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ODU

Old Dominion 20 at Georgia Southern 17

GASO
2023 · Week 12 · Nov 18, 2023 · Allen E. Paulson Stadium
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Win probability · GASO
modelGASO aheadODU aheadconfidence bandkey playGASO scoreODU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 3:15 · Ian Brandt punt for 42 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+37.0+18.50−18.5−37.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 150Pregame prior+1.1Home team on offense−29.0Garbage-time factor−12.9Score differential−4.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−6.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−4.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 2:17: Jalen White run for 7 yds for a TD (Michael Lantz KICK) — GASO win probability +11.7 pts (now 63%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  2. TD · Q3 0:25: Ahmarian Granger pass complete to Grant Wilson for 30 yds for a TD (Ethan Sanchez KICK) — ODU win probability +22.0 pts (now 69%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 1:25: Davis Brin pass complete to Jjay Mcafee for 18 yds for a TD (Michael Lantz KICK) — GASO win probability +50.1 pts (now 67%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 1:24: Keshawn Wicks run for 14 yds to the ODU 39 for a 1ST down — ODU win probability +17.2 pts (now 50%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:00: Ethan Sanchez 22 yd FG GOOD — ODU win probability +32.9 pts (now 96%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
GASO made the numbers' call on 5 of 8ODU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 10:09GASO 4th & 14 at ODU 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.5%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    65.5%−0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    65.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:45ODU 4th & 8 at GASO 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.8%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:28GASO 4th & 6 at GASO 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.3%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.5%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:44ODU 4th & 29 at ODU 12, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.8%−1.1
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.9%
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:39ODU 4th & 14 at ODU 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.3%−0.6
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:14GASO 4th & 6 at GASO 31, tied
    Close callWent for it · 63.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    63.6%−0.5
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    64.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:04ODU 4th & 14 at GASO 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 36.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.3%−0.7
    18% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    36.0%
    56% to make
    Punt
    35.4%−0.6
    average punt
  8. Q2 10:02GASO 4th & 3 at ODU 36, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 62.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    62.3%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    61.1%−1.2
    42% to make
    Punt
    60.9%−1.3
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:49ODU 4th & 10 at ODU 40, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.3%−1.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.4%
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:25ODU 4th & 1 at GASO 23, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.2 ptsKicked a field goal · 49.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.1%−3.2
    70% to make
    Punt
    36.6%−12.7
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:26GASO 4th & 5 at ODU 5, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 53.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.4%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    52.5%
    92% to make
    Punt
    39.5%−13.0
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:44GASO 4th & 4 at GASO 45, down 7
    Close callPunted · 32.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.2%−0.9
    average punt
  13. Q4 8:47ODU 4th & 4 at ODU 33, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.2%−1.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.4%
    average punt
  14. Q4 6:23GASO 4th & 6 at GASO 42, down 7
    Close callPunted · 24.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.8%−0.8
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:15ODU 4th & 7 at ODU 42, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.8%−0.5
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.2%
