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HAW

Hawai'i 27 at Nevada 14

NEV
2023 · Week 10 · Nov 4, 2023 · Mackay Stadium
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Win probability · NEV
modelNEV aheadHAW aheadconfidence bandkey playNEV scoreHAW score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of GameFG-7.7NEV 12.0%Matthew Shipley 50 yd FG GOODAWAY 27 - HOME 14 · Q4 12:41
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 12:41 · Matthew Shipley 50 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+44.0+22.00−22.0−44.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 140Home team on offense−30.5Score differential−14.0Garbage-time factor−7.8Pregame prior+0.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−4.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 3:54: Dalen Morris run for 1 yd for a TD (Matthew Shipley KICK) — HAW win probability +10.9 pts (now 62%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:17: Brayden Schager pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 26 yds for a TD (Matthew Shipley KICK) — HAW win probability +15.1 pts (now 78%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 7:13: Brayden Schager pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 5 yds for a TD (Matthew Shipley KICK) — HAW win probability +13.2 pts (now 84%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 2:52: Sean Dollars run for 7 yds for a TD (Brandon Talton KICK) — NEV win probability +12.7 pts (now 32%) (top driver: NEV has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:55: Brayden Schager run for a loss of 1 yard to the NEV 34 — HAW win probability +9.4 pts (now 98%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NEV made the numbers' call on 9 of 10HAW made the numbers' call on 6 of 11
  1. Q1 11:39HAW 4th & 2 at NEV 44, tied
    Close callPunted · 39.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    39.6%−0.2
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    39.7%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:43NEV 4th & 10 at NEV 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.9%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:25HAW 4th & 14 at NEV 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.5%−0.3
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.8%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:40NEV 4th & 12 at NEV 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.5%−0.4
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.9%
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:46HAW 4th & 17 at HAW 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.9%−1.1
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:55HAW 4th & 11 at NEV 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 40.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.2%−0.4
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.6%
    51% to make
    Punt
    40.0%−0.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:41NEV 4th & 15 at HAW 43, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.5%−0.9
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    55.7%−0.7
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    56.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:40HAW 4th & 8 at HAW 22, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.3%−1.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.4%
    average punt
  9. Q2 8:19NEV 4th & 15 at NEV 19, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.6%−1.9
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.5%
    average punt
  10. Q2 2:39NEV 4th & 16 at NEV 19, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.6%−1.8
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.3%
    average punt
  11. Q3 13:42NEV 4th & 14 at NEV 36, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.2%−1.8
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.0%
    average punt
  12. Q3 12:14HAW 4th & 1 at HAW 20, up 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.6 ptsPunted · 61.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.4%−2.6
    average punt
  13. Q3 7:33HAW 4th & 5 at NEV 40, up 10
    Close callPunted · 66.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.5%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    65.0%−1.4
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    65.5%−1.0
    average punt
  14. Q3 3:03NEV 4th & 22 at NEV 25, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.1%−4.4
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.5%
    average punt
