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MRSH

Marshall 24 at Georgia State 41

GAST
2023 · Week 7 · Oct 14, 2023 · Center Parc Stadium
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Win probability · GAST
modelGAST aheadMRSH aheadconfidence bandkey playGAST scoreMRSH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGFGFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · Cam Fancher pass complete to Mason Pierce for 3 yds to the GAST 11
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+33.0+16.50−16.5−33.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 2:47: Liam Rickman 39 yd FG GOOD — GAST win probability +5.2 pts (now 76%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:19: Darren Grainger pass complete to Tailique Williams for 74 yds for a TD (Liam Rickman KICK) — GAST win probability +10.7 pts (now 86%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:23: Rasheen Ali run for 2 yds for a TD (Rece Verhoff KICK) — MRSH win probability +11.4 pts (now 34%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 0:00: Cam Fancher pass complete to Rasheen Ali for 65 yds for a TD (Rece Verhoff KICK) — MRSH win probability +17.8 pts (now 36%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  5. TD · Q4 11:02: Darren Grainger run for 2 yds for a TD (Liam Rickman KICK) — GAST win probability +16.8 pts (now 87%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
GAST made the numbers' call on 4 of 6MRSH made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 8:27GAST 4th & 5 at GAST 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.0%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:50MRSH 4th & 5 at MRSH 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.3%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:50MRSH 4th & 8 at MRSH 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.2%−0.2
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.5%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:49GAST 4th & 3 at GAST 42, up 7
    Close callPunted · 60.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.2%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:49MRSH 4th & 4 at MRSH 43, down 7
    Close callPunted · 39.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:17GAST 4th & 3 at MRSH 17, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 62.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.8%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    62.5%−0.3
    80% to make
    Punt
    59.1%−3.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:02MRSH 4th & 2 at GAST 4, down 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsKicked a field goal · 33.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.7%
    50% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    32.5%−1.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    26.9%−6.8
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:47GAST 4th & 6 at MRSH 22, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 68.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.2%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.4%
    72% to make
    Punt
    62.7%−4.7
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:37MRSH 4th & 4 at MRSH 29, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.4%−0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.4%
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:23MRSH 4th & 8 at GAST 43, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 24.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    24.6%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    23.4%−1.2
    28% to make
    Punt
    24.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:54GAST 4th & 13 at MRSH 46, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.8%−1.4
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    76.6%−1.6
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    78.2%
    average punt
  12. Q3 1:20GAST 4th & 6 at MRSH 32, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 81.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    81.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    81.3%−0.3
    51% to make
    Punt
    80.3%−1.3
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:59MRSH 4th & 23 at MRSH 27, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.9%−1.9
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.8%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
GAST made the numbers' call on 4 of 5MRSH made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 13:03GAST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 10:30MRSH Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 6:50GAST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:19GAST Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:23MRSH Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    25.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 0:00MRSH Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 11:02GAST Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.3%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.4%
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 1:42GAST Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.8%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
GASTDrive 1TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:5757% → 58%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
57.1%
Marcus Carroll run for 6 yds to the GAST 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+9
57.1%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Robert Lewis for 9 yds to the GAST 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
57.1%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Tailique Williams for 8 yds to the GAST 48Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 48
