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ODU

Old Dominion 19 at South Carolina 23

SC
2024 · Week 1 · Aug 31, 2024 · Williams-Brice Stadium
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Win probability · SC
modelSC aheadODU aheadconfidence bandkey playSC scoreODU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGFGFGFGTDTDFGFGFGTDEnd of GameFG-15.6SC 41.2%Ethan Sanchez 33 yd FG GOODAWAY 19 - HOME 16 · Q4 9:54
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 9:54 · Ethan Sanchez 33 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialBlowout margin
+41.0+20.50−20.5−41.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 161Pregame prior+8.6Home team on offense−12.8Garbage-time factor−3.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.2Score differential−4.2Blowout margin+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 4:57: Grant Wilson run for 36 yds for a TD (Ethan Sanchez PAT BLOCKED) — ODU win probability +10.9 pts (now 24%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. FG · Q3 0:14: Ethan Sanchez 40 yd FG GOOD — ODU win probability +9.0 pts (now 37%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q4 9:54: Ethan Sanchez 33 yd FG GOOD — ODU win probability +15.6 pts (now 59%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 9:46: Ethan Chang kickoff for 57 yds , Juju McDowell return for 21 yds to the SC 44 Old Dominion Penalty, Defensive Offside (-5 Yards) to the SC 34 — ODU win probability +4.1 pts (now 60%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:11: LaNorris Sellers run for 3 yds for a TD (Alex Herrera KICK) — SC win probability +33.8 pts (now 83%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SC made the numbers' call on 10 of 12ODU made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 12:51SC 4th & 1 at ODU 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 89.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    89.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    89.7%−0.2
    58% to make
    Punt
    89.4%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:09SC 4th & 16 at ODU 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 87.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.3%−0.2
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    87.6%
    72% to make
    Punt
    86.9%−0.7
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:37ODU 4th & 7 at SC 48, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.2%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.3%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:08SC 4th & 10 at SC 16, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.9%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.2%
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:43ODU 4th & 16 at ODU 35, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.2%−0.4
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.6%
    average punt
  6. Q1 2:43ODU 4th & 16 at ODU 35, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.2%−0.4
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 14:49SC 4th & 17 at SC 40, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.1%−0.5
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 12:46ODU 4th & 13 at ODU 20, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.3%−0.5
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.9%
    average punt
  9. Q2 7:49SC 4th & 11 at ODU 41, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.8%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    83.7%−0.2
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    83.8%
    average punt
  10. Q2 6:06ODU 4th & 17 at ODU 13, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.4%−1.8
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.1%
    average punt
  11. Q2 4:02SC 4th & 13 at ODU 28, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 82.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.3%−0.8
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    82.0%
    60% to make
    Punt
    79.4%−2.7
    average punt
  12. Q2 1:06ODU 4th & 14 at ODU 45, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.4%−0.7
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.1%
    average punt
  13. Q3 15:00SC 4th & 1 at SC 34, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 84.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    85.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    84.5%−0.7
    average punt
  14. Q3 7:13SC 4th & 15 at ODU 15, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 82.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.8%−2.2
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    82.0%
    83% to make
    Punt
    75.3%−6.7
    average punt
  15. Q3 4:57ODU 4th & 7 at SC 36, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.6%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    12.1%−0.5
    42% to make
    Punt
    11.6%−1.0
    average punt
  16. Q3 2:03SC 4th & 7 at ODU 30, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 76.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.6%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    76.8%