  15. Q3 2:45HAW 4th & 1 at HAW 31, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 70.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    73.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    70.8%−2.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 12:41HAW 4th & 6 at NEV 33, up 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 76.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    76.2%−0.6
    49% to make
    Punt
    74.7%−2.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 6:58NEV 4th & 9 at HAW 9, down 13
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.6 ptsWent for it · 13.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.3%−1.6
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    12.8%
    89% to make
    Punt
    6.8%−6.0
    average punt
  18. Q4 4:43HAW 4th & 1 at HAW 18, up 13
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsPunted · 94.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.5%−1.3
    average punt
  19. Q4 2:44NEV 4th & 4 at HAW 27, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    6.4%−0.1
    62% to make
    Punt
    3.8%−2.7
    average punt
  20. Q4 1:39HAW 4th & 7 at HAW 30, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.9%−0.2
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.1%
    average punt
  21. Q4 1:39NEV 4th & 15 at NEV 33, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.1%
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.0%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NEV made the numbers' call on 1 of 1HAW made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q2 3:54HAW Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:17HAW Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 7:13HAW Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 2:52NEV Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
HAWDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 31 yds · 3:2146% → 46%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
54.1%
Brayden Schager run for 10 yds to the HAW 35 Brayden Schager fumbled, recovered by HAW Brayden Schager for a 1ST down for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+13
54.1%
Landon Sims run for 13 yds to the HAW 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
54.1%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Pofele AshlockSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+9
54.1%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Koali Nishigaya for 9 yds to the NEV 43Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 43
-1
54.1%
Dalen Morris run for a loss of 1 yard to the NEV 44Similar
Q1 11:39
4TH & 2
OPP 44
+27
54.3%
Matthew Shipley punt for 32 yds Hawai'i Penalty, illegal formation (Devyn King) to the NEV 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:5655% → 54%
Q1 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
54.5%
Dollars,Sean rush left (Smith,Jalen).Similar
Q1 11:39
2ND & 10
OWN 17
0
54.5%
pass incomplete to Jamaal BellSimilar
Q1 11:39
3RD & 10
OWN 17
0
54.3%
pass incomplete to Dalevon CampbellSimilar
Q1 10:43
4TH & 10
OWN 17
+14
54.2%
Matt Freem punt for 62 yds , Steven McBride returns for 14 yds to the HAW 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 3PUNT
9 plays · 17 yds · 2:1846% → 45%
Q1 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
54.4%
pass incomplete to Landon SimsSimilar
Q1 10:43
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+10
54.5%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 10 yds to the HAW 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
54.1%
Brayden Schager pass incomplete to Nick Cenacle, broken up by KK MeierSimilar
Q1 10:43
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+11
54.2%
Brayden Schager run for 11 yds to the NEV 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:43
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
54.0%
Brayden Schager pass incomplete to Jonah Panoke, broken up by Emany JohnsonSimilar
Q1 10:43
2ND & 10
OPP 44
-9
54.0%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 1 yd to the HAW 43 Hawai'i Penalty, illegal block (Josh Atkins) to the HAW 47Similar
Q1 10:43
2ND & 19
OWN 47
0
54.4%
pass incomplete to Landon SimsSimilar
Q1 10:43
3RD & 19
OWN 47
+5
54.5%
Brayden Schager run for 5 yds to the NEV 48Similar
Q1 8:25
4TH & 14
OPP 48
0
54.8%
Matthew Shipley punt for 23 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 2:4555% → 54%
Q1 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
54.7%
Sean Dollars run for 14 yds to the NEV 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
55.0%
Sean Dollars run for 4 yds to the NEV 43Similar
Q1 8:25
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+6
55.3%
Sean Dollars run for 6 yds to the NEV 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
55.4%
Brendon Lewis pass incomplete to Dalevon Campbell, broken up by Virdel Edwards IISimilar
