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GAST

Georgia State 20 at Louisiana 17

UL
2023 · Week 8 · Oct 21, 2023 · Cajun Field
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Win probability · UL
modelUL aheadGAST aheadconfidence bandkey playUL scoreGAST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 7:45 · Kade Loggins punt for 42 yds , Jacob Bernard returns for 4 yds to the UL 27
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+32.5+16.30−16.3−32.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 20Home team on offense−0.3Pregame prior+10.6Score differential−0.5Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:49: Darren Grainger pass complete to Ahmon Green for 3 yds for a TD (Isaac Kone KICK) — GAST win probability +10.1 pts (now 55%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 4:23: Mikele Colasurdo run for 3 yds for a TD (Isaac Kone KICK) — GAST win probability +12.0 pts (now 75%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:30: Jacob Kibodi run for 3 yds for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK) — UL win probability +11.1 pts (now 44%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 2:01: Zeon Chriss pass complete to Terrance Carter for 2 yds for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK) — UL win probability +15.7 pts (now 54%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:00: Kneel down by Georgia St. at GSU19 for loss of 1 yard. — GAST win probability +28.7 pts (now 93%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UL made the numbers' call on 8 of 10GAST made the numbers' call on 1 of 5
  1. Q1 9:39UL 4th & 9 at UL 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.6%−0.2
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:45GAST 4th & 3 at GAST 35, tied
    Close callPunted · 40.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:46UL 4th & 13 at GAST 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 59.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.2%−0.4
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    59.6%
    66% to make
    Punt
    57.6%−2.0
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:46UL 4th & 6 at UL 29, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.9%−0.4
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:22UL 4th & 10 at UL 25, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.1%−0.9
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:50UL 4th & 6 at UL 29, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.5%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.7%
    average punt
  7. Q3 15:00UL 4th & 3 at UL 32, down 13
    Close callWent for it · 36.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    36.9%−0.5
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    37.3%
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:29UL 4th & 4 at GAST 6, down 13
    Close callKicked a field goal · 33.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    32.4%−0.4
    91% to make
    Punt
    25.8%−7.0
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:56GAST 4th & 2 at GAST 46, up 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsPunted · 67.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.5%−1.3
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:56UL 4th & 2 at GAST 32, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 34.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    34.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    32.3%−2.0
    51% to make
    Punt
    31.0%−3.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 0:36GAST 4th & 5 at GAST 32, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.5%−2.5
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.0%
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:03UL 4th & 10 at UL 28, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.5%−2.9
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.4%
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:35GAST 4th & 11 at UL 32, up 3
    Numbers favored field goal by 2.7 ptsPunted · 62.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.4%−2.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    61.6%
    51% to make
    PuntTheir call
    58.8%−2.7
    average punt
  14. Q4 7:56UL 4th & 6 at UL 6, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.9%−0.4
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.2%
    average punt
  15. Q4 6:56GAST 4th & 9 at UL 43, up 3
    Close callPunted · 66.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.1%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    63.0%−3.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    65.3%−0.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UL made the numbers' call on 2 of 2GAST made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q2 13:07GAST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    46.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 9:49GAST Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 4:23GAST Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:30UL Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 2:01UL Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
