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UALB

UAlbany 20 at Hawai'i 31

HAW
2023 · Week 2 · Sep 9, 2023 · Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex
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Win probability · HAW
modelHAW aheadUALB aheadconfidence bandkey playHAW scoreUALB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDFGTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 7:11 · Matthew Shipley punt for 46 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+28.5+14.30−14.3−28.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 64Pregame prior+17.8Home team on offense−4.4Garbage-time factor−0.7Score differential−0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.7Blowout margin−0.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:20: Larry Walker Jr. 35 Yd Interception Return (John Opalko Kick) — UALB win probability +5.3 pts (now 31%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 3:34: Brayden Schager pass complete to Steven McBride for 30 yds for a TD (Matthew Shipley KICK) — HAW win probability +9.2 pts (now 74%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 0:00: John Opalko 46 yd FG GOOD — UALB win probability +12.9 pts (now 39%) (top driver: UALB has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 6:10: Brayden Schager pass complete to Jalen Walthall for 34 yds for a TD (Matthew Shipley KICK) — HAW win probability +11.7 pts (now 82%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 3:20: Brayden Schager pass complete to Steven McBride for 12 yds for a TD (Matthew Shipley KICK) — HAW win probability +10.3 pts (now 96%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
HAW made the numbers' call on 9 of 9UALB made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 12:51HAW 4th & 6 at UALB 8, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 76.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.2%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    76.2%
    90% to make
    Punt
    75.8%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:29UALB 4th & 1 at UALB 34, down 3
    Close callPunted · 24.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.9%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:52HAW 4th & 15 at HAW 2, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.7%−0.6
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.3%
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:57UALB 4th & 5 at UALB 41, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.4%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:11HAW 4th & 25 at HAW 29, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.5%−2.6
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:17UALB 4th & 10 at UALB 40, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.1%−1.0
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.1%
    average punt
  7. Q3 15:00HAW 4th & 1 at HAW 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 67.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    68.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    67.5%−1.0
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:36HAW 4th & 9 at HAW 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.8%−1.4
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.2%
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:53UALB 4th & 9 at UALB 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.6%−2.0
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:10HAW 4th & 6 at UALB 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 66.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    66.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    66.1%−0.8
    47% to make
    Punt
    64.9%−2.0
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:37UALB 4th & 4 at UALB 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.0%−1.0
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.9%
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:32UALB 4th & 4 at HAW 15, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 23.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.6%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    22.5%−0.1
    83% to make
    Punt
    12.9%−9.6
    average punt
  13. Q3 1:03HAW 4th & 18 at HAW 32, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.5%−6.4
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.9%
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:43UALB 4th & 5 at UALB 17, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.5%−0.9
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.4%
    average punt
  15. Q4 12:44HAW 4th & 1 at HAW 40, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 74.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    75.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    71.1%−4.2
    average punt
