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HAW

Hawai'i 21 at New Mexico 42

UNM
2023 · Week 8 · Oct 21, 2023 · University Stadium (NM)
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Win probability · UNM
modelUNM aheadHAW aheadconfidence bandkey playUNM scoreHAW score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 12:59 · Matthew Shipley punt for 43 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+37.0+18.50−18.5−37.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 4Home team on offense−0.1Score differential−0.1Garbage-time factor+0.0Pregame prior−10.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.1Blowout margin+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:18: Brayden Schager pass complete to Steven McBride for 12 yds for a TD (Matthew Shipley KICK) — HAW win probability +7.2 pts (now 53%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 11:16: Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 1 yd for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK) — UNM win probability +7.8 pts (now 61%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 3:25: Andrew Henry run for 33 yds for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK) — UNM win probability +16.8 pts (now 87%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:24: Brayden Schager pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 18 yds for a TD (Matthew Shipley KICK) — HAW win probability +13.6 pts (now 31%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 8:10: Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Jeremiah Hixon for 17 yds for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK) — UNM win probability +12.4 pts (now 93%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UNM made the numbers' call on 3 of 4HAW made the numbers' call on 3 of 6
  1. Q1 12:59HAW 4th & 1 at HAW 27, tied
    Close callPunted · 52.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.7%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q2 7:03HAW 4th & 3 at UNM 29, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 32.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    32.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    31.6%−1.0
    58% to make
    Punt
    27.4%−5.2
    average punt
  3. Q3 8:55UNM 4th & 1 at HAW 20, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 82.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    82.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    79.9%−2.2
    75% to make
    Punt
    72.3%−9.8
    average punt
  4. Q3 5:35HAW 4th & 1 at UNM 29, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    4.9%−1.5
    58% to make
    Punt
    1.7%−4.7
    average punt
  5. Q3 3:21UNM 4th & 20 at UNM 19, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.2%−1.6
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.9%
    average punt
  6. Q3 2:05HAW 4th & 4 at UNM 25, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.1%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    3.7%−0.4
    66% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−3.8
    average punt
  7. Q3 0:07HAW 4th & 5 at UNM 14, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.2%−0.3
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    2.5%
    84% to make
    Punt
    -0.9%−3.4
    average punt
  8. Q4 13:54UNM 4th & 11 at UNM 17, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.3%−0.7
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.0%
    average punt
  9. Q4 2:52UNM 4th & 3 at UNM 27, up 28
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 1:44HAW 4th & 3 at HAW 20, down 28
    Close callWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UNM made the numbers' call on 6 of 6HAW made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 8:59UNM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:14UNM Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:18HAW Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 11:16UNM Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 3:25UNM Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:24HAW Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    22.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    22.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 8:10UNM Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 6:54UNM Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 0:06HAW Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.5%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
HAWDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:5561% → 60%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
39.3%
Jordan Johnson run for 3 yds to the HAW 21Similar
Q1 14:23
2ND & 7
OWN 21
+5
39.5%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Alex Perry for 5 yds to the HAW 26Similar
Q1 13:43
3RD & 2
OWN 26
+1
39.7%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Alex Perry for 1 yd to the HAW 27Similar
Q1 12:59
4TH & 1
OWN 27
0
40.0%
Matthew Shipley punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 2TD
7 plays · 70 yds · 3:5640% → 44%
Q1 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
40.0%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Kaydin Pope for 4 yds to the UNM 34Similar
Q1 12:17
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+7
40.3%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to D.J. Washington for 7 yds to the UNM 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+17
40.6%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Jeremiah Hixon for 17 yds to the HAW 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:56
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+6
41.2%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 6 yds to the HAW 36Similar
Q1 10:24
2ND & 4
OPP 36
+7
41.4%
Andrew Henry run for 7 yds to the HAW 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:49
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
41.8%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 1 yd to the HAW 28Similar
Q1 8:59
2ND & 9
OPP 28
+28
44.2%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Jeremiah Hixon for 28 yds for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 3INT
3 plays · 2 yds · 0:4657% → 56%
Q1 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
43.5%
Jordan Johnson run for 2 yds to the HAW 27Similar
Q1 8:10
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
44.0%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:10
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+10
