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TA&M

Texas A&M 33 at Florida 20

FLA
2024 · Week 3 · Sep 14, 2024 · Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
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Win probability · FLA
modelFLA aheadTA&M aheadconfidence bandkey playFLA scoreTA&M score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:23 · EJ Smith run for 4 yds to the FLA 20 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+46.0+23.00−23.0−46.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:57: Timeout Florida, clock 00:57 — TA&M win probability +13.5 pts (now 89%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 11:49: Graham Mertz pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 14 yds for a TD (Trey Smack KICK) — FLA win probability +12.2 pts (now 30%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 11:00: Marcel Reed pass complete to Cyrus Allen for 73 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed) — TA&M win probability +11.7 pts (now 88%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 5:29: Graham Mertz pass intercepted Bryce Anderson return for 45 yds for a TD (Randy Bond KICK) — TA&M win probability +11.8 pts (now 98%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 5:13: Ja'Kobi Jackson run for 2 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed) — FLA win probability +10.1 pts (now 13%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FLA made the numbers' call on 4 of 6TA&M made the numbers' call on 3 of 7
  1. Q1 8:14TA&M 4th & 11 at FLA 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 56.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.1%−0.2
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    56.3%
    85% to make
    Punt
    55.2%−1.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:28FLA 4th & 8 at midfield, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.2%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.3%
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:21FLA 4th & 27 at FLA 10, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.9%−1.1
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.0%
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:47TA&M 4th & 11 at FLA 31, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 62.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.1%−0.4
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    62.5%
    54% to make
    Punt
    61.9%−0.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:07FLA 4th & 11 at TA&M 37, down 13
    Close callPunted · 33.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.3%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    33.3%
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    33.2%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:50TA&M 4th & 1 at FLA 23, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 72.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    73.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    71.1%−2.1
    70% to make
    Punt
    64.8%−8.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:01FLA 4th & 2 at TA&M 48, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 19.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    19.2%−0.5
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:15FLA 4th & 16 at FLA 21, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.7%−3.4
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.1%
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:15TA&M 4th & 4 at TA&M 45, up 19
    Close callPunted · 90.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.3%−0.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:31FLA 4th & 9 at TA&M 23, down 26
    Close callWent for it · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.1%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    1.4%
    70% to make
    Punt
    -0.9%−2.3
    average punt
  11. Q4 8:28TA&M 4th & 3 at FLA 22, up 19
    Close callKicked a field goal · 97.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.9%−0.3
    72% to make
    Punt
    94.2%−3.0
    average punt
  12. Q4 3:24TA&M 4th & 3 at FLA 23, up 13
    Close callKicked a field goal · 96.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.7%−0.3
    70% to make
    Punt
    92.5%−3.4
    average punt
  13. Q4 0:23TA&M 4th & 2 at FLA 24, up 13
    Close callWent for it · 97.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.0%−0.3
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    97.3%
    68% to make
    Punt
    95.5%−1.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FLA made the numbers' call on 3 of 3TA&M made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 0:18TA&M Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 11:49FLA Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    23.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    23.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 11:00TA&M Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    84.9%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    84.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 5:29TA&M Touchdown, up 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 1:04FLA Touchdown, down 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 5:13FLA Touchdown, down 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    7.0%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    7.2%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TA&MDrive 1FG