  16. Q4 10:02UALB 4th & 3 at HAW 17, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 31.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    31.4%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    30.7%−0.8
    80% to make
    Punt
    19.1%−12.3
    average punt
  17. Q4 7:36HAW 4th & 1 at HAW 39, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 76.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    78.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    73.8%−4.3
    average punt
  18. Q4 2:15UALB 4th & 22 at HAW 43, down 11
    Close callWent for it · 4.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.3%−0.3
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    4.5%−0.1
    28% to make
    Punt
    4.7%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
HAW made the numbers' call on 3 of 4UALB made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 7:56UALB Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:09HAW Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:20UALB Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:34HAW Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 6:10HAW Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 3:20HAW Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.2%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.2%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UALBDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0022% → 22%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
77.9%
UAlbany Penalty, False Start (Scott Houseman) to the ALB 20Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
77.9%
Reese Poffenbarger pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+7
77.9%
Brevin Easton run for 7 yds to the ALB 27Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
77.9%
Reese Poffenbarger pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 2FG
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:2578% → 78%
Q1 14:16
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
77.8%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:16
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+2
77.8%
Tylan Hines run for 2 yds to the ALB 10Similar
Q1 14:16
3RD & 8
OPP 10
+2
77.8%
Brayden Schager run for 2 yds to the ALB 8Similar
Q1 12:51
4TH & 6
OPP 8
+25
77.6%
Matthew Shipley 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UALBDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 2:2223% → 23%
Q1 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
77.5%
ADEN, Faysal rush to the left for a gain of 1 yard to the UAB26 (KAHAHAWAI-WELCH, Jonah). PENALTY UAB Holding on MAROTTA, Will enforced 10 yards from the UAB25 to the UAB15 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 12:51
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+5
77.6%
Reese Poffenbarger pass complete to Levi Wentz for 5 yds to the ALB 20Similar
Q1 12:51
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+9
77.6%
Faysal Aden run for 9 yds to the ALB 29Similar
Q1 10:37
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+5
77.2%
Reese Poffenbarger run for 5 yds to the ALB 34Similar
Q1 10:29
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
77.1%
Tyler Pastula punt for 59 yds, fair catch by Steven McBride at the HAW 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 1:3777% → 76%
Q1 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 7
0
76.9%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:29
2ND & 10
OWN 7
+5
76.9%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Jonah Panoke for 5 yds to the HAW 12Similar
Q1 10:29
3RD & 5
OWN 12
-9
76.8%
Brayden Schager sacked by Anton Juncaj for a loss of 9 yards to the HAW 3Similar
Q1 10:29
4TH & 14
OWN 3
0
76.7%
Hawai'i Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the HAW 2Similar
Q1 8:52
4TH & 15
OWN 2
0
76.2%
Matthew Shipley punt for 49 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UALBDrive 5TD
4 plays · 51 yds · 0:5624% → 25%
Q1 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
76.3%
Reese Poffenbarger pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:52
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+10
76.4%
Nate Larkins run for 10 yds to the HAW 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:52
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
76.3%
Reese Poffenbarger pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:56
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+41
74.6%
Reese Poffenbarger run for 41 yds for a TD (John Opalko KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 6INT
6 plays · 73 yds · 1:0275% → 75%
Q1 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+15
75.0%
UAlbany Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Joseph Greaney) to the HAW 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+53
75.1%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 53 yds to the ALB 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:50