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:55GASO 4th & 8 at ODU 46, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 17.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.9%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    10.5%−3.5
    23% to make
    Punt
    10.8%−3.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
GASO made the numbers' call on 2 of 2ODU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 6:08ODU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 2:17GASO Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 0:25ODU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 1:25GASO Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.9%−2.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
GASODrive 1PUNT
10 plays · 32 yds · 4:5171% → 70%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
71.0%
Davis Brin pass complete to Anthony Queeley for 10 yds to the GASO 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
71.0%
Jalen White run for 5 yds to the GASO 40Similar
Q1 13:58
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+3
70.9%
Jalen White run for 3 yds to the GASO 43Similar
Q1 13:26
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+7
70.9%
Davis Brin pass complete to Jjay Mcafee for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:54
1ST & 10
50
+7
70.9%
Jalen White run for 7 yds to the ODU 43Similar
Q1 12:19
2ND & 3
OPP 43
+4
70.9%
Davis Brin run for 4 yds to the ODU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:48
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
70.9%
Jalen White run for no gain to the ODU 39Similar
Q1 11:18
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+3
70.8%
Davis Brin pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 3 yds to the ODU 36Similar
Q1 10:44
3RD & 7
OPP 36
-7
70.7%
Davis Brin sacked by Wayne Matthews III for a loss of 7 yards to the ODU 43Similar
Q1 10:09
4TH & 14
OPP 43
0
70.1%
Alex Smith punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Isiah Paige at the ODU 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 2PUNT
10 plays · 36 yds · 3:1730% → 31%
Q1 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-1
70.2%
Grant Wilson run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 14Similar
Q1 9:40
2ND & 11
OWN 14
0
70.1%
Grant Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:35
3RD & 11
OWN 14
+22
70.3%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Isiah Paige for 22 yds to the ODU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
69.8%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Isiah Paige for 9 yds to the ODU 45Similar
Q1 8:35
2ND & 1
OWN 45
-1
69.2%
Keshawn Wicks run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 44Similar
Q1 8:03
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+5
69.2%
(08:03) ODU fumbled snap, ODU rush up the middle for a loss of 14 yards, fumbled at ODU30 , recovered by ODU WICKS, Keshawn at the ODU30, returned 0 yards to the ODU30, End of Play, clock 07:59. PENALTY Before the snap, GS Delay Of Game enforced 5 yards from the ODU44 to the ODU49 and results in a 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
69.0%
Keshawn Wicks run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 7:09
2ND & 9
50
+1
68.7%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Jalen Butler for 1 yd to the GASO 49Similar
Q1 6:50
3RD & 8
OPP 49
0
68.9%
Grant Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:45
4TH & 8
OPP 49
0
69.5%
Ethan Duane punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 2:1969% → 69%
Q1 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+1
69.4%
Jalen White run for 1 yd to the GASO 13Similar
Q1 6:04
2ND & 9
OWN 13
+10
69.3%
Jalen White run for 10 yds to the GASO 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
69.3%
Davis Brin pass complete to Jaylon Barden for 5 yds to the GASO 28Similar
Q1 5:06
2ND & 5
OWN 28
-1
69.3%
Jalen White run for a loss of 1 yard to the GASO 27Similar
Q1 4:34
3RD & 6
OWN 27
0
68.8%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:28
4TH & 6
OWN 27
0
68.4%
Alex Smith punt for 42 yds, downed at the ODU 31Similar
Q1 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-10
68.7%
(04:17) SANNI, Obie rush to the left for a gain of 4 yards to the ODU35 (LEE JR., Tarian), clock 04:12. PENALTY ODU Holding enforced 10 yards from the ODU31 to the ODU21 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · -19 yds · 1:1731% → 31%
Q1 4:01
1ST & 20
OWN 21
-10
68.9%
(04:01) WILSON, Grant scrambles to the right for a gain of 3 yards to the ODU24 (DAVIS, Da'Shawn), out of bounds, clock 03:55. PENALTY ODU Holding on BLACK, Xavier enforced 10 yards from the ODU21 to the ODU11 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 3:33
1ST & 30
OWN 11
+2
68.8%
Obie Sanni run for 2 yds to the ODU 13Similar
Q1 3:14
2ND & 28
OWN 13
-1
68.7%