18 plays · 62 yds · 6:4157% → 56%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
42.6%
Le'Veon Moss run for 4 yds to the TA&M 29Similar
Q1 14:18
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-5
42.7%
Texas A&M Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TA&M 24Similar
Q1 14:01
2ND & 11
OWN 24
-10
42.8%
Moss, Le'Veon rush for no gain to the TA&M24, PENALTY TA&M holding 10 yards to the TA&M14, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:45
2ND & 21
OWN 14
+31
42.9%
Marcel Reed run for 31 yds to the TA&M 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
42.9%
Marcel Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:00
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
43.0%
Amari Daniels run for no gain to the TA&M 45Similar
Q1 12:40
3RD & 10
OWN 45
+20
43.2%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Moose Muhammad III for 20 yds to the FLA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:12
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
43.0%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Jabre Barber for no gain to the FLA 35Similar
Q1 11:44
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+10
43.1%
Noah Thomas run for 10 yds to the FLA 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:11
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
43.1%
Marcel Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
-2
43.1%
Terry Bussey run for a loss of 2 yards to the FLA 27Similar
Q1 10:40
3RD & 12
OPP 27
+15
43.4%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Tre Watson for 15 yds to the FLA 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:10
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
43.2%
Le'Veon Moss run for 2 yds to the FLA 10Similar
Q1 9:30
2ND & 8
OPP 10
-1
43.4%
Marcel Reed run for a loss of 1 yard to the FLA 11Similar
Q1 9:00
3RD & 9
OPP 11
-10
43.6%
Texas A&M Penalty, Illegal Block (-10 Yards) to the FLA 21Similar
Q1 8:40
3RD & 19
OPP 21
+8
43.9%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Cyrus Allen for 8 yds to the FLA 13Similar
Q1 8:14
4TH & 11
OPP 13
+31
43.8%
Randy Bond 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 2:4044% → 44%
Q1 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
43.8%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 2 yds to the FLA 37Similar
Q1 7:30
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+11
44.1%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Hayden Hansen for 11 yds to the FLA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
44.6%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 7:11
2ND & 8
50
-5
44.8%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for a loss of 5 yards to the FLA 45Similar
Q1 5:45
3RD & 13
OWN 45
0
43.6%
Graham Mertz pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:40
4TH & 13
OWN 45
+5
43.4%
Texas A&M Penalty, Running Into Kicker (5 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 5:28
4TH & 8
50
0
43.7%
Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 42 yds, downed at the TA&M 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 3TD
11 plays · 92 yds · 4:5856% → 62%
Q1 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+27
44.5%
Le'Veon Moss run for 27 yds to the TA&M 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
44.2%
Le'Veon Moss run for 2 yds to the TA&M 37Similar
Q1 4:00
2ND & 8
OWN 37
0
44.0%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Terry Bussey for no gain to the TA&M 37Similar
Q1 3:30
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+22
44.5%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Amari Daniels for 22 yds to the FLA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
43.5%
Amari Daniels run for 5 yds to the FLA 36Similar
Q1 2:10
2ND & 5
OPP 36
0
43.0%
EJ Smith run for no gain to the FLA 36Similar
Q1 1:45
3RD & 5
OPP 36
0
43.4%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Cyrus Allen for no gain to the FLA 36Similar
Q1 1:07
4TH & 5
OPP 36
+10
44.2%
Florida Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the FLA 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:02
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-5
42.7%
Texas A&M Penalty, Illegal Shift (-5 Yards) to the FLA 31Similar
Q1 0:45
1ST & 15
OPP 31
+2
43.0%
Amari Daniels run for 2 yds to the FLA 29Similar
Q1 0:18
2ND & 13
OPP 29
+29
38.3%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Theo Melin Ohrstrom for 29 yds for a TD (Randy Bond KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 4PUNT
5 plays · -17 yds · 1:4038% → 36%
Q1 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-2
38.4%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the FLA 25Similar
Q2 14:47
2ND & 12
OWN 25
0
38.2%
DJ Lagway run for no gain to the FLA 25Similar
Q2 14:20
3RD & 12
OWN 25
-15
37.4%
DJ Lagway sacked by Solomon DeShields and Shemar Stewart for a loss of 15 yards to the FLA 10Similar
