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VAN

Vanderbilt 32 at Georgia State 36

GAST
2024 · Week 3 · Sep 14, 2024 · Center Parc Stadium
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Win probability · GAST
modelGAST aheadVAN aheadconfidence bandkey playGAST scoreVAN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 7:43 · Diego Pavia pass incomplete
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+28.5+14.30−14.3−28.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 140Pregame prior−3.6Home team on offense+17.6Garbage-time factor+4.7Score differential+8.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.4Blowout margin+0.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 3:23: Rykem Laney 12 Yd pass from Christian Veilleux (Liam Rickman Kick) — GAST win probability +20.6 pts (now 82%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 14:07: Eli Stowers 18 Yd pass from Diego Pavia (Brock Taylor Kick) — VAN win probability +19.0 pts (now 43%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 2:29: AJ Newberry 3 Yd Run (Brock Taylor Kick) — VAN win probability +29.8 pts (now 37%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 1:14: Sedrick Alexander 1 Yd Run (Diego Pavia Pass to AJ Newberry for Two-Point Conversion) — VAN win probability +62.3 pts (now 90%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:15: Ted Hurst 25 Yd pass from Christian Veilleux (Liam Rickman Kick) — GAST win probability +59.1 pts (now 96%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
GAST made the numbers' call on 7 of 7VAN made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 11:16GAST 4th & 6 at VAN 6, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 30.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.5%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    30.5%
    91% to make
    Punt
    30.0%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:00VAN 4th & 10 at GAST 47, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.9%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:04GAST 4th & 20 at GAST 37, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.1%−1.1
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:00VAN 4th & 1 at GAST 28, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 63.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    63.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    62.9%−0.9
    60% to make
    Punt
    60.7%−3.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:28VAN 4th & 9 at GAST 10, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 62.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.3%−0.5
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.8%
    88% to make
    Punt
    58.3%−3.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:00GAST 4th & 9 at VAN 27, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 61.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.5%−0.6
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.0%
    62% to make
    Punt
    56.7%−4.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:16GAST 4th & 3 at GAST 32, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.4%−0.9
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.3%
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:22GAST 4th & 8 at VAN 27, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 68.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.7%−0.7
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    68.4%
    62% to make
    Punt
    62.2%−6.2
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:43VAN 4th & 15 at VAN 48, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.9%−3.7
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.5%
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:27VAN 4th & 11 at VAN 24, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.2%−2.3
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.5%
    average punt
  11. Q4 7:43VAN 4th & 3 at GAST 25, down 12
    Close callWent for it · 10.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.1%−0.8
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    10.9%
    66% to make
    Punt
    5.8%−5.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 5:04GAST 4th & 4 at GAST 31, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.1%−0.3
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.4%
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:12GAST 4th & 10 at GAST 8, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.4%−5.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.5%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
GAST made the numbers' call on 3 of 4VAN made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q2 7:40GAST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 3:23GAST Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 14:07VAN Touchdown, down 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.2%−0.4
