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GAST

Georgia State 27 at Georgia Southern 44

GASO
2023 · Week 9 · Oct 26, 2023 · Allen E. Paulson Stadium
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Win probability · GASO
modelGASO aheadGAST aheadconfidence bandkey playGASO scoreGAST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDFGTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:04 · Darren Grainger pass complete to Robert Lewis for 5 yds to the GAST 26
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+32.5+16.30−16.3−32.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 5:42: Jalen White run for 2 yds for a TD (Michael Lantz KICK) — GASO win probability +6.5 pts (now 68%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:10: Davis Brin pass complete to Marcus Sanders Jr. for 30 yds for a TD (Michael Lantz KICK) — GASO win probability +12.2 pts (now 85%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 0:00: Michael Lantz 34 yd FG GOOD — GASO win probability +8.5 pts (now 92%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 10:06: Davis Brin pass complete to Dalen Cobb for 76 yds for a TD (Michael Lantz KICK) — GASO win probability +4.8 pts (now 99%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 0:00: Marcus Carroll run for 19 yds for a TD (Liam Rickman KICK) — GAST win probability +9.4 pts (now 13%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
GASO made the numbers' call on 6 of 9GAST made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 12:37GASO 4th & 8 at GASO 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.4%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:03GAST 4th & 5 at GAST 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.3%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:21GASO 4th & 6 at GAST 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 54.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.2%−0.2
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    54.3%
    80% to make
    Punt
    52.2%−2.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:05GAST 4th & 4 at GAST 41, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.5%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:07GASO 4th & 7 at GAST 40, up 3
    Close callPunted · 55.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.9%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    55.3%−0.6
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    55.5%−0.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:57GAST 4th & 5 at GAST 8, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.4%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:11GASO 4th & 2 at GAST 8, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 58.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    58.2%
    54% to convert
    Field goal
    57.0%−1.1
    90% to make
    Punt
    51.8%−6.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:42GASO 4th & 2 at GAST 2, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 58.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    58.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    56.9%−1.6
    94% to make
    Punt
    51.3%−7.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:32GAST 4th & 12 at GAST 39, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.4%−1.2
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.6%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:00GASO 4th & 2 at GAST 16, up 17
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsKicked a field goal · 81.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.1%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    81.7%−1.4
    81% to make
    Punt
    73.4%−9.7
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:47GAST 4th & 14 at GASO 14, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 8.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.4%−1.7
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    8.1%
    84% to make
    Punt
    2.7%−5.4
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:28GAST 4th & 3 at GASO 3, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.8%
    44% to convert
    Field goal
    1.4%−0.4
    93% to make
    Punt
    -0.6%−2.4
    average punt
  13. Q3 2:28GAST 4th & 4 at GASO 31, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    3.5%−0.5
    54% to make
    Punt
    2.7%−1.2
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:55GASO 4th & 3 at GAST 22, up 13
    Close callKicked a field goal · 93.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.4%−0.6
    72% to make
    Punt
    86.5%−6.5
    average punt
  15. Q4 5:53GASO 4th & 8 at GASO 27, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.8%−0.5
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.2%
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:00GASO 4th & 6 at GASO 45, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.4%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.5%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
GASO made the numbers' call on 5 of 5GAST made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 9:11GASO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:02GAST Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 5:42GASO Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:10GASO Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 10:06GASO Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 5:28GAST Touchdown, down 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 0:00GAST Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 8:26GASO Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 6:12GAST Touchdown, down 17 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    3.4%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    3.1%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
GASODrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 24 yds · 2:2251% → 51%
Q1 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
51.0%
Davis Brin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 4 yds to the GASO 29Similar
Q1 14:26
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+18
51.1%
Davis Brin pass complete to Marcus Sanders Jr. for 18 yds to the GASO 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-8
51.3%
Davis Brin sacked by Jontrey Hunter for a loss of 8 yards to the GASO 39Similar
Q1 13:22
2ND & 18
OWN 39
+10
51.3%
Davis Brin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 10 yds to the GASO 49Similar
Q1 12:46
3RD & 8
OWN 49
0
51.5%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:37
4TH & 8
OWN 49
0
51.4%
Alex Smith punt for 51 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 1:2649% → 48%
Q1 12:29
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
51.4%
Freddie Brock run for 2 yds to the GAST 22Similar
Q1 12:04
2ND & 8
OWN 22
0
51.5%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:01
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+9
51.6%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Robert Lewis for 9 yds to the GAST 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
51.5%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Robert Lewis for 5 yds to the GAST 36Similar
Q1 11:14
2ND & 5
OWN 36
0
51.3%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:09
3RD & 5
OWN 36
0
51.5%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:03
4TH & 5
OWN 36
0
51.8%
Kade Loggins punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 3TD
6 plays · 64 yds · 1:4252% → 55%
Q1 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
51.8%
Davis Brin pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 5 yds to the GASO 41Similar
Q1 10:25
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+16
52.2%
Jalen White run for 16 yds to the GAST 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:54
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+14
52.5%
(09:54) BRIN, Davis pass deep to the right incomplete intended for BURGESS JR., Derwin thrown to the GSU23, clock 09:51. PENALTY GSU Pass Interference on PRINGLE, Gavin enforced at the spot of the foul for 14 yards to the GSU29 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
52.6%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:44
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+5
52.7%
Jalen White run for 5 yds to the GAST 24Similar
Q1 9:11
3RD & 5
OPP 24
+24
54.8%
Davis Brin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 24 yds for a TD (Michael Lantz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 4TD
13 plays · 83 yds · 4:0446% → 50%
Q1 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
54.1%
Marcus Carroll run for no gain to the GAST 17Similar
Q1 8:40
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+4
54.4%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Tailique Williams for 4 yds to the GAST 21Similar
Q1 8:07
3RD & 6
OWN 21
+12
54.9%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Jacari Carter for 12 yds to the GAST 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+9
54.5%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Robert Lewis for 9 yds to the GAST 42Similar
Q1 7:25
2ND & 1
OWN 42
+4
54.2%
Darren Grainger run for 4 yds to the GAST 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
54.4%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Cadarrius Thompson for 9 yds to the GASO 45Similar
Q1 6:36
2ND & 1
OPP 45
+11
54.2%
Marcus Carroll run for 11 yds to the GASO 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:18
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+7
54.0%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Robert Lewis for 7 yds to the GASO 27Similar
Q1 5:53
2ND & 3
OPP 27
+3
54.0%
Marcus Carroll run for 3 yds to the GASO 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:29
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
54.1%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:25
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+11
54.3%
Darren Grainger run for 11 yds to the GASO 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:02
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
50.5%
Marcus Carroll run for 13 yds for a TD (Isaac Kone KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 5FG
12 plays · 61 yds · 4:3452% → 55%
Q1 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
52.2%
Jalen White run for no gain to the GASO 22Similar
Q1 4:23
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+16
52.2%
Davis Brin pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 16 yds to the GASO 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
52.9%
Jalen White run for 3 yds to the GASO 41Similar
Q1 3:23
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+9
53.4%
Jalen White run for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:44
1ST & 10
50
+10
54.0%
Davis Brin pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 10 yds to the GAST 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:14
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
54.3%
(02:14) BRIN, Davis pass deep to the left intercepted by LEACH, TyGee at the GSU14. Leach return for 0 yards to the GSU14, End of Play, clock 02:09. PENALTY GSU Offsides on COOPER, Ronald enforced 5 yards from the GSU40 to the GSU35 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 1:55
1ST & 5
OPP 35
0
54.7%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:50
2ND & 5
OPP 35
+14
54.7%
Jalen White run for 14 yds to the GAST 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
54.8%
Davis Brin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 4 yds to the GAST 17Similar
Q1 0:39
2ND & 6
OPP 17
0
55.0%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:34
3RD & 6
OPP 17
0
