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WKU

Western Kentucky 38 at Old Dominion 35

ODU
2023 · Famous Toastery Bowl · Dec 18, 2023 · Jerry Richardson Stadium
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Win probability · ODU
modelODU aheadWKU aheadconfidence bandkey playODU scoreWKU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 2:01 · Ian Brandt punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WKU 25
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remainingDefense timeouts
+28.5+14.30−14.3−28.5Q1Q2Q3Q4OTPlay 74Home team on offense+18.5Score differential+13.7Garbage-time factor+6.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.4Time remaining+0.1Defense timeouts+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:14: Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Dalvin Smith for 14 yds for a TD (Lucas Carneiro KICK) — WKU win probability +8.3 pts (now 20%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 10:24: Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Dalvin Smith for 18 yds for a TD (Lucas Carneiro KICK) — WKU win probability +10.6 pts (now 19%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 9:42: Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Dalvin Smith for 14 yds for a TD (Lucas Carneiro KICK) — WKU win probability +12.1 pts (now 19%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 0:19: Caden Veltkamp pass complete to K.D. Hutchinson for 15 yds for a TD (Lucas Carneiro KICK) — WKU win probability +37.5 pts (now 49%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  5. FG · OT 0:00: Lucas Carneiro 29 yd FG GOOD — WKU win probability +29.4 pts (now 88%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ODU made the numbers' call on 3 of 5WKU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q2 7:12ODU 4th & 7 at ODU 28, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.1%−0.8
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.9%
    average punt
  2. Q2 3:40WKU 4th & 12 at WKU 36, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.7%−1.3
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.0%
    average punt
  3. Q2 2:01ODU 4th & 1 at ODU 34, up 21
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsPunted · 89.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.6%−1.3
    average punt
  4. Q3 9:10ODU 4th & 6 at ODU 32, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.2%−1.4
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.6%
    average punt
  5. Q3 7:09WKU 4th & 10 at WKU 31, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.2%−2.0
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.3%
    average punt
  6. Q4 7:51ODU 4th & 12 at ODU 23, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.1%−4.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.3%
    average punt
  7. Q4 2:53ODU 4th & 5 at WKU 30, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 92.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.5%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.4%−0.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    91.0%−1.5
    average punt
  8. Q4 0:19WKU 4th & 15 at ODU 15, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.1%
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    9.6%−2.5
    83% to make
    Punt
    6.0%−6.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ODU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5WKU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 12:59ODU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 9:06ODU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 7:54ODU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 13:38ODU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 8:14WKU Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    14.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    14.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 10:24WKU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    16.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    16.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 3:04ODU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 14:09WKU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 9:42WKU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    14.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    14.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 0:19WKU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.7%−2.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ODUDrive 1TD
7 plays · 89 yds · 1:4952% → 53%
Q1 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
51.9%
Keshawn Wicks run for no gain to the ODU 11Similar
Q1 14:48
2ND & 10
OWN 11
-5
51.9%
Old Dominion Penalty, False Start (Chris Adams) to the ODU 6Similar
Q1 14:12
2ND & 15
OWN 6
+11
52.0%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Kelby Williams for 11 yds to the ODU 17Similar
Q1 13:34
3RD & 4
OWN 17
+79
52.0%
Grant Wilson run for 79 yds to the WKU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
52.4%
Keshawn Wicks run for 3 yds to the WKU 1Similar
Q1 12:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
