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APP

App State 21 at Old Dominion 28

ODU
2023 · Week 8 · Oct 21, 2023 · S.B. Ballard Stadium
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Win probability · ODU
modelODU aheadAPP aheadconfidence bandkey playODU scoreAPP score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDEnd of GameFG+8.6ODU 58.1%Ethan Sanchez 46 yd FG GOODAWAY 14 - HOME 20 · Q3 10:54
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 10:54 · Ethan Sanchez 46 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+29.0+14.50−14.5−29.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 89Pregame prior−9.9Home team on offense+7.5Score differential+1.2Garbage-time factor+2.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 4:14: Joey Aguilar pass complete to David Larkins for 5 yds for a TD (Michael Hughes KICK) — APP win probability +7.0 pts (now 72%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:27: Keshawn Wicks run for 20 yds for a TD (Ethan Sanchez KICK) — ODU win probability +15.2 pts (now 47%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 10:54: Ethan Sanchez 46 yd FG GOOD — ODU win probability +8.6 pts (now 58%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 4:03: Joey Aguilar pass complete to Kaedin Robinson for 17 yds for a TD (Michael Hughes KICK) — APP win probability +10.7 pts (now 60%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:48: Keshawn Wicks 16 Yd Run (Grant Wilson Pass to Jalen Butler for Two-Point Conversion) — ODU win probability +42.8 pts (now 97%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ODU made the numbers' call on 5 of 7APP made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 9:43APP 4th & 13 at ODU 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.4%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    61.5%−<0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    61.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:46ODU 4th & 9 at ODU 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.3%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:59APP 4th & 1 at ODU 1, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 60.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    60.2%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    59.5%−0.7
    94% to make
    Punt
    57.6%−2.5
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:26APP 4th & 6 at APP 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.0%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:03ODU 4th & 8 at ODU 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.1%−0.6
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:14APP 4th & 2 at ODU 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 58.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    57.9%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    56.7%−1.3
    92% to make
    Punt
    51.0%−6.9
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:45APP 4th & 1 at APP 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.2%−<0.1
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.3%
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:54ODU 4th & 3 at APP 29, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsKicked a field goal · 55.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    54.1%−1.2
    58% to make
    Punt
    47.6%−7.6
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:47APP 4th & 2 at ODU 25, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 43.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    44.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    42.3%−1.7
    66% to make
    Punt
    33.3%−10.7
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:03APP 4th & 4 at ODU 17, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 39.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    38.9%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    38.7%−0.3
    80% to make
    Punt
    25.7%−13.3
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:22ODU 4th & 23 at ODU 38, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.9%−6.8
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.6%
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:55APP 4th & 4 at APP 37, up 1
    Close callPunted · 55.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.4%−0.5
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:00ODU 4th & 6 at ODU 32, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.9%−2.4
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.4%
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:15APP 4th & 6 at APP 49, up 1
    Close callPunted · 56.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.9%−0.2
    average punt
  15. Q4 4:50ODU 4th & 21 at ODU 25, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.0%−6.6
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.5%
    average punt
  16. Q4 3:46APP 4th & 6 at APP 38, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.6%−2.0
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.6%
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:08ODU 4th & 10 at APP 40, down 1
    Numbers favored field goal by 7.5 ptsWent for it · 42.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    32.3%−7.5
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    39.8%
    34% to make
    Punt
    26.9%−12.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ODU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3APP made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 3:59APP Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:02ODU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 4:14APP Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:27ODU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 4:03APP Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 0:48ODU Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    82.2%−1.7