44.4%
New Mexico Penalty, Illegal Block (Alec Marenco) to the UNM 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 4TD
13 plays · 55 yds · 5:4245% → 56%
Q1 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
45.0%
Dylan Hopkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:48
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+14
44.9%
Andrew Henry run for 14 yds to the HAW 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:17
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
45.6%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 3 yds to the HAW 38Similar
Q1 6:52
2ND & 7
OPP 38
+13
45.9%
Devon Dampier run for 13 yds to the HAW 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:16
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
46.5%
Andrew Henry run for 5 yds to the HAW 20Similar
Q1 5:37
2ND & 5
OPP 20
-1
47.1%
Andrew Henry run for a loss of 1 yard to the HAW 21Similar
Q1 4:53
3RD & 6
OPP 21
+9
47.8%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Zach Vigil for 9 yds to the HAW 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:05
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+7
48.9%
Devon Dampier run for 7 yds to the HAW 5Similar
Q1 3:30
2ND & 3
OPP 5
+3
49.4%
Devon Dampier run for 3 yds to the HAW 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
49.9%
Andrew Henry run for a loss of 1 yard to the HAW 3Similar
Q1 2:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
55.6%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Ryan Davis for 3 yds for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 5TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:5447% → 53%
Q1 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
53.5%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Steven McBride for 3 yds to the HAW 28Similar
Q1 1:43
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+8
53.9%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Jonah Panoke for 8 yds to the HAW 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+52
54.3%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Steven McBride for 52 yds to the UNM 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:18
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
47.1%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Steven McBride for 12 yds for a TD (Matthew Shipley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 6TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 4:0050% → 61%
Q1 0:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
49.8%
Hawai'i Penalty, Personal Foul (Noah Kema) to the UNM 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+11
51.3%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Kaydin Pope for 11 yds to the HAW 45Similar
Q2 14:16
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
51.9%
Dylan Hopkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:08
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+25
51.9%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Andrew Erickson for 25 yds to the HAW 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:18
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+11
52.8%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Andrew Henry for 11 yds to the HAW 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
52.9%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Zach Vigil for 2 yds to the HAW 7Similar
Q2 11:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
53.5%
Andrew Henry run for 6 yds to the HAW 1Similar
Q2 11:16
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
61.3%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 1 yd for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 7DOWNS
9 plays · 37 yds · 4:1340% → 38%
Q2 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
59.8%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Jonah Panoke for 11 yds to the HAW 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
59.9%
Chuuky Hines run for 8 yds to the HAW 44Similar
Q2 9:58
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+10
59.7%
Landon Sims run for 10 yds to the UNM 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:06
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
59.6%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Karsyn Pupunu for 6 yds to the UNM 40Similar
Q2 8:33
2ND & 4
OPP 40
+4
59.7%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Landon Sims for 4 yds to the UNM 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:54
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+7
60.6%
David Cordero run for 7 yds to the UNM 29Similar
Q2 7:14
2ND & 3
OPP 29
0
60.2%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:10
3RD & 3
OPP 29
0
60.9%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:03
4TH & 3
OPP 29
-9
61.9%
Brayden Schager sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the UNM 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 8TD
9 plays · 62 yds · 3:3366% → 87%
Q2 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
65.9%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Andrew Henry for 6 yds to the UNM 44Similar
Q2 6:25
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+6
66.4%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Caleb Medford for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:45
1ST & 10
50
-5
67.6%
(05:45) HOPKINS, Dylan pass to the right incomplete intended for MEDFORD, Caleb thrown to the HAW39; QB hurried by CHOI, Andrew, clock 05:38. PENALTY UNM Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on JAMES, CJ enforced 5 yards from the HAW50 to the UNM45 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 5:36
1ST & 15
OWN 45
+15
67.2%
Hawai'i Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Virdel Edwards II) to the HAW 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:09
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
68.8%
Andrew Henry run for 5 yds to the HAW 24Similar
Q2 4:34
2ND & 5
OPP 24
0
69.1%
Dylan Hopkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:26
3RD & 5
OPP 24
+6
68.5%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to D.J. Washington for 6 yds to the HAW 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:44
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-15
70.1%
(03:44) CROSKEY-MERRITT, Jacory rush up the middle for a gain of 1 yard to the HAW17 (CHOI, Andrew), clock 03:40. PENALTY UNM Personal Foul on SILLEMON, Isaiah enforced 15 yards from the HAW18 to the HAW33 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 3:25