53.2%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Isiah Paige for 1 yd for a TD (Ethan Sanchez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 2FUMBLE
7 plays · -1 yds · 2:1947% → 46%
Q1 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
53.1%
Turner Helton pass complete to Dalvin Smith for 2 yds to the WKU 27Similar
Q1 12:19
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+7
53.2%
Turner Helton pass complete to Malachi Corley for 7 yds to the WKU 34Similar
Q1 11:48
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
53.4%
Elijah Young run for 1 yd to the WKU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:18
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
53.6%
Elijah Young run for no gain to the WKU 35Similar
Q1 10:55
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+6
53.9%
Turner Helton pass complete to Malachi Corley for 6 yds to the WKU 41Similar
Q1 10:22
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+7
53.9%
Turner Helton sacked by Denzel Lowry for a loss of 17 yards to the WKU 24. Turner Helton fumbled, forced by Denzel Lowry, recovered by ODU LaMareon James, return for 7 yds to the WKU 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 3TD
4 plays · 17 yds · 0:5555% → 58%
Q1 10:01
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
55.2%
Ahmarian Granger run for 2 yds to the WKU 15Similar
Q1 9:43
2ND & 8
OPP 15
+2
55.4%
Kadarius Calloway run for 2 yds to the WKU 13Similar
Q1 9:28
3RD & 6
OPP 13
+8
55.4%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Ahmarian Granger for 3 yds to the WKU 10 for a 1ST down Western Kentucky Penalty, Personal Foul (Virgil Marshall) to the WKU 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
58.0%
Kadarius Calloway run for 5 yds for a TD (Ethan Sanchez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 4INT TD
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:5443% → 38%
Q1 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
57.3%
Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 6 yds to the WKU 31Similar
Q1 8:19
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-2
57.5%
Elijah Young run for a loss of 2 yards to the WKU 29Similar
Q1 7:54
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-30
62.4%
Turner Helton pass intercepted Kris Caine return for 30 yds for a TD (Ethan Sanchez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 5FUMBLE
13 plays · 53 yds · 5:5437% → 30%
Q1 7:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
62.7%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Elijah Young for 4 yds to the WKU 29Similar
Q1 7:23
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+4
63.1%
Elijah Young run for 4 yds to the WKU 33Similar
Q1 6:43
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+3
63.8%
Caden Veltkamp run for 3 yds to the WKU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
64.6%
Caden Veltkamp run for 4 yds to the WKU 40Similar
Q1 5:49
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+6
65.0%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Craig Burt Jr. for 6 yds to the WKU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
66.1%
Old Dominion Penalty, Defensive Offside (Cole Daniels) to the ODU 49Similar
Q1 4:36
1ST & 5
OPP 49
-9
66.1%
Caden Veltkamp sacked by Mario Thompson for a loss of 9 yards to the WKU 42Similar
Q1 4:04
2ND & 14
OWN 42
+9
67.3%
Caden Veltkamp run for 9 yds to the ODU 49Similar
Q1 3:41
3RD & 5
OPP 49
+13
68.3%
Old Dominion Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (LaMareon James) to the ODU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:02
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+9
68.9%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Malachi Corley for 9 yds to the ODU 27Similar
Q1 2:38
2ND & 1
OPP 27
+2
69.1%
Caden Veltkamp run for 2 yds to the ODU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:53
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
70.0%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Craig Burt Jr. for 3 yds Craig Burt Jr. fumbled, forced by LaMareon James, recovered by ODU Jahlil TaylorSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 6TD
10 plays · 81 yds · 2:5571% → 85%
Q1 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+18
70.7%
Keshawn Wicks run for 18 yds to the ODU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
71.7%
Grant Wilson pass incomplete to Keshawn WicksSimilar
Q1 1:08
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+7
71.5%
Keshawn Wicks run for 7 yds to the ODU 44Similar
Q1 0:58
3RD & 3
OWN 44
+11
72.3%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Dominic Dutton for 11 yds to the WKU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:05
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
74.0%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Jalen Butler for 4 yds to the WKU 41Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+11
74.1%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Isiah Paige for 11 yds to the WKU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:27
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+10
