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HAW

Hawai'i 20 at UNLV 44

UNLV
2023 · Week 5 · Sep 30, 2023 · Allegiant Stadium
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Win probability · UNLV
modelUNLV aheadHAW aheadconfidence bandkey playUNLV scoreHAW score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGFGFGTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 5:57 · Matthew Shipley punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the 50 yard line
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+34.0+17.00−17.0−34.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 156Pregame prior+2.4Home team on offense+25.7Score differential+10.2Garbage-time factor+7.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+8.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:45: Courtney Reese run for 4 yds for a TD (Jose Pizano KICK) — UNLV win probability +10.4 pts (now 91%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 11:45: Brayden Schager pass complete to Steven McBride for 51 yds for a TD (Matthew Shipley KICK) — HAW win probability +9.5 pts (now 21%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 8:17: Courtney Reese run for 21 yds for a TD (Jose Pizano KICK) — UNLV win probability +11.9 pts (now 93%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 12:47: Brayden Schager pass complete to Alex Perry for 38 yds for a TD (Matthew Shipley KICK) — HAW win probability +11.9 pts (now 18%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 8:18: Jayden Maiava pass complete to Jacob De Jesus for 3 yds for a TD (Jose Pizano KICK) — UNLV win probability +10.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UNLV made the numbers' call on 4 of 7HAW made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 14:14UNLV 4th & 6 at UNLV 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.0%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:33HAW 4th & 17 at HAW 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.3%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:53HAW 4th & 30 at HAW 5, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.9%−0.4
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.4%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:15UNLV 4th & 5 at UNLV 49, up 7
    Close callPunted · 77.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.6%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:24HAW 4th & 1 at HAW 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 22.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    23.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    22.4%−0.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:54HAW 4th & 3 at UNLV 38, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 23.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    23.5%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    22.9%−0.7
    38% to make
    Punt
    22.8%−0.7
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:27UNLV 4th & 8 at HAW 34, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 77.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.4%
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    77.3%−<0.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    77.0%−0.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 12:00HAW 4th & 10 at UNLV 16, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 21.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.7%−0.7
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    21.4%
    81% to make
    Punt
    18.0%−3.4
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:56UNLV 4th & 3 at HAW 9, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 78.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    78.0%−0.5
    89% to make
    Punt
    74.1%−4.4
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:00HAW 4th & 10 at HAW 37, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.4%−1.0
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.4%
    average punt
  11. Q3 13:11HAW 4th & 4 at HAW 37, down 17
    Close callPunted · 10.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.5%−0.2
    average punt
  12. Q3 11:53UNLV 4th & 15 at UNLV 18, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.2%−2.3
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.5%
    average punt
  13. Q3 10:04UNLV 4th & 1 at HAW 34, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 83.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    83.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    80.6%−2.7
    47% to make
    Punt
    79.9%−3.4
    average punt
  14. Q3 5:07HAW 4th & 6 at UNLV 16, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 7.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.6%−0.5
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    7.1%
    81% to make
    Punt
    1.1%−6.0
    average punt
  15. Q4 14:29UNLV 4th & 12 at HAW 30, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 93.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.7%−0.9
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.6%
    56% to make
    Punt
    92.5%−1.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 5:57HAW 4th & 20 at HAW 15, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%−0.7
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.5%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UNLV made the numbers' call on 4 of 5HAW made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 9:04UNLV Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:45UNLV Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 11:45HAW Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    16.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    16.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 8:17UNLV Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 12:47HAW Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    11.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    11.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 8:18UNLV Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.1%−0.3