Obie Sanni run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 12Similar
Q1 2:52
3RD & 29
OWN 12
0
69.0%
Grant Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:44
4TH & 29
OWN 12
0
69.3%
Ian Brandt punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 5FUMBLE
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:3470% → 70%
Q1 2:36
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+12
69.5%
OJ Arnold run for 12 yds to the ODU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:02
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-6
69.9%
OJ Arnold run for a loss of 6 yards to the GASO 47 OJ Arnold fumbled, recovered by ODU LaMareon James (02:02) [NHSG] ARNOLD, OJ rush to the right for a loss of 6 yards, ARNOLD, OJ fumbled at GS48 forced by HENDERSON, Jason, recovered by ODU JAMES, LaMareon at the GS47, returned 0 yards to the GS47, End of Play, clock 01:58.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 1:1034% → 32%
Q1 1:49
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-4
66.5%
Keshawn Wicks run for a loss of 4 yards to the ODU 49Similar
Q1 1:28
2ND & 14
OWN 49
0
67.3%
Grant Wilson run for no gain to the ODU 49Similar
Q1 0:46
3RD & 14
OWN 49
0
67.5%
Grant Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:39
4TH & 14
OWN 49
+41
68.0%
Ethan Duane punt for 41 yds , returns for no gain to the GASO 27 , returns for 1 yd to the GASO 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 7DOWNS
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:0368% → 67%
Q1 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
68.4%
Jalen White run for 3 yds to the GASO 30Similar
Q2 14:59
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+1
68.4%
Davis Brin pass complete to Jalen White for 1 yd to the GASO 31Similar
Q2 14:19
3RD & 6
OWN 31
0
67.7%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:14
4TH & 6
OWN 31
-5
67.2%
Alex Smith run for a loss of 5 yards to the GASO 26 Alex Smith fumbled, recovered by GASO (14:14) [PUNT] SMITH, Alex rush to the right for a loss of 5 yards, SMITH, Alex fumbled at GS20 , recovered by GS DOUGLAS, Andrew at the GS26, returned 0 yards to the GS26, End of Play; GS turnover on downs, clock 14:01.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 8FG
4 plays · -4 yds · 0:4635% → 34%
Q2 13:50
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
64.7%
Grant Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:50
2ND & 10
OPP 26
0
64.9%
Grant Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:50
3RD & 10
OPP 26
-4
65.6%
Grant Wilson sacked by Prince Green for a loss of 4 yards to the GASO 30Similar
Q2 13:04
4TH & 14
OPP 30
+47
65.8%
Ethan Sanchez 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 9DOWNS
8 plays · 41 yds · 3:0165% → 65%
Q2 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
65.0%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:57
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
64.8%
Jalen White run for 2 yds to the GASO 27Similar
Q2 12:21
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+14
63.9%
Davis Brin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 14 yds to the GASO 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+16
66.1%
Jalen White run for 16 yds to the ODU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:25
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
66.6%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:19
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+8
66.4%
OJ Arnold run for 8 yds to the ODU 35Similar
Q2 10:37
3RD & 2
OPP 35
-1
66.1%
JC French run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 36Similar
Q2 10:02
4TH & 3
OPP 36
+2
64.9%
Khaleb Hood run for 2 yds to the ODU 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 10TD
8 plays · 66 yds · 3:5037% → 51%
Q2 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+11
62.8%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Reymello Murphy for 11 yds to the ODU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
61.7%
Kadarius Calloway run for 7 yds to the GASO 48Similar
Q2 9:14
2ND & 3
OPP 48
+13
61.0%
Kadarius Calloway run for 13 yds to the GASO 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:36
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+13
60.3%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Reymello Murphy for 13 yds to the GASO 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:05
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+9
58.8%
Kadarius Calloway run for 9 yds to the GASO 13Similar
Q2 7:19
2ND & 1
OPP 13
-1
58.2%
Keshawn Wicks run for a loss of 1 yard to the GASO 14Similar
Q2 6:42
3RD & 2
OPP 14
+2
58.4%
Keshawn Wicks run for 2 yds to the GASO 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:08
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