Q1 8:25
2ND & 10
OWN 49
-2
55.2%
Jamaal Bell run for a loss of 2 yards to the NEV 47Similar
Q1 8:25
3RD & 12
OWN 47
0
54.7%
pass incomplete to John Jackson IIISimilar
Q1 5:40
4TH & 12
OWN 47
0
54.4%
Matt Freem punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 5PUNT
9 plays · 8 yds · 4:5445% → 44%
Q1 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+6
54.8%
Solo Vaipulu run for 6 yds to the HAW 22Similar
Q1 5:40
2ND & 4
OWN 22
+1
54.7%
Solo Vaipulu run for 1 yd to the HAW 23Similar
Q1 5:40
3RD & 3
OWN 23
+8
55.0%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 8 yds to the HAW 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-10
54.6%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Koali Nishigaya Hawai'i Penalty, Offensive holding (Luke Felix-Fualalo) to the HAW 21Similar
Q1 5:40
1ST & 20
OWN 21
+11
54.8%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Karsyn Pupunu for 11 yds to the HAW 32Similar
Q1 5:40
2ND & 9
OWN 32
-5
54.7%
Brayden Schager sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the HAW 27Similar
Q1 5:40
3RD & 14
OWN 27
-5
55.2%
Hawai'i Penalty, delay of game (Brayden Schager) to the HAW 22Similar
Q1 5:40
3RD & 19
OWN 22
+2
55.2%
Solo Vaipulu run for 2 yds to the HAW 24Similar
Q1 0:46
4TH & 17
OWN 24
0
55.7%
Matthew Shipley punt for 35 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 6FUMBLE
3 plays · 3 yds · 0:5357% → 56%
Q1 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
56.5%
Brendon Lewis run for 2 yds to the NEV 43Similar
Q1 0:46
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+1
56.7%
Brendon Lewis run for 1 yd to the NEV 44Similar
Q2 14:53
3RD & 7
OWN 44
+8
56.2%
Brendon Lewis run for 8 yds to the HAW 48 Brendon Lewis fumbled, recovered by HAW Elijah PalmerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 7FG
6 plays · 20 yds · 2:0547% → 47%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
53.3%
Landon Sims run for 7 yds to the NEV 45Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 45
+14
52.9%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Nick Cenacle for 14 yds to the NEV 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-1
52.6%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Chuuky Hines for a loss of 1 yard to the NEV 32Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 32
0
52.7%
pass incomplete to Nick CenacleSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 32
0
53.6%
pass incomplete to Steven McBrideSimilar
Q2 12:55
4TH & 11
OPP 32
+50
53.0%
Matthew Shipley 50 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 8PUNT
9 plays · 32 yds · 2:1453% → 52%
Q2 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
53.1%
Sean Dollars run for 1 yd to the NEV 26Similar
Q2 12:55
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+36
53.0%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Dalevon Campbell for 36 yds to the HAW 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
55.2%
Lewis,Brendon rush left (Manuma,Peter).Similar
Q2 12:55
2ND & 10
OPP 38
0
55.1%
pass incomplete to Isaah Crocker Nevada Penalty, inelgible downfield on pass (Yards) to the HAW 38Similar
Q2 12:55
3RD & 10
OPP 38
0
54.5%
pass incomplete to Dalevon CampbellSimilar
Q2 12:55
4TH & 10
OPP 38
-5
52.8%
Nevada Penalty, false start (Marcel Walker-Burgess) to the HAW 43Similar
Q2 10:41
4TH & 15
OPP 43
0
52.0%
Matt Freem punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:0148% → 46%
Q2 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
52.4%
pass incomplete to Steven McBrideSimilar
Q2 10:41
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+2
52.5%
Nasjzae Bryant-Lelei run for 2 yds to the HAW 22Similar
Q2 10:41
3RD & 8
OWN 22
0
53.2%
Brayden Schager pass incomplete to Steven McBride, broken up by KK MeierSimilar
Q2 9:40
4TH & 8
OWN 22
0
53.7%
Matthew Shipley punt for 52 yds , Carlos Sandy returns for no gain to the NEV 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 1:2153% → 51%
Q2 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-5
52.5%
Jamaal Bell run for a loss of 5 yards to the NEV 19Similar
Q2 9:40
2ND & 15
OWN 19
0
52.2%
pass incomplete to John Jackson IIISimilar
Q2 9:40
3RD & 15
OWN 19
0
51.4%
Lewis,Brendon rush middle (Choi,Andrew).Similar
Q2 8:19
4TH & 15
OWN 19
+3
50.6%
Matt Freem punt for 41 yds , Steven McBride returns for 3 yds to the HAW 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 11TD
9 plays · 57 yds · 4:2550% → 62%
Q2 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+13
50.4%
Landon Sims run for 13 yds to the NEV 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:19
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+12
50.0%