1ST & 25
OPP 33
+33
86.8%
Andrew Henry run for 33 yds for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 9TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:0017% → 31%
Q2 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
82.7%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:19
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+15
82.9%
(03:19) SCHAGER, Brayden pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for ASHLOCK, Pofele thrown to the UNM46, clock 03:13. PENALTY UNM Roughing the Passer on KIEHNE, Tyler enforced 15 yards from the HAW25 to the HAW40 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
82.0%
Landon Sims run for 3 yds to the HAW 43Similar
Q2 2:44
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+12
82.7%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Alex Perry for 12 yds to the UNM 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:08
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
82.3%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:02
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+12
83.0%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Nick Cenacle for 12 yds to the UNM 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:42
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+8
81.2%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Landon Sims for 8 yds to the UNM 25Similar
Q2 1:09
2ND & 2
OPP 25
+7
81.5%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 7 yds to the UNM 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
81.9%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:33
2ND & 10
OPP 18
0
82.3%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:24
3RD & 10
OPP 18
+18
68.7%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 18 yds for a TD (Matthew Shipley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 10END OF HALF
1 play · 9 yds · 0:0073% → 73%
Q2 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
73.1%
Andrew Henry run for 9 yds to the UNM 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 11TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 6:4875% → 93%
Q3 14:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
74.6%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Caleb Medford for 7 yds to the UNM 32Similar
Q3 14:18
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+3
75.5%
Jeremiah Hixon run for 3 yds to the UNM 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
76.2%
Andrew Henry run for 9 yds to the UNM 44Similar
Q3 12:47
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+2
77.9%
Andrew Henry run for 2 yds to the UNM 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
78.8%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 3 yds to the UNM 49Similar
Q3 11:18
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+22
79.4%
Devon Dampier run for 22 yds to the HAW 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:34
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-10
80.1%
New Mexico Penalty, Offensive Holding (Trace Bruckler) to the HAW 36Similar
Q3 10:14
1ST & 17
OPP 36
0
80.5%
Dylan Hopkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:11
2ND & 17
OPP 36
+6
80.5%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Andrew Erickson for 6 yds to the HAW 30Similar
Q3 9:38
3RD & 11
OPP 30
+10
80.8%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to D.J. Washington for 10 yds to the HAW 20Similar
Q3 8:55
4TH & 1
OPP 20
+3
80.5%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 3 yds to the HAW 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:10
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
92.9%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Jeremiah Hixon for 17 yds for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 12DOWNS
7 plays · 48 yds · 2:267% → 7%
Q3 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
92.6%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:54
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+15
92.7%
New Mexico Penalty, Targeting on SANTORINEOS, Mihalis enforced (Mihalis Santorineos) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:19
1ST & 10
50
+12
92.5%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Jonah Panoke for 12 yds to the UNM 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
92.8%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:46
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+9
92.8%
Landon Sims run for 9 yds to the UNM 29Similar
Q3 6:07
3RD & 1
OPP 29
0
92.8%
Landon Sims run for no gain to the UNM 29Similar
Q3 5:35
4TH & 1
OPP 29
0
93.1%
Brayden Schager run for no gain to the UNM 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · -10 yds · 2:0894% → 95%
Q3 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
94.1%
Andrew Henry run for no gain to the UNM 29Similar
Q3 4:46
2ND & 10
OWN 29
-5
94.3%
New Mexico Penalty, False Start (Ryan Davis) to the UNM 24Similar
Q3 4:35
2ND & 15
OWN 24
+2
94.3%
Zach Vigil run for 2 yds to the UNM 26Similar
Q3 3:55
3RD & 13
OWN 26
-7
93.5%
Dylan Hopkins sacked by Jalen Smith and Andrew Choi for a loss of 7 yards to the UNM 19Similar
Q3 3:21
4TH & 20
OWN 19
0
95.0%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Steven McBride at the HAW 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 14DOWNS
10 plays · 42 yds · 3:045% → 3%
Q3 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+15
95.2%
New Mexico Penalty, Personal Foul (Avery Burt) to the UNM 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:51
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+6
94.7%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Steven McBride for 6 yds to the UNM 25Similar
Q3 2:16
2ND & 4
OPP 25
0
95.1%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:11
3RD & 4
OPP 25
0
95.5%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:05
4TH & 4
OPP 25
+6
95.8%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Koali Nishigaya for 6 yds to the UNM 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:32
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
95.6%
Solo Vaipulu run for 3 yds to the UNM 16Similar
Q3 0:51
2ND & 7
OPP 16
+2
96.1%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 2 yds to the UNM 14Similar
Q3 0:12
3RD & 5
OPP 14
0
96.9%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:07
4TH & 5
OPP 14
-4
97.1%
Brayden Schager sacked for a loss of 4 yards to the UNM 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:0898% → 98%