49.3%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Javon Harvey for 12 yds for a TD (Ethan Sanchez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 11TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:5051% → 63%
Q2 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
51.2%
Davis Brin pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 2 yds to the GASO 27Similar
Q2 5:46
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
51.2%
OJ Arnold run for 3 yds to the GASO 30Similar
Q2 5:10
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+23
50.3%
Davis Brin pass complete to Dalen Cobb for 23 yds to the ODU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:47
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
52.6%
Davis Brin run for 5 yds to the ODU 42Similar
Q2 4:18
2ND & 5
OPP 42
+17
52.3%
Davis Brin pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 17 yds to the ODU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:44
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
53.0%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:39
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+6
52.8%
Davis Brin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 6 yds to the ODU 19Similar
Q2 3:03
3RD & 4
OPP 19
+16
51.3%
Davis Brin pass complete to Anthony Queeley for 16 yds to the ODU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-15
51.9%
(02:30) BRIN, Davis pass short to the right incomplete intended for QUEELEY, Anthony thrown to the ODU0, clock 02:26. PENALTY GS Pass Interference on QUEELEY, Anthony enforced 15 yards to the ODU18 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 2:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 18
+11
51.7%
(02:25) BRIN, Davis pass deep to the left incomplete intended for QUEELEY, Anthony broken up by JAMES, LaMareon at the ODU2, clock 02:21. PENALTY ODU Pass Interference on JAMES, LaMareon enforced at the spot of the foul for 11 yards to the ODU7 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 2:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
63.3%
Jalen White run for 7 yds for a TD (Michael Lantz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 1:3142% → 42%
Q2 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
58.4%
(02:16) WILSON, Grant pass deep to the right incomplete intended for WILLIAMS, Kelby thrown to the GS45, clock 02:10. PENALTY GS Pass Interference on HICKMAN, Damel enforced 15 yards to the ODU40 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
55.6%
Grant Wilson run for 1 yd to the ODU 41Similar
Q2 1:44
2ND & 9
OWN 41
-1
55.8%
Kadarius Calloway run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 40Similar
Q2 0:54
3RD & 10
OWN 40
0
56.3%
Grant Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:49
4TH & 10
OWN 40
0
58.3%
Ian Brandt punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Khaleb Hood at the GASO 25Similar
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
58.1%
Georgia Southern Penalty, False Start (Brian Miller) to the GASO 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · -7 yds · 0:1858% → 58%
Q2 0:44
1ST & 15
OWN 20
-10
57.9%
(00:44) WHITE, Jalen rush to the right for a gain of 1 yard to the GS21 (KNIGHT, Markus), clock 00:38. PENALTY GS Holding on STRONG, Chandler enforced 10 yards from the GS20 to the GS10 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 0:26
1ST & 25
OWN 10
+8
57.6%
Jalen White run for 8 yds to the GASO 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 14MISSED FG
12 plays · 52 yds · 5:3443% → 47%
Q3 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
57.5%
Keshawn Wicks run for 1 yd to the ODU 26Similar
Q3 14:26
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+14
57.2%
Keshawn Wicks run for 14 yds to the ODU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
54.9%
Grant Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:58
2ND & 10
OWN 40
-3
55.5%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Keshawn Wicks for a loss of 3 yards to the ODU 37Similar
Q3 13:17
3RD & 13
OWN 37
+18
57.7%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Javon Harvey for 18 yds to the GASO 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
53.8%
Keshawn Wicks run for 5 yds to the GASO 40Similar
Q3 12:05
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+8
53.3%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Isiah Paige for 8 yds to the GASO 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:32
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-3
52.3%
Kadarius Calloway run for a loss of 3 yards to the GASO 35Similar
Q3 11:05
2ND & 13
OPP 35
-10
52.6%
(11:05) WILSON, Grant pass to the right complete for 10 yards to WILLIAMS, Kelby caught at the GS27 and advanced to the GS25 (STAMPLEY II, Marc), out of bounds, clock 10:58. PENALTY ODU Holding on SAUNDERS, Santana enforced 10 yards from the GS35 to the GS45 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 10:39