    56% to make
    Punt
    74.8%−2.0
    average punt
  17. Q3 0:14ODU 4th & 8 at SC 23, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 26.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.9%−0.7
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    25.6%
    70% to make
    Punt
    17.0%−8.6
    average punt
  18. Q4 14:13SC 4th & 2 at SC 29, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.1 ptsPunted · 66.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.1%−2.1
    average punt
  19. Q4 9:54ODU 4th & 7 at SC 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 40.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.1%−1.7
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    38.8%
    81% to make
    Punt
    19.1%−19.7
    average punt
  20. Q4 7:52SC 4th & 8 at ODU 49, down 3
    Close callPunted · 47.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.0%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.9%−0.1
    average punt
  21. Q4 3:51ODU 4th & 2 at ODU 27, down 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 4.1 ptsPunted · 21.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.1%−4.1
    average punt
  22. Q4 2:50SC 4th & 5 at SC 34, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.6%−0.8
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.4%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SC made the numbers' call on 1 of 2ODU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 13:22SC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 12:51ODU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 4:57ODU Touchdown, down 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    24.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 6:11SC Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.8%−0.6
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.4%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ODUDrive 1FUMBLE
4 plays · -14 yds · 0:449% → 9%
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-2
90.7%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Diante VinesSimilar
Q1 14:56
2ND & 12
OWN 15
-5
90.7%
PENALTY ODU False Start (Flores,Michael) 5 yards from ODU15 to ODU10. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 14:12
2ND & 17
OWN 10
-7
90.6%
Grant Wilson sacked by Kyle Kennard for a loss of 7 yards to the ODU 3 Grant Wilson fumbled, recovered by SC Debo Williams , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 2TD
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:5091% → 91%
Q1 14:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
90.6%
Raheim Sanders run for 2 yds to the ODU 1Similar
Q1 14:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
90.6%
LaNorris Sellers run for no gain to the ODU 1Similar
Q1 13:22
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
90.6%
Raheim Sanders run for 1 yd for a TD (Alex Herrera KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 3TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:3110% → 10%
Q1 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
90.5%
Aaron Young run for 3 yds to the ODU 28Similar
Q1 12:51
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+72
90.2%
Isiah Paige 72 Yd pass from Grant Wilson (Ethan Sanchez Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 4FG
15 plays · 53 yds · 6:4290% → 88%
Q1 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
90.2%
LaNorris Sellers run for 4 yds to the SC 29Similar
Q1 12:51
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+10
90.2%
Raheim Sanders run for 10 yds to the SC 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+23
90.2%
LaNorris Sellers run for 23 yds to the ODU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:51
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-3
90.3%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Michael SmithSimilar
Q1 12:51
2ND & 13
OPP 41
+9
90.2%
Raheim Sanders run for 9 yds to the ODU 32Similar
Q1 12:51
3RD & 4
OPP 32
+3
90.3%
LaNorris Sellers run for 3 yds to the ODU 29Similar
Q1 12:51
4TH & 1
OPP 29
+2
90.2%
Raheim Sanders run for 2 yds to the ODU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:51
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+6
90.3%
LaNorris Sellers run for 6 yds to the ODU 21Similar
Q1 12:51
2ND & 4
OPP 21
+5
90.3%
Oscar Adaway III run for 5 yds to the ODU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:51
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
90.3%
LaNorris Sellers run for 2 yds to the ODU 14Similar
Q1 12:51
2ND & 8
OPP 14
0
90.3%
Raheim Sanders run for no gain to the ODU 14Similar
Q1 12:51
3RD & 8
OPP 14
-8
90.3%
LaNorris Sellers sacked by Mario Thompson for a loss of 8 yards to the ODU 22Similar
Q1 6:09
4TH & 16
OPP 22
+40
88.2%
Alex Herrera 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 27 yds · 1:3212% → 12%
Q1 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
88.5%
Bryce Duke run for 13 yds to the ODU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
88.3%
Grant Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:09