Q2 13:21
4TH & 27
OWN 10
0
36.4%
Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 45 yds, downed at the TA&M 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 5FG
10 plays · 24 yds · 3:3062% → 66%
Q2 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
37.8%
Marcel Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:58
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+5
37.8%
Le'Veon Moss run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 12:22
3RD & 5
50
+9
37.8%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Jabre Barber for 9 yds to the FLA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:48
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+9
37.3%
Terry Bussey run for 9 yds to the FLA 32Similar
Q2 11:11
2ND & 1
OPP 32
+2
36.6%
Amari Daniels run for 2 yds to the FLA 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:45
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-5
36.5%
Texas A&M Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the FLA 35Similar
Q2 10:26
1ST & 15
OPP 35
+4
36.4%
Noah Thomas run for 4 yds to the FLA 31Similar
Q2 9:55
2ND & 11
OPP 31
0
36.5%
Marcel Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:50
3RD & 11
OPP 31
0
36.9%
Marcel Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:47
4TH & 11
OPP 31
+48
34.2%
Randy Bond 48 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 38 yds · 1:3035% → 34%
Q2 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+39
34.6%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Chimere Dike for 39 yds to the TA&M 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:21
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
35.9%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Chimere Dike for 3 yds to the TA&M 33Similar
Q2 8:55
2ND & 7
OPP 33
-5
36.6%
Florida Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TA&M 38Similar
Q2 8:38
2ND & 12
OPP 38
0
35.3%
Graham Mertz pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:33
3RD & 12
OPP 38
+1
34.7%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Chimere Dike for 1 yd to the TA&M 37Similar
Q2 8:07
4TH & 11
OPP 37
0
33.6%
Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 36 yds, downed at the TA&M 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 7TD
20 plays · 99 yds · 6:5866% → 75%
Q2 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+1
33.6%
Marcel Reed run for 1 yd to the TA&M 2Similar
Q2 7:32
2ND & 9
OWN 2
+22
33.6%
Le'Veon Moss run for 22 yds to the TA&M 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
32.8%
Le'Veon Moss run for 4 yds to the TA&M 28Similar
Q2 6:00
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+12
31.6%
Amari Daniels run for 12 yds to the TA&M 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+18
30.6%
Amari Daniels run for 18 yds to the FLA 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:44
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
30.2%
Marcel Reed run for 2 yds to the FLA 40Similar
Q2 4:00
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+8
29.0%
EJ Smith run for 8 yds to the FLA 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:45
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
28.8%
EJ Smith run for 5 yds to the FLA 27Similar
Q2 3:00
2ND & 5
OPP 27
+1
28.3%
Le'Veon Moss run for 1 yd to the FLA 26Similar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 4
OPP 26
+3
26.4%
Marcel Reed run for 3 yds to the FLA 23Similar
Q2 1:50
4TH & 1
OPP 23
+4
27.6%
Amari Daniels run for 4 yds to the FLA 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-10
25.9%
Moss, Le'Veon rush for 1 yard to the FLA18, PENALTY TA&M holding 10 yards to the FLA29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:30
1ST & 20
OPP 29
-15
26.0%
Texas A&M Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (-15 Yards) to the FLA 44Similar
Q2 1:20
1ST & 35
OPP 44
+4
26.3%
Le'Veon Moss run for 4 yds to the FLA 40Similar
Q2 1:14
2ND & 31
OPP 40
+17
26.0%
M. Reed pass to N. Thomas for 2 yds for a 1ST down,Florida penalty, targeting on BRIDGES, Trikweze (15 Yards) to the FLA23Similar
Q2 1:08
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+10
24.8%
Reed, Marcel pass incomplete, PENALTY FLA holding 10 yards to the FLA13, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TA&M.Similar
Q2 0:57
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+12
24.7%
Marcel Reed run for 12 yds to the FLA 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 8INT
9 plays · 27 yds · 0:4217% → 18%
Q2 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
17.4%
Florida Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the FLA 15Similar
Q2 0:38
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+14
17.1%
Treyaun Webb run for 14 yds to the FLA 29Similar
Q2 0:20
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+4
17.0%
DJ Lagway pass complete to Arlis Boardingham for 4 yds to the FLA 33Similar
Q2 0:12
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+11
17.2%
Treyaun Webb run for 11 yds to the FLA 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
17.9%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:06
2ND & 10
OWN 44
