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APP

App State 42 at Georgia State 14

GAST
2023 · Week 11 · Nov 11, 2023 · Center Parc Stadium
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Win probability · GAST
modelGAST aheadAPP aheadconfidence bandkey playGAST scoreAPP score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 9:08 · Kade Loggins punt for 41 yds, downed at the APP 6
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+58.5+29.30−29.3−58.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 104Home team on offense−39.5Score differential−23.9Garbage-time factor−9.6Pregame prior+2.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:27: Nate Noel run for 61 yds for a TD (Michael Hughes KICK) — APP win probability +7.1 pts (now 51%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 14:52: Joey Aguilar pass complete to Makai Jackson for 44 yds for a TD (Michael Hughes KICK) — APP win probability +5.7 pts (now 57%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 7:18: Joey Aguilar pass complete to Kaedin Robinson for 3 yds for a TD (Michael Hughes KICK) — APP win probability +12.7 pts (now 78%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 14:40: Joey Aguilar pass complete to Dalton Stroman for 77 yds for a TD (Michael Hughes KICK) — APP win probability +5.8 pts (now 92%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 10:57: Kanye Roberts run for 20 yds for a TD (Michael Hughes KICK) — APP win probability +0.2 pts (now 100%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
GAST made the numbers' call on 9 of 11APP made the numbers' call on 3 of 5
  1. Q1 13:13GAST 4th & 11 at GAST 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.1%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:43APP 4th & 5 at APP 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.5%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:43GAST 4th & 3 at APP 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 58.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    58.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    58.4%−0.2
    27% to make
    Punt
    58.5%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:08GAST 4th & 9 at GAST 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.2%−0.5
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:04GAST 4th & 3 at GAST 28, down 14
    Close callPunted · 44.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.3%−0.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:32APP 4th & 3 at GAST 44, up 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsPunted · 60.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    57.4%−3.0
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    59.0%−1.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:48GAST 4th & 8 at GAST 15, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.4%−1.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.6%
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:08GAST 4th & 4 at GAST 31, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.6%−0.5
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.0%
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:14APP 4th & 9 at APP 28, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.9%−0.7
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.6%
    average punt
  10. Q2 2:13GAST 4th & 12 at GAST 26, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.0%−0.7
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.7%
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:21GAST 4th & 13 at APP 49, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.3%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.4%
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:57APP 4th & 4 at APP 10, up 28
    Close callPunted · 93.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.9%
    46% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 9:08GAST 4th & 8 at APP 47, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.5%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.6%
    average punt
  14. Q3 4:23GAST 4th & 14 at GAST 15, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.5%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.7%
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:38APP 4th & 5 at GAST 32, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−<0.1
    51% to make
    Punt
    99.7%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:12GAST 4th & 5 at GAST 40, down 28
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
GAST made the numbers' call on 2 of 2APP made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 1:27APP Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:52APP Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:18APP Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 14:40APP Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 14:56APP Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 11:57GAST Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 10:57APP Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 5:31GAST Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
GASTDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:4756% → 56%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
55.6%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Marcus Carroll for 1 yd to the GAST 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+3
55.6%
Marcus Carroll run for 3 yds to the GAST 29Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-5
