1 4:21
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+4
52.5%
Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 4 yds to the UK 44Similar
Q1 3:51
3RD & 1
OWN 44
-5
52.6%
Kentucky Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UK 39Similar
Q1 3:37
3RD & 6
OWN 39
0
53.2%
Brock Vandagriff pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:32
4TH & 6
OWN 39
+6
53.9%
(03:32) LAROS, Aidan punt 40 yards to the FLA21, DIKE, Chimere returned 6 yards to the FLA27 (BRYANT, Ty;ADDISON, Nasir), clock 03:25. PENALTY Before the snap, UKY Illegal Formation on SCOTT, Quay'sheed FLA Holding on JACKSON, Ja'Kobi , Offsetting penalties [FAKE PUNT]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 3:22
4TH & 6
OWN 39
0
54.0%
Aidan Laros punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 5FG
9 plays · 65 yds · 4:0353% → 58%
Q1 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
53.2%
Kentucky Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the FLA 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
54.6%
DJ Lagway run for 1 yd to the FLA 45Similar
Q1 0:30
2ND & 9
OWN 45
+8
54.7%
DJ Lagway run for 8 yds to the UK 47Similar
Q1 0:30
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+3
54.8%
DJ Lagway run for 3 yds to the UK 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+22
55.2%
DJ Lagway run for 22 yds to the UK 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
55.5%
Jadan Baugh run for 2 yds to the UK 20Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 20
+6
55.7%
Jadan Baugh run for 6 yds to the UK 14Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 14
-1
55.0%
Jadan Baugh run for a loss of 1 yard to the UK 15Similar
Q2 14:13
4TH & 3
OPP 15
+33
57.6%
Trey Smack 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 6TD
4 plays · 84 yds · 2:0344% → 50%
Q2 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+11
56.5%
Brock Vandagriff run for 11 yds to the UK 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+25
56.5%
Jamarion Wilcox run for 25 yds to the FLA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:06
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
55.0%
Barion Brown run for 3 yds to the FLA 45Similar
Q2 12:05
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+45
50.1%
Brock Vandagriff pass complete to Barion Brown for 45 yds for a TD (Alex Raynor PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:1453% → 52%
Q2 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
53.2%
DJ Lagway pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:53
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
53.1%
DJ Lagway pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:48
3RD & 10
OWN 20
0
52.1%
DJ Lagway pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:39
4TH & 10
OWN 20
0
51.7%
Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 54 yds, fair catch by Barion Brown at the UK 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 2:0348% → 47%
Q2 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+1
52.0%
Jamarion Wilcox run for 1 yd to the UK 17Similar
Q2 10:56
2ND & 9
OWN 17
+8
52.2%
Deamonte Trayanum run for 8 yds to the UK 25Similar
Q2 10:15
3RD & 1
OWN 25
0
52.1%
Brock Vandagriff run for no gain to the UK 25Similar
Q2 9:28
4TH & 1
OWN 25
0
53.2%
Aidan Laros punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Chimere Dike at the FLA 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 9TD
3 plays · 65 yds · 1:0754% → 64%
Q2 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
54.1%
Jadan Baugh run for 8 yds to the FLA 43Similar
Q2 8:50
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+50
55.9%
DJ Lagway pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 50 yds to the UK 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
63.8%
Jadan Baugh run for 7 yds for a TD (Trey Smack KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 10INT
4 plays · 16 yds · 1:1738% → 39%
Q2 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
61.7%
Brock Vandagriff pass complete to Dane Key for 11 yds to the UK 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
61.2%
Brock Vandagriff pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:38
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+5
61.6%
Deamonte Trayanum run for 5 yds to the UK 41Similar
Q2 6:56
3RD & 5
OWN 41
0
61.5%
Brock Vandagriff pass intercepted Trikweze Bridges return for no gain to the FLA 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 11INT
2 plays · 7 yds · 0:3065% → 66%
Q2 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
65.1%
Ja'Kobi Jackson run for 7 yds to the UK 47Similar
Q2 6:21
2ND & 3
OPP 47
-63
65.6%
DJ Lagway pass intercepted Kristian Story return for 63 yds to the FLA 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 12DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:3841% → 38%
Q2 6:06
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
58.8%
Brock Vandagriff run for 4 yds to the FLA 7Similar
Q2 5:29
2ND & 6
OPP 7
+4
59.1%
Gavin Wimsatt run for 4 yds to the FLA 3Similar
Q2 5:10
3RD & 2
OPP 3
+1
60.5%
Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 1 yd to the FLA 2Similar
Q2 4:28
4TH & 1
OPP 2
0
61.8%
Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for no gain to the FLA 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 13TD
5 plays · 98 yds · 2:1465% → 77%
Q2 4:24
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+27
65.2%
Jadan Baugh run for 27 yds to the FLA 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+58
66.1%
DJ Lagway pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 58 yds to the UK 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:59
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
67.9%
Jadan Baugh run for 3 yds to the UK 10Similar
Q2 2:10
2ND & 7
OPP 10
+10
76.9%
Jadan Baugh run for 10 yds for a TD (Trey Smack KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 14INT
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:1025% → 25%
Q2 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
75.2%
Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 2 yds to the UK 27Similar
Q2 1:58
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-52
75.1%
Brock Vandagriff pass intercepted Devin Moore return for 52 yds to the UK 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 15TD
1 play · 1 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q2 1:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
90.7%
Jadan Baugh run for 1 yd for a TD (Trey Smack KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 17END OF HALF
7 plays · -2 yds · 1:2077% → 78%
Q2 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
76.9%
Ja'Kobi Jackson run for 3 yds to the FLA 28Similar
Q2 0:47
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
77.2%
Ja'Kobi Jackson run for 3 yds to the FLA 31Similar
Q2 0:21
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-1
76.9%
DJ Lagway run for a loss of 1 yard to the FLA 30Similar
Q2 0:17
4TH & 5
OWN 30
-5
77.5%
(00:17) CRAWSHAW, Jeremy punt 61 yards to the UKY9 downed by DOUGLAS, DJ, clock 00:09. PENALTY Before the snap, FLA Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the FLA30 to the FLA25. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 0:06
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
78.1%
Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 60 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 18TD
1 play · 75 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-2
79.6%
[NH] Kneel down by TEAM at UKY13 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 19TD
12 plays · 77 yds · 6:2334% → 37%
Q3 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
65.8%
Brock Vandagriff pass complete to Barion Brown for 11 yds to the UK 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:23
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
65.1%
Brock Vandagriff run for no gain to the UK 36Similar
Q3 13:44
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+9
65.9%
Brock Vandagriff run for 9 yds to the UK 45Similar
Q3 13:05
3RD & 1
OWN 45
-1
64.3%
Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for a loss of 1 yard to the UK 44Similar
Q3 12:22
4TH & 2
OWN 44
+21
67.0%
Brock Vandagriff pass complete to Josh Kattus for 21 yds to the FLA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:43
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
62.7%
Deamonte Trayanum run for 2 yds to the FLA 33Similar
Q3 11:10
2ND & 8
OPP 33
0
62.8%
Brock Vandagriff pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:00
3RD & 8
OPP 33
+19
64.8%
Brock Vandagriff pass complete to Fred Farrier II for 19 yds to the FLA 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:18
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+5
62.6%
Jamarion Wilcox run for 5 yds to the FLA 7 Jamarion Wilcox fumbled, recovered by UK Jamarion Wilcox J. Wilcox return for 2 ydsSimilar
Q3 9:41
2ND & 3
OPP 7
+4
62.9%
Barion Brown run for 4 yds to the FLA 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
63.1%
Gavin Wimsatt run for 2 yds to the FLA 1Similar
Q3 8:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
63.3%
Gavin Wimsatt run for 1 yd for a TD (Alex Raynor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 20DOWNS TD
9 plays · 53 yds · 5:0072% → 87%
Q3 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
72.0%
Jadan Baugh run for 2 yds to the FLA 25Similar
Q3 7:47
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+23
73.3%
DJ Lagway pass complete to Chimere Dike for 23 yds to the FLA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-2
76.1%
Jadan Baugh run for a loss of 2 yards to the FLA 46Similar
Q3 6:41
2ND & 12
OWN 46
+7
75.3%
DJ Lagway run for 7 yds to the UK 47Similar
Q3 5:57
3RD & 5
OPP 47
+44
76.0%
DJ Lagway pass complete to Chimere Dike for 44 yds to the UK 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-2
78.0%
Jadan Baugh run for a loss of 2 yards to the UK 5Similar
Q3 4:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
78.0%
DJ Lagway run for 4 yds to the UK 1Similar
Q3 3:27
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
86.9%
Jadan Baugh run for 1 yd for a TD (Trey Smack KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 21PUNT
16 plays · 3 yds · 7:4515% → 7%
Q3 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
85.3%
Brock Vandagriff pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:12
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