Landon Sims run for 12 yds to the NEV 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:19
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+8
49.4%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Alex Perry for 8 yds to the NEV 24Similar
Q2 8:19
2ND & 2
OPP 24
+15
49.2%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Nick Cenacle for 15 yds to the NEV 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-5
49.1%
Hawai'i Penalty, false start (Ka'ena Decambra) to the NEV 14Similar
Q2 8:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 14
0
49.4%
Sims,Landon rush middle (Smalley,Chris;LaDuke,Jackson).Similar
Q2 8:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 14
+8
49.5%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Steven McBride for 8 yds to the NEV 6 Nevada Penalty, Defensive holding (Chad Brown) to the NEV 6Similar
Q2 8:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
49.1%
Landon Sims run for 5 yds to the NEV 1Similar
Q2 3:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
38.2%
Dalen Morris run for 1 yd for a TD (Matthew Shipley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · -6 yds · 1:1540% → 37%
Q2 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
39.8%
AJ Bianco run for 3 yds to the NEV 28Similar
Q2 3:54
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-10
40.1%
Dollars,Sean rush (Pei,Meki), PENALTY NEV holding (Capra,Joey) 10 yards to the NEV38. Nevada Penalty, Offensive holding (Joey Capra) to the NEV 18Similar
Q2 3:54
2ND & 17
OWN 18
+5
39.5%
Sean Dollars run for 5 yds to the NEV 23Similar
Q2 2:59
3RD & 12
OWN 23
-4
38.1%
AJ Bianco sacked for a loss of 4 yards to the NEV 19Similar
Q2 2:39
4TH & 16
OWN 19
0
37.1%
Matt Freem punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 13TD
11 plays · 65 yds · 2:2261% → 78%
Q2 2:39
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
38.6%
pass incomplete to Steven McBrideSimilar
Q2 2:39
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+6
39.0%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Steven McBride for 6 yds to the HAW 41Similar
Q2 2:39
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+11
38.1%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 11 yds to the NEV 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:39
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
37.6%
Brayden Schager pass incomplete to Pofele Ashlock, broken up by Caine SavageSimilar
Q2 2:39
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+11
37.6%
Brayden Schager run for 11 yds to the NEV 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:39
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
37.6%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Nick Cenacle for 5 yds to the NEV 32Similar
Q2 2:39
2ND & 5
OPP 32
0
37.3%
pass incomplete to Tamatoa Mokiao-AtimalalaSimilar
Q2 2:39
3RD & 5
OPP 32
+7
37.8%
Brayden Schager run for 7 yds to the NEV 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:39
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-1
37.3%
Brayden Schager sacked for a loss of 1 yard to the NEV 26Similar
Q2 2:39
2ND & 11
OPP 26
0
37.5%
pass incomplete to Steven McBrideSimilar
Q2 0:17
3RD & 11
OPP 26
+26
22.4%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 26 yds for a TD (Matthew Shipley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0026% → 26%
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
26.3%
Dollars,Sean rush middle (Williams,Daniel;Choi,Andrew),Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 15INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0031% → 31%
Q3 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
31.3%
AJ Bianco pass intercepted by Peter ManumaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 1:1836% → 34%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
36.4%
Hawai'i Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Chuuky Hines) to the NEV 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
37.7%
AJ Bianco pass incomplete to Dalevon Campbell, broken up by Jonah Kahahawai-WelchSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+3
37.3%
Jamaal Bell run for 3 yds to the NEV 43Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 43
-7
36.8%
AJ Bianco sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the NEV 36Similar
Q3 13:42
4TH & 14
OWN 36
0
33.6%
Matt Freem punt for 53 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:2864% → 64%
Q3 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+8
36.3%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Steven McBride for 8 yds to the HAW 19Similar
Q3 13:42
2ND & 2
OWN 19
0
35.7%
Brayden Schager pass incomplete to Steven McBride, broken up by Jaden DedmanSimilar
Q3 13:42
3RD & 2
OWN 19
+1
37.2%