+16
57.1%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Robert Lewis for 16 yds to the MRSH 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+12
57.1%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Tailique Williams for 12 yds to the MRSH 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:03
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
58.2%
Darren Grainger run for 24 yds for a TD (Liam Rickman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 2TD
7 plays · 70 yds · 2:3342% → 43%
Q1 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
57.9%
Rasheen Ali run for 4 yds to the MRSH 34Similar
Q1 13:03
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+53
57.9%
Rasheen Ali run for 53 yds to the GAST 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:03
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
57.6%
Cam Fancher run for 3 yds to the GAST 10Similar
Q1 13:03
2ND & 7
OPP 10
+8
57.6%
Ethan Payne run for 8 yds to the GAST 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
57.6%
Rasheen Ali run for no gain to the GAST 2Similar
Q1 10:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
56.6%
Rasheen Ali run for 2 yds for a TD (Rece Verhoff KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 2:0357% → 57%
Q1 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
57.4%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:30
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
57.3%
Marcus Carroll run for 5 yds to the GAST 30Similar
Q1 10:30
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+9
57.2%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Jacari Carter for 9 yds to the GAST 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
57.6%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Jacari Carter for 5 yds to the GAST 44Similar
Q1 10:30
2ND & 5
OWN 44
0
57.8%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:30
3RD & 5
OWN 44
0
57.6%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:27
4TH & 5
OWN 44
0
57.3%
Kade Loggins punt for 44 yds, downed at the MRSH 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 4PUNT TD
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:3743% → 39%
Q1 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+2
57.3%
Rasheen Ali run for 2 yds to the MRSH 14Similar
Q1 8:27
2ND & 8
OWN 14
0
57.4%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:27
3RD & 8
OWN 14
-14
57.6%
FANCHER, Cam scrambles to the left for a gain of 14 yards to the MAR28, End of Play. PENALTY MAR Holding on DRISKELL, Ethan enforced half the distance from the goal, 7 yards from the MAR14 to the MAR7 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 8:27
3RD & 15
OWN 7
+10
57.5%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Jayden Harrison for 10 yds to the MRSH 17Similar
Q1 6:50
4TH & 5
OWN 17
+4
61.0%
Izaiah Guy 4 Yd Return of Blocked Punt (Liam Rickman Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:2540% → 39%
Q1 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
60.4%
Rasheen Ali run for 2 yds to the MRSH 27Similar
Q1 6:50
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
60.9%
John McConnell punt for 48 ydsSimilar
Q1 6:25
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
60.4%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:25
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
60.9%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 2:0161% → 62%
Q1 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
60.5%
Marcus Carroll run for 1 yd to the GAST 36Similar
Q1 6:50
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+6
60.5%
Darren Grainger run for 6 yds to the GAST 42Similar
Q1 6:50
3RD & 3
OWN 42
0
60.7%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:49
4TH & 3
OWN 42
0
61.6%
Kade Loggins punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 25 yds · 1:5539% → 40%
Q1 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+6
61.3%
Rasheen Ali run for 6 yds to the MRSH 24Similar
Q1 4:49
2ND & 4
OWN 24
+13
61.0%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Jayden Harrison for 13 yds to the MRSH 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
61.0%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Caleb Coombs for 5 yds to the MRSH 42Similar
Q1 4:49
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+3
60.5%
Rasheen Ali run for 3 yds to the MRSH 45Similar
Q1 4:49
4TH & 4
OWN 43
0
61.4%
John McConnell punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jacari Carter at the GAST 19Similar
Q1 2:54
3RD & 2
OWN 45
-2
60.5%
run for a loss of 2 yards to the MRSH 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 8FG
13 plays · 64 yds · 6:3262% → 71%
Q1 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
61.8%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:49
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+17
61.7%
Marcus Carroll run for 17 yds to the GAST 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+14
62.1%
Marcus Carroll run for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:49
1ST & 10
50
+3
62.7%
Marcus Carroll run for 3 yds to the MRSH 47Similar
Q1 4:49
2ND & 7
OPP 47
0
62.7%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:49
3RD & 7
OPP 47
+12
62.3%
Freddie Brock run for 12 yds to the MRSH 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:49
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+7
62.8%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Jacari Carter for 7 yds to the MRSH 28Similar
Q1 4:49
2ND & 3
OPP 28
+4
62.9%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Robert Lewis for 4 yds to the MRSH 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+7
67.3%
Freddie Brock run for 7 yds to the MRSH 17Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 17
-4
67.2%