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+11
88.3%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Isiah Paige for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
88.1%
Bryce Duke run for 3 yds to the SC 48Similar
Q1 6:09
2ND & 7
OPP 48
0
88.1%
Grant Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:09
3RD & 7
OPP 48
0
88.1%
Grant Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:37
4TH & 7
OPP 48
0
88.1%
Seamus Hall punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Jalon Kilgore at the SC 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:2988% → 88%
Q1 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
88.4%
South Carolina Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 4:37
2ND & 10
OWN 16
0
88.3%
LaNorris Sellers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:37
3RD & 10
OWN 16
0
88.2%
LaNorris Sellers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:08
4TH & 10
OWN 16
0
87.8%
Kai Kroeger punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Isiah Paige at the ODU 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 1:2512% → 12%
Q1 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
87.6%
Aaron Young run for 2 yds to the ODU 39Similar
Q1 4:08
2ND & 12
OWN 39
+1
87.8%
Aaron Young run for 1 yd to the ODU 40Similar
Q1 4:08
3RD & 11
OWN 40
-5
87.9%
Grant Wilson sacked by Kyle Kennard for a loss of 5 yards to the ODU 35Similar
Q1 2:43
4TH & 16
OWN 35
+38
88.0%
Seamus Hall punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SC 27 South Carolina Penalty, Running Into The Kicker (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 2:43
4TH & 16
OWN 35
+38
88.0%
Seamus Hall punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SC 27 South Carolina Penalty, Running Into The Kicker (Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 2:5488% → 86%
Q1 2:43
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
87.8%
Raheim Sanders run for 2 yds to the SC 29Similar
Q1 2:43
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+8
87.8%
LaNorris Sellers run for 8 yds to the SC 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:43
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+10
87.9%
LaNorris Sellers run for 10 yds to the SC 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:43
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
88.3%
Raheim Sanders run for 1 yd to the SC 48Similar
Q1 2:43
2ND & 9
OWN 48
0
88.3%
LaNorris Sellers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 9
OWN 48
-8
87.1%
LaNorris Sellers sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the SC 40Similar
Q2 14:49
4TH & 17
OWN 40
0
86.4%
Kai Kroeger punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 2:0313% → 13%
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
86.6%
Aaron Young run for 1 yd to the ODU 24Similar
Q2 14:49
2ND & 9
OWN 24
+3
86.6%
Aaron Young run for 3 yds to the ODU 27Similar
Q2 14:49
3RD & 6
OWN 27
-7
86.8%
Grant Wilson sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the ODU 20Similar
Q2 12:46
4TH & 13
OWN 20
0
86.6%
Seamus Hall punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Juju McDowell at the SC 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 10FUMBLE
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
Q2 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
87.0%
LaNorris Sellers run for 5 yds to the SC 9 LaNorris Sellers fumbled, recovered by ODU Patrick Smith-YoungSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 11INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q2 12:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
84.6%
Grant Wilson pass intercepted, touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 12PUNT
11 plays · 39 yds · 4:3986% → 85%
Q2 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
86.2%
Juju McDowell run for 4 yds to the SC 24Similar
Q2 12:28
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+12
86.3%
Juju McDowell run for 12 yds to the SC 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
86.6%
Raheim Sanders run for 2 yds to the SC 38Similar
Q2 12:28
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+7
86.7%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Payton MangrumSimilar
Q2 12:28
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+1
86.7%
Raheim Sanders run for 1 yd to the SC 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
87.1%
LaNorris Sellers run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 12:28
2ND & 6
50
+10
87.1%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Joshua Simon for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:28
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-11
87.2%
South Carolina Penalty, Intentional Grounding (-11 Yards) to the SC 49Similar
Q2 12:28
2ND & 21
OWN 49
+10
86.6%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Raheim SandersSimilar
Q2 12:28
3RD & 11
OPP 41
0
86.6%
LaNorris Sellers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:49
4TH & 11
OPP 41
0
85.0%
Kai Kroeger punt for 41 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 1:4316% → 14%
Q2 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-10