Landon Sims run for 1 yd to the HAW 20Similar
Q3 12:14
4TH & 1
OWN 20
+15
36.3%
Matthew Shipley punt for 56 yds , Carlos Sandy returns for 15 yds to the NEV 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 18TD
6 plays · 61 yds · 2:4735% → 37%
Q3 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
35.4%
AJ Bianco pass complete to Dalevon Campbell for 5 yds to the NEV 44Similar
Q3 12:14
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+1
36.2%
Jamaal Bell run for 1 yd to the NEV 45Similar
Q3 12:14
3RD & 4
OWN 45
+5
35.4%
AJ Bianco run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:14
1ST & 10
50
+15
36.7%
AJ Bianco run for 15 yds to the HAW 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:14
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+33
38.4%
AJ Bianco pass complete to Dalevon Campbell for 33 yds to the HAW 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
37.0%
Sean Dollars run for 2 yds for a TD (Brandon Talton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 35 yds · 1:5467% → 68%
Q3 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+30
33.2%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Steven McBride for 30 yds to the NEV 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:27
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
31.5%
Brayden Schager run for 5 yds to the NEV 40Similar
Q3 9:27
2ND & 5
OPP 40
0
31.3%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Pofele AshlockSimilar
Q3 9:27
3RD & 5
OPP 40
0
31.9%
Brayden Schager pass incomplete to Koali Nishigaya, broken up by Caine SavageSimilar
Q3 7:33
4TH & 5
OPP 40
0
31.9%
Matthew Shipley punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 20TD
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:1071% → 84%
Q3 7:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
29.0%
pass incomplete to Steven McBrideSimilar
Q3 7:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
15.8%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 5 yds for a TD (Matthew Shipley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 21PUNT
10 plays · 0 yds · 4:1019% → 16%
Q3 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
19.1%
Dollars,Sean rush (Tufaga,Isaiah), PENALTY NEV holding (Madrigal,Andrew) 10 yards to the NEV35. Nevada Penalty, Offensive holding (Andrew Madrigal) to the NEV 15Similar
Q3 7:13
1ST & 20
OWN 15
-4
18.9%
Sean Dollars run for a loss of 4 yards to the NEV 11Similar
Q3 7:13
2ND & 24
OWN 11
+14
18.8%
AJ Bianco run for 14 yds to the NEV 25Similar
Q3 7:13
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+12
18.8%
AJ Bianco run for 12 yds to the NEV 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
19.9%
Dollars,Sean rush right (Robinson,Elijah).Similar
Q3 7:13
2ND & 10
OWN 37
-1
19.4%
AJ Bianco sacked for a loss of 1 yard to the NEV 36Similar
Q3 7:13
3RD & 11
OWN 36
-6
19.0%
AJ Bianco sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the NEV 30Similar
Q3 7:13
4TH & 17
OWN 30
-5
18.7%
Nevada Penalty, false start (Aedan Seiuli) to the NEV 25Similar
Q3 3:03
4TH & 22
OWN 25
0
15.6%
Matt Freem punt for 45 yds , Steven McBride returns for 1 yard loss, to the HAW 29, fumbled by HAW Steven McBride, recovered by NEV Aedan Seiuli at the HAW 29, no return.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 22TD
3 plays · 29 yds · 0:1119% → 32%
Q3 3:03
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
19.2%
AJ Bianco pass incomplete to Dalevon Campbell, broken up by Virdel Edwards IISimilar
Q3 3:03
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+7
18.7%
Hawai'i Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Virdel Edwards II) to the HAW 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
31.5%
Sean Dollars run for 7 yds for a TD (Brandon Talton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 23FG
12 plays · 45 yds · 5:0473% → 88%
Q3 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
26.7%
Nasjzae Bryant-Lelei run for 5 yds to the HAW 27Similar
Q3 2:45
2ND & 5
OWN 27
+3
26.2%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Nick Cenacle for 3 yds to the HAW 30Similar
Q3 2:45
3RD & 2
OWN 30
+1
26.8%
Brayden Schager run for 1 yd to the HAW 31Similar
Q3 2:45
4TH & 1
OWN 31
+2
27.7%
Brayden Schager run for 2 yds to the HAW 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
26.2%
Nasjzae Bryant-Lelei run for 2 yds to the HAW 35Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+2
24.7%
Landon Sims run for 2 yds to the HAW 37Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 37
+26
24.5%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 26 yds to the NEV 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
22.5%
pass incomplete to Steven McBrideSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+4
