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CCU

Coastal Carolina 28 at Old Dominion 24

ODU
2023 · Week 10 · Nov 4, 2023 · S.B. Ballard Stadium
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Win probability · ODU
modelODU aheadCCU aheadconfidence bandkey playODU scoreCCU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 13:02 · Evan Crenshaw punt for 21 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ODU 33
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialBlowout margin
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 86Home team on offense−0.3Pregame prior−4.7Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.2Score differential+0.1Blowout margin+0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 10:45: Grant Wilson pass complete to Kelby Williams for 30 yds for a TD (Ethan Sanchez KICK) — ODU win probability +13.6 pts (now 72%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 2:02: Grant Wilson pass complete to Dominic Dutton for 30 yds for a TD (Ethan Sanchez KICK) — ODU win probability +10.9 pts (now 91%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 8:11: CJ Beasley run for 17 yds for a TD (E. Vasko Run For Two-point Conversion) — CCU win probability +36.6 pts (now 57%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 1:24: Ethan Sanchez 38 yd FG GOOD — ODU win probability +28.5 pts (now 88%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:23: Ethan Vasko pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 14 yds for a TD (Kade Hensley KICK) — CCU win probability +63.3 pts (now 95%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ODU made the numbers' call on 7 of 9CCU made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 13:10ODU 4th & 2 at ODU 33, tied
    Close callPunted · 52.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:23CCU 4th & 4 at ODU 17, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 43.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.1%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    43.1%−<0.1
    80% to make
    Punt
    41.5%−1.6
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:02ODU 4th & 4 at CCU 36, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 59.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    59.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    58.7%−0.6
    42% to make
    Punt
    58.5%−0.8
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:43CCU 4th & 8 at ODU 13, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 39.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.0%−0.5
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.4%
    85% to make
    Punt
    34.7%−4.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:55ODU 4th & 6 at ODU 29, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.5%−0.3
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:55CCU 4th & 11 at ODU 43, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.0%−0.2
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    41.7%−0.5
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    42.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:36ODU 4th & 12 at CCU 43, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.9%−0.2
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    57.8%−0.4
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    58.2%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:17CCU 4th & 7 at ODU 7, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 42.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.3%−1.0
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    42.3%
    91% to make
    Punt
    37.4%−4.9
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:02CCU 4th & 4 at CCU 46, down 1
    Close callPunted · 42.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.0%−0.5
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:11CCU 4th & 9 at ODU 43, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.8%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    25.5%−1.4
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    26.9%
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:56ODU 4th & 4 at CCU 44, up 8
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsPunted · 80.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    78.0%−3.2
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    79.9%−1.3
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:52ODU 4th & 15 at ODU 31, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.9%−6.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:44CCU 4th & 3 at ODU 31, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 18.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    18.0%−1.7
    54% to make
    Punt
    14.9%−4.9
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:11ODU 4th & 10 at ODU 31, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.6%−3.0