Darren Grainger sacked by Elijah Alston for a loss of 4 yards to the MRSH 21Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 21
+4
66.8%
Darren Grainger run for 4 yds to the MRSH 17 Darren Grainger fumbled, recovered by GAST Trevor TimmonsSimilar
Q2 13:17
4TH & 3
OPP 17
+34
71.3%
Liam Rickman 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 9FG
13 plays · 71 yds · 5:1535% → 36%
Q2 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+23
64.9%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Darryle Simmons for 23 yds to the MRSH 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+11
63.6%
Ethan Payne run for 11 yds to the GAST 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:17
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
63.2%
Cam Fancher run for 3 yds to the GAST 38Similar
Q2 13:17
2ND & 7
OPP 38
+4
63.2%
Rasheen Ali run for 4 yds to the GAST 34Similar
Q2 13:17
3RD & 3
OPP 34
-5
63.0%
Marshall Penalty, False Start (TEAM) to the GAST 39Similar
Q2 13:17
3RD & 8
OPP 39
+5
63.5%
FANCHER, Cam pass deep to the left incomplete intended for ALI, Rasheen thrown to the GSU8. PENALTY GSU Offsides on ABRAHAM, Justin enforced 5 yards from the GSU39 to the GSU34 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 13:17
3RD & 3
OPP 34
+4
63.0%
Cam Fancher run for 4 yds to the GAST 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:17
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+18
62.6%
Ethan Payne run for 18 yds to the GAST 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:17
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
62.3%
Rasheen Ali run for 5 yds to the GAST 7Similar
Q2 13:17
2ND & 5
OPP 7
-10
62.3%
ALI, Rasheen rush to the left for a gain of 7 yards to the GSU0, TOUCHDOWN MAR, score nullified by penalty (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY MAR Holding on MOTTILLO, Chris enforced 10 yards from the GSU7 to the GSU17 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 13:17
2ND & 15
OPP 17
+9
63.0%
Ethan Payne run for 9 yds to the GAST 8Similar
Q2 13:17
3RD & 6
OPP 8
+4
63.0%
Rasheen Ali run for 4 yds to the GAST 4Similar
Q2 8:02
4TH & 2
OPP 4
+21
63.6%
Rece Verhoff 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 10FG
13 plays · 53 yds · 5:0071% → 76%
Q2 7:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
70.8%
Marcus Carroll run for 4 yds to the GAST 29Similar
Q2 7:47
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
70.7%
Marcus Carroll run for 5 yds to the GAST 34Similar
Q2 7:47
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+7
70.6%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Robert Lewis for 7 yds to the GAST 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:47
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-3
72.1%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Tailique Williams for a loss of 3 yards to the GAST 38Similar
Q2 7:47
2ND & 13
OWN 38
+10
71.1%
Darren Grainger run for 10 yds to the GAST 48Similar
Q2 7:47
3RD & 3
OWN 48
-5
71.3%
Georgia State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the GAST 43Similar
Q2 7:47
3RD & 8
OWN 43
+31
70.9%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Tailique Williams for 31 yds to the MRSH 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:47
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+1
72.4%
Marcus Carroll run for 1 yd to the MRSH 25Similar
Q2 7:47
2ND & 9
OPP 25
+5
71.9%
Marcus Carroll run for 5 yds to the MRSH 20Similar
Q2 7:47
3RD & 4
OPP 20
-10
71.3%
QB Keeper GRAINGER, Darren rush to the left for a gain of 7 yards to the MAR13 (DIX, JR., Stephen). PENALTY GSU Holding on REECE, Avery enforced 10 yards from the MAR20 to the MAR30 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 7:47
3RD & 14
OPP 30
+8
71.0%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Cadarrius Thompson for 8 yds to the MRSH 22Similar
Q2 2:47
4TH & 6
OPP 22
+39
76.3%
Liam Rickman 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:1029% → 27%
Q2 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
71.0%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Darryle Simmons for 7 yds to the MRSH 30Similar
Q2 2:47
2ND & 3
OWN 30
-1
70.0%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Rasheen Ali for a loss of 1 yard to the MRSH 29Similar
Q2 2:47
3RD & 4
OWN 29
0
70.8%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:37
4TH & 4
OWN 29
0
72.9%
John McConnell punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 12TD
2 plays · 81 yds · 0:1876% → 86%
Q2 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+7
75.8%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Jacari Carter for 7 yds to the GAST 26Similar
Q2 1:19
2ND & 3
OWN 26
+74
86.4%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Tailique Williams for 74 yds for a TD (Liam Rickman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 13TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 0:5619% → 34%
Q2 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
81.5%
Cam Fancher pass complete to DeMarcus Harris for 17 yds to the MRSH 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
80.4%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:19
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+15
80.8%
Georgia State Penalty, Personal Foul (Ronald Cooper) to the GAST 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:19
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
78.3%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Rasheen Ali for 1 yd to the GAST 38Similar
Q2 1:19
2ND & 9
OPP 38
-5
78.5%
Marshall Penalty, False Start (TEAM) to the GAST 43Similar
Q2 1:19
2ND & 14
OPP 43
0
80.4%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:19
3RD & 14
OPP 43
+16
81.1%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Mason Pierce for 16 yds to the GAST 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:19
