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AF

Air Force 13 at Hawai'i 27

HAW
2023 · Week 11 · Nov 11, 2023 · Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex
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Win probability · HAW
modelHAW aheadAF aheadconfidence bandkey playHAW scoreAF score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDFGEnd of GameFG-4.2HAW 89.7%Matthew Dapore 21 yd FG GOODAWAY 13 - HOME 27 · Q4 6:20
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 6:20 · Matthew Dapore 21 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+39.5+19.80−19.8−39.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 115Pregame prior−5.4Home team on offense+20.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.8Score differential+7.7Garbage-time factor+6.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.9
This game in five plays
  1. KEY PLAY · Q2 5:07: John Lee Eldridge III run for 6 yds to the HAW 8 for a 1ST down — HAW win probability +10.6 pts (now 31%) (top driver: AF has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:02: Brayden Schager run for 1 yd for a TD (Matthew Shipley PAT MISSED) — HAW win probability +7.1 pts (now 46%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 12:46: Dylan Carson run for 35 yds for a TD (Matthew Dapore KICK) — AF win probability +10.6 pts (now 69%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  4. TD · Q3 7:20: Brayden Schager pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 19 yds for a TD (Matthew Shipley KICK) — HAW win probability +16.9 pts (now 62%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 11:09: Meki Pei 32 Yd Fumble Return (Matthew Shipley Kick) — HAW win probability +20.6 pts (now 92%) (top driver: AF has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
HAW made the numbers' call on 2 of 5AF made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 4:46AF 4th & 8 at AF 41, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.8%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 0:00HAW 4th & 3 at AF 31, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 21.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    21.0%−0.4
    54% to make
    Punt
    20.6%−0.8
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00AF 4th & 1 at AF 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 79.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    79.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    78.7%−0.7
    average punt
  4. Q2 3:11AF 4th & 8 at HAW 8, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 66.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.5%−0.7
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    65.2%
    90% to make
    Punt
    59.2%−5.9
    average punt
  5. Q3 3:59AF 4th & 10 at HAW 10, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 36.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.2%−2.2
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    35.4%
    88% to make
    Punt
    22.4%−13.0
    average punt
  6. Q4 14:12HAW 4th & 5 at AF 42, up 10
    Close callPunted · 73.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.5%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    72.7%−1.8
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    73.6%−0.8
    average punt
  7. Q4 6:20AF 4th & 4 at HAW 4, down 17
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsKicked a field goal · 4.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    4.5%−1.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    1.0%−4.6
    average punt
  8. Q4 5:12HAW 4th & 12 at HAW 23, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.0%−1.3
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.3%
    average punt
  9. Q4 4:03HAW 4th & 3 at HAW 39, up 14
    Close callPunted · 96.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.9%−0.2
    average punt
  10. Q4 0:58HAW 4th & 7 at HAW 15, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.0%−0.6
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.6%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
HAW made the numbers' call on 4 of 4AF made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 7:58HAW Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    14.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    14.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:02HAW Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    45.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 12:46AF Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 7:20HAW Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 11:09HAW Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.0%−0.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
HAWDrive 1TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 7:0211% → 16%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
10.8%
Landon Sims run for 2 yds to the HAW 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+7
10.8%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Alex Perry for 7 yds to the HAW 34Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+5
10.8%
Dalen Morris run for 5 yds to the HAW 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+21
10.8%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Alex Perry for 21 yds to the AFA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
10.8%
Landon Sims run for 2 yds to the AFA 38Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+4
10.8%