75.1%
Devin Roche run for 10 yds to the WKU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:02
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
76.6%
Grant Wilson pass incomplete to Isiah PaigeSimilar
Q2 13:48
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+9
76.9%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Dominic Dutton for 9 yds to the WKU 11Similar
Q2 13:38
3RD & 1
OPP 11
+11
84.8%
Grant Wilson run for 11 yds for a TD (Ethan Sanchez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 7TD
11 plays · 77 yds · 5:0314% → 20%
Q2 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-1
86.3%
L.T. Sanders run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKU 22Similar
Q2 12:49
2ND & 11
OWN 22
+5
86.8%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to River Helms for 5 yds to the WKU 27Similar
Q2 12:04
3RD & 6
OWN 27
+30
87.4%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Easton Messer for 30 yds to the ODU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:37
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
86.9%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Malachi Corley for 4 yds to the ODU 39Similar
Q2 11:03
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+10
86.9%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Easton Messer for 10 yds to the ODU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:38
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
87.1%
Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for no gain to the ODU 29Similar
Q2 10:18
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+10
87.6%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Jimmy Holiday for 10 yds to the ODU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:41
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
88.0%
Caden Veltkamp run for 2 yds to the ODU 17Similar
Q2 9:05
2ND & 8
OPP 17
+3
88.5%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Dalvin Smith for 3 yds to the ODU 14Similar
Q2 8:14
3RD & 5
OPP 14
+14
80.3%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Dalvin Smith for 14 yds for a TD (Lucas Carneiro KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 0:4983% → 83%
Q2 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
83.4%
Kadarius Calloway run for 3 yds to the ODU 28Similar
Q2 7:47
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+5
83.7%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Kelby Williams for 5 yds to the ODU 33Similar
Q2 7:22
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
84.3%
Grant Wilson pass incomplete to Dominic DuttonSimilar
Q2 7:22
4TH & 2
OWN 33
-5
83.7%
Old Dominion Penalty, False Start (LaMareon James) to the ODU 28Similar
Q2 7:12
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
83.4%
Ian Brandt punt for 64 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WKU 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 28 yds · 3:1817% → 14%
Q2 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+4
83.3%
Caden Veltkamp run for 4 yds to the WKU 12Similar
Q2 6:16
2ND & 6
OWN 12
+3
83.7%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Dalvin Smith for 3 yds to the WKU 15Similar
Q2 5:31
3RD & 3
OWN 15
+23
84.4%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Jimmy Holiday for 23 yds to the WKU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:08
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
83.8%
Caden Veltkamp run for 2 yds to the WKU 40Similar
Q2 4:25
2ND & 8
OWN 40
0
85.1%
Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete to Marvin SimsSimilar
Q2 4:08
3RD & 8
OWN 40
-4
85.6%
Caden Veltkamp sacked by Kris Caine for a loss of 4 yards to the WKU 36Similar
Q2 3:40
4TH & 12
OWN 36
0
86.5%
Cory Munson punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Isiah Paige at the ODU 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:3388% → 89%
Q2 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
88.0%
Grant Wilson pass incomplete to Isiah PaigeSimilar
Q2 3:30
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
88.0%
Grant Wilson pass incomplete to Jalen ButlerSimilar
Q2 3:16
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
87.9%
Wilson, Grant pass complete to Wicks, Keshawn for 10 yards to the ODU35, PENALTY ODU ineligible downfield on pass (Dubose-Bourne, Stephon) off-setting, PENALTY WESTERNKY Substitution Infraction off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:48
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+9
88.0%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Isiah Paige for 9 yds to the ODU 34Similar
Q2 2:01
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
88.5%
Ian Brandt punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WKU 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 11INT
7 plays · 26 yds · 1:4012% → 12%
Q2 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
87.8%
Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 5 yds to the WKU 30Similar
Q2 1:05
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
87.8%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Easton Messer for 4 yds to the WKU 34Similar