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 11:42GAST Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 2:29VAN Touchdown, down 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.9%−0.8
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 1:14VAN Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    63.7%−0.4
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    64.1%
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 0:15GAST Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Numbers favored go for two by 1.7 ptsKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.1%−1.7
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.8%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
VANDrive 1FUMBLE
3 plays · -3 yds · 1:3376% → 75%
Q1 14:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
23.9%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Nate Johnson for 1 yd to the VAN 26Similar
Q1 14:18
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+3
24.2%
Sedrick Alexander run for 3 yds to the VAN 29Similar
Q1 13:25
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-7
24.7%
Diego Pavia sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the VAN 20 Diego Pavia fumbled, recovered by GAST Izaiah Guy , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 2FG
8 plays · 14 yds · 1:5125% → 26%
Q1 13:07
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
25.1%
Freddie Brock run for 1 yd to the VAN 19Similar
Q1 12:48
2ND & 9
OPP 19
0
25.3%
Christian Veilleux pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:46
3RD & 9
OPP 19
+11
25.2%
Christian Veilleux pass complete to Dorian Fleming for 11 yds to the VAN 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
25.7%
Michel Dukes run for 2 yds to the VAN 6Similar
Q1 11:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
26.1%
Christian Veilleux pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
26.0%
Christian Veilleux pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:16
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
26.1%
Liam Rickman 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 1:5874% → 73%
Q1 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
26.1%
Nate Johnson run for 7 yds to the VAN 42Similar
Q1 10:26
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+11
26.2%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Junior Sherrill for 11 yds to the GAST 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:42
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
26.5%
Diego Pavia pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:42
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
26.5%
Sedrick Alexander run for no gain to the GAST 47Similar
Q1 9:11
3RD & 10
OPP 47
0
27.1%
Diego Pavia pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:00
4TH & 10
OPP 47
0
27.4%
Jesse Mirco punt for 42 yds, downed at the GAST 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 4PUNT
9 plays · 32 yds · 4:5127% → 30%
Q1 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+3
27.1%
Freddie Brock run for 3 yds to the GAST 8Similar
Q1 8:14
2ND & 7
OWN 8
+29
27.5%
Freddie Brock run for 29 yds to the GAST 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
28.2%
Sy'veon Wilkerson run for 2 yds to the GAST 39Similar
Q1 7:10
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+1
28.7%
Sy'veon Wilkerson run for 1 yd to the GAST 40Similar
Q1 6:31
3RD & 7
OWN 40
+7
28.7%
Christian Veilleux pass complete to Ted Hurst for 7 yds to the GAST 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
29.9%
Michel Dukes run for 2 yds to the GAST 49Similar
Q1 5:14
2ND & 8
OWN 49
-14
30.2%
Christian Veilleux sacked by Bryan Longwell and Aeneas DiCosmo for a loss of 14 yards to the GAST 35Similar
Q1 4:41
3RD & 22
OWN 35
+2
29.3%
Michel Dukes run for 2 yds to the GAST 37Similar
Q1 4:04
4TH & 20
OWN 37
0
29.5%
James Allen punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Martel Hight at the VAN 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 5FG
15 plays · 64 yds · 6:3670% → 69%
Q1 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+7
30.5%
Diego Pavia run for 7 yds to the VAN 33Similar
Q1 3:22
2ND & 3
OWN 33
0
30.3%
Sedrick Alexander run for no gain to the VAN 33Similar
Q1 2:40
3RD & 3
OWN 33
+14
31.1%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Richie Hoskins for 14 yds to the VAN 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+16
30.2%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Eli Stowers for 16 yds to the GAST 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:43
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
30.3%
Sedrick Alexander run for no gain to the GAST 37Similar
Q1 1:25
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+2
30.5%
Jamoni Jones run for 2 yds to the GAST 35Similar
Q1 0:41
3RD & 8