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.7%
    average punt
  15. Q4 11:11CCU 4th & 2 at ODU 23, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 19.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    17.4%−1.3
    70% to make
    Punt
    5.1%−13.6
    average punt
  16. Q4 6:24ODU 4th & 15 at ODU 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.9%−7.9
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.9%
    average punt
  17. Q4 4:15CCU 4th & 15 at CCU 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.9%−10.9
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.9%
    average punt
  18. Q4 1:24ODU 4th & 5 at CCU 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 59.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.9%−2.5
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    58.5%
    74% to make
    Punt
    29.7%−28.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ODU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3CCU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 11:13ODU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 10:45ODU Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 2:02ODU Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 1:42CCU Touchdown, down 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 8:11CCU Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    37.6%−0.6
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    38.2%
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 0:23CCU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.2%−1.7
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ODUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:5040% → 41%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
39.9%
Keshawn Wicks run for 4 yds to the ODU 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
39.9%
Keshawn Wicks run for 2 yds to the ODU 31Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+2
39.9%
Grant Wilson run for 2 yds to the ODU 33Similar
Q1 13:10
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
40.5%
Ian Brandt punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 2FUMBLE
2 plays · 14 yds · 0:2860% → 60%
Q1 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+8
40.4%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Jared Brown for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 12:42
2ND & 2
50
+6
40.4%
Braydon Bennett run for 6 yds to the ODU 44 Braydon Bennett fumbled, recovered by ODU LaMareon James No Huddle-Shotgun Bennett,Braydon rush middle for 6 yards gain to the ODU44 fumbled by Bennett,Braydon at ODU48 forced by Jones,Terry recovered by ODU James,LaMareon at ODU44 James,LaMareon return 0 yards to the ODU44 (Tucker,Jameson).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 3TD
5 plays · 56 yds · 1:2941% → 43%
Q1 12:42
2ND & 3
OPP 34
+22
41.1%
Keshawn Wicks run for 22 yds to the CCU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:42
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+6
41.1%
Grant Wilson run for 6 yds to the CCU 6Similar
Q1 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+15
40.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun Wilson,Grant pass incomplete deep left to Dutton,Dominic PENALTY CCU Pass Interference 15 yards from ODU44 to CCU41, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:42
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+7
41.0%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Javon Harvey for 7 yds to the CCU 34Similar
Q1 11:13
2ND & 4
OPP 6
+6
43.1%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Isiah Paige for 6 yds for a TD (Ethan Sanchez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 4MISSED FG
13 plays · 58 yds · 6:5058% → 53%
Q1 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
42.5%
Ethan Vasko run for 7 yds to the CCU 32Similar
Q1 11:13
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+9
42.3%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 9 yds to the CCU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
42.3%
Braydon Bennett run for 2 yds to the CCU 39Similar
Q1 11:13
2ND & 12
OWN 39
+5
42.4%
Ethan Vasko run for 5 yds to the CCU 44Similar
Q1 11:13
3RD & 7
OWN 44
+7
42.3%
Ethan Vasko run for 7 yds to the ODU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:13
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
42.1%
Reese White run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 11:13
3RD & 3
OPP 42
+19
42.2%
CJ Beasley run for 4 yds to the ODU 38 for a 1ST down Old Dominion Penalty, Personal Foul (Cole Daniels) to the ODU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:13
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
41.9%
CJ Beasley run for 4 yds to the ODU 19Similar
Q1 11:13
2ND & 6
OPP 19
+4
41.9%
Ethan Vasko run for 4 yds to the ODU 15Similar
Q1 11:13
3RD & 2
OPP 15
+2
42.1%
CJ Beasley run for 2 yds to the ODU 17Similar