Q2 0:48
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+5
88.0%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Davion Ervin-Poindexter for 5 yds to the WKU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
88.0%
Caden Veltkamp run for 5 yds to the WKU 44Similar
Q2 0:21
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+7
87.9%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Easton Messer for 7 yds to the ODU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:04
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-40
88.3%
Caden Veltkamp pass intercepted Tahj Ra-El return for 40 yds to the WKU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q2 0:04
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+47
91.9%
Ethan Sanchez 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 13TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:2511% → 19%
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
89.3%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Dalvin Smith for 3 yds to the WKU 28Similar
Q3 14:28
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
89.1%
Elijah Young run for 6 yds to the WKU 34Similar
Q3 13:53
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+28
89.4%
Caden Veltkamp run for 28 yds to the ODU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:17
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
89.5%
Caden Veltkamp run for 2 yds to the ODU 36Similar
Q3 12:41
2ND & 8
OPP 36
+7
89.9%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Elijah Young for 7 yds to the ODU 29Similar
Q3 12:02
3RD & 1
OPP 29
0
90.2%
Caden Veltkamp pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:48
4TH & 1
OPP 29
+12
90.8%
Veltkamp, Caden pass incomplete to Borland, Trevor, PENALTY ODU pass interference 12 yards to the ODU17, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WESTERNKY.Similar
Q3 11:37
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-1
90.5%
Elijah Young run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 18Similar
Q3 10:58
2ND & 11
OPP 18
0
91.3%
Elijah Young run for no gain to the ODU 18Similar
Q3 10:24
3RD & 11
OPP 18
+18
80.6%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Dalvin Smith for 18 yds for a TD (Lucas Carneiro KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:5285% → 84%
Q3 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
84.6%
Keshawn Wicks run for 2 yds to the ODU 30Similar
Q3 9:43
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+2
84.8%
Keshawn Wicks run for 2 yds to the ODU 32Similar
Q3 9:26
3RD & 6
OWN 32
0
84.5%
Grant Wilson pass incomplete to Isiah PaigeSimilar
Q3 9:10
4TH & 6
OWN 32
0
84.1%
Ian Brandt punt for 48 yds, downed at the WKU 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 11 yds · 1:4817% → 15%
Q3 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
83.4%
Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 3 yds to the WKU 23Similar
Q3 8:24
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+8
83.7%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to River Helms for 8 yds to the WKU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
83.1%
Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete to Jimmy HolidaySimilar
Q3 8:09
2ND & 10
OWN 31
-5
83.8%
Western Kentucky Penalty, False Start (Easton Messer) to the WKU 26Similar
Q3 8:00
2ND & 15
OWN 26
0
84.2%
Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete to Davion Ervin-PoindexterSimilar
Q3 7:53
3RD & 15
OWN 26
+5
84.7%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Davion Ervin-Poindexter for 5 yds to the WKU 31Similar
Q3 7:09
4TH & 10
OWN 31
0
85.3%
Cory Munson punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Isiah Paige at the ODU 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 16TD
9 plays · 72 yds · 3:4788% → 97%
Q3 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-1
87.6%
Kadarius Calloway run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 27Similar
Q3 6:33
2ND & 11
OWN 27
+7
87.6%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Kelby Williams for 7 yds to the ODU 34Similar
Q3 6:12
3RD & 4
OWN 34
+42
87.5%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Isiah Paige for 42 yds to the WKU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:55
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+6
89.1%
Kadarius Calloway run for 6 yds to the WKU 18Similar
Q3 5:19
2ND & 4
OPP 18
-1
89.4%
Kadarius Calloway run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKU 19Similar
Q3 4:36
3RD & 5
OPP 19
+6
89.6%
Grant Wilson run for 6 yds to the WKU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:55
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
90.5%
Grant Wilson pass incomplete to Isiah PaigeSimilar
Q3 3:28
2ND & 10
OPP 13
-8
90.7%
Isiah Paige run for a loss of 8 yards to the WKU 21Similar
Q3 3:04
3RD & 18
OPP 21
+21
96.9%
Grant Wilson run for 21 yds for a TD (Ethan Sanchez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 17TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:554% → 9%
Q3 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
96.4%