84.5%
Grant Wilson sacked by Dylan Stewart for a loss of 10 yards to the ODU 10 Grant Wilson fumbled, recovered by ODU Grant Wilson , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 7:49
2ND & 20
OWN 10
0
84.7%
Grant Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:49
3RD & 20
OWN 10
+3
85.1%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Diante VinesSimilar
Q2 6:06
4TH & 17
OWN 13
+13
86.1%
Seamus Hall punt for 41 yds , Juju McDowell returns for 13 yds to the ODU 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 14FG
7 plays · 13 yds · 2:0487% → 87%
Q2 6:06
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+16
86.6%
Jared Brown run for 16 yds to the ODU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:06
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
86.7%
Oscar Adaway III run for 3 yds to the ODU 22Similar
Q2 6:06
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+1
86.7%
Oscar Adaway III run for 1 yd to the ODU 23Similar
Q2 6:06
3RD & 8
OPP 23
0
86.3%
LaNorris Sellers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:06
4TH & 8
OPP 23
-5
85.6%
No Huddle Kroeger,Kai pass complete deep right to Hunt,Brady caught at ODU00, for 23 yards to the ODU00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 00:00 PENALTY USC Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Simpkins,Torricelli) 5 yards from ODU23 to ODU28. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:02
4TH & 13
OPP 28
+46
87.2%
Alex Herrera 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 15PUNT
13 plays · 20 yds · 2:5613% → 12%
Q2 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
86.7%
Bryce Duke run for 1 yd to the ODU 26Similar
Q2 4:02
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+3
86.7%
Bryce Duke run for 3 yds to the ODU 29Similar
Q2 4:02
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+7
86.9%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Pat Conroy for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
86.3%
Grant Wilson run for 6 yds to the ODU 42Similar
Q2 4:02
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+1
85.7%
Bryce Duke run for 1 yd to the ODU 43Similar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+6
86.7%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Isiah Paige for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-8
86.2%
Grant Wilson sacked by Tonka Hemingway for a loss of 8 yards to the ODU 41Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 18
OWN 41
0
87.4%
Grant Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 18
OWN 41
+4
87.6%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Bryce DukeSimilar
Q2 1:06
4TH & 14
OWN 45
0
87.7%
Seamus Hall punt for 47 yds , Juju McDowell returns for no gain to the SC 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 16END OF HALF
3 plays · 12 yds · 1:0685% → 84%
Q2 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+4
85.4%
Raheim Sanders run for 4 yds to the SC 9Similar
Q2 1:06
2ND & 6
OWN 9
+4
85.3%
LaNorris Sellers run for 4 yds to the SC 13Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 2
OWN 13
+4
84.1%
LaNorris Sellers run for 4 yds to the SC 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 17FG
17 plays · 60 yds · 7:4786% → 87%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
85.6%
LaNorris Sellers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
85.5%
LaNorris Sellers run for 7 yds to the SC 32Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+2
85.4%
Raheim Sanders run for 2 yds to the SC 34Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+12
84.8%
Raheim Sanders run for 12 yds to the SC 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
86.8%
LaNorris Sellers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+4
86.3%
Raheim Sanders run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
50
+6
86.2%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Dalevon Campbell for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
86.9%
LaNorris Sellers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+4
86.8%
LaNorris Sellers run for 4 yds to the ODU 40Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 40
+18
86.4%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Vandrevius Jacobs for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+3
87.0%
Raheim Sanders run for 3 yds to the ODU 19Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 19
+9
87.0%
LaNorris Sellers run for 9 yds to the ODU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
87.0%
Raheim Sanders run for 2 yds to the ODU 8Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
87.0%
Oscar Adaway III run for 2 yds to the ODU 10Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
-5
86.5%
LaNorris Sellers sacked by Mario Thompson for a loss of 5 yards to the ODU 15Similar
Q3 7:13
4TH & GOAL
OPP 15
+33
87.4%
Alex Herrera 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 18TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 2:1612% → 24%
Q3 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
87.8%
Aaron Young run for 3 yds to the ODU 28Similar
Q3 7:13