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
76.0%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:56
2ND & 10
OPP 17
0
75.4%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:48
3RD & 10
OPP 17
0
75.0%
Brayden Schager pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UALBDrive 7INT
6 plays · 35 yds · 2:5225% → 28%
Q1 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+4
74.8%
Faysal Aden run for 4 yds to the ALB 21Similar
Q1 6:48
2ND & 6
OWN 21
0
74.8%
Reese Poffenbarger pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:48
3RD & 6
OWN 21
+6
75.0%
Reese Poffenbarger pass complete to Caden Burti for 6 yds to the ALB 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+18
74.7%
Reese Poffenbarger pass complete to Caden Burti for 18 yds to the ALB 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
74.3%
Reese Poffenbarger pass complete to Levi Wentz for 7 yds to the HAW 48Similar
Q1 3:56
2ND & 3
OPP 48
0
72.1%
Reese Poffenbarger pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 8TD
9 plays · 74 yds · 3:4773% → 76%
Q1 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+18
73.0%
Tylan Hines run for 18 yds to the HAW 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+14
73.8%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Jonah Panoke for 14 yds to the ALB 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:56
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-1
74.1%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Steven McBride for a loss of 1 yard to the ALB 43Similar
Q1 3:56
2ND & 11
OPP 43
+8
73.9%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Steven McBride for 8 yds to the ALB 35Similar
Q1 3:56
3RD & 3
OPP 35
+15
74.0%
Nasjzae Bryant-Lelei run for 15 yds to the ALB 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:56
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+11
74.4%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Jalen Walthall for 11 yds to the ALB 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
74.4%
Nasjzae Bryant-Lelei run for no gain to the ALB 9Similar
Q1 3:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
74.4%
Tylan Hines run for 5 yds to the ALB 4Similar
Q1 0:09
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
76.0%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Jonah Panoke for 4 yds for a TD (Matthew Shipley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UALBDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 3:0325% → 26%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
74.7%
Nate Larkins run for 1 yd to the ALB 26Similar
Q2 14:19
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+4
74.9%
Nate Larkins run for 4 yds to the ALB 30Similar
Q2 14:19
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+6
74.9%
Reese Poffenbarger pass complete to Caden Burti for 6 yds to the ALB 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:19
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
74.3%
Nate Larkins run for 7 yds to the ALB 43Similar
Q2 14:19
2ND & 3
OWN 43
-2
73.7%
Nate Larkins run for a loss of 2 yards to the ALB 41Similar
Q2 14:19
3RD & 5
OWN 41
0
74.0%
Reese Poffenbarger pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:57
4TH & 5
OWN 41
0
74.3%
Tyler Pastula punt for 47 yds, downed at the HAW 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 10INT TD
2 plays · 7 yds · 0:3774% → 69%
Q2 11:57
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+7
74.3%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Nick Cenacle for 7 yds to the HAW 19Similar
Q2 11:20
2ND & 3
OWN 19
-35
69.0%
Larry Walker Jr. 35 Yd Interception Return (John Opalko Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 11PUNT
10 plays · 0 yds · 4:0269% → 63%
Q2 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
69.0%
Jordan Johnson run for 4 yds to the HAW 33Similar
Q2 10:05
2ND & 6
OWN 33
+3
68.0%
Jordan Johnson run for 3 yds to the HAW 36Similar
Q2 10:05
3RD & 3
OWN 36
+8
68.3%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Steven McBride for 8 yds to the HAW 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-5
69.3%
Hawai'i Penalty, False Start (Pofele Ashlock) to the HAW 39Similar
Q2 10:05
1ST & 15
OWN 39
0
68.2%
Solo Vaipulu run for no gain to the HAW 39Similar
Q2 10:05
2ND & 15
OWN 39
+6
68.0%
Jordan Johnson run for 6 yds to the HAW 45Similar
Q2 10:05
3RD & 9
OWN 45
-11
67.9%
Brayden Schager sacked by AJ Simon for a loss of 11 yards to the HAW 34Similar
Q2 10:05
4TH & 20
OWN 34
-5
66.8%
Hawai'i Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the HAW 29Similar
Q2 7:11
4TH & 25
OWN 29
0
63.4%
Matthew Shipley punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UALBDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:5436% → 34%
Q2 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
63.7%