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    84.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
APPDrive 1PUNT
11 plays · 36 yds · 5:1772% → 69%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
28.5%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Kanye Roberts for 12 yds to the APP 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
28.5%
Kanye Roberts run for 3 yds to the APP 40Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+6
28.5%
Kanye Roberts run for 6 yds to the APP 46Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+2
28.5%
Kanye Roberts run for 2 yds to the APP 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+16
28.5%
Joey Aguilar run for 16 yds to the ODU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-10
28.5%
Appalachian State Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the ODU 46Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 20
OPP 46
+2
28.5%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Kanye Roberts for 2 yds to the ODU 44Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 18
OPP 44
+3
28.5%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Dashaun Davis for 3 yds to the ODU 41Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 15
OPP 41
-2
28.5%
Joey Aguilar sacked by Kris Trinidad for a loss of 2 yards to the ODU 39 Joey Aguilar fumbled, recovered by APP Kanye Roberts , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q1 9:43
4TH & 13
OPP 39
0
31.1%
Mitchell Lake punt for 27 yds, fair catch by Isiah Paige at the ODU 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:5731% → 31%
Q1 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+1
31.0%
Keshawn Wicks run for 1 yd to the ODU 13Similar
Q1 9:43
2ND & 9
OWN 13
+7
31.0%
Keshawn Wicks run for 7 yds to the ODU 20Similar
Q1 9:43
3RD & 2
OWN 20
-7
30.8%
Grant Wilson sacked by Nate Johnson for a loss of 7 yards to the ODU 13Similar
Q1 7:46
4TH & 9
OWN 13
0
31.3%
Ethan Duane punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Kaedin Robinson at the ODU 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 3TD
8 plays · 46 yds · 3:4769% → 71%
Q1 7:46
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
31.0%
Kanye Roberts run for 4 yds to the ODU 42Similar
Q1 7:46
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+24
31.0%
Kanye Roberts run for 24 yds to the ODU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:46
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+12
30.8%
Kanye Roberts run for 12 yds to the ODU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
30.8%
Kanye Roberts run for 4 yds to the ODU 2Similar
Q1 7:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
30.8%
Joey Aguilar run for 1 yd to the ODU 1Similar
Q1 7:46
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
31.0%
Kanye Roberts run for no gain to the ODU 1Similar
Q1 3:59
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
29.2%
Joey Aguilar run for 1 yd for a TD (Michael Hughes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 4TD
14 plays · 87 yds · 5:5030% → 39%
Q1 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
29.8%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Kadarius Calloway for 4 yds to the ODU 17Similar
Q1 3:52
2ND & 6
OWN 17
+1
29.9%
Grant Wilson run for 1 yd to the ODU 18Similar
Q1 3:52
3RD & 5
OWN 18
+16
29.5%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Javon Harvey for 16 yds to the ODU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
30.1%
Kadarius Calloway run for no gain to the ODU 34Similar
Q1 3:52
2ND & 10
OWN 34
-10
30.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun Wilson,Grant pass complete short right to Bly,Jordan for 9 yards to the ODU43, out of bounds at ODU43 PENALTY ODU Holding (Saunders,Santana) 10 yards from ODU34 to ODU24. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:52
2ND & 20
OWN 24
+24
29.8%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Javon Harvey for 24 yds to the ODU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-6
30.8%
Grant Wilson sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the ODU 42Similar
Q1 3:52
2ND & 16
OWN 42
+14
30.1%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Isiah Paige for 14 yds to the APP 44Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 2
OPP 44
+5
31.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun Calloway,Kadarius rush middle for 2 yards gain to the App42 (Parker Jr.,Andrew) PENALTY App Offside (Parker Jr.,Andrew) 5 yards from App44 to App39, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+8
31.5%
Grant Wilson run for 8 yds to the APP 31Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 31
0
32.1%
Kadarius Calloway run for no gain to the APP 31Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 31
+25
31.5%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Reymello Murphy for 25 yds to the APP 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
32.1%
Kadarius Calloway run for 3 yds to the APP 3Similar
Q2 13:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
38.9%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Kadarius Calloway for 3 yds for a TD (Ethan Sanchez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 1:3264% → 63%
Q2 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+12
35.7%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Kaedin Robinson for 12 yds to the APP 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