Western Kentucky Penalty, False Start (Colten Cable) to the WKU 20Similar
Q3 2:56
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+6
96.5%
Elijah Young run for 6 yds to the WKU 26Similar
Q3 2:34
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+9
96.5%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Dalvin Smith for 9 yds to the WKU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
96.7%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Craig Burt Jr. for 6 yds to the WKU 41Similar
Q3 1:42
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+5
96.8%
Caden Veltkamp run for 5 yds to the WKU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+11
97.3%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Dalvin Smith for 11 yds to the ODU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:15
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
97.6%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Craig Burt Jr. for 6 yds to the ODU 37Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 37
0
97.4%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Craig Burt Jr. for no gain to the ODU 37Similar
Q4 14:09
3RD & 4
OPP 37
+37
90.8%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Elijah Young for 37 yds for a TD (Lucas Carneiro KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 18INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q4 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+7
93.7%
Grant Wilson pass intercepted Anthony Johnson Jr. return for a loss of 7 yards to the WKU 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 19TD
10 plays · 69 yds · 3:508% → 19%
Q4 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
91.6%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Davion Ervin-Poindexter for no gain to the WKU 31Similar
Q4 13:13
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+30
92.1%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Jimmy Holiday for 30 yds to the ODU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:54
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
91.4%
Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 6 yds to the ODU 33Similar
Q4 12:21
2ND & 4
OPP 33
+6
90.6%
Caden Veltkamp run for 6 yds to the ODU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
91.6%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to River Helms for 2 yds to the ODU 25Similar
Q4 11:10
2ND & 8
OPP 25
0
91.9%
Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete to Davion Ervin-PoindexterSimilar
Q4 10:51
3RD & 8
OPP 25
+7
92.8%
Veltkamp, Caden pass incomplete to Smith, Dalvin, PENALTY ODU pass interference 7 yards to the ODU18, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WESTERNKY.Similar
Q4 10:32
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
92.7%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Easton Messer for 3 yds to the ODU 15Similar
Q4 10:14
2ND & 7
OPP 15
+1
92.8%
Caden Veltkamp run for 1 yd to the ODU 14Similar
Q4 9:42
3RD & 6
OPP 14
+14
80.7%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Dalvin Smith for 14 yds for a TD (Lucas Carneiro KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 1:4288% → 87%
Q4 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
87.5%
Keshawn Wicks run for 1 yd to the ODU 26Similar
Q4 9:01
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+7
87.5%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Reymello Murphy for 7 yds to the ODU 33Similar
Q4 8:17
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-10
88.4%
Wicks, Keshawn rush for 37 yards to the WESTERNKY30, PENALTY ODU holding (Adams, Chris) 10 yards to the ODU23, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:56
3RD & 12
OWN 23
0
87.8%
Grant Wilson pass incomplete to Isiah PaigeSimilar
Q4 7:51
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
87.2%
Ian Brandt punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Easton Messer at the WKU 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 21FUMBLE
6 plays · 20 yds · 2:3315% → 13%
Q4 7:47
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
84.7%
Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete to Easton MesserSimilar
Q4 7:31
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+10
86.5%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to River Helms for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:08
1ST & 10
50
+5
84.3%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Craig Burt Jr. for 5 yds to the ODU 45Similar
Q4 6:33
2ND & 5
OPP 45
-5
85.2%
Western Kentucky Penalty, False Start (Wes Dorsey) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 5:58
2ND & 10
50
+1
86.5%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Easton Messer for 1 yd to the ODU 49Similar
Q4 5:14
3RD & 9
OPP 49
+9
87.3%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Craig Burt Jr. for 9 yds Craig Burt Jr. fumbled, forced by Wayne Matthews III, recovered by ODU Markus Knight , return for 25 yds to the WKU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 22MISSED FG
5 plays · 5 yds · 2:0393% → 94%
Q4 4:56
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-1
93.4%