55.6%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Tailique Williams for a loss of 5 yards to the GAST 24Similar
Q1 13:13
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
55.6%
Kade Loggins punt for 55 yds, downed at the APP 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:3044% → 44%
Q1 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
55.8%
Joey Aguilar pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:13
2ND & 10
OWN 21
-2
55.8%
Nate Noel run for a loss of 2 yards to the APP 19Similar
Q1 13:13
3RD & 12
OWN 19
+7
55.9%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Kaedin Robinson for 7 yds to the APP 26Similar
Q1 11:43
4TH & 5
OWN 26
0
56.1%
Mitchell Lake punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 3FUMBLE
21 plays · 57 yds · 8:4056% → 58%
Q1 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
56.0%
Marcus Carroll run for 4 yds to the GAST 39Similar
Q1 11:43
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+3
56.2%
Marcus Carroll run for 3 yds to the GAST 42Similar
Q1 11:43
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+2
56.1%
Marcus Carroll run for 2 yds to the GAST 44Similar
Q1 11:43
4TH & 1
OWN 44
+5
56.0%
GRAINGER, Darren pass deep to the left incomplete intended for LEWIS, Robert thrown to the APP36. PENALTY APP Offsides on JOHNSON, Nate enforced 5 yards from the GSU44 to the GSU49 and results in a 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
56.3%
Marcus Carroll run for 4 yds to the APP 47Similar
Q1 11:43
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+3
56.4%
Marcus Carroll run for 3 yds to the APP 44Similar
Q1 11:43
3RD & 3
OPP 44
0
56.3%
Darren Grainger run for no gain to the APP 44Similar
Q1 11:43
4TH & 3
OPP 44
+7
56.1%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Robert Lewis for 7 yds to the APP 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:43
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
56.4%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Tailique Williams for 1 yd to the APP 36Similar
Q1 11:43
2ND & 9
OPP 36
+7
56.4%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Tailique Williams for 7 yds to the APP 29Similar
Q1 11:43
3RD & 2
OPP 29
+4
56.3%
Marcus Carroll run for 4 yds to the APP 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:43
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
56.5%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:43
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+1
56.5%
Marcus Carroll run for 1 yd to the APP 24Similar
Q1 11:43
3RD & 9
OPP 24
-15
56.3%
Georgia State Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Travis Glover) to the APP 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:43
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+8
56.5%
Marcus Carroll run for 8 yds to the APP 21Similar
Q1 11:43
2ND & 2
OPP 21
+3
56.5%
Darren Grainger run for 3 yds to the APP 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:43
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+6
56.5%
Marcus Carroll run for 6 yds to the APP 12Similar
Q1 11:43
2ND & 4
OPP 12
+2
56.5%
Marcus Carroll run for 2 yds to the APP 10Similar
Q1 11:43
3RD & 2
OPP 10
+3
56.3%
Marcus Carroll run for 3 yds to the APP 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
56.5%
Marcus Carroll run for 3 yds to the APP 4Similar
Q1 3:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-4
58.0%
Darren Grainger run for a loss of 4 yards to the APP 8 Darren Grainger fumbled, recovered by APP Andrew Parker Jr. [NHSG] QB Keeper GRAINGER, Darren rush to the left for a loss of 4 yards, GRAINGER, Darren fumbled at APP7 forced by MOFFITT, Trevor, recovered by APP PARKER JR., Andrew at the APP8, returned 0 yards to the APP8, End of Play, clock 03:03.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 4TD
4 plays · 92 yds · 1:3644% → 51%
Q1 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+3
56.3%
Nate Noel run for 3 yds to the APP 11Similar
Q1 3:03
2ND & 7
OWN 11
+5
56.3%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to David Larkins for 5 yds to the APP 16Similar
Q1 3:03
3RD & 2
OWN 16
+23
56.5%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to David Larkins for 23 yds to the APP 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+61
49.4%
Nate Noel run for 61 yds for a TD (Michael Hughes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 11 yds · 1:1951% → 49%
Q1 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+10
50.8%
Marcus Carroll run for 10 yds to the GAST 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
51.0%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:27
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+1
50.8%
Marcus Carroll run for 1 yd to the GAST 29Similar
Q1 1:27
3RD & 9
OWN 29
0
50.2%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:08
4TH & 9
OWN 29
0
49.4%
Kade Loggins punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Kaedin Robinson at the GAST 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 6TD
2 plays · 49 yds · 0:0852% → 57%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
48.4%
Kanye Roberts run for 5 yds to the GAST 44Similar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+44
42.7%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Makai Jackson for 44 yds for a TD (Michael Hughes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:4845% → 43%
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
44.7%
Marcus Carroll run for 3 yds to the GAST 24Similar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+4
44.9%