Solo Vaipulu run for 4 yds to the AFA 34Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 34
+4
10.8%
Brayden Schager run for 4 yds to the AFA 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
10.8%
Landon Sims run for 1 yd to the AFA 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 29
+8
10.8%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 8 yds to the AFA 21Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 21
+2
10.8%
Dalen Morris run for 2 yds to the AFA 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+14
10.8%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Koali Nishigaya for 14 yds to the AFA 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
15.8%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 5 yds for a TD (Matthew Shipley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 3:1285% → 82%
Q1 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
15.3%
Owen Burk run for 4 yds to the AFA 29Similar
Q1 7:58
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+10
15.2%
Cade Harris run for 10 yds to the AFA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
15.1%
John Lee Eldridge III run for 1 yd to the AFA 40Similar
Q1 7:58
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+1
15.2%
Zac Larrier run for 1 yd to the AFA 41Similar
Q1 7:58
3RD & 8
OWN 41
0
15.2%
Zac Larrier run for no gain to the AFA 41Similar
Q1 4:46
4TH & 8
OWN 41
0
18.0%
Luke Freer punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Koali Nishigaya at the HAW 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 3MISSED FG
9 plays · 41 yds · 4:4618% → 22%
Q1 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
18.0%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 3 yds to the HAW 31Similar
Q1 4:46
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+11
18.0%
David Cordero run for 11 yds to the HAW 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
18.4%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 1 yd to the HAW 43Similar
Q1 4:46
2ND & 9
OWN 43
+9
18.4%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Koali Nishigaya for 9 yds to the AFA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:46
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+10
18.5%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Steven McBride for 10 yds to the AFA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:46
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
18.5%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Steven McBride for 2 yds to the AFA 36Similar
Q1 4:46
2ND & 8
OPP 36
+5
18.5%
Brayden Schager run for 5 yds to the AFA 31Similar
Q1 4:46
3RD & 3
OPP 31
0
18.3%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 3
OPP 31
+48
22.1%
Matthew Shipley 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 4FG
23 plays · 61 yds · 11:4979% → 70%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
21.5%
Owen Burk run for 7 yds to the AFA 38Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 38
+1
20.9%
Owen Burk run for 1 yd to the AFA 39Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 39
+1
21.0%
John Lee Eldridge III run for 1 yd to the AFA 40Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 40
+3
21.7%
Jensen Jones run for 3 yds to the AFA 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
21.2%
John Lee Eldridge III run for 2 yds to the AFA 45Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+2
20.9%
Owen Burk run for 2 yds to the AFA 47Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 47
+3
21.0%
Dylan Carson run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 3
50
+5
21.3%
Hawai'i Penalty, Offsides (Jalen Smith) to the HAW 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
20.7%
Aiden Calvert run for 5 yds to the HAW 40Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+4
20.6%
Dylan Carson run for 4 yds to the HAW 36Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 36
+4
20.6%
Jensen Jones run for 4 yds to the HAW 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
20.2%
Jalen Johnson run for 4 yds to the HAW 28Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 28
+4
20.1%
Dylan Carson run for 4 yds to the HAW 24Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 24
+5
20.6%
Jensen Jones run for 5 yds to the HAW 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
20.1%
Owen Burk run for 3 yds to the HAW 16Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 16
+2
20.1%
Owen Burk run for 2 yds to the HAW 14Similar
Q2 5:07
3RD & 5
OPP 14
+6
30.7%
John Lee Eldridge III run for 6 yds to the HAW 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
28.9%
Dylan Carson run for 2 yds to the HAW 6Similar
Q2 3:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
31.4%
Jensen Jones run for 2 yds to the HAW 4Similar
Q2 3:53
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
-4
32.8%
Cade Harris run for a loss of 4 yards to the HAW 8Similar
Q2 3:11
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+25
30.5%
Matthew Dapore 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 5TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:0932% → 46%
Q2 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
31.7%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Steven McBride for 5 yds to the HAW 30Similar
Q2 3:11
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
32.0%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:11
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+40
31.0%