OPP 35
+7
31.0%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Sedrick Alexander for 7 yds to the GAST 28Similar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 1
OPP 28
+1
31.7%
Sedrick Alexander run for 1 yd to the GAST 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
30.5%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Eli Stowers for 4 yds to the GAST 23Similar
Q2 14:35
2ND & 6
OPP 23
+12
30.7%
Sedrick Alexander run for 12 yds to the GAST 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:56
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-10
31.0%
ALEXANDER, Sedrick rush to the left for a gain of 11 yards to the GSU0, TOUCHDOWN VAN, score nullified by penalty, clock 13:56 (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY VAN Holding on MITCHELL, Chase enforced 10 yards from the GSU11 to the GSU21 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 13:56
1ST & 20
OPP 21
0
31.1%
Diego Pavia pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:45
2ND & 20
OPP 21
+6
31.6%
Diego Pavia run for 6 yds to the GAST 15Similar
Q2 12:59
3RD & 14
OPP 15
+5
33.0%
Diego Pavia run for 5 yds to the GAST 10Similar
Q2 12:28
4TH & 9
OPP 10
+28
31.2%
Brock Taylor 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 6TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:3833% → 47%
Q2 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
33.0%
Christian Veilleux pass complete to Tailique Williams for a loss of 2 yards to the GAST 23Similar
Q2 11:46
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+8
33.2%
Christian Veilleux pass complete to Ja'Cyais Credle for 8 yds to the GAST 31Similar
Q2 11:07
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+6
33.3%
Christian Veilleux pass complete to Ted Hurst for 6 yds to the GAST 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
34.7%
Christian Veilleux pass complete to Freddie Brock for 4 yds to the GAST 41Similar
Q2 9:54
2ND & 6
OWN 41
-2
36.1%
Christian Veilleux pass complete to DJ Riles for a loss of 2 yards to the GAST 39Similar
Q2 9:14
3RD & 8
OWN 39
+15
34.9%
VEILLEUX, Christian pass to the right incomplete intended for TUCKER, Petey thrown to the GSU49; QB hurried by ZUNK, Linus, clock 09:14. PENALTY VAN Roughing the Passer on ZUNK, Linus enforced 15 yards from the GSU39 to the VAN46 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 9:09
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
37.3%
Christian Veilleux pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:06
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+4
37.1%
Freddie Brock run for 4 yds to the VAN 42Similar
Q2 8:20
3RD & 6
OPP 42
+9
37.3%
Christian Veilleux pass complete to Dorian Fleming for 9 yds to the VAN 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:40
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+33
46.8%
Christian Veilleux pass complete to Ted Hurst for 33 yds for a TD (Liam Rickman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 7MISSED FG
14 plays · 38 yds · 5:2848% → 60%
Q2 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
48.4%
Freddie Brock run for 1 yd to the GAST 36Similar
Q2 6:55
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+15
49.2%
Christian Veilleux pass complete to Dorian Fleming for 15 yds to the VAN 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:08
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
51.7%
Christian Veilleux pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:05
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+10
51.5%
Jordan Ford run for 10 yds to the VAN 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:26
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
52.7%
Christian Veilleux pass complete to Dorian Fleming for 4 yds to the VAN 35Similar
Q2 4:47
2ND & 6
OPP 35
0
53.5%
Michel Dukes run for no gain to the VAN 35Similar
Q2 4:01
3RD & 6
OPP 35
+7
55.4%
Christian Veilleux pass complete to Dorian Fleming for 7 yds to the VAN 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
57.0%
Christian Veilleux pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:25
2ND & 10
OPP 28
-5
57.0%
(03:25) WILKERSON, Sy'veon rush up the middle for a gain of 5 yards to the VAN23 (SEABROOKS III, Glenn), clock 03:24. PENALTY Before the snap, GSU Illegal Shift enforced 5 yards from the VAN28 to the VAN33. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 3:13
2ND & 15
OPP 33
+1
56.7%
Sy'veon Wilkerson run for 1 yd to the VAN 32Similar
Q2 2:31
3RD & 14
OPP 32
+5
57.1%
Christian Veilleux pass complete to DJ Riles for 5 yds to the VAN 27Similar
Q2 2:00
4TH & 9
OPP 27
+45
60.3%
Liam Rickman 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 8TD
9 plays · 73 yds · 1:1140% → 45%
Q2 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
60.1%
AJ Newberry run for 2 yds to the VAN 29Similar
Q2 1:48
2ND & 8
OWN 29
0
60.2%
Diego Pavia pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:38