Marcus Carroll run for 4 yds to the GAST 28Similar
Q2 14:52
3RD & 3
OWN 28
0
44.8%
Marcus Carroll run for no gain to the GAST 28Similar
Q2 13:04
4TH & 3
OWN 28
0
43.0%
Kade Loggins punt for 52 yds, downed at the APP 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 8PUNT
9 plays · 36 yds · 3:3258% → 62%
Q2 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
41.9%
Nate Noel run for 1 yd to the APP 21Similar
Q2 13:04
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+15
41.9%
AGUILAR, Joey pass to the right incomplete intended for STROMAN, Dalton thrown to the APP34. PENALTY GSU Pass Interference on PRINGLE, Gavin enforced 15 yards to the APP36 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
41.4%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Kaedin Robinson for 8 yds to the APP 44Similar
Q2 13:04
2ND & 2
OWN 44
0
41.0%
Joey Aguilar pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:04
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+5
41.3%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Michael Hetzel for 5 yds to the APP 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
41.0%
Anderson Castle run for 6 yds to the GAST 45Similar
Q2 13:04
2ND & 4
OPP 45
+3
40.9%
Anderson Castle run for 3 yds to the GAST 42Similar
Q2 13:04
3RD & 1
OPP 42
-2
41.1%
Anderson Castle run for a loss of 2 yards to the GAST 44 Anderson Castle fumbled, recovered by APP Joey Aguilar [NHSG] CASTLE, Anderson rush up the middle for a loss of 2 yards, CASTLE, Anderson fumbled at GSU42 , recovered by APP AGUILAR, Joey at the GSU44, returned 0 yards to the GSU44 (VENEZIALE, Jordan;DENIS, Javon).Similar
Q2 9:32
4TH & 3
OPP 44
0
38.1%
Mitchell Lake punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Jacari Carter at the GAST 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:4439% → 38%
Q2 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+2
39.0%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Ahmon Green for 2 yds to the GAST 15Similar
Q2 9:32
2ND & 8
OWN 15
0
39.0%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:32
3RD & 8
OWN 15
0
38.6%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:48
4TH & 8
OWN 15
0
38.0%
Kade Loggins punt for 51 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 10TD
6 plays · 52 yds · 1:3064% → 78%
Q2 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+45
36.3%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Makai Jackson for 45 yds to the GAST 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
35.6%
Joey Aguilar pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
34.6%
Kanye Roberts run for 4 yds to the GAST 3Similar
Q2 7:18
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
21.9%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Kaedin Robinson for 3 yds for a TD (Michael Hughes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:1028% → 27%
Q2 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
28.2%
Marcus Carroll run for 7 yds to the GAST 32Similar
Q2 7:18
2ND & 3
OWN 32
-1
28.8%
Marcus Carroll run for a loss of 1 yard to the GAST 31Similar
Q2 7:18
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
28.4%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:08
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
26.8%
Kade Loggins punt for 59 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 2:5478% → 81%
Q2 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
21.9%
Maquel Haywood run for 2 yds to the APP 12Similar
Q2 6:08
2ND & 8
OWN 12
+10
22.0%
Georgia State Penalty, Defensive Holding (Henry Bryant III) to the APP 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-15
21.4%
Appalachian State Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Seth Williams) to the APP 16Similar
Q2 6:08
2ND & 21
OWN 16
+2
22.0%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Nate Noel for 2 yds to the APP 18Similar
Q2 6:08
3RD & 19
OWN 18
+10
22.4%
Joey Aguilar run for 10 yds to the APP 28Similar
Q2 3:14
4TH & 9
OWN 28
0
19.0%
Mitchell Lake punt for 44 yds, downed at the GAST 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:0124% → 22%
Q2 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
24.2%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:14
2ND & 10
OWN 28
-2
23.9%
Marcus Carroll run for a loss of 2 yards to the GAST 26Similar
Q2 3:14
3RD & 12
OWN 26
0
23.7%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:13
4TH & 12
OWN 26
0
22.4%
Kade Loggins punt for 45 yds, downed at the APP 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 14FUMBLE
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:1083% → 83%
Q2 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
17.5%
Joey Aguilar pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:03
2ND & 10
OWN 29
0
17.3%
Joey Aguilar run for no gain to the APP 29 Joey Aguilar fumbled, recovered by GAST Izaiah Guy [NHSG] QB Keeper AGUILAR, Joey rush up the middle for no gain, AGUILAR, Joey fumbled at APP27 , recovered by GSU GUY, Izaiah at the APP29, returned 0 yards to the APP29, End of Play, clock 02:03.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 15INT
5 plays · 15 yds · 0:5026% → 28%
Q2 2:03
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
25.5%
Marcus Carroll run for 4 yds to the APP 25Similar
Q2 2:03
2ND & 6
OPP 25
+10
25.5%
Marcus Carroll run for 10 yds to the APP 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:24
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+1
27.8%
Marcus Carroll run for 1 yd to the APP 14Similar
Q2 1:13
2ND & 9
OPP 14
0
27.6%