GASTDrive 1FUMBLE
12 plays · 72 yds · 4:2638% → 39%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
62.1%
Marcus Carroll run for 2 yds to the GAST 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+14
62.1%
Darren Grainger run for 14 yds to the GAST 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+16
62.1%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Tailique Williams for 16 yds to the UL 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
62.1%
Marcus Carroll run for 3 yds to the UL 40Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+6
62.1%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Marcus Carroll for 6 yds to the UL 34Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 34
+18
62.1%
Marcus Carroll run for 18 yds to the UL 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+6
62.1%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Tailique Williams for 6 yds to the UL 10Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 10
+2
62.1%
Marcus Carroll run for 2 yds to the UL 8Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 8
+3
62.1%
Marcus Carroll run for 3 yds to the UL 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
62.1%
Marcus Carroll run for 4 yds to the UL 1Similar
Q1 10:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+2
61.3%
Marcus Carroll run for 2 yds to the UL 32 Marcus Carroll fumbled, recovered by UL Kendre' GantSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:5562% → 62%
Q1 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
62.1%
Jacob Kibodi run for 1 yd to the UL 33Similar
Q1 10:34
2ND & 9
OWN 33
0
62.0%
Zeon Chriss pass incomplete to Peter LeBlancSimilar
Q1 10:34
3RD & 9
OWN 33
0
61.8%
Zeon Chriss pass incomplete to Neal JohnsonSimilar
Q1 9:39
4TH & 9
OWN 33
0
61.6%
Thomas Leo punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Jacari Carter at the GAST 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:5438% → 38%
Q1 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+7
61.9%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Tailique Williams for 7 yds to the GAST 35Similar
Q1 9:39
2ND & 3
OWN 35
+1
61.6%
Marcus Carroll run for 1 yd to the GAST 36Similar
Q1 9:39
3RD & 2
OWN 36
+1
61.7%
Darren Grainger run for 1 yd to the GAST 35Similar
Q1 7:45
4TH & 3
OWN 35
+4
61.8%
Kade Loggins punt for 42 yds , Jacob Bernard returns for 4 yds to the UL 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 4MISSED FG
17 plays · 48 yds · 6:5962% → 62%
Q1 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
61.8%
Zeon Chriss run for 5 yds to the UL 32Similar
Q1 7:45
2ND & 5
OWN 32
-4
62.0%
Zeon Chriss sacked by Josiah Robinson for a loss of 4 yards to the UL 28Similar
Q1 7:45
3RD & 9
OWN 28
+10
61.4%
Zeon Chriss pass complete to Jacob Bernard for 10 yds to the UL 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
62.1%
Zeon Chriss run for 7 yds to the UL 45Similar
Q1 7:45
2ND & 3
OWN 45
0
62.4%
Zeon Chriss pass incomplete to Zylan PerrySimilar
Q1 7:45
3RD & 3
OWN 45
+7
62.2%
Zeon Chriss pass complete to Charles Robertson for 7 yds to the GAST 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
62.5%
Zeon Chriss pass complete to Charles Robertson for 2 yds to the GAST 46Similar
Q1 7:45
2ND & 8
OPP 46
+4
62.6%
Dre'lyn Washington run for 4 yds to the GAST 42Similar
Q1 7:45
3RD & 4
OPP 42
+5
62.4%
Zeon Chriss run for 5 yds to the GAST 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
62.6%
Zeon Chriss run for no gain to the GAST 37Similar
Q1 7:45
2ND & 10
OPP 37
0
62.5%
Zeon Chriss pass incomplete to Harvey BroussardSimilar
Q1 7:45
3RD & 10
OPP 37
+15
62.3%
Zeon Chriss run for 15 yds to the GAST 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:06
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
64.0%
Zylan Perry run for 5 yds to the GAST 17Similar
Q1 2:06
2ND & 5
OPP 17
0
64.0%
Zeon Chriss pass incomplete to Robert WilliamsSimilar
Q1 2:06
3RD & 5
OPP 17
-8
63.5%
Zeon Chriss sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the GAST 25Similar
Q1 0:46
4TH & 13
OPP 25
+42
62.1%
Kenneth Almendares 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 5TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:3939% → 46%
Q1 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
61.1%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Robert Lewis for 8 yds to the GAST 33Similar
Q1 0:46
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+3
60.3%
Marcus Carroll run for 3 yds to the GAST 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+14
60.6%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Ahmon Green for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+47
59.4%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Tailique Williams for 47 yds to the UL 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
58.9%
Marcus Carroll run for 1 yd to the UL 2Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