0
17.7%
DJ Lagway pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:02
3RD & 10
OWN 44
+8
16.8%
DJ Lagway pass complete to Arlis Boardingham for 8 yds to the TA&M 48Similar
Q2 0:01
4TH & 2
OPP 48
0
17.7%
DJ Lagway pass intercepted, touchback. Marcus Ratcliffe return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 9TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:5619% → 30%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
18.6%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Chimere Dike for 19 yds to the FLA 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
21.1%
Tank Hawkins run for 2 yds to the FLA 46Similar
Q3 13:45
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+28
20.9%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 38 yds to the TA&M 16 for a 1ST down Florida Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the TA&M 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+8
21.9%
Treyaun Webb run for 8 yds to the TA&M 18Similar
Q3 13:00
2ND & 2
OPP 18
+13
19.8%
Treyaun Webb run for 8 yds to the TA&M 10 for a 1ST down Texas A&M Penalty, Face Mask (5 yards) (5 Yards) to the TA&M 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:45
1ST & 0
OPP 5
-5
20.7%
Florida Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TA&M 10Similar
Q3 12:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-4
17.5%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for a loss of 4 yards to the TA&M 14Similar
Q3 11:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 14
+14
29.7%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 14 yds for a TD (Trey Smack KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 10TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:3476% → 88%
Q3 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
23.6%
Le'Veon Moss run for 2 yds to the TA&M 27Similar
Q3 11:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+73
11.9%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Cyrus Allen for 73 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 11PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 1:3117% → 15%
Q3 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
16.7%
DJ Lagway pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:30
2ND & 10
OWN 27
0
16.3%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for no gain to the FLA 27Similar
Q3 9:55
3RD & 10
OWN 27
-6
15.8%
DJ Lagway sacked by Cashius Howell for a loss of 6 yards to the FLA 21Similar
Q3 9:15
4TH & 16
OWN 21
0
15.4%
Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 50 yds , Terry Bussey returns for no gain to the TA&M 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 16 yds · 1:4590% → 91%
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+10
10.4%
Marcel Reed run for 10 yds to the TA&M 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
9.8%
Marcel Reed run for 2 yds to the TA&M 41Similar
Q3 7:55
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+4
9.5%
Jahdae Walker run for 4 yds to the TA&M 45Similar
Q3 7:21
3RD & 4
OWN 45
0
8.7%
Marcel Reed pass incomplete to Moose Muhammad IIISimilar
Q3 7:15
4TH & 4
OWN 45
0
9.2%
Tyler White punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Chimere Dike at the FLA 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 13INT TD
5 plays · 23 yds · 1:4114% → 2%
Q3 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+22
14.3%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Chimere Dike for 22 yds to the FLA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
14.4%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for no gain to the FLA 35Similar
Q3 6:06
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-4
14.0%
Treyaun Webb run for a loss of 4 yards to the FLA 31Similar
Q3 6:06
3RD & 14
OWN 31
+5
13.6%
Mertz, Graham pass incomplete to Spierto, Taylor, PENALTY TA&M offside (Howell, Cashius) 5 yards to the FLA36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:29
3RD & 9
OWN 36
-45
1.9%
Graham Mertz pass intercepted Bryce Anderson return for 45 yds for a TD (Randy Bond KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 14TD
13 plays · 72 yds · 4:112% → 11%
Q3 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+15
1.9%
Lagway, DJ pass incomplete to Dike, Chimere, PENALTY TA&M pass interference (Ricks, Dezz) 15 yards to the FLA43, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN FLA.Similar
Q3 5:08
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+20
1.9%
Tank Hawkins run for 5 yds to the TA&M 48 for a 1ST down Texas A&M Penalty, Personal Foul Targeting (Dalton Brooks) to the TA&M 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:34
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+8
2.0%
DJ Lagway pass complete to Arlis Boardingham for 8 yds to the TA&M 29Similar
Q3 4:02
2ND & 2
OPP 29
+5
2.0%
Jadan Baugh run for 5 yds to the TA&M 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:22
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
1.8%
DJ Lagway run for 1 yd to the TA&M 23Similar
Q3 2:46
2ND & 9
OPP 23
0
1.6%
DJ Lagway pass incomplete to Hayden HansenSimilar
Q3 2:40
3RD & 9
OPP 23
0
1.5%
DJ Lagway pass incomplete to Aidan MizellSimilar
Q3 2:31