Q1 11:13
2ND & 11
50
+8
42.2%
Reese White run for 8 yds to the ODU 42Similar
Q1 4:23
4TH & 4
OPP 17
+35
46.7%
Kade Hensley 35 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 5DOWNS
7 plays · 44 yds · 3:2148% → 50%
Q1 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+27
47.6%
Obie Sanni run for 12 yds to the ODU 32 for a 1ST down Coastal Carolina Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Micheal Mason) to the ODU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
48.5%
Obie Sanni run for 1 yd to the ODU 46Similar
Q1 4:23
2ND & 11
OWN 46
+12
48.1%
Grant Wilson run for 12 yds to the CCU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:23
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+7
48.6%
Grant Wilson run for 7 yds to the CCU 35Similar
Q1 4:23
2ND & 3
OPP 35
+1
48.7%
Grant Wilson run for 1 yd to the CCU 34Similar
Q1 4:23
3RD & 2
OPP 34
+2
48.3%
Obie Sanni run for 2 yds to the CCU 36Similar
Q1 1:02
4TH & 4
OPP 36
0
49.9%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Jordan Bly for no gain to the CCU 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 6FG
12 plays · 51 yds · 5:1951% → 51%
Q1 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
48.7%
Reese White run for 6 yds to the CCU 42Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+9
48.7%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 9 yds to the ODU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
48.3%
Reese White run for 3 yds to the ODU 46Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+11
48.4%
Ethan Vasko run for 11 yds to the ODU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
47.6%
Ethan Vasko pass incomplete to CJ BeasleySimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+5
47.6%
CJ Beasley run for 5 yds to the ODU 30Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 30
+15
48.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun Vasko,Ethan pass incomplete short middle to Brown,Jared PENALTY ODU Pass Interference (Ra-El,Tahj) 15 yards from ODU30 to ODU15, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
47.4%
Ethan Vasko run for 2 yds to the ODU 13Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 13
-3
47.4%
Ethan Vasko sacked by Jason Henderson for a loss of 3 yards to the ODU 16Similar
Q2 11:31
3RD & 11
OPP 16
+3
51.4%
CJ Beasley run for 3 yds to the ODU 13Similar
Q2 10:43
4TH & 8
OPP 13
+30
49.5%
Kade Hensley 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:4849% → 49%
Q2 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
49.4%
Keshawn Wicks run for 4 yds to the ODU 29Similar
Q2 10:43
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
49.5%
Grant Wilson pass incomplete to Jalen ButlerSimilar
Q2 10:43
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
48.9%
Grant Wilson pass incomplete to Dominic DuttonSimilar
Q2 9:55
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
48.5%
Ian Brandt punt for 27 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 13 yds · 2:0051% → 48%
Q2 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+14
48.7%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Jared Brown for 14 yds to the ODU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:55
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
48.2%
Max Balthazar run for no gain to the ODU 42Similar
Q2 9:55
2ND & 10
OPP 42
0
48.2%
Ethan Vasko pass incomplete to Sam PinckneySimilar
Q2 9:55
3RD & 10
OPP 42
+1
48.9%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 1 yd to the ODU 43Similar
Q2 7:55
4TH & 11
OPP 43
0
52.2%
Evan Crenshaw punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Isiah Paige at the ODU 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 47 yds · 3:1952% → 53%
Q2 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+21
51.6%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Isiah Paige for 21 yds to the ODU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
52.0%
Keshawn Wicks run for 4 yds to the ODU 35Similar
Q2 7:55
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+3
52.6%
Keshawn Wicks run for 3 yds to the ODU 38Similar
Q2 7:55
3RD & 3
OWN 38
+21
52.4%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Keshawn Wicks for 21 yds to the CCU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
53.9%
Grant Wilson pass incomplete to Javon HarveySimilar
Q2 7:55
2ND & 10
OPP 41
-2
53.8%
Grant Wilson sacked by Clayton Isbell for a loss of 2 yards to the CCU 43Similar
Q2 7:55
3RD & 12
OPP 43
0
52.4%
Grant Wilson pass incomplete to Reymello MurphySimilar
Q2 4:36
4TH & 12
OPP 43
0
52.6%
Ian Brandt punt for 43 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 10FG
16 plays · 71 yds · 4:1946% → 50%
Q2 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
53.7%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Jared Brown for 2 yds to the CCU 22Similar
Q2 4:36
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+10
53.8%