35.2%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Kaedin Robinson for 4 yds to the APP 40Similar
Q2 12:58
3RD & 6
OWN 40
0
35.1%
Joey Aguilar pass incomplete to Kanye RobertsSimilar
Q2 12:58
2ND & 6
OWN 40
0
34.5%
Joey Aguilar pass incomplete to Kaedin RobinsonSimilar
Q2 11:26
4TH & 6
OWN 40
+3
36.9%
Mitchell Lake punt for 41 yds , Isiah Paige returns for 3 yds to the ODU 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:2338% → 37%
Q2 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-7
37.5%
Grant Wilson sacked by Nate Johnson for a loss of 7 yards to the ODU 15Similar
Q2 11:26
2ND & 17
OWN 15
0
37.3%
Grant Wilson pass incomplete to Isiah PaigeSimilar
Q2 11:26
3RD & 17
OWN 15
+9
36.5%
Grant Wilson run for 9 yds to the ODU 24Similar
Q2 10:03
4TH & 8
OWN 24
0
36.8%
Ethan Duane punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 7TD
12 plays · 70 yds · 5:4963% → 72%
Q2 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
36.8%
Kanye Roberts run for 5 yds to the APP 35Similar
Q2 10:03
2ND & 5
OWN 35
-10
36.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun Roberts,Kanye rush middle for 0 yards to the App35 (Lowry,Denzel; Stevens,Sayyid) PENALTY App Holding (Daley,Damion) 10 yards from App35 to App25. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:03
2ND & 15
OWN 25
+28
37.2%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Christan Horn for 28 yds to the ODU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:03
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
35.0%
Joey Aguilar run for no gain to the ODU 47Similar
Q2 10:03
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+3
35.2%
Kanye Roberts run for 3 yds to the ODU 44Similar
Q2 10:03
3RD & 7
OPP 44
+15
35.4%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Kaedin Robinson for 15 yds to the ODU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:03
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+16
34.4%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Kaedin Robinson for 16 yds to the ODU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:03
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
34.4%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Dashaun Davis for 3 yds to the ODU 10Similar
Q2 10:03
2ND & 7
OPP 10
+4
34.4%
Kanye Roberts run for 4 yds to the ODU 6Similar
Q2 10:03
3RD & 3
OPP 6
+1
35.1%
Joey Aguilar run for 1 yd to the ODU 5Similar
Q2 4:14
4TH & 2
OPP 5
+5
28.1%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to David Larkins for 5 yds for a TD (Michael Hughes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 8TD
6 plays · 92 yds · 2:4129% → 47%
Q2 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+19
29.3%
Kadarius Calloway run for 19 yds to the ODU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
29.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun Wilson,Grant pass complete short right to Bly,Jordan for 3 yards to the ODU30, out of bounds at ODU30 PENALTY ODU Pass Interference offsetting App Face Mask offsetting. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+8
29.8%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Isiah Paige for 8 yds to the ODU 35Similar
Q2 4:08
2ND & 2
OWN 35
+9
31.1%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Isiah Paige for 9 yds to the ODU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+36
31.3%
Kadarius Calloway run for 36 yds to the APP 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:27
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
46.5%
Keshawn Wicks run for 20 yds for a TD (Ethan Sanchez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 0:3761% → 61%
Q2 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
39.0%
Kanye Roberts run for 8 yds to the APP 33Similar
Q2 1:22
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
37.5%
Joey Aguilar pass incomplete to Dalton StromanSimilar
Q2 1:22
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
38.6%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Milan Tucker for 1 yd to the APP 34Similar
Q2 0:45
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
39.4%
Mitchell Lake punt for 31 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 10FG
7 plays · 35 yds · 0:4543% → 51%
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
42.7%
Grant Wilson run for 6 yds to the ODU 41Similar
Q2 0:45
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+5
44.9%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Keshawn Wicks for 5 yds to the ODU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+8
45.1%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Keshawn Wicks for 8 yds to the APP 46Similar
Q2 0:45
2ND & 2
OPP 46
0
45.8%
Grant Wilson pass incomplete to Javon HarveySimilar
Q2 0:45
3RD & 2
OPP 46
+16
45.0%
Kadarius Calloway run for 16 yds to the APP 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+47
51.0%
Ethan Sanchez 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 11FG
11 plays · 46 yds · 4:0647% → 58%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
46.9%
Grant Wilson run for 12 yds to the ODU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
47.8%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Isiah Paige for 6 yds to the ODU 43Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+5
49.5%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Jalen Butler for 5 yds to the ODU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+8
49.4%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Reymello Murphy for 8 yds to the APP 44Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 44
+8
50.0%