4TH & 9
OPP 23
+11
1.5%
DJ Lagway pass complete to Tony Livingston for 11 yds to the TA&M 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:06
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
1.6%
Webb, Treyaun rush for 5 yards to the TA&M7, PENALTY TA&M 12 men on the field 5 yards to the TA&M7, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:53
1ST & 5
OPP 7
0
1.5%
DJ Lagway pass incomplete to Hayden HansenSimilar
Q3 1:48
2ND & 5
OPP 7
0
1.5%
Treyaun Webb run for no gain to the TA&M 7Similar
Q3 1:04
3RD & 5
OPP 7
+7
10.9%
DJ Lagway pass complete to Chimere Dike for 7 yds for a TD (Trey Smack KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 15MISSED FG
13 plays · 53 yds · 7:3295% → 97%
Q3 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
4.9%
Le'Veon Moss run for 10 yds to the TA&M 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:16
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
4.6%
Le'Veon Moss run for 6 yds to the TA&M 41Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+8
4.3%
Amari Daniels run for 8 yds to the TA&M 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
4.1%
Amari Daniels run for 5 yds to the FLA 46Similar
Q4 13:35
2ND & 5
OPP 46
0
3.9%
EJ Smith run for no gain to the FLA 46Similar
Q4 12:53
3RD & 5
OPP 46
+6
3.8%
Marcel Reed run for 6 yds to the FLA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:07
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+7
3.5%
EJ Smith run for 7 yds to the FLA 33Similar
Q4 11:21
2ND & 3
OPP 33
+4
3.1%
Le'Veon Moss run for 4 yds to the FLA 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:38
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
3.0%
Le'Veon Moss run for 1 yd to the FLA 28Similar
Q4 9:51
2ND & 9
OPP 28
+5
2.7%
Amari Daniels run for 5 yds to the FLA 23Similar
Q4 9:15
3RD & 4
OPP 23
+1
2.7%
Amari Daniels run for 1 yd to the FLA 22Similar
Q4 8:28
4TH & 3
OPP 22
+40
2.8%
Randy Bond 40 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 16TD
9 plays · 78 yds · 3:105% → 13%
Q4 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+10
4.5%
Ja'Kobi Jackson run for 10 yds to the FLA 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+12
4.5%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 12 yds to the FLA 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
4.7%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Arlis Boardingham for 5 yds to the FLA 49Similar
Q4 6:57
2ND & 5
OWN 49
+14
4.7%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 14 yds to the TA&M 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:39
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+17
4.8%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Arlis Boardingham for 17 yds to the TA&M 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:08
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+9
4.3%
Ja'Kobi Jackson run for 9 yds to the TA&M 11Similar
Q4 5:48
2ND & 1
OPP 11
+2
3.3%
Ja'Kobi Jackson run for 2 yds to the TA&M 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+7
3.3%
Graham Mertz run for 7 yds to the TA&M 2 Graham Mertz fumbled, forced by Marcus Ratcliffe, recovered by FLASimilar
Q4 5:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
13.4%
Ja'Kobi Jackson run for 2 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 17MISSED FG
10 plays · 18 yds · 1:4595% → 97%
Q4 5:09
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
5.2%
Le'Veon Moss run for 5 yds to the FLA 36Similar
Q4 4:24
2ND & 5
OPP 36
+6
4.6%
Le'Veon Moss run for 6 yds to the FLA 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:41
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
4.5%
Le'Veon Moss run for 3 yds to the FLA 27Similar
Q4 3:33
2ND & 7
OPP 27
+4
3.4%
Marcel Reed run for 4 yds to the FLA 23Similar
Q4 3:30
3RD & 3
OPP 23
0
3.1%
Marcel Reed run for no gain to the FLA 23Similar
Q4 3:24
4TH & 3
OPP 23
+40
3.2%
Randy Bond 40 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 18INT
2 plays · 16 yds · 0:423% → 2%
Q4 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+16
2.5%
DJ Lagway pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 16 yds to the FLA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-15
2.3%
DJ Lagway pass intercepted Jayvon Thomas return for 15 yds to the FLA 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 19END OF GAME
6 plays · 24 yds · 2:1097% → 98%
Q4 2:33
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+12
2.8%
Marcel Reed run for 12 yds to the FLA 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
2.1%
Le'Veon Moss run for 2 yds to the FLA 30Similar
Q4 1:54
2ND & 8
OPP 30
+1
2.1%
Amari Daniels run for 1 yd to the FLA 29Similar
Q4 1:10
3RD & 7
OPP 29
+5
2.1%
Amari Daniels run for 5 yds to the FLA 24Similar
Q4 0:23
4TH & 2
OPP 24
+4
2.1%
EJ Smith run for 4 yds to the FLA 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:57
Timeout Florida, clock 00:57
-13.5
TD · Q3 11:49
Graham Mertz pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 14 yds for a TD (Trey Smack KICK)
+12.2
TD · Q3 5:29
Graham Mertz pass intercepted Bryce Anderson return for 45 yds for a TD (Randy Bond KICK)
-11.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com