22.6%
Landon Sims run for 4 yds to the NEV 33Similar
Q4 12:51
3RD & 6
OPP 33
0
19.7%
pass incomplete to Pofele AshlockSimilar
Q4 12:41
4TH & 6
OPP 33
+50
12.0%
Matthew Shipley 50 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 24Uncategorized
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0098% → 97%
Q4 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-1
2.5%
Brayden Schager run for a loss of 1 yard to the NEV 34Similar
Q4 0:55
2ND & 11
OPP 34
-1
2.6%
Brayden Schager run for a loss of 1 yard to the NEV 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 25DOWNS
14 plays · 66 yds · 5:4319% → 13%
Q4 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
18.7%
Sean Dollars run for 5 yds to the NEV 30Similar
Q4 12:41
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
19.2%
AJ Bianco run for 6 yds to the NEV 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
19.5%
Sean Dollars run for 9 yds to the NEV 45Similar
Q4 11:22
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+21
20.4%
AJ Bianco pass complete to Cameron Zeidler for 21 yds to the HAW 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:22
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+16
22.1%
AJ Bianco run for 16 yds to the HAW 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:22
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
22.5%
Sean Dollars run for 1 yd to the HAW 17Similar
Q4 11:22
2ND & 9
OPP 17
0
22.5%
AJ Bianco pass incomplete to Dalevon Campbell, broken up by Devyn KingSimilar
Q4 11:22
3RD & 9
OPP 17
+10
20.4%
AJ Bianco run for 10 yds to the HAW 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
22.5%
Sean Dollars run for 2 yds to the HAW 5Similar
Q4 11:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
22.5%
Sean Dollars run for 3 yds to the HAW 2Similar
Q4 11:22
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
-2
21.1%
Jacques Badolato-Birdsell run for a loss of 2 yards to the HAW 4Similar
Q4 7:01
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
-5
13.5%
Nevada Penalty, false start (Isaah Crocker) to the HAW 9Similar
Q4 6:58
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
0
12.9%
pass incomplete to Jamaal BellSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 2:1593% → 94%
Q4 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+5
7.0%
Landon Sims run for 5 yds to the HAW 14Similar
Q4 6:58
2ND & 5
OWN 14
+3
6.9%
Landon Sims run for 3 yds to the HAW 17Similar
Q4 6:58
3RD & 2
OWN 17
+1
7.4%
Dalen Morris run for 1 yd to the HAW 18Similar
Q4 4:43
4TH & 1
OWN 18
0
5.7%
Matthew Shipley punt for 31 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 27DOWNS
6 plays · 22 yds · 1:5911% → 7%
Q4 4:43
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
10.6%
AJ Bianco pass complete to John Jackson III for 3 yds to the HAW 46Similar
Q4 4:43
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+13
10.9%
AJ Bianco run for 13 yds to the HAW 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:43
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-8
13.5%
AJ Bianco sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the HAW 41Similar
Q4 4:43
2ND & 18
OPP 41
+14
9.9%
AJ Bianco pass complete to Dalevon Campbell for 14 yds to the HAW 27Similar
Q4 4:43
3RD & 4
OPP 27
0
12.2%
pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:44
4TH & 4
OPP 27
0
7.1%
pass incomplete to John Jackson IIISimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 28PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:0596% → 97%
Q4 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
3.8%
Nasjzae Bryant-Lelei run for 2 yds to the HAW 29Similar
Q4 2:39
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+3
3.8%
Nasjzae Bryant-Lelei run for 3 yds to the HAW 32Similar
Q4 2:33
3RD & 5
OWN 32
+3
3.9%
Brayden Schager run for 3 yds to the HAW 35Similar
Q4 2:33
4TH & 2
OWN 35
-5
3.8%
Hawai'i Penalty, false start (Noah Kema) to the HAW 30Similar
Q4 1:39
4TH & 7
OWN 30
0
2.8%
Matthew Shipley punt for 32 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 29Uncategorized
2 plays · -5 yds · 0:005% → 4%
Q4 1:39
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
5.0%
pass incomplete to Dalevon CampbellSimilar
Q4 1:39
4TH & 15
OWN 33
0
4.2%
pass incomplete to Jamaal BellSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:17
Brayden Schager pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 26 yds for a TD (Matthew Shipley KICK)
-15.1
TD · Q3 7:13
Brayden Schager pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 5 yds for a TD (Matthew Shipley KICK)
-13.2
TD · Q3 2:52
Sean Dollars run for 7 yds for a TD (Brandon Talton KICK)
+12.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com