Ethan Vasko run for 10 yds to the CCU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+10
53.0%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 10 yds to the CCU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+15
51.9%
Ethan Vasko run for 15 yds to the ODU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:36
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
51.0%
Reese White run for 3 yds to the ODU 40Similar
Q2 4:36
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+12
51.0%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 12 yds to the ODU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:36
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+16
49.8%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to for 16 yds fumbled, recovered by ODU for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:36
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+7
49.8%
Ethan Vasko run for 7 yds to the ODU 5Similar
Q2 0:42
2ND & 3
OPP 5
0
52.8%
Ethan Vasko pass incomplete to Kyre Duplessis for a 1ST down Old Dominion Penalty, Roughing The Passer (Terry Jones) to the ODU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
52.8%
Ethan Vasko run for no gain to the ODU 2Similar
Q2 0:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-5
52.9%
PENALTY CCU Delay Of Game 5 yards from ODU02 to ODU07. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
52.9%
Ethan Vasko pass incomplete to Kyre DuplessisSimilar
Q2 0:31
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
54.5%
Ethan Vasko pass incomplete to Kyre DuplessisSimilar
Q2 0:17
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+24
49.8%
Kade Hensley 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 11END OF HALF
2 plays · 9 yds · 0:0054% → 54%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
53.8%
Obie Sanni run for 9 yds to the ODU 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 1:5848% → 48%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
52.0%
Old Dominion Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the CCU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
50.0%
Reese White run for 7 yds to the CCU 47Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+1
49.0%
Kyre Duplessis run for 1 yd to the CCU 46Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 46
0
49.6%
Ethan Vasko pass incomplete to Bryson GravesSimilar
Q3 13:02
4TH & 4
OWN 46
0
52.3%
Evan Crenshaw punt for 21 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ODU 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 13TD
7 plays · 67 yds · 2:1755% → 72%
Q3 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
54.5%
Keshawn Wicks run for 3 yds to the ODU 36Similar
Q3 13:02
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+4
55.6%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Javon Harvey for 4 yds to the ODU 40Similar
Q3 13:02
3RD & 3
OWN 40
+5
55.3%
Grant Wilson run for 5 yds to the ODU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
56.7%
Grant Wilson pass incomplete to Dominic DuttonSimilar
Q3 13:02
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+26
55.6%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Isiah Paige for 26 yds to the CCU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:02
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
58.2%
Keshawn Wicks run for 1 yd to the CCU 30Similar
Q3 10:45
2ND & 11
OPP 30
+30
71.8%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Kelby Williams for 30 yds for a TD (Ethan Sanchez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 14PUNT
10 plays · 25 yds · 3:2733% → 30%
Q3 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
66.7%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to CJ Beasley for 4 yds to the CCU 36Similar
Q3 10:38
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+5
66.2%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Matt Alaimo for 5 yds to the CCU 41Similar
Q3 10:38
3RD & 1
OWN 41
+4
65.2%
Ethan Vasko run for 4 yds to the CCU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
65.4%
CJ Beasley run for 8 yds to the ODU 47Similar
Q3 10:38
2ND & 2
OPP 47
+3
63.7%
CJ Beasley run for 3 yds to the ODU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:38
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
64.2%
Braydon Bennett run for 1 yd to the ODU 43Similar
Q3 10:38
2ND & 9
OPP 43
0
64.2%
Ethan Vasko pass incomplete to Kyre DuplessisSimilar
Q3 10:38
3RD & 9
OPP 43
0
65.8%
Ethan Vasko pass incomplete to Sam PinckneySimilar
Q3 7:11
4TH & 9
OPP 43
0
70.0%
Ethan Vasko punt for 43 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 36 yds · 3:1572% → 78%
Q3 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
72.0%
Grant Wilson pass incomplete to Isiah PaigeSimilar
Q3 7:11
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+17
71.8%
Grant Wilson run for 17 yds to the ODU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