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 5:37UNLV Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNLVDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:3573% → 73%
Q1 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
73.2%
Jayden Maiava run for 4 yds to the UNLV 29Similar
Q1 14:28
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
73.1%
Jayden Maiava pass incomplete to Senika McKieSimilar
Q1 14:23
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
73.1%
Jayden Maiava pass incomplete to Jacob De JesusSimilar
Q1 14:14
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
73.0%
Marshall Nichols punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Steven McBride at the HAW 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 2PUNT
9 plays · 1 yds · 2:3227% → 27%
Q1 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+8
73.0%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Steven McBride for 8 yds to the HAW 42Similar
Q1 13:35
2ND & 2
OWN 42
-10
72.8%
Brayden Schager sacked by Johnathan Baldwin for a loss of 10 yards to the HAW 32Similar
Q1 12:56
3RD & 12
OWN 32
0
72.9%
(13:04) No Huddle-Shotgun Schager,Brayden pass incomplete deep right to Ashlock,Pofele PENALTY UNLV Holding declined UNLV Holding (Elad,Jett) 10 yards from Hawaii32 to Hawaii42, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:56
3RD & 12
OWN 32
0
72.9%
Brayden Schager pass incomplete to Pofele Ashlock for a 1ST down UNLV Penalty, Defensive Holding (Jett Elad) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
72.6%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Tylan Hines for 2 yds to the HAW 44Similar
Q1 12:11
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+4
72.5%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Tylan Hines for 4 yds to the HAW 40Similar
Q1 11:42
3RD & 12
OWN 40
0
72.6%
Brayden Schager pass incomplete to Pofele AshlockSimilar
Q1 11:42
4TH & 12
OWN 40
-5
72.7%
PENALTY Hawaii False Start (Atkins,Joshua) 5 yards from Hawaii40 to Hawaii35. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:33
4TH & 17
OWN 35
+9
72.8%
Matthew Shipley punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UNLV 34 , Jacob De Jesus returns for 9 yds to the UNLV 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 3TD
5 plays · 66 yds · 2:1873% → 74%
Q1 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+32
72.6%
Jordan Younge-Humphrey run for 32 yds to the HAW 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:47
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+12
72.9%
Jordan Younge-Humphrey run for 12 yds to the HAW 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:13
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+3
72.9%
Vincent Davis Jr. run for 3 yds to the HAW 19Similar
Q1 9:37
2ND & 7
OPP 19
+3
72.9%
Vincent Davis Jr. run for 3 yds to the HAW 16Similar
Q1 9:04
3RD & 4
OPP 16
+16
74.3%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Vincent Davis Jr. for 16 yds for a TD (Jose Pizano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · -20 yds · 1:0426% → 26%
Q1 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
73.8%
Brayden Schager pass incomplete to Steven McBrideSimilar
Q1 8:51
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-8
73.8%
Brayden Schager sacked by Marsel McDuffie for a loss of 8 yards to the HAW 17Similar
Q1 8:09
3RD & 18
OWN 17
0
74.2%
Hawai'i Penalty, Offensive Holding (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 7:53
4TH & 30
OWN 5
0
74.2%
Matthew Shipley punt for 51 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:3075% → 74%
Q1 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
74.5%
Courtney Reese run for 3 yds to the UNLV 47Similar
Q1 7:15
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+5
74.6%
Donavyn Lester run for 5 yds to the HAW 48Similar
Q1 6:46
3RD & 2
OPP 48
+3
74.5%
Courtney Reese run for 3 yds to the UNLV 49Similar
Q1 6:15
4TH & 5
OWN 49
0
74.2%
Marshall Nichols punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Steven McBride at the HAW 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 6DOWNS
13 plays · 52 yds · 6:1126% → 26%
Q1 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+10
74.1%
Tylan Hines run for 10 yds to the HAW 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
74.1%
Tylan Hines run for 4 yds to the HAW 24Similar
Q1 4:56
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+7
74.1%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Steven McBride for 7 yds to the HAW 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
74.0%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Tylan Hines for 1 yd to the HAW 30Similar
Q1 3:41
2ND & 11
OWN 30
+10
74.3%
Jordan Johnson run for 10 yds to the HAW 40Similar
Q1 2:48
3RD & 1
OWN 40
0
73.5%
Dalen Morris run for no gain to the HAW 40Similar
Q1 2:24
4TH & 1
OWN 40
+2
74.0%
Dalen Morris run for 2 yds to the HAW 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+13
73.6%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Koali Nishigaya for 13 yds to the UNLV 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:13
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
73.5%
Brayden Schager pass incomplete to Pofele AshlockSimilar
Q1 1:06
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
73.6%
Jordan Johnson run for no gain to the UNLV 45Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 45
+7
74.3%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Nick Cenacle for 7 yds to the UNLV 38Similar
Q2 14:54
4TH & 3
OPP 38
0
74.2%
Brayden Schager pass incomplete to Nick CenacleSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 7FG
6 plays · 28 yds · 1:1876% → 76%
Q2 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+11