Reese Poffenbarger pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:11
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
64.1%
Faysal Aden run for no gain to the ALB 40Similar
Q2 7:11
3RD & 10
OWN 40
0
64.7%
Reese Poffenbarger pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:17
4TH & 10
OWN 40
0
65.9%
Tyler Pastula punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 13TD
9 plays · 62 yds · 2:4365% → 74%
Q2 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
65.3%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Koali Nishigaya for 5 yds to the HAW 43Similar
Q2 6:17
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+17
66.5%
Nasjzae Bryant-Lelei run for 17 yds to the ALB 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:17
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
67.0%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for no gain to the ALB 40Similar
Q2 6:17
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+15
66.8%
UAlbany Penalty, Roughing the Passer on GREANEY, Joseph enforced (Joseph Greaney) to the ALB 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:17
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
67.8%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:17
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+2
67.8%
Jordan Johnson run for 2 yds to the ALB 15Similar
Q2 6:17
3RD & 8
OPP 15
-10
66.9%
Hawai'i Penalty, Offensive Holding (Solo Vaipulu) to the ALB 25Similar
Q2 6:17
3RD & 18
OPP 25
-5
65.2%
Hawai'i Penalty, False Start (Josh Atkins) to the ALB 30Similar
Q2 3:34
3RD & 23
OPP 30
+30
74.4%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Steven McBride for 30 yds for a TD (Matthew Shipley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UALBDrive 14FG
14 plays · 53 yds · 3:2827% → 39%
Q2 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+6
72.9%
Nate Larkins run for 6 yds to the ALB 24Similar
Q2 3:28
2ND & 4
OWN 24
+2
72.3%
Nate Larkins run for 2 yds to the ALB 26Similar
Q2 3:28
3RD & 2
OWN 26
+5
72.8%
Nate Larkins run for 5 yds to the ALB 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
72.4%
Faysal Aden run for 1 yd to the ALB 32Similar
Q2 3:28
2ND & 9
OWN 32
+1
72.6%
Faysal Aden run for 1 yd to the ALB 33Similar
Q2 3:28
3RD & 8
OWN 33
+11
73.4%
Reese Poffenbarger pass complete to Julian Hicks for 11 yds to the ALB 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
71.0%
Reese Poffenbarger pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:21
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+5
72.7%
Reese Poffenbarger pass complete to Brevin Easton for 5 yds to the ALB 49Similar
Q2 0:21
3RD & 5
OWN 49
+15
71.6%
Hawai'i Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Peter Manuma) to the HAW 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:21
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
70.5%
Reese Poffenbarger pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:02
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+15
73.6%
Reese Poffenbarger pass complete to Julian Hicks for 15 yds to the HAW 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+46
60.6%
John Opalko 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 12 yds · 3:2469% → 66%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
69.4%
Jordan Johnson run for 2 yds to the HAW 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
69.6%
Brayden Schager run for 4 yds to the HAW 31Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+3
68.8%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Koali Nishigaya for 3 yds to the HAW 34Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+2
68.3%
Dalen Morris run for 2 yds to the HAW 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
70.3%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+1
69.9%
Nasjzae Bryant-Lelei run for 1 yd to the HAW 37Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 37
0
69.0%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:36
4TH & 9
OWN 37
0
66.1%
Matthew Shipley punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Caden Burti at the ALB 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UALBDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 2:4335% → 34%
Q3 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+8
65.2%
Griffin Woodell run for 8 yds to the ALB 30Similar
Q3 11:36
2ND & 2
OWN 30
0
63.4%
Reese Poffenbarger pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:36
3RD & 2
OWN 30
+4
65.1%
Nate Larkins run for 4 yds to the ALB 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+9
64.4%
Faysal Aden run for 9 yds to the ALB 43Similar
Q3 11:36
2ND & 1
OWN 43
-8
62.4%
Reese Poffenbarger sacked by Tariq Jones for a loss of 8 yards to the ALB 35Similar
Q3 11:36
3RD & 9
OWN 35
0
66.0%
Reese Poffenbarger pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:53
4TH & 9
OWN 35
0
65.9%
Tyler Pastula punt for 48 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 17TD