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
87.6%
Old Dominion Penalty, Offensive Holding (Angelo Rankin Jr.) declinedSimilar
Q3 7:13
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+18
88.3%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Myles Alston for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
86.7%
Aaron Young run for 5 yds to the SC 49Similar
Q3 7:13
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+10
86.4%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Myles Alston for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:13
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
86.3%
Grant Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:13
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+3
86.4%
Aaron Young run for 3 yds to the SC 36Similar
Q3 7:13
3RD & 7
OPP 36
0
86.6%
Grant Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:57
4TH & 7
OPP 36
+36
75.7%
Grant Wilson run for 36 yds for a TD (Ethan Sanchez PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 19MISSED FG
7 plays · 63 yds · 2:4677% → 77%
Q3 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+2
77.4%
Raheim Sanders run for 2 yds to the SC 5Similar
Q3 4:49
2ND & 12
OWN 5
+21
77.2%
Raheim Sanders run for 21 yds to the SC 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+41
77.9%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Vandrevius Jacobs for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:49
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
81.2%
LaNorris Sellers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:49
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+3
81.2%
Raheim Sanders run for 3 yds to the ODU 30Similar
Q3 4:49
3RD & 7
OPP 30
0
80.1%
LaNorris Sellers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:03
4TH & 7
OPP 30
+48
77.1%
Alex Herrera 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 20FG
9 plays · 47 yds · 1:4925% → 37%
Q3 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
75.4%
Grant Wilson run for 4 yds to the ODU 34Similar
Q3 2:03
2ND & 6
OWN 34
0
74.6%
Grant Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:03
3RD & 6
OWN 34
+15
76.0%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Isiah Paige for a 1ST down South Carolina Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Nick Emmanwori) to the SC 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:03
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+15
71.9%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Pat Conroy for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:03
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
70.1%
Bryce Duke run for 2 yds to the SC 23Similar
Q3 2:03
2ND & 8
OPP 23
0
70.1%
Grant Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:03
3RD & 8
OPP 23
0
72.3%
Grant Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:14
4TH & 8
OPP 23
+40
63.3%
Ethan Sanchez 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:5969% → 66%
Q3 0:12
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
68.6%
LaNorris Sellers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+2
68.2%
Raheim Sanders run for 2 yds to the SC 19Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 19
+10
66.3%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Mazeo Bennett Jr.Similar
Q4 14:13
4TH & 2
OWN 29
0
66.1%
Kai Kroeger punt blocked by Markus Knight blocked by Markus Knight Kroeger,Kai punt 0 yards to the USC29 blocked by Knight,Markus recovered by ODU Carter,Jerome at ODU42, End Of Play.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 22FG
17 plays · 42 yds · 4:1939% → 59%
Q4 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
60.9%
Aaron Young run for 5 yds to the ODU 47Similar
Q4 14:13
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+4
60.2%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Myles AlstonSimilar
Q4 14:13
3RD & 1
OPP 49
+5
59.8%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Myles Alston for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:13
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+7
59.4%
Aaron Young run for 7 yds to the SC 37Similar
Q4 14:13
2ND & 3
OPP 37
0
58.8%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Isiah PaigeSimilar
Q4 12:53
3RD & 3
OPP 37
+8
57.0%
Grant Wilson run for 8 yds to the SC 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:53
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
54.8%
Grant Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:53
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+8
55.7%
Aaron Young run for 8 yds to the SC 21Similar
Q4 12:53
3RD & 2
OPP 21
+2
56.8%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Diante Vines for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:53
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
54.8%
Aaron Young run for no gain to the SC 19Similar
Q4 12:53
2ND & 10
OPP 19
-10
55.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun Wilson,Grant pass incomplete short right to Paige,Isiah thrown to USC00 QB hurried by Stewart,Dylan PENALTY ODU Holding 10 yards from USC19 to USC29. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:53