Kadarius Calloway run for 8 yds to the APP 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-5
50.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun Wilson,Grant pass incomplete deep right to Murphy,Reymello PENALTY ODU Illegal Formation 5 yards from App36 to App41. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 15
OPP 41
+12
48.5%
Grant Wilson run for 12 yds to the APP 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 29
0
50.7%
Keshawn Wicks run for no gain to the APP 29Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 29
0
49.5%
Grant Wilson pass incomplete to Ahmarian GrangerSimilar
Q3 10:54
4TH & 3
OPP 29
+46
58.1%
Ethan Sanchez 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 12TD
14 plays · 60 yds · 6:4447% → 60%
Q3 10:47
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
53.0%
Kanye Roberts run for 3 yds to the APP 43Similar
Q3 10:47
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+9
52.1%
Kanye Roberts run for 9 yds to the ODU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:47
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
51.1%
Kanye Roberts run for no gain to the ODU 48Similar
Q3 10:47
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+4
51.9%
Kanye Roberts run for 4 yds to the ODU 44Similar
Q3 10:47
3RD & 6
OPP 44
+11
51.7%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Christan Horn for 11 yds to the ODU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:47
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
49.6%
Kanye Roberts run for 4 yds to the ODU 29Similar
Q3 10:47
2ND & 6
OPP 29
+3
49.1%
Kanye Roberts run for 3 yds to the ODU 26Similar
Q3 10:47
3RD & 3
OPP 26
+1
50.9%
Kanye Roberts run for 1 yd to the ODU 25Similar
Q3 10:47
4TH & 2
OPP 25
+2
52.5%
Joey Aguilar run for 2 yds to the ODU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:47
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
49.1%
Kanye Roberts run for 4 yds to the ODU 19Similar
Q3 10:47
2ND & 6
OPP 19
+4
49.1%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Dashaun Davis for 4 yds to the ODU 15Similar
Q3 10:47
3RD & 2
OPP 15
+2
50.8%
Ahmani Marshall run for 2 yds to the ODU 17Similar
Q3 4:03
4TH & 4
OPP 17
+17
40.1%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Kaedin Robinson for 17 yds for a TD (Michael Hughes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 13PUNT
9 plays · 13 yds · 2:4143% → 40%
Q3 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
43.4%
Keshawn Wicks run for 15 yds to the ODU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+11
46.9%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Isiah Paige for 11 yds to the APP 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:03
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
48.1%
Keshawn Wicks run for 2 yds to the APP 47Similar
Q3 4:03
2ND & 8
OPP 47
-10
48.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun Wilson,Grant pass incomplete short right to Paige,Isiah QB hurried by Collins,Shawn PENALTY ODU Holding (Thomas,Leroy) 10 yards from App47 to ODU43. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:03
2ND & 18
OWN 43
-15
44.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun Wilson,Grant pass complete short right to Paige,Isiah for 11 yards to the App46 (Ross,Nick; Farrar,Derrell) PENALTY ODU Pass Interference (Murphy,Reymello) 15 yards from ODU43 to ODU28. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:03
2ND & 33
OWN 28
0
42.8%
Grant Wilson pass incomplete to Kadarius CallowaySimilar
Q3 4:03
3RD & 33
OWN 28
+10
41.1%
Kadarius Calloway run for 10 yds to the ODU 38Similar
Q3 1:22
4TH & 23
OWN 38
0
40.4%
Ethan Duane punt for 61 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 14PUNT
9 plays · 36 yds · 3:2757% → 57%
Q3 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
43.1%
Joey Aguilar pass incomplete to Makai JacksonSimilar
Q3 1:22
2ND & 10
OWN 1
+12
43.5%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Dalton Stroman for 12 yds to the APP 13 for a 1ST down Old Dominion Penalty, Defensive Holding (Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-7
42.6%
Roberts,Kanye rush middle for 2 yards gain to the App15 (Asbury,Shawn; Lowry,Denzel) PENALTY App Tripping (Wilson,Eli) 7 yards from App13 to App06. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 17
OWN 6
+2
42.1%
Maquel Haywood run for 2 yds to the APP 8Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 8
+23
42.5%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Makai Jackson for 23 yds to the APP 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
40.5%
Kanye Roberts run for 5 yds to the APP 36Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+1
38.9%
Kanye Roberts run for 1 yd to the APP 37Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 37
0
40.0%
Joey Aguilar pass incomplete to Makai JacksonSimilar
Q4 12:55
4TH & 4
OWN 37
+6
43.0%
Mitchell Lake punt for 41 yds , Isiah Paige returns for 6 yds to the ODU 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:5544% → 41%
Q4 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
44.0%
Grant Wilson pass incomplete to Javon HarveySimilar
Q4 12:55
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+4
43.4%
Keshawn Wicks run for 4 yds to the ODU 32Similar
Q4 12:55
3RD & 6
OWN 32
0
42.7%
Grant Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:00
4TH & 6
OWN 32
0
40.7%
Ethan Duane punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Kaedin Robinson at the APP 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 2:4558% → 58%
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
41.6%
Kanye Roberts run for 4 yds to the APP 26Similar
Q4 12:00
2ND & 14
OWN 26
+19