54.5%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:21
4TH & 6
OPP 17
+35
54.5%
Michael Lantz 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:1546% → 46%
Q1 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
53.8%
Marcus Carroll run for 1 yd to the GAST 36Similar
Q2 14:59
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+7
53.9%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Robert Lewis for 7 yds to the GAST 43Similar
Q2 14:41
3RD & 2
OWN 43
-2
53.1%
Marcus Carroll run for a loss of 2 yards to the GAST 41Similar
Q2 14:05
4TH & 4
OWN 41
0
54.5%
Kade Loggins punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 44 yds · 1:4954% → 55%
Q2 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+15
54.3%
Georgia State Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (TyGee Leach) to the GASO 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+24
54.6%
Davis Brin pass complete to Dalen Cobb for 24 yds to the GAST 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:01
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
56.5%
Davis Brin run for 3 yds to the GAST 40Similar
Q2 12:24
2ND & 7
OPP 40
0
56.5%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:17
3RD & 7
OPP 40
0
56.2%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:07
4TH & 7
OPP 40
0
54.9%
Alex Smith punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:0445% → 43%
Q2 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+5
55.4%
Marcus Carroll run for 5 yds to the GAST 8Similar
Q2 11:36
2ND & 5
OWN 8
0
55.7%
Marcus Carroll run for no gain to the GAST 8Similar
Q2 11:01
3RD & 5
OWN 8
0
56.5%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:57
4TH & 5
OWN 8
0
57.2%
Kade Loggins punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 9TD
11 plays · 37 yds · 5:0557% → 68%
Q2 10:47
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+21
57.2%
Davis Brin pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 21 yds to the GAST 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:06
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+5
57.8%
Davis Brin pass complete to Jjay Mcafee for 5 yds to the GAST 11Similar
Q2 9:35
2ND & 5
OPP 11
+3
58.1%
Davis Brin run for 3 yds to the GAST 8Similar
Q2 8:57
3RD & 2
OPP 8
0
57.6%
JC French run for no gain to the GAST 8Similar
Q2 8:11
4TH & 2
OPP 8
+3
57.5%
Jalen White run for 3 yds to the GAST 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
59.8%
Davis Brin run for no gain to the GAST 5Similar
Q2 6:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-1
60.0%
Davis Brin run for a loss of 1 yard to the GAST 6Similar
Q2 6:18
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
61.1%
Davis Brin pass complete to Jalen White for 4 yds to the GAST 2Similar
Q2 5:42
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
67.5%
Jalen White run for 2 yds for a TD (Michael Lantz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 14 yds · 1:0931% → 30%
Q2 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
68.7%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Robert Lewis for 16 yds to the GAST 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
67.8%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:14
2ND & 10
OWN 41
-2
68.4%
Marcus Carroll run for a loss of 2 yards to the GAST 39Similar
Q2 4:37
3RD & 12
OWN 39
0
69.8%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:32
4TH & 12
OWN 39
0
70.4%
Kade Loggins punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 11TD
7 plays · 77 yds · 3:1168% → 85%
Q2 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+12
67.9%
Jalen White run for 12 yds to the GASO 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
68.5%
Jalen White run for 2 yds to the GASO 37Similar
Q2 3:07
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+5
70.1%
David Mbadinga run for 5 yds to the GASO 42Similar
Q2 2:27
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+8
70.9%
Davis Brin pass complete to Jaylon Barden for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:57
1ST & 10
50
+8
71.6%
David Mbadinga run for 8 yds to the GAST 42Similar
Q2 1:22
2ND & 2
OPP 42
+12
72.8%
Davis Brin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 12 yds to the GAST 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
85.1%
Davis Brin pass complete to Marcus Sanders Jr. for 30 yds for a TD (Michael Lantz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 12INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q2 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
80.0%
Darren Grainger pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 13FG
8 plays · 19 yds · 1:0285% → 92%
Q2 1:02
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-5
85.0%
Davis Brin sacked by Javon Denis for a loss of 5 yards to the GAST 40Similar
Q2 0:54
2ND & 15
OPP 40
+14
86.2%
Davis Brin pass complete to Jjay Mcafee for 14 yds to the GAST 26Similar
Q2 0:32
3RD & 1
OPP 26
+2
86.0%
Jalen White run for 2 yds to the GAST 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
85.4%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:21
2ND & 10
OPP 24
0
84.9%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:17
3RD & 10
OPP 24
+8
83.6%
Davis Brin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 8 yds to the GAST 16Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 2
OPP 16
+34
92.1%
Michael Lantz 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 14MISSED FG
11 plays · 61 yds · 4:1210% → 9%
Q3 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
90.0%
Marcus Carroll run for 19 yds to the GAST 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
90.0%
Marcus Carroll run for 3 yds to the GAST 47Similar
Q3 14:21
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+11
89.9%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Cadarrius Thompson for 11 yds to the GASO 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:48