3RD & 8
OWN 29
-10
61.2%
(01:38) PAVIA, Diego pass to the left complete for 12 yards to NEWBERRY, AJ caught at the VAN41 and advanced to the VAN41, End of Play, clock 01:37. PENALTY VAN Holding on LOSOYA, Steven enforced 10 yards from the VAN29 to the VAN19 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 1:11
3RD & 18
OWN 19
+20
62.3%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Quincy Skinner Jr. for 20 yds to the VAN 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+53
60.5%
Diego Pavia pass complete to AJ Newberry for 53 yds to the GAST 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
54.9%
Diego Pavia pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
55.0%
Junior Sherrill 8 Yd pass from Diego Pavia (Brock Taylor Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 0:2663% → 64%
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
63.3%
Freddie Brock run for 6 yds to the GAST 31Similar
Q2 0:25
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
63.3%
Christian Veilleux pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:25
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-5
62.3%
Georgia State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the GAST 26Similar
Q2 0:22
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+6
66.3%
Jordan Ford run for 6 yds to the GAST 32Similar
Q2 0:16
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
64.0%
James Allen punt for 38 yds , Martel Hight returns for no gain to the VAN 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 10END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0035% → 35%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 20
OWN 20
-1
64.9%
[NHSG] Kneel down by VAN at VAN19 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 11FG
12 plays · 48 yds · 4:3561% → 53%
Q3 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
61.0%
Freddie Brock run for 8 yds to the GAST 33Similar
Q3 14:28
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+10
62.3%
Freddie Brock run for 10 yds to the GAST 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
63.8%
Sy'veon Wilkerson run for 2 yds to the GAST 45Similar
Q3 13:24
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+2
64.6%
Sy'veon Wilkerson run for 2 yds to the GAST 47Similar
Q3 12:45
3RD & 6
OWN 47
+10
64.2%
VEILLEUX, Christian pass to the right incomplete intended for DUKES, Michel thrown to the VAN44, clock 12:45. PENALTY VAN Holding on RINALDI, Nick enforced 10 yards from the GSU47 to the VAN43 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
65.8%
Christian Veilleux pass complete to Jordan Ford for 6 yds to the VAN 37Similar
Q3 12:06
2ND & 4
OPP 37
+3
66.7%
Jordan Ford run for 3 yds to the VAN 34Similar
Q3 11:33
3RD & 1
OPP 34
+5
66.6%
Jordan Ford run for 5 yds to the VAN 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:12
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
67.9%
Christian Veilleux pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:08
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+2
67.9%
Freddie Brock run for 2 yds to the VAN 27Similar
Q3 10:28
3RD & 8
OPP 27
0
67.8%
Christian Veilleux pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:22
4TH & 8
OPP 27
+45
52.9%
Liam Rickman 45 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 12PUNT
10 plays · 23 yds · 3:3650% → 45%
Q3 10:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
50.5%
Sedrick Alexander run for 3 yds to the VAN 28Similar
Q3 9:38
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+14
50.6%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Eli Stowers for 14 yds to the VAN 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
49.3%
Tristen Brown run for 1 yd to the VAN 43Similar
Q3 8:16
2ND & 9
OWN 43
-5
49.7%
Vanderbilt Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (-5 Yards) to the VAN 48Similar
Q3 7:09
3RD & 4
OWN 48
+5
49.4%
Junior Sherrill run for 5 yds to the GAST 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
48.6%
Diego Pavia pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:00
2ND & 10
OPP 47
-5
49.5%
Vanderbilt Penalty, False Start (Chase Mitchell) to the VAN 48Similar
Q3 6:56
2ND & 15
OWN 48
0
52.2%
Diego Pavia pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:49
3RD & 15
OWN 48
0
53.3%
Diego Pavia pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:43
4TH & 15
OWN 48
0
54.9%
Jesse Mirco punt for 25 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 13TD
8 plays · 73 yds · 3:1657% → 82%
Q3 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
56.8%
Christian Veilleux pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:34
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+11
56.3%
Christian Veilleux pass complete to Petey Tucker for 11 yds to the GAST 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
58.8%
Christian Veilleux pass complete to Dorian Fleming for 3 yds to the GAST 41Similar