73.1%
Obie Sanni run for 3 yds to the ODU 40Similar
Q3 7:11
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+10
74.2%
Grant Wilson run for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:11
1ST & 10
50
+5
74.6%
Obie Sanni run for 5 yds to the CCU 45Similar
Q3 7:11
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+5
74.8%
Obie Sanni run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 7:11
3RD & 10
50
+6
72.5%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Obie Sanni for 6 yds to the CCU 44Similar
Q3 3:56
4TH & 4
OPP 44
0
77.9%
Ian Brandt punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 16INT
3 plays · 1 yds · 0:5426% → 22%
Q3 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
74.2%
Ethan Vasko pass incomplete to Jameson TuckerSimilar
Q3 3:56
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+1
74.5%
Max Balthazar run for 1 yd to the CCU 11Similar
Q3 3:02
3RD & 9
OWN 11
0
78.5%
Ethan Vasko pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 17TD
4 plays · 41 yds · 1:0081% → 91%
Q3 3:02
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+9
81.2%
Keshawn Wicks run for 9 yds to the CCU 32Similar
Q3 3:02
2ND & 1
OPP 32
0
81.5%
Grant Wilson pass incomplete to Isiah PaigeSimilar
Q3 3:02
3RD & 1
OPP 32
+2
80.4%
Keshawn Wicks run for 2 yds to the CCU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:02
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
91.4%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Dominic Dutton for 30 yds for a TD (Ethan Sanchez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 18TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:2012% → 22%
Q3 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
88.1%
Ethan Vasko pass incomplete to Sam PinckneySimilar
Q3 1:42
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+75
78.0%
Ethan Vasko run for 75 yds for a TD (Kade Hensley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 1:5080% → 79%
Q3 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
80.4%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Jalen Butler for 9 yds to the ODU 34Similar
Q3 1:42
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
81.1%
Obie Sanni run for 2 yds to the ODU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
81.2%
Grant Wilson pass incomplete to Dominic DuttonSimilar
Q3 1:42
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
80.7%
Grant Wilson pass incomplete to Isiah PaigeSimilar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 10
OWN 36
-5
81.0%
Grant Wilson sacked by Clinton Anokwuru for a loss of 5 yards to the ODU 31Similar
Q4 14:52
4TH & 15
OWN 31
0
79.3%
Ian Brandt punt for 43 yds , CJ Beasley returns for no gain to the CCU 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 20DOWNS
6 plays · 44 yds · 2:0820% → 21%
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
79.6%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to CJ Beasley for 19 yds to the CCU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+18
77.5%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Kyre Duplessis for 18 yds to the ODU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
76.0%
CJ Beasley run for 5 yds to the ODU 33Similar
Q4 14:52
2ND & 5
OPP 33
+4
73.8%
Ethan Vasko run for 4 yds to the ODU 29Similar
Q4 14:52
3RD & 1
OPP 29
+2
75.7%
CJ Beasley run for 2 yds to the ODU 31Similar
Q4 12:44
4TH & 3
OPP 31
0
79.5%
Ethan Vasko pass incomplete to Kyre DuplessisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:3384% → 82%
Q4 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
83.7%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Keshawn Wicks for 5 yds to the ODU 36Similar
Q4 12:44
2ND & 5
OWN 36
-9
84.7%
Grant Wilson sacked by Micheal Mason for a loss of 9 yards to the ODU 27Similar
Q4 12:44
3RD & 14
OWN 27
+4
82.1%
Keshawn Wicks run for 4 yds to the ODU 31Similar
Q4 11:11
4TH & 10
OWN 31
0
82.3%
Ian Brandt punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 22TD
7 plays · 78 yds · 3:0018% → 57%
Q4 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+32
81.9%
Max Balthazar run for 32 yds to the ODU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:11
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+15
78.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun Vasko,Ethan pass incomplete deep middle to Tucker,Jameson PENALTY ODU Pass Interference (Johnson,Nolan) 15 yards from ODU46 to ODU31, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:11
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
76.6%
Ethan Vasko pass incomplete to Max BalthazarSimilar
Q4 11:11
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+8
76.7%
Ethan Vasko run for 8 yds to the ODU 23Similar
Q4 11:11
3RD & 2
OPP 23
0
78.1%
CJ Beasley run for no gain to the ODU 23Similar
Q4 11:11
4TH & 2
OPP 23
+6