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
90.5%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:44
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+9
90.7%
Darren Grainger run for 9 yds to the GASO 33Similar
Q3 13:21
3RD & 1
OPP 33
+5
90.7%
Georgia Southern Penalty, Offsides (Latrell Bullard) to the GASO 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:12
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+24
90.3%
Marcus Carroll run for 24 yds to the GASO 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
88.7%
Marcus Carroll run for a loss of 1 yard to the GASO 5Similar
Q3 12:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-9
89.4%
Darren Grainger sacked by Isaac Walker and Weston Wallace for a loss of 9 yards to the GASO 14Similar
Q3 11:25
3RD & GOAL
OPP 14
0
90.4%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Tailique Williams for no gain to the GASO 14Similar
Q3 10:47
4TH & GOAL
OPP 14
+32
91.4%
Isaac Kone 32 yd FG BLOCKED blocked bySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 15TD
3 plays · 80 yds · 0:4093% → 99%
Q3 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
93.4%
Jalen White run for 4 yds to the GASO 24Similar
Q3 10:22
2ND & 6
OWN 24
0
93.7%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:06
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+76
98.5%
Davis Brin pass complete to Dalen Cobb for 76 yds for a TD (Michael Lantz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 16TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:371% → 6%
Q3 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
98.6%
Darren Grainger run for 21 yds to the GAST 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
98.6%
Darren Grainger run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 9:20
2ND & 6
50
+26
98.5%
Marcus Carroll run for 26 yds to the GASO 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:58
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+7
98.5%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Robert Lewis for 7 yds to the GASO 17Similar
Q3 8:36
2ND & 3
OPP 17
0
98.5%
Darren Grainger run for no gain to the GASO 17Similar
Q3 7:51
3RD & 3
OPP 17
-5
98.7%
Georgia State Penalty, False Start (Marcus Carroll) to the GASO 22Similar
Q3 7:50
3RD & 8
OPP 22
+12
99.0%
Marcus Carroll run for 12 yds to the GASO 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
99.0%
Marcus Carroll run for 3 yds to the GASO 7Similar
Q3 6:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
99.2%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Robert Lewis for 6 yds to the GASO 1Similar
Q3 6:13
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-2
98.9%
Marcus Carroll run for a loss of 2 yards to the GASO 3Similar
Q3 5:28
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
94.5%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Cadarrius Thompson for 3 yds for a TD (Liam Rickman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 17INT
3 plays · 10 yds · 1:2096% → 96%
Q3 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+11
95.8%
Jalen White run for 11 yds to the GASO 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-1
95.9%
Jalen White run for a loss of 1 yard to the GASO 38Similar
Q3 4:01
2ND & 11
OWN 38
0
96.0%
Davis Brin pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 18DOWNS
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:235% → 4%
Q3 3:51
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
95.2%
Darren Grainger run for 3 yds to the GASO 34Similar
Q3 3:06
2ND & 7
OPP 34
+3
95.3%
Marcus Carroll run for 3 yds to the GASO 31Similar
Q3 2:33
3RD & 4
OPP 31
0
95.9%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:28
4TH & 4
OPP 31
0
96.1%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 19FUMBLE
3 plays · 8 yds · 1:1997% → 98%
Q3 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+13
96.5%
Davis Brin pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 13 yds to the GASO 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
96.3%
Jalen White run for 2 yds to the GASO 46Similar
Q3 1:03
2ND & 8
OWN 46
-7
97.5%
Davis Brin sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the GASO 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 20TD
4 plays · 39 yds · 0:553% → 13%
Q3 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+7
96.9%
Marcus Carroll run for 7 yds to the GASO 32Similar
Q3 0:38
2ND & 3
OPP 32
+6
96.6%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Robert Lewis for 6 yds to the GASO 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:20
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+7
96.7%
Marcus Carroll run for 7 yds to the GASO 19Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 3
OPP 19
+19
87.3%
Marcus Carroll run for 19 yds for a TD (Liam Rickman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 21FG
11 plays · 53 yds · 5:0492% → 96%
Q4 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
91.6%
Jalen White run for 1 yd to the GASO 26Similar
Q4 14:25
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+15
91.5%
Davis Brin pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 15 yds to the GASO 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:49
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
93.1%
Jalen White run for 2 yds to the GASO 43Similar
Q4 13:20
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+3
93.4%
Davis Brin run for 3 yds to the GASO 46Similar
Q4 12:39
3RD & 5
OWN 46
+5
93.5%
Davis Brin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 5 yds to the GAST 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:51
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
94.0%
Jalen White run for 5 yds to the GAST 44Similar
Q4 11:17
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+15
94.2%