85.7%
Brock Vandagriff run for 1 yd to the UK 26Similar
Q3 2:37
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+10
86.3%
Brock Vandagriff pass complete to Dane Key for 10 yds to the UK 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
84.6%
Brock Vandagriff pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:49
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+2
85.0%
Deamonte Trayanum run for 2 yds to the UK 38Similar
Q3 1:04
3RD & 8
OWN 38
+9
85.7%
Brock Vandagriff run for 9 yds to the UK 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+7
85.1%
Brock Vandagriff pass complete to Demie Sumo-Karngbaye for 7 yds to the FLA 46Similar
Q4 14:59
2ND & 3
OPP 46
+8
85.5%
Deamonte Trayanum run for 8 yds to the FLA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:12
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-4
86.8%
Deamonte Trayanum run for a loss of 4 yards to the FLA 42Similar
Q4 13:37
2ND & 14
OPP 42
+13
87.6%
Brock Vandagriff pass complete to Dane Key for 13 yds to the FLA 29Similar
Q4 12:48
3RD & 1
OPP 29
+1
90.4%
Gavin Wimsatt run for 1 yd to the FLA 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
90.7%
Brock Vandagriff pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:03
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+5
91.3%
Deamonte Trayanum run for 5 yds to the FLA 23Similar
Q4 11:19
3RD & 5
OPP 23
0
91.8%
Barion Brown run for no gain to the FLA 23Similar
Q4 10:37
4TH & 5
OPP 23
+1
93.2%
Brock Vandagriff pass complete to Anthony Brown-Stephens for 1 yd to the FLA 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 22DOWNS
4 plays · 24 yds · 2:1295% → 95%
Q4 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
94.7%
Ja'Kobi Jackson run for 5 yds to the FLA 27Similar
Q4 9:49
2ND & 5
OWN 27
+3
95.4%
Ja'Kobi Jackson run for 3 yds to the FLA 30Similar
Q4 9:06
3RD & 2
OWN 30
-5
95.5%
DJ Lagway sacked by Alex Afari Jr. and Kahlil Saunders for a loss of 5 yards to the FLA 25Similar
Q4 8:19
4TH & 7
OWN 25
+7
95.3%
Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 47 yds , Ja'Mori Maclin returns for 7 yds to the UK 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 23TD
7 plays · 59 yds · 2:116% → 14%
Q4 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+14
94.2%
Brock Vandagriff pass complete to Dane Key for 14 yds to the UK 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
94.2%
Brock Vandagriff pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:22
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+11
94.6%
Brock Vandagriff pass complete to Demie Sumo-Karngbaye for 11 yds to the FLA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
94.7%
Brock Vandagriff pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:37
2ND & 10
OPP 40
-1
94.8%
Brock Vandagriff sacked by T.J. Searcy for a loss of 1 yard to the FLA 41Similar
Q4 5:55
3RD & 11
OPP 41
0
95.3%
Brock Vandagriff pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:50
4TH & 11
OPP 41
0
86.3%
Brock Vandagriff pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 24INT TD
6 plays · 0 yds · 2:1691% → 95%
Q4 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-1
90.9%
Jadan Baugh run for a loss of 1 yard to the FLA 40Similar
Q4 5:02
2ND & 11
OWN 40
+3
90.9%
Jadan Baugh run for 3 yds to the FLA 43Similar
Q4 4:57
3RD & 8
OWN 43
+40
90.4%
DJ Lagway pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 40 yds to the UK 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:21
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+16
94.5%
Jadan Baugh run for 16 yds to the UK 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
95.2%
Jadan Baugh run for 1 yd for a TD (Trey Smack KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 25DOWNS TD
1 play · 15 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q4 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-29
90.6%
Cutter Boley pass intercepted Cormani McClain return for 29 yds for a TD (Trey Smack KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 26END OF GAME
6 plays · 19 yds · 0:2912% → 10%
Q4 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
88.1%
Cutter Boley pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:15
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+15
88.5%
(03:15) BOLEY, Cutter pass to the left incomplete intended for FARRIER II, Fred thrown to the FLA45; QB hurried by MCCRAY, LJ, clock 03:12. PENALTY FLA Roughing the Passer on MCCRAY, LJ enforced 15 yards from the UKY48 to the FLA37 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 3:07
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
86.8%
Cutter Boley pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:07
2ND & 10
OPP 37
0
87.2%
Cutter Boley pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:57
3RD & 10
OPP 37
0
87.9%
Cutter Boley pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:51
4TH & 10
OPP 37
0
89.7%
Cutter Boley pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:44
Jadan Baugh run for 1 yd for a TD (Trey Smack KICK)
+15.5
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+10.3
TD · Q3 3:27
Jadan Baugh run for 1 yd for a TD (Trey Smack KICK)
+10.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com