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
77.4%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:19
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+15
78.1%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Jayden Harrison for 15 yds to the GAST 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:19
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+10
77.4%
FANCHER, Cam pass up the middle incomplete intended for PIERCE, Mason thrown to the GSU2. PENALTY GSU Pass Interference on COOPER, Ronald enforced at the spot of the foul for 10 yards to the GSU2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 0:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
66.0%
Rasheen Ali run for 2 yds for a TD (Rece Verhoff KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:0076% → 76%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
76.1%
Marcus Carroll run for 1 yd to the GAST 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 15DOWNS
11 plays · 39 yds · 4:3728% → 25%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
72.4%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Rasheen Ali for 6 yds to the MRSH 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-1
71.5%
Rasheen Ali run for a loss of 1 yard to the MRSH 30Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+15
72.6%
FANCHER, Cam pass to the right incomplete intended for COOMBS, Caleb thrown to the MAR40; QB hurried by GUY, Izaiah. PENALTY GSU Targeting on MCCOLLUM, Shamar enforced 15 yards from the MAR30 to the MAR45 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-3
70.9%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Caleb Coombs for a loss of 3 yards to the MRSH 42Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 42
+7
72.1%
Rasheen Ali run for 7 yds to the MRSH 49Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 49
+6
69.9%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Darryle Simmons for 6 yds to the GAST 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
69.2%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Caleb Coombs for 3 yds to the GAST 42Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+1
69.4%
Rasheen Ali run for 1 yd to the GAST 41Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 41
-2
69.6%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Darryle Simmons for a loss of 2 yards to the GAST 43Similar
Q3 10:23
4TH & 8
OPP 43
+7
75.2%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Caleb Coombs for 7 yds to the GAST 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 3:2976% → 77%
Q3 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
76.2%
Marcus Carroll run for 6 yds to the GAST 42Similar
Q3 10:23
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+5
77.1%
Marshall Penalty, Offsides (TyQaze Leggs) to the GAST 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
77.3%
Marcus Carroll run for 1 yd to the GAST 48Similar
Q3 10:23
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+9
77.1%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Cadarrius Thompson for 9 yds to the MRSH 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:23
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
77.6%
Darren Grainger run for 2 yds to the MRSH 41Similar
Q3 10:23
2ND & 8
OPP 41
0
77.5%
Darren Grainger run for no gain to the MRSH 41Similar
Q3 10:23
3RD & 8
OPP 41
-5
76.6%
Darren Grainger sacked by Owen Porter for a loss of 5 yards to the MRSH 46Similar
Q3 6:54
4TH & 13
OPP 46
0
76.7%
Kade Loggins punt for 29 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 17FUMBLE
6 plays · 45 yds · 2:3022% → 24%
Q3 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-1
77.6%
Rasheen Ali run for a loss of 1 yard to the MRSH 16Similar
Q3 6:54
2ND & 11
OWN 16
+19
78.1%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Darryle Simmons for 19 yds to the MRSH 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+10
76.8%
Cam Fancher pass complete to DeMarcus Harris for 10 yds to the MRSH 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
75.8%
Cam Fancher run for 3 yds to the MRSH 48Similar
Q3 6:54
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+13
75.4%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Darryle Simmons for 13 yds to the GAST 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:24
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
76.1%
Rasheen Ali run for 1 yd to the GAST 38 Rasheen Ali fumbled, recovered by GAST Henry Bryant IIISimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 18DOWNS
8 plays · 33 yds · 3:0481% → 81%
Q3 4:24
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
80.7%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Jacari Carter for 3 yds to the GAST 41Similar
Q3 4:24
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+12
81.0%
Marcus Carroll run for 12 yds to the MRSH 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:24
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
81.5%
Marcus Carroll run for 6 yds to the MRSH 41Similar
Q3 4:24
2ND & 4
OPP 41
+5
81.5%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Peter Kikwata for 5 yds to the MRSH 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:24
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
81.6%
Marcus Carroll run for no gain to the MRSH 36Similar
Q3 4:24
2ND & 10
OPP 36
0
81.4%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:24
3RD & 10
OPP 36
+4
80.5%
Marcus Carroll run for 4 yds to the MRSH 32Similar
Q3 1:20
4TH & 6
OPP 32
+3
81.2%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Marcus Carroll for 3 yds to the MRSH 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 19TD
3 plays · 71 yds · 1:2020% → 36%
Q3 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-5
80.0%