2ND & 23
OPP 45
+11
54.1%
Grant Wilson run for 11 yds to the GASO 34Similar
Q3 10:09
3RD & 12
OPP 34
+11
54.0%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Kelby Williams for 11 yds to the GASO 23Similar
Q3 9:25
4TH & 1
OPP 23
+40
52.7%
Ethan Sanchez 40 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 15FG
14 plays · 72 yds · 5:5456% → 64%
Q3 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-7
56.0%
Jalen White run for a loss of 7 yards to the GASO 16Similar
Q3 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+19
55.6%
(08:46) BRIN, Davis pass deep to the right complete for 19 yards to COBB, Dalen caught at the GS35 and advanced to the GS35 (REASON, Rasheed), 1ST DOWN, clock 08:39. PENALTY GS Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass ODU Holding on REASON, Rasheed , Offsetting penalties [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 8:15
2ND & 17
OWN 16
+15
55.0%
(08:15) BRIN, Davis pass deep to the right incomplete intended for BURGESS JR., Derwin thrown to the GS45, clock 08:10. PENALTY ODU Targeting on JONES, Terry enforced 15 yards from the GS16 to the GS31 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
56.0%
Jalen White run for 4 yds to the GASO 35Similar
Q3 7:37
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+5
57.5%
Davis Brin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 5 yds to the GASO 40Similar
Q3 6:56
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+2
57.5%
Jalen White run for 2 yds to the GASO 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
58.0%
Davis Brin pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 9 yds to the ODU 49Similar
Q3 5:35
2ND & 1
OPP 49
+11
59.3%
Davis Brin pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 11 yds to the ODU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:03
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
59.2%
Davis Brin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 3 yds to the ODU 35Similar
Q3 4:46
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+26
60.3%
Davis Brin pass complete to Keaton Upshaw for 26 yds to the ODU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
60.1%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
60.0%
Jalen White run for 4 yds to the ODU 5Similar
Q3 3:33
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
57.9%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:26
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+24
63.7%
Michael Lantz 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 16TD
7 plays · 78 yds · 2:5542% → 69%
Q3 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
58.5%
Keshawn Wicks run for 5 yds to the ODU 27Similar
Q3 2:59
2ND & 5
OWN 27
+27
57.5%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Reymello Murphy for 27 yds to the GASO 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:37
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
53.8%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Isiah Paige for 5 yds to the GASO 41Similar
Q3 1:59
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+5
53.1%
Keshawn Wicks run for 5 yds to the GASO 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:18
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
53.3%
Grant Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:11
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+6
53.3%
Kadarius Calloway run for 6 yds to the GASO 30Similar
Q3 0:25
3RD & 4
OPP 30
+30
31.3%
Ahmarian Granger pass complete to Grant Wilson for 30 yds for a TD (Ethan Sanchez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 29 yds · 3:3337% → 34%
Q3 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+10
36.5%
(00:17) BRIN, Davis sacked for a loss of 4 yards at the GS12 (TRINIDAD, Kris), clock 00:00. PENALTY ODU Holding on JAMES, LaMareon enforced 10 yards from the GS16 to the GS26 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+8
36.9%
Jalen White run for 8 yds to the GASO 34Similar
Q4 14:22
2ND & 2
OWN 34
0
38.9%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:03
3RD & 2
OWN 34
+5
36.2%
Davis Brin run for 5 yds to the GASO 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:28
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
36.4%
Davis Brin pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 8 yds to the GASO 47Similar
Q4 12:58
2ND & 2
OWN 47
0
39.1%
Jalen White run for no gain to the GASO 47Similar
Q4 12:22
3RD & 2
OWN 47
-2
37.4%
Davis Brin sacked by Cole Daniels and Jason Henderson for a loss of 2 yards to the GASO 45Similar
Q4 11:44
4TH & 4
OWN 45
0
33.8%
Alex Smith punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Isiah Paige at the ODU 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 2:5171% → 75%
Q4 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