Darren Grainger pass intercepted, touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 16END OF HALF
3 plays · 13 yds · 1:1384% → 86%
Q2 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
16.2%
Nate Noel run for 7 yds to the APP 27Similar
Q2 1:13
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+4
16.2%
Nate Noel run for 4 yds to the APP 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
14.1%
Joey Aguilar run for 2 yds to the APP 33 Joey Aguilar fumbled, recovered by APP Joey Aguilar [NHSG] QB Keeper AGUILAR, Joey rush to the right for a gain of 2 yards, AGUILAR, Joey fumbled at APP29 , recovered by APP AGUILAR, Joey at the APP33, returned 0 yards to the APP33, End of Play, clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 17TD
1 play · 77 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q3 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+77
8.3%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Dalton Stroman for 77 yds for a TD (Michael Hughes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 18PUNT
8 plays · 26 yds · 2:196% → 6%
Q3 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
6.3%
Marcus Carroll run for 4 yds to the GAST 29Similar
Q3 14:40
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
5.2%
Marcus Carroll run for 2 yds to the GAST 31Similar
Q3 14:40
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+8
5.2%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Cadarrius Thompson for 8 yds to the GAST 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+15
6.1%
GRAINGER, Darren pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for LEWIS, Robert thrown to the APP21. PENALTY APP Pass Interference on ROSS, Nick enforced 15 yards to the APP46 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 14:40
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-3
6.7%
Marcus Carroll run for a loss of 3 yards to the APP 49Similar
Q3 14:40
2ND & 13
OPP 49
0
6.1%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:40
3RD & 13
OPP 49
0
6.1%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:21
4TH & 13
OPP 49
0
6.1%
Kade Loggins punt for 45 yds, downed at the APP 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:2494% → 94%
Q3 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+5
6.2%
Nate Noel run for 5 yds to the APP 9Similar
Q3 12:21
2ND & 5
OWN 9
+1
6.2%
Nate Noel run for 1 yd to the APP 10Similar
Q3 12:21
3RD & 4
OWN 10
0
6.5%
Joey Aguilar pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:57
4TH & 4
OWN 10
0
5.9%
Mitchell Lake punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Jacari Carter at the APP 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:496% → 4%
Q3 10:57
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
5.6%
Marcus Carroll run for 2 yds to the APP 47Similar
Q3 10:57
2ND & 8
OPP 47
-3
5.4%
Marcus Carroll run for a loss of 3 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 10:57
3RD & 11
50
+3
5.2%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Marcus Carroll for 3 yds to the APP 47Similar
Q3 9:08
4TH & 8
OPP 47
0
4.3%
Kade Loggins punt for 41 yds, downed at the APP 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 21INT
7 plays · 28 yds · 3:0896% → 97%
Q3 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+13
4.3%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Dalton Stroman for 13 yds to the APP 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
4.2%
Nate Noel run for 2 yds to the APP 21Similar
Q3 7:22
2ND & 8
OWN 21
+3
3.2%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Dalton Stroman for 3 yds to the APP 24Similar
Q3 7:22
3RD & 5
OWN 24
+7
3.4%
Joey Aguilar run for 7 yds to the APP 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
3.2%
Anderson Castle run for 3 yds to the APP 34Similar
Q3 6:00
2ND & 7
OWN 34
0
2.7%
Joey Aguilar pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:372% → 2%
Q3 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-1
2.1%
Marcus Carroll run for a loss of 1 yard to the GAST 18Similar
Q3 6:00
2ND & 11
OWN 18
0
1.9%
GRAINGER, Darren pass deep to the right complete for 24 yards to LEWIS, Robert caught at the GSU42 and advanced to the GSU42 (TEAM), out of bounds. PENALTY GSU Pass Interference on LEWIS, Robert enforced half the distance from the goal, 9 yards to the GSU9 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 6:00
2ND & 20
OWN 9
+6
1.9%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Robert Lewis for 6 yds to the GAST 15Similar
Q3 6:00
3RD & 14
OWN 15
0
1.9%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:23
4TH & 14
OWN 15
0
1.5%
Kade Loggins punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Kaedin Robinson at the APP 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 23TD
12 plays · 59 yds · 4:2798% → 99%
Q3 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
2.2%
Kanye Roberts run for 7 yds to the APP 48Similar
Q3 4:23
2ND & 3
OWN 48
+5
1.9%
Kanye Roberts run for 5 yds to the GAST 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:27
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+9
2.3%
Kanye Roberts run for 9 yds to the GAST 38Similar
Q3 3:27
2ND & 1
OPP 38
+2
2.0%
Kanye Roberts run for 2 yds to the GAST 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:27
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-1
2.3%
Kanye Roberts run for a loss of 1 yard to the GAST 37Similar
Q3 3:27
2ND & 11
OPP 37
0
2.3%
Joey Aguilar pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:27
3RD & 11
OPP 37
+11