42.9%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Kaedin Robinson for 19 yds to the APP 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
38.9%
Kanye Roberts run for 4 yds to the APP 49Similar
Q4 12:00
2ND & 6
OWN 49
0
38.1%
Kanye Roberts run for no gain to the APP 49Similar
Q4 12:00
3RD & 6
OWN 49
0
38.6%
Joey Aguilar pass incomplete to Christan HornSimilar
Q4 9:15
4TH & 6
OWN 49
0
42.1%
Mitchell Lake punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 17PUNT
11 plays · 10 yds · 4:2545% → 41%
Q4 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
44.5%
Kadarius Calloway run for 2 yds to the ODU 17Similar
Q4 9:15
2ND & 8
OWN 17
+4
44.6%
Kadarius Calloway run for 4 yds to the ODU 21Similar
Q4 9:15
3RD & 4
OWN 21
+5
42.8%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Isiah Paige for 5 yds to the ODU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
45.3%
Keshawn Wicks run for 5 yds to the ODU 31Similar
Q4 9:15
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+5
46.1%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Isiah Paige for 5 yds to the ODU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
46.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun Wicks,Keshawn rush middle for 1 yard gain to the ODU37 (Arnholt,Kyle) PENALTY App Illegal Substitution 5 yards from ODU36 to ODU41. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:15
1ST & 5
OWN 41
0
50.2%
Grant Wilson run for no gain to the ODU 41Similar
Q4 9:15
2ND & 5
OWN 41
-10
50.0%
Old Dominion Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the ODU 32Similar
Q4 9:15
2ND & 14
OWN 32
-7
44.6%
Grant Wilson sacked by Santana Hopper for a loss of 7 yards to the ODU 25Similar
Q4 9:15
3RD & 21
OWN 25
0
42.1%
Grant Wilson pass incomplete to Jordan BlySimilar
Q4 4:50
4TH & 21
OWN 25
0
40.6%
Ethan Duane punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the APP 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:0463% → 63%
Q4 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+9
36.6%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Eli Wilson for 9 yds to the APP 43Similar
Q4 3:58
2ND & 1
OWN 43
+5
32.0%
Joey Aguilar run for 5 yds to the APP 38 Joey Aguilar fumbled, recovered by APP Joey AguilarSimilar
Q4 3:58
3RD & 6
OWN 38
0
34.0%
Joey Aguilar pass incomplete to Eli WilsonSimilar
Q4 3:46
4TH & 6
OWN 38
+6
37.5%
Mitchell Lake punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ODU 31 , Isiah Paige returns for 6 yds to the ODU 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 19TD
16 plays · 69 yds · 2:5847% → 97%
Q4 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
46.7%
Kadarius Calloway run for 4 yds to the ODU 35Similar
Q4 3:46
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+2
49.3%
Kadarius Calloway run for 2 yds to the ODU 37Similar
Q4 3:46
3RD & 4
OWN 37
+13
48.4%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Kadarius Calloway for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:46
1ST & 10
50
0
52.8%
Kadarius Calloway run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 3:46
2ND & 10
50
+10
51.8%
Grant Wilson run for 10 yds to the APP 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:46
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+7
53.4%
Keshawn Wicks run for 7 yds to the APP 33Similar
Q4 3:46
2ND & 3
OPP 33
0
55.4%
Keshawn Wicks run for no gain to the APP 33Similar
Q4 1:22
3RD & 3
OPP 33
-10
51.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun Wicks,Keshawn rush left for 13 yards gain to the App20, out of bounds at App20 PENALTY ODU Holding (Adams,Chris) 10 yards from App33 to App43. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:22
3RD & 13
OPP 43
+3
46.2%
Grant Wilson run for 3 yds to the APP 40Similar
Q4 1:08
4TH & 10
OPP 40
+19
41.2%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Javon Harvey for 19 yds to the APP 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:08
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+5
52.5%
Keshawn Wicks run for 5 yds to the APP 16Similar
Q4 0:48
2ND & 5
OPP 16
+16
96.6%
Keshawn Wicks 16 Yd Run (Grant Wilson Pass to Jalen Butler for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 20END OF GAME
9 plays · 56 yds · 0:438% → 10%
Q4 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+13
92.1%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Eli Wilson for 13 yds to the APP 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
91.0%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Kanye Roberts for 2 yds to the APP 36Similar
Q4 0:26
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+15
92.6%
Old Dominion Penalty, Targeting (15 Yards) to the ODU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:26
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+21
90.6%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Christan Horn for 21 yds to the ODU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:26
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
84.6%
Joey Aguilar pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:26
2ND & 10
OPP 23
0
86.0%
Joey Aguilar pass incomplete to Dalton StromanSimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 23
0
89.7%
Joey Aguilar pass incomplete to Dalton StromanSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:48
Keshawn Wicks 16 Yd Run (Grant Wilson Pass to Jalen Butler for Two-Point Conversion)
+42.8
TD · Q2 1:27
Keshawn Wicks run for 20 yds for a TD (Ethan Sanchez KICK)
+15.2
TD · Q3 4:03
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Kaedin Robinson for 17 yds for a TD (Michael Hughes KICK)
-10.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com