Brayden Schager run for 40 yds to the AFA 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:11
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-5
34.2%
Brayden Schager sacked by Jayden Goodwin for a loss of 5 yards to the AFA 35Similar
Q2 0:22
2ND & 15
OPP 35
+6
36.7%
Brayden Schager run for 6 yds to the AFA 29Similar
Q2 0:22
3RD & 9
OPP 29
+28
36.6%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Steven McBride for 28 yds to the AFA 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
38.3%
Air Force Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Trey Williams) to the AFA 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
38.5%
Dalen Morris run for no gain to the AFA 1Similar
Q2 0:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
45.6%
Brayden Schager run for 1 yd for a TD (Matthew Shipley PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 6TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:1456% → 69%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
44.1%
Jensen Jones run for 4 yds to the AFA 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
43.4%
Jensen Jones run for 2 yds to the AFA 31Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+7
44.2%
John Lee Eldridge III run for 7 yds to the AFA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+15
42.8%
JONES, Jensen pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for WILSON, Wyatt thrown to the HAW40. PENALTY HAW Pass Interference on STONE, Cameron enforced 15 yards to the HAW47 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+10
41.4%
Hawai'i Penalty, Defensive Holding (Fo'i Sila) to the HAW 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:46
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+35
30.8%
Dylan Carson run for 35 yds for a TD (Matthew Dapore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 7TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 5:2636% → 62%
Q3 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
36.1%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:46
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+19
35.8%
David Cordero run for 19 yds to the HAW 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+11
38.3%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 11 yds to the AFA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:46
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
39.1%
Solo Vaipulu run for 4 yds to the AFA 41Similar
Q3 12:46
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+5
39.1%
David Cordero run for 5 yds to the AFA 36Similar
Q3 12:46
3RD & 1
OPP 36
+4
38.5%
Dalen Morris run for 4 yds to the AFA 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:02
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
44.8%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:02
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+4
44.6%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Jonah Panoke for 4 yds to the AFA 28Similar
Q3 9:02
3RD & 6
OPP 28
+9
43.3%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 9 yds to the AFA 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:02
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
44.8%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:20
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+19
61.6%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 19 yds for a TD (Matthew Shipley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 8MISSED FG
7 plays · 65 yds · 3:2142% → 37%
Q3 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
58.3%
Owen Burk run for 1 yd to the AFA 26Similar
Q3 7:20
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+65
58.5%
Jensen Jones pass complete to Cade Harris for 65 yds to the HAW 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-10
52.0%
ELDRIDGE III, John Lee rush to the left for a gain of 6 yards to the HAW3 (MANUMA, Peter), out of bounds. PENALTY AFA Holding on RILLOS, Caleb enforced 10 yards from the HAW9 to the HAW19. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 7:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 19
+5
52.9%
Jensen Jones run for 5 yds to the HAW 14 Jensen Jones fumbled, recovered by AFA John Lee Eldridge III QB Keeper JONES, Jensen rush up the middle for a gain of 5 yards, JONES, Jensen fumbled at HAW14 forced by EDWARDS, Virdel, recovered by AFA ELDRIDGE III, John Lee at the HAW14, returned 0 yards to the HAW14, End of Play.Similar
Q3 7:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 14
0
53.8%
Jensen Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 14
+4
56.2%
Dylan Carson run for 4 yds to the HAW 10Similar
Q3 3:59
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+27
62.9%
Matthew Dapore 27 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 38 yds · 4:4764% → 73%
Q3 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
64.4%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 4 yds to the HAW 24Similar
Q3 3:59
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+1
64.4%
David Cordero run for 1 yd to the HAW 25Similar
Q3 3:59
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+9
63.3%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Steven McBride for 9 yds to the HAW 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+15
64.8%
Air Force Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Jamari Bellamy) to the AFA 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:59
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
67.6%