10 plays · 83 yds · 2:4367% → 82%
Q3 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
66.9%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:53
2ND & 10
OWN 17
-2
66.5%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Tylan Hines for a loss of 2 yards to the HAW 15Similar
Q3 8:53
3RD & 12
OWN 15
+24
65.1%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Jonah Panoke for 24 yds to the HAW 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
68.4%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:53
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+8
68.1%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 8 yds to the HAW 47Similar
Q3 8:53
3RD & 2
OWN 47
+15
69.2%
Jordan Johnson run for 15 yds to the ALB 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:53
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
70.6%
Jordan Johnson run for 4 yds to the ALB 34Similar
Q3 8:53
2ND & 6
OPP 34
0
71.5%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:53
3RD & 6
OPP 34
0
70.1%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:10
4TH & 6
OPP 34
+34
81.8%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Jalen Walthall for 34 yds for a TD (Matthew Shipley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UALBDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:3322% → 20%
Q3 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
78.3%
Reese Poffenbarger pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:10
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
78.5%
Faysal Aden run for a loss of 1 yard to the ALB 24Similar
Q3 6:10
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+7
79.6%
Reese Poffenbarger run for 7 yds to the ALB 31Similar
Q3 4:37
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
80.0%
Tyler Pastula punt for 57 yds , Steven McBride returns for no gain to the HAW 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 19INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0981% → 81%
Q3 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
81.2%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:28
2ND & 10
OWN 9
0
81.1%
Brayden Schager pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UALBDrive 20FG
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:5626% → 30%
Q3 4:28
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
73.8%
Reese Poffenbarger pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:28
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+6
74.3%
Griffin Woodell run for 6 yds to the HAW 15Similar
Q3 4:28
3RD & 4
OPP 15
0
75.5%
Reese Poffenbarger pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:32
4TH & 4
OPP 15
+32
70.5%
John Opalko 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 2:2075% → 73%
Q3 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
75.2%
Nasjzae Bryant-Lelei run for no gain to the HAW 27Similar
Q3 3:23
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+13
74.8%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 13 yds to the HAW 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:23
2ND & 8
OWN 42
0
76.9%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:23
3RD & 8
OWN 42
-10
75.0%
Brayden Schager sacked by Anton Juncaj for a loss of 10 yards to the HAW 32Similar
Q3 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
76.9%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Steven McBride for no gain to the HAW 40Similar
Q3 1:03
4TH & 18
OWN 32
0
72.5%
Matthew Shipley punt for 56 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UALBDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:2027% → 25%
Q3 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+6
72.7%
Reese Poffenbarger pass complete to Brevin Easton for 6 yds to the ALB 18Similar
Q3 1:03
2ND & 4
OWN 18
-1
72.6%
Nate Larkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the ALB 17Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 17
0
74.1%
Reese Poffenbarger pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:43
4TH & 5
OWN 17
0
75.1%
Tyler Pastula punt for 42 yds , returns for no gain to the ALB 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 23DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:5975% → 75%
Q4 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
75.3%
Jordan Johnson run for 1 yd to the HAW 32Similar
Q4 14:43
2ND & 9
OWN 32
+1
75.0%
Brayden Schager run for 1 yd to the HAW 33Similar
Q4 12:48
3RD & 8
OWN 33
+7
73.7%
Brayden Schager run for 7 yds to the HAW 40Similar
Q4 12:44
4TH & 1
OWN 40
0
74.7%
Dalen Morris run for no gain to the HAW 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UALBDrive 24DOWNS
5 plays · 20 yds · 2:4234% → 33%
Q4 12:44
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+16
66.0%
Faysal Aden run for 16 yds to the HAW 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:44