29.1%
Grant Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:31
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+9
29.6%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Ahmarian Granger for 9 yds to the ODU 25Similar
Q4 10:56
3RD & 1
OWN 25
+2
27.4%
Keshawn Wicks run for 2 yds to the ODU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
25.0%
Keshawn Wicks run for 1 yd to the ODU 28Similar
Q4 9:32
2ND & 9
OWN 28
+7
23.9%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Isiah Paige for 7 yds to the ODU 35Similar
Q4 9:25
3RD & 2
OWN 35
-2
23.6%
Kadarius Calloway run for a loss of 2 yards to the ODU 33Similar
Q4 8:47
4TH & 4
OWN 33
0
24.6%
Ethan Duane punt for 50 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 19PUNT
10 plays · 25 yds · 2:1729% → 24%
Q4 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
29.4%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:36
2ND & 10
OWN 17
0
29.0%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:31
3RD & 10
OWN 17
+10
27.4%
(08:31) BRIN, Davis pass up the middle incomplete intended for BARDEN, Jaylon broken up by JOHNSON, Nolan at the GS30, clock 08:26. PENALTY ODU Holding on RA-EL, Tahj enforced 10 yards from the GS17 to the GS27 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+9
29.8%
Dalen Cobb run for 9 yds to the GASO 36Similar
Q4 7:48
2ND & 1
OWN 36
0
31.8%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:43
3RD & 1
OWN 36
+2
30.2%
Davis Brin run for 2 yds to the GASO 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
29.5%
Davis Brin run for 4 yds to the GASO 42Similar
Q4 6:34
2ND & 6
OWN 42
0
29.0%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:29
3RD & 6
OWN 42
0
27.0%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:23
4TH & 6
OWN 42
0
24.4%
Alex Smith punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Isiah Paige at the ODU 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 20PUNT
10 plays · 24 yds · 3:0181% → 88%
Q4 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
18.7%
Keshawn Wicks run for 2 yds to the ODU 20Similar
Q4 5:44
2ND & 8
OWN 20
+8
18.5%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Reymello Murphy for 8 yds to the ODU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+11
15.2%
Keshawn Wicks run for 11 yds to the ODU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
13.4%
Grant Wilson run for 5 yds to the ODU 44Similar
Q4 3:28
2ND & 5
OWN 44
-4
12.0%
Keshawn Wicks run for a loss of 4 yards to the ODU 40Similar
Q4 3:24
3RD & 9
OWN 40
-5
11.8%
Old Dominion Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ODU 35Similar
Q4 3:24
3RD & 14
OWN 35
+7
14.0%
Keshawn Wicks run for 7 yds to the ODU 42Similar
Q4 3:15
4TH & 7
OWN 42
0
12.1%
Ian Brandt punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 21TD
6 plays · 71 yds · 1:4222% → 67%
Q4 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+23
22.0%
Davis Brin pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 23 yds to the ODU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:38
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
24.7%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:33
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+2
24.0%
Jalen White run for 2 yds to the ODU 46Similar
Q4 1:59
3RD & 8
OPP 46
0
19.6%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:55
4TH & 8
OPP 46
+28
17.0%
Davis Brin pass complete to Jjay Mcafee for 28 yds to the ODU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
67.0%
Davis Brin pass complete to Jjay Mcafee for 18 yds for a TD (Michael Lantz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 22FG
10 plays · 70 yds · 1:2450% → 96%
Q4 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
49.9%
Keshawn Wicks run for 14 yds to the ODU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
46.1%
Kadarius Calloway run for 3 yds to the ODU 42Similar
Q4 0:51
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+17
44.0%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Ahmarian Granger for 17 yds to the GASO 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:41
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
41.3%
Kadarius Calloway run for 1 yd to the GASO 40Similar
Q4 0:33
2ND & 9
OPP 40
+7
41.0%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Ahmarian Granger for 7 yds to the GASO 33Similar
Q4 0:15
3RD & 2
OPP 33
+28
39.8%
Grant Wilson run for 28 yds to the GASO 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
4.4%
Ethan Sanchez 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:25
Davis Brin pass complete to Jjay Mcafee for 18 yds for a TD (Michael Lantz KICK)
+50.1
FG · Q4 0:00
Ethan Sanchez 22 yd FG GOOD
-32.9
TD · Q3 0:25
Ahmarian Granger pass complete to Grant Wilson for 30 yds for a TD (Ethan Sanchez KICK)
-22
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com