Q3 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+1
97.5%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 1 yd to the UNM 19Similar
Q4 14:59
2ND & 9
OWN 19
-2
97.5%
Devon Dampier run for a loss of 2 yards to the UNM 17Similar
Q4 14:12
3RD & 11
OWN 17
0
97.7%
Dylan Hopkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:54
4TH & 11
OWN 17
0
97.8%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 60 yds , returns for no gain to the HAW 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 16INT
5 plays · 44 yds · 1:572% → 2%
Q4 13:51
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+15
98.0%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Jonah Panoke for 15 yds to the HAW 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
98.0%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Jonah Panoke for 7 yds to the HAW 30Similar
Q4 13:00
2ND & 3
OWN 30
+10
98.0%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Jalen Walthall for 10 yds to the HAW 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+12
98.1%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Alex Perry for 12 yds to the UNM 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:54
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
98.2%
Brayden Schager pass intercepted, touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 17TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 4:5098% → 100%
Q4 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
98.4%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 8 yds to the UNM 28Similar
Q4 10:55
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+6
98.5%
Hawai'i Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (6 Yards) to the UNM 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+10
98.5%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Andrew Henry for 10 yds to the UNM 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+9
98.7%
Dylan Hopkins run for 9 yds to the HAW 47Similar
Q4 9:07
2ND & 1
OPP 47
+24
98.8%
Andrew Henry run for 24 yds to the HAW 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:22
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+6
99.2%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Kaydin Pope for 6 yds to the HAW 17Similar
Q4 7:36
2ND & 4
OPP 17
+3
99.3%
Zach Vigil run for 3 yds to the HAW 14Similar
Q4 6:54
3RD & 1
OPP 14
+14
99.9%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 14 yds for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 18INT
10 plays · 44 yds · 2:470% → 0%
Q4 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.9%
Landon Sims run for 3 yds to the HAW 28Similar
Q4 6:23
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-1
99.9%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Nick Cenacle for a loss of 1 yard to the HAW 27Similar
Q4 5:45
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
99.9%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:37
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+15
99.9%
(05:37) SCHAGER, Brayden pass deep to the left incomplete intended for WALTHALL, Jalen broken up by TAYLOR, Bryson at the UNM29, clock 05:30. PENALTY UNM Pass Interference on TAYLOR, Bryson enforced 15 yards to the HAW42 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
99.9%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:19
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+18
99.9%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Alex Perry for 18 yds to the UNM 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:47
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
99.9%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:41
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+9
99.9%
Landon Sims run for 9 yds to the UNM 31Similar
Q4 4:11
3RD & 1
OPP 31
0
99.9%
Brayden Schager pass intercepted, touchback.Similar
Q4 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
99.9%
New Mexico Penalty, False Start (Shancco Matautia) to the UNM 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:13100% → 100%
Q4 4:05
1ST & 15
OWN 15
+4
99.9%
Jaylen Morgan run for 4 yds to the UNM 19Similar
Q4 3:17
2ND & 11
OWN 19
0
99.9%
Devon Dampier pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:11
3RD & 11
OWN 19
+8
99.9%
Zach Vigil run for 8 yds to the UNM 27Similar
Q4 2:52
4TH & 3
OWN 27
0
99.9%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 60 yds, downed at the HAW 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 20TD
10 plays · 87 yds · 2:390% → 0%
Q4 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+5
100.0%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Nick Cenacle for 5 yds to the HAW 18Similar
Q4 2:21
2ND & 5
OWN 18
0
100.0%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:19
3RD & 5
OWN 18
+2
100.0%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Nick Cenacle for 2 yds to the HAW 20Similar
Q4 1:44
4TH & 3
OWN 20
+6
100.0%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Nick Cenacle for 6 yds to the HAW 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+11
100.0%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Koali Nishigaya for 11 yds to the HAW 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+13
100.0%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Koali Nishigaya for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:40
1ST & 10
50
+38
100.0%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Jalen Walthall for 38 yds to the UNM 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:18
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+10
100.0%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Koali Nishigaya for 10 yds to the UNM 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.7%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Steven McBride for 2 yds for a TD (Matthew Shipley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 21END OF GAME
1 play · -3 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
(00:05) [NHSG] Kneel down by UNM at UNM22 (team loss of 3), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 3:25
Andrew Henry run for 33 yds for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK)
+16.8
TD · Q2 0:24
Brayden Schager pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 18 yds for a TD (Matthew Shipley KICK)
-13.6
TD · Q3 8:10
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Jeremiah Hixon for 17 yds for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK)
+12.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com