Q3 5:14
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+26
60.4%
Freddie Brock run for 26 yds to the VAN 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:37
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
62.9%
Christian Veilleux pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:33
2ND & 10
OPP 33
-1
62.9%
Michel Dukes run for a loss of 1 yard to the VAN 34Similar
Q3 3:49
3RD & 11
OPP 34
+22
61.1%
Christian Veilleux pass complete to Ted Hurst for 22 yds to the VAN 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:23
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
81.6%
Rykem Laney 12 Yd pass from Christian Veilleux (Liam Rickman Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:5222% → 20%
Q3 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
78.0%
Diego Pavia pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:16
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
78.3%
Diego Pavia run for 4 yds to the VAN 29Similar
Q3 2:27
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
78.4%
Diego Pavia pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:27
4TH & 6
OWN 29
-5
79.7%
Vanderbilt Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the VAN 24Similar
Q3 2:27
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
80.0%
Jesse Mirco punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 15INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0083% → 83%
Q3 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-7
82.5%
Christian Veilleux pass intercepted Bryan Longwell return for 7 yds to the GAST 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 16TD
6 plays · 37 yds · 2:5024% → 43%
Q3 1:57
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+8
76.2%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Eli Stowers for 8 yds to the GAST 29Similar
Q3 1:30
2ND & 2
OPP 29
+3
74.8%
Diego Pavia run for 3 yds to the GAST 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+14
75.6%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Sedrick Alexander for 14 yds to the GAST 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
76.2%
Diego Pavia run for 2 yds to the GAST 10Similar
Q4 14:50
2ND & 8
OPP 10
-8
76.4%
Diego Pavia sacked by Kevin Swint for a loss of 8 yards to the GAST 18Similar
Q4 14:07
3RD & 16
OPP 18
+18
57.4%
Eli Stowers 18 Yd pass from Diego Pavia (Brock Taylor Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 17TD
7 plays · 78 yds · 2:1863% → 90%
Q4 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
62.9%
Freddie Brock run for 1 yd to the GAST 23Similar
Q4 13:27
2ND & 9
OWN 23
+15
63.9%
Vanderbilt Penalty, Targeting on TAYLOR, CJ enforced (CJ Taylor) to the VAN 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
69.1%
Christian Veilleux pass complete to Michel Dukes for 5 yds to the VAN 41Similar
Q4 12:38
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+14
71.3%
Christian Veilleux pass complete to Tailique Williams for 14 yds to the VAN 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:14
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
72.7%
Christian Veilleux pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:11
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+9
72.7%
Michel Dukes run for 9 yds to the VAN 18Similar
Q4 11:42
3RD & 1
OPP 18
+18
90.0%
Christian Veilleux 18 Yd Run (Liam Rickman Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 18DOWNS
9 plays · 50 yds · 3:5515% → 11%
Q4 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
85.4%
Sedrick Alexander run for 7 yds to the VAN 32Similar
Q4 10:59
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+9
85.4%
AJ Newberry run for 9 yds to the VAN 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+15
87.6%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Eli Stowers for 15 yds to the GAST 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+12
87.5%
Diego Pavia run for 12 yds to the GAST 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:02
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
86.9%
Diego Pavia run for 2 yds to the GAST 30Similar
Q4 8:25
2ND & 8
OPP 30
+5
87.1%
Diego Pavia run for 5 yds to the GAST 25Similar
Q4 7:47
3RD & 3
OPP 25
0
87.9%
Diego Pavia pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:43
4TH & 3
OPP 25
0
88.8%
Diego Pavia pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 2:3692% → 95%
Q4 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
92.4%
Freddie Brock run for 5 yds to the GAST 30Similar
Q4 6:56
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-10
93.7%
(06:56) BROCK, Freddie rush to the right for no gain to the GSU30 (LONGWELL, Bryan), clock 06:53. PENALTY GSU Holding on FLEMING, Dorian enforced 10 yards from the GSU30 to the GSU20 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 6:27
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+3