(11:17) BRIN, Davis pass deep to the left incomplete intended for SANDERS JR., Marcus thrown to the GSU25, clock 11:14. PENALTY GSU Pass Interference on BROWN, Bryquice enforced 15 yards to the GSU29 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 11:13
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+8
94.2%
Davis Brin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 8 yds to the GAST 21Similar
Q4 10:42
2ND & 2
OPP 21
0
94.5%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:37
3RD & 2
OPP 21
-1
94.4%
Davis Brin run for a loss of 1 yard to the GAST 22Similar
Q4 9:55
4TH & 3
OPP 22
+40
95.7%
Michael Lantz 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 22INT TD
6 plays · 28 yds · 1:285% → 1%
Q4 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
94.6%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:50
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
94.7%
Marcus Carroll run for 2 yds to the GAST 27Similar
Q4 9:17
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+22
95.0%
Marcus Carroll run for 22 yds to the GAST 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
94.5%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Jacari Carter for 4 yds to the GASO 47Similar
Q4 8:26
2ND & 6
OPP 47
-50
98.8%
Marques Watson-Trent 50 Yd Interception Return (Michael Lantz Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 23TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:131% → 4%
Q4 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
98.8%
Marcus Carroll run for 13 yds to the GAST 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+13
98.8%
Marcus Carroll run for 13 yds to the GASO 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:41
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
98.9%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:34
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+13
98.9%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Jacari Carter for 13 yds to the GASO 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:18
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+22
99.0%
Darren Grainger run for 22 yds to the GASO 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:54
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-1
98.9%
Marcus Carroll run for a loss of 1 yard to the GASO 15 Marcus Carroll fumbled, recovered by GAST Marcus Carroll (06:54) [NHSG] CARROLL, Marcus rush up the middle for a loss of 1 yard, CARROLL, Marcus fumbled at GS16 forced by WALKER, Isaac, recovered by GSU CARROLL, Marcus at the GS15, returned 0 yards to the GS15, End of Play, clock 06:37.Similar
Q4 6:12
2ND & 11
OPP 15
+15
95.9%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Robert Lewis for 15 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:1899% → 99%
Q4 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
98.9%
Jalen White run for 2 yds to the GASO 27Similar
Q4 6:06
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
98.9%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:59
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
99.1%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:53
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
99.0%
Alex Smith punt for 16 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 25FUMBLE
4 plays · 20 yds · 0:423% → 3%
Q4 5:48
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+9
97.0%
Marcus Carroll run for 9 yds to the GASO 34Similar
Q4 5:30
2ND & 1
OPP 34
+1
96.4%
Marcus Carroll run for 1 yd to the GASO 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:11
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
97.2%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:06
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+10
97.3%
Darren Grainger run for 10 yds to the GASO 23 Darren Grainger fumbled, recovered by GASO Khadry Jackson (05:06) [NHSG] QB Keeper GRAINGER, Darren rush to the left for a gain of 10 yards, GRAINGER, Darren fumbled at GS27 forced by WATSON-TRENT, Marques, recovered by GS JACKSON, Khadry at the GS23, returned 0 yards to the GS23, End of Play, clock 04:52.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 26PUNT
9 plays · 22 yds · 3:5199% → 99%
Q4 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
99.2%
Jalen White run for 3 yds to the GASO 26Similar
Q4 4:44
2ND & 7
OWN 26
0
99.4%
Jalen White run for no gain to the GASO 26Similar
Q4 3:59
3RD & 7
OWN 26
+15
99.4%
Jalen White run for 15 yds to the GASO 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
99.5%
Jalen White run for no gain to the GASO 41Similar
Q4 2:30
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+1
99.5%
Jalen White run for 1 yd to the GASO 42Similar
Q4 1:46
3RD & 9
OWN 42
+3
99.5%
Jalen White run for 3 yds to the GASO 45Similar
Q4 1:00
4TH & 6
OWN 45
0
99.4%
Alex Smith punt for 48 yds, downed at the GAST 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 27END OF GAME
5 plays · 19 yds · 0:461% → 1%
Q4 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+4
99.3%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Jacari Carter for 4 yds to the GAST 11Similar
Q4 0:31
2ND & 6
OWN 11
+5
99.3%
Darren Grainger run for 5 yds to the GAST 16Similar
Q4 0:26
3RD & 1
OWN 16
+5
99.3%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Robert Lewis for 5 yds to the GAST 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:12
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
99.4%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:04
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+5
99.4%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Robert Lewis for 5 yds to the GAST 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:10
Davis Brin pass complete to Marcus Sanders Jr. for 30 yds for a TD (Michael Lantz KICK)
+12.2
TD · Q3 0:00
Marcus Carroll run for 19 yds for a TD (Liam Rickman KICK)
-9.4
FG · Q2 0:00
Michael Lantz 34 yd FG GOOD
+8.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com