2.4%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Kaedin Robinson for 11 yds to the GAST 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:27
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+9
2.2%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Makai Jackson for 9 yds to the GAST 17Similar
Q3 3:27
2ND & 1
OPP 17
+7
2.0%
Anderson Castle run for 7 yds to the GAST 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
0.8%
Joey Aguilar run for 1 yd to the GAST 9Similar
Q4 14:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
0.7%
Anderson Castle run for 9 yds for a TD (Michael Hughes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 24TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:590% → 0%
Q4 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
0.4%
Darren Grainger sacked by Michael Fletcher for a loss of 4 yards to the GAST 21Similar
Q4 14:56
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+11
0.4%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Tailique Williams for 11 yds to the GAST 32Similar
Q4 14:56
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+6
0.4%
Marcus Carroll run for 6 yds to the GAST 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+36
0.4%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Robert Lewis for 36 yds to the APP 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
0.5%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:56
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+22
0.4%
Marcus Carroll run for 22 yds to the APP 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
0.4%
Marcus Carroll run for 1 yd to the APP 3Similar
Q4 11:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
0.4%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Tailique Williams for 3 yds for a TD (Diego Medina KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 25TD
2 plays · 46 yds · 1:0099% → 100%
Q4 11:57
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+26
0.6%
Kanye Roberts run for 26 yds to the GAST 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:57
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
0.4%
Kanye Roberts run for 20 yds for a TD (Michael Hughes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 26TD
11 plays · 72 yds · 5:260% → 0%
Q4 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+15
0.2%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Tailique Williams for 15 yds to the GAST 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
0.2%
KZ Adams run for 1 yd to the GAST 44Similar
Q4 10:57
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+15
0.2%
Appalachian State Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (15 Yards) to the APP 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:57
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
0.2%
KZ Adams run for 2 yds to the APP 38Similar
Q4 10:57
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+19
0.2%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Jacari Carter for 19 yds to the APP 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:57
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+6
0.2%
KZ Adams run for 6 yds to the APP 13Similar
Q4 10:57
2ND & 4
OPP 13
-5
0.2%
Darren Grainger run for a loss of 5 yards to the APP 18Similar
Q4 10:57
3RD & 9
OPP 18
+11
0.2%
Darren Grainger run for 11 yds to the APP 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
0.3%
Darren Grainger run for 6 yds to the APP 1Similar
Q4 10:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
0.2%
Marcus Carroll run for no gain to the APP 1Similar
Q4 5:31
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
0.1%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Robert Lewis for 1 yd for a TD (Liam Rickman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 27DOWNS
7 plays · 40 yds · 3:53100% → 100%
Q4 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
0.2%
Maquel Haywood run for 7 yds to the APP 32Similar
Q4 5:31
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+31
0.2%
Maquel Haywood run for 31 yds to the GAST 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:31
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+7
0.2%
Ahmani Marshall run for 7 yds to the GAST 30Similar
Q4 5:31
2ND & 3
OPP 30
-3
0.2%
Ahmani Marshall run for a loss of 3 yards to the GAST 33Similar
Q4 1:45
3RD & 6
OPP 33
+1
0.1%
Ahmani Marshall run for 1 yd to the GAST 32Similar
Q4 1:38
4TH & 5
OPP 32
-3
0.1%
Ahmani Marshall run for a loss of 3 yards to the GAST 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 28DOWNS
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:260% → 0%
Q4 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
0.1%
Mikele Colasurdo pass complete to Cadarrius Thompson for 6 yds to the GAST 41Similar
Q4 1:38
2ND & 4
OWN 41
0
0.0%
Mikele Colasurdo pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:38
3RD & 4
OWN 41
-1
0.0%
KZ Adams run for a loss of 1 yard to the GAST 40Similar
Q4 0:12
4TH & 5
OWN 40
0
0.0%
Mikele Colasurdo pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 29END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
0.1%
[NHSG] Kneel down by AGUILAR, Joey at GSU42 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 7:18
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Kaedin Robinson for 3 yds for a TD (Michael Hughes KICK)
-12.7
TD · Q1 1:27
Nate Noel run for 61 yds for a TD (Michael Hughes KICK)
-7.1
TD · Q3 14:40
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Dalton Stroman for 77 yds for a TD (Michael Hughes KICK)
-5.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com