-16
58.9%
Georgia State Penalty, Intentional Grounding (-16 Yards) to the UL 24Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-6
58.9%
Georgia State Penalty, False Start (Montavious Cunningham) to the UL 8Similar
Q2 13:07
3RD & GOAL
OPP 24
+24
54.4%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Ahmon Green for 24 yds for a TD (Liam Rickman PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:5456% → 55%
Q2 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
56.4%
Zeon Chriss pass complete to Terrance Carter for 4 yds to the UL 29Similar
Q2 12:40
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+16
56.6%
Zeon Chriss pass complete to for 16 yds to the UL 29Similar
Q2 12:40
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
56.1%
Zeon Chriss pass incomplete to Harvey BroussardSimilar
Q2 11:46
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
55.1%
Thomas Leo punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 7TD
8 plays · 73 yds · 5:2655% → 61%
Q2 9:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
45.0%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Ahmon Green for 3 yds for a TD (Isaac Kone KICK)Similar
Q2 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
39.6%
Marcus Carroll run for 4 yds to the GAST 31Similar
Q2 4:23
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+5
39.6%
Darren Grainger run for 5 yds to the GAST 36Similar
Q2 4:23
3RD & 1
OWN 36
+4
39.9%
Marcus Carroll run for 4 yds to the GAST 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
38.6%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Cadarrius Thompson for 8 yds to the GAST 48Similar
Q2 4:23
2ND & 2
OWN 48
0
38.2%
Darren Grainger pass incomplete to Cadarrius ThompsonSimilar
Q2 4:23
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+49
39.0%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Marcus Carroll for 49 yds to the UL 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:2746% → 45%
Q2 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
45.9%
Zeon Chriss pass incomplete to Charles RobertsonSimilar
Q2 9:49
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
45.8%
Zeon Chriss pass incomplete to Charles RobertsonSimilar
Q2 9:49
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
45.5%
Zeon Chriss pass incomplete to Robert WilliamsSimilar
Q2 9:22
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
45.0%
Thomas Leo punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 9TD
12 plays · 68 yds · 4:4555% → 75%
Q2 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
44.7%
Darren Grainger run for 5 yds to the GAST 37 fumbled, recovered by ULSimilar
Q2 9:08
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+11
44.5%
Marcus Carroll run for 11 yds to the GAST 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+13
44.0%
Marcus Carroll run for 13 yds to the UL 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:08
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
43.8%
Marcus Carroll run for 5 yds to the UL 34Similar
Q2 9:08
2ND & 5
OPP 34
+1
43.6%
Marcus Carroll run for 1 yd to the UL 35Similar
Q2 9:08
3RD & 6
OPP 35
+10
44.1%
Mikele Colasurdo run for 10 yds to the UL 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:08
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+19
43.2%
Marcus Carroll run for 19 yds to the UL 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
39.1%
Marcus Carroll run for 3 yds to the UL 3Similar
Q2 5:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
39.1%
Marcus Carroll run for no gain to the UL 3Similar
Q2 4:23
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
24.8%
Mikele Colasurdo run for 3 yds for a TD (Isaac Kone KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:3333% → 30%
Q2 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
32.6%
Jacob Kibodi run for 1 yd to the UL 24Similar
Q2 4:23
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+5
32.4%
Zeon Chriss pass complete to Harvey Broussard for 5 yds to the UL 29Similar
Q2 4:23
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
32.6%
Zeon Chriss pass incomplete to Harvey BroussardSimilar
Q2 2:50
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
30.3%
Thomas Leo punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 11FUMBLE
3 plays · -4 yds · 1:2776% → 82%
Q2 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
24.1%
Mikele Colasurdo pass complete to Ahmon Green for 3 yds to the GAST 34Similar
Q2 2:50
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+4
23.8%
Marcus Carroll run for 4 yds to the GAST 38Similar
Q2 1:23
3RD & 3
OWN 38
-11
18.2%
Mikele Colasurdo sacked by Kendre' Gant for a loss of 11 yards to the GAST 27 Mikele Colasurdo fumbled, recovered by UL Marcus Wiser , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 12TD
5 plays · 27 yds · 0:5333% → 44%
Q2 1:23
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
32.7%
Jacob Kibodi run for 3 yds to the GAST 24Similar
Q2 1:23
2ND & 7
OPP 24
+10
32.7%
Zeon Chriss run for 10 yds to the GAST 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:23