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
63.8%
Faysal Aden run for no gain to the HAW 24Similar
Q4 12:44
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+1
64.6%
Griffin Woodell run for 1 yd to the HAW 23Similar
Q4 12:44
3RD & 9
OPP 23
+6
66.6%
Griffin Woodell run for 6 yds to the HAW 17Similar
Q4 10:02
4TH & 3
OPP 17
-3
67.2%
Reese Poffenbarger run for a loss of 3 yards to the HAW 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 25DOWNS
5 plays · 19 yds · 2:2675% → 77%
Q4 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
74.6%
Jordan Johnson run for 10 yds to the HAW 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-6
74.9%
Brayden Schager sacked by Jahlil Johnson for a loss of 6 yards to the HAW 24Similar
Q4 10:02
2ND & 16
OWN 24
+15
73.8%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Steven McBride for 15 yds to the HAW 39Similar
Q4 10:02
3RD & 1
OWN 39
0
76.2%
Nasjzae Bryant-Lelei run for no gain to the HAW 39Similar
Q4 7:36
4TH & 1
OWN 39
0
77.3%
Nasjzae Bryant-Lelei run for no gain to the HAW 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UALBDrive 26FUMBLE
6 plays · 11 yds · 1:5636% → 38%
Q4 7:36
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
64.4%
Reese Poffenbarger pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:36
2ND & 10
OPP 39
-1
64.6%
Faysal Aden run for a loss of 1 yard to the HAW 40Similar
Q4 7:36
3RD & 11
OPP 40
+14
67.8%
Reese Poffenbarger pass complete to Brevin Easton for 14 yds to the HAW 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:36
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+9
61.6%
Nate Larkins run for 9 yds to the HAW 17Similar
Q4 7:36
2ND & 1
OPP 17
-10
61.6%
LARKINS, Nate rush up the middle for a gain of 9 yards to the HAW8 (PEI, Meki). PENALTY UAB Holding on MOSES, Carter enforced 10 yards from the HAW17 to the HAW27 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 5:40
2ND & 11
OPP 27
-1
61.8%
Reese Poffenbarger run for a loss of 1 yard to the ALB 31 Reese Poffenbarger fumbled, recovered by HAW Noah KemaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 27TD
6 plays · 31 yds · 2:2085% → 96%
Q4 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-5
85.3%
Brayden Schager sacked by Jahlil Johnson for a loss of 5 yards to the ALB 36Similar
Q4 5:40
2ND & 15
OPP 36
+7
83.7%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Solo Vaipulu for 7 yds to the ALB 29Similar
Q4 5:40
3RD & 8
OPP 29
0
84.0%
SCHAGER, Brayden pass deep to the right incomplete intended for ASHLOCK, Pofele thrown to the UAB2. PENALTY UAB Pass Interference on IGWEIKE, Brad enforced half the distance from the goal, 14 yards to the UAB15 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
85.2%
Nasjzae Bryant-Lelei run for 2 yds to the ALB 12Similar
Q4 5:40
2ND & 8
OPP 12
0
85.2%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:20
3RD & 8
OPP 12
+12
95.6%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Steven McBride for 12 yds for a TD (Matthew Shipley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UALBDrive 28DOWNS
8 plays · 17 yds · 1:056% → 4%
Q4 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
94.4%
Reese Poffenbarger pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:20
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
94.5%
Reese Poffenbarger run for 7 yds to the ALB 32Similar
Q4 3:20
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+15
93.7%
Hawai'i Penalty, Roughing the Passer on CHOI, Andrew enforced (Andrew Choi) to the HAW 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
92.1%
Reese Poffenbarger pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:30
2ND & 10
OPP 31
-12
94.1%
Reese Poffenbarger sacked by Nalu Emerson for a loss of 12 yards to the HAW 43Similar
Q4 2:30
3RD & 22
OPP 43
0
95.5%
Reese Poffenbarger pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:15
4TH & 22
OPP 43
-15
95.9%
Reese Poffenbarger sacked by Ezra Evaimalo for a loss of 15 yards to the ALB 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 29END OF 4TH QUARTER
5 plays · 26 yds · 2:1597% → 98%
Q4 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
96.7%
Jordan Johnson run for 1 yd to the ALB 41Similar
Q4 1:21
2ND & 9
OPP 41
+28
97.6%
Jordan Johnson run for 28 yds to the ALB 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:21
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
97.7%
[NH] Kneel down by HAW at UAB14 (team loss of 1).Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 11
OPP 14
0
97.8%
[NH] Kneel down by HAW at UAB16 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q2 0:00
John Opalko 46 yd FG GOOD
-12.9
TD · Q3 6:10
Brayden Schager pass complete to Jalen Walthall for 34 yds for a TD (Matthew Shipley KICK)
+11.7
TD · Q4 3:20
Brayden Schager pass complete to Steven McBride for 12 yds for a TD (Matthew Shipley KICK)
+10.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com