75.7%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 11 yds to the HAW 49 for a 1ST down Hawai'i Penalty, Personal Foul (Meki Pei) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+11
75.7%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 11 yds to the HAW 49 for a 1ST down Hawai'i Penalty, Personal Foul (Meki Pei) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:23
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
76.2%
Jayden Maiava pass incomplete to Senika McKieSimilar
Q2 14:19
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+2
76.2%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 2 yds to the HAW 34Similar
Q2 13:33
3RD & 8
OPP 34
0
76.1%
Jayden Maiava pass incomplete to Jacob De JesusSimilar
Q2 13:27
4TH & 8
OPP 34
+52
76.1%
Jose Pizano 52 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 8FG
9 plays · 59 yds · 1:2024% → 25%
Q2 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+24
76.5%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Steven McBride for 24 yds to the HAW 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+35
75.6%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Steven McBride for 35 yds to the UNLV 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:18
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
74.8%
Brayden Schager pass incomplete to Pofele AshlockSimilar
Q2 12:04
2ND & 10
OPP 16
0
75.9%
Brayden Schager pass incomplete to Steven McBrideSimilar
Q2 12:02
3RD & 10
OPP 16
0
76.6%
Brayden Schager pass incomplete to Pofele AshlockSimilar
Q2 12:00
4TH & 10
OPP 16
+33
75.5%
Matthew Shipley 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 9FG
15 plays · 66 yds · 6:5476% → 80%
Q2 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
75.9%
Vincent Davis Jr. run for 5 yds to the UNLV 30Similar
Q2 11:22
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
76.1%
Donavyn Lester run for no gain to the UNLV 30Similar
Q2 10:45
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-10
75.7%
(10:48) No Huddle-Shotgun Maiava,Jayden pass complete short right to De Jesus,Jacob for 5 yards to the UNLV35 (Pei,Meki), out of bounds PENALTY UNLV Holding (Thomas,Jai'Den) 10 yards from UNLV30 to UNLV20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:14
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+21
75.5%
Jayden Maiava run for 21 yds to the UNLV 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
77.2%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 4 yds to the UNLV 45Similar
Q2 9:24
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+3
77.3%
Jacob De Jesus run for 3 yds to the UNLV 42Similar
Q2 8:43
3RD & 9
OWN 42
+9
76.4%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Jai'Den Thomas for 19 yds to the HAW 39 for a 1ST down UNLV Penalty, Offensive Holding (Dominic Gicinto) to the HAW 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:22
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
77.6%
Jayden Maiava run for 4 yds to the HAW 45Similar
Q2 7:41
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+1
78.4%
Donavyn Lester run for 1 yd to the HAW 44Similar
Q2 7:00
3RD & 5
OPP 44
+28
78.2%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Senika McKie for 28 yds to the HAW 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:24
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
79.1%
Jayden Maiava pass incomplete to Dominic GicintoSimilar
Q2 6:17
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+1
79.1%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 1 yd to the HAW 15Similar
Q2 5:42
3RD & 9
OPP 15
+6
78.4%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 6 yds to the HAW 9Similar
Q2 4:56
4TH & 3
OPP 9
+27
79.5%
Jose Pizano 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 10FUMBLE
8 plays · 5 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q2 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
79.7%
Tylan Hines run for 2 yds to the HAW 27Similar
Q2 4:56
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+2
79.7%
Tylan Hines run for 2 yds to the HAW 29Similar
Q2 4:56
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+8
79.9%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 8 yds to the HAW 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-9
79.3%
Brayden Schager sacked by Darius Johnson for a loss of 9 yards to the HAW 28Similar
Q2 4:56
2ND & 19
OWN 28
+5
80.0%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Jordan Johnson for 5 yds to the HAW 33Similar
Q2 4:56
3RD & 14
OWN 33
-3
80.4%
Brayden Schager sacked by Zavier Carter for a loss of 3 yards to the HAW 30 Hawai'i Penalty, Defensive Holding (Cam Stone) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 11TD
4 plays · 30 yds · 4:1180% → 91%
Q2 4:56
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+20
80.2%
Vincent Davis Jr. run for 10 yds to the HAW 20 for a 1ST down Hawai'i Penalty, Face Mask (10 yards) (Jonah Kahahawai-Welch) to the HAW 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
80.2%
Hawai'i Penalty, Personal Foul (5 Yards) to the HAW 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
80.2%
Courtney Reese run for 1 yd to the HAW 4Similar
Q2 0:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
90.6%
Courtney Reese run for 4 yds for a TD (Jose Pizano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 4:5612% → 9%
Q2 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
88.5%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Koali Nishigaya for 7 yds to the HAW 32Similar
Q2 4:56
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+5
86.6%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 5 yds to the HAW 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
88.0%
Brayden Schager pass incomplete to Nick CenacleSimilar
Q2 4:56
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
88.1%
Brayden Schager pass incomplete to Pofele AshlockSimilar
Q2 4:56
3RD & 10
OWN 37
0
88.6%