David Cordero run for 3 yds to the AFA 44Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 44
0
75.5%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for no gain to the AFA 44Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 44
+2
74.3%
David Cordero run for 2 yds to the AFA 42Similar
Q4 14:12
4TH & 5
OPP 42
0
73.0%
Matthew Shipley punt for 23 yds, fair catch by Brandon Engel at the AFA 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 10FUMBLE RETURN TD
8 plays · 13 yds · 3:0326% → 8%
Q4 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+11
74.2%
Dylan Carson run for 11 yds to the AFA 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
73.2%
Dylan Carson run for 8 yds to the AFA 38Similar
Q4 13:14
2ND & 2
OWN 38
+1
71.2%
Dylan Carson run for 1 yd to the AFA 39Similar
Q4 13:14
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+2
71.6%
Jensen Jones run for 2 yds to the AFA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
71.6%
Jensen Jones run for 2 yds to the AFA 43Similar
Q4 13:14
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+4
71.8%
Dylan Carson run for 4 yds to the AFA 47Similar
Q4 11:09
3RD & 4
OWN 47
+32
92.4%
Meki Pei 32 Yd Fumble Return (Matthew Shipley Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 11FG
13 plays · 68 yds · 4:428% → 10%
Q4 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-2
92.5%
Jensen Jones run for a loss of 2 yards to the AFA 26Similar
Q4 11:02
2ND & 12
OWN 26
+5
93.0%
Jensen Jones run for 5 yds to the AFA 31Similar
Q4 11:02
3RD & 7
OWN 31
+10
92.6%
Jensen Jones pass complete to Quin Smith for 10 yds to the AFA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
92.4%
Jensen Jones run for 2 yds to the AFA 43Similar
Q4 11:02
2ND & 8
OWN 43
0
92.4%
Jensen Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:02
3RD & 8
OWN 43
+39
92.5%
Jensen Jones pass complete to Brandon Engel for 39 yds to the HAW 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:02
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
91.1%
Aiden Calvert run for 3 yds to the HAW 15Similar
Q4 7:20
2ND & 7
OPP 15
+9
93.7%
Dylan Carson run for 9 yds to the HAW 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
93.3%
Dylan Carson run for 1 yd to the HAW 5Similar
Q4 7:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
93.3%
Dylan Carson run for 1 yd to the HAW 4Similar
Q4 7:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
93.9%
Jensen Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:20
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
89.7%
Matthew Dapore 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:0897% → 98%
Q4 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
97.4%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 2 yds to the HAW 27Similar
Q4 5:28
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-4
98.1%
Landon Sims run for a loss of 4 yards to the HAW 23Similar
Q4 5:28
3RD & 12
OWN 23
0
98.0%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:12
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
97.8%
Matthew Shipley punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Brandon Engel at the HAW 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 13INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q4 5:05
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
94.4%
Jensen Jones pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 1:0298% → 99%
Q4 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
98.3%
David Cordero run for 2 yds to the HAW 34Similar
Q4 4:17
2ND & 8
OWN 34
0
98.5%
David Cordero run for no gain to the HAW 34Similar
Q4 4:10
3RD & 8
OWN 34
+5
98.7%
Brayden Schager run for 5 yds to the HAW 39Similar
Q4 4:03
4TH & 3
OWN 39
0
98.7%
Matthew Shipley punt for 17 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 15INT
2 plays · 37 yds · 0:402% → 2%
Q4 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+37
98.0%
Jensen Jones run for 37 yds to the HAW 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:23
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+20
97.6%
Hawai'i Penalty, Personal Foul (Andrew Choi) to the HAW 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 2:2599% → 99%
Q4 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+1
99.0%
Nasjzae Bryant-Lelei run for 1 yd to the HAW 13Similar
Q4 3:23
2ND & 9
OWN 13
+1
99.0%
Dalen Morris run for 1 yd to the HAW 14Similar
Q4 3:23
3RD & 8
OWN 14
+1
99.0%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 1 yd to the HAW 15Similar
Q4 0:58
4TH & 7
OWN 15
0
99.2%
Matthew Shipley punt for 27 yds, downed at the HAW 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 17INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 0:49
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
98.3%
Ben Brittain pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 18END OF GAME
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:4999% → 100%
Q4 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+1
99.4%
Brayden Schager run for 1 yd to the HAW 3Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 3
0
99.5%
[NH] Kneel down by SCHAGER, Brayden at HAW2 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 11:09
Meki Pei 32 Yd Fumble Return (Matthew Shipley Kick)
+20.6
TD · Q3 7:20
Brayden Schager pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 19 yds for a TD (Matthew Shipley KICK)
+16.9
KEY PLAY · Q2 5:07
John Lee Eldridge III run for 6 yds to the HAW 8 for a 1ST down
+10.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com