79.6%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to CJ Beasley for 6 yds to the ODU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:11
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
43.0%
CJ Beasley run for 17 yds for a TD (E. Vasko Run For Two-point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 23PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 1:4756% → 52%
Q4 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
55.7%
Obie Sanni run for 6 yds to the ODU 31Similar
Q4 8:11
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+17
58.1%
Obie Sanni run for 17 yds to the ODU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
60.5%
Obie Sanni run for 3 yds to the CCU 49Similar
Q4 8:11
2ND & 7
OPP 49
0
61.3%
Grant Wilson pass incomplete to Isiah PaigeSimilar
Q4 7:08
3RD & 7
OPP 49
-8
58.9%
Grant Wilson sacked by Allen Henry for a loss of 8 yards to the ODU 43Similar
Q4 6:24
4TH & 15
OWN 43
+2
52.3%
Ian Brandt punt for 44 yds , Bryson Graves returns for 2 yds to the CCU 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 2:0951% → 46%
Q4 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
49.0%
Ethan Vasko run for 2 yds to the CCU 17Similar
Q4 6:24
2ND & 8
OWN 17
+3
49.3%
Ethan Vasko run for 3 yds to the CCU 20Similar
Q4 6:24
3RD & 5
OWN 20
-10
50.6%
Ethan Vasko sacked for a loss of 10 yards to the CCU 10Similar
Q4 4:15
4TH & 15
OWN 10
0
53.6%
Evan Crenshaw punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Isiah Paige at the ODU 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 25FG
9 plays · 38 yds · 2:5160% → 88%
Q4 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
60.0%
Obie Sanni run for 3 yds to the ODU 44Similar
Q4 4:15
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+6
61.0%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Isiah Paige for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 4:15
3RD & 1
50
+6
60.8%
Grant Wilson run for 6 yds to the CCU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+18
62.6%
Obie Sanni run for 18 yds to the CCU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
64.0%
Grant Wilson pass incomplete to Isiah PaigeSimilar
Q4 4:15
2ND & 10
OPP 26
0
63.7%
Grant Wilson pass incomplete to Obie SanniSimilar
Q4 4:15
3RD & 10
OPP 26
+5
61.2%
Obie Sanni run for 5 yds to the CCU 21Similar
Q4 1:24
4TH & 5
OPP 21
+38
87.7%
Ethan Sanchez 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 26TD
11 plays · 78 yds · 0:5723% → 95%
Q4 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
77.1%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to CJ Beasley for 3 yds to the CCU 25Similar
Q4 1:20
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+15
76.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun Vasko,Ethan pass incomplete deep right to Coleman,DeAndre PENALTY ODU Pass Interference (Johnson,Nolan) 15 yards from CCU25 to CCU40, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
72.7%
Ethan Vasko pass incomplete to Jameson TuckerSimilar
Q4 1:20
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
74.2%
Ethan Vasko pass incomplete to De'Andre ColemanSimilar
Q4 1:20
3RD & 10
OWN 40
+32
75.7%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Kyre Duplessis for 32 yds to the ODU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:42
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+8
64.4%
Ethan Vasko run for 8 yds to the ODU 20Similar
Q4 0:42
2ND & 2
OPP 20
+6
64.4%
Ethan Vasko run for 6 yds to the ODU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:23
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
4.9%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 14 yds for a TD (Kade Hensley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 27FUMBLE
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:2315% → 15%
Q4 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
15.3%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Kelby Williams for 5 yds to the ODU 30Similar
Q4 0:23
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+7
16.1%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Jordan Bly for 7 yds to the ODU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+11
15.0%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Grant Wilson for 11 yds Grant Wilson fumbled, recovered by CCU Shane Bruce No Huddle-Shotgun Wilson,Grant pass complete short right to Williams,Kelby for 11 yards loss to the ODU26 lateral to Harvey,Javon for 22 yards loss to the ODU30 lateral to Wilson,Grant for 1 yard gain to the ODU31 fumbled by Wilson,Grant at ODU31 forced by Powell,Juan recovered by CCU Bruce,Shane at ODU26, End Of Play.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:23
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 14 yds for a TD (Kade Hensley KICK)
-63.3
TD · Q4 8:11
CJ Beasley run for 17 yds for a TD (E. Vasko Run For Two-point Conversion)
-36.6
FG · Q4 1:24
Ethan Sanchez 38 yd FG GOOD
+28.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com