Cam Fancher sacked by Javon Denis for a loss of 5 yards to the MRSH 24Similar
Q3 1:20
2ND & 15
OWN 24
+11
81.4%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Jayden Harrison for 11 yds to the MRSH 35Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 4
OWN 35
+65
63.6%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Rasheen Ali for 65 yds for a TD (Rece Verhoff KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 20TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:5865% → 87%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
64.6%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-3
64.0%
Darren Grainger run for a loss of 3 yards to the GAST 22Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+6
62.2%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Ahmon Green for 6 yds to the GAST 28Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+15
61.5%
LOGGINS, Kade punt 41 yards to the MAR31 downed by MCCRAY, Tony. PENALTY MAR Roughing the Kicker on RUSSELL, Elijah enforced 15 yards from the GSU28 to the GSU43 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
67.8%
Marcus Carroll run for 1 yd to the GAST 44Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+7
67.5%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Cadarrius Thompson for 7 yds to the MRSH 49Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 49
+24
67.7%
Darren Grainger run for 24 yds to the MRSH 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
70.1%
GRAINGER, Darren pass up the middle incomplete intended for LEWIS, Robert thrown to the MAR10. PENALTY MAR Offsides on LEGGS, TyQaze declined MAR Pass Interference on ABRAHAM, Micah enforced half the distance from the goal, 14 yards to the MAR11 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+8
70.1%
Marcus Carroll run for 8 yds to the MRSH 2Similar
Q4 11:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
86.9%
Darren Grainger run for 2 yds for a TD (Liam Rickman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 2 yds · 3:0315% → 10%
Q4 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
84.8%
Cam Fancher run for 5 yds to the MRSH 30Similar
Q4 11:02
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+10
83.0%
Rasheen Ali run for 10 yds to the MRSH 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-1
82.1%
Rasheen Ali run for a loss of 1 yard to the MRSH 39Similar
Q4 11:02
2ND & 11
OWN 39
-5
83.4%
Cam Fancher sacked by Kevin Swint for a loss of 5 yards to the MRSH 34Similar
Q4 11:02
3RD & 16
OWN 34
-7
85.8%
Cam Fancher sacked by Kevin Swint for a loss of 7 yards to the MRSH 27Similar
Q4 7:59
4TH & 23
OWN 27
0
89.8%
punt for 56 yds, downed at the GAST 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 22TD
16 plays · 83 yds · 6:1791% → 100%
Q4 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+1
91.0%
Marcus Carroll run for 1 yd to the GAST 18Similar
Q4 7:59
2ND & 9
OWN 18
+7
90.8%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Tailique Williams for 7 yds to the GAST 25Similar
Q4 7:59
3RD & 2
OWN 25
+2
90.9%
Darren Grainger run for 2 yds to the GAST 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
92.8%
Marcus Carroll run for 1 yd to the GAST 28Similar
Q4 5:51
2ND & 9
OWN 28
0
92.7%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:51
3RD & 9
OWN 28
+16
92.1%
Marcus Carroll run for 16 yds to the GAST 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
94.9%
Marcus Carroll run for 3 yds to the GAST 47Similar
Q4 4:54
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+1
94.9%
Marcus Carroll run for 1 yd to the GAST 48Similar
Q4 4:54
3RD & 6
OWN 48
0
94.7%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:54
4TH & 6
OWN 48
+15
94.3%
Marshall Penalty, Personal Foul (Owen Porter) to the MRSH 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:54
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+14
95.0%
Marcus Carroll run for 14 yds to the MRSH 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:54
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
95.2%
Marcus Carroll run for 1 yd to the MRSH 22Similar
Q4 4:54
2ND & 9
OPP 22
+20
95.2%
Marcus Carroll run for 20 yds to the MRSH 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.5%
Marcus Carroll run for 2 yds for a TD (Liam Rickman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 23END OF GAME
7 plays · 64 yds · 1:422% → 2%
Q4 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
98.4%
Cam Fancher run for 4 yds to the MRSH 29Similar
Q4 1:42
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+8
98.3%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Chuck Montgomery for 8 yds to the MRSH 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
98.3%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Ethan Payne for 9 yds to the MRSH 46Similar
Q4 1:42
2ND & 1
OWN 46
+9
98.2%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Chuck Montgomery for 9 yds to the GAST 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:42
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+20
98.1%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Mason Pierce for 20 yds to the GAST 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:42
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+11
97.6%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Ethan Payne for 11 yds to the GAST 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
97.8%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Mason Pierce for 3 yds to the GAST 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 0:00
Cam Fancher pass complete to Rasheen Ali for 65 yds for a TD (Rece Verhoff KICK)
-17.8
TD · Q4 11:02
Darren Grainger run for 2 yds for a TD (Liam Rickman KICK)
+16.8
TD · Q2 0:23
Rasheen Ali run for 2 yds for a TD (Rece Verhoff KICK)
-11.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com