93.8%
Jordan Ford run for 3 yds to the GAST 23Similar
Q4 5:43
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+8
94.1%
Jordan Ford run for 8 yds to the GAST 31Similar
Q4 5:04
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+13
94.5%
James Allen punt for 47 yds , Martel Hight returns for 13 yds to the VAN 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 20TD
8 plays · 65 yds · 2:168% → 37%
Q4 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+17
91.9%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Quincy Skinner Jr. for 17 yds to the GAST 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:19
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+19
91.6%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Eli Stowers for 19 yds to the GAST 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:06
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
90.8%
Diego Pavia pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:00
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+16
91.3%
Diego Pavia run for 6 yds to the GAST 23 for a 1ST down Georgia State Penalty, Defensive Holding (Jyron Gilmore) to the GAST 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:55
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+9
90.9%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Eli Stowers for 9 yds to the GAST 4Similar
Q4 3:36
2ND & 1
OPP 4
0
92.6%
Diego Pavia run for no gain to the GAST 4Similar
Q4 2:59
3RD & 1
OPP 4
+1
93.1%
Diego Pavia run for 1 yd to the GAST 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
63.3%
AJ Newberry 3 Yd Run (Brock Taylor Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:1188% → 90%
Q4 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+2
87.6%
Freddie Brock run for 2 yds to the GAST 10Similar
Q4 2:16
2ND & 8
OWN 10
0
89.5%
Freddie Brock run for no gain to the GAST 10Similar
Q4 2:12
4TH & 10
OWN 8
+8
89.2%
James Allen punt for 39 yds , Martel Hight returns for 8 yds to the GAST 39Similar
Q4 2:11
3RD & 8
OWN 10
-2
90.3%
Freddie Brock run for a loss of 2 yards to the GAST 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 22TD
4 plays · 39 yds · 0:4023% → 90%
Q4 1:54
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+17
76.8%
Diego Pavia run for 2 yds to the GAST 37 for a 1ST down Georgia State Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Sir Mells) to the GAST 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:49
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+11
73.3%
PAVIA, Diego pass up the middle incomplete intended for JOHNSON, Kamrean thrown to the GSU7, clock 01:49. PENALTY GSU Personal Foul on MCDANIEL, K.D. enforced half the distance from the goal, 11 yards from the GSU22 to the GSU11 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 1:43
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+10
72.0%
Sedrick Alexander run for 10 yds to the GAST 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
9.7%
Sedrick Alexander 1 Yd Run (Diego Pavia Pass to AJ Newberry for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 23TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 0:5526% → 96%
Q4 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
25.9%
Christian Veilleux pass complete to Tailique Williams for 12 yds to the GAST 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+19
26.1%
Christian Veilleux pass complete to Ted Hurst for 19 yds to the VAN 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
29.5%
Christian Veilleux pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:50
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+14
27.5%
Christian Veilleux pass complete to Tailique Williams for 14 yds to the VAN 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:35
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
34.2%
Christian Veilleux pass complete to Tailique Williams for 5 yds to the VAN 25Similar
Q4 0:20
2ND & 5
OPP 25
0
36.5%
Christian Veilleux pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:15
3RD & 5
OPP 25
+25
95.7%
Ted Hurst 25 Yd pass from Christian Veilleux (Liam Rickman Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 24END OF GAME
3 plays · 22 yds · 0:1018% → 17%
Q4 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
81.8%
Diego Pavia pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:06
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
82.1%
Diego Pavia pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+7
83.3%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Junior Sherrill for 7 yds to the VAN 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:14
Sedrick Alexander 1 Yd Run (Diego Pavia Pass to AJ Newberry for Two-Point Conversion)
-62.3
TD · Q4 0:15
Ted Hurst 25 Yd pass from Christian Veilleux (Liam Rickman Kick)
+59.1
TD · Q4 2:29
AJ Newberry 3 Yd Run (Brock Taylor Kick)
-29.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com