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+6
32.7%
Zeon Chriss pass complete to Terrance Carter for 6 yds to the GAST 8Similar
Q2 1:23
2ND & 4
OPP 8
+5
32.7%
Zeon Chriss run for 5 yds to the GAST 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
43.8%
Jacob Kibodi run for 3 yds for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:0071% → 71%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
29.0%
Marcus Carroll run for 1 yd to the GAST 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 14FG
11 plays · 69 yds · 5:3138% → 36%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
37.6%
Zylan Perry run for 3 yds to the UL 28Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+1
37.9%
Zylan Perry run for 1 yd to the UL 29Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+3
37.2%
Zeon Chriss run for 3 yds to the UL 32Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+33
37.4%
Thomas Leo pass complete to Dalen Cambre for 18 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down Georgia State Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Rico Arnold) to the GAST 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
41.1%
Jacob Kibodi run for 4 yds to the GAST 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+19
41.1%
Zeon Chriss pass complete to Jacob Bernard for 19 yds to the GAST 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
41.1%
Jacob Kibodi run for 1 yd to the GAST 11Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 11
+6
41.1%
Jacob Kibodi run for 6 yds to the GAST 5Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 5
+1
39.6%
Jacob Kibodi run for 1 yd to the GAST 6Similar
Q3 9:29
4TH & 4
OPP 6
+23
36.4%
Kenneth Almendares 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 2:2265% → 66%
Q3 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
34.6%
Marcus Carroll run for 3 yds to the GAST 41Similar
Q3 9:18
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+1
34.5%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Jacari Carter for 1 yd to the GAST 42Similar
Q3 9:18
3RD & 6
OWN 42
+4
34.8%
Darren Grainger run for 4 yds to the GAST 46Similar
Q3 6:56
4TH & 2
OWN 46
+32
33.7%
Kade Loggins punt for 40 yds , Jacob Bernard returns for 32 yds to the UL 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 16TD
9 plays · 54 yds · 4:5536% → 54%
Q3 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+14
35.9%
Zeon Chriss pass complete to Neal Johnson for 14 yds to the GAST 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:56
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
37.0%
Dre'lyn Washington run for 2 yds to the GAST 42Similar
Q3 6:56
2ND & 12
OPP 42
+4
36.2%
Dre'lyn Washington run for 4 yds to the GAST 38Similar
Q3 6:56
3RD & 8
OPP 38
+6
36.3%
Zeon Chriss pass complete to Jacob Kibodi for 6 yds to the GAST 32Similar
Q3 6:56
4TH & 2
OPP 32
+3
35.0%
Zeon Chriss run for 3 yds to the GAST 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:56
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+21
38.6%
Zeon Chriss run for 21 yds to the GAST 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+6
38.6%
Jacob Kibodi run for 6 yds to the GAST 2Similar
Q3 6:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
38.6%
Jacob Kibodi run for no gain to the GAST 2Similar
Q3 2:01
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
54.3%
Zeon Chriss pass complete to Terrance Carter for 2 yds for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:1554% → 52%
Q3 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
45.8%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Robert Lewis for 4 yds to the GAST 31Similar
Q3 1:51
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+1
45.0%
Marcus Carroll run for 1 yd to the GAST 32Similar
Q3 1:51
3RD & 5
OWN 32
0
46.2%
Darren Grainger pass incomplete to Robert LewisSimilar
Q3 0:36
4TH & 5
OWN 32
0
48.1%
Kade Loggins punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 1:3349% → 45%
Q3 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
49.3%
Zeon Chriss pass complete to Jacob Bernard for 1 yd to the UL 29Similar
Q3 0:36
2ND & 9
OWN 29
+2
49.2%
Zeon Chriss run for 2 yds to the UL 31Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 29
-10
49.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun Chriss,Zeon rush middle for 2 yards gain to the LA31 (Blume,Anthony) PENALTY LA Holding (Gillie,AJ) 10 yards from LA29 to LA19. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 19
OWN 19
+9
48.1%
Zeon Chriss run for 9 yds to the UL 28Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 28
0
46.7%
Zeon Chriss pass incomplete to Robert WilliamsSimilar
Q4 14:03
4TH & 10
OWN 28
+1
45.3%
Thomas Leo punt for 46 yds , Jacari Carter returns for 1 yd to the GAST 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 19PUNT
13 plays · 41 yds · 4:2855% → 61%
Q4 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
44.7%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Robert Lewis for 7 yds to the GAST 34Similar