Brayden Schager pass incomplete to Chuuky HinesSimilar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 10
OWN 37
+3
91.0%
Matthew Shipley punt for 36 yds , DeAngelo Irvin Jr. returns for 3 yds to the UNLV 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:4213% → 12%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
87.0%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 7 yds to the HAW 38Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 3
OWN 38
+1
86.3%
Jordan Johnson run for 1 yd to the HAW 39Similar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 2
OWN 39
+2
86.7%
Jordan Johnson run for 2 yds to the HAW 37Similar
Q3 13:11
4TH & 4
OWN 37
0
88.5%
Matthew Shipley punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Jacob De Jesus at the UNLV 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 1:1889% → 89%
Q3 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-10
88.5%
Shotgun Davis,Vincent rush left for 13 yards gain to the UNLV36 (Tufaga,Isaiah; King,Devyn) PENALTY UNLV Holding (Hasz,Jack) 10 yards from UNLV23 to UNLV13. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:11
1ST & 20
OWN 13
+5
88.4%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Ricky White for 5 yds to the UNLV 18Similar
Q3 13:11
2ND & 15
OWN 18
0
88.4%
Jayden Maiava pass incomplete to Kaleo BallungaySimilar
Q3 13:11
3RD & 15
OWN 18
0
87.9%
Jayden Maiava pass incomplete to Christian EarlsSimilar
Q3 11:53
4TH & 15
OWN 18
+25
88.7%
Marshall Nichols punt for 58 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the HAW 49 , Steven McBride returns for 25 yds to the HAW 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 15TD
1 play · 51 yds · 0:0021% → 21%
Q3 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+51
79.2%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Steven McBride for 51 yds for a TD (Matthew Shipley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 16TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:2881% → 93%
Q3 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
81.2%
Donavyn Lester run for 21 yds to the UNLV 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
82.4%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 2 yds to the UNLV 44Similar
Q3 11:45
2ND & 12
OWN 44
+13
81.8%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 13 yds to the HAW 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:04
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
82.6%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 1 yd to the HAW 42Similar
Q3 10:04
2ND & 9
OPP 42
0
82.4%
Jayden Maiava pass incomplete to Timothy ConerlySimilar
Q3 10:04
3RD & 9
OPP 42
+8
81.7%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 8 yds to the HAW 34Similar
Q3 10:04
4TH & 1
OPP 34
+13
81.2%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Courtney Reese for 13 yds to the HAW 21 for a 1ST down Hawai'i Penalty, Defensive Holding (Cam Stone) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:17
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
93.1%
Courtney Reese run for 21 yds for a TD (Jose Pizano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 17FG
7 plays · 64 yds · 3:0410% → 14%
Q3 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
89.9%
Tylan Hines run for 5 yds to the HAW 25Similar
Q3 8:11
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+55
89.3%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Steven McBride for 55 yds to the UNLV 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:11
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
87.3%
Brayden Schager pass incomplete to Jalen WalthallSimilar
Q3 8:11
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+2
87.5%
Tylan Hines run for 2 yds to the UNLV 22Similar
Q3 8:11
3RD & 12
OPP 22
+6
88.8%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 6 yds to the UNLV 16Similar
Q3 5:07
4TH & 6
OPP 16
+34
85.8%
Matthew Shipley 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 18FG
14 plays · 45 yds · 5:3888% → 97%
Q3 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
88.3%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Ricky White for 5 yds to the UNLV 30Similar
Q3 5:07
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
88.4%
Jayden Maiava run for 3 yds to the UNLV 33Similar
Q3 5:07
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+12
87.9%
Donavyn Lester run for 12 yds to the UNLV 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+16
89.3%
Donavyn Lester run for 16 yds to the HAW 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:07
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
89.5%
Donavyn Lester run for 4 yds to the HAW 35Similar
Q3 5:07
2ND & 6
OPP 35
0
89.5%
Jayden Maiava pass incomplete to Ricky WhiteSimilar
Q3 5:07
3RD & 6
OPP 35
+7
89.0%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Jacob De Jesus for 7 yds to the HAW 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:07
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+1
89.5%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 1 yd to the HAW 29Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 11
OPP 29
+2
93.8%
Jacob De Jesus run for 2 yds to the HAW 31 Jacob De Jesus fumbled, recovered by HAW Jacob De JesusSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 13
OPP 31
-5
93.6%
PENALTY UNLV False Start (Hasz,Jack) 5 yards from Hawaii31 to Hawaii36. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 18
OPP 36
+6
93.5%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 6 yds to the HAW 30Similar
Q4 14:29
4TH & 12
OPP 30
+48
97.2%
Jose Pizano 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 19TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 1:355% → 18%
Q4 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
94.6%
Jordan Johnson run for 12 yds to the HAW 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+15
94.2%
UNLV Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Marsel McDuffie) to the HAW 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