Keshawn Wicks run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKU 36Similar
Q4 4:24
2ND & 11
OPP 36
+3
94.0%
Keshawn Wicks run for 3 yds to the WKU 33Similar
Q4 3:49
3RD & 8
OPP 33
+3
94.5%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Dominic Dutton for 3 yds to the WKU 30Similar
Q4 2:53
4TH & 5
OPP 30
+47
94.2%
Ethan Sanchez 47 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Marshall Jackson Sanchez, Ethan field goal attempt from 47 blocked, recovered by ODU Saunders, Santana at WESTERNKY36 spot at WESTERNKY36, clock 02:53 (blocked by Jackson, Marshall).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 23TD
11 plays · 64 yds · 2:1811% → 49%
Q4 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
89.4%
Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 4 yds to the WKU 40Similar
Q4 2:26
2ND & 6
OWN 40
0
88.6%
Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete to Lucas CarneiroSimilar
Q4 1:58
3RD & 6
OWN 40
+45
89.9%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Jimmy Holiday for 30 yds to the ODU 30 for a 1ST down Old Dominion Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (TEAM) to the ODU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:34
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
83.4%
Caden Veltkamp run for 2 yds to the ODU 13Similar
Q4 1:15
2ND & 8
OPP 13
0
83.7%
Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete to Elijah YoungSimilar
Q4 1:08
3RD & 8
OPP 13
+7
86.1%
Veltkamp, Caden pass incomplete to Messer, Easton, PENALTY ODU holding (Knight, Markus) 7 yards to the ODU6, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WESTERNKY.Similar
Q4 0:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
83.8%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to River Helms for 1 yd to the ODU 5Similar
Q4 0:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
83.9%
Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete to Dalvin SmithSimilar
Q4 0:24
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
-10
85.3%
Caden Veltkamp sacked by Wayne Matthews III for a loss of 10 yards to the ODU 15Similar
Q4 0:19
4TH & GOAL
OPP 15
+15
51.5%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to K.D. Hutchinson for 15 yds for a TD (Lucas Carneiro KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 24END OF GAME
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:0059% → 59%
Q4 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
59.0%
Keshawn Wicks run for 2 yds to the ODU 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 25MISSED FG
10 plays · 19 yds · 0:0066% → 61%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-4
65.6%
Grant Wilson sacked by Kylan Guidry for a loss of 4 yards to the WKU 29Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 14
OPP 29
+1
62.9%
Kadarius Calloway run for 1 yd to the WKU 28Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 13
OPP 28
+13
59.8%
Grant Wilson run for 13 yds to the WKU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
65.6%
Kadarius Calloway run for 3 yds to the WKU 12Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 12
+11
65.6%
Kadarius Calloway run for 11 yds to the WKU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
65.6%
Kadarius Calloway run for no gain to the WKU 1Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
65.6%
Grant Wilson run for no gain to the WKU 1Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
63.3%
Grant Wilson run for no gain to the WKU 1Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & 0
OPP 1
-5
60.2%
Old Dominion Penalty, False Start (Leroy Thomas) to the WKU 6Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & 0
OPP 6
+23
60.5%
Ethan Sanchez 23 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Talique Allen Sanchez, Ethan field goal attempt from 23 blocked, recovered by WESTERNKY Williams, Davion at WESTERNKY6 spot at WESTERNKY6, clock 15:00 (blocked by Allen, Talique).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 26FG
6 plays · 14 yds · 0:0059% → 88%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
41.1%
Caden Veltkamp run for no gain to the ODU 25Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
0
41.7%
Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete to Dalvin SmithSimilar
OT 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 25
+13
44.3%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Easton Messer for 13 yds to the ODU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
41.1%
Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete to Easton MesserSimilar
OT 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+1
41.1%
Caden Veltkamp run for 1 yd to the ODU 11Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 9
OPP 11
+29
11.7%
Lucas Carneiro 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:19
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to K.D. Hutchinson for 15 yds for a TD (Lucas Carneiro KICK)
-37.5
FG · OT 0:00
Lucas Carneiro 29 yd FG GOOD
-29.4
TD · Q4 9:42
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Dalvin Smith for 14 yds for a TD (Lucas Carneiro KICK)
-12.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com