Q4 14:03
2ND & 3
OWN 34
+1
43.1%
Marcus Carroll run for 1 yd to the GAST 35Similar
Q4 14:03
3RD & 2
OWN 35
+3
44.1%
Darren Grainger run for 3 yds to the GAST 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
42.6%
Darren Grainger run for 3 yds to the GAST 41Similar
Q4 14:03
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+6
42.1%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Robert Lewis for 6 yds to the GAST 47Similar
Q4 14:03
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+6
42.1%
Marcus Carroll run for 6 yds to the UL 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:03
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
41.1%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Tailique Williams for 7 yds to the UL 40Similar
Q4 14:03
2ND & 3
OPP 40
+9
40.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun Grainger,Darren pass incomplete short left to Thompson,Cadarrius, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY LA Pass Interference (Skipper,Tyree) 9 yards from LA40 to LA31, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:03
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
39.6%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Tailique Williams for 2 yds to the UL 33Similar
Q4 14:03
2ND & 12
OPP 33
+1
40.0%
Darren Grainger run for 1 yd to the UL 32Similar
Q4 14:03
3RD & 11
OPP 32
0
42.0%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:35
4TH & 11
OPP 32
0
38.7%
Kade Loggins punt for 30 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:3944% → 40%
Q4 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+1
43.9%
Jacob Kibodi run for 1 yd to the UL 1Similar
Q4 9:35
2ND & 11
OWN 1
+8
43.7%
Zeon Chriss pass complete to Terrance Carter for 8 yds to the UL 9Similar
Q4 9:35
3RD & 3
OWN 9
+3
41.8%
Zeon Chriss run for 3 yds to the UL 6Similar
Q4 7:56
4TH & 6
OWN 6
0
39.9%
Thomas Leo punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jacari Carter at the UL 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:0068% → 66%
Q4 7:56
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
32.1%
Marcus Carroll run for 1 yd to the UL 43Similar
Q4 7:56
2ND & 9
OPP 43
0
32.1%
Darren Grainger pass incomplete to Robert LewisSimilar
Q4 7:56
3RD & 9
OPP 43
0
33.0%
Darren Grainger pass incomplete to Tailique WilliamsSimilar
Q4 6:56
4TH & 9
OPP 43
0
34.5%
Kade Loggins punt for 43 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 22INT
16 plays · 73 yds · 6:2642% → 35%
Q4 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
42.1%
Zeon Chriss pass incomplete to Robert WilliamsSimilar
Q4 6:56
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+4
41.5%
Zeon Chriss run for 4 yds to the UL 24Similar
Q4 6:56
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+34
39.9%
Zeon Chriss run for 34 yds to the GAST 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:53
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
49.1%
Zylan Perry run for 4 yds to the GAST 38Similar
Q4 5:53
2ND & 6
OPP 38
+5
49.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun Chriss,Zeon pass incomplete deep middle to LeBlanc,Peter PENALTY GSU Offside (Guy,Izaiah) 5 yards from GSU38 to GSU33. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:53
2ND & 1
OPP 33
+10
52.6%
Zeon Chriss pass complete to Robert Williams for 10 yds to the GAST 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:53
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-10
52.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun Perry,Zylan rush left for 10 yards gain to the GSU13 (Hunter,Jontrey; Leach,TyGee) PENALTY LA Holding (Jackson,George) 10 yards from GSU23 to GSU33. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:53
1ST & 20
OPP 33
-5
51.3%
PENALTY LA False Start (Thomas,Nathan) 5 yards from GSU33 to GSU38. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:53
1ST & 25
OPP 38
+12
46.4%
Zeon Chriss pass complete to Robert Williams for 12 yds to the GAST 26Similar
Q4 5:53
2ND & 13
OPP 26
0
51.5%
Zylan Perry run for no gain to the GAST 26 Zylan Perry fumbled, recovered by UL Jax HarringtonSimilar
Q4 5:53
3RD & 13
OPP 26
+13
46.0%
Zeon Chriss run for 13 yds to the GAST 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:53
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+7
52.6%
Jacob Kibodi run for 7 yds to the GAST 6Similar
Q4 5:53
2ND & 3
OPP 6
+1
52.6%
Jacob Kibodi run for 1 yd to the GAST 7Similar
Q4 0:30
3RD & 4
OPP 7
0
35.3%
Zeon Chriss pass intercepted, touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 23END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
6.7%
Kneel down by Georgia St. at GSU19 for loss of 1 yard.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
KEY PLAY · Q4 0:00
Kneel down by Georgia St. at GSU19 for loss of 1 yard.
-28.7
TD · Q3 2:01
Zeon Chriss pass complete to Terrance Carter for 2 yds for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK)
+15.7
TD · Q2 4:23
Mikele Colasurdo run for 3 yds for a TD (Isaac Kone KICK)
-12
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com