2ND & 20
OPP 29
+13
57.5%
Bryce Duke run for 13 yds to the SC 16Similar
Q4 12:53
3RD & 7
OPP 16
0
56.8%
Grant Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:54
4TH & 7
OPP 16
+33
41.2%
Ethan Sanchez 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 23PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 1:5444% → 41%
Q4 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+8
44.1%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Mazeo Bennett Jr.Similar
Q4 9:46
2ND & 2
OWN 42
+7
48.0%
Raheim Sanders run for 7 yds to the SC 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
48.3%
Raheim Sanders run for no gain to the SC 49Similar
Q4 9:46
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+7
47.4%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Michael SmithSimilar
Q4 9:46
3RD & 3
OPP 44
0
48.5%
LaNorris Sellers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:46
4TH & 3
OPP 44
-5
45.6%
PENALTY USC False Start (Thompson,Josiah) 5 yards from ODU44 to ODU49. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:52
4TH & 8
OPP 49
0
40.8%
Kai Kroeger punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Isiah Paige at the ODU 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 24FUMBLE
4 plays · -4 yds · 1:0462% → 64%
Q4 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+3
37.8%
Grant Wilson run for 3 yds to the ODU 7 Grant Wilson fumbled, recovered by ODU Grant WilsonSimilar
Q4 7:52
2ND & 13
OWN 7
-3
38.9%
PENALTY ODU False Start (Flores,Michael) 3 yards from ODU07 to ODU04. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:48
2ND & 16
OWN 4
+2
36.0%
Grant Wilson run for 2 yds to the ODU 6 Grant Wilson fumbled, recovered by SC DeAndre JulesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 25TD
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:3749% → 83%
Q4 6:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
48.7%
Raheim Sanders run for 3 yds to the ODU 3Similar
Q4 6:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
82.5%
LaNorris Sellers run for 3 yds for a TD (Alex Herrera KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 26PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 2:1429% → 24%
Q4 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+4
71.3%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Diante VinesSimilar
Q4 6:05
2ND & 6
OWN 12
+4
71.2%
Aaron Young run for 4 yds to the ODU 16Similar
Q4 6:05
3RD & 2
OWN 16
+3
72.9%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Myles Alston for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+7
70.4%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Isiah PaigeSimilar
Q4 6:05
2ND & 3
OWN 26
+1
68.5%
Aaron Young run for 1 yd to the ODU 27Similar
Q4 6:05
3RD & 2
OWN 27
0
70.6%
Grant Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:51
4TH & 2
OWN 27
0
76.4%
Seamus Hall punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Jalon Kilgore at the SC 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 27PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 1:0182% → 85%
Q4 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
82.3%
LaNorris Sellers run for 6 yds to the SC 35Similar
Q4 3:51
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+1
83.1%
Raheim Sanders run for 1 yd to the SC 36Similar
Q4 3:04
3RD & 3
OWN 36
+2
85.5%
LaNorris Sellers run for 2 yds to the SC 34Similar
Q4 2:50
4TH & 5
OWN 34
0
84.6%
Kai Kroeger punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Isiah Paige at the ODU 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 28INT
8 plays · 31 yds · 1:2116% → 20%
Q4 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
84.5%
Aaron Young run for 4 yds to the ODU 14Similar
Q4 2:50
2ND & 6
OWN 14
+3
84.6%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Isiah PaigeSimilar
Q4 2:50
3RD & 3
OWN 17
+5
85.7%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Isiah Paige for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
84.2%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Aaron YoungSimilar
Q4 1:53
2ND & 4
OWN 28
+10
81.6%
Aaron Young run for 10 yds to the ODU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
80.9%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Aaron YoungSimilar
Q4 1:29
2ND & 7
OWN 41
0
80.2%
Grant Wilson pass intercepted Jalon Kilgore return for no gain to the SC 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 29END OF GAME
6 plays · -19 yds · 1:2993% → 96%
Q4 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-5
93.2%
Kneel down by South Carolina at USC43 for loss of 5 yards.Similar
Q4 1:27
2ND & 15
OWN 43
-8
93.0%
Kneel down by South Carolina at USC35 for loss of 8 yards.Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 23
OWN 35
-6
95.5%
Kneel down by South Carolina at USC29 for loss of 6 yards.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 6:11
LaNorris Sellers run for 3 yds for a TD (Alex Herrera KICK)
+33.8
FG · Q4 9:54
Ethan Sanchez 33 yd FG GOOD
-15.6
TD · Q3 4:57
Grant Wilson run for 36 yds for a TD (Ethan Sanchez PAT BLOCKED)
-10.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com