94.2%
Jordan Johnson run for 5 yds to the UNLV 48Similar
Q4 14:22
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+10
94.1%
Shotgun Schager,Brayden sacked for loss of 2 yards to the UNLV50 (Dixon,Jalen) PENALTY UNLV Holding (Turner,Jaxen) 10 yards from UNLV48 to UNLV38, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:22
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
94.0%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:47
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+38
82.1%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Alex Perry for 38 yds for a TD (Matthew Shipley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 20TD
12 plays · 80 yds · 4:2587% → 99%
Q4 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
86.7%
Vincent Davis Jr. run for 11 yds to the UNLV 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
86.9%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Ricky White for 6 yds to the UNLV 37Similar
Q4 12:43
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+34
87.3%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Ricky White for 34 yds to the HAW 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:43
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-5
88.3%
PENALTY UNLV False Start (St. John,Jalen) 5 yards from Hawaii29 to Hawaii34. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:43
1ST & 15
OPP 34
0
88.2%
Jayden Maiava pass incomplete to Jacob De JesusSimilar
Q4 12:43
2ND & 15
OPP 34
+9
88.0%
Vincent Davis Jr. run for 9 yds to the HAW 25Similar
Q4 12:43
3RD & 6
OPP 25
+6
87.8%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Ricky White for 6 yds to the HAW 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:43
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
88.3%
Vincent Davis Jr. run for 4 yds to the HAW 15Similar
Q4 12:43
2ND & 6
OPP 15
+12
88.3%
Donavyn Lester run for 12 yds to the HAW 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
88.3%
Donavyn Lester run for no gain to the HAW 3Similar
Q4 8:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
98.7%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Jacob De Jesus for 3 yds for a TD (Jose Pizano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · -10 yds · 2:214% → 3%
Q4 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
96.5%
Tylan Hines run for 7 yds to the HAW 32Similar
Q4 8:18
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
96.3%
Tylan Hines run for 2 yds to the HAW 34Similar
Q4 8:18
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-4
96.3%
Brayden Schager sacked by Ose Egbase for a loss of 4 yards to the HAW 30Similar
Q4 8:18
4TH & 5
OWN 30
-15
96.6%
Shotgun Schager,Brayden pass complete deep middle to Ashlock,Pofele for 58 yards to the UNLV12 (Anderson,Thomas) PENALTY Hawaii Pass Interference (Perry,Alex) 15 yards from Hawaii30 to Hawaii15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:57
4TH & 20
OWN 15
0
97.2%
Matthew Shipley punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 22TD
3 plays · 50 yds · 0:2099% → 100%
Q4 5:57
1ST & 10
50
+13
99.1%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 13 yds to the HAW 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:57
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+15
99.1%
PENALTY Hawaii Face Mask (Ho'ohuli,Wynden) 15 yards from Hawaii37 to Hawaii22, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:37
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
99.6%
Donavyn Lester run for 22 yds for a TD (Jose Pizano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 23INT
10 plays · 74 yds · 4:101% → 1%
Q4 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.2%
Jordan Johnson run for 7 yds to the HAW 32Similar
Q4 5:37
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+10
99.2%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Nick Cenacle for 10 yds to the HAW 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+13
99.2%
Tylan Hines run for 13 yds to the UNLV 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:37
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+10
99.2%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Nick Cenacle for 10 yds to the UNLV 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:37
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
99.1%
Nasjzae Bryant-Lelei run for 2 yds to the UNLV 33Similar
Q4 5:37
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+15
99.0%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Karsyn Pupunu for 15 yds to the UNLV 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:37
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+12
99.0%
Landon Sims run for 12 yds to the UNLV 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
99.0%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Tamatoa Mokiao-Atimalala for 5 yds to the UNLV 1Similar
Q4 1:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.2%
Brayden Schager pass intercepted, touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 24END OF GAME
4 plays · 10 yds · 1:27100% → 100%
Q4 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
99.8%
Donavyn Lester run for 2 yds to the UNLV 22Similar
Q4 1:27
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+6
99.8%
Courtney Reese run for 6 yds to the UNLV 28Similar
Q4 1:27
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+3
99.8%
Donavyn Lester run for 3 yds to the UNLV 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-1
99.8%
Kneel down by UNLV at UNLV30 for loss of 1 yard.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 8:17
Courtney Reese run for 21 yds for a TD (Jose Pizano KICK)
+11.9
TD · Q4 12:47
Brayden Schager pass complete to Alex Perry for 38 yds for a TD (Matthew Shipley KICK)
-11.9
TD · Q2 0:45
Courtney Reese run for 4 yds for a TD (Jose Pizano KICK)
+10.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com